NFL Systems 2015

[landshark]

rolltide,Thanks for this week's systems. I agree the Chiefs @ Packers is a tough one to pick. Both teams coming off games that they had circled. Packers finally getting over their nemesis, and the Chiefs imploding and failing to do so. Two other perspectives for this game are:1. Chiefs are coming off a TNF game, that is almost like a bye, how does Reid do, in off bye situations?2. Teams after playing the Seahawks, that trend continued this season, Rams lost as a fav. After playing the Chiefs, the Pack get to visit the Niners whom they have not beaten in the last four tries....could GB overlook KC? Unlikely, since it is a primetime game.

 

[rolltide]

tried some tighteners but no team was eliminated. there are actually an awful lot of teams that fit this week but most had opposing systems above so i cut them out. to see all teams in this spot, see below

landshark, the overlooking KC angle is written into that query as the opponent (KC) must have won 10 or less games previous season so it shouldn't be a key game on their schedule

week = 3 and line < 3 and po:wins = 0 and H and ppo:wins = 0 and o:wins > 0 and season > 1995 and oRSW < 11 and poRSW < 13 and ppoRSW < 12
SU: 22-33-0 (-2.84, 40.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 8-47-0 (-7.29, 14.5%) avg line: -4.5 +6: 22-29-4 (43.1%) -6: 5-50-0 (9.1%) +10: 36-17-2 (67.9%) -10: 3-52-0 (5.5%) O/U: 31-24-0 (1.77, 56.4%) avg total: 42.2 +6: 19-35-1 (35.2%) -6: 40-15-0 (72.7%) +10: 15-40-0 (27.3%) -10: 47-8-0 (85.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.6 113.3 34.7 21.0 227.3 2.4 4.7 6.3 3.7 5.7 20.6 Opp 28.5 109.3 32.7 19.7 219.7 1.3 4.7 6.7 4.3 7.6 23.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 28, 2015 Monday 3 2015 Packers Chiefs home -6.5 49.0 Sep 27, 2015 Sunday 3 2015 Cowboys Falcons home 2.0 44.5 Sep 27, 2015 Sunday 3 2015 Ravens Bengals home -2.5 44.5 Sep 27, 2015 Sunday 3 2015 Vikings Chargers home -2.5 44.5 Sep 27, 2015 Sunday 3 2015 Cardinals Fortyniners home -6.0 44.0 Sep 27, 2015 Sunday 3 2015 Dolphins Bills home -3.0 43.5

maybe the most interesting thing about this one is the two recent wins covered by .5 point each. Saints won by 11 as -10.5 fav and Broncos won by 16 as -15.5 fav to keep from a massive string of losses.....

Sep 22, 2014	view	Monday	3	2014	Jets	Bears	home	3-14	10-3	3-7	3-3	19-27	-1.5	45.0	-8	-9.5	1.0	-4.2	5.2	L	L	O	0
Sep 21, 2014	view	Sunday	3	2014	Browns	Ravens	home	7-3	0-7	14-7	0-6	21-23	1.5	43.0	-2	-0.5	1	0.2	0.8	L	L	O	0
Sep 21, 2014	view	Sunday	3	2014	Eagles	Redskins	home	7-14	14-6	6-7	10-7	37-34	-5.0	51.0	3	-2	20.0	9.0	11.0	W	L	O	0
Sep 21, 2014	view	Sunday	3	2014	Rams	Cowboys	home	7-0	14-10	0-10	10-14	31-34	1.5	45.0	-3	-1.5	20	9.2	10.8	L	L	O	0
Sep 21, 2014	view	Sunday	3	2014	Saints	Vikings	home	13-0	0-6	0-3	7-0	20-9	-10.5	50.0	11	0.5	-21.0	-10.2	-10.8	W	W	U	0
Sep 23, 2013		Monday	3	2013	Broncos	Raiders	home	10-0	17-7	3-7	7-7	37-21	-15.5	49.5	16	0.5	8.5	4.5	4.0	W	W	O	0
Sep 22, 2013		Sunday	3	2013	Redskins	Lions	home	7-7	7-10	3-0	3-10	20-27	1.0	48.0	-7	-6.0	-1.0	-3.5	2.5	L	L	U	0
Sep 22, 2013		Sunday	3	2013	Steelers	Bears	home	0-17	10-7	10-3	3-13	23-40	2.0	40.5	-17	-15.0	22.5	3.8	18.8	L	L	O	0
Sep 19, 2013		Thursday	3	2013	Eagles	Chiefs	home	6-10	0-6	3-0	7-10	16-26	-3.0	50.5	-10	-13.0	-8.5	-10.8	2.2	L	L	U	0
Sep 23, 2012		Sunday	3	2012	Cowboys	Buccaneers	home	7-7	3-0	0-0	6-3	16-10	-7.5	45.5	6	-1.5	-19.5	-10.5	-9.0	W	L	U	0
Sep 23, 2012		Sunday	3	2012	Dolphins	Jets	home	7-0	3-3	7-7	3-10	20-23	2.0	41.0	-3	-1.0	2.0	0.5	1.5	L	L	O	1
Sep 23, 2012		Sunday	3	2012	Chargers	Falcons	home	0-6	0-14	3-0	0-7	3-27	-3.0	47.5	-24	-27.0	-17.5	-22.2	4.8	L	L	U	0
Sep 20, 2012		Thursday	3	2012	Panthers	Giants	home	0-10	0-10	7-6	0-10	7-36	-2.0	49.5	-29	-31.0	-6.5	-18.8	12.2	L	L	U	0
Sep 25, 2011		Sunday	3	2011	Eagles	Giants	home	0-14	13-0	3-0	0-15	16-29	-8.0	46.0	-13	-21.0	-1.0	-11.0	10.0	L	L	U	0
Sep 25, 2011		Sunday	3	2011	Bengals	Fortyniners	home	3-0	0-0	0-3	5-10	8-13	-1.5	39.5	-5	-6.5	-18.5	-12.5	-6.0	L	L	U	0
Sep 26, 2010		Sunday	3	2010	Saints	Falcons	home	14-7	0-7	7-3	3-7	24-27	-4.0	49.5	-3	-7.0	1.5	-2.8	4.2	L	L	O	1
Sep 26, 2010		Sunday	3	2010	Buccaneers	Steelers	home	3-7	3-21	0-3	7-7	13-38	2.5	33.0	-25	-22.5	18.0	-2.2	20.2	L	L	O	0
Sep 26, 2010		Sunday	3	2010	Cardinals	Raiders	home	10-13	7-7	7-0	0-3	24-23	-4.5	39.0	1	-3.5	8.0	2.2	5.8	W	L	O	0
Sep 26, 2010		Sunday	3	2010	Dolphins	Jets	home	0-7	10-7	10-7	3-10	23-31	-2.0	35.5	-8	-10.0	18.5	4.2	14.2	L	L	O	0
Sep 27, 2009		Sunday	3	2009	Vikings	Fortyniners	home	7-0	6-14	7-3	7-7	27-24	-7.0	40.0	3	-4.0	11.0	3.5	7.5	W	L	O	0
Sep 27, 2009		Sunday	3	2009	Raiders	Broncos	home	0-10	3-3	0-7	0-3	3-23	1.0	37.5	-20	-19.0	-11.5	-15.2	3.8	L	L	U	0
Sep 21, 2008		Sunday	3	2008	Bills	Raiders	home	0-6	7-3	0-7	17-7	24-23	-9.0	36.5	1	-8.0	10.5	1.2	9.2	W	L	O	0
Sep 21, 2008		Sunday	3	2008	Broncos	Saints	home	14-3	10-16	10-7	0-6	34-32	-5.5	51.0	2	-3.5	15.0	5.8	9.2	W	L	O	0
Sep 24, 2007		Monday	3	2007	Saints	Titans	home	0-3	7-7	7-7	0-14	14-31	-4.5	45.5	-17	-21.5	-0.5	-11.0	10.5	L	L	U	0
Sep 23, 2007		Sunday	3	2007	Ravens	Cardinals	home	3-0	17-3	3-3	3-17	26-23	-7.5	35.5	3	-4.5	13.5	4.5	9.0	W	L	O	0

