NFL Systems 2015

[i'mshockedshocked]

Computer Group:

first trend : No good
NFL SDQL Query Access

points = 0 and p:AD and D
SU: 21-47-0 (-6.49, 30.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 33-35-0 (0.43, 48.5%) avg line: 6.9 +6: 45-22-1 (67.2%) -6: 22-45-1 (32.8%) +10: 55-13-0 (80.9%) -10: 16-51-1 (23.9%) O/U: 38-30-0 (2.38, 55.9%) avg total: 38.8 +6: 23-42-3 (35.4%) -6: 49-18-1 (73.1%) +10: 16-51-1 (23.9%) -10: 56-11-1 (83.6%)

 

[i'mshockedshocked]

Computer group:

and ur second trend has incredibly last happened 20 years ago and has only happened 3 times in history so data not large enough to draw conclusions

points > 30 and pooints = 0 and p:HF and AF and op:AW SU: 1-2-0 (-6.00, 33.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 0-3-0 (-12.33, 0.0%) avg line: -6.3 +6: 1-2-0 (33.3%) -6: 0-3-0 (0.0%) +10: 1-2-0 (33.3%) -10: 0-3-0 (0.0%) O/U: 2-1-0 (5.83, 66.7%) avg total: 39.5 +6: 1-1-1 (50.0%) -6: 2-1-0 (66.7%) +10: 1-2-0 (33.3%) -10: 2-1-0 (66.7%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 24.0 88.7 34.0 18.0 207.0 2.0 5.7 6.3 4.3 3.3 19.7 Opp 22.7 110.0 33.7 22.3 213.0 2.0 8.0 8.0 2.0 7.7 25.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 07, 1990 Sunday 5 1990 Chiefs Colts away 10-0 6-10 3-0 0-13 19-23 -6.5 36.0 -4 -10.5 6.0 -2.2 8.2 L L O 0 Sep 09, 1991 Monday 2 1991 Redskins Cowboys away 7-14 13-7 3-3 10-7 33-31 -2.5 40.5 2 -0.5 23.5 11.5 12.0 W L O 0 Sep 22, 1996 Sunday 4 1996 Fortyniners Panthers away 0-10 0-7 7-3 0-3 7-23 -10.0 42.0 -16 -26.0 -12.0 -19.0 7.0 L L U 0 Dec 20, 2015 view Sunday 15 2015 Panthers Giants away -5.5 48.0

 

[woodypaige]

Always appreciate your hard work. Good luck this weekend

 

[rolltide]

Roll......any trend/system showing how a team does coming off a shutout loss on the road & then is a dog in their 2nd of back to back games?


And how about a team like Carolina that got a shutout win & scored more than 30 points as a home fav & now is a road fav vsa home team coming off a road win SU


TIA!

sorry just seeing this now

as shocked pointed out there is really no history for that specific parameter but if you start pulling back the layers it opens up some interesting long-term success

hope this helps....

away team after scoring 28+ and allowing 16 or less as a home favorite now either fav or tiny dog vs opponent off an away game they either won or lost by no more than FG

points > 27 and pooints < 17 and p:HF and A and line < 2 and op:A and op:margin > -4
SU: 34-41-0 (-0.89, 45.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 18-55-2 (-4.99, 24.7%) avg line: -4.1 +6: 37-32-6 (53.6%) -6: 12-63-0 (16.0%) +10: 49-24-2 (67.1%) -10: 8-66-1 (10.8%) O/U: 43-32-0 (2.49, 57.3%) avg total: 42.5 +6: 23-49-3 (31.9%) -6: 54-20-1 (73.0%) +10: 18-57-0 (24.0%) -10: 63-12-0 (84.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.2 107.0 34.6 21.0 232.0 1.8 4.2 8.4 4.3 5.0 22.0 Opp 26.3 107.3 32.7 19.8 220.6 1.7 4.2 6.4 4.8 7.5 22.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 20, 2015 view Sunday 15 2015 Panthers Giants away -4.0 48.5 Dec 20, 2015 view Sunday 15 2015 Packers Raiders away -3.5 48.0

 

[rolltide]

Merry Christmas folks....

OPPOSE away team after scoring 28+ and allowing 16 or less as a home favorite now either fav or tiny dog vs opponent off an away game they either won or lost by no more than FG (on NY JETS)

points > 27 and pooints < 17 and p:HF and A and line < 2 and op:A and op:margin > -4 SU: 36-41-0 (-0.70, 46.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 19-56-2 (-4.80, 25.3%) avg line: -4.1 +6: 39-32-6 (54.9%) -6: 12-64-1 (15.8%) +10: 51-24-2 (68.0%) -10: 8-68-1 (10.5%) O/U: 45-32-0 (2.79, 58.4%) avg total: 42.6 +6: 24-50-3 (32.4%) -6: 56-20-1 (73.7%) +10: 19-58-0 (24.7%) -10: 65-12-0 (84.4%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.2 107.8 34.8 21.1 232.4 1.8 4.4 8.4 4.5 5.0 22.4 Opp 26.3 108.1 33.1 20.0 221.3 1.7 4.2 6.4 4.8 7.5 23.1 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Patriots Jets away -3.0 45.5

OVER after team allowed a 12+ catch game by opposing receiver and did not create 3+ turnovers or allow 2+ rushing TDs (DEN over)

maxo:receptions > 11 and po:turnovers < 3 and season > 2003 and game number < 17 and po:rushing touchdowns < 2
SU: 39-31-0 (1.56, 55.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 42-28-0 (1.35, 60.0%) avg line: -0.2 +6: 48-21-1 (69.6%) -6: 29-40-1 (42.0%) +10: 54-15-1 (78.3%) -10: 20-48-2 (29.4%) O/U: 48-19-3 (5.50, 71.6%) avg total: 43.4 +6: 32-38-0 (45.7%) -6: 57-12-1 (82.6%) +10: 23-47-0 (32.9%) -10: 61-8-1 (88.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.9 109.7 34.6 21.3 235.9 1.5 5.6 7.8 4.4 7.4 25.2 Opp 27.8 121.6 35.1 21.3 233.0 1.9 4.1 7.7 4.6 7.3 23.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 28, 2015 view Monday 16 2015 Broncos Bengals home -3.0 40.5

