NFL Systems 2015

[rolltide]

PLAY ON teams with normal rest that lost 4+ fumbles last week if opponent turned it over <4 times. (on CLE)

p:fumbles lost >= 4 and rest = 6 and season > 1990 and op:TO < 4 SU: 31-27-0 (1.84, 53.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 37-18-3 (4.32, 67.3%) avg line: 2.5 +6: 44-13-1 (77.2%) -6: 22-34-2 (39.3%) +10: 52-6-0 (89.7%) -10: 17-39-2 (30.4%) O/U: 30-27-1 (2.07, 52.6%) avg total: 40.3 +6: 22-35-1 (38.6%) -6: 42-15-1 (73.7%) +10: 13-44-1 (22.8%) -10: 47-9-2 (83.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 29.8 114.5 30.8 17.9 189.8 1.6 4.2 7.0 4.6 6.2 22.1 Opp 25.9 105.1 31.9 18.9 207.4 2.2 3.8 6.7 4.3 5.3 20.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Browns Cardinals home 4.5 46.0

UNDER dogs after big dog away win where they gained >400 yards (NYJ/OAK under)

D and p:TY >= 400 and p:ADW and p:line > 3 SU: 22-44-0 (-5.47, 33.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 33-30-3 (-0.42, 52.4%) avg line: 5.1 +6: 45-19-2 (70.3%) -6: 17-48-1 (26.2%) +10: 49-17-0 (74.2%) -10: 14-50-2 (21.9%) O/U: 17-48-1 (-5.06, 26.2%) avg total: 43.5 +6: 14-51-1 (21.5%) -6: 30-36-0 (45.5%) +10: 10-55-1 (15.4%) -10: 41-24-1 (63.1%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.1 102.7 33.5 19.3 201.5 2.0 2.9 5.0 3.5 4.9 16.5 Opp 29.6 124.0 33.2 20.2 219.6 1.5 4.0 7.2 4.7 5.9 21.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Raiders Jets home 2.5 44.0

PLAY ON teams that went under by 4+ TD last week yet both teams scored and opponent not off a bye week. (on ATL, on TEN)

pu margin <= -28 and points > 0 and pooints > 0 and o:rest < 9 SU: 36-25-0 (3.43, 59.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 45-15-1 (3.12, 75.0%) avg line: -0.3 +6: 48-13-0 (78.7%) -6: 26-35-0 (42.6%) +10: 52-9-0 (85.2%) -10: 16-43-2 (27.1%) O/U: 27-33-1 (-1.75, 45.0%) avg total: 41.9 +6: 17-44-0 (27.9%) -6: 36-25-0 (59.0%) +10: 12-47-2 (20.3%) -10: 45-16-0 (73.8%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.2 124.2 30.7 19.0 198.4 1.5 4.9 5.9 4.8 5.9 21.8 Opp 25.9 108.5 33.8 20.4 211.5 2.0 3.9 4.9 3.3 6.1 18.4 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Falcons Buccaneers home -7.5 48.5 Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Titans Texans away

 

[indiana]

R/T.........appreciate the time you put into this info..........BOL this week end...........indy

 

[amarp21]

thank you tide

 

[RDTrains]

RT, here's one for you. Non-division team playing before their bye last 6Y: 90-43-2 O/U. Last week in London Buff/Jax both played before their byes and it went flying Over the total. This week the same scenario exists with both Detroit and KC.

Thanks for all the work you do here.

 

[rolltide]

RT, here's one for you. Non-division team playing before their bye last 6Y: 90-43-2 O/U. Last week in London Buff/Jax both played before their byes and it went flying Over the total. This week the same scenario exists with both Detroit and KC.

Thanks for all the work you do here.

yeah good stuff. looks real good when away team isn't unbeaten and home team doesn't completely suck:

NDIV and week + 2 = n:week and site = home and WP > 15 and o:WP < 100 and season > 2004
SU: 77-36-0 (5.43, 68.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 58-53-2 (1.88, 52.3%) avg line: -3.6 +6: 84-25-4 (77.1%) -6: 37-74-2 (33.3%) +10: 95-17-1 (84.8%) -10: 30-82-1 (26.8%) O/U: 79-33-1 (4.90, 70.5%) avg total: 43.7 +6: 45-67-1 (40.2%) -6: 91-21-1 (81.2%) +10: 28-82-3 (25.5%) -10: 102-11-0 (90.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.2 119.2 34.0 21.6 235.3 1.5 5.4 8.6 5.1 7.7 27.0 Opp 25.0 100.1 35.7 21.4 240.5 2.0 3.8 6.5 4.7 6.5 21.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 09, 2015 view Monday 9 2015 Chargers Bears home -4.5 Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Fortyniners Falcons home 4.5 Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Chiefs Lions home -3.5 45.0

and only 1 losing season in L11...

NDIV and week + 2 = n:week and site = home and WP > 15 and o:WP < 100 and ...

games	ATS W - L- P (marg, %win)	Avg Line	OU W - L- P (marg, %over)	Avg Total	SU W - L- P (marg, %win)	SDQL
5	3-2-0 (5.30, 60.0%)	-5.1	4-1-0 (16.60, 80.0%)	45.4	5-0-0 (10.40, 100.0%)	season = 2015
10	6-4-0 (4.45, 60.0%)	-1.9	6-4-0 (4.80, 60.0%)	46.6	6-4-0 (6.40, 60.0%)	season = 2014
10	6-4-0 (3.45, 60.0%)	-4.7	7-2-1 (8.20, 77.8%)	47.5	7-3-0 (8.10, 70.0%)	season = 2013
13	3-10-0 (-6.12, 23.1%)	-3.1	8-5-0 (0.88, 61.5%)	44.3	5-8-0 (-3.00, 38.5%)	season = 2012
9	3-6-0 (-1.72, 33.3%)	-3.5	5-4-0 (-0.72, 55.6%)	45.6	6-3-0 (1.78, 66.7%)	season = 2011
10	6-4-0 (5.45, 60.0%)	-3.8	8-2-0 (9.05, 80.0%)	41.0	8-2-0 (9.20, 80.0%)	season = 2010
10	4-6-0 (1.25, 40.0%)	-4.5	8-2-0 (4.60, 80.0%)	43.7	7-3-0 (5.70, 70.0%)	season = 2009
9	6-3-0 (4.89, 66.7%)	-0.8	7-2-0 (9.94, 77.8%)	44.4	8-1-0 (5.67, 88.9%)	season = 2008
8	6-1-1 (3.62, 85.7%)	-6.0	2-6-0 (-6.38, 25.0%)	42.0	7-1-0 (9.62, 87.5%)	season = 2007
15	7-8-0 (-1.03, 46.7%)	-4.4	12-3-0 (5.63, 80.0%)	41.7	8-7-0 (3.33, 53.3%)	season = 2006
14	8-5-1 (5.54, 61.5%)	-2.5	12-2-0 (5.43, 85.7%)	41.4	10-4-0 (8.07, 71.4%)	season = 2005

 

[rolltide]

another way you could write it is to just make sure that the road team isn't >50 winning percentage points better than the home team.

