NCAAF Systems

rolltide · Nov 9, 2014

W Ohio (50-25)
W Memphis (34-17)
W Ga Tech (57-20 only if -3 to +4)
X UCLA (57-20 only if -3 to +4)
X La Tech (57-20 only if -3 to +4)
X Duke (57-20 only if -3 to +4)
L Fla Atlantic (53-21)
W SMU (201-99)
W Marshall (34-17, 36-11)
L LSU (75-28, 56-9, 24-5)
W New Mexico (24-5)
L Florida St (151-98, 41-16)
W Baylor (124-52)
P UTSA (105-39)
W UTEP (105-39)
Clemson (36-18) canceled by WF (24-5)
Northwestern (38-14) canceled by Michigan (57-19)
TCU (71-28) canceled by Kansas St (124-52)
Arizona St (74-29) canceled by ND (43-17)

W WYO/USU under (35-12 if line <=9)
X ORE/UTA under (35-12 if line <=9)
W FSU/UVA under (59-26 if 50.5-56.5)
X ND/ASU under (2-24 if line <=2.5)

X = plays didn't meet line parameter

sides 8-3-1, totals 2-0 .... 93-73-6 YTD

rolltide · Nov 12, 2014

play ON home conference dog off b2b home losses, 60-40 ATS ... below is tightener of results in last 8+ years when road team's winning % isn't way higher than home team (on ORE ST) 1-0 2014

HCD and p:HL and pp:HL and date ....

SU:	12-11-0 (3.35, 52.2%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	20-3-0 (12.04, 87.0%)	avg line: 8.7	+6: 21-2-0 (91.3%)	-6: 16-6-1 (72.7%)	+10: 22-1-0 (95.7%)	-10: 11-12-0 (47.8%)
O/U:	7-15-1 (-1.87, 31.8%)	avg total: 53.4	+6: 6-16-1 (27.3%)	-6: 13-9-1 (59.1%)	+10: 6-17-0 (26.1%)	-10: 15-7-1 (68.2%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	38.2	149.3	30.4	17.5	205.5	1.3	6.2	7.7	5.3	8.2	27.4
Opp	36.2	157.3	36.2	21.8	243.7	2.0	5.7	8.6	3.6	6.4	24.1

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Nov 15, 2014		Saturday	12	2014	ORST	AZST	home						9.5	61.0

PLAY OVER 4-5 road team vs opponent still bowl eligible & total 42.5-67.5 (FLA over, DUKE over, APPST over, PITT over if 42.5-67.5) 1-1 2014

A and losses = 5 and wins = 4 and o:losses < 7 and 68 > total > 42

SU:	18-38-0 (-12.30, 32.1%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	26-29-1 (-1.71, 47.3%)	avg line: 10.6	+6: 35-21-0 (62.5%)	-6: 19-36-1 (34.5%)	+10: 35-20-1 (63.6%)	-10: 11-42-3 (20.8%)
O/U:	43-13-0 (10.44, 76.8%)	avg total: 52.6	+6: 31-25-0 (55.4%)	-6: 49-7-0 (87.5%)	+10: 24-32-0 (42.9%)	-10: 50-5-1 (90.9%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	34.3	120.4	32.3	18.4	221.2	2.2	4.9	7.1	6.1	6.3	25.4
Opp	40.2	194.2	31.6	19.8	253.1	1.6	9.2	11.4	8.3	8.0	37.7

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	APP	AKST	away	14.5	65.0
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	VTCH	DUKE	away	5.5	46.5
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	SCAR	FLA	away	6.5	58.5

UNDER favs or dogs<=9 that were huge dogs to same opponent last year (ARK under, UTEP under, BAMA under if line <=9) 7-4 2014

P:L and P:season = season -1 and P:line >= 22 and line <= 9 and ...

SU:	19-30-0 (-3.20, 38.8%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	25-24-0 (0.23, 51.0%)	avg line: 3.4	+6: 33-16-0 (67.3%)	-6: 13-36-0 (26.5%)	+10: 36-12-1 (75.0%)	-10: 10-37-2 (21.3%)
O/U:	13-36-0 (-6.14, 26.5%)	avg total: 55.1	+6: 9-40-0 (18.4%)	-6: 22-26-1 (45.8%)	+10: 7-42-0 (14.3%)	-10: 27-21-1 (56.2%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	38.0	148.5	30.8	18.3	231.1	1.9	4.5	6.9	5.9	5.5	22.9
Opp	38.2	172.7	31.3	19.4	232.3	1.7	6.2	7.9	6.4	5.4	26.1

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	MSST	ALA	away	8.5	52.0
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	ARK	LSU	home	-2.0	47.5
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	UTEP	NTX	home	-6.5	55.5

play ON dogs with at least double revenge vs conference opponent that needed OT to win as a conference fav last week (on MISS ST) 0-2 2014

p

vertime > 0 and p:FCW ... and C and P:W and PP:W and rest < 13 and season > 1998

SU:	15-15-0 (2.03, 50.0%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	3-26-1 (-8.20, 10.3%)	avg line: -10.2	+6: 13-16-1 (44.8%)	-6: 2-28-0 (6.7%)	+10: 19-11-0 (63.3%)	-10: 2-28-0 (6.7%)
O/U:	6-8-1 (-9.23, 42.9%)	avg total: 56.3	+6: 3-12-0 (20.0%)	-6: 7-8-0 (46.7%)	+10: 2-13-0 (13.3%)	-10: 7-8-0 (46.7%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	43.7	201.1	30.1	18.4	208.5	1.5	6.7	7.2	7.5	7.5	27.9
Opp	34.3	119.7	32.7	18.1	183.4	2.1	5.7	6.3	3.4	2.8	25.9

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Nov 15, 2014		Saturday	12	2014	ALA	MSST	home						-8.5	52.0

PLAY ON low line away teams (-4 to +3) off b2b conference wins (on TEX, on GASOU, on FSU, on CLEM, on NEV, on MIZZ if line b/w -3 and +4) 8-7

A and -4 <= line <= 3 and p:CW and pp:CW ...