 

[rolltide]

so if you dump the big big favs from above you get:

week = 3 and -10 < line < 3 and po:wins = 0 and H and ppo:wins = 0 and o:wins > 0 and season > 1995 and oRSW < 11 and poRSW < 13 and ppoRSW < 12
SU: 16-32-0 (-4.83, 33.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 4-44-0 (-8.21, 8.3%) avg line: -3.4 +6: 18-26-4 (40.9%) -6: 3-45-0 (6.2%) +10: 30-16-2 (65.2%) -10: 2-46-0 (4.2%) O/U: 26-22-0 (1.52, 54.2%) avg total: 42.0 +6: 15-33-0 (31.2%) -6: 34-14-0 (70.8%) +10: 14-34-0 (29.2%) -10: 41-7-0 (85.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.5 107.2 35.2 21.1 226.4 2.5 4.2 6.0 3.9 5.1 19.3 Opp 29.5 112.4 32.1 19.6 219.5 1.2 4.8 7.1 4.2 7.9 24.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 28, 2015 Monday 3 2015 Packers Chiefs home -6.5 49.0 Sep 27, 2015 Sunday 3 2015 Cowboys Falcons home 2.0 44.5 Sep 27, 2015 Sunday 3 2015 Ravens Bengals home -2.5 44.5 Sep 27, 2015 Sunday 3 2015 Vikings Chargers home -2.5 44.5 Sep 27, 2015 Sunday 3 2015 Cardinals Fortyniners home -6.0 44.0 Sep 27, 2015 Sunday 3 2015 Dolphins Bills home -3.0 43.5

 

[savage55]

so if you dump the big big favs from above you get:

week = 3 and -10 < line < 3 and po:wins = 0 and H and ppo:wins = 0 and o:wins > 0 and season > 1995 and oRSW < 11 and poRSW < 13 and ppoRSW < 12
SU: 16-32-0 (-4.83, 33.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 4-44-0 (-8.21, 8.3%) avg line: -3.4 +6: 18-26-4 (40.9%) -6: 3-45-0 (6.2%) +10: 30-16-2 (65.2%) -10: 2-46-0 (4.2%) O/U: 26-22-0 (1.52, 54.2%) avg total: 42.0 +6: 15-33-0 (31.2%) -6: 34-14-0 (70.8%) +10: 14-34-0 (29.2%) -10: 41-7-0 (85.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.5 107.2 35.2 21.1 226.4 2.5 4.2 6.0 3.9 5.1 19.3 Opp 29.5 112.4 32.1 19.6 219.5 1.2 4.8 7.1 4.2 7.9 24.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 28, 2015 Monday 3 2015 Packers Chiefs home -6.5 49.0 Sep 27, 2015 Sunday 3 2015 Cowboys Falcons home 2.0 44.5 Sep 27, 2015 Sunday 3 2015 Ravens Bengals home -2.5 44.5 Sep 27, 2015 Sunday 3 2015 Vikings Chargers home -2.5 44.5 Sep 27, 2015 Sunday 3 2015 Cardinals Fortyniners home -6.0 44.0 Sep 27, 2015 Sunday 3 2015 Dolphins Bills home -3.0 43.5

So take the road teams or the Dogs?

 

[athan12]

@rolltide.

Been reading post 1 - last post from your 2014 thread, and I found this one. This applies to NE patriots game

PLAY ON big fav before their bye week (on NO)


H and -12 <= line <= -6 and n:week = 2 + week ...
SU: 56-5-0 (17.05, 91.8%) Teaser Records
ATS: 50-11-0 (8.76, 82.0%)
avg line: -8.3 +6: 54-6-1 (90.0%) -6: 34-26-1 (56.7%) +10: 57-4-0 (93.4%) -10: 31-30-0 (50.8%)
O/U: 31-28-2 (0.53, 52.5%) avg total: 42.7 +6: 17-43-1 (28.3%) -6: 42-18-1 (70.0%) +10: 8-53-0 (13.1%) -10: 51-10-0 (83.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team 32.3 142.2 32.0 20.6 224.3 1.3 6.4 9.8 5.6 8.3 30.2
Opp 22.4 85.0 33.4 19.1 182.4 2.4 1.8 5.0 3.1 3.2 13.1

 

[athan12]

@rolltide

I also found this on your last years thread. I was just wondering what does the "and o:WP < 50" means? It for Bills after playing patriots trend.

team = Bills and po:team = Patriots and o:WP < 50
SU: 16-5-0 (9.29, 76.2%) Teaser Records
ATS: 19-2-0 (8.57, 90.5%)
avg line: -0.7 +6: 19-1-1 (95.0%) -6: 11-9-1 (55.0%) +10: 21-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 7-13-1 (35.0%)
O/U: 10-11-0 (-1.62, 47.6%) avg total: 41.4 +6: 7-14-0 (33.3%) -6: 11-10-0 (52.4%) +10: 6-15-0 (28.6%) -10: 13-8-0 (61.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team 31.8 128.0 28.8 18.5 206.0 1.0 5.0 7.7 4.8 7.0 24.5
Opp 25.2 99.9 34.7 20.0 212.9 2.0 2.4 3.3 3.3 6.2 15.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
Oct 19, 2014 view Sunday 7 2014 Bills Vikings home -3.5 43.0