NDIV and week + 2 = n:week and H and WP - o:WP > -50 and season > 2004 SU: 85-39-0 (5.51, 68.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 67-55-2 (2.29, 54.9%) avg line: -3.2 +6: 93-26-5 (78.2%) -6: 42-79-3 (34.7%) +10: 105-18-1 (85.4%) -10: 32-91-1 (26.0%) O/U: 84-38-2 (4.78, 68.9%) avg total: 43.6 +6: 51-72-1 (41.5%) -6: 98-25-1 (79.7%) +10: 33-88-3 (27.3%) -10: 111-13-0 (89.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.4 119.5 33.9 21.6 234.0 1.5 5.5 8.5 5.1 7.7 27.0 Opp 24.8 99.7 35.8 21.5 239.9 2.0 3.6 6.5 4.7 6.6 21.4 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Giants Patriots home 1.5 Nov 09, 2015 view Monday 9 2015 Chargers Bears home -4.5 Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Chiefs Lions home -3.5 45.0 Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Ravens Chargers home -3.5 50.0

you can sub out "A" for "H" to see about the away team before bye week. decent %, not as high as home though. of course many duplicates if you leave off the home/away

 

[rolltide]

OVER after team allowed a 12+ catch game by opposing receiver and did not create 3+ turnovers or allow 2+ rushing TDs. (GB/DEN over)

maxo:receptions > 11 and po:turnovers < 3 and season > 2003 and game number < 17 and po:rushing touchdowns < 2
SU: 37-29-0 (1.89, 56.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 40-26-0 (1.74, 60.6%) avg line: -0.2 +6: 46-19-1 (70.8%) -6: 28-37-1 (43.1%) +10: 51-14-1 (78.5%) -10: 20-44-2 (31.2%) O/U: 46-17-3 (5.73, 73.0%) avg total: 43.2 +6: 30-36-0 (45.5%) -6: 54-11-1 (83.1%) +10: 23-43-0 (34.8%) -10: 57-8-1 (87.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.0 110.2 34.5 21.0 235.1 1.5 5.7 7.7 4.4 7.6 25.4 Opp 27.8 122.1 35.2 21.3 229.0 2.0 4.0 7.3 4.5 7.6 23.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Packers Broncos away -2.5 45.5

 

[rolltide]

above very strong with total >39 like this week...also 21-2-1 non-division and 7-0-1 o/u in non-conf

maxo:receptions > 11 and po:turnovers < 3 and season > 2005 and game number < 17 and po:rushing touchdowns < 2 and total > 39
SU: 25-20-0 (2.02, 55.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 26-19-0 (1.34, 57.8%) avg line: -0.7 +6: 30-14-1 (68.2%) -6: 17-28-0 (37.8%) +10: 35-9-1 (79.5%) -10: 12-31-2 (27.9%) O/U: 35-8-2 (8.51, 81.4%) avg total: 44.8 +6: 26-19-0 (57.8%) -6: 40-5-0 (88.9%) +10: 20-25-0 (44.4%) -10: 40-5-0 (88.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.5 106.5 36.3 22.7 261.1 1.5 6.1 8.2 4.7 8.6 27.6 Opp 27.9 124.4 35.2 21.4 236.4 1.7 4.3 7.6 5.3 8.3 25.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Packers Broncos away -2.5 45.5

 

[rolltide]

saw this one posted by a guy named East on the google user forum. 0-1 YTD but 12 straight seasons at .500 or better:

PLAY ON away team off away loss last week within 3 points of pick 'em (on NY Jets)

A and p:AL and -3.5 < line < 3.5 and NB and date > 20031101 and surface = grass
SU: 62-20-0 (5.45, 75.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 60-18-4 (6.09, 76.9%) avg line: 0.6 +6: 71-10-1 (87.7%) -6: 40-38-4 (51.3%) +10: 74-8-0 (90.2%) -10: 32-48-2 (40.0%) O/U: 45-37-0 (1.55, 54.9%) avg total: 41.4 +6: 25-57-0 (30.5%) -6: 57-24-1 (70.4%) +10: 21-61-0 (25.6%) -10: 62-19-1 (76.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.4 121.9 31.8 19.5 220.1 1.5 4.7 6.5 4.8 7.9 24.2 Opp 26.0 107.4 34.0 19.9 208.6 2.2 3.9 5.6 3.9 5.2 18.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Jets Raiders away -3.0 43.5

games	ATS W - L- P (marg, %win)	Avg Line	OU W - L- P (marg, %over)	Avg Total	SU W - L- P (marg, %win)	SDQL
1	0-1-0 (-5.00, 0.0%)	2.0	1-0-0 (27.00, 100.0%)	42.0	0-1-0 (-7.00, 0.0%)	season = 2015
9	7-2-0 (4.89, 77.8%)	-0.2	5-4-0 (0.67, 55.6%)	45.3	7-2-0 (5.11, 77.8%)	season = 2014
5	4-1-0 (5.50, 80.0%)	0.9	2-3-0 (-4.90, 40.0%)	44.3	4-1-0 (4.60, 80.0%)	season = 2013
6	6-0-0 (6.92, 100.0%)	0.8	3-3-0 (-4.00, 50.0%)	43.5	6-0-0 (6.17, 100.0%)	season = 2012
9	6-2-1 (5.89, 75.0%)	0.2	4-5-0 (-0.11, 44.4%)	44.2	7-2-0 (5.67, 77.8%)	season = 2011
4	2-2-0 (2.00, 50.0%)	0.2	1-3-0 (1.88, 25.0%)	42.4	2-2-0 (1.75, 50.0%)	season = 2010
6	3-3-0 (-1.50, 50.0%)	-0.2	4-2-0 (7.25, 66.7%)	40.4	3-3-0 (-1.33, 50.0%)	season = 2009
5	5-0-0 (15.60, 100.0%)	1.6	3-2-0 (-3.40, 60.0%)	42.2	5-0-0 (14.00, 100.0%)	season = 2008
7	5-0-2 (11.71, 100.0%)	0.9	4-3-0 (7.93, 57.1%)	38.6	6-1-0 (10.86, 85.7%)	season = 2007
11	7-4-0 (3.68, 63.6%)	0.7	8-3-0 (6.95, 72.7%)	37.9	7-4-0 (3.00, 63.6%)	season = 2006
6	4-1-1 (3.00, 80.0%)	1.7	3-3-0 (-4.50, 50.0%)	41.2	4-2-0 (1.33, 66.7%)	season = 2005
8	7-1-0 (8.19, 87.5%)	1.1	5-3-0 (3.38, 62.5%)	39.8	7-1-0 (7.12, 87.5%)	season = 2004
5	4-1-0 (11.10, 80.0%)	0.3	2-3-0 (-4.40, 40.0%)	37.2	4-1-0 (10.80, 80.0%)	season = 2003

Showing 1 to 13 of 13 entries

 

[Biz]

What does NB mean??

