NFL Systems 2015

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Biz

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Above small dogs less than 2
 

Biz

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 29, 2011
Messages
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The system.is 54-25 ATS but 28-53 SU for Dallas......Dallas is only getting +1........isn't thatbbasically a Pk game?

So the lousy SU record of 28-53 would make this game a wash on both sides.

It would not.

Bigger dogs account for more of the SU losers but still cover. Smaller dogs can account for SU winners as well as obviously covering.
 

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The system.is 54-25 ATS but 28-53 SU for Dallas......Dallas is only getting +1........isn't thatbbasically a Pk game?

So the lousy SU record of 28-53 would make this game a wash on both sides.
you can see how it performs by line. 3rd column is SU record. obviously a lot of these have been really big dogs since it's a team on a 5+ game losing streak in away game

streak <= -5 and 9 <= game number <= 12 and A and ...
gamesATS
W - L- P (marg, %win)
Avg LineOU
W - L- P (marg, %over)
Avg TotalSU
W - L- P (marg, %win)
SDQL
21-1-0 (8.50, 50.0%)-3.02-0-0 (27.25, 100.0%)36.21-1-0 (11.50, 50.0%)line = -3.0
21-1-0 (2.00, 50.0%)-2.51-1-0 (0.75, 50.0%)45.81-1-0 (4.50, 50.0%)line = -2.5
22-0-0 (7.00, 100.0%)1.02-0-0 (12.75, 100.0%)39.22-0-0 (6.00, 100.0%)line = 1.0
10-1-0 (-1.50, 0.0%)1.51-0-0 (30.50, 100.0%)34.50-1-0 (-3.00, 0.0%)line = 1.5
10-1-0 (-5.00, 0.0%)2.01-0-0 (43.50, 100.0%)39.50-1-0 (-7.00, 0.0%)line = 2.0
10-1-0 (-15.50, 0.0%)2.51-0-0 (1.50, 100.0%)42.50-1-0 (-18.00, 0.0%)line = 2.5
53-1-1 (2.20, 75.0%)3.02-3-0 (3.10, 40.0%)39.33-2-0 (-0.80, 60.0%)line = 3.0
43-1-0 (2.75, 75.0%)3.52-2-0 (1.38, 50.0%)40.93-1-0 (-0.75, 75.0%)line = 3.5
22-0-0 (4.50, 100.0%)4.01-1-0 (5.00, 50.0%)43.51-1-0 (0.50, 50.0%)line = 4.0
11-0-0 (7.50, 100.0%)4.51-0-0 (2.50, 100.0%)34.51-0-0 (3.00, 100.0%)line = 4.5
30-3-0 (-9.67, 0.0%)5.03-0-0 (9.83, 100.0%)38.20-3-0 (-14.67, 0.0%)line = 5.0
11-0-0 (5.00, 100.0%)6.00-1-0 (-23.50, 0.0%)36.50-1-0 (-1.00, 0.0%)line = 6.0
22-0-0 (9.50, 100.0%)6.52-0-0 (24.00, 100.0%)37.02-0-0 (3.00, 100.0%)line = 6.5
73-3-1 (-0.43, 50.0%)7.03-4-0 (0.07, 42.9%)40.51-6-0 (-7.43, 14.3%)line = 7.0
33-0-0 (9.83, 100.0%)7.51-2-0 (-9.83, 33.3%)36.22-1-0 (2.33, 66.7%)line = 7.5
11-0-0 (9.00, 100.0%)8.01-0-0 (13.50, 100.0%)39.51-0-0 (1.00, 100.0%)line = 8.0
11-0-0 (5.50, 100.0%)8.50-1-0 (-9.50, 0.0%)36.50-1-0 (-3.00, 0.0%)line = 8.5
42-2-0 (2.25, 50.0%)9.01-3-0 (-1.12, 25.0%)39.91-3-0 (-6.75, 25.0%)line = 9.0
95-4-0 (-5.17, 55.6%)9.54-5-0 (0.56, 44.4%)44.30-9-0 (-14.67, 0.0%)line = 9.5
64-2-0 (6.67, 66.7%)10.02-4-0 (-2.08, 33.3%)40.82-4-0 (-3.33, 33.3%)line = 10.0
22-0-0 (9.50, 100.0%)10.51-1-0 (-3.25, 50.0%)47.21-1-0 (-1.00, 50.0%)line = 10.5
11-0-0 (12.00, 100.0%)11.01-0-0 (23.50, 100.0%)39.51-0-0 (1.00, 100.0%)line = 11.0
21-1-0 (4.50, 50.0%)12.01-1-0 (2.75, 50.0%)36.81-1-0 (-7.50, 50.0%)line = 12.0
33-0-0 (12.83, 100.0%)12.51-2-0 (-6.50, 33.3%)41.51-2-0 (0.33, 33.3%)line = 12.5
32-1-0 (3.50, 66.7%)13.52-1-0 (9.83, 66.7%)34.81-2-0 (-10.00, 33.3%)line = 13.5
44-0-0 (13.00, 100.0%)14.02-2-0 (-0.12, 50.0%)42.12-2-0 (-1.00, 50.0%)line = 14.0
11-0-0 (4.50, 100.0%)14.50-1-0 (-18.00, 0.0%)42.00-1-0 (-10.00, 0.0%)line = 14.5
11-0-0 (9.00, 100.0%)15.01-0-0 (38.00, 100.0%)42.00-1-0 (-6.00, 0.0%)line = 15.0
11-0-0 (1.50, 100.0%)15.50-1-0 (-27.00, 0.0%)41.00-1-0 (-14.00, 0.0%)line = 15.5
11-0-0 (13.00, 100.0%)16.00-1-0 (-37.00, 0.0%)40.00-1-0 (-3.00, 0.0%)line = 16.0
21-1-0 (5.50, 50.0%)16.50-2-0 (-10.25, 0.0%)43.20-2-0 (-11.00, 0.0%)line = 16.5
10-1-0 (-14.50, 0.0%)19.51-0-0 (14.50, 100.0%)47.50-1-0 (-34.00, 0.0%)line = 19.5
11-0-0 (13.50, 100.0%)20.51-0-0 (6.50, 100.0%)48.50-1-0 (-7.00, 0.0%)line = 20.5
Showing 1 to 33 of 33 entries
 

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PLAY ON away team off away loss last week within 3 points of pk (on DALLAS) 1-3 ytd
A and p:AL and -3.5 < line < 3.5 and NB and date > 20031101 and surface = grass
SU:65-23-0 (5.14, 73.9%)Teaser Records
ATS:63-21-4 (5.62, 75.0%) avg line: 0.5+6: 74-12-2 (86.0%) -6: 42-42-4 (50.0%) +10: 78-10-0 (88.6%) -10: 34-52-2 (39.5%)
O/U:50-38-0 (1.95, 56.8%) avg total: 41.5+6: 29-59-0 (33.0%) -6: 62-25-1 (71.3%) +10: 24-63-1 (27.6%) -10: 67-20-1 (77.0%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team30.0120.732.219.7221.11.54.86.44.88.124.3
Opp26.1107.934.220.0212.42.23.95.94.05.319.2
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015CowboysDolphinsaway-0.047.5




PLAY ON teams that went under by 4+ TD last week yet both teams scored (on CINCY) 3-2-1 ytd
p:ou margin <= -28 and p:points > 0 and po:points > 0 and o:rest < 9
SU:36-27-0 (3.05, 57.1%)Teaser Records
ATS:45-17-1 (2.71, 72.6%) avg line: -0.3+6: 48-15-0 (76.2%) -6: 26-37-0 (41.3%) +10: 52-9-2 (85.2%) -10: 16-45-2 (26.2%)
O/U:27-35-1 (-2.05, 43.5%) avg total: 42.0+6: 17-46-0 (27.0%) -6: 37-26-0 (58.7%) +10: 12-49-2 (19.7%) -10: 46-17-0 (73.0%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team30.0123.231.019.3200.41.64.85.74.85.921.5
Opp25.9107.833.820.4210.92.03.85.03.56.018.5
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015BengalsCardinalsaway4.548.0


OVER any team off a MNF fav loss vs team off SU win (SD over) 0-2
p:MNF and p:FL and op:W and p:line > -8 and season > 2000
SU:16-10-0 (7.77, 61.5%)Teaser Records
ATS:16-10-0 (5.85, 61.5%) avg line: -1.9+6: 20-6-0 (76.9%) -6: 13-13-0 (50.0%) +10: 21-4-1 (84.0%) -10: 12-14-0 (46.2%)
O/U:20-5-1 (7.00, 80.0%) avg total: 45.5+6: 11-14-1 (44.0%) -6: 24-2-0 (92.3%) +10: 10-16-0 (38.5%) -10: 25-1-0 (96.2%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team31.2133.736.323.2267.81.77.08.86.77.530.1
Opp21.385.736.521.6242.72.04.45.35.37.322.3
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015ChargersChiefshome3.044.5




PLAY ON solid dogs that lost as >TD fav last week where they did not trail by more than a TD at HT (on CINCY) 0-2
p:line < -6.5 and p:L and line > 2 and p:M2 > -7 and season > 1992
SU:31-46-0 (-2.40, 40.3%)Teaser Records
ATS:49-23-5 (3.31, 68.1%) avg line: 5.7+6: 64-12-1 (84.2%) -6: 30-45-2 (40.0%) +10: 65-12-0 (84.4%) -10: 19-55-3 (25.7%)
O/U:35-40-2 (-1.40, 46.7%) avg total: 42.9+6: 17-59-1 (22.4%) -6: 46-31-0 (59.7%) +10: 13-64-0 (16.9%) -10: 58-17-2 (77.3%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.7115.433.520.1212.61.53.66.03.95.919.6
Opp27.7119.634.020.7231.61.84.36.64.36.422.0
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015BengalsCardinalsaway4.548.0


OPPOSE away dog of 5+ off home dog win (on ATL, on CAR)
p:HDW and AD and p:points >= 24 and line >= 5 and date > 20100101
SU:1-40-0 (-18.93, 2.4%)Teaser Records
ATS:8-33-0 (-10.59, 19.5%) avg line: 8.3+6: 13-27-1 (32.5%) -6: 2-39-0 (4.9%) +10: 20-20-1 (50.0%) -10: 1-40-0 (2.4%)
O/U:20-20-1 (1.32, 50.0%) avg total: 45.4+6: 15-25-1 (37.5%) -6: 30-11-0 (73.2%) +10: 10-31-0 (24.4%) -10: 32-9-0 (78.0%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team23.6110.237.220.1186.32.43.73.32.94.013.9
Opp31.4126.631.819.9244.21.06.79.78.38.132.8
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015ColtsFalconsaway5.547.5
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015RedskinsPanthersaway7.545.0


play ON away dog of 7+ after away dog win (on BUF)
A and line >= 7 and p:ADW and NB and p:line <= 7 and pp:H
SU:12-43-0 (-7.02, 21.8%)Teaser Records
ATS:41-14-0 (2.52, 74.5%) avg line: 9.5+6: 44-10-1 (81.5%) -6: 16-38-1 (29.6%) +10: 48-7-0 (87.3%) -10: 12-42-1 (22.2%)
O/U:28-27-0 (-0.65, 50.9%) avg total: 43.3+6: 17-38-0 (30.9%) -6: 33-20-2 (62.3%) +10: 11-43-1 (20.4%) -10: 42-13-0 (76.4%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team25.4101.332.718.9203.31.83.05.53.26.017.8
Opp29.7130.131.920.7224.91.46.07.75.25.624.9
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 23, 2015viewMonday112015BillsPatriotsaway7.048.0