 

[justanobserver]

@rolltide

I also found this on your last years thread. I was just wondering what does the "and o:WP < 50" means? It for Bills after playing patriots trend.

team = Bills and po:team = Patriots and o:WP < 50
SU: 16-5-0 (9.29, 76.2%) Teaser Records
ATS: 19-2-0 (8.57, 90.5%)
avg line: -0.7 +6: 19-1-1 (95.0%) -6: 11-9-1 (55.0%) +10: 21-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 7-13-1 (35.0%)
O/U: 10-11-0 (-1.62, 47.6%) avg total: 41.4 +6: 7-14-0 (33.3%) -6: 11-10-0 (52.4%) +10: 6-15-0 (28.6%) -10: 13-8-0 (61.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team 31.8 128.0 28.8 18.5 206.0 1.0 5.0 7.7 4.8 7.0 24.5
Opp 25.2 99.9 34.7 20.0 212.9 2.0 2.4 3.3 3.3 6.2 15.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
Oct 19, 2014 view Sunday 7 2014 Bills Vikings home -3.5 43.0

Pretty sure that is opponents win percentage less than 50

 

[TomandJerry]

Pretty sure that is opponents win percentage less than 50

+1

 

[rolltide]

sorry was out for 1H of Steelers game so missed my buddy's plays. He plays a ton of games and buys a lot of points and is a total disaster. today has these early...$ amount is the risk so 500 on -125 is "to win 400"


Cincy ML 700 +110
DAL/ATL u44.5 (b 1/2) -115 500
Carolina -8 (b 1.0) -125 500
Oakland +4.5 (b 1.0) -125 500
Houston -4.5 (b 1/2) -115 1000
St Louis +2 (b 2.50) -135 1000
Sea -9/NE -7.5 -110 1000
San Diego +2.5 -105 600
NYJ/PHI u48 (b 1.0) -125 600
TEN/IND o45.5 (b 1/2) -115 500
NE/JAX o47.5 (b 1.0) -125 500

 

[rolltide]

sorry was out for 1H of Steelers game so missed my buddy's plays. He plays a ton of games and buys a lot of points and is a total disaster. today has these early...$ amount is the risk so 500 on -125 is "to win 400"


Cincy ML 700 +110
DAL/ATL u44.5 (b 1/2) -115 500
Carolina -8 (b 1.0) -125 500
Oakland +4.5 (b 1.0) -125 500
Houston -4.5 (b 1/2) -115 1000
St Louis +2 (b 2.50) -135 1000
Sea -9/NE -7.5 -110 1000
San Diego +2.5 -105 600
NYJ/PHI u48 (b 1.0) -125 600
TEN/IND o45.5 (b 1/2) -115 500
NE/JAX o47.5 (b 1.0) -125 500

always posts very late.... so far for 4pms

Arizona -6 -105 900

 

[rolltide]

always posts very late.... so far for 4pms

Arizona -6 -105 900

Bills ML +110 600

 

[rolltide]

now he took

SEA/CHI o42.5 (b 1.0) -125 500

 

[rolltide]

quickly with week 4 stuff

PLAY ON 3-0 home teams in week 4 if they have a normal rest week coming and opponent not off a blowout loss (on ATL, on DEN)

game number = 4 and wins = 3 and H and NDIV and op:margin > -10 and n:rest > 5
SU: 15-2-0 (14.76, 88.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 16-1-0 (11.21, 94.1%) avg line: -3.6 +6: 16-1-0 (94.1%) -6: 13-4-0 (76.5%) +10: 16-1-0 (94.1%) -10: 6-8-3 (42.9%) O/U: 11-6-0 (4.79, 64.7%) avg total: 39.7 +6: 9-8-0 (52.9%) -6: 13-3-1 (81.2%) +10: 6-11-0 (35.3%) -10: 14-2-1 (87.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 31.2 134.0 29.0 18.3 217.7 1.2 6.6 10.3 6.1 6.6 29.6 Opp 23.6 96.7 34.8 20.8 205.2 2.4 3.3 5.9 1.4 4.3 14.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Falcons Texans home -6.5 47.0 Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Broncos Vikings home -6.5 43.0

PLAY ON 3-7 point home dogs first half of season looking to avenge a loss from last year (on JAX, on TB) ... also 26-4 ATS with at least double revenge (both JAX and TB fit)

8 > week > 3 and 2.5 < line < 7.5 and P:L and P:season = season -1 and P:margin > -23 and season > 1992 and HD
SU: 25-25-0 (0.32, 50.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 37-11-2 (4.73, 77.1%) avg line: 4.4 +6: 42-8-0 (84.0%) -6: 21-26-3 (44.7%) +10: 42-8-0 (84.0%) -10: 15-33-2 (31.2%) O/U: 26-22-2 (2.36, 54.2%) avg total: 41.6 +6: 17-31-2 (35.4%) -6: 38-10-2 (79.2%) +10: 14-36-0 (28.0%) -10: 42-8-0 (84.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.8 116.0 32.8 18.6 198.9 1.4 4.9 6.8 3.6 6.9 22.2 Opp 27.0 111.6 36.2 21.5 241.8 1.9 4.4 6.1 4.6 6.7 21.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 18, 2015 Sunday 6 2015 Jaguars Texans home 3.5 Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Buccaneers Panthers home 3.0

PLAY ON big home dogs off a huge loss (on SF)

p:margin <= -31 and HD and line > 6 and pp:margin < 21 and week < 17 and NB
SU: 13-27-0 (-3.05, 32.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 31-7-2 (6.03, 81.6%) avg line: 9.1 +6: 37-3-0 (92.5%) -6: 17-21-2 (44.7%) +10: 38-2-0 (95.0%) -10: 11-26-3 (29.7%) O/U: 18-22-0 (-0.62, 45.0%) avg total: 41.2 +6: 12-28-0 (30.0%) -6: 25-15-0 (62.5%) +10: 7-32-1 (17.9%) -10: 27-9-4 (75.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.9 115.6 30.0 17.6 179.6 1.6 3.5 6.2 3.0 6.0 18.8 Opp 26.6 110.0 33.2 21.2 226.6 1.7 4.3 7.2 4.3 5.7 21.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Fortyniners Packers home 8.5 48.0

PLAY ON 1H season away dog off a huge away dog loss (on JAX)