 

[Behrens]

What does NB mean??

No Bye

 

[rolltide]

PLAY ON away team off away loss last week within 3 points of pick 'em (on NY Giants, on Green Bay) 0-2 ytd

A and p:AL and -3.5 < line < 3.5 and NB and date > 20031101 and surface = grass
SU: 62-21-0 (5.22, 74.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 60-19-4 (5.82, 75.9%) avg line: 0.6 +6: 71-11-1 (86.6%) -6: 40-39-4 (50.6%) +10: 74-9-0 (89.2%) -10: 32-49-2 (39.5%) O/U: 46-37-0 (1.66, 55.4%) avg total: 41.4 +6: 26-57-0 (31.3%) -6: 58-24-1 (70.7%) +10: 21-61-1 (25.6%) -10: 63-19-1 (76.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.2 121.3 32.0 19.7 221.0 1.5 4.7 6.5 4.8 7.9 24.1 Opp 26.0 107.5 34.1 20.0 210.1 2.2 3.9 5.7 4.0 5.1 18.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Giants Buccaneers away -2.5 48.0 Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Packers Panthers away -2.5 46.5

OPPOSE teams off home dog win allowing more points than expected in non-div game (on NYJETS)

p:HDW and NDIV and date > 20101017 and p:dpa >= 0
SU: 3-19-0 (-13.55, 13.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 1-21-0 (-10.89, 4.5%) avg line: 2.7 +6: 8-13-1 (38.1%) -6: 1-21-0 (4.5%) +10: 13-9-0 (59.1%) -10: 1-21-0 (4.5%) O/U: 11-10-1 (1.14, 52.4%) avg total: 46.4 +6: 8-14-0 (36.4%) -6: 16-6-0 (72.7%) +10: 6-16-0 (27.3%) -10: 18-4-0 (81.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 22.1 99.1 35.9 20.8 211.0 1.9 2.1 5.4 4.1 5.4 17.0 Opp 32.3 123.2 34.0 22.0 269.5 0.9 6.5 8.4 6.3 9.1 30.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Jaguars Jets away 8.0

OPPOSE away dog off SU win as a big home dog. (on NYJETS) 1-0 ytd

p:HDW and AD and points >= 24 and line >= 5 and date > 20100101
SU: 1-38-0 (-19.69, 2.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 6-33-0 (-11.27, 15.4%) avg line: 8.4 +6: 11-27-1 (28.9%) -6: 2-37-0 (5.1%) +10: 18-20-1 (47.4%) -10: 1-38-0 (2.6%) O/U: 18-20-1 (0.51, 47.4%) avg total: 45.4 +6: 13-25-1 (34.2%) -6: 28-11-0 (71.8%) +10: 9-30-0 (23.1%) -10: 30-9-0 (76.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 23.7 109.8 36.9 19.9 179.5 2.4 3.6 3.1 2.7 3.6 13.1 Opp 31.6 127.3 31.3 19.7 239.7 1.0 6.6 9.7 8.5 7.9 32.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Jaguars Jets away 8.0

PLAY ON away favorites off their bye week (on PHI) 2-1 ytd

AF and p:week + 2 = week and season > 2001 and date < 20151110 SU: 59-18-0 (7.79, 76.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 53-23-1 (3.34, 69.7%) avg line: -4.5 +6: 60-15-2 (80.0%) -6: 27-49-1 (35.5%) +10: 69-8-0 (89.6%) -10: 20-56-1 (26.3%) O/U: 36-41-0 (-0.25, 46.8%) avg total: 43.0 +6: 27-50-0 (35.1%) -6: 51-25-1 (67.1%) +10: 15-61-1 (19.7%) -10: 59-18-0 (76.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 29.6 126.2 30.6 19.6 217.2 1.2 5.2 7.1 5.1 7.7 25.3 Opp 25.0 98.9 34.7 20.9 219.2 1.9 3.8 5.3 3.3 5.1 17.5 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Eagles Cowboys away -2.5 44.5

OPPOSE and OVER away team after forcing 3+ turnovers vs home team that forced 0 turnovers (on NYJETS and OVER)

opo:turnovers = 0 and po:turnovers >= 3 and date > 20041011 and p:H and op:A SU: 28-48-1 (-6.27, 36.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-49-3 (-5.58, 33.8%) avg line: 0.7 +6: 40-32-5 (55.6%) -6: 17-59-1 (22.4%) +10: 48-29-0 (62.3%) -10: 13-64-0 (16.9%) O/U: 52-24-1 (4.71, 68.4%) avg total: 42.6 +6: 35-38-4 (47.9%) -6: 64-13-0 (83.1%) +10: 17-58-2 (22.7%) -10: 69-8-0 (89.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 24.8 101.4 34.4 20.8 230.8 1.8 4.6 5.4 4.9 5.4 20.5 Opp 29.5 131.1 32.9 21.1 235.3 1.5 5.3 9.2 5.4 6.7 26.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Jaguars Jets away 8.0

OVER MNF loser vs opponent off a win. (IND/DEN over)

p:MNF and p:L and op:W and season > 2000 and -8 < p:line < 10 SU: 36-50-0 (0.57, 41.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 41-44-1 (1.54, 48.2%) avg line: 1.0 +6: 59-26-1 (69.4%) -6: 25-60-1 (29.4%) +10: 67-16-3 (80.7%) -10: 20-64-2 (23.8%) O/U: 56-26-4 (4.66, 68.3%) avg total: 43.7 +6: 35-50-1 (41.2%) -6: 72-14-0 (83.7%) +10: 32-54-0 (37.2%) -10: 74-12-0 (86.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.5 112.3 35.3 21.6 239.7 1.8 4.9 7.9 4.8 6.7 24.4 Opp 26.6 111.5 34.4 20.9 231.7 1.7 5.3 6.4 5.0 7.0 23.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Colts Broncos home 5.0 45.0

PLAY ON away dog with same record if played away last game. (on MIA)

AD and p:A and WP = o:WP and season >= 2005 and game number < 15 and pp:H SU: 31-32-0 (-0.95, 49.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 42-18-3 (3.50, 70.0%) avg line: 4.5 +6: 50-12-1 (80.6%) -6: 27-35-1 (43.5%) +10: 52-11-0 (82.5%) -10: 17-45-1 (27.4%) O/U: 36-24-3 (2.19, 60.0%) avg total: 44.1 +6: 26-36-1 (41.9%) -6: 44-19-0 (69.8%) +10: 19-41-3 (31.7%) -10: 48-15-0 (76.2%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.4 110.5 34.9 20.9 229.9 1.5 4.6 5.7 5.5 6.7 22.7 Opp 27.6 111.0 33.8 21.3 230.0 1.7 4.4 7.4 5.3 6.5 23.6 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Dolphins Bills away 3.0 44.0

