NFL Systems 2015

[1osubucks]

bumping this.. ty tide

 

[amarp21]

bump

 

[TomandJerry]

any systems this week?

 

[rolltide]

OVER after MNF fav loss vs opponent off a win. (SD over)

p:MNF and p:FL and op:W and p:line > -8 and season > 2000
SU: 16-9-0 (8.36, 64.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 15-10-0 (5.96, 60.0%) avg line: -2.4 +6: 19-6-0 (76.0%) -6: 13-12-0 (52.0%) +10: 20-4-1 (83.3%) -10: 12-13-0 (48.0%) O/U: 20-4-1 (7.42, 83.3%) avg total: 45.3 +6: 11-13-1 (45.8%) -6: 23-2-0 (92.0%) +10: 10-15-0 (40.0%) -10: 24-1-0 (96.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 31.6 136.7 35.2 22.4 259.0 1.8 7.2 8.8 6.6 7.7 30.5 Opp 21.5 83.8 36.8 21.8 242.9 2.0 4.0 5.4 5.2 7.5 22.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Chargers Packers away 10.5 50.5

OPPOSE team after away win out west coming back east to play opponent that was just in east. (on ARI, on CLE)

(p:time zone = P or p:time zone = M) and NB and time zone = E and p:AW and op:time zone = E and season > 1992
SU: 42-50-0 (-1.76, 45.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 27-61-4 (-4.17, 30.7%) avg line: -2.4 +6: 51-40-1 (56.0%) -6: 18-74-0 (19.6%) +10: 64-27-1 (70.3%) -10: 11-81-0 (12.0%) O/U: 48-42-2 (0.63, 53.3%) avg total: 41.2 +6: 29-61-2 (32.2%) -6: 62-29-1 (68.1%) +10: 20-71-1 (22.0%) -10: 70-21-1 (76.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.3 106.8 33.4 18.8 212.8 1.9 3.1 6.1 5.3 5.5 20.0 Opp 29.2 109.2 33.7 20.2 211.6 1.8 4.0 6.7 5.1 6.0 21.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Broncos Browns away -4.0 42.5 Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Steelers Cardinals home 3.0 44.5

OVER with away fav off a fav win with great time of possession and a rushing TD. (CIN over)

F and p:F and p:TOP - tA(p:TOP) > 125.3 and p:RTD > 0 and date >= 20101225
SU: 37-24-0 (3.64, 60.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 26-35-0 (-1.02, 42.6%) avg line: -4.7 +6: 38-21-2 (64.4%) -6: 15-46-0 (24.6%) +10: 46-15-0 (75.4%) -10: 14-47-0 (23.0%) O/U: 48-13-0 (8.55, 78.7%) avg total: 45.6 +6: 36-25-0 (59.0%) -6: 55-6-0 (90.2%) +10: 26-35-0 (42.6%) -10: 56-5-0 (91.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.4 119.9 36.0 23.3 268.6 1.3 5.8 9.2 5.9 8.0 28.9 Opp 26.2 111.7 34.2 21.3 250.6 1.6 5.1 7.1 4.8 8.2 25.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Bengals Bills away -3.5 42.5

PLAY ON big home fav before bye week (on GB)

H and -12 <= line <= -6 and n:week = 2 + week and 20151020 > date > 20010909
SU: 61-5-0 (16.88, 92.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 53-13-0 (8.55, 80.3%) avg line: -8.3 +6: 59-6-1 (90.8%) -6: 35-30-1 (53.8%) +10: 62-4-0 (93.9%) -10: 32-34-0 (48.5%) O/U: 34-30-2 (0.65, 53.1%) avg total: 43.1 +6: 18-47-1 (27.7%) -6: 46-19-1 (70.8%) +10: 9-57-0 (13.6%) -10: 55-11-0 (83.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 32.6 143.7 32.2 20.7 225.2 1.4 6.3 9.4 5.9 8.4 30.3 Opp 22.4 85.5 33.4 19.0 182.0 2.3 1.9 5.1 3.2 3.3 13.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Packers Chargers home -10.5 50.5

UNDER come from behind 4th quarter win in a game that went over. (CLE under, CIN under)

p:M3 <= -5 and p:W and season > 2007 and p:O
SU: 42-43-0 (0.29, 49.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 34-49-2 (-1.34, 41.0%) avg line: -1.6 +6: 55-28-2 (66.3%) -6: 18-66-1 (21.4%) +10: 66-19-0 (77.6%) -10: 16-68-1 (19.0%) O/U: 25-58-2 (-2.39, 30.1%) avg total: 45.1 +6: 20-65-0 (23.5%) -6: 51-34-0 (60.0%) +10: 15-68-2 (18.1%) -10: 61-23-1 (72.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.7 111.7 35.3 21.0 232.9 1.5 4.4 6.4 4.8 5.7 21.5 Opp 28.2 120.5 34.5 20.9 225.7 1.5 4.0 6.4 4.5 6.2 21.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Bengals Bills away -3.5 42.5 Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Browns Broncos home 4.0 42.5

OPPOSE short week team off OT game. (on New Orleans)

pvertime > 0 and rest < 5
SU: 6-18-0 (-7.88, 25.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 4-20-0 (-6.27, 16.7%) avg line: 1.6 +6: 10-12-2 (45.5%) -6: 2-22-0 (8.3%) +10: 15-8-1 (65.2%) -10: 2-22-0 (8.3%) O/U: 13-11-0 (1.60, 54.2%) avg total: 42.8 +6: 10-14-0 (41.7%) -6: 16-8-0 (66.7%) +10: 9-15-0 (37.5%) -10: 16-8-0 (66.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 22.2 88.0 37.0 22.0 223.5 2.0 3.1 6.5 3.7 4.6 18.2 Opp 32.0 131.2 32.7 19.9 236.3 1.5 5.7 8.3 6.0 5.9 26.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2015 view Thursday 6 2015 Falcons Saints away -3.5 51.5