SU:	67-30-0 (6.30, 69.1%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	66-29-2 (5.22, 69.5%)	avg line: -1.1	+6: 74-22-1 (77.1%)	-6: 45-49-3 (47.9%)	+10: 80-17-0 (82.5%)	-10: 35-59-3 (37.2%)
O/U:	45-51-1 (-0.43, 46.9%)	avg total: 54.9	+6: 36-61-0 (37.1%)	-6: 60-37-0 (61.9%)	+10: 21-76-0 (21.6%)	-10: 71-26-0 (73.2%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	39.5	175.2	30.5	17.8	221.2	1.6	6.4	8.8	7.2	7.2	30.4
Opp	37.8	149.4	33.6	19.5	222.9	1.9	5.2	6.7	4.6	6.9	24.1

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	NEV	AIR	away	2.0	54.5
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	CLEM	GTCH	away	-3.0	60.5
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	FLST	MIAF	away	-1.5	62.0
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	GSOU	NAVY	away	3.0	63.0
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	TEX	OKST	away	-2.0	49.0

PLAY ON huge home favs, well rested (on BYU, on W MICH if line 21.5-35.5)

HF and -35.5 <= line <= -21.5 and ....

SU:	84-1-0 (33.66, 98.8%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	63-18-4 (6.55, 77.8%)	avg line: -27.1	+6: 70-15-0 (82.4%)	-6: 44-40-1 (52.4%)	+10: 73-11-1 (86.9%)	-10: 35-50-0 (41.2%)
O/U:	36-31-0 (0.97, 53.7%)	avg total: 59.3	+6: 21-45-1 (31.8%)	-6: 42-23-2 (64.6%)	+10: 16-49-2 (24.6%)	-10: 51-15-1 (77.3%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	41.0	237.8	30.2	20.4	285.2	1.4	12.8	14.1	12.5	7.5	46.6
Opp	33.2	93.5	32.4	17.7	188.5	2.2	2.3	2.9	4.1	4.1	12.9

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Nov 15, 2014		Saturday	12	2014	BYU	UNLV	home						-24.0	62.0
Nov 15, 2014		Saturday	12	2014	WMCH	EMCH	home						-27.0	56.5

PLAY ON huge conference home favs of 3-5 TD off blowout conference win (on MARSH, on W MICH)

CHF and -35 <= line <= -21 and p:CW and p:margin >= 21 and season >= 1999

SU:	155-5-0 (31.09, 96.9%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	109-47-4 (4.28, 69.9%)	avg line: -26.8	+6: 126-34-0 (78.8%)	-6: 70-81-9 (46.4%)	+10: 134-25-1 (84.3%)	-10: 51-106-3 (32.5%)
O/U:	51-41-2 (2.17, 55.4%)	avg total: 57.0	+6: 36-55-3 (39.6%)	-6: 68-25-1 (73.1%)	+10: 25-68-1 (26.9%)	-10: 75-17-2 (81.5%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	40.4	223.9	30.0	20.3	280.1	1.4	11.1	12.4	11.3	9.3	44.8
Opp	35.3	126.6	29.4	15.4	167.0	2.0	2.6	4.8	3.6	3.5	13.7

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Nov 15, 2014		Saturday	12	2014	MRSH	RICE	home						-21.0	64.5
Nov 15, 2014		Saturday	12	2014	WMCH	EMCH	home						-27.0	56.5

UNDER total 50.5-56.5 team off blowout loss vs opponent that just scored 42+ (UK under if 50.5-56.5)

p:margin <= -21 and op

oints >= 42 and 57 > total > 50

SU:	20-67-0 (-15.15, 23.0%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	39-47-1 (-1.57, 45.3%)	avg line: 13.6	+6: 59-27-1 (68.6%)	-6: 24-62-1 (27.9%)	+10: 69-18-0 (79.3%)	-10: 14-72-1 (16.3%)
O/U:	26-60-1 (-3.64, 30.2%)	avg total: 53.7	+6: 19-67-1 (22.1%)	-6: 47-39-1 (54.7%)	+10: 14-72-1 (16.3%)	-10: 56-27-4 (67.5%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	37.2	131.0	29.8	16.7	185.1	2.0	3.5	4.8	3.7	5.1	17.4
Opp	39.1	191.1	28.2	17.5	227.2	1.5	8.0	9.9	7.4	7.2	32.6

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Nov 15, 2014		Saturday	12	2014	KTKY	TEN	away						8.5	54.0

OPPOSE certain conference home dogs off blowout win (on NEV, on AUB, on CLEM, on FSU, on OSU, on ECAR, on TCU if in line range) 7-3

HC and p:margin > 17 and season > 2011 and (3 > line > -4 or line > 8)

SU:	14-43-0 (-9.68, 24.6%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	12-44-1 (-7.70, 21.4%)	avg line: 2.0	+6: 26-30-1 (46.4%)	-6: 8-49-0 (14.0%)	+10: 31-26-0 (54.4%)	-10: 6-50-1 (10.7%)
O/U:	26-30-1 (0.91, 46.4%)	avg total: 57.3	+6: 22-35-0 (38.6%)	-6: 34-23-0 (59.6%)	+10: 17-39-1 (30.4%)	-10: 37-20-0 (64.9%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	38.5	154.9	34.7	20.1	231.3	1.8	6.1	6.2	5.5	5.9	24.2
Opp	40.1	187.7	30.4	18.8	236.9	1.1	6.3	10.1	7.7	9.0	33.9

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	AIR	NEV	home	-2.0	54.5
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	GEO	AUB	home	-2.5	68.5
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	KAN	TCU	home	28.0	58.0
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	MIAF	FLST	home	1.5	62.0
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	MIN	OHST	home	12.5	58.5
Nov 13, 2014	Thursday	12	2014	CIN	ECAR	home	2.5	68.0

UNDER conference team off DD away dog win (TUL under)

p:ADW and C and 21 >= p:line >= 10 ...

