NCAAF Systems

[rolltide]

OPPOSE rested home conference dog off a non-covering loss vs opponent with regular rest (on TXST, on RICE) (1-0)

HCD and rest > 9 and p:L and p:ats margin < 0 and o:rest = 6 ...
SU: 15-58-0 (-15.33, 20.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 21-52-0 (-4.67, 28.8%) avg line: 10.7 +6: 41-32-0 (56.2%) -6: 16-56-1 (22.2%) +10: 48-24-1 (66.7%) -10: 11-62-0 (15.1%) O/U: 16-24-0 (-1.86, 40.0%) avg total: 52.2 +6: 11-29-0 (27.5%) -6: 23-16-1 (59.0%) +10: 10-30-0 (25.0%) -10: 30-10-0 (75.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.9 124.3 31.4 16.8 189.4 2.1 4.8 3.1 4.4 4.8 18.4 Opp 39.0 193.5 30.8 19.9 246.2 1.5 6.3 9.2 9.5 8.2 33.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 FINT RICE home 6.0 49.0 Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 NMST TXST home 7.5 60.0

PLAY ON away team off b2b big rushing games vs home team that can't run (on INDY) (5-2)

A and op:rushing yards <= 100 and opp:rushing yards <= 100 and p:rushing yards ...
SU: 40-11-0 (12.08, 78.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 34-16-1 (5.39, 68.0%) avg line: -6.7 +6: 43-8-0 (84.3%) -6: 24-26-1 (48.0%) +10: 48-3-0 (94.1%) -10: 16-35-0 (31.4%) O/U: 25-25-1 (1.76, 50.0%) avg total: 57.3 +6: 15-35-1 (30.0%) -6: 31-20-0 (60.8%) +10: 14-37-0 (27.5%) -10: 33-17-1 (66.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 46.9 249.5 22.8 14.3 179.9 1.2 8.3 10.9 8.1 7.3 35.6 Opp 31.3 122.5 36.6 21.9 251.4 1.9 4.2 6.4 5.3 6.9 23.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 IND MICH away 7.0 52.5

OPPOSE teams off great rush defense game (on COLO) - (3-3) also fits 10-36 ATS subset

po:rushes > 41 and 54 < po:rushing yards < 117 ...
SU: 27-49-0 (-4.78, 35.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 24-50-1 (-5.83, 32.4%) avg line: -0.7 +6: 31-42-2 (42.5%) -6: 16-58-1 (21.6%) +10: 45-29-1 (60.8%) -10: 12-62-1 (16.2%) O/U: 42-32-0 (1.34, 56.8%) avg total: 52.4 +6: 29-45-0 (39.2%) -6: 49-23-2 (68.1%) +10: 22-51-1 (30.1%) -10: 55-18-1 (75.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.5 141.6 33.0 19.4 223.2 1.7 5.9 7.4 4.9 5.8 24.4 Opp 39.8 165.2 30.6 18.5 219.1 1.5 6.4 9.1 6.0 7.1 29.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 05, 2014 Wednesday 11 2014 BUF OHU away Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 WAS COLO away -4.0 59.5

play ON big conf fav (24-35) off b2b conference blowout wins (on GASO, on NEB if -24 to -35) (0-2)

CF and p:margin >= 10 and pp:margin >= 10 and p:C and pp:C and -35 <= line <= -24 and season >= 2000
SU: 122-5-0 (33.95, 96.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 88-37-2 (5.20, 70.4%) avg line: -28.7 +6: 99-27-1 (78.6%) -6: 61-61-5 (50.0%) +10: 108-18-1 (85.7%) -10: 47-78-2 (37.6%) O/U: 38-39-0 (1.29, 49.4%) avg total: 59.3 +6: 28-46-3 (37.8%) -6: 54-23-0 (70.1%) +10: 19-57-1 (25.0%) -10: 63-14-0 (81.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.2 226.6 32.0 21.1 291.7 1.2 12.7 13.6 11.8 9.9 47.0 Opp 35.5 118.2 30.1 15.2 162.1 2.1 2.3 3.7 3.0 3.3 13.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 30, 2014 Thursday 10 2014 GSOU TROY home -25.0 63.0

OPPOSE dogs b2b allowing 30+ and exactly one win vs team off a win (on LA TECH) (2-2)

pooints >= 30 and ppooints >= 30 and p:W and A and op:W and o... and line >= 5 and pp:L
SU: 4-67-0 (-27.73, 5.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 18-51-2 (-9.02, 26.1%) avg line: 18.7 +6: 31-37-3 (45.6%) -6: 13-58-0 (18.3%) +10: 36-33-2 (52.2%) -10: 6-64-1 (8.6%) O/U: 13-19-0 (-5.16, 40.6%) avg total: 59.6 +6: 9-23-0 (28.1%) -6: 17-13-2 (56.7%) +10: 5-27-0 (15.6%) -10: 21-11-0 (65.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 32.6 105.6 34.7 18.0 199.3 1.9 2.2 5.3 2.3 4.4 15.2 Opp 41.7 226.6 30.2 18.8 261.3 1.7 8.7 12.8 10.5 8.2 42.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 WKY LTCH away 7.0 70.0

OPPOSE previously unbeaten teams off 2-3 turnover loss (on NAVY) (6-2)

p:L and p:losses = 0 and wins >= 3 and 3 >= p:turnovers >= 2 and...
SU: 41-49-0 (-1.71, 45.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 22-66-2 (-5.91, 25.0%) avg line: -4.2 +6: 44-43-3 (50.6%) -6: 16-73-1 (18.0%) +10: 59-31-0 (65.6%) -10: 6-83-1 (6.7%) O/U: 43-44-2 (-0.38, 49.4%) avg total: 54.4 +6: 31-58-0 (34.8%) -6: 57-32-0 (64.0%) +10: 26-62-1 (29.5%) -10: 66-23-0 (74.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.1 144.0 32.9 19.9 236.2 1.8 5.4 7.9 5.7 6.9 26.1 Opp 38.6 160.8 30.6 18.2 218.1 1.5 5.9 8.5 6.1 7.2 27.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 NOTD NAVY neutral -14.0 55.5

PLAY ON rested home conference dog with revenge (on IDAHO) (3-0)