OPPOSE and OVER team off big offensive game that has no defense (DEN and DEN/CLE over)

6.34 >= tA(o:YPPL) >= 5.44 and D and 1057 >= p:TY + pp:TY >= 890 and pooints > 20 SU: 5-28-0 (-12.21, 15.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 6-27-0 (-7.42, 18.2%) avg line: 4.8 +6: 13-19-1 (40.6%) -6: 5-28-0 (15.2%) +10: 16-17-0 (48.5%) -10: 3-29-1 (9.4%) O/U: 22-9-2 (3.89, 71.0%) avg total: 48.0 +6: 17-16-0 (51.5%) -6: 27-6-0 (81.8%) +10: 11-22-0 (33.3%) -10: 30-3-0 (90.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 24.8 100.8 39.1 22.3 251.4 2.1 4.1 5.8 4.2 5.8 19.8 Opp 32.0 142.2 30.7 20.2 244.0 1.2 6.8 10.2 6.7 8.4 32.0 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Browns Broncos home 4.0 42.5 PLAY ON away team off b2b games with no turnovers and a lot of points scored. (on NE) A and p:TO = 0 and pp:TO = 0 and 37 >= points >= 20 and p:margin >= -3 and opooints >= 10 SU: 78-45-0 (3.41, 63.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 81-39-3 (3.99, 67.5%) avg line: 0.6 +6: 102-20-1 (83.6%) -6: 55-65-3 (45.8%) +10: 107-16-0 (87.0%) -10: 38-82-3 (31.7%) O/U: 62-57-4 (1.22, 52.1%) avg total: 42.5 +6: 37-83-3 (30.8%) -6: 83-38-2 (68.6%) +10: 28-94-1 (23.0%) -10: 100-21-2 (82.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.9 118.4 32.2 19.6 226.3 1.5 4.3 7.3 5.8 6.2 23.6 Opp 26.6 111.7 34.7 20.2 218.3 1.9 3.6 6.6 3.6 6.2 20.2 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Patriots Colts away -8.0 55.0

PLAY ON team after terrible offensive 1H vs opponent that scored 32+. (on PIT)

p1 + p2 <= 3 and H and line > 2 and opoints >= 32 SU: 56-76-0 (-2.80, 42.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 82-45-5 (3.69, 64.6%) avg line: 6.5 +6: 107-25-0 (81.1%) -6: 55-70-7 (44.0%) +10: 116-15-1 (88.5%) -10: 35-95-2 (26.9%) O/U: 75-55-2 (1.73, 57.7%) avg total: 42.8 +6: 44-85-3 (34.1%) -6: 94-38-0 (71.2%) +10: 30-99-3 (23.3%) -10: 104-26-2 (80.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.7 117.4 32.2 18.8 205.2 1.9 4.3 6.1 4.4 6.0 20.9 Opp 27.2 112.5 34.2 21.1 244.1 1.8 4.9 7.3 5.5 6.1 23.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Steelers Cardinals home 3.0 44.5

PLAY ON away team after a terrible rushing performance. (on MIAMI)

-4 < line < 5.5 and p:rushing yards <= 60 and A and season >= 2004 and op:rushing yards <= 135 SU: 79-38-0 (3.85, 67.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 77-36-4 (4.79, 68.1%) avg line: 0.9 +6: 97-19-1 (83.6%) -6: 49-61-7 (44.5%) +10: 106-10-1 (91.4%) -10: 36-81-0 (30.8%) O/U: 51-66-0 (-0.13, 43.6%) avg total: 42.6 +6: 29-88-0 (24.8%) -6: 80-33-4 (70.8%) +10: 22-95-0 (18.8%) -10: 94-21-2 (81.7%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.7 114.7 34.0 20.8 230.5 1.5 4.8 6.6 5.3 6.1 23.1 Opp 25.8 109.6 35.6 20.9 212.9 1.8 4.1 6.2 3.5 5.5 19.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Dolphins Titans away 2.0 43.5

PLAY ON bad away dogs after an away loss. (on WAS)

AD and 3.5 < line < 10 and 25 <= WP <= 40 and p:AL SU: 43-70-0 (-3.28, 38.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 77-35-1 (3.64, 68.8%) avg line: 6.9 +6: 91-22-0 (80.5%) -6: 45-65-3 (40.9%) +10: 98-14-1 (87.5%) -10: 27-81-5 (25.0%) O/U: 47-62-4 (-0.52, 43.1%) avg total: 40.7 +6: 30-82-1 (26.8%) -6: 72-39-2 (64.9%) +10: 25-87-1 (22.3%) -10: 85-28-0 (75.2%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.5 100.1 33.8 19.5 215.3 1.9 3.4 5.6 4.3 5.0 18.5 Opp 28.2 111.3 34.5 20.3 228.0 1.9 4.4 7.0 4.1 6.2 21.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Redskins Jets away 6.0 40.5

OPPOSE home teams with terrible 1H differential. (on CHI)

H and 4 > line > -11.5 and tA(M2) <= -4.37 and season > 2007 and game number > 2 and points < 20 and date < 20151025 SU: 45-73-0 (-4.20, 38.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 30-88-0 (-4.89, 25.4%) avg line: -0.7 +6: 68-48-2 (58.6%) -6: 14-101-3 (12.2%) +10: 84-33-1 (71.8%) -10: 10-108-0 (8.5%) O/U: 54-61-3 (-0.43, 47.0%) avg total: 42.0 +6: 36-82-0 (30.5%) -6: 75-42-1 (64.1%) +10: 23-94-1 (19.7%) -10: 83-35-0 (70.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.5 118.5 33.9 20.0 211.1 1.8 3.8 5.9 3.8 5.2 18.7 Opp 30.2 134.7 30.4 18.3 195.1 1.4 4.4 6.2 5.0 7.2 22.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Lions Bears home -3.0 43.5