SU:	58-44-0 (1.67, 56.9%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	57-43-2 (1.85, 57.0%)	avg line: 0.2	+6: 74-28-0 (72.5%)	-6: 36-65-1 (35.6%)	+10: 78-22-2 (78.0%)	-10: 27-73-2 (27.0%)
O/U:	29-70-3 (-2.97, 29.3%)	avg total: 52.7	+6: 21-81-0 (20.6%)	-6: 54-48-0 (52.9%)	+10: 17-84-1 (16.8%)	-10: 71-27-4 (72.4%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	36.7	148.0	31.2	18.2	218.8	1.5	5.5	7.6	6.6	5.9	25.7
Opp	36.5	156.4	32.6	18.6	221.5	2.1	6.0	6.4	4.8	6.6	24.0

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Nov 15, 2014		Saturday	12	2014	TLN	MEM	home						10.5	47.5

more in a bit....

tmader7 · Nov 12, 2014

RT, what's the record for the year if you don't mind me asking. You'd make an accountant on April 14th blush with all those tables you put up.

~T~

rolltide · Nov 12, 2014

OVER big favs (16.5+) off a bye (over CMU if -16.5 or higher, over C FLA, over BYU, over W MICH)

week - p:week = 2 and HF and line < -16 ...

SU:	37-3-0 (28.48, 92.5%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	24-15-1 (2.55, 61.5%)	avg line: -25.9	+6: 27-12-1 (69.2%)	-6: 18-20-2 (47.4%)	+10: 33-6-1 (84.6%)	-10: 13-26-1 (33.3%)
O/U:	33-6-1 (5.28, 84.6%)	avg total: 57.6	+6: 16-23-1 (41.0%)	-6: 36-4-0 (90.0%)	+10: 12-26-2 (31.6%)	-10: 36-4-0 (90.0%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	43.8	246.3	30.8	20.1	278.1	1.2	12.2	13.1	11.9	8.4	45.7
Opp	34.9	113.5	31.0	16.9	198.2	2.3	4.5	4.4	5.5	2.9	17.2

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	BYU	UNLV	home	-24.0	62.0
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	WMCH	EMCH	home	-27.0	56.5
Nov 14, 2014	Friday	12	2014	CFL	TLS	home	-19.0	55.0

OPPOSE rested home conference dogs off a non-covering loss vs opponent on regular rest (on OKLA, on IOWA, on TEX)

HC and line > -2.5 and rest > 9 and p:L and p:ats margin < 0 and o:rest = 6 a...

SU:	20-81-0 (-12.69, 19.8%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	29-71-1 (-4.37, 29.0%)	avg line: 8.3	+6: 54-46-1 (54.0%)	-6: 22-78-1 (22.0%)	+10: 67-32-2 (67.7%)	-10: 16-85-0 (15.8%)
O/U:	28-35-0 (-0.50, 44.4%)	avg total: 53.2	+6: 18-44-1 (29.0%)	-6: 37-25-1 (59.7%)	+10: 15-48-0 (23.8%)	-10: 46-16-1 (74.2%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	36.8	142.0	31.0	17.2	194.3	2.0	4.9	5.5	4.3	5.6	19.9
Opp	39.7	186.9	29.9	19.1	228.4	1.4	7.6	8.8	8.4	7.4	32.6

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	ILL	IOWA	home	5.5	57.5
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	OKST	TEX	home	2.0	49.0
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	TXT	OKLA	home	11.0

play ON away teams scoring 30+ ppg if within 2.5 of pk (on ECAR, on TX ST, on PITT, on GASOU, on FSU, on CLEM, on AUB, on LSU, on NEV if within 2.5 of pk)

tA(points) >= 29.76 and -3 < line < 3 and A and date > 20111022

SU:	85-32-0 (7.20, 72.6%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	86-30-1 (7.29, 74.1%)	avg line: 0.1	+6: 100-16-1 (86.2%)	-6: 60-54-3 (52.6%)	+10: 104-12-1 (89.7%)	-10: 45-71-1 (38.8%)
O/U:	56-57-4 (0.03, 49.6%)	avg total: 57.5	+6: 41-74-2 (35.7%)	-6: 68-48-1 (58.6%)	+10: 33-83-1 (28.4%)	-10: 80-36-1 (69.0%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	40.8	185.0	31.0	19.0	236.2	1.4	6.5	8.4	7.8	8.7	32.4
Opp	39.3	155.6	36.4	21.6	247.0	1.9	5.1	7.1	5.1	7.0	25.2

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	NEV	AIR	away	2.0	54.5
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	LSU	ARK	away	2.0	47.5
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	AUB	GEO	away	2.5	68.5
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	FLST	MIAF	away	-1.5	62.0
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	PIT	NCAR	away	2.0	70.0
Nov 13, 2014	Thursday	12	2014	ECAR	CIN	away	-2.5	68.0