AD and p:AL and p:margin <= -31 and line < 14 and week < 11
SU: 19-8-0 (3.04, 70.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 22-4-1 (9.94, 84.6%) avg line: 6.9 +6: 24-3-0 (88.9%) -6: 19-6-2 (76.0%) +10: 26-1-0 (96.3%) -10: 13-12-2 (52.0%) O/U: 15-12-0 (-0.09, 55.6%) avg total: 40.8 +6: 5-20-2 (20.0%) -6: 18-8-1 (69.2%) +10: 3-24-0 (11.1%) -10: 21-6-0 (77.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 29.2 120.0 31.1 18.0 207.0 1.5 4.0 6.6 4.6 6.4 21.9 Opp 26.9 111.0 37.8 21.2 226.9 2.6 4.4 6.2 4.0 4.2 18.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Jaguars Colts away 9.0 48.0

OVER away fav after very easy win with huge time of possession and at least one rushing TD

AF and p:F and p:TOP - tA(p:TOP) > 125.3 and p:RTD > 0 and date >= 20101225
SU: 36-24-0 (3.30, 60.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-35-0 (-1.29, 41.7%) avg line: -4.6 +6: 37-21-2 (63.8%) -6: 14-46-0 (23.3%) +10: 45-15-0 (75.0%) -10: 13-47-0 (21.7%) O/U: 48-12-0 (8.93, 80.0%) avg total: 45.6 +6: 36-24-0 (60.0%) -6: 55-5-0 (91.7%) +10: 26-34-0 (43.3%) -10: 56-4-0 (93.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.5 120.1 36.2 23.4 269.0 1.3 5.9 9.2 5.8 7.9 28.9 Opp 26.3 111.9 34.1 21.3 252.0 1.6 5.1 7.2 4.8 8.3 25.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 Sunday 5 2015 Patriots Cowboys away -9.5

UNDER early season hot home team vs opponent not off a dog win (CIN/KC UNDER)

pW and 38 < total < 48.5 and H and WP > 72 and (opW) = False and week < 7
SU: 57-34-0 (3.80, 62.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 46-43-2 (0.91, 51.7%) avg line: -2.9 +6: 64-25-2 (71.9%) -6: 28-61-2 (31.5%) +10: 72-19-0 (79.1%) -10: 25-66-0 (27.5%) O/U: 29-60-2 (-2.15, 32.6%) avg total: 43.0 +6: 17-72-2 (19.1%) -6: 52-35-4 (59.8%) +10: 10-79-2 (11.2%) -10: 72-17-2 (80.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.8 112.0 34.3 20.5 224.0 1.7 4.0 6.5 4.7 6.9 22.3 Opp 26.2 99.2 34.2 21.2 230.2 1.9 3.6 6.0 4.5 4.3 18.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Bengals Chiefs home -4.0 44.0

OPPOSE and UNDER teams that came from behind in 4th quarter to win game that went over. (on JAX, JAX/IND under)

p:M3 < -4 and p:W and season > 2008 and p:O
SU: 32-42-0 (-1.62, 43.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-47-2 (-2.99, 34.7%) avg line: -1.4 +6: 45-27-2 (62.5%) -6: 12-61-1 (16.4%) +10: 56-18-0 (75.7%) -10: 12-62-0 (16.2%) O/U: 22-50-2 (-2.43, 30.6%) avg total: 45.5 +6: 18-56-0 (24.3%) -6: 45-29-0 (60.8%) +10: 13-59-2 (18.1%) -10: 53-20-1 (72.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.1 109.1 36.0 21.1 235.5 1.6 3.9 6.6 4.7 5.4 20.7 Opp 28.6 122.1 34.7 21.0 228.3 1.4 4.2 6.3 4.8 6.8 22.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Colts Jaguars home -9.0 48.0

PLAY ON away dogs in 2nd of b2b away games if same record as opponent (on JAX)

AD and p:A and WP = o:WP and season >= 2005 and game number < 15 and date < 20151010
SU: 33-45-0 (-2.40, 42.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 51-24-3 (2.42, 68.0%) avg line: 4.8 +6: 60-17-1 (77.9%) -6: 28-47-3 (37.3%) +10: 63-14-1 (81.8%) -10: 18-59-1 (23.4%) O/U: 42-32-4 (1.44, 56.8%) avg total: 43.4 +6: 30-46-2 (39.5%) -6: 53-25-0 (67.9%) +10: 20-53-5 (27.4%) -10: 58-20-0 (74.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.9 105.4 33.9 20.3 219.5 1.5 4.3 5.7 5.2 5.9 21.2 Opp 28.1 117.0 33.7 21.2 229.4 1.6 4.1 7.6 5.2 6.6 23.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Jaguars Colts away 9.0 48.0

OVER great margin teams off a dominant defensive first half (OVER with PIT, CIN, BUF games)

total > 40.5 and 15.6 > tA(margin) > 4 and week > 3 and P:total > 35.5 and pooints > 0 and po1 + po2 < 6 and line >= -16 and season >= 2010
SU: 87-53-0 (1.86, 62.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 67-70-3 (-1.35, 48.9%) avg line: -3.2 +6: 96-42-2 (69.6%) -6: 39-99-2 (28.3%) +10: 106-32-2 (76.8%) -10: 23-114-3 (16.8%) O/U: 101-37-2 (5.43, 73.2%) avg total: 46.2 +6: 64-74-2 (46.4%) -6: 113-24-3 (82.5%) +10: 42-95-3 (30.7%) -10: 118-20-2 (85.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.3 109.3 35.7 22.5 263.9 1.6 5.0 8.2 5.9 7.4 26.7 Opp 26.8 116.9 35.1 21.4 248.6 1.6 4.8 7.3 5.0 7.7 24.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Bills Giants home -5.5 46.5 Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Bengals Chiefs home -4.0 44.0 Oct 01, 2015 Thursday 4 2015 Steelers Ravens home 2.5 43.5

PLAY ON bad away dogs after a solid away loss (on JAX, on KC)

AD and 3.5 < line < 10 and 25 <= WP <= 40 and p:AL and p:margin <= -3
SU: 42-65-0 (-3.05, 39.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 74-32-1 (3.90, 69.8%) avg line: 6.9 +6: 87-20-0 (81.3%) -6: 43-61-3 (41.3%) +10: 94-12-1 (88.7%) -10: 27-75-5 (26.5%) O/U: 44-59-4 (-0.58, 42.7%) avg total: 40.7 +6: 27-79-1 (25.5%) -6: 69-36-2 (65.7%) +10: 23-84-0 (21.5%) -10: 81-26-0 (75.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.7 100.4 33.4 19.1 212.4 2.0 3.4 5.5 4.4 5.1 18.5 Opp 28.1 111.2 34.5 20.2 227.4 1.9 4.2 7.1 4.1 6.0 21.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Jaguars Colts away 9.0 48.0 Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Chiefs Bengals away 4.0 44.0