PLAY ON away team off away loss last week within 3 points of pick 'em (on CHI)

A and p:AL and -3.5 < line < 3.5 and NB and date > 20031101 and surface = grass
SU: 68-25-0 (4.58, 73.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 66-23-4 (5.03, 74.2%) avg line: 0.4 +6: 77-14-2 (84.6%) -6: 44-45-4 (49.4%) +10: 81-12-0 (87.1%) -10: 34-57-2 (37.4%) O/U: 52-40-1 (2.06, 56.5%) avg total: 41.8 +6: 31-62-0 (33.3%) -6: 65-27-1 (70.7%) +10: 26-66-1 (28.3%) -10: 72-20-1 (78.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.1 121.4 32.3 19.7 222.4 1.5 4.7 6.4 4.8 8.0 24.2 Opp 25.8 107.1 34.1 19.9 213.5 2.2 3.9 5.9 4.4 5.4 19.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Bears Buccaneers away 3.0 45.5

week 2+ play against home team off ADL vs opponent off ADL (on CHI)

p:ADL and op:ADL and H and not DIV and C
SU: 35-47-0 (-2.13, 42.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-57-0 (-4.35, 30.5%) avg line: -2.2 +6: 41-41-0 (50.0%) -6: 16-66-0 (19.5%) +10: 52-27-3 (65.8%) -10: 11-71-0 (13.4%) O/U: 34-45-3 (-1.61, 43.0%) avg total: 40.3 +6: 18-61-3 (22.8%) -6: 53-26-3 (67.1%) +10: 11-71-0 (13.4%) -10: 59-23-0 (72.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.3 121.7 33.5 19.0 201.0 2.0 3.5 5.3 3.8 5.6 18.3 Opp 28.4 114.8 31.4 18.4 195.6 1.5 3.7 6.3 3.7 6.6 20.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Buccaneers Bears home -3.0 45.5

play ON ndiv home team off 33+ points scored (on DET)

rest != 6 and points > 32 and H and NDIV and REG and line > -13 and o:rest < 14 and op:margin > -15 and total >= 43
SU: 53-17-0 (10.30, 75.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 49-18-3 (5.69, 73.1%) avg line: -4.6 +6: 56-14-0 (80.0%) -6: 34-33-3 (50.7%) +10: 61-7-2 (89.7%) -10: 27-40-3 (40.3%) O/U: 29-39-2 (-0.92, 42.6%) avg total: 47.0 +6: 18-52-0 (25.7%) -6: 45-24-1 (65.2%) +10: 9-59-2 (13.2%) -10: 59-10-1 (85.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 29.1 124.7 32.9 21.1 251.1 1.4 6.6 8.4 6.3 6.9 28.2 Opp 23.8 91.3 37.2 22.4 231.1 2.1 3.5 5.7 3.6 5.1 17.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Lions Fortyniners home -10.0 43.0

PLAY ON late seasons dogs or small fav that lost by 45+ ATS in last 5 weeks (on PHI, on INDY)

p:ats margin + pp:ats margin + ppp:ats margin + pppp:ats margin + ppppp:ats margin <= -45 and WP < 57 and date > 20071120 and line >= -7 and total >= 38
SU: 70-97-0 (-2.35, 41.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 105-58-4 (2.44, 64.4%) avg line: 4.8 +6: 129-37-1 (77.7%) -6: 65-100-2 (39.4%) +10: 140-27-0 (83.8%) -10: 37-128-2 (22.4%) O/U: 73-88-6 (-0.31, 45.3%) avg total: 45.1 +6: 48-118-1 (28.9%) -6: 106-58-3 (64.6%) +10: 35-130-2 (21.2%) -10: 128-38-1 (77.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.9 117.9 33.4 20.0 215.9 1.6 4.2 6.3 4.8 5.8 21.2 Opp 27.2 118.3 35.5 22.0 240.9 1.5 5.0 7.5 4.7 6.2 23.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Colts Dolphins away 2.5 44.0 Dec 26, 2015 view Saturday 16 2015 Eagles Redskins home -3.0 47.5

UNDER come from behind 4th quarter win in a game that went over (PIT under)

p:M3 <= -5 and p:W and season > 2007 and p:O
SU: 47-44-0 (0.97, 51.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 39-50-2 (-0.84, 43.8%) avg line: -1.8 +6: 61-28-2 (68.5%) -6: 22-68-1 (24.4%) +10: 72-19-0 (79.1%) -10: 17-72-2 (19.1%) O/U: 27-62-2 (-2.73, 30.3%) avg total: 45.0 +6: 21-69-1 (23.3%) -6: 54-37-0 (59.3%) +10: 16-73-2 (18.0%) -10: 65-25-1 (72.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.2 114.6 35.0 20.8 230.4 1.5 4.4 6.4 4.8 5.8 21.6 Opp 28.0 120.8 34.9 21.0 224.4 1.5 3.8 6.3 4.4 6.0 20.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Steelers Ravens away -10.0 47.5

oppose teams that scored 27+ last game while getting badly outrushed (on BAL)

points > 26 and p:rushing yards < 40 and 222 >= po:rushing yards >= 100 and pooints < 39 and po:rushing yards - p:rushing yards > 73
SU: 5-19-0 (-10.58, 20.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 3-20-1 (-9.17, 13.0%) avg line: 1.4 +6: 9-15-0 (37.5%) -6: 2-22-0 (8.3%) +10: 10-14-0 (41.7%) -10: 2-22-0 (8.3%) O/U: 11-13-0 (3.44, 45.8%) avg total: 42.1 +6: 7-17-0 (29.2%) -6: 17-6-1 (73.9%) +10: 7-17-0 (29.2%) -10: 19-4-1 (82.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 24.5 99.5 36.5 20.3 202.9 1.9 4.5 5.2 3.1 4.7 17.5 Opp 31.2 140.8 28.6 18.0 199.2 1.4 4.3 9.8 6.9 7.0 28.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Steelers Ravens away -10.0 47.5

play low line away teams off terrible rushing performance (on INDY)