OPPOSE low line team after allowing 30+. (on BAL)

op:L and op:margin > -4 and pooints >= 30 and -3 <= line <= 3 and H and week > 4 and o:WP <= 60 SU: 11-33-0 (-5.61, 25.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 11-33-0 (-5.93, 25.0%) avg line: -0.3 +6: 22-19-3 (53.7%) -6: 3-40-1 (7.0%) +10: 31-13-0 (70.5%) -10: 1-43-0 (2.3%) O/U: 23-19-2 (2.55, 54.8%) avg total: 41.6 +6: 17-25-2 (40.5%) -6: 32-12-0 (72.7%) +10: 16-28-0 (36.4%) -10: 33-11-0 (75.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.4 106.3 33.3 19.0 199.0 2.2 4.7 6.2 3.2 5.1 19.2 Opp 29.7 120.6 33.0 20.1 220.1 1.5 4.3 7.6 6.1 6.7 24.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Fortyniners Ravens home 2.5 44.0

PLAY ON midseason avenging home dog. (on New Orleans)

8 > week > 3 and 2.5 < line < 7.5 and P:L and P:season = season -1 and P:margin > -23 and season > 1992 and HD and date < 20151020 SU: 25-28-0 (-0.49, 47.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 37-13-3 (3.86, 74.0%) avg line: 4.3 +6: 43-10-0 (81.1%) -6: 21-29-3 (42.0%) +10: 43-10-0 (81.1%) -10: 15-36-2 (29.4%) O/U: 28-23-2 (2.83, 54.9%) avg total: 41.7 +6: 19-32-2 (37.3%) -6: 41-10-2 (80.4%) +10: 16-37-0 (30.2%) -10: 45-8-0 (84.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.7 116.3 33.5 19.2 201.7 1.5 4.8 6.7 3.7 6.8 22.0 Opp 27.3 114.9 35.5 21.1 236.3 1.8 4.5 6.4 4.8 6.7 22.5 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 15, 2015 view Thursday 6 2015 Saints Falcons home 3.5 51.5

OPPOSE early season away favs off an OT win. (on NO, on BUF)

AF and game number <= 6 and pvertime > 0 and p:W SU: 8-14-0 (-3.27, 36.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 4-18-0 (-6.64, 18.2%) avg line: -3.4 +6: 12-10-0 (54.5%) -6: 1-21-0 (4.5%) +10: 15-6-1 (71.4%) -10: 1-21-0 (4.5%) O/U: 12-10-0 (3.07, 54.5%) avg total: 41.6 +6: 8-14-0 (36.4%) -6: 15-4-3 (78.9%) +10: 6-16-0 (27.3%) -10: 20-2-0 (90.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.8 112.4 36.1 22.5 240.5 2.0 4.5 5.8 4.9 5.5 20.7 Opp 27.7 119.3 30.5 18.3 198.5 1.4 3.5 8.5 2.9 9.0 24.0 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Bengals Bills away -3.5 42.5 Oct 15, 2015 view Thursday 6 2015 Falcons Saints away -3.5 51.5

 

[savage55]

Thanx RT.. Appreciate you getting this out before tonight's game. Really like New Orleans now

 

[TomandJerry]

Thanks Rolltide for your time. Good luck this week !!!

 

[samca]

Is this supporting Washington this weekend against the Jets? I appreciate the info but have a tough time understanding who it favors? Washington correct?

 

[savage55]

Is this supporting Washington this weekend against the Jets? I appreciate the info but have a tough time understanding who it favors? Washington correct?

When it says "ON" that's who the system is supporting.. use the systems as support cuz as u will see some cancel e/o out..

 

[rolltide]

Thanx RT.. Appreciate you getting this out before tonight's game. Really like New Orleans now

nice. was some great stuff pointing to them for sure


add:

PLAY ON solid dogs that lost as >TD fav last week where they did not trail by more than a TD at HT. (on Kansas City)

p:line < -6.5 and p:L and line > 2 and p:M2 > -7 and season > 1992 SU: 31-45-0 (-2.36, 40.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 49-22-5 (3.38, 69.0%) avg line: 5.7 +6: 63-12-1 (84.0%) -6: 30-44-2 (40.5%) +10: 64-12-0 (84.2%) -10: 19-54-3 (26.0%) O/U: 35-39-2 (-1.19, 47.3%) avg total: 42.9 +6: 17-58-1 (22.7%) -6: 46-30-0 (60.5%) +10: 13-63-0 (17.1%) -10: 58-16-2 (78.4%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.8 116.2 33.5 20.1 211.8 1.5 3.7 6.1 4.0 5.8 19.7 Opp 27.6 120.1 34.0 20.8 231.5 1.8 4.4 6.6 4.3 6.5 22.1 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Chiefs Vikings away 3.5 43.0

 

[rolltide]

I don't bet against the Steelers and won't today since I'm going to a party and don't want to be the guy rooting for the Cardinals


but today is a terrible spot for them.


First off teams after a MNF win are just 1-16 ATS in the following game including 0-10 ATS if playing a non-divisional opponent, failing to cover by 15 ppg. The Steelers as a franchise have struggled with this a lot...win or lose on MNF they are 1-11 ATS at home after a MNF away game failing to cover by an avg of 10 ppg. As noted above any team playing EST after a PST away win are 27-61-4 ATS if opponent played in EST last week, which Arizona did (in Detroit).


then there's the fact that the Steelers defense were on the field all 2H last week. SD took the ball over with 1:26 before HT and ran 55 plays for nearly 300 yards the rest of the way. They should have easily won the game (first downs were 16-1 in 2H before the Steelers game winning drive) but made too many mistakes including the pick-6, a missed FG, and a fumble. Temps were nearly 100 on the field and they lost Will Allen early in the game and both Allen and Shazier are out today with another CB, Cortez Allen, limited with knee injury. Their two best lineman, Heyward and Tuitt, were clearly exhausted and Arizona have the #3 offensive hog index in NFL


I'm not expecting much out of the Steelers today...hope I'm wrong

 

[savage55]

Thanks again Roll.. I needed S.D. to score that TD for perfect day. 3-1 is still a great day in my books. Have you been doing anything post season baseball?