OPPOSE single digit home favs and small dogs playing terrible in 1H YTD (on CAR, on JAX, on NYJ, on CLE)

H and -10.5 < line < 4 and tA(M2) <= -4.37 and season > 2007 and game number > 2 and date < 20151008
SU: 88-113-0 (-2.38, 43.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 65-135-1 (-3.42, 32.5%) avg line: -1.0 +6: 122-75-4 (61.9%) -6: 39-157-5 (19.9%) +10: 147-52-2 (73.9%) -10: 29-169-3 (14.6%) O/U: 97-101-3 (0.84, 49.0%) avg total: 43.0 +6: 67-134-0 (33.3%) -6: 133-65-3 (67.2%) +10: 48-151-2 (24.1%) -10: 153-48-0 (76.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.8 118.8 34.1 20.6 220.1 1.7 4.0 6.5 4.3 5.8 20.7 Opp 28.7 124.2 32.8 20.0 216.3 1.5 4.6 6.6 4.7 7.1 23.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Dolphins Jets home 1.5 41.5 Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Colts Jaguars home -9.0 48.0 Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Buccaneers Panthers home 3.0 40.0 Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Chargers Browns home -7.5 45.0

OPPOSE teams that abandoned the run last week in a home fav loss (on MIA, on SD)

line > -10 and p:HFL and tA(p:rushes) - p:rushes > 8 and date > 20101225
SU: 18-42-0 (-5.22, 30.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 15-44-1 (-4.45, 25.4%) avg line: 0.8 +6: 28-31-1 (47.5%) -6: 12-48-0 (20.0%) +10: 37-21-2 (63.8%) -10: 11-49-0 (18.3%) O/U: 34-25-1 (2.43, 57.6%) avg total: 45.0 +6: 19-40-1 (32.2%) -6: 48-12-0 (80.0%) +10: 16-44-0 (26.7%) -10: 51-9-0 (85.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.6 115.7 34.5 20.7 223.7 1.9 3.9 6.8 4.7 5.7 21.1 Opp 29.6 125.0 32.5 20.6 232.6 1.4 5.0 7.5 5.8 8.0 26.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Jets Dolphins away -1.5 41.5 Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Browns Chargers away 7.5 45.0

PLAY ON away teams that stopped running the ball in last week's away game (on KC)

A and p:A and tA(p:rushes) - p:rushes > 9.7 and season > 2007
SU: 45-17-0 (5.74, 72.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 50-12-0 (5.93, 80.6%) avg line: 0.2 +6: 53-7-2 (88.3%) -6: 30-29-3 (50.8%) +10: 55-7-0 (88.7%) -10: 20-42-0 (32.3%) O/U: 33-27-2 (0.84, 55.0%) avg total: 44.2 +6: 20-40-2 (33.3%) -6: 45-17-0 (72.6%) +10: 14-48-0 (22.6%) -10: 49-13-0 (79.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.2 126.0 33.2 20.5 233.5 1.4 5.5 8.0 5.2 6.5 25.4 Opp 23.2 96.2 37.1 21.9 223.5 1.7 3.9 6.6 3.9 5.2 19.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2015 Sunday 4 2015 Chiefs Bengals away 4.0 44.0

 

[savage55]

FYI theres a week 5 and week 6 games in these SDQL's. Thanks again RT for this info

 

[1osubucks]

Bumping this up, was hard to find on phone..

 

[rolltide]

OPPOSE all teams on short rest after an OT game. (on Houston) 0-0 ytd

pvertime > 0 and rest < 5 SU: 5-18-0 (-8.52, 21.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 3-20-0 (-7.04, 13.0%) avg line: 1.5 +6: 9-12-2 (42.9%) -6: 1-22-0 (4.3%) +10: 14-8-1 (63.6%) -10: 1-22-0 (4.3%) O/U: 12-11-0 (1.46, 52.2%) avg total: 42.8 +6: 10-13-0 (43.5%) -6: 15-8-0 (65.2%) +10: 9-14-0 (39.1%) -10: 15-8-0 (65.2%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 21.9 87.0 37.4 22.2 223.9 2.1 2.8 6.7 3.6 4.5 17.9 Opp 32.2 133.4 32.3 19.4 230.9 1.5 6.0 8.2 6.0 6.0 26.4 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2015 view Thursday 5 2015 Colts Texans away -1.0 45.0

OVER away fav after very easy win with huge time of possession and at least one rushing TD. (DAL/NE over) 0-0 ytd

AF and p:F and p:TOP - tA(p:TOP) > 125.3 and p:RTD > 0 and date >= 20101225
SU: 36-24-0 (3.30, 60.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-35-0 (-1.29, 41.7%) avg line: -4.6 +6: 37-21-2 (63.8%) -6: 14-46-0 (23.3%) +10: 45-15-0 (75.0%) -10: 13-47-0 (21.7%) O/U: 48-12-0 (8.93, 80.0%) avg total: 45.6 +6: 36-24-0 (60.0%) -6: 55-5-0 (91.7%) +10: 26-34-0 (43.3%) -10: 56-4-0 (93.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.5 120.1 36.2 23.4 269.0 1.3 5.9 9.2 5.8 7.9 28.9 Opp 26.3 111.9 34.1 21.3 252.0 1.6 5.1 7.2 4.8 8.3 25.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Patriots Cowboys away -9.0 49.5

PLAY ON single digit favs off a bye scoring 35+ last game and non-elite opponent. (on New England) 0-0 ytd

p:week + 2 = week and F and line > -10 and o:WP < 58 and points > 34 and p:ats margin < 39
SU: 28-2-0 (9.73, 93.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 26-3-1 (5.00, 89.7%) avg line: -4.7 +6: 27-2-1 (93.1%) -6: 10-16-4 (38.5%) +10: 29-1-0 (96.7%) -10: 6-23-1 (20.7%) O/U: 13-17-0 (-1.12, 43.3%) avg total: 44.0 +6: 10-20-0 (33.3%) -6: 20-10-0 (66.7%) +10: 6-24-0 (20.0%) -10: 24-6-0 (80.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.2 141.5 30.8 19.0 225.6 1.1 5.0 9.2 5.6 6.4 26.3 Opp 23.2 88.9 34.8 20.8 217.3 1.9 3.9 4.5 3.0 5.1 16.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Patriots Cowboys away -9.0 49.5