-4 < line < 5.5 and p:rushing yards <= 60 and A and season >= 2004 and op:rushing yards <= 135
SU: 84-40-0 (3.62, 67.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 82-38-4 (4.62, 68.3%) avg line: 1.0 +6: 102-21-1 (82.9%) -6: 53-64-7 (45.3%) +10: 111-12-1 (90.2%) -10: 38-86-0 (30.6%) O/U: 55-68-1 (0.08, 44.7%) avg total: 42.7 +6: 31-92-1 (25.2%) -6: 85-35-4 (70.8%) +10: 23-101-0 (18.5%) -10: 101-21-2 (82.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.7 114.7 34.0 20.9 232.2 1.5 4.7 6.8 5.2 6.2 23.2 Opp 25.6 109.6 35.4 20.8 212.8 1.8 4.1 6.1 3.7 5.6 19.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Colts Dolphins away 2.5 44.0

PLAY ON late season away team that just lost a close game to drop to 2+ games below .500 and playing a non-elite opponent (on INDY, on DALL)

streak > -9 and wins - losses <= -2 and week > 7 and -7 < p:margin < 0 and A and o:WP >= 15 and points > 8 and -15 < tA(margin) < .81 and otA(margin) <= 7 and rest > 3 and otA(oassing yards) < 272
SU: 98-136-0 (-2.24, 41.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 163-66-5 (3.50, 71.2%) avg line: 5.7 +6: 190-43-1 (81.5%) -6: 91-135-8 (40.3%) +10: 202-29-3 (87.4%) -10: 58-172-4 (25.2%) O/U: 114-116-4 (0.74, 49.6%) avg total: 40.4 +6: 82-148-4 (35.7%) -6: 152-74-8 (67.3%) +10: 57-175-2 (24.6%) -10: 181-52-1 (77.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.7 110.9 32.9 19.1 201.3 1.8 3.7 5.9 4.0 5.7 19.5 Opp 28.4 116.6 33.1 19.4 213.5 1.8 4.6 6.8 4.1 6.0 21.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Cowboys Bills away 6.0 43.0 Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Colts Dolphins away 2.5 44.0

oppose late season small dog or fav home teams that won <=4 games LY (on SD, on NE, on CHI) also 1-16-1 ATS if opponent has >8 wins already (on NE)

game number > 9 and PRSW < 5 and H and WP >= 37 and line < 4 and season >= 2000
SU: 62-69-0 (-0.09, 47.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 41-85-5 (-3.33, 32.5%) avg line: -3.2 +6: 74-55-2 (57.4%) -6: 24-102-5 (19.0%) +10: 94-34-3 (73.4%) -10: 18-111-2 (14.0%) O/U: 52-75-4 (-1.00, 40.9%) avg total: 43.1 +6: 33-97-1 (25.4%) -6: 81-47-3 (63.3%) +10: 25-105-1 (19.2%) -10: 101-29-1 (77.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.9 121.5 33.6 20.1 213.7 1.7 4.7 6.2 4.1 5.9 21.0 Opp 27.9 122.0 32.3 19.4 212.6 1.4 3.4 6.4 4.7 6.5 21.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Buccaneers Bears home -3.0 45.5 Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Jets Patriots home 3.0 45.5 Dec 24, 2015 view Thursday 16 2015 Raiders Chargers home -5.0 47.0

oppose late season dogs of 3+ that have won more than 3/4 of their games (on CINCY)

line > 2.5 and week > 11 and WP >= 77
SU: 13-59-0 (-8.33, 18.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 19-50-3 (-3.33, 27.5%) avg line: 5.0 +6: 43-26-3 (62.3%) -6: 13-59-0 (18.1%) +10: 51-18-3 (73.9%) -10: 7-64-1 (9.9%) O/U: 36-33-3 (1.36, 52.2%) avg total: 42.5 +6: 23-48-1 (32.4%) -6: 47-24-1 (66.2%) +10: 20-52-0 (27.8%) -10: 55-17-0 (76.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 24.3 95.5 35.1 19.8 206.8 2.0 3.3 5.6 4.0 4.8 17.8 Opp 30.5 126.3 32.8 20.5 233.2 1.3 5.0 7.7 6.3 7.1 26.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 28, 2015 view Monday 16 2015 Bengals Broncos away 3.0 40.5

play away conference dogs after away loss with home game coming (on CHI, on CLE)

ACD and p:AL and season >= 2005 and n:H
SU: 78-120-1 (-3.84, 39.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 125-73-1 (2.72, 63.1%) avg line: 6.6 +6: 150-45-4 (76.9%) -6: 77-115-7 (40.1%) +10: 163-35-1 (82.3%) -10: 48-145-6 (24.9%) O/U: 104-91-4 (0.46, 53.3%) avg total: 42.7 +6: 65-130-4 (33.3%) -6: 138-61-0 (69.3%) +10: 42-152-5 (21.6%) -10: 150-48-1 (75.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.9 108.6 33.0 19.8 208.9 1.7 3.9 5.8 4.5 5.3 19.7 Opp 28.3 120.6 33.4 20.7 227.8 1.7 4.8 7.0 5.1 6.4 23.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Bears Buccaneers away 3.0 45.5 Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Browns Chiefs away 12.0 43.0

play against home team getting outscored badly at HT all year (on HOU)

H and 4 > line > -11.5 and tA(M2) <= -4.37 and season > 2007 and game number > 2 and points < 20
SU: 51-73-0 (-3.58, 41.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 34-90-0 (-4.33, 27.4%) avg line: -0.7 +6: 74-48-2 (60.7%) -6: 17-104-3 (14.0%) +10: 90-33-1 (73.2%) -10: 12-111-1 (9.8%) O/U: 56-64-4 (-0.42, 46.7%) avg total: 42.2 +6: 37-87-0 (29.8%) -6: 79-44-1 (64.2%) +10: 24-99-1 (19.5%) -10: 87-37-0 (70.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.7 118.9 33.9 20.1 214.2 1.7 3.9 6.0 3.8 5.3 19.1 Opp 29.9 131.6 30.6 18.5 197.6 1.4 4.2 6.2 5.1 7.1 22.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Titans Texans home -4.5