OVER non-division team at home before bye week (49ers OVER, SD over) 4-1 ytd

NDIV and week + 2 = n:week and site = home and WP > 15 and o:WP < 100 and season > 2004
SU: 78-36-0 (5.69, 68.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 59-53-2 (2.13, 52.7%) avg line: -3.6 +6: 85-25-4 (77.3%) -6: 38-74-2 (33.9%) +10: 96-17-1 (85.0%) -10: 31-82-1 (27.4%) O/U: 80-33-1 (4.93, 70.8%) avg total: 43.7 +6: 46-67-1 (40.7%) -6: 92-21-1 (81.4%) +10: 28-83-3 (25.2%) -10: 103-11-0 (90.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.2 120.0 33.9 21.6 234.4 1.5 5.4 8.7 5.1 7.8 27.2 Opp 24.9 99.9 35.7 21.4 240.1 2.0 3.8 6.5 4.6 6.6 21.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 09, 2015 view Monday 9 2015 Chargers Bears home -4.0 49.0 Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Fortyniners Falcons home 7.0 45.0

PLAY ON low line away team off terrible rushing performance (on MIA)

-4 < line < 5.5 and p:rushing yards <= 60 and A and season >= 2004 and op:rushing yards <= 135 SU: 80-38-0 (4.05, 67.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 78-36-4 (5.00, 68.4%) avg line: 0.9 +6: 98-19-1 (83.8%) -6: 50-61-7 (45.0%) +10: 107-10-1 (91.5%) -10: 37-81-0 (31.4%) O/U: 52-66-0 (-0.09, 44.1%) avg total: 42.6 +6: 29-89-0 (24.6%) -6: 81-33-4 (71.1%) +10: 22-96-0 (18.6%) -10: 95-21-2 (81.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.8 115.2 33.9 20.8 230.7 1.5 4.9 6.6 5.3 6.2 23.3 Opp 25.7 109.2 35.7 20.9 213.1 1.8 4.1 6.2 3.5 5.4 19.2 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Dolphins Bills away 3.0 44.0

PLAY ON away team that just lost a close game to drop to 2+ games below .500 and playing a non-elite opponent (on CHI) 0-0 ytd

wins - losses <= -2 and week > 7 and -7 < p:margin < 0 and A and o:WP >= 15 and points > 8 and -15 < tA(margin) < .81 and otA(margin) <= 7 and rest > 3 and otA(oassing yards) < 272
SU: 93-139-0 (-2.54, 40.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 161-66-5 (3.44, 70.9%) avg line: 6.0 +6: 187-44-1 (81.0%) -6: 88-136-8 (39.3%) +10: 200-29-3 (87.3%) -10: 56-172-4 (24.6%) O/U: 112-117-3 (0.55, 48.9%) avg total: 40.2 +6: 81-146-5 (35.7%) -6: 149-76-7 (66.2%) +10: 55-175-2 (23.9%) -10: 178-53-1 (77.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.6 110.8 32.6 18.8 197.9 1.8 3.7 5.8 3.9 5.6 19.1 Opp 28.5 116.4 33.2 19.4 213.2 1.8 4.6 6.8 4.2 6.0 21.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 09, 2015 view Monday 9 2015 Bears Chargers away 4.0 49.0

PLAY ON low line away team that lost to drop to .500 vs opponent that did not win by 2+ scores. (on NY GIANTS)

A and p:L and WP = 50 and season > 2001 and -3 <= line <= 3 and op:margin < 8 SU: 33-9-0 (5.64, 78.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 32-9-1 (6.75, 78.0%) avg line: 1.1 +6: 40-1-1 (97.6%) -6: 16-20-6 (44.4%) +10: 41-1-0 (97.6%) -10: 11-31-0 (26.2%) O/U: 19-22-1 (-1.63, 46.3%) avg total: 42.1 +6: 12-30-0 (28.6%) -6: 26-16-0 (61.9%) +10: 8-32-2 (20.0%) -10: 30-11-1 (73.2%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 31.2 119.8 30.8 18.9 216.6 1.3 4.8 6.5 5.3 6.2 23.1 Opp 24.3 100.7 36.4 21.0 222.4 2.1 3.4 5.4 3.8 4.8 17.4 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Giants Buccaneers away -2.5 48.0

PLAY ON regular rested .500 away team within 3 of pk vs NonDiv. (on NY GIANTS)

A and 3 < rest < 10 and -3 <= line <= 3 and NDIV and p:L and season >= 2004 and WP = 50 SU: 22-4-0 (6.81, 84.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 22-3-1 (8.21, 88.0%) avg line: 1.4 +6: 25-1-0 (96.2%) -6: 14-7-5 (66.7%) +10: 25-1-0 (96.2%) -10: 10-16-0 (38.5%) O/U: 13-12-1 (0.65, 52.0%) avg total: 41.0 +6: 8-18-0 (30.8%) -6: 17-9-0 (65.4%) +10: 7-19-0 (26.9%) -10: 20-5-1 (80.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.2 130.8 29.7 18.8 212.4 1.5 5.4 5.5 6.3 6.8 24.2 Opp 22.4 86.7 36.6 20.8 219.4 2.4 3.6 5.8 2.7 5.3 17.4 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Giants Buccaneers away -2.5 48.0

PLAY ON away team off b2b no turnover games vs opponent off 1+ turnovers. (on GREEN BAY)

A and p:TO = 0 and pp:TO = 0 and season > 2005 and op:TO > 0 and game number > 5
SU: 42-23-0 (3.55, 64.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 45-18-2 (4.32, 71.4%) avg line: 0.8 +6: 51-13-1 (79.7%) -6: 32-31-2 (50.8%) +10: 54-11-0 (83.1%) -10: 20-42-3 (32.3%) O/U: 29-36-0 (-0.51, 44.6%) avg total: 44.3 +6: 17-46-2 (27.0%) -6: 42-22-1 (65.6%) +10: 11-53-1 (17.2%) -10: 50-14-1 (78.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.6 119.0 34.2 21.2 241.2 1.3 4.2 8.4 5.2 5.7 23.7 Opp 25.9 117.8 34.8 20.3 218.9 2.0 4.5 6.0 3.9 5.7 20.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Packers Panthers away -2.5 46.5

PLAY ON winning teams at home after b2b away losses. (on NY JETS)

WP > 53.5 and H and p:AL and pp:AL and tA(margin) <= 10 and -11 < line < 3 SU: 46-11-0 (10.32, 80.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 40-16-1 (4.82, 71.4%) avg line: -5.5 +6: 46-11-0 (80.7%) -6: 23-32-2 (41.8%) +10: 48-7-2 (87.3%) -10: 18-39-0 (31.6%) O/U: 26-30-1 (-1.05, 46.4%) avg total: 41.6 +6: 20-37-0 (35.1%) -6: 32-25-0 (56.1%) +10: 12-45-0 (21.1%) -10: 40-16-1 (71.4%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 31.1 130.7 31.9 19.6 220.3 1.3 5.4 7.9 5.0 7.2 25.5 Opp 23.7 92.4 34.4 19.3 194.9 1.9 3.9 4.2 3.1 3.8 15.1 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Jets Jaguars home -8.0

 

[49erwildCat]

RT you gave away 14 losers last week. Is it time to fade the numbers?

