NCAAF Systems

[rolltide]

play ON home fav off big cover vs opponent that just allowed a lot of points in a shootout (on CIN)

HF and 70 > p:margin > 34 and 58 > opooints ... and p:ats margin > 2.5...
SU: 168-14-0 (25.56, 92.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 126-52-4 (6.31, 70.8%) avg line: -19.3 +6: 151-30-1 (83.4%) -6: 89-88-5 (50.3%) +10: 161-21-0 (88.5%) -10: 70-109-3 (39.1%) O/U: 35-37-3 (-0.35, 48.6%) avg total: 58.3 +6: 19-56-0 (25.3%) -6: 46-27-2 (63.0%) +10: 16-57-2 (21.9%) -10: 52-23-0 (69.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.9 211.5 30.9 20.3 268.7 1.5 9.8 12.9 10.5 8.1 41.0 Opp 34.9 108.1 33.8 18.1 192.4 2.0 3.3 4.8 3.3 4.4 15.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 24, 2014 Friday 9 2014 CIN SFL home -10.5 60.0

play ON low-line away teams off b2b conference wins - must be fav of -3 or less, dog no more than +4 (possibles - on ASU, on USC, on WVA, on Ole Miss)

A and -3 <= line <= 4 and p:CW and pp:CW and date > 20101101 and p:line > -24
SU: 53-22-0 (6.04, 70.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 55-18-2 (6.52, 75.3%) avg line: 0.5 +6: 61-13-1 (82.4%) -6: 39-35-1 (52.7%) +10: 63-12-0 (84.0%) -10: 30-42-3 (41.7%)

play ON big home favs, well rested (on ECU)

HF and -35.5 <= line <= -21.5 and ...1
SU: 82-1-0 (34.29, 98.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 63-16-4 (7.25, 79.7%) avg line: -27.0 +6: 70-13-0 (84.3%) -6: 44-38-1 (53.7%) +10: 73-9-1 (89.0%) -10: 35-48-0 (42.2%) O/U: 36-29-0 (1.42, 55.4%) avg total: 59.3 +6: 21-43-1 (32.8%) -6: 41-22-2 (65.1%) +10: 16-47-2 (25.4%) -10: 50-14-1 (78.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.1 240.9 29.7 20.2 285.5 1.4 12.8 14.3 12.8 7.6 47.1 Opp 33.3 93.9 32.1 17.5 185.4 2.2 2.3 2.8 4.0 4.1 12.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 23, 2014 Thursday 9 2014 ECAR CON home -27.5 55.0

play ON big conference home favs 21-35 points, off a conference blowout win (possibles ON missouri, ON marshall, ON tcu)

CHF and -35 <= line <= -21 and p:CW and p:margin >= 21 and season >= 1999
SU: 150-5-0 (31.21, 96.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 107-44-4 (4.33, 70.9%) avg line: -26.9 +6: 123-32-0 (79.4%) -6: 68-78-9 (46.6%) +10: 130-24-1 (84.4%) -10: 50-102-3 (32.9%) O/U: 50-38-1 (2.21, 56.8%) avg total: 56.8 +6: 35-51-3 (40.7%) -6: 65-23-1 (73.9%) +10: 24-64-1 (27.3%) -10: 72-16-1 (81.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.2 219.1 30.1 20.6 283.9 1.4 11.2 12.5 11.3 9.1 44.8 Opp 35.3 127.5 29.0 15.3 164.2 2.0 2.5 4.7 3.7 3.4 13.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2014 Saturday 9 2014 MIZ VAN home -21.0 47.0 Oct 25, 2014 Saturday 9 2014 MRSH FATL home -28.0 67.5 Oct 25, 2014 Saturday 9 2014 TCU TXT home -22.5 70.5

OPPOSE home conference dog off blowout win (vs LSU only if line <=2.5) - no play at +3 or higher

HCD and p:margin > 20 and ...
SU: 2-22-0 (-17.96, 8.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 4-20-0 (-10.71, 16.7%) avg line: 7.2 +6: 9-15-0 (37.5%) -6: 3-21-0 (12.5%) +10: 11-13-0 (45.8%) -10: 2-21-1 (8.7%)

play ON team off b2b blowout wins vs opponent that just gave up a lot of points (ON marshall up to -30)

p:margin >= 17 and pp:margin >= 17 and opoints + opooints >= 80 ...and 17 >= line >= -30
SU: 118-46-0 (12.37, 72.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 106-55-3 (3.88, 65.8%) avg line: -8.5 +6: 118-41-5 (74.2%) -6: 76-85-3 (47.2%) +10: 127-37-0 (77.4%) -10: 60-101-3 (37.3%) O/U: 37-33-3 (1.27, 52.9%) avg total: 62.7 +6: 28-45-0 (38.4%) -6: 44-29-0 (60.3%) +10: 22-51-0 (30.1%) -10: 50-23-0 (68.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.5 185.3 33.2 21.3 281.4 1.5 9.8 10.1 8.5 9.0 36.0 Opp 38.0 154.9 35.6 21.5 247.5 2.1 5.9 6.7 6.6 6.5 23.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2014 Saturday 9 2014 MRSH FATL home -28.0 67.5

play UNDER after DD away dog conference win (nevada under) - also 8-27-3 o/u with line >=50

p:ADW and C and 21 >= p:line >= 10 and season > 2005 ...
SU: 56-44-0 (1.41, 56.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 55-43-2 (1.71, 56.1%) avg line: 0.3 +6: 72-28-0 (72.0%) -6: 35-64-1 (35.4%) +10: 76-22-2 (77.6%) -10: 26-72-2 (26.5%) O/U: 29-68-3 (-2.87, 29.9%) avg total: 52.7 +6: 21-79-0 (21.0%) -6: 54-46-0 (54.0%) +10: 17-82-1 (17.2%) -10: 69-27-4 (71.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.4 146.9 31.3 18.3 220.7 1.5 5.6 7.7 6.5 5.7 25.6 Opp 36.6 157.6 32.4 18.6 220.8 2.1 6.0 6.5 4.8 6.7 24.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2014 Saturday 9 2014 NEV HAW away -3.0 53.5