PLAY ON away team off b2b great rushing games vs opponent that can't run (on PITT)

A and op:rushing yards <= 100 and opp:rushing yards <= 100 and p:rushing yards >= 205 and pp:rushing yards >= 205 and o:WP > 0

SU:	42-12-0 (11.87, 77.8%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	35-18-1 (5.08, 66.0%)	avg line: -6.8	+6: 45-9-0 (83.3%)	-6: 25-28-1 (47.2%)	+10: 50-4-0 (92.6%)	-10: 17-37-0 (31.5%)
O/U:	26-27-1 (1.44, 49.1%)	avg total: 57.2	+6: 16-37-1 (30.2%)	-6: 32-22-0 (59.3%)	+10: 15-39-0 (27.8%)	-10: 35-18-1 (66.0%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	46.6	246.4	22.6	14.2	178.1	1.2	8.0	10.9	8.0	7.4	35.2
Opp	31.7	125.5	36.2	21.6	246.3	1.9	4.6	6.2	5.1	6.8	23.4

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Nov 15, 2014		Saturday	12	2014	PIT	NCAR	away						2.0	70.0

OPPOSE dog off b2b allowing 30+ vs team off a win vs opponent that just scored 28+ in a win (on USC)

po

oints >= 30 and ppo

oints >= 30 and p:W and A and op:W and o:rest > 5 and op

oints > 27 and line >= 5

SU:	4-70-0 (-27.93, 5.4%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	18-53-3 (-9.62, 25.4%)	avg line: 18.3	+6: 30-41-3 (42.3%)	-6: 13-61-0 (17.6%)	+10: 35-37-2 (48.6%)	-10: 6-66-2 (8.3%)
O/U:	13-20-1 (-5.18, 39.4%)	avg total: 60.8	+6: 9-25-0 (26.5%)	-6: 19-13-2 (59.4%)	+10: 5-29-0 (14.7%)	-10: 23-11-0 (67.6%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	32.6	107.9	35.8	18.6	204.7	2.0	2.6	5.8	2.2	4.0	15.8
Opp	41.5	227.7	30.8	19.3	269.0	1.6	9.0	13.3	10.5	8.1	43.7

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Nov 13, 2014		Thursday	12	2014	CAL	USC	away						15.0	72.0

UNDER totals >51 with home team off great b2b defense vs opponent that just scored 27+ (WISC under, UTST under total>51)

po

oints + ppo

oints < 20 and H and op

oints > 26 and total > 51

SU:	46-16-0 (12.16, 74.2%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	32-29-1 (0.48, 52.5%)	avg line: -11.7	+6: 41-21-0 (66.1%)	-6: 21-39-2 (35.0%)	+10: 47-13-2 (78.3%)	-10: 17-45-0 (27.4%)
O/U:	17-43-2 (-4.01, 28.3%)	avg total: 57.7	+6: 11-51-0 (17.7%)	-6: 30-31-1 (49.2%)	+10: 8-54-0 (12.9%)	-10: 38-24-0 (61.3%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	38.4	184.4	30.6	19.3	243.3	1.8	7.5	9.9	7.4	7.5	32.9
Opp	37.0	131.3	31.2	17.8	213.8	2.0	4.1	6.7	4.0	5.5	20.7

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Nov 15, 2014		Saturday	12	2014	UTST	NMX	home						-18.0	54.5
Nov 15, 2014		Saturday	12	2014	WIS	NEB	home						-6.0	57.0

PLAY ON home conference dogs with revenge for dog loss vs opponent off 6+ point win (on MIA FL)

HC and p:W and P:LD and 12 > game number > 3 and rest > 11 and op:margin > 5 ...

SU:	32-34-2 (0.01, 48.5%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	56-10-2 (7.65, 84.8%)	avg line: 7.6	+6: 60-8-0 (88.2%)	-6: 37-29-2 (56.1%)	+10: 61-7-0 (89.7%)	-10: 26-39-3 (40.0%)
O/U:	4-12-1 (-5.12, 25.0%)	avg total: 51.0	+6: 4-13-0 (23.5%)	-6: 8-9-0 (47.1%)	+10: 3-14-0 (17.6%)	-10: 9-8-0 (52.9%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	45.4	168.2	25.0	12.6	161.7	1.6	4.2	6.2	5.8	5.9	22.9
Opp	31.9	138.5	32.4	18.2	215.8	1.9	5.8	6.5	4.1	6.6	22.8

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Nov 15, 2014		Saturday	12	2014	MIAF	FLST	home						1.5	62.0

play ON 7-0 or better unbeaten conference home favs (on MARSH)

wins >= 7 and losses = 0 and FCH and ...

SU:	51-7-0 (22.67, 87.9%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	41-17-0 (4.72, 70.7%)	avg line: -17.9	+6: 46-11-1 (80.7%)	-6: 33-25-0 (56.9%)	+10: 48-9-1 (84.2%)	-10: 23-35-0 (39.7%)
O/U:	33-25-0 (2.42, 56.9%)	avg total: 59.8	+6: 23-33-2 (41.1%)	-6: 42-16-0 (72.4%)	+10: 19-38-1 (33.3%)	-10: 46-11-1 (80.7%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	38.3	201.4	32.1	21.4	286.3	1.4	8.9	12.6	10.8	9.8	42.5
Opp	35.8	129.3	31.4	17.9	204.1	2.1	5.0	5.8	4.4	4.5	19.8

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Nov 15, 2014		Saturday	12	2014	MRSH	RICE	home						-21.0	64.5

PLAY ON good rushing team vs a bad rushing defense that just had a good rush defense game (on C MICH, on USC)

C and p:margin > -4 and -21 < line < 21 and 4.3 >= tS(rushing yards) / tS(rushes) >= 3.5 and 7 >= oS(o:rushing yards) ...