UNDER good team off dog win (MIN under, CINCY under)
p:DW and 38 < total < 48.5 and H and WP > 72 and (op:DW) = False
SU:99-50-0 (4.87, 66.4%)Teaser Records
ATS:74-70-5 (0.72, 51.4%) avg line: -4.1+6: 104-41-4 (71.7%) -6: 47-100-2 (32.0%) +10: 120-28-1 (81.1%) -10: 39-110-0 (26.2%)
O/U:53-93-3 (-1.79, 36.3%) avg total: 43.0+6: 31-116-2 (21.1%) -6: 84-59-6 (58.7%) +10: 21-126-2 (14.3%) -10: 113-34-2 (76.9%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.0118.333.520.2222.11.74.46.84.67.023.1
Opp25.698.034.521.0224.51.93.75.74.14.618.2
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015CardinalsBengalshome-4.548.0
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015VikingsPackershome-1.045.0


play on away team off b2b ZERO turnovers and scoring well. (on KC, on BUF)
A and p:TO = 0 and pp:TO = 0 and 37 >= p:points >= 20 and p:margin >= -3 and opo:points >= 10
SU:79-46-0 (3.39, 63.2%)Teaser Records
ATS:82-40-3 (3.94, 67.2%) avg line: 0.5+6: 104-20-1 (83.9%) -6: 55-67-3 (45.1%) +10: 109-16-0 (87.2%) -10: 38-84-3 (31.1%)
O/U:64-57-4 (1.46, 52.9%) avg total: 42.7+6: 39-83-3 (32.0%) -6: 85-38-2 (69.1%) +10: 29-95-1 (23.4%) -10: 102-21-2 (82.9%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.9118.532.319.6227.51.54.37.35.86.323.8
Opp26.6112.535.020.3220.41.93.76.73.56.220.4
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 23, 2015viewMonday112015BillsPatriotsaway7.048.0
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015ChiefsChargersaway-3.044.5


PLAY ON away team off b2b 0 turnovers vs team off a turnover (on BUF, on KC)
A and p:TO = 0 and pp:TO = 0 and season > 2005 and op:TO > 0 and game number > 5
SU:43-25-0 (3.47, 63.2%)Teaser Records
ATS:47-19-2 (4.32, 71.2%) avg line: 0.8+6: 53-14-1 (79.1%) -6: 33-33-2 (50.0%) +10: 56-12-0 (82.4%) -10: 21-44-3 (32.3%)
O/U:31-36-1 (0.18, 46.3%) avg total: 44.4+6: 19-47-2 (28.8%) -6: 45-22-1 (67.2%) +10: 13-54-1 (19.4%) -10: 53-14-1 (79.1%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.5118.434.521.2242.71.34.48.35.36.024.0
Opp25.9118.435.120.3221.72.04.46.33.86.020.5
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 23, 2015viewMonday112015BillsPatriotsaway7.048.0
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015ChiefsChargersaway-3.044.5


PLAY ON big home favs vs non-elite opponent off home dog win (on ATL, SEA, CAR)
HF and -20 < line < -5 and op:HDW and game number >= 4 and season > 2002 and o:WP < 66
SU:78-5-0 (16.02, 94.0%)Teaser Records
ATS:58-24-1 (7.23, 70.7%) avg line: -8.8+6: 74-9-0 (89.2%) -6: 42-38-3 (52.5%) +10: 79-3-1 (96.3%) -10: 35-47-1 (42.7%)
O/U:42-39-2 (0.97, 51.9%) avg total: 43.1+6: 28-54-1 (34.1%) -6: 60-23-0 (72.3%) +10: 17-65-1 (20.7%) -10: 68-15-0 (81.9%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team33.1143.830.819.1233.21.26.49.07.37.330.0
Opp23.8100.634.218.6183.42.22.53.53.04.914.0
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015FalconsColtshome-5.547.5
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015PanthersRedskinshome-7.545.0
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015SeahawksFortyninershome-12.540.0


OPPOSE home team getting outscored badly at HT and scored <20 last week (on OAK, on NY JETS)
H and 4 > line > -11.5 and tA(M2) <= -4.37 and season > 2007 and game number > 2 and p:points < 20
SU:48-73-0 (-3.90, 39.7%)Teaser Records
ATS:31-90-0 (-4.67, 25.6%) avg line: -0.8+6: 71-48-2 (59.7%) -6: 15-103-3 (12.7%) +10: 87-33-1 (72.5%) -10: 11-110-0 (9.1%)
O/U:56-62-3 (-0.27, 47.5%) avg total: 42.1+6: 37-84-0 (30.6%) -6: 77-43-1 (64.2%) +10: 24-96-1 (20.0%) -10: 85-36-0 (70.2%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.5118.733.920.1212.81.83.95.93.85.319.0
Opp30.1133.530.618.5197.91.44.36.35.07.222.9
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015LionsRaidershome2.048.0
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015TexansJetshome-1.044.5

play on MNF teams off an away win (on BUF)
day = Monday and p:AW and season >= 2006 and p:line >= -5.5
SU:35-9-0 (7.66, 79.5%)Teaser Records
ATS:31-12-1 (5.62, 72.1%) avg line: -2.0+6: 36-8-0 (81.8%) -6: 21-20-3 (51.2%) +10: 37-7-0 (84.1%) -10: 18-25-1 (41.9%)
O/U:20-24-0 (-0.31, 45.5%) avg total: 45.2+6: 15-28-1 (34.9%) -6: 28-16-0 (63.6%) +10: 10-34-0 (22.7%) -10: 30-12-2 (71.4%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.2126.731.419.5224.31.55.96.86.76.826.3
Opp24.9107.535.221.7224.92.03.05.35.05.418.6
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 23, 2015viewMonday112015BillsPatriotsaway7.048.0




play on NOV teams losing 7+ straight vs opponent not off close loss (on DALLAS)
streak <= -7 and month >= 11 and (op:margin > -2 or op:margin < -14)
SU:43-71-0 (-4.39, 37.7%)Teaser Records
ATS:77-34-3 (2.68, 69.4%) avg line: 7.1+6: 86-28-0 (75.4%) -6: 49-62-3 (44.1%) +10: 93-19-2 (83.0%) -10: 33-79-2 (29.5%)
O/U:59-53-2 (1.48, 52.7%) avg total: 40.4+6: 40-73-1 (35.4%) -6: 73-41-0 (64.0%) +10: 29-83-2 (25.9%) -10: 92-21-1 (81.4%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.2108.032.618.5186.71.93.95.93.65.018.7
Opp29.4122.131.418.4206.51.75.07.35.15.623.1
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015CowboysDolphinsaway-0.047.5


play on big dog in big revenge game (on BUF)
D and P:L and 10.5 >= line >= 5 and game number >= 10 and 35 >= Pop:points >= 28
SU:19-47-1 (-4.72, 28.8%)Teaser Records
ATS:45-20-2 (2.88, 69.2%) avg line: 7.6+6: 55-12-0 (82.1%) -6: 20-45-2 (30.8%) +10: 61-6-0 (91.0%) -10: 16-50-1 (24.2%)
O/U:31-36-0 (-0.84, 46.3%) avg total: 42.5+6: 23-44-0 (34.3%) -6: 44-23-0 (65.7%) +10: 13-54-0 (19.4%) -10: 51-16-0 (76.1%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team26.2107.233.119.2201.72.03.85.93.94.618.5
Opp28.9114.134.521.2231.21.64.97.33.87.223.2
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015JaguarsColtshome6.0
Nov 23, 2015viewMonday112015BillsPatriotsaway7.048.0




oppose teams that abandoned the run last game while losing as a home fav (on ARIZONA)
line > -10 and p:HFL and tA(p:rushes) - p:rushes > 8 and date > 20101225
SU:21-45-0 (-4.29, 31.8%)Teaser Records
ATS:20-45-1 (-3.46, 30.8%) avg line: 0.8+6: 34-31-1 (52.3%) -6: 14-52-0 (21.2%) +10: 43-21-2 (67.2%) -10: 13-53-0 (19.7%)
O/U:37-28-1 (2.05, 56.9%) avg total: 45.0+6: 22-43-1 (33.8%) -6: 52-14-0 (78.8%) +10: 18-48-0 (27.3%) -10: 55-11-0 (83.3%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team25.9117.834.220.6221.41.83.87.14.65.821.4
Opp29.1122.333.420.8235.11.54.97.15.77.825.7
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015BengalsCardinalsaway4.548.0



OVER teams that went under by 7+ in b2b2b games (SF over)
p:ou margin <= -7 and pp:ou margin <= -7 and ppp:ou margin <= -7 and date > 20101010 and week > 5
SU:12-24-1 (-4.54, 33.3%)Teaser Records
ATS:15-22-0 (-4.11, 40.5%) avg line: 0.4+6: 21-16-0 (56.8%) -6: 4-33-0 (10.8%) +10: 25-12-0 (67.6%) -10: 4-33-0 (10.8%)
O/U:27-10-0 (4.70, 73.0%) avg total: 41.2+6: 16-21-0 (43.2%) -6: 32-5-0 (86.5%) +10: 9-26-2 (25.7%) -10: 33-4-0 (89.2%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team26.9118.033.820.2215.31.73.36.34.66.520.7
Opp29.8123.130.918.5219.41.04.57.65.96.925.2
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015FortyninersSeahawksaway12.540.0


UNDER small dogs after blowout win in close lined game, not in b2b home games (WAS under)
34 >= p:margin >= 20 and -4 <= p:line <= 7 and (p:H and H) = False and 1 < line < 8.5
SU:51-94-0 (-3.72, 35.2%)Teaser Records
ATS:76-65-4 (0.51, 53.9%) avg line: 4.2+6: 105-40-0 (72.4%) -6: 40-99-6 (28.8%) +10: 120-25-0 (82.8%) -10: 30-114-1 (20.8%)
O/U:44-99-2 (-3.15, 30.8%) avg total: 42.0+6: 29-115-1 (20.1%) -6: 80-63-2 (55.9%) +10: 23-122-0 (15.9%) -10: 98-43-4 (69.5%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team25.7100.633.919.4204.61.93.34.83.95.617.6
Opp29.0115.432.219.1210.51.73.86.25.06.121.3
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015RedskinsPanthersaway7.545.0


PLAY ON midseason team in terrible losing streak (on DALLAS)
streak <= -5 and 9 <= game number <= 12 and A
SU:28-54-0 (-4.89, 34.1%)Teaser Records
ATS:54-26-2 (3.23, 67.5%) avg line: 8.1+6: 69-13-0 (84.1%) -6: 32-45-5 (41.6%) +10: 70-12-0 (85.4%) -10: 20-61-1 (24.7%)
O/U:42-40-0 (2.06, 51.2%) avg total: 40.6+6: 34-48-0 (41.5%) -6: 50-32-0 (61.0%) +10: 24-57-1 (29.6%) -10: 61-20-1 (75.3%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team26.299.433.318.9205.11.63.75.74.15.018.9
Opp29.7127.133.120.2227.61.83.97.74.87.323.8
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015CowboysDolphinsaway-0.047.5