OPPOSE conference favs after home dog win vs opponent with revenge (oppose Miss State) - subset of larger 55-99-2 ATS system

CF and P:W and P:margin > 3 and p:HDW and -10 > line > -21
SU: 51-14-0 (9.29, 78.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 18-46-1 (-4.92, 28.1%) avg line: -14.2 +6: 33-31-1 (51.6%) -6: 17-48-0 (26.2%) +10: 43-20-2 (68.3%) -10: 10-55-0 (15.4%) O/U: 7-6-0 (-0.08, 53.8%) avg total: 53.4 +6: 6-7-0 (46.2%) -6: 8-5-0 (61.5%) +10: 5-8-0 (38.5%) -10: 9-4-0 (69.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.0 162.9 33.5 21.1 243.2 1.4 7.9 6.8 5.5 9.8 29.9 Opp 36.2 131.6 34.6 19.4 231.8 1.8 3.5 6.7 7.7 4.4 20.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2014 Saturday 9 2014 MSST KTKY away -13.5 59.0

play ON away teams scoring 30+ ppg if line within 2.5 of pk (on miami fl if within 2.5 of pk...no play at -3 or higher) - other possibles are on ARI, on ASU, on USC, on GT, on WV, on Ole Miss, on Tex State, on Nevada depending on line

tA(points) >29 ... and -3 < line < 3 and A ...
SU: 80-30-0 (7.19, 72.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 81-28-1 (7.30, 74.3%) avg line: 0.1 +6: 94-15-1 (86.2%) -6: 56-51-3 (52.3%) +10: 98-11-1 (89.9%) -10: 42-67-1 (38.5%) O/U: 53-53-4 (-0.05, 50.0%) avg total: 57.5 +6: 38-70-2 (35.2%) -6: 65-44-1 (59.6%) +10: 30-79-1 (27.5%) -10: 76-33-1 (69.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.7 184.5 31.2 19.1 235.5 1.4 6.4 8.5 7.8 8.6 32.3 Opp 39.5 156.6 36.1 21.3 245.6 1.9 5.1 7.0 5.3 6.9 25.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 23, 2014 Thursday 9 2014 MIAF VTCH away -2.5 49.0

play ON away team off b2b great rushing games vs opponent that can't run (on OSU, on Ga Southern)

A and op:rushing yards <= 100 and opp:rushing yards <= 100 and p:rushing yards >= 205 and pp:rushing yards >= 205 ...
SU: 38-11-0 (11.65, 77.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 33-15-1 (5.33, 68.8%) avg line: -6.3 +6: 42-7-0 (85.7%) -6: 23-25-1 (47.9%) +10: 46-3-0 (93.9%) -10: 15-34-0 (30.6%) O/U: 23-25-1 (1.12, 47.9%) avg total: 57.2 +6: 14-34-1 (29.2%) -6: 29-20-0 (59.2%) +10: 13-36-0 (26.5%) -10: 31-17-1 (64.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 46.4 242.7 23.3 14.5 184.8 1.2 8.2 10.9 8.0 7.1 35.0 Opp 31.4 126.2 36.3 21.7 248.7 1.8 4.3 6.3 5.4 6.7 23.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2014 Saturday 9 2014 GSOU GAST away -16.5 66.0 Oct 25, 2014 Saturday 9 2014 OHST PNST away -13.5 51.5

play ON conference big favs after b2b nice conference wins (on ECU, on MRSH)

CF and p:margin >= 10 and pp:margin >= 10 and p:C and pp:C and -35 <= line <= -24 and season >= 2000
SU: 120-5-0 (34.26, 96.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 88-35-2 (5.50, 71.5%) avg line: -28.8 +6: 99-25-1 (79.8%) -6: 61-59-5 (50.8%) +10: 107-17-1 (86.3%) -10: 47-76-2 (38.2%) O/U: 38-37-0 (1.57, 50.7%) avg total: 59.3 +6: 28-44-3 (38.9%) -6: 53-22-0 (70.7%) +10: 19-55-1 (25.7%) -10: 62-13-0 (82.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.3 226.5 31.7 21.0 290.6 1.2 12.7 13.8 11.9 9.9 47.2 Opp 35.4 117.5 30.0 15.1 159.9 2.2 2.2 3.6 2.9 3.4 12.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2014 Saturday 9 2014 MRSH FATL home -28.0 67.5 Oct 23, 2014 Thursday 9 2014 ECAR CON home -27.5 55.0

OPPOSE away dogs of 5+ off a win allowing 30+ vs opponent off win (on MRSH, on K State, on WISC)

pooints >= 30 and ppooints >= 30 and p:W and A and op:W ... and pp:L and line >= 5
SU: 4-64-0 (-27.68, 5.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 17-49-2 (-8.85, 25.8%) avg line: 18.8 +6: 30-35-3 (46.2%) -6: 12-56-0 (17.6%) +10: 35-31-2 (53.0%) -10: 6-61-1 (9.0%) O/U: 12-17-0 (-4.36, 41.4%) avg total: 59.9 +6: 9-20-0 (31.0%) -6: 16-11-2 (59.3%) +10: 5-24-0 (17.2%) -10: 20-9-0 (69.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 32.2 104.6 35.1 18.3 205.7 2.0 2.3 5.4 2.6 4.7 15.5 Opp 41.7 223.1 30.6 19.1 265.6 1.8 8.8 13.2 10.7 7.8 43.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2014 Saturday 9 2014 TEX KAST away 10.0 49.0 Oct 25, 2014 Saturday 9 2014 FATL MRSH away 28.0 67.5 Oct 25, 2014 Saturday 9 2014 MARY WIS away 11.5 57.5

rest in a bit....