OVER two teams that couldn't run last week (MIA over)

p:RY < 50 and op:RY < 75 and season >= 2002 and o:WP < 100 and WP >= 20 and date < 20160101
SU: 54-29-0 (3.94, 65.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 45-38-0 (2.58, 54.2%) avg line: -1.4 +6: 60-21-2 (74.1%) -6: 32-50-1 (39.0%) +10: 65-17-1 (79.3%) -10: 26-56-1 (31.7%) O/U: 58-24-1 (3.58, 70.7%) avg total: 43.4 +6: 30-51-2 (37.0%) -6: 68-12-3 (85.0%) +10: 19-63-1 (23.2%) -10: 74-6-3 (92.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.4 124.0 34.9 21.7 241.8 1.5 5.2 7.7 5.7 6.5 25.4 Opp 26.0 114.7 34.3 20.7 216.7 1.8 3.7 7.4 4.4 5.9 21.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Dolphins Colts home -2.5 44.0

OPPOSE favorites trying to avenge loss this or last season off of b2b covers (on ST LOUIS) - under also 16-3 L19

p:line < 3 and pp:line < 3 and pp:ats margin > 0 and p:ats margin > 0 and P:L and F and season > 2005 and line < -2 and (P:season = season or P:season = season -1)
SU: 32-26-0 (0.69, 55.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 13-45-0 (-5.18, 22.4%) avg line: -5.9 +6: 31-26-1 (54.4%) -6: 9-49-0 (15.5%) +10: 40-16-2 (71.4%) -10: 8-50-0 (13.8%) O/U: 26-31-1 (-1.55, 45.6%) avg total: 44.9 +6: 17-41-0 (29.3%) -6: 36-21-1 (63.2%) +10: 12-46-0 (20.7%) -10: 40-16-2 (71.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.7 101.1 36.1 21.4 236.7 1.7 3.7 7.2 4.5 6.7 22.0 Opp 28.9 123.2 33.8 20.3 212.9 1.6 4.0 6.0 4.4 6.9 21.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Seahawks Rams home -13.5 40.5

 

[rolltide]

UNDER first of two b2b divisional games to end the season, home team 9 or less wins (PIT under, SEA under, NYJETS under, OAK under, ATL under, PHI under, HOU under)

DIV and nIV and week = 16 and season > 2007 and Pu margin > -18.5 and A and o:wins < 11
SU: 13-14-0 (-1.59, 48.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 11-15-1 (-1.11, 42.3%) avg line: 0.5 +6: 18-7-2 (72.0%) -6: 5-21-1 (19.2%) +10: 23-4-0 (85.2%) -10: 3-24-0 (11.1%) O/U: 5-21-1 (-7.19, 19.2%) avg total: 43.9 +6: 2-25-0 (7.4%) -6: 13-14-0 (48.1%) +10: 2-25-0 (7.4%) -10: 17-10-0 (63.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.2 104.8 33.7 20.9 212.7 1.6 2.8 5.9 3.5 5.2 17.6 Opp 28.3 115.1 32.6 19.5 204.9 1.6 4.3 5.2 5.2 4.3 19.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Panthers Falcons away -7.0 47.5 Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Patriots Jets away -3.0 45.5 Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Steelers Ravens away -10.0 47.5 Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Rams Seahawks away 13.5 40.5 Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Texans Titans away 4.5 Dec 26, 2015 view Saturday 16 2015 Redskins Eagles away 3.0 47.5 Dec 24, 2015 view Thursday 16 2015 Chargers Raiders away 5.0 47.0

OPPOSE any 13-0 or great unbeaten team (on ATL)

wins >= 13 and losses = 0 SU: 7-6-0 (1.46, 53.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 1-12-0 (-9.77, 7.7%) avg line: -11.2 +6: 5-8-0 (38.5%) -6: 0-13-0 (0.0%) +10: 5-7-1 (41.7%) -10: 0-13-0 (0.0%) O/U: 5-8-0 (-0.81, 38.5%) avg total: 46.1 +6: 3-10-0 (23.1%) -6: 5-8-0 (38.5%) +10: 3-10-0 (23.1%) -10: 8-4-1 (66.7%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 24.3 105.2 36.8 22.9 243.5 1.5 3.1 8.9 5.8 5.6 23.4 Opp 28.5 129.4 34.8 21.3 221.1 1.3 4.8 4.9 5.3 6.8 21.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Panthers Buccaneers home -10.0 Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Panthers Falcons away -7.0 47.5

OPPOSE vikings as fav before playing packers (on NYG)

team = Vikings and no:team = Packers and F and rest < 9 and op:margin < 14
SU: 9-12-0 (-3.52, 42.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 2-19-0 (-8.81, 9.5%) avg line: -5.3 +6: 11-10-0 (52.4%) -6: 1-20-0 (4.8%) +10: 12-8-1 (60.0%) -10: 0-20-1 (0.0%) O/U: 9-12-0 (-3.60, 42.9%) avg total: 42.0 +6: 5-16-0 (23.8%) -6: 13-8-0 (61.9%) +10: 4-17-0 (19.0%) -10: 15-6-0 (71.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 24.7 89.0 33.4 20.9 216.5 1.9 4.0 4.9 4.0 4.5 17.4 Opp 29.5 109.6 31.8 20.3 217.9 1.7 3.6 8.0 3.1 6.2 21.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Vikings Giants home -5.5 45.5

 