 

[rolltide]

PLAY ON team after bye and huge offense before bye week vs opponent off loss (on TAMPA) - also qualified for 21-3 tightener

p:week + 2 = week and points > 34 and op:L and season > 1992 SU: 32-5-0 (11.24, 86.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 28-8-1 (5.11, 77.8%) avg line: -6.1 +6: 32-5-0 (86.5%) -6: 15-19-3 (44.1%) +10: 36-1-0 (97.3%) -10: 10-27-0 (27.0%) O/U: 18-19-0 (0.43, 48.6%) avg total: 43.7 +6: 14-23-0 (37.8%) -6: 25-12-0 (67.6%) +10: 9-28-0 (24.3%) -10: 28-9-0 (75.7%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.7 124.9 32.6 20.8 249.0 1.4 5.1 10.1 6.0 6.3 27.7 Opp 24.0 91.6 34.6 20.4 201.5 1.9 3.4 5.1 3.4 4.5 16.5 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2015 view Sunday 7 2015 Buccaneers Redskins away 3.5 42.5

OPPOSE eastern game with team off PST road win vs opponent that played east last week. (on PHILLY)

(p:time zone = P or p:time zone = M) and NB and time zone = E and p:A and p:ats margin > 6 and op:time zone = E and season > 1992 SU: 31-46-0 (-3.22, 40.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 21-52-4 (-4.56, 28.8%) avg line: -1.3 +6: 42-34-1 (55.3%) -6: 12-65-0 (15.6%) +10: 54-22-1 (71.1%) -10: 10-67-0 (13.0%) O/U: 37-38-2 (0.40, 49.3%) avg total: 41.1 +6: 25-51-1 (32.9%) -6: 50-26-1 (65.8%) +10: 17-59-1 (22.4%) -10: 57-19-1 (75.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.0 106.6 34.7 19.3 214.2 2.0 3.2 5.7 4.6 5.6 19.1 Opp 29.6 110.7 32.9 19.9 209.6 1.8 4.1 6.5 5.4 6.3 22.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2015 view Sunday 7 2015 Panthers Eagles home -3.0 46.0

PLAY ON teams within 7 of pk that have lost by 45+ ATS last 5 weeks. (on SAN FRAN)

p:ats margin + pp:ats margin + ppp:ats margin + pppp:ats margin + ppppp:ats margin <= -45 and WP < 57 and date > 20071120 and line >= -7 and total >= 38
SU: 60-91-0 (-2.32, 39.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 95-52-4 (2.59, 64.6%) avg line: 4.9 +6: 117-33-1 (78.0%) -6: 59-91-1 (39.3%) +10: 128-23-0 (84.8%) -10: 33-116-2 (22.1%) O/U: 68-77-6 (-0.10, 46.9%) avg total: 44.9 +6: 44-107-0 (29.1%) -6: 98-51-2 (65.8%) +10: 31-118-2 (20.8%) -10: 116-34-1 (77.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.0 119.3 33.4 19.9 216.0 1.6 4.1 6.3 4.9 5.8 21.2 Opp 27.2 117.5 35.4 21.9 239.5 1.5 5.2 7.6 4.5 6.1 23.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 22, 2015 view Thursday 7 2015 Fortyniners Seahawks home 6.5 42.0

OPPOSE winning favs off home dog win. (on KC)

F and WP > 50 and p:HDW and season >= 2003 and p:line < 5.5 SU: 17-23-0 (-2.80, 42.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 6-33-1 (-6.58, 15.4%) avg line: -3.8 +6: 19-20-1 (48.7%) -6: 4-35-1 (10.3%) +10: 26-13-1 (66.7%) -10: 4-36-0 (10.0%) O/U: 18-19-3 (0.53, 48.6%) avg total: 42.7 +6: 12-28-0 (30.0%) -6: 26-13-1 (66.7%) +10: 11-29-0 (27.5%) -10: 30-8-2 (78.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.7 97.1 37.2 22.6 250.1 2.1 2.8 5.4 4.2 7.4 20.2 Opp 27.5 107.5 34.4 20.6 229.6 1.3 3.8 7.6 5.2 5.9 23.0 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2015 view Sunday 7 2015 Steelers Chiefs away -2.0

UNDER come-from-behind 4th quarter win in a game that went over. (PHI/CAR under)

p:M3 <= -5 and p:W and season > 2007 and p:O SU: 43-44-0 (0.40, 49.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 36-49-2 (-1.18, 42.4%) avg line: -1.6 +6: 57-28-2 (67.1%) -6: 19-67-1 (22.1%) +10: 68-19-0 (78.2%) -10: 16-69-2 (18.8%) O/U: 27-58-2 (-2.13, 31.8%) avg total: 45.1 +6: 21-65-1 (24.4%) -6: 53-34-0 (60.9%) +10: 16-69-2 (18.8%) -10: 63-23-1 (73.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.8 111.7 35.4 21.0 232.6 1.5 4.4 6.3 5.0 5.8 21.7 Opp 28.2 120.8 34.7 21.0 226.8 1.5 4.0 6.4 4.4 6.2 21.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2015 view Sunday 7 2015 Panthers Eagles home -3.0 46.0