 

[rolltide]

OPPOSE teams after getting blown out after first season loss (oppose barn)

p:L and p:losses = 0 and wins >= 3 and p:margin < -14 and ...
SU: 23-36-0 (-4.83, 39.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 9-49-1 (-7.14, 15.5%) avg line: -2.3 +6: 26-31-2 (45.6%) -6: 9-50-0 (15.3%) +10: 35-24-0 (59.3%) -10: 6-53-0 (10.2%) O/U: 34-25-0 (2.11, 57.6%) avg total: 55.4 +6: 26-33-0 (44.1%) -6: 40-19-0 (67.8%) +10: 19-38-2 (33.3%) -10: 45-14-0 (76.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.8 136.3 34.9 21.4 255.5 1.9 5.2 7.5 6.1 7.4 26.4 Opp 40.2 170.8 31.1 19.4 236.3 1.3 7.6 9.4 6.3 7.5 31.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2014 Saturday 9 2014 AUB SCAR home -18.0 64.5

OPPOSE teams after first season loss where they committed 2-3 turnovers (oppose ND)

p:L and p:losses = 0 and wins >= 3 and 3 >= p:turnovers >= 2 ....
SU: 41-49-0 (-1.71, 45.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 22-66-2 (-5.91, 25.0%) avg line: -4.2 +6: 44-43-3 (50.6%) -6: 16-73-1 (18.0%) +10: 59-31-0 (65.6%) -10: 6-83-1 (6.7%) O/U: 43-44-2 (-0.38, 49.4%) avg total: 54.4 +6: 31-58-0 (34.8%) -6: 57-32-0 (64.0%) +10: 26-62-1 (29.5%) -10: 66-23-0 (74.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.1 144.0 32.9 19.9 236.2 1.8 5.4 7.9 5.7 6.9 26.1 Opp 38.6 160.8 30.6 18.2 218.1 1.5 5.9 8.5 6.1 7.2 27.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 NOTD NAVY away -7.0

game 7+ play ON unbeaten conference home favs not playing unbeaten team (on MRSH)

wins >= 7 and losses = 0 and FCH and line > -33 and points > 28 and o:losses > 0
SU: 48-7-0 (23.18, 87.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 41-14-0 (5.30, 74.5%) avg line: -17.9 +6: 44-10-1 (81.5%) -6: 33-22-0 (60.0%) +10: 45-9-1 (83.3%) -10: 23-32-0 (41.8%) O/U: 33-22-0 (3.45, 60.0%) avg total: 59.8 +6: 23-30-2 (43.4%) -6: 41-14-0 (74.5%) +10: 19-35-1 (35.2%) -10: 45-9-1 (83.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.4 202.0 32.3 21.6 287.2 1.3 9.2 12.7 11.1 10.0 43.2 Opp 35.6 128.9 31.0 17.7 203.7 2.1 4.9 5.7 4.5 4.7 20.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2014 Saturday 9 2014 MRSH FATL home -28.0 67.5

 

[rolltide]

Miami FL (81-28 if +/-2.5)
Cincy (126-52)
Arizona St (55-18 if b/w -3 and +4, 81-28 if +/-2.5)
USC (55-18 if b/w -3 and +4, 81-28 if +/-2.5)
Ole Miss (55-18 if b/w -3 and +4, 20-4 if fav up to -2.5)
WVU (55-18 if b/w -3 and +4, 81-28 if +/-2.5)
East Carolina (63-16, 88-35)
Missouri (107-44 if -21 or greater)
Marshall (107-44, 106-55, 88-35, 49-17, 41-14)
Wisconsin (49-17)
Kansas St (49-17)
So Carolina (49-9)
Navy (66-22)
TCU (107-44)
Ga Southern (33-15)
Ohio State (33-15)
Nevada (81-28 if line w/in 2.5 of pk)
Texas St (81-28 if line w/in 2.5 of pk)
Ga Tech (81-28 if line w/in 2.5 of pk)
Arizona (81-28 if line w/in 2.5 of pk)
Kentucky (99-55, 46-18)
Nevada under (68-29, 27-8)

 

[indiana]

R/T...........thank you for the info...........much appreciated...........indy

 

[rolltide]

this one active tonight ... play OVER home favs of 19+ coming off a bye week

week - p:week = 2 and HF and line <= -19 and date > 20091201
SU: 65-2-0 (32.40, 97.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 42-22-3 (3.34, 65.6%) avg line: -29.1 +6: 51-16-0 (76.1%) -6: 27-38-2 (41.5%) +10: 56-11-0 (83.6%) -10: 23-44-0 (34.3%) O/U: 46-17-0 (5.54, 73.0%) avg total: 58.6 +6: 31-32-0 (49.2%) -6: 49-13-1 (79.0%) +10: 23-37-3 (38.3%) -10: 51-12-0 (81.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 43.0 255.3 29.4 19.7 273.1 1.4 12.8 15.2 12.4 7.7 48.1 Opp 34.8 108.9 32.4 17.5 190.7 2.2 3.3 3.6 4.5 4.3 15.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 23, 2014 Thursday 9 2014 ECAR CON home -27.5 54.5

 