[rolltide]

oppose late season dogs of 3+ that have won more than 3/4 of their games (on DENVER)

line > 2.5 and week > 11 and WP >= 77
SU: 13-59-0 (-8.33, 18.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 19-50-3 (-3.33, 27.5%) avg line: 5.0 +6: 43-26-3 (62.3%) -6: 13-59-0 (18.1%) +10: 51-18-3 (73.9%) -10: 7-64-1 (9.9%) O/U: 36-33-3 (1.36, 52.2%) avg total: 42.5 +6: 23-48-1 (32.4%) -6: 47-24-1 (66.2%) +10: 20-52-0 (27.8%) -10: 55-17-0 (76.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 24.3 95.5 35.1 19.8 206.8 2.0 3.3 5.6 4.0 4.8 17.8 Opp 30.5 126.3 32.8 20.5 233.2 1.3 5.0 7.7 6.3 7.1 26.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 28, 2015 view Monday 16 2015 Bengals Broncos away 3.0 40.5

fixed (note these favs are also 22-4 L26 incl 17-2 ATS regular season vs 5-2 ATS playoffs)

 

[MactheKnife]

Wow that's a lot of work my man well done thanks for the info best of luck with your action and Merry Christmas

 

[savage55]

Merry xmas RT. Thanks for all that you do

 

[DertyD]

I oppose late season dogs...you wrote ON CIN, but wouldn't that be ON DEN?

 

[DertyD]

Sorry Rolltide I see your correction.

Special holiday thank you for all your contributions!

 

[powerz]

Merry Christmas RT - Thanks for all your Hard work at the RX in 2015! All the best in 2016

 

[i'mshockedshocked]

Merry Christmas Rolltide! ...Holiday cheers for one of the very best threads on this forum.

 

[rolltide]

PLAY ON late season big favs not involved in very close game last week and playing an opponent on 3+ game losing streak that lost by 1-5 TD last week (on PIT)

week > 13 and F and line < -8 and -30 < op:margin < -6 and o:streak < -2 and (p:margin < -3 or p:margin > 3) SU: 45-4-0 (18.47, 91.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 40-9-0 (6.51, 81.6%) avg line: -12.0 +6: 41-8-0 (83.7%) -6: 25-21-3 (54.3%) +10: 44-4-1 (91.7%) -10: 18-31-0 (36.7%) O/U: 21-27-1 (2.01, 43.8%) avg total: 41.3 +6: 15-32-2 (31.9%) -6: 35-11-3 (76.1%) +10: 12-37-0 (24.5%) -10: 40-8-1 (83.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.7 145.5 30.8 19.8 235.0 1.2 6.4 10.5 7.4 6.6 30.9 Opp 23.1 84.2 31.6 16.3 157.9 2.1 2.0 3.1 2.9 4.5 12.4 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 27, 2015 view Sunday 16 2015 Steelers Ravens away -10.0 47.5

 

[butkus51]

thanks for all you do Tide,Merry Christmas

 

[1osubucks]

bump for snf..

 

[rolltide]

OPPOSE mid-to-late season away teams off a great performance playing home team off a terrible performance (on GB) - also 1-21 if team has >3 wins, like minnesota

A and p:margin > 19 and op:margin < -12 and opp:margin >= 0 and op:ats margin < -16.5 and p:dpa > -21 and week > 4 SU: 9-21-0 (-5.57, 30.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 4-26-0 (-7.60, 13.3%) avg line: -2.0 +6: 12-18-0 (40.0%) -6: 3-27-0 (10.0%) +10: 19-9-2 (67.9%) -10: 2-28-0 (6.7%) O/U: 15-15-0 (1.43, 50.0%) avg total: 41.9 +6: 9-20-1 (31.0%) -6: 19-11-0 (63.3%) +10: 8-22-0 (26.7%) -10: 21-7-2 (75.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.7 105.5 32.6 19.9 208.8 1.8 2.8 5.2 5.8 5.0 18.9 Opp 31.1 138.2 29.9 17.9 203.4 1.4 5.2 6.7 5.8 6.6 24.5 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Vikings Packers away 3.0 45.5

oppose away teams with huge STDYPPA against non-elite teams (on ATL)

STDYPPA > 7.411 and p:YPPA > 7.223 and pp:YPPA < 7 and ppp:YPPA > 7 and A and o:WP < 66 and season > 1992
SU: 32-39-0 (-2.52, 45.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 19-51-1 (-6.21, 27.1%) avg line: -3.7 +6: 35-34-2 (50.7%) -6: 10-60-1 (14.3%) +10: 43-27-1 (61.4%) -10: 4-65-2 (5.8%) O/U: 41-28-2 (2.06, 59.4%) avg total: 44.8 +6: 21-48-2 (30.4%) -6: 51-18-2 (73.9%) +10: 16-54-1 (22.9%) -10: 58-12-1 (82.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.9 104.3 37.2 23.3 263.2 2.0 3.7 7.1 4.5 6.7 22.2 Opp 28.5 123.8 31.8 18.9 215.3 1.4 5.5 7.4 5.4 6.3 24.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Saints Falcons away 4.0 52.5

PLAY ON teams dog or favored by less than a TD that lost by 45+ ATS in last 5 weeks (on PHI) - best before week 14 though

p:ats margin + pp:ats margin + ppp:ats margin + pppp:ats margin + ppppp:ats margin <= -45 and WP < 57 and date > 20071120 and line >= -7 and total >= 38 SU: 71-98-0 (-2.37, 42.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 106-59-4 (2.36, 64.2%) avg line: 4.7 +6: 130-38-1 (77.4%) -6: 66-101-2 (39.5%) +10: 141-28-0 (83.4%) -10: 37-130-2 (22.2%) O/U: 74-89-6 (-0.31, 45.4%) avg total: 45.1 +6: 49-119-1 (29.2%) -6: 107-59-3 (64.5%) +10: 36-131-2 (21.6%) -10: 129-39-1 (76.8%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.8 117.4 33.5 20.1 216.5 1.5 4.2 6.3 4.8 5.8 21.2 Opp 27.1 117.8 35.6 22.1 241.7 1.5 5.0 7.4 4.7 6.2 23.6 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Eagles Giants away 3.5 51.5