SU:	62-28-0 (10.80, 68.9%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	63-27-0 (5.88, 70.0%)	avg line: -4.9	+6: 71-18-1 (79.8%)	-6: 42-44-4 (48.8%)	+10: 77-11-2 (87.5%)	-10: 32-57-1 (36.0%)
O/U:	43-46-1 (0.83, 48.3%)	avg total: 54.6	+6: 26-63-1 (29.2%)	-6: 62-27-1 (69.7%)	+10: 19-70-1 (21.3%)	-10: 69-21-0 (76.7%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	38.6	167.9	30.8	19.2	242.8	1.3	7.9	9.7	7.9	6.9	33.1
Opp	35.7	136.8	34.9	20.5	227.7	2.0	4.5	6.3	4.5	6.6	22.3

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Nov 15, 2014		Saturday	12	2014	CMCH	MIAO	home						-16.0	48.0
Nov 13, 2014		Thursday	12	2014	USC	CAL	home						-15.0	72.0

OPPOSE conference dogs that can't run vs opponent with great rush defense (on TCU)

3.5 >= tS(rushing yards) / tS(rushes) >= 2.83 and C and 3.5 >= otS(o:rushing yards) / oS(o:rushes) >= 3.0 and season > 2009 and line > 8

SU:	1-35-0 (-27.33, 2.8%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	5-30-1 (-6.43, 14.3%)	avg line: 20.9	+6: 19-14-3 (57.6%)	-6: 4-32-0 (11.1%)	+10: 24-12-0 (66.7%)	-10: 2-33-1 (5.7%)
O/U:	22-14-0 (5.94, 61.1%)	avg total: 56.4	+6: 14-21-1 (40.0%)	-6: 28-8-0 (77.8%)	+10: 10-25-1 (28.6%)	-10: 31-4-1 (88.6%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	32.6	106.4	36.6	19.6	215.7	2.6	3.6	5.1	3.7	5.1	17.5
Opp	42.2	218.6	32.9	20.7	275.1	1.5	12.8	12.9	9.7	9.5	44.8

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Nov 15, 2014		Saturday	12	2014	KAN	TCU	home						28.0	58.0

rolltide · Nov 12, 2014

tmader7 said:
RT, what's the record for the year if you don't mind me asking. You'd make an accountant on April 14th blush with all those tables you put up.

~T~

bottom of post #221

tmader7 · Nov 12, 2014

rolltide said:
bottom of post #221

93-73-6, got it. Thx.

~T~

rolltide · Nov 12, 2014

very long list. many will get KO'd on game day due to lines but i post anything that is close to the line needed:

USC (53-18, 63-27)
East Carolina (44-12 if -2.5 to +3 & 86-30 if +/-2.5)
Oregon St (20-3)
Miss State (26-3)
Texas (71-29, & 66-29 if line b/w -3 and +4)
Oklahoma (71-29)
Iowa (71-29)
Ga Southern (66-29 if line b/w -3 and +4, & 86-30 if +/-2.5)
Clemson (66-29 if line b/w -3 and +4 & 86-30 if +/-2.5)
Nevada (66-29 if line b/w -3 and +4, & 44-12 if -2.5 to +3.5, & 86-30 if +/-2.5)
Missouri (66-29 if line b/w -3 and +4)
BYU (63-18)
W Michigan (63-18, 109-47)
Marshall (41-17, 109-47 if -21+)
TCU (44-12)
Ohio St (44-12)
LSU (86-30 if +/-2.5)
Texas State (86-30 if +/-2.5)
Auburn (44-12 if -2.5 to +3.5, & 86-30 if +/-2.5)
Pitt (35-18, & 86-30 if +/-2.5)
C Michigan (63-27)
TCU (30-5)
Fla State (66-29/44-12/86-30) canceled by Miami (56-10)

UCF/TUL over (33-6)
PITT/NC over (43-13 only if total<68)
APP/AKST over (43-13 only if total<68)
SC/FLA over (43-13)
VT/DUKE over (43-13 only if total>42)
ALA/MST under (36-13 only if line<=9)
ARK/LSU under (36-13)
UTEP/NT under (36-13)
UK/TEN under (60-26 if total 50.5-56.5)
MEM/TUL under (70-29)
BYT/UNLV over (33-6)
WMU/EMU over (33-6)
CMU/MIA over (33-6 only if -16.5 or bigger fav)
WIS/NEB under (43-17 if total>51)
USU/NMX under (43-17 if total>51)

tmader7 · Nov 12, 2014

Last question and then I leave you alone......Do you play all these?

~T~

rolltide · Nov 12, 2014

tmader7 said:
Last question and then I leave you alone......Do you play all these?

~T~

hell no. i havent bet more than 6 games on any saturday. i just post the stuff i use to after i'm done breaking down the technical capping part....