[rolltide]

tonight also qualifies for nice 34-6 o/u tightener

week - p:week = 2 and HF and line <= -19 and ... SU: 39-1-0 (33.42, 97.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 27-12-1 (4.94, 69.2%) avg line: -28.5 +6: 31-9-0 (77.5%) -6: 21-18-1 (53.8%) +10: 33-7-0 (82.5%) -10: 17-23-0 (42.5%) O/U: 34-6-0 (8.39, 85.0%) avg total: 57.2 +6: 22-18-0 (55.0%) -6: 36-4-0 (90.0%) +10: 16-22-2 (42.1%) -10: 37-3-0 (92.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 43.2 252.7 29.2 19.8 271.9 1.1 12.9 16.1 12.4 8.1 49.5 Opp 34.5 112.0 29.9 16.4 185.5 2.3 3.3 3.5 5.1 4.2 16.1 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 23, 2014 Thursday 9 2014 ECAR CON home -27.5 54.5

 

[1958]

A nice one I found at KS, make sense too.

http://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/qu...shes)>=3+and+season>2009&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++

Poor rushing team averaging 3 to 3.5 YPR (CLEMSON) against a team with a good rushing defense (3 to 3.5 YPR), in conference games

ATS: 14-47-1 (-5.91, 23.0%)

Oct 25, 2014		Saturday	9	2014	CLEM	SYR	home						-14.5	47.5
Oct 25, 2014		Saturday	9	2014	MAS	TOL	away						17.0	70.0

 

[rolltide]

thx 1958 ... reworked it a bit and found a really nice sweet spot in there for the bigger dogs to get spanked:

3.5 >= tS(rushing yards) / tS(rushes) >= 2.83 and C and 3.5 >= otS(o:rushing yards) / oS(o:rushes) >= 3.0 and season > 2009 and line > 8
SU: 1-33-0 (-28.44, 2.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 3-30-1 (-7.21, 9.1%) avg line: 21.2 +6: 17-14-3 (54.8%) -6: 3-31-0 (8.8%) +10: 22-12-0 (64.7%) -10: 2-32-0 (5.9%) O/U: 21-13-0 (6.31, 61.8%) avg total: 56.0 +6: 14-20-0 (41.2%) -6: 27-7-0 (79.4%) +10: 10-23-1 (30.3%) -10: 29-4-1 (87.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.4 106.1 35.9 19.4 210.5 2.6 3.5 5.2 3.5 4.8 16.9 Opp 41.9 216.3 32.9 20.8 278.7 1.5 13.2 13.1 9.4 9.6 45.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2014 Saturday 9 2014 MAS TOL away 17.0 70.0

also did some stuff with a few biz put out today and cleaned them up a bit to add more plays. looks interesting....

play on small/med dog with overall good defense and very strong run defense not off a crazy game where they won or lost my 25+ vs the spread (on BYU)

D and 3.5 <= line <= 12 and tA(o:rushing yards) <= 113.8 and tA(o:rushing yards) >= 80 and tA(o:rushing yards + oassing yards) <= 420 and -25 <= p:ats margin < 25 and site != neutral
SU: 129-168-0 (-3.18, 43.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 195-94-8 (3.57, 67.5%) avg line: 6.7 +6: 223-73-1 (75.3%) -6: 134-159-4 (45.7%) +10: 239-58-0 (80.5%) -10: 97-197-3 (33.0%) O/U: 140-149-8 (-0.21, 48.4%) avg total: 50.5 +6: 95-199-3 (32.3%) -6: 188-108-1 (63.5%) +10: 72-224-1 (24.3%) -10: 221-73-3 (75.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.1 133.7 30.7 17.7 213.1 1.8 5.0 6.8 5.3 6.0 23.6 Opp 36.6 147.9 33.2 19.8 237.4 1.9 5.6 7.6 6.0 7.1 26.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 24, 2014 Friday 9 2014 BYU BOIS away 6.5 58.0

play on away dog, low total, with revenge off 3+ straight non covers (on Oregon St) - tightener of 68-34-1 ATS of a 2+ straight non-cover without regard to previous meeting

AD and 3.5 < line < 36 and p:ats margin < 0 and pp:ats margin < 0 and ppp:ats margin < 0 and total < 46 and P:L
SU: 7-16-0 (-4.30, 30.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 21-2-0 (9.67, 91.3%) avg line: 14.0 +6: 21-2-0 (91.3%) -6: 17-5-1 (77.3%) +10: 21-2-0 (91.3%) -10: 12-9-2 (57.1%) O/U: 11-12-0 (-1.09, 47.8%) avg total: 42.9 +6: 8-15-0 (34.8%) -6: 13-10-0 (56.5%) +10: 5-17-1 (22.7%) -10: 15-8-0 (65.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.9 128.1 29.0 15.3 163.2 1.5 3.4 6.2 3.8 5.0 18.7 Opp 37.8 160.5 27.4 15.2 172.7 1.9 5.0 7.2 6.0 4.9 23.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2014 Saturday 9 2014 ORST STAN away 13.5 42.0

 

[rolltide]

won Miami FL (81-28 if +/-2.5)
lost East Carolina (63-16, 88-35)
Cincy (126-52)
Brigham Young (195-94)
Arizona St (55-18 if b/w -3 and +4, 81-28 if +/-2.5)
USC (55-18 if b/w -3 and +4, 81-28 if +/-2.5)
Ole Miss (55-18 if b/w -3 and +4, 20-4 if fav up to -2.5)
WVU (55-18 if b/w -3 and +4, 81-28 if +/-2.5)
Oregon St (68-34, 21-2)
Missouri (107-44 if -21 or greater)
Marshall (107-44, 106-55, 88-35, 49-17, 41-14)
Wisconsin (49-17)
Kansas St (49-17)
So Carolina (49-9)
Navy (66-22)
TCU (107-44)
Ga Southern (33-15)
Ohio State (33-15)
Toledo (56-17, 30-3)
Nevada (81-28 if line w/in 2.5 of pk)
Texas St (81-28 if line w/in 2.5 of pk)
Ga Tech (81-28 if line w/in 2.5 of pk)
Arizona (81-28 if line w/in 2.5 of pk)
Kentucky (99-55, 46-18)

lost ECU/UCONN over 54.5 (46-17, 34-6)
Nevada under (68-29, 27-8)

 

[1958]

Also something similar from KS
http://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/qu...season>2007&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++&show_games=5

Team averaging 3.5 to 4.3 YPR (OLE MISS) vs. poor rushing defense (4.3 to 4.8 YPR) after 7+ games, after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game.