P:L and p:W and HCD and rest > 11 ...
SU: 47-81-3 (-5.66, 36.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 89-37-5 (3.95, 70.6%) avg line: 9.6 +6: 102-28-1 (78.5%) -6: 57-71-3 (44.5%) +10: 105-26-0 (80.2%) -10: 40-88-3 (31.2%) O/U: 14-16-3 (0.03, 46.7%) avg total: 53.2 +6: 13-20-0 (39.4%) -6: 20-13-0 (60.6%) +10: 11-22-0 (33.3%) -10: 23-9-1 (71.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.5 142.6 29.9 16.0 197.3 1.8 5.0 6.1 5.5 5.5 20.4 Opp 36.8 173.0 32.1 19.3 239.0 1.8 6.6 8.4 6.8 8.5 26.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 IDA AKST home 17.5 66.0

PLAY ON home conference fav off away conference win vs opponent off 3+ straight conference wins (on AZ ST) (0-0)

HF and p:ACW and op:CW and opp:CW and oppp:CW ...
SU: 80-20-0 (14.79, 80.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 71-27-2 (6.79, 72.4%) avg line: -8.0 +6: 80-20-0 (80.0%) -6: 54-45-1 (54.5%) +10: 83-15-2 (84.7%) -10: 44-56-0 (44.0%) O/U: 21-20-1 (-1.90, 51.2%) avg total: 57.3 +6: 13-28-1 (31.7%) -6: 23-17-2 (57.5%) +10: 7-34-1 (17.1%) -10: 27-15-0 (64.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.9 214.0 27.9 17.6 230.7 1.4 7.9 10.9 8.6 8.1 34.6 Opp 32.2 121.8 33.5 19.1 199.2 2.2 4.0 6.0 4.9 4.4 19.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 AZST UTAH home -5.5 58.0

PLAY ON med-big fav 17.5-27.5 in 2H of season off big offensive game vs opponent off loss (on GASO, on MEMPHIS, on NEB) (1-2)

H and line < -17 and line > -28 and game number >= 6 and points > 38 and op:L ...
SU: 172-7-0 (25.37, 96.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 116-60-3 (3.26, 65.9%) avg line: -22.1 +6: 136-42-1 (76.4%) -6: 76-100-3 (43.2%) +10: 147-31-1 (82.6%) -10: 51-123-5 (29.3%) O/U: 41-33-0 (1.86, 55.4%) avg total: 57.3 +6: 26-44-4 (37.1%) -6: 54-19-1 (74.0%) +10: 17-56-1 (23.3%) -10: 60-13-1 (82.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.5 205.0 31.2 20.4 282.0 1.6 10.2 12.3 9.1 9.3 41.2 Opp 35.3 120.5 31.7 17.2 190.1 1.8 3.4 5.7 3.8 4.5 15.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 NEB PUR home -23.5 61.0 Oct 31, 2014 Friday 10 2014 MEM TLS home -24.5 61.0 Oct 30, 2014 Thursday 10 2014 GSOU TROY home -25.0 63.0

oppose any previously unbeaten fav on road/neutral vs opponent winning 70% or less (on NAVY)

game number > 6 and losses = 1 and p:L and F and o:WP < 71 and o:wins > 0 and (H) = False
SU: 10-8-0 (4.56, 55.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 4-14-0 (-6.19, 22.2%) avg line: -10.8 +6: 7-11-0 (38.9%) -6: 4-14-0 (22.2%) +10: 8-10-0 (44.4%) -10: 4-14-0 (22.2%) O/U: 9-9-0 (2.25, 50.0%) avg total: 55.1 +6: 6-12-0 (33.3%) -6: 11-7-0 (61.1%) +10: 6-12-0 (33.3%) -10: 14-4-0 (77.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.3 149.4 34.9 22.0 261.7 1.5 7.3 9.3 7.4 6.9 30.9 Opp 35.8 141.6 33.2 19.4 211.5 1.4 5.1 8.4 6.2 6.7 26.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 NOTD NAVY neutral -14.0 55.5

PLAY ON 2h season unbeaten conference favs off 29+ point game (on MISS ST) (0-1)

wins >= 7 and losses = 0 and FCH and line > -33 ...
SU: 49-7-0 (23.11, 87.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 41-15-0 (5.05, 73.2%) avg line: -18.1 +6: 44-11-1 (80.0%) -6: 33-23-0 (58.9%) +10: 46-9-1 (83.6%) -10: 23-33-0 (41.1%) O/U: 33-23-0 (3.12, 58.9%) avg total: 59.9 +6: 23-31-2 (42.6%) -6: 41-15-0 (73.2%) +10: 19-36-1 (34.5%) -10: 45-10-1 (81.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.3 204.2 32.1 21.4 285.9 1.3 9.1 12.6 11.1 10.1 43.1 Opp 35.9 130.4 31.1 17.8 203.2 2.1 4.9 5.8 4.4 4.6 20.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 MSST ARK home -10.5 61.0

PLAY ON good rushing teams vs a bad rush defense that had one good rush defense game (on STAN, on LATECH, on CMU) (3-4)

C and p:margin > -4 and -21 < line < 21 and 4.3 >= tS(rushing yards) / tS(rushes) >= 3.5 ...
SU: 60-27-0 (10.59, 69.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 61-26-0 (5.63, 70.1%) avg line: -5.0 +6: 69-17-1 (80.2%) -6: 40-43-4 (48.2%) +10: 75-10-2 (88.2%) -10: 30-56-1 (34.9%) O/U: 42-45-0 (0.83, 48.3%) avg total: 54.5 +6: 26-60-1 (30.2%) -6: 59-27-1 (68.6%) +10: 19-67-1 (22.1%) -10: 66-21-0 (75.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.4 167.5 30.6 19.0 240.9 1.3 7.9 9.6 7.9 7.0 32.9 Opp 35.7 136.4 35.1 20.7 230.1 1.9 4.4 6.4 4.6 6.6 22.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 CMCH EMCH away -14.0 48.5 Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 LTCH WKY home -7.0 70.0 Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 STAN ORE away 8.0 55.5

PLAY ON away dog 6-29, low total, off b2b non-covers (on NW if >=6) (2-2)