 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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Messages
33,544
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OPPOSE away teams after great home dog performance where they ran for a lot of yards, either winning SU or losing by <TD. (on CAR) 1-0 ytd
p:HD and A and p:margin > -6 and p:rushing yards > 192
SU:14-56-0 (-8.91, 20.0%)Teaser Records
ATS:16-53-1 (-6.03, 23.2%) avg line: 2.9+6: 34-34-2 (50.0%) -6: 7-61-2 (10.3%) +10: 47-22-1 (68.1%) -10: 6-64-0 (8.6%)
O/U:28-41-1 (0.09, 40.6%) avg total: 41.0+6: 22-48-0 (31.4%) -6: 45-24-1 (65.2%) +10: 17-53-0 (24.3%) -10: 56-14-0 (80.0%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.1111.032.518.1187.02.03.23.93.45.316.1
Opp30.2117.931.619.4221.21.44.08.75.86.225.0
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 22, 2015viewSunday112015RedskinsPanthersaway7.545.0



 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
33,544
Tokens
PLAY ON home team off SUATS Thursday win vs opponent not off bye week or blowout win. (on JAX)
H and p:W and p:day = Thursday and o:rest < 13 and week < 16 and p:ats margin > 0 and op:margin < 22
SU:30-11-0 (10.37, 73.2%)Teaser Records
ATS:31-9-1 (6.23, 77.5%) avg line: -4.1+6: 34-6-1 (85.0%) -6: 18-19-4 (48.6%) +10: 38-2-1 (95.0%) -10: 11-30-0 (26.8%)
O/U:19-19-3 (2.05, 50.0%) avg total: 41.8+6: 13-27-1 (32.5%) -6: 32-6-3 (84.2%) +10: 10-29-2 (25.6%) -10: 35-5-1 (87.5%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.2118.031.518.8226.51.57.17.15.37.627.1
Opp26.3105.036.621.2212.62.24.35.03.34.016.8
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015JaguarsChargershome-4.046.5






PLAY ON away team off away loss last week within 3 points of pick 'em (on OAK)
A and p:AL and -3.5 < line < 3.5 and NB and date > 20031101 and surface = grass
SU:66-23-0 (5.19, 74.2%)Teaser Records
ATS:64-21-4 (5.65, 75.3%) avg line: 0.5+6: 75-12-2 (86.2%) -6: 43-42-4 (50.6%) +10: 79-10-0 (88.8%) -10: 34-53-2 (39.1%)
O/U:50-39-0 (1.84, 56.2%) avg total: 41.6+6: 29-60-0 (32.6%) -6: 62-26-1 (70.5%) +10: 24-64-1 (27.3%) -10: 68-20-1 (77.3%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team30.1121.232.119.7221.11.54.86.44.88.224.3
Opp25.9107.534.119.9211.62.23.95.94.05.219.1
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015RaidersTitansaway-1.544.0


UNDER dogs after big dog away win where they gained >400 yards (TB/IND under)
D and p:TY >= 400 and p:ADW and p:line > 3
SU:24-45-0 (-4.93, 34.8%)Teaser Records
ATS:35-31-3 (0.11, 53.0%) avg line: 5.0+6: 47-20-2 (70.1%) -6: 19-49-1 (27.9%) +10: 51-18-0 (73.9%) -10: 16-51-2 (23.9%)
O/U:19-49-1 (-4.67, 27.9%) avg total: 43.4+6: 16-52-1 (23.5%) -6: 33-36-0 (47.8%) +10: 10-57-2 (14.9%) -10: 44-24-1 (64.7%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team26.1103.133.219.3203.71.93.25.23.54.916.9
Opp29.4122.833.420.4219.71.54.17.14.65.921.9
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015BuccaneersColtsaway3.046.5


OPPOSE teams off b2b wins with terrible defense in those wins (on SEA)
p:HW and pp:W and po:pY > 300 and ppo:pY > 250 and A and week < 19 and po:points < 34 and po:RY + ppo:RY < 276
SU:14-26-0 (-3.85, 35.0%)Teaser Records
ATS:10-30-0 (-3.67, 25.0%) avg line: 0.2+6: 25-14-1 (64.1%) -6: 7-33-0 (17.5%) +10: 29-11-0 (72.5%) -10: 5-35-0 (12.5%)
O/U:14-25-1 (-2.91, 35.9%) avg total: 43.6+6: 8-32-0 (20.0%) -6: 24-15-1 (61.5%) +10: 7-33-0 (17.5%) -10: 29-10-1 (74.4%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team24.194.237.522.2240.02.13.86.33.34.718.4
Opp30.0129.831.918.3217.91.74.46.24.57.222.3
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015SteelersSeahawksaway4.045.5

OPPOSE HF of 11 or less in non-divisional game after non-divisional game they either lost or won by single digits, regular rest, opponent off away loss (on St Louis)
HF and line > -11.5 and p:A and p:margin < 10 and p:division != po:division and op:AL and NDIV and rest < 7
SU:42-55-0 (-0.39, 43.3%)Teaser Records
ATS:17-77-3 (-5.59, 18.1%) avg line: -5.2+6: 48-47-2 (50.5%) -6: 12-85-0 (12.4%) +10: 65-29-3 (69.1%) -10: 8-88-1 (8.3%)
O/U:42-52-3 (-1.57, 44.7%) avg total: 40.1+6: 24-73-0 (24.7%) -6: 58-36-3 (61.7%) +10: 19-78-0 (19.6%) -10: 68-28-1 (70.8%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.1109.234.819.7217.82.03.65.84.45.119.1
Opp28.7111.431.218.3204.21.63.36.13.86.019.5
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015BengalsRamshome-9.042.0


play on away dog SU after away loss by 31+ (on New Orl)
AD and p:AL and p:margin <= -31 and line < 14
SU:25-16-0 (0.32, 61.0%)Teaser Records
ATS:31-9-1 (7.00, 77.5%) avg line: 6.7+6: 34-7-0 (82.9%) -6: 24-14-3 (63.2%) +10: 37-4-0 (90.2%) -10: 17-22-2 (43.6%)
O/U:23-18-0 (1.06, 56.1%) avg total: 41.0+6: 12-27-2 (30.8%) -6: 28-11-2 (71.8%) +10: 7-34-0 (17.1%) -10: 32-9-0 (78.0%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.5117.132.719.0204.71.63.86.64.56.121.2
Opp27.3109.836.721.3226.02.25.17.53.74.320.9
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015SaintsTexansaway3.047.5

OPPOSE away teams with poor YPP defense vs non-elite home team. (on San Fran)
Sum(passing yards@team and season and season = season) / STDYPPA > 7.411 and p:YPPA > 7.223 and pp:YPPA < 7 and ppp:YPPA > 7 and A and o:WP < 66 and season > 1992
SU:31-39-0 (-2.64, 44.3%)Teaser Records
ATS:19-50-1 (-6.26, 27.5%) avg line: -3.6+6: 34-34-2 (50.0%) -6: 10-59-1 (14.5%) +10: 42-27-1 (60.9%) -10: 4-64-2 (5.9%)
O/U:41-27-2 (2.28, 60.3%) avg total: 44.8+6: 21-47-2 (30.9%) -6: 51-17-2 (75.0%) +10: 16-53-1 (23.2%) -10: 58-11-1 (84.1%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team25.9104.837.223.3263.22.03.77.24.46.822.2
Opp28.6124.731.718.8214.11.45.67.45.36.424.9
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015CardinalsFortyninersaway-10.545.0



oppose dog off big offense but has no defense and opponent coming off a game scoring 27+ (on SEA)
6.34 >= tA(o:YPPL) >= 5.44 and D and 1057 >= p:TY + pp:TY >= 890 and op:points > 26
SU:0-18-0 (-19.89, 0.0%)Teaser Records
ATS:0-18-0 (-13.81, 0.0%) avg line: 6.1+6: 3-14-1 (17.6%) -6: 0-18-0 (0.0%) +10: 5-13-0 (27.8%) -10: 0-18-0 (0.0%)
O/U:9-7-2 (1.06, 56.2%) avg total: 51.5+6: 8-10-0 (44.4%) -6: 11-7-0 (61.1%) +10: 5-13-0 (27.8%) -10: 15-3-0 (83.3%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team22.086.138.322.2239.82.03.64.14.24.516.3
Opp32.8146.131.921.8279.31.09.210.26.710.236.2
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015SteelersSeahawksaway4.045.5



play away dog when teams have same record (on Tampa)
AD and p:A and WP = o:WP and season >= 2005 and game number < 15 and pp:H
SU:32-33-0 (-1.14, 49.2%)Teaser Records
ATS:43-19-3 (3.31, 69.4%) avg line: 4.4+6: 51-13-1 (79.7%) -6: 28-36-1 (43.8%) +10: 53-12-0 (81.5%) -10: 17-47-1 (26.6%)
O/U:37-25-3 (2.14, 59.7%) avg total: 44.1+6: 26-37-2 (41.3%) -6: 46-19-0 (70.8%) +10: 19-43-3 (30.6%) -10: 50-15-0 (76.9%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team26.3110.235.021.0229.91.54.65.75.56.722.6
Opp27.6113.133.721.3230.01.74.47.55.26.523.7
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015BuccaneersColtsaway3.046.5


oppose low line home teams off bad defense vs team that lost close (on NY GIants)
H and -3 <= line <= 3 and po:points >= 29 and (op:margin >= -3 or op:overtime = 1) and op:L and op:overtime = 0
SU:17-40-0 (-3.53, 29.8%)Teaser Records
ATS:16-39-2 (-3.73, 29.1%) avg line: -0.2+6: 33-20-4 (62.3%) -6: 11-45-1 (19.6%) +10: 41-16-0 (71.9%) -10: 7-50-0 (12.3%)
O/U:28-27-2 (0.54, 50.9%) avg total: 41.6+6: 20-35-2 (36.4%) -6: 38-19-0 (66.7%) +10: 18-39-0 (31.6%) -10: 39-18-0 (68.4%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team26.4111.933.819.5199.32.03.96.03.06.419.3
Opp28.7117.733.019.4208.81.64.56.95.45.822.8
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015RedskinsGiantshome2.547.0