Oct 25, 2014

Saturday

9

2014

MIS

LSU

away

-3.5

45.0

these are called "super situations" if you believe in such titles, but it definately makes sense.

 

[rolltide]

i took that last one and reworked it to double the amount of games than the KS version and only decreasing win % by 2.6. bring utah state into the picture tomorrow

basically its conference games from week 6+ with good rushing team off close loss or win vs bad rush defense off a a good rush defense game. only 2x has the spread mattered

C and p:margin > -4 and -21 < line < 21 and 4.3 >= tS(rushing yards) / tS(rushes) >= 3.5 and 7 >= oS(o:rushing yards) / oS(o:rushes) >= 4.2 and week >= 6 and po:rushing yards < 82 and season > 2007
SU: 59-26-0 (10.71, 69.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 61-24-0 (5.88, 71.8%) avg line: -4.8 +6: 68-16-1 (81.0%) -6: 40-41-4 (49.4%) +10: 73-10-2 (88.0%) -10: 30-54-1 (35.7%) O/U: 41-44-0 (1.14, 48.2%) avg total: 54.6 +6: 26-58-1 (31.0%) -6: 58-26-1 (69.0%) +10: 19-65-1 (22.6%) -10: 65-20-0 (76.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.4 167.8 30.6 19.1 241.3 1.3 7.9 9.7 8.0 7.1 33.2 Opp 35.6 136.3 35.3 20.8 230.7 1.9 4.5 6.3 4.7 6.6 22.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 25, 2014 Saturday 9 2014 MIS LSU away -3.5 45.0 Oct 25, 2014 Saturday 9 2014 UTST UNLV home -17.0 51.5

 

[tmader7]

RT, anyway you could tap your base for % win number, ATS, on SEC home dogs? Had a bookie in Tulsa tell me about 5, maybe 6 years ago that they cover a very high percentage, and I tracked it for the remainder of that season, and I'll be damned if they weren't clicking at around 80%. We got a handful of them tomorrow. Thx.

~T~

 

[rolltide]

RT, anyway you could tap your base for % win number, ATS, on SEC home dogs? Had a bookie in Tulsa tell me about 5, maybe 6 years ago that they cover a very high percentage, and I tracked it for the remainder of that season, and I'll be damned if they weren't clicking at around 80%. We got a handful of them tomorrow. Thx.

~T~

by season:

HCD and conference = SEC and ...

games	ATS W - L- P (marg, %win)	Avg Line	OU W - L- P (marg, %over)	Avg Total	SU W - L- P (marg, %win)	SDQL
8	6-2-0 (4.00, 75.0%)	6.6	4-4-0 (1.94, 50.0%)	55.2	4-4-0 (-2.62, 50.0%)	season = 2014
23	12-11-0 (-2.65, 52.2%)	8.7	13-10-0 (1.67, 56.5%)	56.6	7-16-0 (-11.30, 30.4%)	season = 2013
20	7-13-0 (-5.83, 35.0%)	11.9	6-14-0 (-4.75, 30.0%)	50.4	1-19-0 (-17.70, 5.0%)	season = 2012
22	10-12-0 (-0.91, 45.5%)	10.5	10-11-1 (-2.75, 47.6%)	47.8	5-17-0 (-11.41, 22.7%)	season = 2011
16	6-10-0 (-2.84, 37.5%)	8.2	9-5-2 (1.81, 64.3%)	51.1	3-13-0 (-11.00, 18.8%)	season = 2010
17	8-9-0 (1.59, 47.1%)	9.9	6-10-1 (-3.97, 37.5%)	48.0	4-13-0 (-8.29, 23.5%)	season = 2009
18	9-9-0 (-1.53, 50.0%)	7.8	7-11-0 (-2.42, 38.9%)	44.2	4-14-0 (-9.28, 22.2%)	season = 2008
16	8-7-1 (0.38, 53.3%)	8.0	8-7-0 (2.43, 53.3%)	54.0	4-12-0 (-7.62, 25.0%)	season = 2007
23	10-13-0 (-1.13, 43.5%)	7.2	12-11-0 (0.46, 52.2%)	42.3	3-20-0 (-8.30, 13.0%)	season = 2006
17	7-9-1 (-0.91, 43.8%)	10.9	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	3-14-0 (-11.76, 17.6%)	season = 2005
16	9-7-0 (-2.66, 56.2%)	11.2	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	2-14-0 (-13.81, 12.5%)	season = 2004
17	6-11-0 (-6.65, 35.3%)	9.2	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	1-16-0 (-15.88, 5.9%)	season = 2003
18	6-11-1 (-3.81, 35.3%)	8.0	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	2-16-0 (-11.78, 11.1%)	season = 2002
18	10-8-0 (1.22, 55.6%)	10.4	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	5-13-0 (-9.22, 27.8%)	season = 2001
20	10-9-1 (3.23, 52.6%)	6.1	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	8-12-0 (-2.90, 40.0%)	season = 2000
22	10-12-0 (-0.64, 45.5%)	8.5	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	5-17-0 (-9.09, 22.7%)	season = 1999
18	7-11-0 (-0.50, 38.9%)	9.2	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	5-13-0 (-9.67, 27.8%)	season = 1998
23	8-15-0 (-0.26, 34.8%)	10.7	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	5-18-0 (-10.96, 21.7%)	season = 1997
19	8-11-0 (-0.45, 42.1%)	12.5	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	4-15-0 (-12.95, 21.1%)	season = 1996
21	9-12-0 (-3.19, 42.9%)	10.8	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	5-15-1 (-14.00, 25.0%)	season = 1995
22	7-15-0 (-6.39, 31.8%)	7.8	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	3-19-0 (-14.18, 13.6%)	season = 1994
20	14-6-0 (-1.82, 70.0%)	8.4	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	7-13-0 (-10.20, 35.0%)	season = 1993
20	11-9-0 (4.10, 55.0%)	8.2	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	7-13-0 (-4.05, 35.0%)	season = 1992
10	5-5-0 (0.95, 50.0%)	12.2	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	1-9-0 (-11.30, 10.0%)	season = 1991
12	7-5-0 (1.46, 58.3%)	11.4	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	5-7-0 (-9.92, 41.7%)	season = 1990
13	6-7-0 (-2.08, 46.2%)	6.2	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	4-9-0 (-8.31, 30.8%)	season = 1989
12	5-7-0 (0.42, 41.7%)	8.2	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	3-9-0 (-7.75, 25.0%)	season = 1988
10	5-5-0 (-0.55, 50.0%)	8.1	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	2-7-1 (-8.60, 22.2%)	season = 1987
12	3-8-1 (-7.67, 27.3%)	9.8	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	3-9-0 (-17.42, 25.0%)	season = 1986
13	5-8-0 (-4.04, 38.5%)	7.1	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	3-8-2 (-11.15, 27.3%)	season = 1985
14	7-6-1 (-3.25, 53.8%)	5.5	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	3-11-0 (-8.71, 21.4%)	season = 1984
11	5-6-0 (-3.18, 45.5%)	7.5	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	3-8-0 (-10.73, 27.3%)	season = 1983
13	7-6-0 (0.35, 53.8%)	9.7	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	4-9-0 (-9.31, 30.8%)	season = 1982
11	6-5-0 (-2.14, 54.5%)	9.0	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	2-8-1 (-11.09, 20.0%)	season = 1981
11	3-8-0 (-4.95, 27.3%)	9.7	0-0-0 (0.00, 0.0%)	-	2-9-0 (-14.64, 18.2%)	season = 1980