OPPOSE winning favs off SU home dog win (on BUFF)

F and WP > 50 and p:HDW and season >= 2003 and p:line < 5.5 SU: 19-24-0 (-1.95, 44.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 8-34-1 (-5.79, 19.0%) avg line: -3.8 +6: 21-21-1 (50.0%) -6: 6-36-1 (14.3%) +10: 29-13-1 (69.0%) -10: 5-38-0 (11.6%) O/U: 19-21-3 (-0.07, 47.5%) avg total: 42.8 +6: 12-31-0 (27.9%) -6: 28-14-1 (66.7%) +10: 11-32-0 (25.6%) -10: 32-9-2 (78.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.9 97.0 36.7 22.4 247.0 2.1 3.1 5.4 4.3 7.3 20.4 Opp 27.5 106.4 34.2 20.4 227.6 1.3 3.9 7.4 4.9 5.7 22.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Jets Bills away -3.0 42.5

oppose teams off OT away loss not off a bye week (on BAL)

H and pvertime = 1 and p:AL and NB and penalties <= 8 and points + pooints < 63 SU: 25-49-0 (-3.64, 33.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 18-54-2 (-5.64, 25.0%) avg line: -2.0 +6: 34-39-1 (46.6%) -6: 12-61-1 (16.4%) +10: 44-28-2 (61.1%) -10: 10-64-0 (13.5%) O/U: 44-28-2 (4.45, 61.1%) avg total: 41.6 +6: 32-41-1 (43.8%) -6: 54-19-1 (74.0%) +10: 29-45-0 (39.2%) -10: 64-10-0 (86.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.1 116.6 35.2 20.7 219.0 2.2 3.9 6.4 4.8 6.1 21.2 Opp 28.9 115.1 31.4 18.8 214.2 1.5 5.5 7.5 5.4 6.5 24.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Bengals Ravens home -9.0 41.5

week 2+ OVER MNF loser vs opponent off a win (CIN/BAL over)

p:MNF and p:L and op:W and 4.5 > p:line > -8 and season > 2000
SU: 25-30-0 (-0.35, 45.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-29-1 (0.21, 46.3%) avg line: 0.6 +6: 35-19-1 (64.8%) -6: 17-37-1 (31.5%) +10: 42-11-2 (79.2%) -10: 13-40-2 (24.5%) O/U: 38-14-3 (5.42, 73.1%) avg total: 44.7 +6: 24-30-1 (44.4%) -6: 46-9-0 (83.6%) +10: 22-33-0 (40.0%) -10: 49-6-0 (89.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.3 114.6 36.7 22.4 247.1 1.9 5.3 7.9 4.6 6.9 24.9 Opp 26.4 114.0 34.8 21.2 241.0 1.7 4.9 6.9 5.6 7.8 25.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Bengals Ravens home -9.0 41.5

OVER elite teams after allowing less than six 1H points but not a shutout (CIN over, NYJ over, ARI over, KC over)

season = 2015 and total > 40.5 and 15.6 > tA(margin) > 4 and week > 3 and P:total > 35.5 and pooints > 0 and po1 + po2 < 6 and line >= -16 and season >= 2010
SU: 14-9-0 (4.39, 60.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 9-11-3 (0.54, 45.0%) avg line: -3.8 +6: 16-6-1 (72.7%) -6: 5-17-1 (22.7%) +10: 20-2-1 (90.9%) -10: 5-18-0 (21.7%) O/U: 12-11-0 (2.78, 52.2%) avg total: 45.3 +6: 8-15-0 (34.8%) -6: 17-5-1 (77.3%) +10: 7-15-1 (31.8%) -10: 19-4-0 (82.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.6 107.8 37.5 24.6 282.3 1.3 6.3 6.4 5.7 7.5 26.2 Opp 24.1 98.1 37.3 22.4 239.1 1.6 3.6 6.3 4.5 6.8 21.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Bengals Ravens home -9.0 41.5 Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Jets Bills away -3.0 42.5 Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Cardinals Seahawks home -6.5 47.0 Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Chiefs Raiders home -7.0 43.5

oppose big away dogs after b2b home dog and a win (on CINCY)

A and p:HDW and pp:HD and line > 4.5
SU: 7-53-0 (-13.37, 11.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 18-41-1 (-4.50, 30.5%) avg line: 8.9 +6: 33-25-2 (56.9%) -6: 11-49-0 (18.3%) +10: 40-19-1 (67.8%) -10: 7-53-0 (11.7%) O/U: 27-32-1 (0.36, 45.8%) avg total: 40.6 +6: 16-43-1 (27.1%) -6: 40-20-0 (66.7%) +10: 12-48-0 (20.0%) -10: 48-11-1 (81.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 24.4 100.3 32.2 17.7 176.1 1.9 2.1 3.9 2.7 5.0 13.8 Opp 32.2 131.7 31.8 19.1 213.9 1.3 5.3 8.0 6.4 7.5 27.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Ravens Bengals away 9.0 41.5

play low line away teams off terrible rushing performance (on PHI)

-4 < line < 5.5 and p:rushing yards <= 60 and A and season >= 2004 and op:rushing yards <= 135 SU: 85-40-0 (3.64, 68.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 83-38-4 (4.65, 68.6%) avg line: 1.0 +6: 103-21-1 (83.1%) -6: 54-64-7 (45.8%) +10: 112-12-1 (90.3%) -10: 38-87-0 (30.4%) O/U: 55-69-1 (-0.03, 44.4%) avg total: 42.7 +6: 31-93-1 (25.0%) -6: 85-36-4 (70.2%) +10: 23-102-0 (18.4%) -10: 101-22-2 (82.1%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.7 114.6 34.0 20.8 231.7 1.5 4.8 6.8 5.2 6.2 23.2 Opp 25.6 109.4 35.4 20.8 213.3 1.8 4.1 6.1 3.7 5.6 19.5 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Eagles Giants away 3.5 51.5