PLAY ON away team in 2H season that just lost a close game to drop to 2+ games below .500 and playing a non-elite opponent (on OAK)
wins - losses <= -2 and week > 7 and -7 < p:margin < 0 and A and o:WP >= 15 and p:points > 8 and -15 < tA(margin) < .81 and otA(margin) <= 7 and rest > 3 and otA(o:passing yards) < 272
SU:94-140-0 (-2.52, 40.2%)Teaser Records
ATS:162-67-5 (3.43, 70.7%) avg line: 5.9+6: 189-44-1 (81.1%) -6: 89-137-8 (39.4%) +10: 202-29-3 (87.4%) -10: 56-174-4 (24.3%)
O/U:112-119-3 (0.39, 48.5%) avg total: 40.3+6: 81-148-5 (35.4%) -6: 149-78-7 (65.6%) +10: 55-177-2 (23.7%) -10: 179-54-1 (76.8%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.6110.532.718.9198.41.83.75.83.95.619.1
Opp28.4116.133.219.4213.61.84.66.84.25.921.6
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015RaidersTitansaway-1.544.0


week 9+ oppose small dog or fav home teams that won <=4 games LY (on SD, on NYG, on Miami)
game number > 9 and PRSW < 5 and H and WP >= 37 and line < 4 and season >= 2000 and date < 20151201
SU:57-64-0 (-0.30, 47.1%)Teaser Records
ATS:36-80-5 (-3.62, 31.0%) avg line: -3.3+6: 69-50-2 (58.0%) -6: 20-96-5 (17.2%) +10: 87-31-3 (73.7%) -10: 15-104-2 (12.6%)
O/U:48-69-4 (-1.08, 41.0%) avg total: 42.9+6: 29-91-1 (24.2%) -6: 75-43-3 (63.6%) +10: 23-97-1 (19.2%) -10: 92-28-1 (76.7%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.9121.833.519.8209.91.74.76.14.15.820.8
Opp28.3125.431.719.0209.01.43.56.54.76.321.1
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015JaguarsChargershome-4.046.5
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015JetsDolphinshome-3.542.5
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015RedskinsGiantshome2.547.0


week 12+ oppose dogs of 3+ that have won more than 3/4 of their games (on New England)
line > 2.5 and week > 11 and WP >= 77 and date < 20151201
SU:13-59-0 (-8.33, 18.1%)Teaser Records
ATS:19-50-3 (-3.33, 27.5%) avg line: 5.0+6: 43-26-3 (62.3%) -6: 13-59-0 (18.1%) +10: 51-18-3 (73.9%) -10: 7-64-1 (9.9%)
O/U:36-33-3 (1.36, 52.2%) avg total: 42.5+6: 23-48-1 (32.4%) -6: 47-24-1 (66.2%) +10: 20-52-0 (27.8%) -10: 55-17-0 (76.4%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team24.395.535.119.8206.82.03.35.64.04.817.8
Opp30.5126.332.820.5233.21.35.07.76.37.126.1
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015BroncosPatriotshome3.044.0


bet on low line away teams that just lost to drop to .500 (on NY GIants)
A and p:L and WP = 50 and season >= 2004 and -3 <= line <= 3 and op:margin < 8
SU:29-8-0 (6.84, 78.4%)Teaser Records
ATS:28-8-1 (7.72, 77.8%) avg line: 0.9+6: 36-0-1 (100.0%) -6: 16-15-6 (51.6%) +10: 37-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 12-25-0 (32.4%)
O/U:17-20-0 (-1.66, 45.9%) avg total: 42.8+6: 11-26-0 (29.7%) -6: 23-14-0 (62.2%) +10: 7-28-2 (20.0%) -10: 26-10-1 (72.2%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team31.7121.830.919.2218.31.45.36.45.46.724.0
Opp23.895.036.821.2223.82.33.65.53.54.617.1
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015GiantsRedskinsaway-2.547.0


game 6+ PLAY ON away team off b2b 0 turnovers vs team off a turnover (on CAR)
A and p:TO = 0 and pp:TO = 0 and season > 2005 and op:TO > 0 and game number > 5
SU:44-26-0 (3.70, 62.9%)Teaser Records
ATS:48-19-3 (4.58, 71.6%) avg line: 0.9+6: 55-14-1 (79.7%) -6: 34-34-2 (50.0%) +10: 58-12-0 (82.9%) -10: 22-45-3 (32.8%)
O/U:31-38-1 (-0.17, 44.9%) avg total: 44.4+6: 19-49-2 (27.9%) -6: 45-24-1 (65.2%) +10: 13-56-1 (18.8%) -10: 54-15-1 (78.3%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.5118.634.421.2242.31.34.48.25.36.024.0
Opp25.9116.935.120.3221.42.04.36.33.85.820.3
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 26, 2015viewThursday122015PanthersCowboysaway-0.045.5


play on teams off 30+ point blowout that never scored a TD (on San Diego)
p:margin <= -30 and p:touchdowns = 0 and 62 > WP > 15
SU:28-33-0 (-1.16, 45.9%)Teaser Records
ATS:43-16-2 (2.39, 72.9%) avg line: 3.6+6: 50-11-0 (82.0%) -6: 23-35-3 (39.7%) +10: 52-9-0 (85.2%) -10: 13-46-2 (22.0%)
O/U:30-28-3 (0.58, 51.7%) avg total: 41.2+6: 23-38-0 (37.7%) -6: 43-18-0 (70.5%) +10: 15-46-0 (24.6%) -10: 45-16-0 (73.8%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.8126.430.217.5181.81.84.36.23.66.020.3
Opp28.9118.134.120.2209.91.94.77.43.55.721.5
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015ChargersJaguarsaway4.046.5


play bad away dogs after an away loss (on St Louis)
AD and 3.5 < line < 10 and 25 <= WP <= 40 and p:AL
SU:46-71-0 (-3.24, 39.3%)Teaser Records
ATS:80-36-1 (3.65, 69.0%) avg line: 6.9+6: 94-23-0 (80.3%) -6: 48-66-3 (42.1%) +10: 102-14-1 (87.9%) -10: 27-84-6 (24.3%)
O/U:48-65-4 (-0.55, 42.5%) avg total: 40.9+6: 31-85-1 (26.7%) -6: 75-40-2 (65.2%) +10: 26-90-1 (22.4%) -10: 89-28-0 (76.1%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team26.499.633.919.5214.11.93.45.64.25.118.5
Opp28.3111.734.720.7231.41.94.56.94.26.221.8
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015RamsBengalsaway9.042.0


play away AFC conference dogs after away loss with home game coming (on BUFF)
ACD and p:AL and season >= 2005 and n:H and conference = AFC
SU:42-59-0 (-2.58, 41.6%)Teaser Records
ATS:72-29-0 (4.57, 71.3%) avg line: 7.2+6: 77-22-2 (77.8%) -6: 44-54-3 (44.9%) +10: 83-17-1 (83.0%) -10: 29-68-4 (29.9%)
O/U:55-45-1 (1.11, 55.0%) avg total: 41.8+6: 35-66-0 (34.7%) -6: 68-33-0 (67.3%) +10: 26-74-1 (26.0%) -10: 77-24-0 (76.2%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.9109.031.719.5206.81.63.85.15.16.120.2
Opp28.2120.233.020.1220.51.74.67.24.95.922.8
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015BillsChiefsaway5.542.5


UNDER small dogs after blowout win in close lined game, not in b2b home games (TB/IND under)
34 >= p:margin >= 20 and -4 <= p:line <= 7 and (p:H and H) = False and 1 < line < 8.5
SU:51-96-0 (-3.87, 34.7%)Teaser Records
ATS:76-66-5 (0.36, 53.5%) avg line: 4.2+6: 106-41-0 (72.1%) -6: 40-101-6 (28.4%) +10: 121-26-0 (82.3%) -10: 30-116-1 (20.5%)
O/U:45-100-2 (-3.07, 31.0%) avg total: 42.1+6: 30-116-1 (20.5%) -6: 81-64-2 (55.9%) +10: 24-123-0 (16.3%) -10: 100-43-4 (69.9%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team25.699.933.819.4204.81.93.34.73.85.617.6
Opp29.1115.932.219.2210.61.73.96.35.06.121.4
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015BuccaneersColtsaway3.046.5

 

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R/T...........thank you for all you do here...........you and your family have a great thanksgiving.............indy
 

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Oppose 9+ win teams not favored by at least a FG despite playing poor or avg opponent (on Dallas)
wins > 8 and o:WP < 61.5 and line > -2.5 and rest < 8 and p:margin > -14
SU:32-95-0 (-7.43, 25.2%)Teaser Records
ATS:37-86-4 (-4.83, 30.1%) avg line: 2.6+6: 68-55-4 (55.3%) -6: 23-103-1 (18.3%) +10: 89-34-4 (72.4%) -10: 18-108-1 (14.3%)
O/U:58-66-3 (0.57, 46.8%) avg total: 41.0+6: 43-84-0 (33.9%) -6: 83-44-0 (65.4%) +10: 33-92-2 (26.4%) -10: 93-29-5 (76.2%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team26.1102.333.719.1197.51.93.35.73.44.617.1
Opp30.0127.231.318.9212.21.54.67.85.66.224.5
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 26, 2015viewThursday122015PanthersCowboysaway-0.045.5



 

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R/T...........thank you for all you do here...........you and your family have a great thanksgiving.............indy
Thanks Indy. The best to you as well
 

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Can backfit that last one to 44-1 spot for Dallas
wins > 8 and o:WP < 61.5 and line > -2.5 and rest < 8 and p:margin > -14 and op:margin > -13 and o:HWP < 75 and HWP > 50 and division != AFC East and o:division != NFC West and total < 52 and p:total > 37.5 and po:penalties < 13
SU:2-44-0 (-14.57, 4.3%)Teaser Records
ATS:1-44-1 (-12.04, 2.2%) avg line: 2.5+6: 17-29-0 (37.0%) -6: 1-45-0 (2.2%) +10: 26-19-1 (57.8%) -10: 1-45-0 (2.2%)
O/U:20-23-3 (0.92, 46.5%) avg total: 41.5+6: 15-31-0 (32.6%) -6: 30-16-0 (65.2%) +10: 10-35-1 (22.2%) -10: 35-8-3 (81.4%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team22.887.135.419.9189.52.22.54.53.23.713.9
Opp33.9139.628.918.0206.61.25.29.87.16.028.5
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 26, 2015viewThursday122015PanthersCowboysaway-0.045.5



 

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UNDER after blowout away win that went under and playing a normal rested opponent who have an avg offense. (GB under, KC under)

p:AUW and p:margin > 13 and season > 2010 and otA(points) < 26 and o:rest < 9
SU:25-21-0 (3.59, 54.3%)Teaser Records
ATS:21-24-1 (-1.14, 46.7%) avg line: -4.7+6: 31-15-0 (67.4%) -6: 11-34-1 (24.4%) +10: 36-10-0 (78.3%) -10: 8-38-0 (17.4%)
O/U:11-35-0 (-5.64, 23.9%) avg total: 45.4+6: 5-41-0 (10.9%) -6: 20-25-1 (44.4%) +10: 5-41-0 (10.9%) -10: 27-18-1 (60.0%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team26.5104.536.322.6239.71.65.16.14.85.621.7
Opp26.9105.033.120.3204.51.53.35.24.35.018.1
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Nov 29, 2015viewSunday122015ChiefsBillshome-6.541.5
Nov 26, 2015viewThursday122015PackersBearshome-8.545.0

 

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PLAY ON home team off SUATS Thursday win vs opponent not off bye week or blowout win (DET, CHI)
H and p:W and p:day = Thursday and o:rest < 13 and week < 16 and p:ats margin > 0 and op:margin < 22
SU:30-12-0 (9.98, 71.4%)Teaser Records
ATS:31-10-1 (5.82, 75.6%) avg line: -4.2+6: 34-7-1 (82.9%) -6: 18-20-4 (47.4%) +10: 38-3-1 (92.7%) -10: 11-31-0 (26.2%)
O/U:20-19-3 (2.21, 51.3%) avg total: 42.0+6: 14-27-1 (34.1%) -6: 33-6-3 (84.6%) +10: 10-30-2 (25.0%) -10: 36-5-1 (87.8%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.0117.631.919.1228.71.57.17.05.27.727.1
Opp26.3104.436.721.4214.52.24.25.43.34.017.1
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015BearsFortyninershome-7.043.5
Dec 03, 2015viewThursday132015LionsPackershome3.046.5