Panthers1fan · Nov 12, 2014

Tide,

amazing number of system plays for the week and only 1 that cancels out. I have followed your thread this year, have you ever seen this many before in prior years?
thx for posting this info.

rolltide · Nov 12, 2014

Panthers1fan said:
Tide,

amazing number of system plays for the week and only 1 that cancels out. I have followed your thread this year, have you ever seen this many before in prior years?
thx for posting this info.

no i haven't.

some of them are new ones (the 4-5 away teams of course) but there are so many in that -4 to +4 range where i have a couple different systems for small line away teams that a bunch of stuff pops up. i'm sure a half dozen or more will get KO'd by line moves but it sucks to see so many things in range on a wednesday. i just checked with another group that i used to be a part of (totally different approach) and, he only has TWO of these on his sheet of 12 sides. we're opposite USC and match on Iowa. we usually do well with matches even though i really don't like Iowa....

tmader7 · Nov 12, 2014

rolltide said:
hell no. i havent bet more than 6 games on any saturday. i just post the stuff i use to after i'm done breaking down the technical capping part....

LMFAO! Didn't think so, I give you enough credit, but just had to ask for the entertainment value.

~T~

amarp21 · Nov 12, 2014

hi roll
like ball state today +3 any query or thought on the game ??

rolltide · Nov 12, 2014

sorry Amar, no thoughts at all on either

as a general rule i don't like to lay points with a) bad defenses or b) bad offenses and BG not only qualifies as a bad defense but this defense has been on the field for more avg plays/game than any team in NCAAF ...

other game looks about right as far as 3.5/62 but line on the move so would be chasing the total to play the over at this point. if i were playing something it would be KSU +14.5 but doubt that will happen either.

scorpion896 · Nov 12, 2014

Thanks for all you do RollTide, much appreciated.

Do you mind PMing/sharing the full query for the following? I'm planning on making a large bet on this game and want to make sure I analyze all possibilities fully for both sides.

play ON dogs with at least double revenge vs conference opponent that needed OT to win as a conference fav last week (on MISS ST) 0-2 2014

rolltide · Nov 13, 2014

scorpion896 said:
play ON dogs with at least double revenge vs conference opponent that needed OT to win as a conference fav last week (on MISS ST) 0-2 2014

should read 1-2 this year. aTm was in the same spot vs MISS ST after they beat ark in OT

p

vertime > 0 and p:FCW and -27 < p:line < -6 and C and P:W and PP:W and rest <= 10 and season > 1998

SU:	15-15-0 (2.03, 50.0%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	3-26-1 (-8.20, 10.3%)	avg line: -10.2	+6: 13-16-1 (44.8%)	-6: 2-28-0 (6.7%)	+10: 19-11-0 (63.3%)	-10: 2-28-0 (6.7%)
O/U:	6-8-1 (-9.23, 42.9%)	avg total: 56.3	+6: 3-12-0 (20.0%)	-6: 7-8-0 (46.7%)	+10: 2-13-0 (13.3%)	-10: 7-8-0 (46.7%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	43.7	201.1	30.1	18.4	208.5	1.5	6.7	7.2	7.5	7.5	27.9