OPPOSE ML or tease against away dogs after a comeback OT loss. (on STL ML or tease to pk)

pvertime > 0 and p:L and -14 < p:M3 <= 0 and AD and line > 3 SU: 3-31-0 (-9.56, 8.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 17-15-2 (-2.31, 53.1%) avg line: 7.2 +6: 21-13-0 (61.8%) -6: 5-25-4 (16.7%) +10: 23-10-1 (69.7%) -10: 2-32-0 (5.9%) O/U: 14-18-2 (-1.06, 43.8%) avg total: 41.9 +6: 10-24-0 (29.4%) -6: 21-13-0 (61.8%) +10: 6-28-0 (17.6%) -10: 25-9-0 (73.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.1 103.4 34.2 19.0 186.5 2.2 3.2 4.5 3.8 4.1 15.6 Opp 31.3 128.6 32.7 20.1 223.6 1.7 4.5 8.1 6.2 6.1 25.2 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2015 view Sunday 7 2015 Browns Rams away 6.0 41.5

OPPOSE team off great offensive game that has absolutely no defense. (on MINNY)

6.34 >= tA(o:YPPL) >= 5.44 and D and 1057 >= p:TY + pp:TY >= 890 and o:WP < 100 and opoints > 14
SU: 3-27-0 (-13.83, 10.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 5-25-0 (-8.98, 16.7%) avg line: 4.8 +6: 11-18-1 (37.9%) -6: 3-27-0 (10.0%) +10: 14-16-0 (46.7%) -10: 2-27-1 (6.9%) O/U: 19-9-2 (2.92, 67.9%) avg total: 48.6 +6: 13-17-0 (43.3%) -6: 24-6-0 (80.0%) +10: 8-22-0 (26.7%) -10: 27-3-0 (90.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 24.5 99.0 37.1 20.9 230.7 2.1 4.3 4.5 4.5 5.6 18.9 Opp 31.7 146.5 32.5 20.8 256.6 1.4 6.0 9.9 6.4 10.3 32.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2015 view Sunday 7 2015 Lions Vikings home 2.5 44.5

OVER elite team that allowed <6 first half points last week. (BAL/ARI over)

total > 40.5 and 15.6 > tA(margin) > 4 and week > 3 and P:total > 35.5 and pooints > 0 and po1 + po2 < 6 and line >= -16 and season >= 2010
SU: 91-55-0 (1.92, 62.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 69-73-4 (-1.35, 48.6%) avg line: -3.3 +6: 101-43-2 (70.1%) -6: 40-104-2 (27.8%) +10: 111-33-2 (77.1%) -10: 24-119-3 (16.8%) O/U: 103-41-2 (5.20, 71.5%) avg total: 46.1 +6: 66-78-2 (45.8%) -6: 117-26-3 (81.8%) +10: 44-99-3 (30.8%) -10: 122-22-2 (84.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.3 109.5 35.7 22.6 264.0 1.6 5.1 8.0 5.9 7.3 26.6 Opp 26.9 117.3 35.1 21.4 247.5 1.6 4.7 7.2 4.9 7.7 24.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 26, 2015 view Monday 7 2015 Cardinals Ravens home -8.5 48.0

OPPOSE home teams that are terrible in first half margin and off poor offensive game. (on CLE)

H and 4 > line > -11.5 and tA(M2) <= -4.37 and season > 2007 and game number > 2 and points < 20
SU: 46-73-0 (-4.14, 38.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 30-89-0 (-4.85, 25.2%) avg line: -0.7 +6: 69-48-2 (59.0%) -6: 14-102-3 (12.1%) +10: 85-33-1 (72.0%) -10: 10-109-0 (8.4%) O/U: 55-61-3 (-0.21, 47.4%) avg total: 42.1 +6: 37-82-0 (31.1%) -6: 76-42-1 (64.4%) +10: 24-94-1 (20.3%) -10: 84-35-0 (70.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.5 118.8 34.0 20.1 212.6 1.8 3.8 5.9 3.8 5.3 18.9 Opp 30.2 134.4 30.5 18.4 196.5 1.4 4.3 6.3 5.0 7.3 23.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2015 view Sunday 7 2015 Rams Browns home -6.0 41.5

OPPOSE teams that abandoned the run last week losing as a home fav. (on ATL)

line > -10 and p:HFL and tA(p:rushes) - p:rushes > 8 and date > 20101225 SU: 21-43-0 (-4.33, 32.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 18-45-1 (-3.64, 28.6%) avg line: 0.7 +6: 32-31-1 (50.8%) -6: 14-50-0 (21.9%) +10: 41-21-2 (66.1%) -10: 13-51-0 (20.3%) O/U: 36-27-1 (2.42, 57.1%) avg total: 44.9 +6: 21-42-1 (33.3%) -6: 51-13-0 (79.7%) +10: 18-46-0 (28.1%) -10: 54-10-0 (84.4%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.9 118.2 34.0 20.5 222.0 1.8 3.9 7.1 4.8 5.7 21.5 Opp 29.0 121.9 33.3 20.9 234.8 1.5 4.9 7.3 5.6 8.0 25.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2015 view Sunday 7 2015 Titans Falcons home 4.0 48.0

PLAY ON away teams that abandoned the run in last week's away game. (on ATL)

A and p:A and tA(p:rushes) - p:rushes > 9.7 and season > 2007 SU: 45-18-0 (5.41, 71.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 50-13-0 (5.66, 79.4%) avg line: 0.2 +6: 53-8-2 (86.9%) -6: 30-30-3 (50.0%) +10: 55-8-0 (87.3%) -10: 20-43-0 (31.7%) O/U: 34-27-2 (1.02, 55.7%) avg total: 44.2 +6: 21-40-2 (34.4%) -6: 46-17-0 (73.0%) +10: 15-48-0 (23.8%) -10: 50-13-0 (79.4%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.1 125.8 33.3 20.7 235.3 1.4 5.5 8.1 5.1 6.5 25.3 Opp 23.3 96.7 36.9 21.9 225.1 1.6 4.0 6.5 4.1 5.2 19.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2015 view Sunday 7 2015 Falcons Titans away -4.0 48.0

PLAY ON early season small dogs avenging at least b2b losses. (on SAN FRAN)