OVER after team allowed a 12+ catch game by opposing receiver and did not create 3+ turnovers or allow 2+ rushing TD (NYJ/NYG over)
max:po:receptions > 11 and po:turnovers < 3 and season > 2003 and game number < 17 and po:rushing touchdowns < 2
SU:37-30-0 (1.58, 55.2%)Teaser Records
ATS:40-27-0 (1.40, 59.7%) avg line: -0.2+6: 46-20-1 (69.7%) -6: 28-38-1 (42.4%) +10: 51-15-1 (77.3%) -10: 20-45-2 (30.8%)
O/U:46-18-3 (5.54, 71.9%) avg total: 43.3+6: 30-37-0 (44.8%) -6: 54-12-1 (81.8%) +10: 23-44-0 (34.3%) -10: 58-8-1 (87.9%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team25.9109.934.320.9232.31.55.67.64.47.525.2
Opp27.9122.735.121.3230.72.04.17.44.67.623.6
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015JetsGiantsaway-2.045.0



OPPOSE HF of 11 or less in non-divisional game after non-divisional game they either lost or won by single digits, regular rest, opponent off away loss (PHILLY)
HF and line > -11.5 and p:A and p:margin < 10 and p:division != po:division and op:AL and NDIV and rest < 7
SU:43-55-0 (-0.14, 43.9%)Teaser Records
ATS:18-77-3 (-5.39, 18.9%) avg line: -5.2+6: 49-47-2 (51.0%) -6: 13-85-0 (13.3%) +10: 66-29-3 (69.5%) -10: 9-88-1 (9.3%)
O/U:42-53-3 (-1.59, 44.2%) avg total: 40.1+6: 24-74-0 (24.5%) -6: 59-36-3 (62.1%) +10: 19-79-0 (19.4%) -10: 69-28-1 (71.1%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.1109.534.819.7218.02.03.65.94.55.119.2
Opp28.6111.231.418.5204.71.63.36.23.86.019.3
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015PatriotsEagleshome-10.049.0

OVER any team off a MNF fav loss vs team off SU win (CLE over)
p:MNF and p:FL and op:W and p:line > -8 and season > 2000
SU:16-11-0 (6.37, 59.3%)Teaser Records
ATS:16-11-0 (4.63, 59.3%) avg line: -1.7+6: 20-7-0 (74.1%) -6: 13-14-0 (48.1%) +10: 21-5-1 (80.8%) -10: 12-15-0 (44.4%)
O/U:20-6-1 (6.39, 76.9%) avg total: 45.5+6: 11-15-1 (42.3%) -6: 24-3-0 (88.9%) +10: 10-17-0 (37.0%) -10: 26-1-0 (96.3%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team30.9130.736.123.1263.41.76.88.66.47.329.1
Opp21.788.236.021.6242.31.94.55.35.47.622.7
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015BrownsBengalshome10.043.5

play on away dog SU after away loss by 31+ (PHILLY)
AD and p:AL and p:margin <= -31 and line < 14
SU:25-17-0 (-0.12, 59.5%)Teaser Records
ATS:31-10-1 (6.49, 75.6%) avg line: 6.6+6: 34-8-0 (81.0%) -6: 24-15-3 (61.5%) +10: 37-5-0 (88.1%) -10: 17-23-2 (42.5%)
O/U:23-19-0 (0.60, 54.8%) avg total: 41.2+6: 12-28-2 (30.0%) -6: 28-12-2 (70.0%) +10: 7-35-0 (16.7%) -10: 32-10-0 (76.2%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.0115.533.019.2205.01.63.76.64.46.020.8
Opp27.6111.136.421.3225.22.25.47.33.94.221.0
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015EaglesPatriotsaway10.049.0




OVER low total on elite team after allowing 3 or less last 1H (NYG/NYJ over, ARI/STL over)
po:p1 + po:p2 <= 3 and 42 < total < 47 and tA(margin) >= 4 and season > 2009 and p:total < 48
SU:52-47-0 (0.90, 52.5%)Teaser Records
ATS:41-53-5 (-1.68, 43.6%) avg line: -2.6+6: 60-36-3 (62.5%) -6: 28-69-2 (28.9%) +10: 72-25-2 (74.2%) -10: 20-77-2 (20.6%)
O/U:72-26-1 (5.55, 73.5%) avg total: 44.4+6: 53-44-2 (54.6%) -6: 79-19-1 (80.6%) +10: 37-61-1 (37.8%) -10: 86-13-0 (86.9%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team26.3108.234.422.0243.91.54.48.15.87.025.4
Opp27.1113.735.421.9246.51.54.97.25.07.024.5
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015JetsGiantsaway-2.045.0
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015CardinalsRamsaway-5.543.0

OVER away fav after ez fav win with rushing TD (STL/ARI over)
AF and p:F and p:TOP - tA(p:TOP) > 125.3 and p:RTD > 0 and date >= 20101225
SU:40-24-0 (3.70, 62.5%)Teaser Records
ATS:27-37-0 (-0.97, 42.2%) avg line: -4.7+6: 40-21-3 (65.6%) -6: 16-48-0 (25.0%) +10: 49-15-0 (76.6%) -10: 14-49-1 (22.2%)
O/U:49-15-0 (8.07, 76.6%) avg total: 45.7+6: 37-27-0 (57.8%) -6: 57-7-0 (89.1%) +10: 27-37-0 (42.2%) -10: 58-6-0 (90.6%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.4119.036.023.2268.21.35.89.05.97.828.7
Opp26.2111.534.321.4249.61.65.17.14.78.025.0
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015CardinalsRamsaway-5.543.0

UNDER good team off dog win (MIN/SEA under)
p:DW and 38 < total < 48.5 and H and WP > 72 and (op:DW) = False
SU:100-51-0 (4.71, 66.2%)Teaser Records
ATS:74-72-5 (0.60, 50.7%) avg line: -4.1+6: 105-42-4 (71.4%) -6: 47-102-2 (31.5%) +10: 121-29-1 (80.7%) -10: 39-112-0 (25.8%)
O/U:54-94-3 (-1.66, 36.5%) avg total: 43.1+6: 32-117-2 (21.5%) -6: 86-59-6 (59.3%) +10: 22-127-2 (14.8%) -10: 115-34-2 (77.2%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.9117.933.520.3222.81.74.46.84.86.923.1
Opp25.798.234.521.0224.61.93.75.74.14.718.4
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015VikingsSeahawkshome0.041.5



PLAY ON teams dog or favored by less than a TD that lost by 45+ ATS in last 5 weeks (on CLE, MIA, PHI, NO)
p:ats margin + pp:ats margin + ppp:ats margin + pppp:ats margin + ppppp:ats margin <= -45 and WP < 57 and date > 20071120 and line >= -7 and total >= 38
SU:62-92-0 (-2.34, 40.3%)Teaser Records
ATS:97-53-4 (2.59, 64.7%) avg line: 4.9+6: 119-34-1 (77.8%) -6: 60-93-1 (39.2%) +10: 130-24-0 (84.4%) -10: 34-118-2 (22.4%)
O/U:68-80-6 (-0.43, 45.9%) avg total: 44.9+6: 44-110-0 (28.6%) -6: 98-54-2 (64.5%) +10: 31-121-2 (20.4%) -10: 116-37-1 (75.8%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team26.9118.433.419.9215.61.64.16.24.95.821.1
Opp27.2116.935.421.9239.41.55.17.54.56.123.4
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015BrownsBengalshome10.043.5
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015DolphinsRavenshome-4.043.5
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015EaglesPatriotsaway10.049.0
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015SaintsPanthershome7.049.0

OPPOSE winning favs off SU home dog win (SAN DIEGO)
F and WP > 50 and p:HDW and season >= 2003 and p:line < 5.5
SU:18-24-0 (-2.33, 42.9%)Teaser Records
ATS:7-34-1 (-6.13, 17.1%) avg line: -3.8+6: 20-21-1 (48.8%) -6: 5-36-1 (12.2%) +10: 28-13-1 (68.3%) -10: 5-37-0 (11.9%)
O/U:19-20-3 (0.49, 48.7%) avg total: 42.8+6: 12-30-0 (28.6%) -6: 28-13-1 (68.3%) +10: 11-31-0 (26.2%) -10: 32-8-2 (80.0%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team25.696.236.922.5249.12.12.85.54.47.520.5
Opp27.6106.834.220.5228.81.34.07.55.05.922.8
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015BroncosChargersaway-4.043.0



UNDER come from behind 4th quarter win in a game that went over (SD/DEN under)
p:M3 <= -5 and p:W and season > 2007 and p:O
SU:44-44-0 (0.52, 50.0%)Teaser Records
ATS:37-49-2 (-1.08, 43.0%) avg line: -1.6+6: 58-28-2 (67.4%) -6: 20-67-1 (23.0%) +10: 69-19-0 (78.4%) -10: 16-70-2 (18.6%)
O/U:27-59-2 (-2.12, 31.4%) avg total: 45.1+6: 21-66-1 (24.1%) -6: 54-34-0 (61.4%) +10: 16-70-2 (18.6%) -10: 64-23-1 (73.6%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team25.9112.735.220.9232.11.54.46.35.05.821.7
Opp28.2121.434.921.1226.21.54.06.44.56.221.2
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015BroncosChargersaway-4.043.0



OPPOSE home teams off away OT loss without a lot of penalties against. (on PHILLY)
H and p:overtime = 1 and p:AL and NB and p:penalties <= 8 and p:points + po:points < 63
SU:25-48-0 (-3.59, 34.2%)Teaser Records
ATS:18-53-2 (-5.49, 25.4%) avg line: -1.9+6: 34-38-1 (47.2%) -6: 12-60-1 (16.7%) +10: 44-27-2 (62.0%) -10: 10-63-0 (13.7%)
O/U:43-28-2 (4.33, 60.6%) avg total: 41.5+6: 31-41-1 (43.1%) -6: 53-19-1 (73.6%) +10: 28-45-0 (38.4%) -10: 63-10-0 (86.3%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team26.1116.834.920.6217.52.23.96.34.96.021.1
Opp28.8114.931.518.9215.51.55.67.45.36.524.7
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015PatriotsEagleshome-10.049.0



play on home dog after away dog win and opponent off home win (SAN DIEGO)
HD and p:ADW and op:HW and p:line < 11 and op:line >= -16 and op:points < 45
SU:62-51-0 (1.30, 54.9%)Teaser Records
ATS:80-30-3 (5.53, 72.7%) avg line: 4.2+6: 92-19-2 (82.9%) -6: 50-59-4 (45.9%) +10: 95-18-0 (84.1%) -10: 40-73-0 (35.4%)
O/U:50-62-1 (-0.89, 44.6%) avg total: 41.9+6: 32-79-2 (28.8%) -6: 67-45-1 (59.8%) +10: 23-89-1 (20.5%) -10: 82-28-3 (74.5%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.9108.131.218.2207.91.83.76.83.96.621.2
Opp26.5110.134.520.4225.42.13.16.44.35.919.8
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015ChargersBroncoshome4.043.0