AD and 5.5 < line < 29.5 and p:ats margin < 0 and pp:ats margin < 0 and total < 46
SU: 20-84-0 (-10.61, 19.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 68-35-1 (3.47, 66.0%) avg line: 14.1 +6: 83-20-1 (80.6%) -6: 46-57-1 (44.7%) +10: 89-15-0 (85.6%) -10: 32-69-3 (31.7%) O/U: 37-64-3 (-3.08, 36.6%) avg total: 43.1 +6: 23-79-2 (22.5%) -6: 57-47-0 (54.8%) +10: 15-87-2 (14.7%) -10: 70-32-2 (68.6%)

play ON small/med dog 4-9 points with strong defense (on STAN, on BC, on UVA, on UTAH if +4 to +9) (10-3)

season > 2006 and D and 4 <= line <= 9 and tA(o:rushing yards) <= 113.8 and tA(o:rushing yards) >= 80 and tA(o:rushing yards + oassing yards) <= 420 and -25 <= p:ats margin < 25 and site != neutral
SU: 81-99-0 (-2.56, 45.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 123-51-6 (3.82, 70.7%) avg line: 6.4 +6: 138-42-0 (76.7%) -6: 79-98-3 (44.6%) +10: 147-33-0 (81.7%) -10: 59-118-3 (33.3%) O/U: 77-97-6 (-1.18, 44.3%) avg total: 51.4 +6: 52-127-1 (29.1%) -6: 109-70-1 (60.9%) +10: 39-140-1 (21.8%) -10: 129-48-3 (72.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.5 133.7 30.9 18.1 215.5 1.7 5.2 6.7 5.0 6.5 23.8 Opp 37.3 151.8 33.0 19.4 231.2 1.9 5.5 7.6 6.1 6.7 26.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 UTAH AZST away 5.5 58.0 Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 STAN ORE away 8.0 55.5

 

[rolltide]

Ga Southern (108-46, & 88-34 if -24 to -35, & 116-60 if no higher than-27)
Memphis (127-52, 108-46, & 116-60 if line 17.5-27.5)
Miami FL (54-14)
Arizona (26-1)
Illinois (26-1)
SD State (56-19 if +4 or less)
Duke (56-19 if +4 or less)
Texas a&m (63-17 up to -35.5)
Baylor (63-17 up to -35.5)
Nebraska (88-37 only if -24 to -35 & 116-60 if b/w 17.5-27.5)
La Tech (51-18, 61-26)
Navy (66-22, 14-4)
Miss State (41-15)
Idaho (89-37)
Rice (52-21)
Texas St (52-21)
Indiana (34-16)
Colorado (50-24, 36-10)
Central Mich (61-26)
Stanford (61-26, & 123-51 if 4-9 dog)
Northwestern (68-35 only if dog >=6)
Virginia (123-51 if 4-9 dog)
Boston Coll (123-51 if 4-9 dog)
Arizona State (71-27) canceled if line 4-9 (Utah 123-51)


HAW/USU under (34-11)
MTEN/BYU under (34-11)
UGA/FLA under (59-26 if b/w 50.5-56.5)
UTEP under (69-29, 28-8)
BAY/KAN over (46-18, 34-7)
TAM/ULM over (46-18)

 

[Jupiter333]

Here's one taking a home dog off less than 7, that has 100 yards/game better defense off a loss playing a team off a win.

ON Tulane.

HD and line<=7 and oA(o:rushing yards+oassing yards)-tA(o:rushing yards+oassing yards)>100 and p:L and op:W

SU:9-6-0 (1.93, 60.0%)
ATS:12-2-1 (6.17, 85.7%)
avg line: 4.2

Team 39.6 177.7 34.6 21.3 283.3 1.9 6.1 9.8 6.8 9.4 32.1 Opp 33.2 125.1 41.4 25.6 310.1 1.9 9.6 6.0 6.2 7.9 30.2

ep 23, 2006 box Saturday 4 2006 NCST BCOL home 3-6 0-3 7-0 7-6 17-15 6.5 41.5 2 8.5 -9.5 -0.5 -9.0 W W U 0 Oct 14, 2006 box Saturday 7 2006 WMCH NIL home 0-7 10-0 3-0 3-7 16-14 2.5 50.0 2 4.5 -20.0 -7.8 -12.2 W W U 0 Sep 15, 2007 box Saturday 3 2007 FATL MIN home 14-14 21-0 0-10 7-15 42-39 7.0 55.0 3 10.0 26.0 18.0 8.0 W W O 0 Oct 19, 2007 box Friday 8 2007 CON LOU home 0-7 0-0 7-0 14-10 21-17 3.0 63.0 4 7.0 -25.0 -9.0 -16.0 W W U 0 Oct 31, 2009 box Saturday 9 2009 AZST CAL home 0-14 14-3 0-3 7-3 21-23 6.0 51.0 -2 4.0 -7.0 -1.5 -5.5 L W U 0 Nov 07, 2009 box Saturday 10 2009 TLS HOU home 14-14 7-10 17-10 7-12 45-46 1.0 69.0 -1 0.0 22.0 11.0 11.0 L P O 0 Nov 14, 2009 box Saturday 11 2009 CFL HOU home 0-10 10-7 13-0 14-15 37-32 4.5 64.5 5 9.5 4.5 7.0 -2.5 W W O 0 Nov 13, 2010 box Saturday 11 2010 TEX OKST home 3-3 0-23 0-7 13-0 16-33 5.0 54.5 -17 -12.0 -5.5 -8.8 3.2 L L U 0 Sep 10, 2011 box Saturday 2 2011 WAKE NCST home 10-0 10-6 14-14 0-7 34-27 1.5 50.0 7 8.5 11.0 9.8 1.2 W W O 0 Nov 26, 2011 box Saturday 13 2011 FATL UAB home 7-7 10-7 7-14 14-7 38-35 4.5 50.5 3 7.5 22.5 15.0 7.5 W W O 0 Oct 13, 2012 box Saturday 7 2012 TXT WVA home 14-7 21-0 7-0 7-7 49-21 4.0 77.0 28 32 -7 12.5 -19.5 W W U 0 Sep 07, 2013 box Saturday 2 2013 BYU TEX home 10-7 17-7 13-7 0-0 40-21 7.0 57.0 19 26.0 4.0 15.0 -11.0 W W O 0 Sep 21, 2013 box Saturday 4 2013 DUKE PIT home 7-20 21-17 7-14 20-7 55-58 4.0 51.5 -3 1.0 61.5 31.2 30.2 L W O 0 Oct 12, 2013 box Saturday 7 2013 MIS TXAM home 7-14 3-0 7-7 21-20 38-41 6.0 78.0 -3 3 1 2.0 -1.0 L W O 0 Oct 11, 2014 box Saturday 7 2014 OHU BOWL home 3-14 3-7 0-7 7-3 13-31 1.0 65.5 -18 -17 -21.5 -19.2 -2.2 L L U 0 Oct 31, 2014 Friday 10 2014 TLN CIN home 6.5 57.0 Showing 1 to 16 of 16 entries

 

[rolltide]

one more to add....