PLAY ON a 1-3 team in divisional or non-conf game with decent defense if opponent off a win. (on Houston, on Cleveland) 0-0 ytd

wins = 1 and losses = 3 and op:W and line < 9 and (DIV or not C) and tA(ooints) < 27.5
SU: 22-10-0 (4.12, 68.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 26-4-2 (6.00, 86.7%) avg line: 1.9 +6: 29-3-0 (90.6%) -6: 16-16-0 (50.0%) +10: 31-1-0 (96.9%) -10: 10-22-0 (31.2%) O/U: 19-12-1 (3.44, 61.3%) avg total: 39.9 +6: 12-18-2 (40.0%) -6: 25-6-1 (80.6%) +10: 8-24-0 (25.0%) -10: 28-4-0 (87.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.7 124.0 29.4 18.1 198.3 1.3 5.5 7.6 4.8 5.8 23.8 Opp 25.2 106.2 36.6 21.1 225.8 2.3 3.1 5.6 4.2 6.8 19.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Browns Ravens away 6.5 43.0 Oct 08, 2015 view Thursday 5 2015 Texans Colts home 1.0 45.0

PLAY ON big away dog in 2nd of b2b away games after winning as away dog last week. (on St Louis) 0-0 ytd

A and line >= 7 and p:ADW and NB and p:line <= 7 and pp:H SU: 8-36-0 (-7.45, 18.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 33-11-0 (2.43, 75.0%) avg line: 9.9 +6: 35-8-1 (81.4%) -6: 12-31-1 (27.9%) +10: 39-5-0 (88.6%) -10: 8-35-1 (18.6%) O/U: 22-22-0 (-1.06, 50.0%) avg total: 42.6 +6: 13-31-0 (29.5%) -6: 27-16-1 (62.8%) +10: 8-35-1 (18.6%) -10: 34-10-0 (77.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.0 96.8 32.9 18.8 202.3 1.9 2.8 5.2 3.6 5.2 17.0 Opp 30.3 131.6 31.4 20.6 224.4 1.4 5.7 7.6 5.2 5.6 24.5 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Rams Packers away 9.0 46.0

PLAY ON solid road fav after their bye week (on New England) 0-0 ytd

AF and p:week + 2 = week and season > 2001 and line <= -3 SU: 46-8-0 (10.93, 85.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 40-13-1 (5.51, 75.5%) avg line: -5.4 +6: 46-6-2 (88.5%) -6: 21-33-0 (38.9%) +10: 52-2-0 (96.3%) -10: 16-37-1 (30.2%) O/U: 28-26-0 (1.75, 51.9%) avg total: 42.8 +6: 22-32-0 (40.7%) -6: 40-14-0 (74.1%) +10: 12-41-1 (22.6%) -10: 45-9-0 (83.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 31.2 135.4 29.7 19.2 218.6 1.0 6.5 7.5 5.8 7.9 27.7 Opp 24.2 97.7 34.8 20.6 211.9 2.2 3.3 5.0 3.1 5.4 16.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Patriots Cowboys away -9.0 49.5

OPPOSE away teams with inconsistent but strong YTD yards per pass play when facing non-elite opponent. (on Baltimore) 0-0 ytd

Sum(passing yards@team and season and season = season) / STDYPPA > 7.411 and p:YPPA > 7.223 and pp:YPPA < 7 and ppp:YPPA > 7 and A and o:WP < 66 and season > 1992 SU: 31-39-0 (-2.49, 44.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 19-50-1 (-6.09, 27.5%) avg line: -3.6 +6: 34-34-2 (50.0%) -6: 10-59-1 (14.5%) +10: 42-27-1 (60.9%) -10: 5-63-2 (7.4%) O/U: 40-28-2 (1.96, 58.8%) avg total: 44.9 +6: 20-48-2 (29.4%) -6: 51-17-2 (75.0%) +10: 15-54-1 (21.7%) -10: 58-11-1 (84.1%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.9 105.3 36.9 23.1 261.0 2.0 3.9 7.2 4.3 6.7 22.2 Opp 28.6 123.6 31.7 18.8 214.2 1.4 5.5 7.5 5.2 6.4 24.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Browns Ravens away 6.5 43.0

PLAY ON away dog when teams have same record. (on JAX, on CLE) 1-2 ytd

AD and p:A and WP = o:WP and season >= 2005 and game number < 15 and date < 20151012
SU: 33-46-0 (-2.41, 41.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 52-24-3 (2.41, 68.4%) avg line: 4.8 +6: 61-17-1 (78.2%) -6: 28-48-3 (36.8%) +10: 64-14-1 (82.1%) -10: 18-60-1 (23.1%) O/U: 42-33-4 (1.24, 56.0%) avg total: 43.4 +6: 30-47-2 (39.0%) -6: 53-26-0 (67.1%) +10: 20-54-5 (27.0%) -10: 58-21-0 (73.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.9 105.9 34.1 20.4 220.4 1.5 4.3 5.8 5.1 5.8 21.1 Opp 28.0 116.3 33.8 21.3 229.9 1.6 4.0 7.5 5.2 6.5 23.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Jaguars Buccaneers away 3.0 42.0 Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Browns Ravens away 6.5 43.0

PLAY ON low line away teams after terrible rushing performance. (on Indy) 4-0 YTD

-4 < line < 5.5 and p:rushing yards <= 60 and A and season >= 2004 and op:rushing yards <= 135 SU: 81-46-0 (3.17, 63.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 80-43-4 (4.21, 65.0%) avg line: 1.0 +6: 103-19-5 (84.4%) -6: 48-68-11 (41.4%) +10: 116-10-1 (92.1%) -10: 35-92-0 (27.6%) O/U: 58-69-0 (0.28, 45.7%) avg total: 42.4 +6: 33-94-0 (26.0%) -6: 87-36-4 (70.7%) +10: 26-101-0 (20.5%) -10: 101-24-2 (80.8%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.3 108.4 33.8 20.6 224.0 1.6 5.0 6.9 4.7 6.0 22.9 Opp 26.0 108.1 35.6 20.8 215.2 1.8 4.4 5.9 4.0 5.4 19.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Bills Titans away -2.5 42.0 Oct 08, 2015 view Thursday 5 2015 Colts Texans away -1.0 45.0

OPPOSE low line home team after bad defensive game and opponent off a close or OT loss. (on JAX) 0-0 ytd

H and -3 <= line <= 3 and pooints >= 29 and (op:margin >= -3 or opvertime = 1) and op:L SU: 34-47-0 (-2.01, 42.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-50-6 (-2.34, 33.3%) avg line: -0.3 +6: 56-22-3 (71.8%) -6: 17-62-2 (21.5%) +10: 65-16-0 (80.2%) -10: 9-72-0 (11.1%) O/U: 47-32-2 (6.07, 59.5%) avg total: 42.6 +6: 36-43-2 (45.6%) -6: 57-24-0 (70.4%) +10: 34-47-0 (42.0%) -10: 58-23-0 (71.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.9 117.2 34.8 20.8 228.6 2.0 5.1 6.2 4.8 6.8 23.3 Opp 27.9 114.3 35.6 21.6 238.8 1.6 4.8 8.0 6.1 6.1 25.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Buccaneers Jaguars home -3.0 42.0