Opp	34.3	119.7	32.7	18.1	183.4	2.1	5.7	6.3	3.4	2.8	25.9

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Nov 15, 2014		Saturday	12	2014	ALA	MSST	home						-8.5	52.0
Nov 01, 2014	box	Saturday	10	2014	OHST	ILL	home	17-0	14-0	17-7	7-7	55-14	-28.5	65.0	41	12.5	4	8.2	-4.2	W	W	O	0
Nov 01, 2014	box	Saturday	10	2014	UCLA	ARZ	home	0-7	3-0	14-0	0-0	17-7	-6.0	70.5	10	4	-46.5	-21.2	-25.2	W	W	U	0
Oct 04, 2014	box	Saturday	6	2014	TXAM	MSST	away	7-14	3-14	7-13	14-7	31-48	2.5	72.0	-17	-14.5	7	-3.8	10.8	L	L	O	0
Nov 30, 2013	box	Saturday	14	2013	RICE	TLN	home	7-3	10-0	0-7	0-3	17-13	-11.0	49.0	4	-7.0	-19.0	-13.0	-6.0	W	L	U	0
Nov 09, 2013	box	Saturday	11	2013	PNST	MIN	away	7-10	3-14	0-0	0-0	10-24	2.5	47.5	-14	-11.5	-13.5	-12.5	-1.0	L	L	U	0
Nov 24, 2012	box	Saturday	13	2012	VTCH	VIR	home	0-0	7-7	7-7	3-0	17-14	-10.0	48.0	3	-7	-17	-12.0	-5.0	W	L	U	0
Oct 20, 2012	box	Saturday	8	2012	CFL	MEM	away	14-0	0-10	7-0	14-7	35-17	-22.5	50.5	18	-4.5	1.5	-1.5	3.0	W	L	O	0
Oct 13, 2012	box	Saturday	7	2012	NEV	UNLV	away	0-14	14-17	7-0	21-6	42-37	-12.0	63.0	5	-7	16	4.5	11.5	W	L	O	0
Nov 05, 2011	box	Saturday	10	2011	FINT	WKY	away	6-7	0-0	0-0	3-3	9-10	-2.5	49.5	-1	-3.5	-30.5	-17.0	-13.5	L	L	U	0
Nov 13, 2010	box	Saturday	11	2010	NEB	KAN	home	7-0	7-0	3-3	3-0	20-3	-33.5	60.5	17	-16.5	-37.5	-27.0	-10.5	W	L	U	0
Nov 21, 2009	box	Saturday	12	2009	OHST	MICH	away	7-0	7-3	7-7	0-0	21-10	-11.0	48.0	11	0.0	-17.0	-8.5	-8.5	W	P	U	0
Nov 14, 2009	box	Saturday	11	2009	GTCH	DUKE	away	7-10	21-0	14-0	7-0	49-10	-13.5	59.0	39	25.5	0.0	12.8	-12.8	W	W	P	0
Oct 31, 2009	box	Saturday	9	2009	UTAH	WYO	home	0-3	3-7	6-0	13-0	22-10	-17.0	43.0	12	-5.0	-11.0	-8.0	-3.0	W	L	U	0
Oct 18, 2008	box	Saturday	8	2008	TXT	TXAM	away	7-10	13-13	10-0	13-2	43-25	-20.5	64.5	18	-2.5	3.5	0.5	3.0	W	L	O	0
Oct 20, 2007	box	Saturday	8	2007	BOIS	LTCH	away	14-7	3-10	14-7	14-7	45-31	-16.5	54.5	14	-2.5	21.5	9.5	12.0	W	L	O	0
Nov 13, 2005		Sunday	11	2005	SMIS	HOU	away					24-27	2.0		-3	-1.0				L	L
Nov 12, 2005		Saturday	11	2005	FLA	SCAR	away					22-30	-5.5		-8	-13.5				L	L
Nov 05, 2005		Saturday	10	2005	UCLA	ARZ	away					14-52	-8.0		-38	-46.0				L	L
Nov 06, 2004		Saturday	11	2004	CMCH	EMCH	neutral					58-61	-1.0		-3	-4.0				L	L		4
Oct 30, 2004		Saturday	10	2004	TXAM	BAY	away					34-35	-25.0		-1	-26.0				L	L		1
Oct 09, 2004		Saturday	7	2004	NCST	NCAR	away					24-30	-10.5		-6	-16.5				L	L
Sep 11, 2004		Saturday	3	2004	CLEM	GTCH	home					24-28	-7.0		-4	-11.0				L	L
Nov 22, 2003		Saturday	14	2003	VTCH	BCOL	home					27-34	-14.5		-7	-21.5				L	L
Oct 18, 2003		Saturday	9	2003	COLO	KAST	away					20-49	18.0		-29	-11.0				L	L
Oct 11, 2003		Saturday	8	2003	NIL	CMCH	away					40-24	-17.5		16	-1.5				W	L
Oct 04, 2003		Saturday	7	2003	TEN	AUB	away					21-28	1.0		-7	-6.0				L	L
Nov 18, 2000		Saturday	13	2000	SMIS	CIN	away					24-27	-5.0		-3	-8.0				L	L
Nov 11, 2000		Saturday	12	2000	ORE	CAL	home					25-17	-13.0		8	-5.0				W	L
Oct 16, 1999		Saturday	8	1999	GTCH	DUKE	away					38-31	-16.5		7	-9.5				W	L
Oct 16, 1999		Saturday	8	1999	COLO	TXT	away					10-31	-5.0		-21	-26.0				L	L