PLAY ON teams off a loss where they allowed less than 13 first downs and opponent off a win (on PITT - already started so won't count it of course, on FLA, on OK ST) (3-2) - and if this team was beaten by same opponent last meeting then 17-3 ATS...on FLA

op:W and season >= 2009 and p:L and 0 < po:first downs < 13
SU: 17-30-0 (-3.94, 36.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 33-12-2 (5.78, 73.3%) avg line: 9.7 +6: 37-10-0 (78.7%) -6: 27-18-2 (60.0%) +10: 40-6-1 (87.0%) -10: 21-26-0 (44.7%) O/U: 23-22-2 (2.71, 51.1%) avg total: 52.1 +6: 13-33-1 (28.3%) -6: 32-14-1 (69.6%) +10: 12-35-0 (25.5%) -10: 37-10-0 (78.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.5 149.9 29.8 17.5 204.5 1.7 4.9 6.5 5.7 7.5 25.4 Opp 38.5 166.0 31.3 19.1 241.5 1.9 7.0 9.1 5.2 7.4 29.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 FLA GEO neutral 11.0 47.5 Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 OKST KAST away 12.5 51.5 Nov 01, 2014 Saturday 10 2014 PIT DUKE home -3.0 49.0

 

[rolltide]

W Ga Southern (108-46, & 88-34 if -24 to -35, & 116-60 if no higher than-27)
L Memphis (127-52, 108-46, & 116-60 if line 17.5-27.5)
W Miami FL (54-14)
L Arizona (26-1)
L Illinois (26-1)
L SD State (56-19 if +4 or less)
W Duke (56-19 if +4 or less)
L Texas a&m (63-17 up to -35.5)
W Baylor (63-17 up to -35.5)
P Nebraska (88-37 only if -24 to -35 & 116-60 if b/w 17.5-27.5)
W La Tech (51-18, 61-26)
W Navy (66-22, 14-4)
L Miss State (41-15)
W Idaho (89-37)
W Rice (52-21)
W Texas St (52-21)
L Indiana (34-16)
L Colorado (50-24, 36-10)
W Central Mich (61-26)
L Stanford (61-26, & 123-51 if 4-9 dog)
X Northwestern (68-35 only if dog >=6)
X Virginia (123-51 if 4-9 dog)
X Boston Coll (123-51 if 4-9 dog)
L Okla St (33-12)
W Florida (33-12)
X Arizona State (71-27) canceled if line 4-9 (Utah 123-51)


L HAW/USU under (34-11)
W MTEN/BYU under (34-11)
X UGA/FLA under (59-26 if b/w 50.5-56.5)
W UTEP under (69-29, 28-8)
W BAY/KAN over (46-18, 34-7)
L TAM/ULM over (46-18)

wrapping last week up... a lot of drops due to line stipulations marked them with an "X". sides 11-10-1, totals 3-2....83-70-5 YTD

pretty sure i remember one that popped up for Tuesday in TOL/KEST game but i'm not going to rerun everything to find it. There is one for wed and I'll run the full lineup either wed afternoon or tue morning. wed game below opposing buffalo...

OPPOSE teams off great rush defense game that still allowed decent amount of points (on OHIO) - (just 4-3 ATS 2014) also fits 11-36 ATS subset

po:rushes > 41 and 54 < po:rushing yards < 117 and ...
SU: 28-49-0 (-4.52, 36.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-50-1 (-5.62, 33.3%) avg line: -0.8 +6: 32-42-2 (43.2%) -6: 17-58-1 (22.7%) +10: 46-29-1 (61.3%) -10: 12-62-2 (16.2%) O/U: 43-32-0 (1.38, 57.3%) avg total: 52.4 +6: 29-46-0 (38.7%) -6: 50-23-2 (68.5%) +10: 22-52-1 (29.7%) -10: 56-18-1 (75.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.6 142.8 32.9 19.3 222.9 1.7 5.9 7.5 5.1 5.8 24.5 Opp 39.7 165.4 30.9 18.8 220.3 1.5 6.5 9.1 5.9 7.0 29.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 05, 2014 Wednesday 11 2014 BUF OHU away 3.0

 

[rolltide]

get your coins ready to flip for tue and wed. midweek MAC conference games are split exactly b/w home and away covers

conference = MAC and day != Saturday and HC

SU:	97-72-1 (3.31, 57.4%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	82-82-6 (-0.52, 50.0%)	avg line: -3.8	+6: 106-60-4 (63.9%)	-6: 59-110-1 (34.9%)	+10: 119-48-3 (71.3%)	-10: 45-125-0 (26.5%)
O/U:	63-58-5 (0.69, 52.1%)	avg total: 54.0	+6: 43-81-2 (34.7%)	-6: 78-47-1 (62.4%)	+10: 32-93-1 (25.6%)	-10: 92-32-2 (74.2%)

 

[rolltide]

UNDER single digit dogs (<=9) that were huge dogs last year (UTAH u, WYO u) (6-4)

P:L and P:season = season -1 and P:line >= 22 and line <= 9 ...
SU: 19-28-0 (-2.47, 40.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-22-0 (0.78, 53.2%) avg line: 3.2 +6: 33-14-0 (70.2%) -6: 13-34-0 (27.7%) +10: 36-11-0 (76.6%) -10: 10-35-2 (22.2%) O/U: 12-35-0 (-6.27, 25.5%) avg total: 55.2 +6: 8-39-0 (17.0%) -6: 21-25-1 (45.7%) +10: 6-41-0 (12.8%) -10: 26-20-1 (56.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.1 149.1 30.6 18.2 229.6 1.8 4.6 7.0 6.0 5.6 23.2 Opp 38.0 169.9 31.6 19.6 233.9 1.8 6.1 7.7 6.6 5.1 25.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 UTAH ORE home 8.5 60.5 Nov 07, 2014 Friday 11 2014 WYO UTST home 7.0 45.0