Showing 1 to 35 of 35 entries

 

[tmader7]

Thx, appears to me you're better off playing the fav, in general. Gonna ignore it, I like the system plays on the two Sippi games.

~T~

 

[1958]

WATCH OUT : NAVY not a play this week, against ND NEXT WEEK

 

[1958]

BYU sucks
nice spot after two consecutive losses 30-11 but still a loss:

http://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/qu...neutral+and+p:L+and+pp:L&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++

 

[rolltide]

wrapping last week up... a lot of drops due to line stipulations of course so I just marked them with an "X". sides 12-8, totals 1-1....69-58-4 YTD

won Miami FL (81-28 if +/-2.5)
lost East Carolina (63-16, 88-35)
won Cincy (126-52)
lost Brigham Young (195-94)
X Arizona St (55-18 if b/w -3 and +4, 81-28 if +/-2.5)
lost USC (55-18 if b/w -3 and +4, 81-28 if +/-2.5)
X Ole Miss (55-18 if b/w -3 and +4, 20-4 if fav up to -2.5)
won WVU (55-18 if b/w -3 and +4, 81-28 if +/-2.5)
lost Oregon St (68-34, 21-2)
lost Missouri (107-44 if -21 or greater)
lost Marshall (107-44, 106-55, 88-35, 49-17, 41-14)
won Wisconsin (49-17)
won Kansas St (49-17)
won So Carolina (49-9)
X wrong week Navy (66-22)
won TCU (107-44)
won Ga Southern (33-15)
lost Ohio State (33-15)
lost Toledo (56-17, 30-3)
won Nevada (81-28 if line w/in 2.5 of pk)
won Texas St (81-28 if line w/in 2.5 of pk)
X Ga Tech (81-28 if line w/in 2.5 of pk)
won Arizona (81-28 if line w/in 2.5 of pk)
won Kentucky (99-55, 46-18)

lost ECU/UCONN over 54.5 (46-17, 34-6)
won Nevada under (68-29, 27-8)

 

[Hammerman15]

Hi Roll,

Whats up with your pitt team this week? What are you seeing with that LM? Thanks for all the help.

 

[rolltide]

Hi Roll,

Whats up with your pitt team this week? What are you seeing with that LM? Thanks for all the help.

bad coach with no talent on team...that's about the sum of it. bookies have seen a lot more out of this team than anyone else...and i have no clue why. I really haven't understood any of their lines since the BC win and this week do different. Most Pitt fans with a brain will tell the red sea basically parted for them and they are still terrible. 4-4 might seem ok but when you factor in that they've yet to play a ranked team (duke will be their first), avoided Lville/Clem/FSU, and got all the toughest Coastal teams at home a 1-4 L5 is a disaster. The coach is a bumbling oaf with a double digit IQ and his staff suck at both coaching and recruiting so you'll never see me back them until they're all gone. The favorite has failed to cover in 6 straight Pitt games and in 11 of the last 14 so I would either ride that or just bet ML dog every game (dog has won 7 of those SU). Problem is that Pitt will be the dog at UNC and MIAMI so you'd have to back them twice....