PLAY ON 2H season bad away team off a close loss and playing a non-elite opponent (on SD)

wins - losses <= -2 and week > 7 and -7 < p:margin < 0 and A and o:WP >= 15 and points > 8 and -15 < tA(margin) < .81 and otA(margin) <= 7 and rest > 3 and otA(oassing yards) < 272 SU: 99-144-0 (-2.49, 40.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 167-71-5 (3.35, 70.2%) avg line: 5.8 +6: 196-46-1 (81.0%) -6: 93-142-8 (39.6%) +10: 210-30-3 (87.5%) -10: 58-181-4 (24.3%) O/U: 116-123-4 (0.39, 48.5%) avg total: 40.4 +6: 83-155-5 (34.9%) -6: 154-81-8 (65.5%) +10: 57-184-2 (23.7%) -10: 186-56-1 (76.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.5 110.1 32.8 19.0 199.9 1.8 3.7 5.8 3.9 5.6 19.1 Opp 28.5 117.1 33.1 19.4 213.5 1.8 4.6 6.8 4.2 6.0 21.6 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Chargers Broncos away 9.0 41.0

game 16 play on divisional team off a loss, small fav or underdog, within 20 percentage points of WP (on SF)

game number = 16 and -20 < WP - o:WP < 0 and DIV and line > -6.5 and P:margin > -27 and P:M3 < 13 SU: 37-34-0 (0.83, 52.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 51-19-1 (3.80, 72.9%) avg line: 3.0 +6: 61-9-1 (87.1%) -6: 27-43-1 (38.6%) +10: 64-7-0 (90.1%) -10: 17-54-0 (23.9%) O/U: 32-38-1 (0.35, 45.7%) avg total: 41.9 +6: 24-47-0 (33.8%) -6: 48-23-0 (67.6%) +10: 18-51-2 (26.1%) -10: 55-14-2 (79.7%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.0 115.7 33.5 19.8 215.8 1.6 3.9 6.5 3.7 7.1 21.5 Opp 28.0 119.4 31.4 18.6 204.9 1.5 3.7 6.6 4.4 6.0 20.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Fortyniners Rams home 3.5 37.0

play under away team that won as a home div game after trailing HT (OAK/KC under)

A and p:HW and pIV and p:M2 < 0 and date >= 20101001 SU: 16-19-0 (-2.54, 45.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 17-17-1 (0.07, 50.0%) avg line: 2.6 +6: 24-10-1 (70.6%) -6: 11-23-1 (32.4%) +10: 26-9-0 (74.3%) -10: 9-26-0 (25.7%) O/U: 8-26-1 (-4.06, 23.5%) avg total: 44.1 +6: 5-30-0 (14.3%) -6: 17-17-1 (50.0%) +10: 5-30-0 (14.3%) -10: 24-11-0 (68.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 24.9 101.6 33.9 20.1 201.9 1.3 3.1 6.3 4.4 4.9 18.7 Opp 27.6 114.3 35.0 21.6 238.3 1.5 3.5 7.2 5.2 5.3 21.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Raiders Chiefs away 7.0 43.5

PLAY ON away team off b2b 0 turnovers vs team off a turnover (on MIN, on STL, on NO)

A and p:TO = 0 and pp:TO = 0 and season > 2005 and op:TO > 0 and game number > 5 SU: 49-26-0 (4.65, 65.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 52-20-3 (5.27, 72.2%) avg line: 0.6 +6: 60-14-1 (81.1%) -6: 38-35-2 (52.1%) +10: 63-12-0 (84.0%) -10: 26-46-3 (36.1%) O/U: 36-38-1 (0.48, 48.6%) avg total: 44.6 +6: 21-51-3 (29.2%) -6: 50-24-1 (67.6%) +10: 14-60-1 (18.9%) -10: 59-15-1 (79.7%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.9 121.3 34.1 21.1 241.5 1.3 4.5 8.3 5.7 6.3 24.9 Opp 25.3 113.2 35.4 20.6 222.0 2.0 4.4 6.1 3.9 5.8 20.2 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Saints Falcons away 4.0 52.5 Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Rams Fortyniners away -3.5 37.0 Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Vikings Packers away 3.0 45.5

play bad away dogs after an away loss (on SD, on JAX)

AD and 3.5 < line < 10 and 25 <= WP <= 40 and p:AL
SU: 47-71-0 (-3.15, 39.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 81-36-1 (3.76, 69.2%) avg line: 6.9 +6: 95-23-0 (80.5%) -6: 49-66-3 (42.6%) +10: 103-14-1 (88.0%) -10: 28-84-6 (25.0%) O/U: 49-65-4 (-0.43, 43.0%) avg total: 41.0 +6: 32-85-1 (27.4%) -6: 76-40-2 (65.5%) +10: 27-90-1 (23.1%) -10: 90-28-0 (76.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.5 99.8 33.9 19.5 213.3 1.9 3.4 5.7 4.3 5.1 18.7 Opp 28.3 111.6 34.9 20.8 232.2 1.9 4.4 6.9 4.1 6.2 21.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Chargers Broncos away 9.0 41.0 Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Jaguars Texans away 6.0 45.5

PLAY ON big home favs vs non-elite opponent off home dog win (on CIN)

HF and -20 < line < -5 and op:HDW and game number >= 4 and season > 2002 and o:WP < 66 SU: 80-5-0 (16.16, 94.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 60-24-1 (7.33, 71.4%) avg line: -8.8 +6: 76-9-0 (89.4%) -6: 43-39-3 (52.4%) +10: 81-3-1 (96.4%) -10: 36-48-1 (42.9%) O/U: 44-39-2 (1.14, 53.0%) avg total: 43.1 +6: 29-55-1 (34.5%) -6: 62-23-0 (72.9%) +10: 18-66-1 (21.4%) -10: 70-15-0 (82.4%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.3 145.1 30.9 19.2 233.4 1.1 6.6 9.1 7.3 7.2 30.2 Opp 23.5 99.1 34.2 18.7 184.0 2.2 2.6 3.5 3.0 4.8 14.0 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Bengals Ravens home -9.0 41.5

play against home team getting outscored badly at HT (on STL)