PLAY ON home dog avenging a home loss LY (on MIN - gets canceled by a home dog opposition, on NW - if dogs) - first ones of 2014

HD and game number >= 3 and line < 14 and P:HL and P:game number >= 3 and P:season = season -1...
SU: 18-33-1 (-2.10, 35.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 38-14-0 (4.07, 73.1%) avg line: 6.2 +6: 42-7-3 (85.7%) -6: 22-30-0 (42.3%) +10: 46-4-2 (92.0%) -10: 14-37-1 (27.5%) O/U: 4-4-0 (7.44, 50.0%) avg total: 50.9 +6: 4-4-0 (50.0%) -6: 6-2-0 (75.0%) +10: 4-4-0 (50.0%) -10: 7-0-1 (100.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.4 178.5 28.9 18.0 184.9 1.1 3.9 7.0 8.4 7.9 23.0 Opp 32.6 111.9 36.5 23.8 308.4 1.9 5.9 8.9 7.2 5.4 25.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 NORW MICH home 1.0 40.5

PLAY low line away teams (up to +4 dog or as high as -3 fav) off b2b conference wins (on NOILL - missed this, on UCLA, on LaTech, on KST, on DUKE, on GT if in range) (4-7)
A and -3 <= line <= 4 and p:CW and pp:CW and date > 20101101 and p:line > -24

SU:	55-24-0 (5.84, 69.6%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	57-20-2 (6.34, 74.0%)	avg line: 0.5	+6: 64-14-1 (82.1%)	-6: 40-37-2 (51.9%)	+10: 66-13-0 (83.5%)	-10: 31-45-3 (40.8%)
O/U:	42-36-1 (2.30, 53.8%)	avg total: 54.8	+6: 32-47-0 (40.5%)	-6: 54-25-0 (68.4%)	+10: 24-55-0 (30.4%)	-10: 59-20-0 (74.7%)

OPPOSE home teams off b2b2b terrible offense (on CLEM) (3-1)

op:margin > -25 and o:WP > 25 and H and p:rushing yards + passing yards < 280 and pp:rushing yards + ppassing yards < 280 and ppp:rushing yards + pppassing yards < 280
SU: 13-42-0 (-13.51, 23.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 18-36-1 (-3.54, 33.3%) avg line: 10.0 +6: 30-24-1 (55.6%) -6: 14-41-0 (25.5%) +10: 40-15-0 (72.7%) -10: 11-44-0 (20.0%) O/U: 28-26-1 (1.81, 51.9%) avg total: 47.7 +6: 17-37-1 (31.5%) -6: 40-14-1 (74.1%) +10: 15-40-0 (27.3%) -10: 41-13-1 (75.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.2 117.2 27.6 14.4 160.4 1.9 3.3 4.8 3.2 6.4 18.0 Opp 41.6 186.2 28.5 17.1 219.7 1.4 6.1 10.4 7.3 7.3 31.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 06, 2014 Thursday 11 2014 WAKE CLEM home 21.0 42.0

UNDER lower total with team off blowout loss vs opponent that just scored 42+ (UVA under if no higher than 56.5) (1-2)

p:margin <= -21 and opoints >= 42 and 57 > total > 50
SU: 20-66-0 (-15.16, 23.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 38-47-1 (-1.66, 44.7%) avg line: 13.5 +6: 58-27-1 (68.2%) -6: 24-61-1 (28.2%) +10: 68-18-0 (79.1%) -10: 14-71-1 (16.5%) O/U: 26-59-1 (-3.67, 30.6%) avg total: 53.7 +6: 19-66-1 (22.4%) -6: 46-39-1 (54.1%) +10: 14-71-1 (16.5%) -10: 55-27-4 (67.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.2 132.1 29.7 16.7 184.7 2.0 3.4 4.8 3.7 5.1 17.4 Opp 39.1 192.0 28.2 17.5 226.8 1.5 8.0 9.8 7.5 7.3 32.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 VIR FLST away 19.0 55.5

OPPOSE big home favs off dog loss with dog game on deck (on SMU)
pL and F and n and -28 <= line <= -8 and opoints < 17 and p:margin > -41 and game number < 10

SU:	218-85-4 (9.64, 71.9%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	99-201-7 (-4.65, 33.0%)	avg line: -14.3	+6: 149-153-5 (49.3%)	-6: 69-234-4 (22.8%)	+10: 187-116-4 (61.7%)	-10: 48-256-3 (15.8%)

OPPOSE rested home conference dog vs bad opponent off regular rest (on FAU)

HCD and rest > 9 and p:L and p:ats margin < 0 and o:rest = 6 and season >= 2000 and WP <= 40
SU: 15-60-0 (-15.21, 20.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 21-53-1 (-4.64, 28.4%) avg line: 10.6 +6: 42-33-0 (56.0%) -6: 16-58-1 (21.6%) +10: 50-24-1 (67.6%) -10: 11-64-0 (14.7%) O/U: 17-25-0 (-1.70, 40.5%) avg total: 52.4 +6: 11-31-0 (26.2%) -6: 25-16-1 (61.0%) +10: 10-32-0 (23.8%) -10: 32-10-0 (76.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.5 126.5 31.7 17.1 193.8 2.1 4.9 3.4 4.3 4.7 18.5 Opp 39.1 195.1 30.7 19.6 243.4 1.4 6.9 9.0 9.5 8.0 33.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 15, 2014 Saturday 12 2014 TXT OKLA home 8.0 Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 NTX FATL home 3.5 56.0

PLAY ON away teams off b2b great rushing games vs home team that can't run (on MARSH, on MEM) (4-3)