line move reminds me of iowa game....made no sense but kept climbing all week. one thing for sure is Duke is their first opponent with even a half-decent passing game and the best balanced offense they faced this season. But as proof of the unpredictability of Pitt they are 19-3 SU and 16-5-1 ATS after losing by 5 or more points the previous game. Just a bizarre team to try and figure out

team = PIT and p:margin <= -5
SU: 19-3-0 (9.18, 86.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 16-5-1 (6.89, 76.2%) avg line: -2.3 +6: 18-3-1 (85.7%) -6: 11-10-1 (52.4%) +10: 20-2-0 (90.9%) -10: 7-15-0 (31.8%) O/U: 7-15-0 (-3.77, 31.8%) avg total: 49.8 +6: 7-15-0 (31.8%) -6: 12-10-0 (54.5%) +10: 5-17-0 (22.7%) -10: 14-8-0 (63.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.5 169.0 27.5 16.8 198.9 1.3 5.6 8.0 5.5 8.0 27.6 Opp 34.0 117.5 33.0 18.2 197.7 1.3 3.3 5.7 5.4 3.7 18.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 PIT DUKE home -4.0 51.0

 

[rolltide]

ok, time for week 10...obviously texas game not included since there is no line or total. 2014 in parentheses

OPPOSE away dogs off big dog conference win vs opponent off blowout win (on MIA FL) (2-0)

AD and p:CDW and p:line >= 6 and op:margin >= 10 and season >= 2000 SU: 2-68-0 (-23.47, 2.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 14-54-2 (-7.34, 20.6%) avg line: 16.1 +6: 28-40-2 (41.2%) -6: 9-60-1 (13.0%) +10: 42-28-0 (60.0%) -10: 5-65-0 (7.1%) O/U: 20-26-0 (-0.65, 43.5%) avg total: 52.9 +6: 15-30-1 (33.3%) -6: 30-15-1 (66.7%) +10: 9-35-2 (20.5%) -10: 32-14-0 (69.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.4 122.0 30.7 16.4 170.4 2.4 3.3 4.5 3.0 3.4 14.5 Opp 42.1 220.7 27.3 17.4 228.5 1.8 9.4 13.4 7.0 8.1 38.0 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 NCAR MIAF away 17.0 70.0

UNDER single-digit dogs that were 22+ dogs in LY meeting (HAW under, BYU under) (5-3)

P:L and P:season = season -1 and P:line >= 22 and line <= 9 a...
SU: 19-26-0 (-1.67, 42.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-20-0 (1.53, 55.6%) avg line: 3.2 +6: 33-12-0 (73.3%) -6: 13-32-0 (28.9%) +10: 36-9-0 (80.0%) -10: 10-33-2 (23.3%) O/U: 11-34-0 (-6.04, 24.4%) avg total: 55.3 +6: 7-38-0 (15.6%) -6: 20-24-1 (45.5%) +10: 6-39-0 (13.3%) -10: 25-19-1 (56.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.3 151.1 30.2 18.0 229.2 1.8 4.4 7.2 6.2 5.8 23.8 Opp 37.8 169.4 31.7 19.5 232.2 1.8 6.0 7.7 6.4 5.2 25.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 HAW UTST home 3.0 42.0 Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 MTEN BYU home 3.0 64.5

OPPOSE favs that just needed OT to win as a big fav in conference game + at least double revenge (on ILL, on ARI) (1-0)

pvertime > 0 and p:FCW and -27.5 < p:line < -6 and C and P:W and PP:W ...
SU: 13-15-0 (0.36, 46.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 1-26-1 (-9.38, 3.7%) avg line: -9.7 +6: 11-16-1 (40.7%) -6: 1-27-0 (3.6%) +10: 17-11-0 (60.7%) -10: 1-27-0 (3.6%) O/U: 5-7-1 (-7.38, 41.7%) avg total: 54.5 +6: 3-10-0 (23.1%) -6: 6-7-0 (46.2%) +10: 2-11-0 (15.4%) -10: 6-7-0 (46.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.5 188.4 30.1 18.2 206.9 1.6 6.4 7.0 6.3 8.1 27.4 Opp 34.0 123.8 31.9 18.5 187.6 2.0 6.0 7.3 3.4 2.7 27.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 OHST ILL home -28.0 65.0 Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 UCLA ARZ home -6.5 70.5

PLAY ON big home fav off huge cover vs a team that allows a lot of points (on MEMPHIS) (3-1-1)

HF and 70 > p:margin > 34 and ... p:ats margin > 2.5 and line > -44.5
SU: 169-14-0 (25.51, 92.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 127-52-4 (6.31, 70.9%) avg line: -19.2 +6: 152-30-1 (83.5%) -6: 90-88-5 (50.6%) +10: 162-21-0 (88.5%) -10: 70-110-3 (38.9%) O/U: 35-38-3 (-0.46, 47.9%) avg total: 58.3 +6: 19-57-0 (25.0%) -6: 46-28-2 (62.2%) +10: 16-58-2 (21.6%) -10: 53-23-0 (69.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.1 212.3 31.0 20.4 269.3 1.5 9.8 12.9 10.4 8.2 41.0 Opp 34.7 107.2 33.8 18.1 193.0 2.0 3.3 4.7 3.2 4.5 15.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 31, 2014 Friday 10 2014 MEM TLS home -24.5 61.5

play ON low line away teams off b2b conference wins (on SDST, on DUKE if <=4 dogs or up to -3 favs) (2-6)