8 > week > 3 and 2.5 < line < 7.5 and P:L and P:season = season -1 and P:margin > -23 and season > 1992 and HD and PP:L and wins > 0 SU: 21-11-0 (4.34, 65.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 27-5-0 (8.45, 84.4%) avg line: 4.1 +6: 29-3-0 (90.6%) -6: 18-11-3 (62.1%) +10: 29-3-0 (90.6%) -10: 13-17-2 (43.3%) O/U: 16-14-2 (1.86, 53.3%) avg total: 42.9 +6: 9-22-1 (29.0%) -6: 26-5-1 (83.9%) +10: 9-23-0 (28.1%) -10: 28-4-0 (87.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 29.4 118.5 31.8 19.2 207.8 1.2 5.8 7.4 4.5 6.9 24.5 Opp 24.1 97.0 37.6 22.4 246.2 1.8 3.8 5.3 4.0 7.0 20.2 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 22, 2015 view Thursday 7 2015 Fortyniners Seahawks home 6.5 42.0

 

[justanobserver]

Thanks for always posting the SDQL with your posts, I learn a lot from that.

 

[rolltide]

OPPOSE away teams off b2b wins with terrible defense (on KC) including >300 yards passing last week and >250 the previous week - also 3-20 ATS if 2nd away game in 3 weeks like PIT is this week ... just add "pp:A" to the query

p:HW and pp:W and poY > 300 and ppoY > 250 and A and week < 19 and pooints < 34 and po:RY + ppo:RY < 276 SU: 14-25-0 (-3.69, 35.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 10-29-0 (-3.60, 25.6%) avg line: 0.1 +6: 25-13-1 (65.8%) -6: 7-32-0 (17.9%) +10: 28-11-0 (71.8%) -10: 5-34-0 (12.8%) O/U: 14-24-1 (-2.82, 36.8%) avg total: 43.6 +6: 8-31-0 (20.5%) -6: 24-14-1 (63.2%) +10: 7-32-0 (17.9%) -10: 28-10-1 (73.7%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 24.2 92.9 37.7 22.4 241.2 2.1 3.8 6.5 3.2 4.8 18.6 Opp 30.0 129.6 31.8 18.2 217.3 1.8 4.4 6.2 4.4 7.2 22.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2015 view Sunday 7 2015 Steelers Chiefs away -2.0

 

[49erwildCat]

Against the spread

+6: 25-13-1 (65.8%)

-6: 7-32-0 (17.9%) Can someone explain to me what this means?

 

[savage55]

Against the spread

+6: 25-13-1 (65.8%)

-6: 7-32-0 (17.9%) Can someone explain to me what this means?

Read the box above these lines.. TEASER RECORDS.. That's the TEASER record

 

[beejmi]

Hey Rolltide just wanted to say I enjoy your weekly analysis

I am still learning SDQL and perhaps this offseason will be 'the time'

Can you run this query for me? Supposedly a 70+% winner going back to 1987. It's from someone 'I trust' but it looks too random to be all that successful.

Single digit home favorite, .700 or less, off a non-divisional road loss now vs a non-divisional opponent that is also off a road loss

 

[rolltide]

Hey Rolltide just wanted to say I enjoy your weekly analysis

I am still learning SDQL and perhaps this offseason will be 'the time'

Can you run this query for me? Supposedly a 70+% winner going back to 1987. It's from someone 'I trust' but it looks too random to be all that successful.

Single digit home favorite, .700 or less, off a non-divisional road loss now vs a non-divisional opponent that is also off a road loss

81.2% winner actually....

no fits this week but Baltimore worked last week. gonna mess around with this a bit and see if i can open it up to more situations but keep it 75%+

HF and line > -10 and WP <= 70 and p:AL and p:division != po:division and NDIV and op:AL
SU: 26-45-0 (-0.25, 36.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 13-56-2 (-4.98, 18.8%) avg line: -4.7 +6: 33-37-1 (47.1%) -6: 10-61-0 (14.1%) +10: 46-22-3 (67.6%) -10: 8-63-0 (11.3%) O/U: 27-41-3 (-2.91, 39.7%) avg total: 39.9 +6: 15-56-0 (21.1%) -6: 39-30-2 (56.5%) +10: 11-60-0 (15.5%) -10: 46-24-1 (65.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 29.1 116.1 34.2 19.4 205.1 1.8 3.7 5.5 3.7 5.4 18.4 Opp 28.4 109.1 30.7 17.8 194.6 1.6 3.3 5.8 3.7 5.6 18.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 26, 2015 view Monday 7 2015 Cardinals Ravens home 7-3 7-7 6-0 6-8 26-18 -9.0 49.0 8 -1 -5 -3.0 -2.0 W L U

 

[rolltide]

here is same % but adding a bunch of games. winning % really doesn't factor into this.

This would be HF of 11 or less in non-divisional game after non-divisional game they either lost or won by single digits, regular rest, opponent off away loss:

HF and line > -11.5 and p:A and p:margin < 10 and p:division != po:division and op:AL and NDIV and rest < 7
SU: 42-55-0 (-0.39, 43.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 17-77-3 (-5.59, 18.1%) avg line: -5.2 +6: 48-47-2 (50.5%) -6: 12-85-0 (12.4%) +10: 65-29-3 (69.1%) -10: 8-88-1 (8.3%)

 

[rolltide]

OVER away fav after ez fav win with rushing TD and nice time of possession (SEA/DAL over) 2-1 o/u

AF and p:F and p:TOP - tA(p:TOP) > 125.3 and p:RTD > 0 and date >= 20101225
SU: 38-24-0 (3.79, 61.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 27-35-0 (-0.85, 43.5%) avg line: -4.6 +6: 39-21-2 (65.0%) -6: 16-46-0 (25.8%) +10: 47-15-0 (75.8%) -10: 14-47-1 (23.0%) O/U: 49-13-0 (8.60, 79.0%) avg total: 45.6 +6: 37-25-0 (59.7%) -6: 56-6-0 (90.3%) +10: 27-35-0 (43.5%) -10: 57-5-0 (91.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.4 119.8 36.0 23.3 268.2 1.3 5.8 9.2 6.0 7.9 29.0 Opp 26.2 111.7 34.3 21.5 250.7 1.6 5.1 7.1 4.7 8.1 25.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Seahawks Cowboys away -6.0 41.0