PLAY ON 2H season losing away team off a close loss and playing a non-elite opponent (on SF, JAX)
wins - losses <= -2 and week > 7 and -7 < p:margin < 0 and A and o:WP >= 15 and p:points > 8 and -15 < tA(margin) < .81 and otA(margin) <= 7 and rest > 3 and otA(o:passing yards) < 272
SU:95-140-0 (-2.50, 40.4%)Teaser Records
ATS:163-67-5 (3.42, 70.9%) avg line: 5.9+6: 190-44-1 (81.2%) -6: 89-138-8 (39.2%) +10: 203-29-3 (87.5%) -10: 56-175-4 (24.2%)
O/U:112-119-4 (0.39, 48.5%) avg total: 40.3+6: 81-149-5 (35.2%) -6: 150-78-7 (65.8%) +10: 55-178-2 (23.6%) -10: 180-54-1 (76.9%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.6110.432.718.9198.91.83.75.73.95.619.1
Opp28.4115.833.319.4213.61.84.66.84.25.921.6
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015FortyninersBearsaway7.043.5
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015JaguarsTitansaway2.543.0

oppose 2H season small dog or fav home teams that won <=4 games LY (on KC, ATL, DAL)
game number > 9 and PRSW < 5 and H and WP >= 37 and line < 4 and season >= 2000 and date < 20151213
SU:59-65-0 (-0.15, 47.6%)Teaser Records
ATS:38-81-5 (-3.45, 31.9%) avg line: -3.3+6: 71-51-2 (58.2%) -6: 22-97-5 (18.5%) +10: 89-32-3 (73.6%) -10: 16-106-2 (13.1%)
O/U:50-70-4 (-0.98, 41.7%) avg total: 43.0+6: 31-92-1 (25.2%) -6: 77-44-3 (63.6%) +10: 24-99-1 (19.5%) -10: 94-29-1 (76.4%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.0121.733.619.9212.01.74.76.14.16.020.9
Opp28.0123.432.119.3211.31.43.46.54.66.521.1
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 07, 2015viewMonday132015RedskinsCowboyshome-4.542.0
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015BuccaneersFalconshome-2.046.0
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015RaidersChiefshome3.044.0



OPPOSE NDIV away teams off a home stand (MIN)
p:H and pp:H and ppp:H and NDIV and A and line < 3.5 and 9 > rest > 3
SU:27-34-0 (-2.57, 44.3%)Teaser Records
ATS:19-41-1 (-5.30, 31.7%) avg line: -2.7+6: 32-27-2 (54.2%) -6: 10-51-0 (16.4%) +10: 38-21-2 (64.4%) -10: 6-55-0 (9.8%)
O/U:28-33-0 (0.99, 45.9%) avg total: 41.7+6: 19-42-0 (31.1%) -6: 37-21-3 (63.8%) +10: 16-45-0 (26.2%) -10: 46-15-0 (75.4%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team25.5101.435.621.0222.21.83.95.64.36.120.0
Opp29.3126.731.018.0199.61.56.07.54.34.822.6
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 06, 2015viewSunday132015SeahawksVikingsaway-0.041.5

 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
33,544
Tokens
UNDER after blowout away win that went under and playing a normal rested opponent who have an avg offense (OAK under, PIT under, ARI under)
p:AUW and p:margin > 13 and season > 2010 and otA(points) < 26 and o:rest < 9
SU:26-22-0 (3.52, 54.2%)Teaser Records
ATS:22-25-1 (-1.29, 46.8%) avg line: -4.8+6: 32-16-0 (66.7%) -6: 11-36-1 (23.4%) +10: 37-11-0 (77.1%) -10: 8-40-0 (16.7%)
O/U:12-36-0 (-5.51, 25.0%) avg total: 45.3+6: 6-42-0 (12.5%) -6: 21-26-1 (44.7%) +10: 5-42-1 (10.6%) -10: 28-19-1 (59.6%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team26.5107.136.422.5238.91.65.06.24.85.521.6
Opp27.0105.433.220.2205.91.43.45.44.34.918.1
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015BengalsSteelershome-3.049.5
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015BroncosRaidershome-7.543.5
Dec 10, 2015viewThursday142015CardinalsVikingshome-8.046.0



OVER after team allowed a 12+ catch game by opposing receiver and did not create 3+ turnovers or allow 2+ rushing TDs. (MIA and NYG over both fit and are playing each other)
max:po:receptions > 11 and po:turnovers < 3 and season > 2003 and game number < 17 and po:rushing touchdowns < 2
SU:38-30-0 (1.60, 55.9%)Teaser Records
ATS:41-27-0 (1.39, 60.3%) avg line: -0.2+6: 47-20-1 (70.1%) -6: 28-39-1 (41.8%) +10: 52-15-1 (77.6%) -10: 20-46-2 (30.3%)
O/U:46-19-3 (5.43, 70.8%) avg total: 43.3+6: 30-38-0 (44.1%) -6: 55-12-1 (82.1%) +10: 23-45-0 (33.8%) -10: 59-8-1 (88.1%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team25.9109.634.521.1234.41.55.67.64.47.525.2
Opp27.9122.035.121.2231.41.94.07.64.57.523.6
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 14, 2015viewMonday142015DolphinsGiantshome1.046.0
Dec 14, 2015viewMonday142015GiantsDolphinsaway-1.046.0


PLAY ON away team off away loss last week within 3 points of pick 'em (on INDY)
A and p:AL and -3.5 < line < 3.5 and NB and date > 20031101 and surface = grass
SU:67-23-0 (5.17, 74.4%)Teaser Records
ATS:65-21-4 (5.61, 75.6%) avg line: 0.4+6: 76-12-2 (86.4%) -6: 43-43-4 (50.0%) +10: 80-10-0 (88.9%) -10: 34-54-2 (38.6%)
O/U:50-39-1 (1.82, 56.2%) avg total: 41.6+6: 29-61-0 (32.2%) -6: 63-26-1 (70.8%) +10: 24-65-1 (27.0%) -10: 69-20-1 (77.5%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team30.1120.832.219.7222.21.54.86.44.88.124.3
Opp25.8106.834.119.9211.52.23.95.84.15.219.1
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015ColtsJaguarsaway-1.5

OVER away fav after big fav game with rushing TD and nice TOP (NE over, SEA over)
AF and p:F and p:TOP - tA(p:TOP) > 125.3 and p:RTD > 0 and date >= 20101225
SU:41-24-0 (4.02, 63.1%)Teaser Records
ATS:28-37-0 (-0.65, 43.1%) avg line: -4.7+6: 41-21-3 (66.1%) -6: 17-48-0 (26.2%) +10: 50-15-0 (76.9%) -10: 15-49-1 (23.4%)
O/U:49-16-0 (7.75, 75.4%) avg total: 45.6+6: 37-28-0 (56.9%) -6: 57-8-0 (87.7%) +10: 27-38-0 (41.5%) -10: 58-7-0 (89.2%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.5119.936.123.3269.51.25.89.06.07.828.7
Opp26.0110.834.321.3248.01.65.07.04.77.924.7
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015SeahawksRavensaway-6.0
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015PatriotsTexansaway-3.045.0


PLAY ON teams dog or favored by less than a TD that lost by 45+ ATS in last 5 weeks (on CLE, STL, NO, PHI)
p:ats margin + pp:ats margin + ppp:ats margin + pppp:ats margin + ppppp:ats margin <= -45 and WP < 57 and date > 20071120 and line >= -7 and total >= 38
SU:64-94-0 (-2.46, 40.5%)Teaser Records
ATS:99-55-4 (2.48, 64.3%) avg line: 4.9+6: 122-35-1 (77.7%) -6: 61-96-1 (38.9%) +10: 133-25-0 (84.2%) -10: 35-121-2 (22.4%)
O/U:70-82-6 (-0.27, 46.1%) avg total: 45.0+6: 46-112-0 (29.1%) -6: 101-55-2 (64.7%) +10: 33-123-2 (21.2%) -10: 119-38-1 (75.8%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team26.8117.933.319.8214.41.64.16.34.95.821.1
Opp27.2117.235.522.0240.61.55.17.64.66.123.6
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015BrownsFortyninershome-1.041.0
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015SaintsBuccaneersaway3.550.5
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015EaglesBillshome1.047.0
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015RamsLionshome0.040.5

UNDER after come from behind 4th quarter win in a game that went over (DAL under, KC under)
p:M3 <= -5 and p:W and season > 2007 and p:O
SU:45-44-0 (0.67, 50.6%)Teaser Records
ATS:38-49-2 (-0.97, 43.7%) avg line: -1.6+6: 59-28-2 (67.8%) -6: 21-67-1 (23.9%) +10: 70-19-0 (78.7%) -10: 16-71-2 (18.4%)
O/U:27-60-2 (-2.37, 31.0%) avg total: 45.1+6: 21-67-1 (23.9%) -6: 54-35-0 (60.7%) +10: 16-71-2 (18.4%) -10: 64-24-1 (72.7%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team26.0112.935.120.9231.21.54.56.34.95.721.7
Opp28.2121.134.921.0225.61.53.96.44.46.121.0
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015ChiefsChargershome-10.045.5
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015PackersCowboyshome-7.544.0



play on team off big 4th quarter but few yards gained (on KC)
14 > p:p4 - po:points >= 0 and p:TY <= 246 and p:passing yards - po:passing yards > -130 and p:rushing yards >= 70 and season >= 1995
SU:42-17-0 (6.07, 71.2%)Teaser Records
ATS:41-17-1 (4.46, 70.7%) avg line: -1.6+6: 49-10-0 (83.1%) -6: 31-28-0 (52.5%) +10: 50-9-0 (84.7%) -10: 18-39-2 (31.6%)
O/U:21-36-2 (-2.87, 36.8%) avg total: 38.5+6: 12-46-1 (20.7%) -6: 32-27-0 (54.2%) +10: 8-51-0 (13.6%) -10: 41-17-1 (70.7%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team29.9110.631.018.5192.71.44.37.54.24.820.9
Opp26.5101.932.017.8193.22.01.35.63.93.714.8
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015ChiefsChargershome-10.045.5



play low line away teams off terrible rushing performance (on INDY)
-4 < line < 5.5 and p:rushing yards <= 60 and A and season >= 2004 and op:rushing yards <= 135
SU:84-39-0 (3.93, 68.3%)Teaser Records
ATS:82-37-4 (4.93, 68.9%) avg line: 1.0+6: 102-20-1 (83.6%) -6: 53-63-7 (45.7%) +10: 111-11-1 (91.0%) -10: 38-85-0 (30.9%)
O/U:54-68-1 (-0.09, 44.3%) avg total: 42.7+6: 30-92-1 (24.6%) -6: 84-35-4 (70.6%) +10: 22-101-0 (17.9%) -10: 100-21-2 (82.6%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.7114.934.020.9232.31.54.76.85.26.323.3
Opp25.6109.335.520.8212.71.84.16.13.65.519.3
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015ColtsJaguarsaway-1.5