A and op:rushing yards <= 100 and opp:rushing yards <= 100 and p:rushing yards >= 205 and...
SU: 40-12-0 (11.38, 76.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 34-17-1 (4.98, 66.7%) avg line: -6.4 +6: 43-9-0 (82.7%) -6: 24-27-1 (47.1%) +10: 48-4-0 (92.3%) -10: 16-36-0 (30.8%) O/U: 25-26-1 (1.57, 49.0%) avg total: 57.2 +6: 15-36-1 (29.4%) -6: 31-21-0 (59.6%) +10: 14-38-0 (26.9%) -10: 34-17-1 (66.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 46.9 247.9 22.6 14.1 176.9 1.2 8.1 10.7 8.0 7.3 35.1 Opp 31.3 123.6 36.4 21.9 250.8 1.8 4.3 6.4 5.3 7.0 23.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 MRSH SMIS away Nov 07, 2014 Friday 11 2014 MEM TEM away -7.5 52.0

same as Buff last night, oppose teams off great rush defense but still alowed plenty of points (on MARSH) - also meets 36-11 subset

po:rushes > 41 and 54 < po:rushing yards < 117 ...
SU: 28-49-0 (-4.52, 36.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-50-1 (-5.62, 33.3%) avg line: -0.8 +6: 32-42-2 (43.2%) -6: 17-58-1 (22.7%) +10: 46-29-1 (61.3%) -10: 12-62-2 (16.2%) O/U: 43-32-0 (1.38, 57.3%) avg total: 52.4 +6: 29-46-0 (38.7%) -6: 50-23-2 (68.5%) +10: 22-52-1 (29.7%) -10: 56-18-1 (75.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.6 142.8 32.9 19.3 222.9 1.7 5.9 7.5 5.1 5.8 24.5 Opp 39.7 165.4 30.9 18.8 220.3 1.5 6.5 9.1 5.9 7.0 29.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 SMIS MRSH home Nov 05, 2014 Wednesday 11 2014 BUF OHU away 4.0 55.5

PLAY ON home teams off b2b great defense and double+ revenge (on LSU) (1-0)

pooints + ppooints < 23 and H and opoints > 21 and op:margin > -12 and P:L and PP:L and ...
SU: 58-44-2 (1.91, 56.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 75-28-1 (5.16, 72.8%) avg line: 3.2 +6: 80-22-2 (78.4%) -6: 53-48-3 (52.5%) +10: 87-16-1 (84.5%) -10: 35-69-0 (33.7%) O/U: 10-14-1 (-3.04, 41.7%) avg total: 49.6 +6: 7-18-0 (28.0%) -6: 14-11-0 (56.0%) +10: 4-21-0 (16.0%) -10: 17-8-0 (68.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.0 143.2 30.6 17.9 219.0 1.8 4.6 8.6 5.7 5.4 23.1 Opp 33.1 113.8 38.3 21.8 251.3 2.6 5.1 7.2 4.3 4.9 21.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 LSU ALA home 6.5 45.5

OPPOSE away team off a win and b2b games allowing 30+ vs home team off a win (on ASU) (4-4)

pooints >= 30 and ppooints >= 30 and p:W and A and op:W a...
SU: 17-90-1 (-20.56, 15.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 29-74-3 (-7.43, 28.2%) avg line: 13.0 +6: 48-54-4 (47.1%) -6: 18-87-1 (17.1%) +10: 60-43-3 (58.3%) -10: 10-94-2 (9.6%) O/U: 23-26-1 (-1.07, 46.9%) avg total: 60.6 +6: 18-32-0 (36.0%) -6: 30-18-2 (62.5%) +10: 14-36-0 (28.0%) -10: 34-16-0 (68.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.2 130.6 35.4 19.4 233.9 1.9 4.4 6.9 4.3 5.7 19.2 Opp 40.4 205.5 32.4 20.3 271.7 1.6 8.8 12.3 9.2 7.8 39.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 NOTD AZST away 2.5 59.5

PLAY ON rested home conference dogs with dog loss revenge vs opponent off a win (on LSU) (3-0)

conference != B12 and HC and p:W and P:LD and ...
SU: 32-33-2 (0.12, 49.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 56-9-2 (7.78, 86.2%) avg line: 7.7 +6: 59-8-0 (88.1%) -6: 37-28-2 (56.9%) +10: 60-7-0 (89.6%) -10: 26-38-3 (40.6%) O/U: 4-11-1 (-4.66, 26.7%) avg total: 51.3 +6: 4-12-0 (25.0%) -6: 8-8-0 (50.0%) +10: 3-13-0 (18.8%) -10: 9-7-0 (56.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 44.7 167.2 24.9 12.9 167.1 1.7 4.0 6.6 6.0 6.1 23.0 Opp 32.1 140.5 31.6 18.1 216.2 2.0 6.1 6.2 4.3 6.8 22.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 LSU ALA home 6.5 45.5

PLAY ON home fav off conference away win vs opponent off b2b conference wins (on TCU)

HF and p:ACW and op:CW and opp:CW and oppp:CW and season >= 1996 and -21.5 < line < -1
SU: 81-20-0 (14.67, 80.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 71-28-2 (6.70, 71.7%) avg line: -8.0 +6: 81-20-0 (80.2%) -6: 54-46-1 (54.0%) +10: 84-15-2 (84.8%) -10: 44-57-0 (43.6%) O/U: 21-21-1 (-2.37, 50.0%) avg total: 57.3 +6: 13-29-1 (31.0%) -6: 23-18-2 (56.1%) +10: 7-35-1 (16.7%) -10: 27-16-0 (62.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.9 214.6 28.0 17.6 230.1 1.4 7.8 10.8 8.4 8.0 34.4 Opp 32.6 123.2 33.2 19.0 195.9 2.1 4.0 6.0 5.0 4.3 19.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 TCU KAST home -6.0 57.5

2h season, PLAY ON 2-4 TD favs off great offensive game vs opponent off loss (on FSU)

H and -28 < line < -14 and game number >= 6 and points > 38 and op:L ...
SU: 238-16-0 (22.53, 93.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 151-98-5 (2.16, 60.6%) avg line: -20.4 +6: 183-69-2 (72.6%) -6: 102-148-4 (40.8%) +10: 204-48-2 (81.0%) -10: 69-178-7 (27.9%) O/U: 59-46-1 (1.65, 56.2%) avg total: 56.7 +6: 36-66-4 (35.3%) -6: 77-28-1 (73.3%) +10: 23-82-1 (21.9%) -10: 85-18-3 (82.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.2 203.2 30.7 19.9 265.2 1.5 10.1 11.2 8.9 9.1 39.8 Opp 35.3 120.6 32.0 17.1 192.0 1.9 3.5 5.8 3.9 5.0 17.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 FLST VIR home -19.0 55.5