PLAY ON 3-10 point away favs off a bye week (on GB) 1-0 ytd

AF and p:week + 2 = week and season > 2001 and line <= -3
SU: 47-8-0 (11.16, 85.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 41-13-1 (5.68, 75.9%) avg line: -5.5 +6: 47-6-2 (88.7%) -6: 22-33-0 (40.0%) +10: 53-2-0 (96.4%) -10: 17-37-1 (31.5%) O/U: 28-27-0 (1.45, 50.9%) avg total: 42.9 +6: 22-33-0 (40.0%) -6: 40-15-0 (72.7%) +10: 12-42-1 (22.2%) -10: 45-10-0 (81.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 31.1 134.9 29.7 19.2 219.1 1.0 6.4 7.5 5.8 7.9 27.8 Opp 24.2 97.8 34.9 20.7 211.0 2.2 3.3 4.9 3.1 5.3 16.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Packers Broncos away -3.0 45.5

PLAY ON rested teams with few wins off an OT game. (on CHI)

pvertime > 0 and rest > 12 and wins <= 2
SU: 13-10-0 (4.22, 56.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 18-5-0 (4.91, 78.3%) avg line: 0.7 +6: 21-2-0 (91.3%) -6: 8-14-1 (36.4%) +10: 21-2-0 (91.3%) -10: 6-17-0 (26.1%) O/U: 13-10-0 (2.41, 56.5%) avg total: 41.5 +6: 5-18-0 (21.7%) -6: 17-6-0 (73.9%) +10: 4-19-0 (17.4%) -10: 20-2-1 (90.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.3 102.0 34.3 21.5 235.8 2.0 4.5 7.9 4.5 7.0 24.0 Opp 25.4 105.1 32.7 18.1 198.3 1.5 2.9 6.6 3.0 7.3 19.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Bears Vikings home 1.0 42.5

UNDER with away team that won as a home div game after trailing HT (NYG/NO under) 1-1 o/u

A and p:HW and pIV and p:M2 < 0 and date >= 20101001
SU: 16-18-0 (-2.53, 47.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 17-17-0 (0.07, 50.0%) avg line: 2.6 +6: 23-10-1 (69.7%) -6: 11-22-1 (33.3%) +10: 25-9-0 (73.5%) -10: 9-25-0 (26.5%) O/U: 7-26-1 (-5.68, 21.2%) avg total: 43.9 +6: 4-30-0 (11.8%) -6: 16-17-1 (48.5%) +10: 4-30-0 (11.8%) -10: 23-11-0 (67.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.0 102.1 33.6 19.8 198.2 1.3 2.9 6.1 4.3 4.5 17.9 Opp 27.6 114.6 34.6 21.1 230.5 1.4 3.2 7.0 4.9 5.2 20.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Giants Saints away 3.0 49.0

OPPOSE Raiders after covering a game with big offense (on NY JETS)

team = Raiders and pooints >= 22 and p:ats margin >= 6 and date > 20021010 SU: 3-17-0 (-11.10, 15.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 1-18-1 (-8.55, 5.3%) avg line: 2.5 +6: 10-10-0 (50.0%) -6: 1-19-0 (5.0%) +10: 13-7-0 (65.0%) -10: 1-19-0 (5.0%) O/U: 10-9-1 (0.42, 52.6%) avg total: 45.2 +6: 7-13-0 (35.0%) -6: 14-6-0 (70.0%) +10: 4-15-1 (21.1%) -10: 16-4-0 (80.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 22.6 93.0 36.4 20.6 212.0 1.9 3.8 5.8 2.6 5.0 17.2 Opp 31.6 132.4 33.8 19.9 227.7 1.2 4.0 7.7 7.4 9.3 28.4 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Raiders Jets home 2.5 44.0

PLAY ON away team off b2b 0 turnovers if opponent turned it over last game (on SAN FRAN)

A and p:TO = 0 and pp:TO = 0 and season > 2005 and op:TO > 0 and game number > 5
SU: 42-22-0 (3.94, 65.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 45-17-2 (4.59, 72.6%) avg line: 0.6 +6: 51-12-1 (81.0%) -6: 32-30-2 (51.6%) +10: 54-10-0 (84.4%) -10: 20-41-3 (32.8%) O/U: 29-35-0 (-0.40, 45.3%) avg total: 44.4 +6: 17-45-2 (27.4%) -6: 42-21-1 (66.7%) +10: 11-52-1 (17.5%) -10: 49-14-1 (77.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.7 120.3 34.1 21.2 242.6 1.3 4.3 8.5 5.3 5.8 24.0 Opp 25.6 116.5 35.0 20.4 219.3 2.0 4.5 5.8 4.0 5.7 20.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Fortyniners Rams away 8.0 39.5

PLAY ON bad away dogs off an away loss. (on TB)

AD and 3.5 < line < 10 and 25 <= WP <= 40 and p:AL
SU: 43-71-0 (-3.38, 37.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 77-36-1 (3.55, 68.1%) avg line: 6.9 +6: 91-23-0 (79.8%) -6: 45-66-3 (40.5%) +10: 99-14-1 (87.6%) -10: 27-82-5 (24.8%) O/U: 48-62-4 (-0.39, 43.6%) avg total: 40.7 +6: 31-82-1 (27.4%) -6: 73-39-2 (65.2%) +10: 26-87-1 (23.0%) -10: 86-28-0 (75.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.4 99.5 33.9 19.5 215.1 1.9 3.4 5.6 4.2 5.1 18.5 Opp 28.3 112.3 34.4 20.3 228.2 1.9 4.4 6.9 4.2 6.2 21.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Buccaneers Falcons away 7.5 48.5