 

[beejmi]

You don't fade the numbers. Notice the amount of time and the sample size on the trends. They are not accidents.

Let's say you play blackjack and win 50% of the time. Let's say you win 7 hands in a row. You personally are not 'hot'. Over 100 or 500 or 1000 samples a 50% player will win 7 hands a row at some point. It's just a function of how the numbers fall. They don't fall in nice equal 5 out of every 10 hands you win. There's a variance.

 

[rolltide]

first one of these this year...

PLAY ON regular season teams with at least regular rest after horrendous defensive performance (allowing 25+ more points than expected) vs opponent not off an incredible defensive game. (on NYG, on NO)

p:dpa >= 25 and op:dpa > -10 and rest >= 6 and season >= 1990 and week < 17 SU: 40-19-0 (5.63, 67.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 44-14-1 (6.63, 75.9%) avg line: 1.0 +6: 51-7-1 (87.9%) -6: 30-28-1 (51.7%) +10: 54-5-0 (91.5%) -10: 23-32-4 (41.8%) O/U: 24-29-6 (0.34, 45.3%) avg total: 42.9 +6: 19-39-1 (32.8%) -6: 43-15-1 (74.1%) +10: 12-47-0 (20.3%) -10: 47-12-0 (79.7%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.7 126.6 31.7 19.6 217.7 1.4 4.4 8.0 5.2 6.9 24.4 Opp 23.7 100.8 34.6 19.9 217.3 1.8 3.4 5.5 4.0 5.8 18.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Giants Buccaneers away -2.5 48.0 Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Saints Titans home -8.0

 

[i'mshockedshocked]

Rolltide,

Thanks for this. I really like the logic of this play, at least on NYG. note however that for NO, it is only the second team in history which actually WON the prior bad defense game, so not sure if record is applicable to NO this weekend. 55 out of 56 teams lost the prior game.

 

[rolltide]

UNDER a bye week rested team that allowed >30 in b2b games before bye and scored <37 themselves. (BUFF under, JAGS under) 0-0 ytd

p:week + 2 = week and pooints > 30 and ppooints > 30 and points < 37
SU: 9-21-0 (-5.57, 30.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 11-19-0 (-2.12, 36.7%) avg line: 3.5 +6: 19-8-3 (70.4%) -6: 7-21-2 (25.0%) +10: 26-4-0 (86.7%) -10: 4-25-1 (13.8%) O/U: 5-25-0 (-4.73, 16.7%) avg total: 43.1 +6: 5-25-0 (16.7%) -6: 16-13-1 (55.2%) +10: 3-27-0 (10.0%) -10: 21-8-1 (72.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.1 109.1 35.6 20.5 200.4 2.2 2.5 5.5 3.2 5.1 16.4 Opp 28.6 114.0 31.7 18.3 216.1 1.4 5.9 5.6 4.9 5.2 22.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Bills Dolphins home -3.5 44.0 Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Jaguars Jets away 8.0 42.0

 

[rolltide]

OPPOSE non-division away teams after long home stand. (on NY GIANTS, on TENN)

p:H and pp:H and ppp:H and NDIV and A and line < 3.5 and 9 > rest > 3 and date < 20151201 SU: 25-34-0 (-2.97, 42.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 18-40-1 (-5.59, 31.0%) avg line: -2.6 +6: 31-27-1 (53.4%) -6: 9-50-0 (15.3%) +10: 36-21-2 (63.2%) -10: 5-54-0 (8.5%) O/U: 28-31-0 (1.13, 47.5%) avg total: 41.5 +6: 19-40-0 (32.2%) -6: 35-21-3 (62.5%) +10: 16-43-0 (27.1%) -10: 44-15-0 (74.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.4 101.5 35.7 20.9 221.0 1.9 3.8 5.6 4.3 6.0 19.8 Opp 29.5 128.5 30.8 17.9 197.5 1.5 5.9 7.6 4.3 4.9 22.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Patriots Giants away -7.0 54.5 Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Panthers Titans away -5.5 44.0

UNDER dogs after big dog away win where they gained >400 yards (TENN under, CHI under) 2-0 o/u ytd

D and p:TY >= 400 and p:ADW and p:line > 3
SU: 23-44-0 (-5.18, 34.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 34-30-3 (-0.16, 53.1%) avg line: 5.0 +6: 46-19-2 (70.8%) -6: 18-48-1 (27.3%) +10: 50-17-0 (74.6%) -10: 15-50-2 (23.1%) O/U: 18-48-1 (-4.84, 27.3%) avg total: 43.5 +6: 15-51-1 (22.7%) -6: 31-36-0 (46.3%) +10: 10-55-2 (15.4%) -10: 42-24-1 (63.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.0 103.0 33.5 19.3 203.5 1.9 3.0 5.1 3.6 4.9 16.7 Opp 29.5 123.3 33.4 20.4 220.7 1.5 4.0 7.2 4.7 5.9 21.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Bears Rams away 7.0 42.5 Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Titans Panthers home 5.5 44.0