PLAY ON low line away teams off a loss to drop them to .500 in a nondivisional game. (on PIT, on BUF) 0-1 ytd

A and NB and -3.5 < line < 3.5 and NDIV and p:L and season >= 2004 and WP = 50 SU: 21-6-0 (6.11, 77.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 22-4-1 (7.74, 84.6%) avg line: 1.6 +6: 26-1-0 (96.3%) -6: 14-8-5 (63.6%) +10: 26-1-0 (96.3%) -10: 10-17-0 (37.0%) O/U: 14-12-1 (0.50, 53.8%) avg total: 41.2 +6: 9-18-0 (33.3%) -6: 18-9-0 (66.7%) +10: 7-20-0 (25.9%) -10: 21-5-1 (80.8%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 32.8 127.8 31.0 19.6 222.6 1.7 5.5 5.6 5.9 6.7 23.9 Opp 22.5 86.8 36.1 20.7 217.9 2.4 3.5 6.6 2.4 5.3 17.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 12, 2015 view Monday 5 2015 Steelers Chargers away 3.0 45.5 Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Bills Titans away -2.5 42.0

UNDER road fav that just won in OT after trailing HT. (IND/HOU under) 1-0 ytd

A and p:HW and pIV and p:M2 < 0 and date >= 20101001 SU: 15-18-0 (-2.82, 45.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 16-17-0 (-0.27, 48.5%) avg line: 2.5 +6: 22-10-1 (68.8%) -6: 10-22-1 (31.2%) +10: 24-9-0 (72.7%) -10: 8-25-0 (24.2%) O/U: 6-26-1 (-6.00, 18.8%) avg total: 44.0 +6: 4-29-0 (12.1%) -6: 15-17-1 (46.9%) +10: 4-29-0 (12.1%) -10: 22-11-0 (66.7%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 24.8 101.8 33.8 19.8 197.7 1.3 2.7 6.2 4.2 4.4 17.6 Opp 27.6 115.6 34.4 20.8 226.5 1.4 3.3 6.9 4.9 5.3 20.4 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2015 view Thursday 5 2015 Colts Texans away -1.0 45.0

PLAY ON bad away team after away loss. (on CLE) 1-1 ytd

AD and 3.5 < line < 10 and 25 <= WP <= 40 and p:AL SU: 41-71-0 (-3.51, 36.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 75-36-1 (3.42, 67.6%) avg line: 6.9 +6: 90-22-0 (80.4%) -6: 43-66-3 (39.4%) +10: 97-14-1 (87.4%) -10: 26-81-5 (24.3%) O/U: 46-62-4 (-0.77, 42.6%) avg total: 40.6 +6: 28-83-1 (25.2%) -6: 72-38-2 (65.5%) +10: 23-88-1 (20.7%) -10: 85-27-0 (75.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.7 100.9 33.7 19.3 212.8 2.0 3.4 5.5 4.2 4.9 18.2 Opp 28.2 111.3 34.2 20.1 225.1 1.9 4.2 7.2 4.1 6.1 21.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Browns Ravens away 6.5 43.0

PLAY ON AFC conference dog after away loss with home game on deck. (on CLE) 0-1 ytd

ACD and p:AL and season >= 2005 and n:H and conference = AFC SU: 40-58-0 (-2.50, 40.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 70-28-0 (4.70, 71.4%) avg line: 7.2 +6: 75-21-2 (78.1%) -6: 42-53-3 (44.2%) +10: 81-16-1 (83.5%) -10: 29-65-4 (30.9%) O/U: 54-43-1 (1.03, 55.7%) avg total: 41.7 +6: 34-64-0 (34.7%) -6: 65-33-0 (66.3%) +10: 25-72-1 (25.8%) -10: 74-24-0 (75.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.2 110.5 31.2 19.2 203.8 1.6 3.7 5.2 5.1 6.0 20.1 Opp 28.3 120.6 32.8 19.9 218.0 1.7 4.6 7.1 5.0 5.8 22.6 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Browns Ravens away 6.5 43.0

PLAY ON big home favs vs team off a home dog win. (on ATL, on KC) 0-0 ytd

HF and -20 < line < -5 and op:HDW and game number >= 4 and season > 2002 SU: 82-6-0 (15.83, 93.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 63-24-1 (7.07, 72.4%) avg line: -8.8 +6: 78-10-0 (88.6%) -6: 45-40-3 (52.9%) +10: 83-5-0 (94.3%) -10: 36-51-1 (41.4%) O/U: 42-44-2 (-0.09, 48.8%) avg total: 43.0 +6: 27-60-1 (31.0%) -6: 61-27-0 (69.3%) +10: 17-70-1 (19.5%) -10: 68-20-0 (77.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 32.8 143.2 30.8 19.1 232.7 1.2 6.1 8.9 7.2 7.3 29.4 Opp 23.9 100.0 33.9 18.4 182.0 2.0 2.4 3.6 3.0 4.6 13.5 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Chiefs Bears home -9.0 44.5 Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Falcons Redskins home -7.0 48.0

PLAY ON away teams in low line game off a dog cover loss. (on JAX) 0-0 ytd

p:ats margin > 0 and p:LD and A and -3 <= line <= 3.5 and game number >= 4
SU: 59-53-0 (1.97, 52.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 84-27-1 (3.44, 75.7%) avg line: 1.5 +6: 96-16-0 (85.7%) -6: 32-76-4 (29.6%) +10: 104-7-1 (93.7%) -10: 20-91-1 (18.0%) O/U: 58-51-3 (2.99, 53.2%) avg total: 41.5 +6: 39-71-2 (35.5%) -6: 81-28-3 (74.3%) +10: 29-79-4 (26.9%) -10: 93-19-0 (83.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.7 115.3 34.0 20.4 228.5 1.8 3.9 7.5 5.2 6.6 23.2 Opp 26.6 109.1 34.2 19.8 214.9 1.9 4.6 5.5 4.5 6.5 21.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Jaguars Buccaneers away 3.0 42.0

OPPOSE single digit favs that abandoned the run in last week's home fav loss. (on DET, on TEN) 0-2 ytd

line > -10 and p:HFL and tA(p:rushes) - p:rushes > 8 and date > 20101225 SU: 19-58-0 (-7.44, 24.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 17-59-1 (-7.23, 22.4%) avg line: 0.2 +6: 33-43-1 (43.4%) -6: 13-64-0 (16.9%) +10: 46-29-2 (61.3%) -10: 12-65-0 (15.6%) O/U: 43-33-1 (2.52, 56.6%) avg total: 45.9 +6: 24-52-1 (31.6%) -6: 61-16-0 (79.2%) +10: 21-56-0 (27.3%) -10: 64-13-0 (83.1%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 24.1 105.3 35.2 21.9 224.3 2.0 3.6 6.7 4.8 5.3 20.5 Opp 29.4 124.5 32.8 21.5 240.9 1.3 4.9 8.4 6.9 7.7 27.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Cardinals Lions away -2.5 44.0 Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Bills Titans away -2.5 42.0