PLAY ON 2H season bad away team off a close loss and playing a non-elite opponent (on DET, on NO, on WAS)
wins - losses <= -2 and week > 7 and -7 < p:margin < 0 and A and o:WP >= 15 and p:points > 8 and -15 < tA(margin) < .81 and otA(margin) <= 7 and rest > 3 and otA(o:passing yards) < 272
SU:96-141-0 (-2.46, 40.5%)Teaser Records
ATS:164-68-5 (3.44, 70.7%) avg line: 5.9+6: 192-44-1 (81.4%) -6: 90-139-8 (39.3%) +10: 205-29-3 (87.6%) -10: 57-176-4 (24.5%)
O/U:114-119-4 (0.55, 48.9%) avg total: 40.3+6: 82-150-5 (35.3%) -6: 152-78-7 (66.1%) +10: 56-179-2 (23.8%) -10: 182-54-1 (77.1%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.6110.332.718.9199.31.83.75.83.95.719.2
Opp28.5116.433.219.4213.71.84.66.84.16.021.7
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015RedskinsBearsaway3.044.0
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015SaintsBuccaneersaway3.550.5
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015LionsRamsaway0.040.5



oppose late season small dog or fav home teams that won <=4 games LY (on TEN, on NO)
game number > 9 and PRSW < 5 and H and WP >= 37 and line < 4 and season >= 2000 and date < 20151218
SU:60-67-0 (-0.24, 47.2%)Teaser Records
ATS:39-83-5 (-3.48, 32.0%) avg line: -3.2+6: 72-53-2 (57.6%) -6: 22-100-5 (18.0%) +10: 91-33-3 (73.4%) -10: 16-109-2 (12.8%)
O/U:51-72-4 (-0.97, 41.5%) avg total: 43.0+6: 32-94-1 (25.4%) -6: 79-45-3 (63.7%) +10: 24-102-1 (19.0%) -10: 97-29-1 (77.0%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.0121.533.620.0212.31.74.76.14.16.020.9
Opp27.9122.432.119.3211.21.53.46.54.66.621.1
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015BuccaneersSaintshome-3.550.5
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015JetsTitanshome-7.043.0



bet on low line away teams that just lost to drop to .500 (on INDY)
A and p:L and WP = 50 and season >= 2004 and -3 <= line <= 3 and op:margin < 8
SU:29-9-0 (6.50, 76.3%)Teaser Records
ATS:28-9-1 (7.33, 75.7%) avg line: 0.8+6: 36-1-1 (97.3%) -6: 16-16-6 (50.0%) +10: 38-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 12-26-0 (31.6%)
O/U:17-21-0 (-1.96, 44.7%) avg total: 42.9+6: 11-27-0 (28.9%) -6: 23-15-0 (60.5%) +10: 7-29-2 (19.4%) -10: 26-11-1 (70.3%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team31.2119.531.419.4220.41.45.26.25.26.923.7
Opp24.195.236.621.2225.82.23.55.83.44.617.2
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015ColtsJaguarsaway-1.5




play on teams off 30+ point blowout that never scored a TD (on CLE)
p:margin <= -30 and p:touchdowns = 0 and 62 > WP > 15
SU:29-33-0 (-1.05, 46.8%)Teaser Records
ATS:44-16-2 (2.53, 73.3%) avg line: 3.6+6: 51-11-0 (82.3%) -6: 24-35-3 (40.7%) +10: 53-9-0 (85.5%) -10: 14-46-2 (23.3%)
O/U:31-28-3 (0.72, 52.5%) avg total: 41.3+6: 24-38-0 (38.7%) -6: 44-18-0 (71.0%) +10: 15-47-0 (24.2%) -10: 46-16-0 (74.2%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.7125.630.517.7183.51.84.26.43.56.020.5
Opp28.7117.934.320.4211.71.94.77.43.55.821.5
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015BrownsFortyninershome-1.041.0




play on away teams off dog cover loss and close line (on NO)
p:ats margin > 0 and p:LD and A and -3 <= line <= 3.5 and game number >= 4
SU:60-39-0 (1.86, 60.6%)Teaser Records
ATS:65-33-1 (3.02, 66.3%) avg line: 1.2+6: 78-21-0 (78.8%) -6: 33-62-4 (34.7%) +10: 88-10-1 (89.8%) -10: 20-77-2 (20.6%)
O/U:45-51-3 (0.87, 46.9%) avg total: 40.5+6: 30-67-2 (30.9%) -6: 70-26-3 (72.9%) +10: 19-75-5 (20.2%) -10: 78-21-0 (78.8%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.3111.633.019.7216.71.83.67.04.66.321.6
Opp26.7110.933.519.2205.81.84.05.83.76.319.8
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 13, 2015viewSunday142015SaintsBuccaneersaway3.550.5

 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
33,544
Tokens
Panthers have won 12 straight. teams that have won 11 or more in a row are 11-30 ATS in dbase history including Carolina's failure to cover last week. Here is breakdown by streak...

streak >= 11 and ...
gamesATS
W - L- P (marg, %win)
Avg LineOU
W - L- P (marg, %over)
Avg TotalSU
W - L- P (marg, %win)
SDQL
164-12-0 (-8.03, 25.0%)-8.110-5-1 (7.84, 66.7%)43.69-7-0 (0.06, 56.2%)streak = 11
84-4-0 (2.44, 50.0%)-9.33-4-1 (1.81, 42.9%)44.48-0-0 (11.75, 100.0%)streak = 12
83-5-0 (-6.81, 37.5%)-7.32-6-0 (-2.56, 25.0%)45.14-4-0 (0.50, 50.0%)streak = 13
40-4-0 (-7.12, 0.0%)-10.43-1-0 (5.12, 75.0%)39.13-1-0 (3.25, 75.0%)streak = 14
20-2-0 (-10.50, 0.0%)-5.02-0-0 (29.50, 100.0%)41.01-1-0 (-5.50, 50.0%)streak = 15
10-1-0 (-1.00, 0.0%)-12.01-0-0 (1.00, 100.0%)50.01-0-0 (11.00, 100.0%)streak = 16
10-1-0 (-5.50, 0.0%)-14.50-1-0 (-13.50, 0.0%)46.51-0-0 (9.00, 100.0%)streak = 17
10-1-0 (-15.00, 0.0%)-12.00-1-0 (-10.00, 0.0%)41.00-1-0 (-3.00, 0.0%)streak = 18
Showing 1 to 8 of 8 entries


 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
33,544
Tokens
not a fit for this week but thought it was interesting. OVER is 21-3 when a team off a SNF or MNF non-blowout game is up against a team that played last on Thusday

next fit would be Jan 6 DEN/SD as long as Denver doesn't lose their previous game by >24

avg points scored in these games is 60

p:day = Thursday and (op:day = Monday or op:SNF) and season >= 2010 and op:margin < 25
SU:12-13-0 (-1.24, 48.0%)Teaser Records
ATS:12-13-0 (1.20, 48.0%) avg line: 2.4+6: 19-6-0 (76.0%) -6: 11-13-1 (45.8%) +10: 20-4-1 (83.3%) -10: 7-17-1 (29.2%)
O/U:21-3-1 (12.98, 87.5%) avg total: 46.9+6: 17-7-1 (70.8%) -6: 24-1-0 (96.0%) +10: 13-11-1 (54.2%) -10: 25-0-0 (100.0%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.6128.934.621.3251.91.15.59.36.28.129.3
Opp27.1115.940.326.3286.81.65.29.06.88.830.6
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
33,544
Tokens
UNDER after blowout away win that went under and playing a normal rested opponent who have an avg offense (Pats under, Sea under)
p:AUW and p:margin > 13 and season > 2010 and otA(points) < 26 and o:rest < 9
SU:27-24-0 (3.06, 52.9%)Teaser Records
ATS:22-28-1 (-1.83, 44.0%) avg line: -4.9+6: 32-19-0 (62.7%) -6: 11-39-1 (22.0%) +10: 38-12-1 (76.0%) -10: 8-43-0 (15.7%)
O/U:13-38-0 (-5.52, 25.5%) avg total: 45.4+6: 6-45-0 (11.8%) -6: 23-27-1 (46.0%) +10: 5-45-1 (10.0%) -10: 30-20-1 (60.0%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team26.3104.636.622.8242.41.65.06.14.75.521.5
Opp26.9102.833.320.4207.21.43.55.34.35.118.4
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015PatriotsTitanshome-14.047.0
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015SeahawksBrownshome-14.543.0



PLAY ON regular season teams with at least regular rest after horrendous defensive performance (allowing 25+ more points than expected) vs opponent not off an incredible defensive game. ON INDY
p:dpa >= 25 and op:dpa > -10 and rest >= 6 and season >= 1990 and week < 17
SU:41-20-0 (5.57, 67.2%)Teaser Records
ATS:45-15-1 (6.39, 75.0%) avg line: 0.8+6: 52-8-1 (86.7%) -6: 31-29-1 (51.7%) +10: 55-6-0 (90.2%) -10: 24-33-4 (42.1%)
O/U:26-29-6 (0.54, 47.3%) avg total: 43.1+6: 20-40-1 (33.3%) -6: 45-15-1 (75.0%) +10: 13-48-0 (21.3%) -10: 49-12-0 (80.3%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team30.7125.432.019.9219.91.44.68.05.07.024.6
Opp23.8101.534.720.0220.31.83.55.54.05.919.0
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015ColtsTexanshome


PLAY ON away team off away loss last week within 3 points of pick 'em (ON ATL, on BUF)
A and p:AL and -3.5 < line < 3.5 and NB and date > 20031101 and surface = grass
SU:67-24-0 (4.73, 73.6%)Teaser Records
ATS:65-22-4 (5.18, 74.7%) avg line: 0.5+6: 76-13-2 (85.4%) -6: 43-44-4 (49.4%) +10: 80-11-0 (87.9%) -10: 34-55-2 (38.2%)
O/U:51-39-1 (2.03, 56.7%) avg total: 41.7+6: 30-61-0 (33.0%) -6: 64-26-1 (71.1%) +10: 25-65-1 (27.8%) -10: 70-20-1 (77.8%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team30.1120.532.319.7222.31.54.86.54.88.124.2
Opp25.9107.334.119.8211.72.23.95.84.35.419.5
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015FalconsJaguarsaway3.049.0
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015BillsRedskinsaway-1.044.0


PLAY ON teams that went under by 4+ TD last week yet both teams scored and opponent not off a bye week (on SD, on KC)
p:ou margin <= -28 and p:points > 0 and po:points > 0 and o:rest < 9
SU:36-28-0 (2.95, 56.2%)Teaser Records
ATS:46-17-1 (2.68, 73.0%) avg line: -0.3+6: 49-15-0 (76.6%) -6: 26-38-0 (40.6%) +10: 53-9-2 (85.5%) -10: 16-46-2 (25.8%)
O/U:28-35-1 (-1.75, 44.4%) avg total: 42.1+6: 18-46-0 (28.1%) -6: 38-26-0 (59.4%) +10: 13-49-2 (21.0%) -10: 47-17-0 (73.4%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team30.0122.831.119.3201.61.64.95.74.86.021.7
Opp25.9107.433.720.4212.32.03.85.13.76.018.7
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015ChargersDolphinshome-2.045.5
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015ChiefsRavensaway-7.541.5