2h season, PLAY ON unbeaten conference home favs (on FSU)

wins >= 7 and losses = 0 and FCH and ...
SU: 50-7-0 (22.82, 87.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 41-16-0 (4.90, 71.9%) avg line: -17.9 +6: 45-11-1 (80.4%) -6: 33-24-0 (57.9%) +10: 47-9-1 (83.9%) -10: 23-34-0 (40.4%) O/U: 33-24-0 (2.48, 57.9%) avg total: 59.9 +6: 23-32-2 (41.8%) -6: 41-16-0 (71.9%) +10: 19-37-1 (33.9%) -10: 45-11-1 (80.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.2 202.9 32.1 21.4 286.7 1.4 9.0 12.5 10.9 10.0 42.6 Opp 35.9 130.9 31.4 17.8 203.8 2.1 4.8 5.9 4.3 4.5 19.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 FLST VIR home -19.0 55.5

PLAY ON 4-9 point dogs with decent rushing and overall defense (on BAY, on KST)

season > 2006 and D and 4 <= line <= 9 and tA(o:rushing yards) <= 113.8 ...
SU: 81-101-0 (-2.68, 44.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 124-52-6 (3.68, 70.5%) avg line: 6.4 +6: 139-43-0 (76.4%) -6: 79-100-3 (44.1%) +10: 148-34-0 (81.3%) -10: 59-120-3 (33.0%) O/U: 77-99-6 (-1.33, 43.8%) avg total: 51.4 +6: 52-129-1 (28.7%) -6: 109-72-1 (60.2%) +10: 39-142-1 (21.5%) -10: 130-49-3 (72.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.4 133.4 30.9 18.1 214.9 1.6 5.2 6.7 5.0 6.5 23.7 Opp 37.5 152.9 32.9 19.3 230.5 1.9 5.6 7.6 6.1 6.7 26.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 BAY OKLA away 5.0 73.5 Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 KAST TCU away 6.0 57.5

OPPOSE conference teams that can't run & facing a decent defense (on MICH)

3.5 >= tS(rushing yards) / tS(rushes) >= 2.83 and C and 3.5 >= otS(o:rushing yards) / oS(o:rushes) >= 3.0 ...
SU: 16-61-0 (-14.30, 20.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 19-57-1 (-4.53, 25.0%) avg line: 9.8 +6: 42-31-4 (57.5%) -6: 11-66-0 (14.3%) +10: 53-23-1 (69.7%) -10: 9-67-1 (11.8%) O/U: 37-40-0 (0.88, 48.1%) avg total: 52.6 +6: 26-50-1 (34.2%) -6: 48-27-2 (64.0%) +10: 19-57-1 (25.0%) -10: 56-19-2 (74.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.0 108.3 36.5 20.2 223.8 2.3 4.2 5.1 4.5 5.5 19.6 Opp 39.7 173.4 32.6 20.1 245.2 1.7 8.9 8.9 7.6 8.2 33.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 NORW MICH home 1.0 40.5

if dog <=2.5 or small fav, play UNDER notre dame under kelly (ND under if fav or <=+2.5)

team = NOTD and season >= 2010 and -14.5 < line < 3
SU: 20-7-0 (7.30, 74.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 12-13-2 (0.24, 48.0%) avg line: -7.1 +6: 17-10-0 (63.0%) -6: 7-20-0 (25.9%) +10: 22-5-0 (81.5%) -10: 6-21-0 (22.2%) O/U: 2-24-1 (-11.17, 7.7%) avg total: 50.8 +6: 1-26-0 (3.7%) -6: 8-19-0 (29.6%) +10: 0-27-0 (0.0%) -10: 13-13-1 (50.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.1 152.6 34.3 20.5 239.4 2.0 6.5 6.4 5.7 4.7 23.4 Opp 34.7 130.7 32.5 19.0 195.7 1.5 4.2 4.8 2.4 4.8 16.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 NOTD AZST away 2.5 59.5

OPPOSE late season conference away favs off a bye week (on NM, on LSU, on WF)

ACF and p:week + 2 = week and game number = 9 and season >= 2000
SU: 15-15-0 (4.93, 50.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 5-24-1 (-6.27, 17.2%) avg line: -11.2 +6: 12-18-0 (40.0%) -6: 4-26-0 (13.3%) +10: 20-10-0 (66.7%) -10: 4-26-0 (13.3%) O/U: 6-8-2 (0.19, 42.9%) avg total: 51.4 +6: 5-11-0 (31.2%) -6: 9-7-0 (56.2%) +10: 4-12-0 (25.0%) -10: 11-4-1 (73.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.8 193.2 28.8 17.7 221.3 1.8 4.8 9.1 9.6 7.6 31.1 Opp 35.5 146.0 28.9 15.2 172.2 2.2 4.5 4.8 5.8 6.1 26.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 ALA LSU away -6.5 45.5 Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 BOIS NMX away -18.0 63.5 Nov 06, 2014 Thursday 11 2014 CLEM WAKE away -21.0 42.0

 

[rolltide]

W Ohio (50-25)
Memphis (34-17)
Ga Tech (57-20 only if -3 to +4)
UCLA (57-20 only if -3 to +4)
La Tech (57-20 only if -3 to +4)
Duke (57-20 only if -3 to +4)
Fla Atlantic (53-21)
SMU (201-99)
Marshall (34-17, 36-11)
LSU (75-28, 56-9, 24-5)
New Mexico (24-5)
Arizona St (74-29)
Florida St (151-98, 41-16)
Baylor (124-52)
Clemson (36-18) canceled by WF (24-5)
Northwestern (38-14) canceled by Michigan (57-19)
TCU (71-28) canceled by Kansas St (124-52)

WYO/USU under (35-12 if line <=9)
ORE/UTA under (35-12 if line <=9)
FSU/UVA under (59-26 if 50.5-56.5)
ND/ASU under (2-24 if line <=2.5)

 

[tmader7]

RT, I'm a degree'd Chem.Engr that got tired of sniffing the fumes and looking at reports that appeared as above, lol. So let's cut to the chase, are the numbers telling us to play SMU???? I'd give up gambling, drinking, just about everything before I played SMU at any price.