A and -3 <= line <= 4 and p:CW and pp:CW and date > 20101101 and p:line > -24
SU: 54-23-0 (6.16, 70.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 56-19-2 (6.60, 74.7%) avg line: 0.4 +6: 63-13-1 (82.9%) -6: 40-36-1 (52.6%) +10: 65-12-0 (84.4%) -10: 31-43-3 (41.9%) O/U: 41-35-1 (1.81, 53.9%) avg total: 54.9 +6: 31-46-0 (40.3%) -6: 52-25-0 (67.5%) +10: 23-54-0 (29.9%) -10: 57-20-0 (74.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.7 173.5 30.2 18.0 226.9 1.4 6.4 9.8 7.1 7.7 31.4 Opp 37.7 151.7 35.6 20.9 236.1 1.8 5.3 7.1 5.1 7.3 25.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 ALA LSU away -2.5 Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 SDST NEV away 3.5 48.5 Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 DUKE PIT away 4.0 51.0

PLAY ON big favs of 21.5-35.5 that are well rested (on aTm, on BAYLOR if 21.5-35.5) (2-4)

HF and -35.5 <= line <= -21.5 and 9 <= rest <= 15 ...
SU: 83-1-0 (34.00, 98.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 63-17-4 (6.96, 78.8%) avg line: -27.0 +6: 70-14-0 (83.3%) -6: 44-39-1 (53.0%) +10: 73-10-1 (88.0%) -10: 35-49-0 (41.7%) O/U: 36-30-0 (1.36, 54.5%) avg total: 59.3 +6: 21-44-1 (32.3%) -6: 42-22-2 (65.6%) +10: 16-48-2 (25.0%) -10: 51-14-1 (78.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.0 239.3 30.3 20.5 288.0 1.4 12.8 14.1 12.7 7.7 46.9 Opp 33.2 93.8 32.1 17.5 187.3 2.2 2.4 2.8 4.1 4.1 12.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 TXAM LMON home -32.5 58.5

bet on 3-5 TD conference home favs off 3+ TD conference win (on GASO, on MEMPHIS) (3-2)

CHF and -35 <= line <= -21 and p:CW and p:margin >= 21 and season >= 1999
SU: 153-5-0 (31.15, 96.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 108-46-4 (4.32, 70.1%) avg line: -26.8 +6: 124-34-0 (78.5%) -6: 69-80-9 (46.3%) +10: 132-25-1 (84.1%) -10: 51-104-3 (32.9%) O/U: 51-40-1 (2.33, 56.0%) avg total: 56.9 +6: 36-53-3 (40.4%) -6: 67-24-1 (73.6%) +10: 25-66-1 (27.5%) -10: 74-17-1 (81.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.2 221.5 30.2 20.5 283.8 1.4 11.2 12.4 11.4 9.2 44.8 Opp 35.3 127.2 29.3 15.4 166.7 2.0 2.6 4.8 3.7 3.4 13.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 31, 2014 Friday 10 2014 MEM TLS home -24.5 61.5 Oct 30, 2014 Thursday 10 2014 GSOU TROY home -25.5 63.0

play UNDER total 50.5-56.5 with team off blowout loss vs opponent that scored 42+ (UGA under if 50.5-56.5) (1-2)

p:margin <= -21 and opoints >= 42 and 57 > total > 50
SU: 20-66-0 (-15.16, 23.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 38-47-1 (-1.66, 44.7%) avg line: 13.5 +6: 58-27-1 (68.2%) -6: 24-61-1 (28.2%) +10: 68-18-0 (79.1%) -10: 14-71-1 (16.5%) O/U: 26-59-1 (-3.67, 30.6%) avg total: 53.7 +6: 19-66-1 (22.4%) -6: 46-39-1 (54.1%) +10: 14-71-1 (16.5%) -10: 55-27-4 (67.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.2 132.1 29.7 16.7 184.7 2.0 3.4 4.8 3.7 5.1 17.4 Opp 39.1 192.0 28.2 17.5 226.8 1.5 8.0 9.8 7.5 7.3 32.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 FLA GEO neutral 13.0 51.5

play UNDER conference game off a DD away dog win (UTEP under) (10-9) ... this game also meets 8-28-3 o/u subset (6-2)

p:ADW and C and 21 >= p:line >= 10 ...
SU: 57-44-0 (1.48, 56.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 56-43-2 (1.74, 56.6%) avg line: 0.3 +6: 73-28-0 (72.3%) -6: 35-65-1 (35.0%) +10: 77-22-2 (77.8%) -10: 26-73-2 (26.3%) O/U: 29-69-3 (-2.93, 29.6%) avg total: 52.7 +6: 21-80-0 (20.8%) -6: 54-47-0 (53.5%) +10: 17-83-1 (17.0%) -10: 70-27-4 (72.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.6 148.4 31.2 18.3 219.7 1.5 5.5 7.7 6.5 5.8 25.6 Opp 36.6 157.0 32.4 18.6 220.6 2.1 6.0 6.4 4.7 6.7 24.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 UTEP SMIS home -7.0 59.0

play OVER big home fav off a bye week (aTm over, BAY over) (8-5) - only baylor meets the 34-7 o/u subset which is 5-1 YTD

week - p:week = 2 and HF and line <= -19 ...
SU: 66-2-0 (32.07, 97.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 42-23-3 (3.04, 64.6%) avg line: -29.0 +6: 51-17-0 (75.0%) -6: 27-39-2 (40.9%) +10: 56-12-0 (82.4%) -10: 23-45-0 (33.8%) O/U: 46-18-0 (5.41, 71.9%) avg total: 58.6 +6: 31-33-0 (48.4%) -6: 50-13-1 (79.4%) +10: 23-38-3 (37.7%) -10: 52-12-0 (81.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.8 253.5 30.0 20.0 275.6 1.4 12.8 15.0 12.4 7.7 47.9 Opp 34.6 108.5 32.4 17.6 192.5 2.1 3.4 3.6 4.6 4.2 15.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 BAY KAN home -36.0 62.0 Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 TXAM LMON home -34.0 63.0

more this afternoon....