PLAY ON solid dogs that lost as >TD fav last week where they did not trail by more than a TD at HT (on DEN)
p:line < -6.5 and p:L and line > 2 and p:M2 > -7 and season > 1992
SU:31-47-0 (-2.41, 39.7%)Teaser Records
ATS:50-23-5 (3.28, 68.5%) avg line: 5.7+6: 65-12-1 (84.4%) -6: 30-46-2 (39.5%) +10: 66-12-0 (84.6%) -10: 19-56-3 (25.3%)
O/U:36-40-2 (-1.16, 47.4%) avg total: 43.0+6: 18-59-1 (23.4%) -6: 47-31-0 (60.3%) +10: 14-64-0 (17.9%) -10: 59-17-2 (77.6%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.7115.233.620.1213.41.53.76.13.96.019.7
Opp27.6119.133.920.7232.41.84.36.64.56.422.1
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015BroncosSteelersaway6.044.5




play on big home dogs after losing by 4+ TD (on BAL)
p:margin < -28 and HD and line > 3.5 and NB and week > 2
SU:22-52-0 (-4.89, 29.7%)Teaser Records
ATS:50-21-3 (3.00, 70.4%) avg line: 7.9+6: 61-13-0 (82.4%) -6: 26-45-3 (36.6%) +10: 64-9-1 (87.7%) -10: 16-54-4 (22.9%)
O/U:31-40-3 (-1.62, 43.7%) avg total: 40.8+6: 21-53-0 (28.4%) -6: 43-31-0 (58.1%) +10: 14-59-1 (19.2%) -10: 48-22-4 (68.6%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.8117.631.017.8182.41.93.26.12.95.017.1
Opp28.2115.332.720.5219.51.74.86.64.75.822.0
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015RavensChiefshome7.541.5


play on away dog SU after away loss by 31+ (on ATL)
AD and p:AL and p:margin <= -31 and line < 14
SU:26-18-0 (-0.75, 59.1%)Teaser Records
ATS:32-11-1 (5.80, 74.4%) avg line: 6.5+6: 35-9-0 (79.5%) -6: 25-16-3 (61.0%) +10: 38-6-0 (86.4%) -10: 18-24-2 (42.9%)
O/U:25-19-0 (1.35, 56.8%) avg total: 41.5+6: 14-28-2 (33.3%) -6: 30-12-2 (71.4%) +10: 9-35-0 (20.5%) -10: 34-10-0 (77.3%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.0115.333.019.1203.51.63.66.94.65.821.0
Opp27.5111.936.821.4227.52.25.27.54.24.821.8
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015FalconsJaguarsaway3.049.0




PLAY ON dogs or small favs that lost by 45+ ATS in last 5 weeks as long as opponent not off a blowout loss. (on STL, CLE, NO, ATL, PHI)
op:margin > -20 and p:ats margin + pp:ats margin + ppp:ats margin + pppp:ats margin + ppppp:ats margin <= -45 and WP < 57 and date > 20071120 and line >= -7 and total >= 38
SU:64-83-0 (-1.49, 43.5%)Teaser Records
ATS:97-46-4 (3.34, 67.8%) avg line: 4.8+6: 119-27-1 (81.5%) -6: 60-86-1 (41.1%) +10: 126-21-0 (85.7%) -10: 34-111-2 (23.4%)
O/U:64-77-6 (-0.15, 45.4%) avg total: 44.9+6: 42-105-0 (28.6%) -6: 94-50-3 (65.3%) +10: 30-115-2 (20.7%) -10: 114-32-1 (78.1%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.3120.432.819.7215.11.54.26.45.05.921.6
Opp26.9116.435.822.1240.31.54.87.34.76.223.1
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 21, 2015viewMonday152015SaintsLionshome-3.050.5
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015EaglesCardinalshome3.550.5
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015FalconsJaguarsaway3.049.0
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015BrownsSeahawksaway14.543.0
Dec 17, 2015viewThursday152015RamsBuccaneershome-2.041.0


play on home dog after away dog win vs opponent off home win (on OAK)
HD and p:ADW and op:HW and p:line < 11 and op:line >= -16 and op:points < 45
SU:62-53-0 (0.89, 53.9%)Teaser Records
ATS:80-32-3 (5.11, 71.4%) avg line: 4.2+6: 92-21-2 (81.4%) -6: 50-61-4 (45.0%) +10: 96-19-0 (83.5%) -10: 40-75-0 (34.8%)
O/U:51-63-1 (-1.06, 44.7%) avg total: 41.9+6: 32-81-2 (28.3%) -6: 68-46-1 (59.6%) +10: 23-91-1 (20.2%) -10: 83-29-3 (74.1%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.8107.331.218.2206.71.83.76.73.96.520.9
Opp26.7110.934.420.3225.12.13.26.44.35.820.0
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015RaidersPackershome3.047.0




PLAY ON away team that just lost a close game to drop to 2+ games below .500 and playing a non-elite opponent. (on CHI)
wins - losses <= -2 and week > 7 and -7 < p:margin < 0 and A and o:WP >= 15 and p:points > 8 and -15 < tA(margin) < .81 and otA(margin) <= 7 and rest > 3 and otA(o:passing yards) < 272
SU:98-142-0 (-2.42, 40.8%)Teaser Records
ATS:166-69-5 (3.44, 70.6%) avg line: 5.9+6: 194-45-1 (81.2%) -6: 92-140-8 (39.7%) +10: 208-29-3 (87.8%) -10: 58-178-4 (24.6%)
O/U:115-121-4 (0.49, 48.7%) avg total: 40.4+6: 82-153-5 (34.9%) -6: 153-79-8 (65.9%) +10: 56-182-2 (23.5%) -10: 185-54-1 (77.4%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.6110.232.819.0200.11.83.75.84.05.619.2
Opp28.4116.733.219.4213.41.84.66.84.26.021.6
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015BearsVikingsaway5.043.0


oppose late season small dog or fav home teams that won <=4 games LY (on ATL, on GB, on BUF)
game number > 9 and PRSW < 5 and H and WP >= 37 and line < 4 and season >= 2000 and date < 20151224
SU:61-68-0 (-0.12, 47.3%)Teaser Records
ATS:40-84-5 (-3.41, 32.3%) avg line: -3.3+6: 73-54-2 (57.5%) -6: 23-101-5 (18.5%) +10: 92-34-3 (73.0%) -10: 17-110-2 (13.4%)
O/U:51-74-4 (-1.07, 40.8%) avg total: 43.1+6: 32-96-1 (25.0%) -6: 80-46-3 (63.5%) +10: 24-104-1 (18.8%) -10: 99-29-1 (77.3%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.0121.933.720.0212.41.74.76.24.05.920.9
Opp27.8121.432.319.4212.31.43.46.44.76.521.1
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015JaguarsFalconshome-3.049.0
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015RaidersPackershome3.047.0
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015RedskinsBillshome1.044.0


play on 3+ dogs off 30+ point blowout that never scored a TD but didn't turn it over 4+ times (on ATL)
p:margin <= -30 and p:touchdowns = 0 and 62 > WP > 15 and op:turnovers < 4 and line >= 3
SU:14-22-0 (-2.00, 38.9%)Teaser Records
ATS:31-4-1 (5.38, 88.6%) avg line: 7.4+6: 33-3-0 (91.7%) -6: 17-17-2 (50.0%) +10: 33-3-0 (91.7%) -10: 9-26-1 (25.7%)
O/U:16-18-2 (0.33, 47.1%) avg total: 41.0+6: 13-23-0 (36.1%) -6: 24-12-0 (66.7%) +10: 8-28-0 (22.2%) -10: 26-10-0 (72.2%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team29.2123.730.317.1177.71.63.76.63.06.119.7
Opp28.4120.634.620.8220.41.94.27.73.26.221.7
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015FalconsJaguarsaway3.049.0


play on away AFC conference dogs after away loss with home game coming (on TEN)
ACD and p:AL and season >= 2005 and n:H and o:WP < 100 and conference = AFC
SU:40-53-0 (-2.04, 43.0%)Teaser Records
ATS:67-26-0 (4.60, 72.0%) avg line: 6.6+6: 73-19-1 (79.3%) -6: 42-49-2 (46.2%) +10: 78-14-1 (84.8%) -10: 28-62-3 (31.1%)
O/U:49-43-1 (1.22, 53.3%) avg total: 41.7+6: 34-59-0 (36.6%) -6: 61-32-0 (65.6%) +10: 24-67-2 (26.4%) -10: 70-23-0 (75.3%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.2110.331.819.3206.81.63.85.25.16.220.5
Opp28.2121.232.919.8217.71.84.27.34.86.022.5
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015TitansPatriotsaway14.047.0


play against home team getting outscored badly at HT (on MIA)
H and 4 > line > -11.5 and tA(M2) <= -4.37 and season > 2007 and game number > 2 and p:points < 20
SU:50-73-0 (-3.74, 40.7%)Teaser Records
ATS:33-90-0 (-4.48, 26.8%) avg line: -0.7+6: 73-48-2 (60.3%) -6: 16-104-3 (13.3%) +10: 89-33-1 (73.0%) -10: 11-111-1 (9.0%)
O/U:56-63-4 (-0.41, 47.1%) avg total: 42.2+6: 37-86-0 (30.1%) -6: 78-44-1 (63.9%) +10: 24-98-1 (19.7%) -10: 86-37-0 (69.9%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team27.6118.733.920.1213.51.73.85.93.95.319.0
Opp30.0132.330.618.5197.71.44.26.25.07.122.8
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015ChargersDolphinshome-2.045.5

play on MNF teams off an away win (on Saints)
day = Monday and p:AW and season >= 2006 and p:line >= -5.5
SU:35-10-0 (7.33, 77.8%)Teaser Records
ATS:31-12-2 (5.50, 72.1%) avg line: -1.8+6: 37-8-0 (82.2%) -6: 21-21-3 (50.0%) +10: 38-7-0 (84.4%) -10: 18-26-1 (40.9%)
O/U:20-25-0 (-0.62, 44.4%) avg total: 45.3+6: 15-29-1 (34.1%) -6: 28-17-0 (62.2%) +10: 10-35-0 (22.2%) -10: 30-13-2 (69.8%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team28.3126.031.519.5224.41.55.76.76.76.726.0
Opp24.8107.035.321.6225.92.03.05.45.15.218.7
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 21, 2015viewMonday152015SaintsLionshome-3.050.5





play on big dog 5+ in big revenge game (on CHI)
D and P:L and 10.5 >= line >= 5 and game number >= 10 and 35 >= Pop:points >= 28
SU:19-48-1 (-4.75, 28.4%)Teaser Records
ATS:45-20-3 (2.84, 69.2%) avg line: 7.6+6: 56-12-0 (82.4%) -6: 20-46-2 (30.3%) +10: 62-6-0 (91.2%) -10: 16-51-1 (23.9%)
O/U:31-37-0 (-1.04, 45.6%) avg total: 42.6+6: 23-45-0 (33.8%) -6: 44-24-0 (64.7%) +10: 13-55-0 (19.1%) -10: 51-17-0 (75.0%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team26.3107.033.119.2202.12.03.85.83.94.618.4
Opp28.8113.634.621.2231.81.64.87.33.97.123.1
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015BearsVikingsaway5.043.0


PLAY ON away teams that stopped running the ball in last week's away game (on ATL, on TEN)
A and p:A and tA(p:rushes) - p:rushes > 9.7 and season > 2007
SU:46-18-0 (5.38, 71.9%)Teaser Records
ATS:50-14-0 (5.54, 78.1%) avg line: 0.2+6: 54-8-2 (87.1%) -6: 30-31-3 (49.2%) +10: 56-8-0 (87.5%) -10: 20-44-0 (31.2%)
O/U:34-28-2 (0.55, 54.8%) avg total: 44.2+6: 21-41-2 (33.9%) -6: 46-18-0 (71.9%) +10: 15-49-0 (23.4%) -10: 50-14-0 (78.1%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team30.1125.833.420.7235.61.45.48.05.26.425.1
Opp23.296.436.921.9224.41.64.06.54.05.119.7
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015FalconsJaguarsaway3.049.0
Dec 20, 2015viewSunday152015TitansPatriotsaway14.047.0

 

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Handicapper
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Sep 18, 2006
Messages
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Tokens
Roll......any trend/system showing how a team does coming off a shutout loss on the road & then is a dog in their 2nd of back to back games?


And how about a team like Carolina that got a shutout win & scored more than 30 points as a home fav & now is a road fav vsa home team coming off a road win SU


TIA!
 

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