PLAY ON team after bye and huge offense before bye week vs opponent off loss (on KC) 3-0 ytd

p:week + 2 = week and points > 34 and op:L and season > 1992
SU: 32-6-0 (10.92, 84.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 29-8-1 (5.03, 78.4%) avg line: -5.9 +6: 33-5-0 (86.8%) -6: 15-20-3 (42.9%) +10: 37-1-0 (97.4%) -10: 10-28-0 (26.3%) O/U: 19-19-0 (0.88, 50.0%) avg total: 43.7 +6: 15-23-0 (39.5%) -6: 26-12-0 (68.4%) +10: 10-28-0 (26.3%) -10: 29-9-0 (76.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.7 126.7 32.5 20.8 250.0 1.4 5.2 10.2 5.8 6.3 27.8 Opp 23.8 90.5 34.7 20.7 204.2 1.9 3.3 5.2 3.7 4.7 16.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Chiefs Broncos away 5.5 41.5

oppose teams off home dog win allowing more points than expected in non-div game. (on TENN) 1-2 ytd

p:HDW and NDIV and date > 20101017 and p:dpa >= 0
SU: 3-20-0 (-13.17, 13.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 2-21-0 (-10.30, 8.7%) avg line: 2.9 +6: 9-13-1 (40.9%) -6: 1-22-0 (4.3%) +10: 14-9-0 (60.9%) -10: 1-22-0 (4.3%) O/U: 12-10-1 (1.48, 54.5%) avg total: 46.2 +6: 9-14-0 (39.1%) -6: 17-6-0 (73.9%) +10: 6-17-0 (26.1%) -10: 19-4-0 (82.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 22.0 99.0 36.1 21.0 216.5 2.0 2.1 5.5 4.0 5.6 17.3 Opp 32.1 119.1 34.0 21.9 269.2 0.9 6.8 8.0 6.3 9.0 30.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Panthers Titans away -5.5 44.0

OPPOSE favs in non-div game after SU home dog win. (on TENN) 1-0 ytd

p:HDW and NDIV and F and p:dpa > -.75 and date > 19951201
SU: 9-15-0 (-3.96, 37.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 2-21-1 (-8.04, 8.7%) avg line: -4.1 +6: 13-9-2 (59.1%) -6: 0-24-0 (0.0%) +10: 18-6-0 (75.0%) -10: 0-24-0 (0.0%) O/U: 12-10-2 (3.17, 54.5%) avg total: 42.7 +6: 10-14-0 (41.7%) -6: 16-7-1 (69.6%) +10: 8-16-0 (33.3%) -10: 19-5-0 (79.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.2 106.0 36.4 22.4 261.6 1.9 3.8 6.3 4.6 6.1 21.0 Opp 29.0 120.7 33.2 20.6 242.5 1.1 5.8 6.6 4.8 7.2 24.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Panthers Titans away -5.5 44.0

PLAY ON away dog of 7+ after away dog win. (on CHI) 0-1 ytd

A and line >= 7 and p:ADW and NB and p:line <= 7 and pp:H SU: 11-43-0 (-7.59, 20.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 40-14-0 (1.99, 74.1%) avg line: 9.6 +6: 43-10-1 (81.1%) -6: 15-38-1 (28.3%) +10: 47-7-0 (87.0%) -10: 11-42-1 (20.8%) O/U: 27-27-0 (-0.81, 50.0%) avg total: 43.4 +6: 16-38-0 (29.6%) -6: 32-20-2 (61.5%) +10: 11-42-1 (20.8%) -10: 41-13-0 (75.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.2 100.3 32.8 18.9 202.6 1.8 2.9 5.4 3.3 5.8 17.5 Opp 29.9 130.8 31.8 20.8 225.6 1.4 5.9 7.9 5.3 5.7 25.1 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Bears Rams away 7.0 42.5

PLAY ON away dog after away blowout loss. (on DETROIT) 1-0 ytd

AD and p:AL and p:margin <= -31 and line < 14
SU: 24-16-0 (0.28, 60.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 30-9-1 (6.86, 76.9%) avg line: 6.6 +6: 33-7-0 (82.5%) -6: 23-14-3 (62.2%) +10: 36-4-0 (90.0%) -10: 16-22-2 (42.1%) O/U: 23-17-0 (1.46, 57.5%) avg total: 40.8 +6: 12-26-2 (31.6%) -6: 28-10-2 (73.7%) +10: 7-33-0 (17.5%) -10: 32-8-0 (80.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.6 118.9 32.6 18.9 203.7 1.6 3.9 6.7 4.5 6.0 21.3 Opp 27.6 111.3 36.0 21.0 223.5 2.3 5.2 7.7 3.8 4.1 21.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Lions Packers away 11.5 47.5

OVER away fav after great time of possession game. (NYG/NE over) 2-2 o/u ytd

AF and p:F and p:TOP - tA(p:TOP) > 125.3 and p:RTD > 0 and date >= 20101225 SU: 39-24-0 (3.75, 61.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 27-36-0 (-0.89, 42.9%) avg line: -4.6 +6: 40-21-2 (65.6%) -6: 16-47-0 (25.4%) +10: 48-15-0 (76.2%) -10: 14-48-1 (22.6%) O/U: 49-14-0 (8.21, 77.8%) avg total: 45.5 +6: 37-26-0 (58.7%) -6: 56-7-0 (88.9%) +10: 27-36-0 (42.9%) -10: 57-6-0 (90.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.5 119.7 35.9 23.2 267.3 1.3 5.8 9.1 5.9 7.8 28.7 Opp 26.2 112.0 34.2 21.3 248.1 1.6 5.1 7.0 4.7 8.1 25.0 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Patriots Giants away -7.0 54.5

PLAY ON dogs or small favs that lost by 45+ ATS in last 5 weeks (on DET) 0-1 ytd

p:ats margin + pp:ats margin + ppp:ats margin + pppp:ats margin + ppppp:ats margin <= -45 and WP < 57 and date > 20071120 and line >= -7 and total >= 38
SU: 60-92-0 (-2.42, 39.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 95-53-4 (2.51, 64.2%) avg line: 4.9 +6: 117-34-1 (77.5%) -6: 59-92-1 (39.1%) +10: 128-24-0 (84.2%) -10: 33-117-2 (22.0%) O/U: 68-78-6 (-0.22, 46.6%) avg total: 44.9 +6: 44-108-0 (28.9%) -6: 98-52-2 (65.3%) +10: 31-119-2 (20.7%) -10: 116-35-1 (76.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.9 118.9 33.3 19.8 215.1 1.6 4.1 6.3 4.9 5.8 21.1 Opp 27.3 117.8 35.3 21.8 239.3 1.5 5.2 7.6 4.5 6.1 23.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Lions Packers away 11.5 47.5

OPPOSE winning favs off SU home dog win (on TENN) 2-0 ytd

F and WP > 50 and p:HDW and season >= 2003 and p:line < 5.5
SU: 17-24-0 (-2.80, 41.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 6-34-1 (-6.59, 15.0%) avg line: -3.8 +6: 19-21-1 (47.5%) -6: 4-36-1 (10.0%) +10: 27-13-1 (67.5%) -10: 4-37-0 (9.8%) O/U: 19-19-3 (0.63, 50.0%) avg total: 42.8 +6: 12-29-0 (29.3%) -6: 27-13-1 (67.5%) +10: 11-30-0 (26.8%) -10: 31-8-2 (79.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.4 95.6 37.2 22.6 250.7 2.1 2.7 5.4 4.4 7.4 20.3 Opp 27.8 107.8 34.4 20.6 230.0 1.3 3.9 7.7 5.1 6.0 23.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Panthers Titans away -5.5 44.0