H and 4 > line > -11.5 and tA(M2) <= -4.37 and season > 2007 and game number > 2 and points < 20
SU: 51-73-0 (-3.58, 41.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 34-90-0 (-4.33, 27.4%) avg line: -0.7 +6: 74-48-2 (60.7%) -6: 17-104-3 (14.0%) +10: 90-33-1 (73.2%) -10: 12-111-1 (9.8%) O/U: 56-64-4 (-0.42, 46.7%) avg total: 42.2 +6: 37-87-0 (29.8%) -6: 79-44-1 (64.2%) +10: 24-99-1 (19.5%) -10: 87-37-0 (70.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.7 118.9 33.9 20.1 214.2 1.7 3.9 6.0 3.8 5.3 19.1 Opp 29.9 131.6 30.6 18.5 197.6 1.4 4.2 6.2 5.1 7.1 22.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Fortyniners Rams home 3.5 37.0

oppose teams that abandoned the run last game while losing as a home fav (on ARI, on NYG)

line > -10 and p:HFL and tA(p:rushes) - p:rushes > 8 and date > 20101225
SU: 22-48-0 (-4.36, 31.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 22-47-1 (-3.51, 31.9%) avg line: 0.8 +6: 36-32-2 (52.9%) -6: 14-56-0 (20.0%) +10: 46-22-2 (67.6%) -10: 13-57-0 (18.6%) O/U: 40-29-1 (2.46, 58.0%) avg total: 44.9 +6: 25-44-1 (36.2%) -6: 56-14-0 (80.0%) +10: 21-49-0 (30.0%) -10: 59-11-0 (84.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.0 116.9 34.3 20.7 223.2 1.8 3.7 7.2 4.5 6.0 21.5 Opp 29.0 120.5 33.2 20.8 236.0 1.5 4.9 7.0 5.9 7.8 25.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Seahawks Cardinals away 6.5 47.0 Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Eagles Giants away 3.5 51.5

OVER big dog off loss where they threw for nearly 100 yards below season avg (CLE/PIT over)

tA(pY) - pY >= 95 and line > 6 and -30 <= p:margin < 0 and wins - losses > -10 and date >= 20091101 SU: 7-29-0 (-9.06, 19.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 21-15-0 (-0.61, 58.3%) avg line: 8.4 +6: 24-12-0 (66.7%) -6: 9-27-0 (25.0%) +10: 26-10-0 (72.2%) -10: 6-29-1 (17.1%) O/U: 27-9-0 (8.49, 75.0%) avg total: 45.1 +6: 21-14-1 (60.0%) -6: 29-7-0 (80.6%) +10: 19-17-0 (52.8%) -10: 30-6-0 (83.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.0 110.7 34.4 21.0 232.6 1.6 4.3 6.8 4.6 6.1 22.2 Opp 27.7 124.0 33.0 22.3 267.8 1.4 6.2 9.2 7.9 8.0 31.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Browns Steelers home 10.5 47.0

OVER teams that went under by 7+ in b2b2b games (NO/ATL over)

pu margin <= -7 and ppu margin <= -7 and pppu margin <= -7 and date > 20101010 and week > 5 SU: 12-25-1 (-4.84, 32.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 15-23-0 (-4.05, 39.5%) avg line: 0.8 +6: 22-16-0 (57.9%) -6: 4-34-0 (10.5%) +10: 26-12-0 (68.4%) -10: 4-34-0 (10.5%) O/U: 28-10-0 (4.63, 73.7%) avg total: 41.2 +6: 16-22-0 (42.1%) -6: 33-5-0 (86.8%) +10: 9-27-2 (25.0%) -10: 34-4-0 (89.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.6 116.5 33.8 20.2 216.1 1.7 3.2 6.3 4.6 6.4 20.5 Opp 30.2 126.5 30.8 18.7 220.3 1.0 4.7 7.6 5.8 6.9 25.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Falcons Saints home -4.0 52.5

 

[amarp21]

thanks tide

 

[rolltide]

OVER team after b2b 3+ TD pass games vs opponent with at least 4 passing TD's in past two games. (NO/ATL over)

pTD >= 3 and ppTD >= 3 and poTD + ppoTD > 3 and season > 2003 SU: 53-56-0 (-0.12, 48.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 48-60-1 (-2.72, 44.4%) avg line: -2.6 +6: 59-50-0 (54.1%) -6: 25-82-2 (23.4%) +10: 72-34-3 (67.9%) -10: 20-87-2 (18.7%) O/U: 77-31-1 (5.36, 71.3%) avg total: 47.4 +6: 52-57-0 (47.7%) -6: 86-22-1 (79.6%) +10: 38-70-1 (35.2%) -10: 93-15-1 (86.1%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.8 104.8 37.7 23.8 272.0 1.8 5.0 8.5 5.7 7.1 26.3 Opp 27.8 130.2 32.9 20.1 237.8 1.5 5.0 7.8 5.6 8.0 26.4 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Saints Falcons away 5.5 53.0

 

[rolltide]

PLAY ON week 17 teams that have just 1 or 2 less losses than opponent as long as they won at least 3 games. (on New Orleans)

week = 17 and -3 < wins - o:wins < 0 and wins > 2
SU: 77-47-0 (2.61, 62.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 85-36-3 (4.13, 70.2%) avg line: 1.5 +6: 103-21-0 (83.1%) -6: 51-70-3 (42.1%) +10: 109-15-0 (87.9%) -10: 28-94-2 (23.0%) O/U: 60-63-1 (2.92, 48.8%) avg total: 41.0 +6: 51-72-1 (41.5%) -6: 88-36-0 (71.0%) +10: 40-81-3 (33.1%) -10: 98-22-4 (81.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 29.1 124.3 32.7 19.5 216.2 1.7 4.1 7.2 4.5 7.2 23.3 Opp 26.7 111.6 32.8 19.2 207.3 1.9 4.3 6.5 3.8 6.0 20.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 03, 2016 view Sunday 17 2015 Saints Falcons away 5.5 52.5