Showing 1 to 31 of 31 entries

scorpion896 · Nov 13, 2014

rolltide said:
should read 1-2 this year. aTm was in the same spot vs MISS ST after they beat ark in OT

pvertime > 0 and p:FCW and -27 < p:line < -6 and C and P:W and PP:W and rest <= 10 and season > 1998

SU: 15-15-0 (2.03, 50.0%) Teaser Records
ATS: 3-26-1 (-8.20, 10.3%) avg line: -10.2 +6: 13-16-1 (44.8%) -6: 2-28-0 (6.7%) +10: 19-11-0 (63.3%) -10: 2-28-0 (6.7%)
O/U: 6-8-1 (-9.23, 42.9%) avg total: 56.3 +6: 3-12-0 (20.0%) -6: 7-8-0 (46.7%) +10: 2-13-0 (13.3%) -10: 7-8-0 (46.7%)

Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team 43.7 201.1 30.1 18.4 208.5 1.5 6.7 7.2 7.5 7.5 27.9
Opp 34.3 119.7 32.7 18.1 183.4 2.1 5.7 6.3 3.4 2.8 25.9

Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
Nov 15, 2014 Saturday 12 2014 ALA MSST home -8.5 52.0
Nov 01, 2014 box Saturday 10 2014 OHST ILL home 17-0 14-0 17-7 7-7 55-14 -28.5 65.0 41 12.5 4 8.2 -4.2 W W O 0
Nov 01, 2014 box Saturday 10 2014 UCLA ARZ home 0-7 3-0 14-0 0-0 17-7 -6.0 70.5 10 4 -46.5 -21.2 -25.2 W W U 0
Oct 04, 2014 box Saturday 6 2014 TXAM MSST away 7-14 3-14 7-13 14-7 31-48 2.5 72.0 -17 -14.5 7 -3.8 10.8 L L O 0
Nov 30, 2013 box Saturday 14 2013 RICE TLN home 7-3 10-0 0-7 0-3 17-13 -11.0 49.0 4 -7.0 -19.0 -13.0 -6.0 W L U 0
Nov 09, 2013 box Saturday 11 2013 PNST MIN away 7-10 3-14 0-0 0-0 10-24 2.5 47.5 -14 -11.5 -13.5 -12.5 -1.0 L L U 0
Nov 24, 2012 box Saturday 13 2012 VTCH VIR home 0-0 7-7 7-7 3-0 17-14 -10.0 48.0 3 -7 -17 -12.0 -5.0 W L U 0
Oct 20, 2012 box Saturday 8 2012 CFL MEM away 14-0 0-10 7-0 14-7 35-17 -22.5 50.5 18 -4.5 1.5 -1.5 3.0 W L O 0
Oct 13, 2012 box Saturday 7 2012 NEV UNLV away 0-14 14-17 7-0 21-6 42-37 -12.0 63.0 5 -7 16 4.5 11.5 W L O 0
Nov 05, 2011 box Saturday 10 2011 FINT WKY away 6-7 0-0 0-0 3-3 9-10 -2.5 49.5 -1 -3.5 -30.5 -17.0 -13.5 L L U 0
Nov 13, 2010 box Saturday 11 2010 NEB KAN home 7-0 7-0 3-3 3-0 20-3 -33.5 60.5 17 -16.5 -37.5 -27.0 -10.5 W L U 0
Nov 21, 2009 box Saturday 12 2009 OHST MICH away 7-0 7-3 7-7 0-0 21-10 -11.0 48.0 11 0.0 -17.0 -8.5 -8.5 W P U 0
Nov 14, 2009 box Saturday 11 2009 GTCH DUKE away 7-10 21-0 14-0 7-0 49-10 -13.5 59.0 39 25.5 0.0 12.8 -12.8 W W P 0
Oct 31, 2009 box Saturday 9 2009 UTAH WYO home 0-3 3-7 6-0 13-0 22-10 -17.0 43.0 12 -5.0 -11.0 -8.0 -3.0 W L U 0
Oct 18, 2008 box Saturday 8 2008 TXT TXAM away 7-10 13-13 10-0 13-2 43-25 -20.5 64.5 18 -2.5 3.5 0.5 3.0 W L O 0
Oct 20, 2007 box Saturday 8 2007 BOIS LTCH away 14-7 3-10 14-7 14-7 45-31 -16.5 54.5 14 -2.5 21.5 9.5 12.0 W L O 0
Nov 13, 2005 Sunday 11 2005 SMIS HOU away 24-27 2.0 -3 -1.0 L L
Nov 12, 2005 Saturday 11 2005 FLA SCAR away 22-30 -5.5 -8 -13.5 L L
Nov 05, 2005 Saturday 10 2005 UCLA ARZ away 14-52 -8.0 -38 -46.0 L L
Nov 06, 2004 Saturday 11 2004 CMCH EMCH neutral 58-61 -1.0 -3 -4.0 L L 4
Oct 30, 2004 Saturday 10 2004 TXAM BAY away 34-35 -25.0 -1 -26.0 L L 1
Oct 09, 2004 Saturday 7 2004 NCST NCAR away 24-30 -10.5 -6 -16.5 L L
Sep 11, 2004 Saturday 3 2004 CLEM GTCH home 24-28 -7.0 -4 -11.0 L L
Nov 22, 2003 Saturday 14 2003 VTCH BCOL home 27-34 -14.5 -7 -21.5 L L
Oct 18, 2003 Saturday 9 2003 COLO KAST away 20-49 18.0 -29 -11.0 L L
Oct 11, 2003 Saturday 8 2003 NIL CMCH away 40-24 -17.5 16 -1.5 W L
Oct 04, 2003 Saturday 7 2003 TEN AUB away 21-28 1.0 -7 -6.0 L L
Nov 18, 2000 Saturday 13 2000 SMIS CIN away 24-27 -5.0 -3 -8.0 L L
Nov 11, 2000 Saturday 12 2000 ORE CAL home 25-17 -13.0 8 -5.0 W L
Oct 16, 1999 Saturday 8 1999 GTCH DUKE away 38-31 -16.5 7 -9.5 W L
Oct 16, 1999 Saturday 8 1999 COLO TXT away 10-31 -5.0 -21 -26.0 L L

Showing 1 to 31 of 31 entries

Your the man thanks RT, I really like Mississppi state as Alabama had a very emotional win and MISS being completely disrespected here.

rolltide · Nov 13, 2014

scorpion896 said:
Your the man thanks RT, I really like Mississppi state as Alabama had a very emotional win and MISS being completely disrespected here.

GL, as long as home team wins i don't care who covers...

1958 · Nov 13, 2014

• Play On - Any team (GEORGIA TECH) - excellent rushing team (>=4.8 YPR) against a poor rushing team (3 to 3.5 YPR), in conference games.
• The situation’s record is 92-35 over the last 5 seasons (72.4%, +53.5 units).

looks promising but cannot do better than this: ATS: 71-35-2 (3.99, 67.0%)
tA(rushing yards) / tA(rushes) >= 4.8 and 3.5 >= oA(rushing yards) / oA(rushes) >= 3 and C and season > 2010

any thoughts?

rolltide · Nov 13, 2014

here's the best i can clean it up for you...I'm assuming that's what "any thoughts" meant...to tighten this up and get close?

my version includes just a few less games with better percentage anyway...

tA(rushing yards) / tA(rushes) >= 4.914 and 3.488 >= oA(rushing yards) / oA(rushes) >= 3.0312 and C and date > 20101010

SU:	90-12-0 (20.89, 88.2%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	74-27-1 (6.02, 73.3%)	avg line: -14.9	+6: 86-16-0 (84.3%)	-6: 43-57-2 (43.0%)	+10: 89-12-1 (88.1%)	-10: 33-68-1 (32.7%)
O/U:	56-44-2 (3.26, 56.0%)	avg total: 57.8	+6: 39-61-2 (39.0%)	-6: 75-25-2 (75.0%)	+10: 32-68-2 (32.0%)	-10: 83-18-1 (82.2%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	45.4	248.5	26.4	16.3	223.8	1.3	11.1	11.6	8.9	9.3	41.0
Opp	34.5	121.4	35.8	20.0	225.3	2.2	4.6	5.9	4.5	4.9	20.1

Date	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Line	Total
Nov 29, 2014	Saturday	14	2014	APP	IDA	home
Nov 29, 2014	Saturday	14	2014	ORE	ORST	away	-18.5
Nov 15, 2014	Saturday	12	2014	GTCH	CLEM	home	3.0	60.5

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