PLAY ON away dog when teams have same record (on JAX) 2-2 ytd

AD and p:A and WP = o:WP and season >= 2005 and game number < 15 and pp:H
SU: 31-33-0 (-1.19, 48.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 42-19-3 (3.26, 68.9%) avg line: 4.4 +6: 50-13-1 (79.4%) -6: 27-36-1 (42.9%) +10: 52-12-0 (81.2%) -10: 17-46-1 (27.0%) O/U: 37-24-3 (2.25, 60.7%) avg total: 44.1 +6: 26-36-2 (41.9%) -6: 45-19-0 (70.3%) +10: 19-42-3 (31.1%) -10: 49-15-0 (76.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.4 110.5 34.9 21.0 230.9 1.5 4.5 5.7 5.5 6.6 22.6 Opp 27.7 113.5 33.5 21.1 228.8 1.7 4.5 7.4 5.3 6.5 23.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Jaguars Ravens away 5.5 48.0

PLAY ON home dog after away dog win and opponent off home win (on TENN) 0-0 ytd

HD and p:ADW and op:HW and p:line < 11 and op:line >= -16 and opoints < 45
SU: 62-50-0 (1.46, 55.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 80-29-3 (5.69, 73.4%) avg line: 4.2 +6: 92-18-2 (83.6%) -6: 50-58-4 (46.3%) +10: 95-17-0 (84.8%) -10: 40-72-0 (35.7%) O/U: 50-61-1 (-0.85, 45.0%) avg total: 41.9 +6: 32-78-2 (29.1%) -6: 66-45-1 (59.5%) +10: 23-88-1 (20.7%) -10: 81-28-3 (74.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.0 108.5 31.3 18.2 208.2 1.8 3.7 6.9 3.9 6.6 21.2 Opp 26.4 110.0 34.6 20.4 225.8 2.1 3.1 6.4 4.3 5.9 19.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Titans Panthers home 5.5 44.0

OVER Non-Div game with home team before bye week (NYG/NE over) 6-2 o/u

NDIV and week + 2 = n:week and H and WP - o:WP > -50 and season > 2004
SU: 87-40-0 (5.65, 68.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 68-57-2 (2.42, 54.4%) avg line: -3.2 +6: 95-27-5 (77.9%) -6: 43-81-3 (34.7%) +10: 108-18-1 (85.7%) -10: 33-93-1 (26.2%) O/U: 86-39-2 (4.70, 68.8%) avg total: 43.7 +6: 52-74-1 (41.3%) -6: 100-26-1 (79.4%) +10: 33-91-3 (26.6%) -10: 114-13-0 (89.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.3 119.5 34.0 21.6 233.9 1.5 5.5 8.6 5.1 7.7 27.0 Opp 24.8 99.5 35.9 21.6 240.7 2.0 3.6 6.5 4.6 6.6 21.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Giants Patriots home 7.0 54.5

PLAY ON 2H season away team that just lost to drop 2 games <.500 vs beatable opponent (on DALLAS) 1-0 ytd

wins - losses <= -2 and week > 7 and -7 < p:margin < 0 and A and o:WP >= 15 and points > 8 and -15 < tA(margin) < .81 and otA(margin) <= 7 and rest > 3 and otA(oassing yards) < 272
SU: 94-139-0 (-2.52, 40.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 162-66-5 (3.46, 71.1%) avg line: 6.0 +6: 188-44-1 (81.0%) -6: 89-136-8 (39.6%) +10: 201-29-3 (87.4%) -10: 56-173-4 (24.5%) O/U: 112-118-3 (0.51, 48.7%) avg total: 40.2 +6: 81-147-5 (35.5%) -6: 149-77-7 (65.9%) +10: 55-176-2 (23.8%) -10: 179-53-1 (77.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.6 110.8 32.7 18.8 198.5 1.8 3.7 5.8 3.9 5.6 19.1 Opp 28.4 116.2 33.2 19.4 213.5 1.8 4.6 6.8 4.2 5.9 21.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Cowboys Buccaneers away 1.5 43.0

PLAY ON away team off b2b 0 turnovers vs team off a turnover (on KC) 1-2 ytd

A and p:TO = 0 and pp:TO = 0 and season > 2005 and op:TO > 0 and game number > 5
SU: 42-25-0 (3.28, 62.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 46-19-2 (4.07, 70.8%) avg line: 0.8 +6: 52-14-1 (78.8%) -6: 32-33-2 (49.2%) +10: 55-12-0 (82.1%) -10: 20-44-3 (31.2%) O/U: 31-36-0 (0.18, 46.3%) avg total: 44.4 +6: 19-46-2 (29.2%) -6: 44-22-1 (66.7%) +10: 13-53-1 (19.7%) -10: 52-14-1 (78.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.4 118.6 34.5 21.3 243.4 1.4 4.3 8.3 5.3 6.0 23.9 Opp 26.1 119.1 35.0 20.4 222.8 2.0 4.4 6.4 3.8 5.9 20.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Chiefs Broncos away 5.5 41.5

PLAY ON bad away dogs after an away loss. (on JAX, on MIA) 3-2 ytd

AD and 3.5 < line < 10 and 25 <= WP <= 40 and p:AL
SU: 44-71-0 (-3.32, 38.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 78-36-1 (3.60, 68.4%) avg line: 6.9 +6: 92-23-0 (80.0%) -6: 46-66-3 (41.1%) +10: 100-14-1 (87.7%) -10: 27-82-6 (24.8%) O/U: 48-63-4 (-0.44, 43.2%) avg total: 40.8 +6: 31-83-1 (27.2%) -6: 74-39-2 (65.5%) +10: 26-88-1 (22.8%) -10: 87-28-0 (75.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.5 99.6 33.8 19.5 214.7 1.9 3.4 5.6 4.3 5.0 18.5 Opp 28.3 112.2 34.5 20.5 229.7 1.9 4.4 6.9 4.2 6.2 21.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Dolphins Eagles away 6.5 48.0 Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Jaguars Ravens away 5.5 48.0

play away conference dogs after away loss with home game coming (on CLE, on JAX, on DET) 2-4 ytd

ACD and p:AL and season >= 2005 and n:H
SU: 75-116-1 (-3.62, 39.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 122-69-1 (2.93, 63.9%) avg line: 6.6 +6: 145-43-4 (77.1%) -6: 74-111-7 (40.0%) +10: 158-33-1 (82.7%) -10: 46-140-6 (24.7%) O/U: 100-88-4 (0.38, 53.2%) avg total: 42.6 +6: 62-126-4 (33.0%) -6: 132-60-0 (68.8%) +10: 40-148-4 (21.3%) -10: 144-47-1 (75.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.1 109.5 32.8 19.7 207.5 1.7 3.9 5.9 4.5 5.3 19.7 Opp 28.5 121.6 33.1 20.5 225.2 1.8 4.9 6.9 5.1 6.3 23.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Lions Packers away 11.5 47.5 Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Jaguars Ravens away 5.5 48.0 Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Browns Steelers away 4.5 41.0