~T~

 

[rolltide]

a bit of info on uab this week. a letter went out yesterday from a booster group that alleges the U of A board of trustees is discussing shutting the football program down at the end of the 2016 season. The fact that this same board of trustees blocked a vote to raise funds for an on campus stadium 3 years ago and also blocked the hiring of jimbo fisher 8 years ago was included. They've also yet to schedule a single game, conference or otherwise, for the 2017 season adding more fuel to these allegations.

this obviously won't be great news for the younger players and/or the first-year coaching staff

 

[rolltide]

RT, I'm a degree'd Chem.Engr that got tired of sniffing the fumes and looking at reports that appeared as above, lol. So let's cut to the chase, are the numbers telling us to play SMU???? I'd give up gambling, drinking, just about everything before I played SMU at any price.

~T~

well, more specifically, the numbers are saying that Tulsa are in an historically poor ATS cover situation where these big home favs have covered just 1/3 of the time in more than 300 games.

 

[tmader7]

Thanks, I must have been typing when your post right above mine came through, I see the 201/99 split. I'll go ahead and tease Tulsa then, was planning on a 7+ anyway so appreciate the intel. So how do you think that UAB story will impact the current team. I'd been hearing the same story more or less about SMU, there was a story out that they were canning their program, and then out of the blue, a rumor comes out they're pursuing Mack Brown, LOL. If I was on a team that had been bagged and tagged for the mortuary, doubt I'd have much interest in playing, either transfer or just say puck it and get my degree.

~T~

 

[rolltide]

re:uab story - it definitely has legs as all the major players from there (what few we have...but roddy white, joe webb) signed the letter as part of the booster response. will certainly kill recruiting for february and will likely have our great new coach and OC looking for new jobs after 1 year. as far as current players would only be relevant to current freshman and sophomores so not sure it will change much on the field but i do think it's a bad situation just when us UABers thought the program had turned the corner. I certainly wouldn't be betting them this week vs LT and wouldn't be shocked if they came out really flat and got steamrolled in that mausoleum they call legion field

 

[tmader7]

Well, LT one of my darlings, 7-2 ATS, might just go ahead and get some of that. Covers, might have to send you a bottle of good wine, lol. Thanks for the info.

~T~

 

[rolltide]

two more...reworked one from ks:

PLAY ON small conference fav or dog mid-late season that was a fav last game and played Div 1-AA team before that (on UTEP, on UTSA)

game number > 3 and pp:division != ppo:division and p:F ...and AC and line >= -3 ...
SU: 63-87-1 (-2.72, 42.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 105-39-7 (5.14, 72.9%) avg line: 7.9 +6: 123-27-1 (82.0%) -6: 64-81-6 (44.1%) +10: 134-16-1 (89.3%) -10: 50-99-2 (33.6%) O/U: 38-38-1 (-0.69, 50.0%) avg total: 54.5 +6: 28-45-4 (38.4%) -6: 48-28-1 (63.2%) +10: 20-57-0 (26.0%) -10: 52-24-1 (68.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.1 145.0 31.7 18.9 213.9 1.5 5.9 6.5 6.4 6.9 23.9 Opp 37.9 160.5 34.6 20.6 249.9 2.0 6.4 8.7 6.0 6.9 26.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 UTSA RICE away 9.5 48.0 Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 UTEP WKY away 7.0 70.5

W Ohio (50-25)
Memphis (34-17)
Ga Tech (57-20 only if -3 to +4)
UCLA (57-20 only if -3 to +4)
La Tech (57-20 only if -3 to +4)
Duke (57-20 only if -3 to +4)
Fla Atlantic (53-21)
SMU (201-99)
Marshall (34-17, 36-11)
LSU (75-28, 56-9, 24-5)
New Mexico (24-5)
Arizona St (74-29)
Florida St (151-98, 41-16)
Baylor (124-52)
UTSA (105-39)
UTEP (105-39)
Clemson (36-18) canceled by WF (24-5)
Northwestern (38-14) canceled by Michigan (57-19)
TCU (71-28) canceled by Kansas St (124-52)

WYO/USU under (35-12 if line <=9)
ORE/UTA under (35-12 if line <=9)
FSU/UVA under (59-26 if 50.5-56.5)
ND/ASU under (2-24 if line <=2.5)

 

[sendacash]

RT, This is an impressive body of work you have done with all these systems. Just curious how many systems do you look at and go over each week? I'm always interested in finding some new and productive systems so I should take some time looking over these, maybe find a gem or two hidden under the stones. However, seems like I have gotten into system overload in the past whereby you have systems that start conflicting with each other and it takes too much time to go over them all, so I have not added any new systems this season.

 

[tmader7]

RT, here ya go:
http://www.al.com/sports/index.ssf/2014/11/former_uab_football_players_co.html#incart_river

~T~

 

[rolltide]

this one will wipe Arizona State off the list as a cancellation as long as they stay fav... letdown system

home favs of 2 TD or less after a come-from-behind conference win have been terrible (on ND, on KST) - this is tightener of 25-50 ATS system.... also 10-34 ATS if team won by 3+ like Arizona State did last week

p:CW and p:margin after the third <= -2 and HF and line > -15 and p:line < 6 and season >= 2007
SU: 36-24-0 (4.37, 60.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 17-43-0 (-3.91, 28.3%) avg line: -8.3 +6: 32-28-0 (53.3%) -6: 12-47-1 (20.3%) +10: 42-18-0 (70.0%) -10: 11-49-0 (18.3%) O/U: 33-27-0 (1.97, 55.0%) avg total: 54.0 +6: 22-37-1 (37.3%) -6: 42-18-0 (70.0%) +10: 19-41-0 (31.7%) -10: 44-15-1 (74.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.4 171.5 30.7 18.3 233.7 1.9 7.6 7.5 7.1 7.7 30.1 Opp 36.7 145.5 32.9 19.4 222.6 1.9 6.0 7.1 4.5 7.8 25.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 AZST NOTD home -2.5 60.5 Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 TCU KAST home -6.5 58.0

 

[RDTrains]

RT, here's one that applies to Both teams that supports your Under:

Play Under - All teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (VIRGINIA/FLORIDA ST) - in a game involving two good teams (outgaining opponents by 50-100 YPG) after 7+ games
(32-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (88.9%, +27.6 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0 +2 units).

 

[RDTrains]

Ditto. Same game, applies to Both teams and supports your Under:

Play Under - Any team against the total (ND/ARIZONA ST) - in a game involving two good teams (outgaining opponents by 0.6 to 1.2 YPP) after 7+ games, in non-conference games.
(26-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 4*)