PLAY ON away conference dog off away loss with home game coming. (on TB)

ACD and p:AL and season >= 2005 and n:H
SU: 74-116-1 (-3.66, 38.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 121-69-1 (2.90, 63.7%) avg line: 6.6 +6: 144-43-4 (77.0%) -6: 73-111-7 (39.7%) +10: 157-33-1 (82.6%) -10: 46-140-5 (24.7%) O/U: 100-87-4 (0.41, 53.5%) avg total: 42.5 +6: 62-125-4 (33.2%) -6: 131-60-0 (68.6%) +10: 40-147-4 (21.4%) -10: 143-47-1 (75.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.0 109.5 32.8 19.7 207.7 1.7 3.9 5.8 4.5 5.3 19.6 Opp 28.5 121.7 33.1 20.4 224.3 1.7 4.9 6.9 5.1 6.2 23.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Buccaneers Falcons away 7.5 48.5

PLAY ON away team off a dog loss where they covered ats. (on NY JETS)

p:ats margin > 0 and p:LD and A and -3 <= line <= 3.5 and game number >= 4
SU: 60-37-0 (2.10, 61.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 65-31-1 (3.32, 67.7%) avg line: 1.2 +6: 78-19-0 (80.4%) -6: 33-60-4 (35.5%) +10: 87-9-1 (90.6%) -10: 20-75-2 (21.1%) O/U: 44-50-3 (0.92, 46.8%) avg total: 40.4 +6: 29-66-2 (30.5%) -6: 69-25-3 (73.4%) +10: 19-74-4 (20.4%) -10: 77-20-0 (79.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.5 112.8 32.6 19.5 215.1 1.8 3.6 7.1 4.6 6.2 21.7 Opp 26.6 110.9 33.5 19.2 203.5 1.9 4.0 5.6 3.6 6.4 19.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Jets Raiders away -2.5 44.0

OPPOSE home teams that are getting badly outscored in first halfs YTD. (on San Diego)

H and 4 > line > -11.5 and tA(M2) <= -4.37 and season > 2007 and game number > 2 and points < 20
SU: 47-73-0 (-3.96, 39.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 31-89-0 (-4.71, 25.8%) avg line: -0.8 +6: 70-48-2 (59.3%) -6: 15-102-3 (12.8%) +10: 86-33-1 (72.3%) -10: 11-109-0 (9.2%) O/U: 55-62-3 (-0.31, 47.0%) avg total: 42.1 +6: 37-83-0 (30.8%) -6: 76-43-1 (63.9%) +10: 24-95-1 (20.2%) -10: 84-36-0 (70.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.5 119.1 33.9 20.0 212.1 1.8 3.8 5.9 3.8 5.3 18.9 Opp 30.1 133.9 30.5 18.4 197.2 1.4 4.3 6.2 5.0 7.2 22.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Ravens Chargers home -3.0 50.0

OPPOSE teams that abandoned the run last week while losing as a home fav. (on CAR)

line > -10 and p:HFL and tA(p:rushes) - p:rushes > 8 and date > 20101225
SU: 21-44-0 (-4.31, 32.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 19-45-1 (-3.55, 29.7%) avg line: 0.8 +6: 33-31-1 (51.6%) -6: 14-51-0 (21.5%) +10: 42-21-2 (66.7%) -10: 13-52-0 (20.0%) O/U: 36-28-1 (1.94, 56.2%) avg total: 45.0 +6: 21-43-1 (32.8%) -6: 51-14-0 (78.5%) +10: 18-47-0 (27.7%) -10: 54-11-0 (83.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.7 117.6 34.0 20.5 221.4 1.8 3.8 7.1 4.7 5.6 21.3 Opp 29.0 122.0 33.4 20.9 235.0 1.5 4.8 7.2 5.6 7.9 25.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 02, 2015 view Monday 8 2015 Colts Panthers away 7.0 46.5

OVER big dog off loss where they threw for nearly 100 yards below season avg (SF/STL over)

tA(pY) - pY >= 95 and line > 6 and -30 <= p:margin < 0 and wins - losses > -10 and date >= 20091101
SU: 6-24-0 (-9.20, 20.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 17-13-0 (-0.75, 56.7%) avg line: 8.4 +6: 20-10-0 (66.7%) -6: 7-23-0 (23.3%) +10: 22-8-0 (73.3%) -10: 5-24-1 (17.2%) O/U: 25-5-0 (10.60, 83.3%) avg total: 45.1 +6: 19-10-1 (65.5%) -6: 26-4-0 (86.7%) +10: 17-13-0 (56.7%) -10: 26-4-0 (86.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.8 115.8 33.2 20.4 229.7 1.7 4.1 7.6 4.8 6.3 23.3 Opp 27.4 122.9 33.5 22.6 269.1 1.3 6.3 8.7 8.9 8.5 32.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Fortyniners Rams away 8.0 39.5

OPPOSE Nov home dogs off a divisional loss. (on MIN, on SEA)

month = 11 and HD and p:L and pIV and season > 2003 and rest > 3 SU: 7-38-0 (-10.13, 15.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 11-33-1 (-5.94, 25.0%) avg line: 4.2 +6: 25-20-0 (55.6%) -6: 5-38-2 (11.6%) +10: 28-16-1 (63.6%) -10: 3-41-1 (6.8%) O/U: 26-17-2 (2.36, 60.5%) avg total: 44.0 +6: 17-28-0 (37.8%) -6: 33-12-0 (73.3%) +10: 11-34-0 (24.4%) -10: 37-8-0 (82.2%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 23.6 107.6 33.6 19.1 197.3 1.9 3.3 5.9 3.5 5.4 18.1 Opp 32.7 132.8 31.8 20.8 237.8 1.2 5.7 8.3 5.9 8.0 28.2 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Bears Vikings home 1.0 42.5 Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Cowboys Seahawks home 6.0 41.0