PLAY ON big home favs vs non-elite opponent off home dog win (on SEA) 0-4 ytd

HF and -20 < line < -5 and op:HDW and game number >= 4 and season > 2002 and o:WP < 66
SU: 78-5-0 (16.02, 94.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 58-24-1 (7.23, 70.7%) avg line: -8.8 +6: 74-9-0 (89.2%) -6: 42-38-3 (52.5%) +10: 79-3-1 (96.3%) -10: 35-47-1 (42.7%) O/U: 42-39-2 (0.97, 51.9%) avg total: 43.1 +6: 28-54-1 (34.1%) -6: 60-23-0 (72.3%) +10: 17-65-1 (20.7%) -10: 68-15-0 (81.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.1 143.8 30.8 19.1 233.2 1.2 6.4 9.0 7.3 7.3 30.0 Opp 23.8 100.6 34.2 18.6 183.4 2.2 2.5 3.5 3.0 4.9 14.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 22, 2015 view Sunday 11 2015 Seahawks Fortyniners home -11.0

OVER away team off away loss with bye week coming. (CLE/PIT over) 0-0 ytd

A and week + 2 = n:week and p:AL and season > 1994
SU: 19-20-0 (-1.44, 48.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 20-19-0 (2.03, 51.3%) avg line: 3.5 +6: 30-7-2 (81.1%) -6: 13-26-0 (33.3%) +10: 34-5-0 (87.2%) -10: 8-29-2 (21.6%) O/U: 29-9-1 (4.81, 76.3%) avg total: 42.7 +6: 17-22-0 (43.6%) -6: 32-7-0 (82.1%) +10: 12-27-0 (30.8%) -10: 35-4-0 (89.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.9 118.5 31.4 19.1 214.1 1.8 3.6 8.2 3.7 7.4 23.1 Opp 27.2 107.1 34.1 20.7 239.4 1.6 5.2 6.6 5.2 7.5 24.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Browns Steelers away 4.5 41.0

OVER teams that couldn't run last week (WAS over) 0-0

p:RY < 50 and op:RY < 75 and season >= 2002 and o:WP < 100 and WP >= 20
SU: 53-27-0 (4.20, 66.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 44-36-0 (2.77, 55.0%) avg line: -1.4 +6: 59-19-2 (75.6%) -6: 31-48-1 (39.2%) +10: 64-15-1 (81.0%) -10: 25-54-1 (31.6%) O/U: 55-24-1 (3.37, 69.6%) avg total: 43.1 +6: 28-50-2 (35.9%) -6: 65-12-3 (84.4%) +10: 18-61-1 (22.8%) -10: 71-6-3 (92.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.5 124.1 34.8 21.7 240.7 1.5 5.2 7.5 5.8 6.5 25.3 Opp 25.8 113.4 34.5 20.8 216.4 1.8 3.7 7.2 4.3 5.8 21.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Redskins Saints home 1.0 50.0

PLAY ON midseason away teams in middle of a big losing streak. (on DALLAS) 0-0

streak <= -5 and 9 <= game number <= 12 and A
SU: 28-53-0 (-4.90, 34.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 54-25-2 (3.32, 68.4%) avg line: 8.2 +6: 68-13-0 (84.0%) -6: 32-44-5 (42.1%) +10: 69-12-0 (85.2%) -10: 20-60-1 (25.0%) O/U: 42-39-0 (2.42, 51.9%) avg total: 40.6 +6: 34-47-0 (42.0%) -6: 50-31-0 (61.7%) +10: 24-56-1 (30.0%) -10: 61-19-1 (76.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.3 100.1 33.3 18.9 205.5 1.7 3.7 5.7 4.2 5.0 19.1 Opp 29.8 127.6 33.0 20.2 227.4 1.8 4.0 7.8 4.8 7.3 24.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Cowboys Buccaneers away 1.5 43.0

 

[TheComputerGroup]

The system.is 54-25 ATS but 28-53 SU for Dallas......Dallas is only getting +1........isn't thatbbasically a Pk game?

So the lousy SU record of 28-53 would make this game a wash on both sides.

 

[Biz]

SU: 5-3-0 (1.50, 62.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 5-2-1 (2.62, 71.4%) avg line: 1.1 +6: 7-1-0 (87.5%) -6: 2-6-0 (25.0%) +10: 7-1-0 (87.5%) -10: 2-6-0 (25.0%) O/U: 5-3-0 (5.56, 62.5%) avg total: 38.9 +6: 4-4-0 (50.0%) -6: 6-2-0 (75.0%) +10: 3-5-0 (37.5%) -10: 7-1-0 (87.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 29.1 120.8 27.6 16.2 185.8 0.9 5.0 6.9 4.8 6.4 23.0 Opp 27.9 97.1 31.5 19.0 236.9 1.6 4.5 7.6 3.4 6.0 21.5 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 03, 1991 Sunday 10 1991 Bengals Browns home 3-0 10-14 7-7 3-0 23-21 1.0 36.5 2 3.0 7.5 5.2 2.2 W W O 0 Nov 13, 1994 Sunday 11 1994 Oilers Bengals away 10-3 7-14 7-0 7-17 31-34 1.5 34.5 -3 -1.5 30.5 14.5 16.0 L L O 0 Nov 13, 1994 Sunday 11 1994 Giants Cardinals home 7-0 2-0 0-3 0-7 9-10 1.0 34.5 -1 0.0 -15.5 -7.8 -7.8 L P U 0 Nov 03, 1996 Sunday 10 1996 Falcons Panthers home 10-3 3-7 0-0 7-7 20-17 1.0 41.5 3 4.0 -4.5 -0.2 -4.2 W W U 0 Nov 14, 1999 Sunday 10 1999 Saints Fortyniners home 7-3 7-3 7-0 3-0 24-6 1.0 39.5 18 19.0 -9.5 4.8 -14.2 W W U 0 Nov 14, 2004 Sunday 10 2004 Panthers Fortyniners away 0-10 3-7 17-3 17-7 37-27 1.0 41.5 10 11.0 22.5 16.8 5.8 W W O 0 Nov 27, 2005 Sunday 12 2005 Saints Jets away 0-3 14-6 0-7 7-3 21-19 1.0 37.0 2 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 W W O 0 Dec 04, 2011 Sunday 13 2011 Buccaneers Panthers home 3-14 9-10 0-7 7-7 19-38 1.5 46.5 -19 -17.5 10.5 -3.5 14.0 L L O 0 Nov 15, 2015 view Sunday 10 2015 Cowboys Buccaneers away 1.5 43.0