PLAY ON team off a bye week after allowing 35+. (on TENN) 0-0 ytd

p:week + 2 = week and pooints >= 35 and p:H and season > 1998 and o:WP < 85 SU: 17-11-1 (3.90, 60.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 22-6-1 (4.74, 78.6%) avg line: 0.8 +6: 26-3-0 (89.7%) -6: 10-17-2 (37.0%) +10: 28-1-0 (96.6%) -10: 6-21-2 (22.2%) O/U: 17-12-0 (1.28, 58.6%) avg total: 42.7 +6: 11-17-1 (39.3%) -6: 21-8-0 (72.4%) +10: 7-21-1 (25.0%) -10: 22-7-0 (75.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.1 105.6 34.0 21.1 230.4 1.5 4.2 7.1 5.0 7.6 23.9 Opp 26.5 106.9 35.4 20.5 228.1 2.0 4.7 5.3 3.2 6.5 20.0 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Titans Bills home 2.5 42.0

OPPOSE away favs in first half of season after home fav OT win. (on HOU) 1-0 ytd

AF and week > 1 and week < 8 and pvertime > 0 and p:W SU: 9-14-0 (-2.83, 39.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 5-18-0 (-6.22, 21.7%) avg line: -3.4 +6: 13-10-0 (56.5%) -6: 1-22-0 (4.3%) +10: 16-6-1 (72.7%) -10: 1-22-0 (4.3%) O/U: 12-11-0 (2.07, 52.2%) avg total: 41.8 +6: 8-15-0 (34.8%) -6: 15-5-3 (75.0%) +10: 6-17-0 (26.1%) -10: 20-3-0 (87.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.0 112.9 35.5 22.0 238.4 1.9 4.7 5.7 4.7 5.5 20.5 Opp 27.6 118.5 31.2 18.7 201.1 1.4 3.3 8.1 2.7 9.1 23.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 08, 2015 view Thursday 5 2015 Colts Texans away -1.0 45.0

OPPOSE favs 1H of season changing surface after OT win. (on CLE, on HOU) 0-0 ytd

F and 11 > week > 2 and pvertime > 0 and p:W and p:surface != surface SU: 16-18-0 (-1.85, 47.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 8-26-0 (-5.71, 23.5%) avg line: -3.9 +6: 18-15-1 (54.5%) -6: 4-30-0 (11.8%) +10: 25-9-0 (73.5%) -10: 3-31-0 (8.8%) O/U: 21-13-0 (3.94, 61.8%) avg total: 41.2 +6: 16-18-0 (47.1%) -6: 26-6-2 (81.2%) +10: 13-21-0 (38.2%) -10: 29-4-1 (87.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.0 123.5 35.1 21.7 240.6 2.2 4.9 6.6 4.4 5.6 21.6 Opp 27.6 117.6 30.5 18.3 194.3 1.6 4.4 6.6 4.2 8.1 23.5 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Ravens Browns home -6.5 43.0 Oct 08, 2015 view Thursday 5 2015 Colts Texans away -1.0 45.0

 

[varkeyboy]

Could anyone break this down w/ what the plays? Data comes up kinda screwy on my phone. If you can't, no worries.

 

[savage55]

Thnx RT. Love NE and that over. Im going to be in Vegas this weekend so that will be my big play for the weekend

 

[rolltide]

Eagles team one in play this week:

team = Eagles and p:A and points < 33 and NDIV and date > 20071201 and H
SU: 11-6-0 (8.06, 64.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 9-8-0 (4.47, 52.9%) avg line: -3.6 +6: 13-4-0 (76.5%) -6: 6-10-1 (37.5%) +10: 15-2-0 (88.2%) -10: 5-12-0 (29.4%) O/U: 16-1-0 (8.53, 94.1%) avg total: 46.9 +6: 9-7-1 (56.2%) -6: 17-0-0 (100.0%) +10: 6-10-1 (37.5%) -10: 17-0-0 (100.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.4 136.5 34.6 22.1 258.6 2.1 10.0 8.1 6.3 7.4 31.8 Opp 25.9 99.4 37.3 21.1 240.2 2.2 4.2 6.9 5.1 7.3 23.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Eagles Saints home -4.5 49.5

also early season total with a home team that went under in 4 straight....

ou streak = -4 and week < 7 and H and total > 36.5
SU: 9-6-0 (5.13, 60.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 8-7-0 (4.50, 53.3%) avg line: -0.6 +6: 11-4-0 (73.3%) -6: 5-9-1 (35.7%) +10: 13-2-0 (86.7%) -10: 5-10-0 (33.3%) O/U: 13-2-0 (8.23, 86.7%) avg total: 41.6 +6: 7-6-2 (53.8%) -6: 14-1-0 (93.3%) +10: 7-8-0 (46.7%) -10: 14-1-0 (93.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.3 128.5 34.5 21.0 251.1 2.0 4.4 9.7 5.3 7.9 27.5 Opp 26.9 117.1 32.1 17.9 202.1 1.9 4.5 7.5 3.9 6.5 22.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Eagles Saints home -4.5 49.5

 

[rolltide]

one more week specific

PLAY ON 1-3 home teams off a loss vs opponent off a win. (on Philly, on Houston, on KC)

wins = 1 and losses = 3 and op:W and p:L and H and line < 7
SU: 28-15-0 (4.67, 65.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 30-11-2 (4.91, 73.2%) avg line: 0.2 +6: 38-5-0 (88.4%) -6: 19-24-0 (44.2%) +10: 40-2-1 (95.2%) -10: 12-31-0 (27.9%) O/U: 22-20-1 (0.91, 52.4%) avg total: 40.8 +6: 15-27-1 (35.7%) -6: 30-12-1 (71.4%) +10: 10-33-0 (23.3%) -10: 35-8-0 (81.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.7 125.2 29.3 18.2 205.0 1.6 6.7 6.9 3.4 6.1 23.2 Opp 25.4 103.8 34.7 19.7 209.2 2.1 2.3 5.1 4.4 6.6 18.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Chiefs Bears home -9.0 44.5 Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Eagles Saints home -4.5 49.5 Oct 08, 2015 view Thursday 5 2015 Texans Colts home -4.0 41.0