Sims was beyond awful for 31 minutes but glad he woke up for the final 29. Have to wait and see about Cam Robinson this week...not sure if it was just a shoulder sprain or what but would prefer playing Missouri with him.
W Ohio -2 (24-5)
L Akron (24-5)
L Tennessee (24-5)
W UAB (24-5)
L Fresno (24-5)
L Northwestern (24-5)
L Rice (31-6, 26-6)
L Virginia (26-6)
W Cincinnati (77-30)
L Georgia St (46-19)
L Ohio St (121-63)
W Florida if 4-9 dog (125-53)
W Stanford if 4-9 dog (125-53)
W BYU if 4-9 dog (125-53)
L Notre Dame (17-4, 15-3)
W FSU/FLA under (40-13)
W UTEP/MTSU under (40-13)
W WMU/NoILL under (40-13)
W MIS/MISST under only b/w 50.5-56.5 (60-27)
L SoBAMA/NAVY under only b/w 50.5-56.5 (60-27)
W GT/UGA under (44-18)
sides 6-9, totals 5-1 .... 131-111-7 YTD
PLAY ON home fav after huge covering win vs opponent that allows a lot of points. 127-54-4 ATS / 3-3-1 2014 (on TCU, on Okla)
OPPOSE away dogs winning 60% or less of their games after being badly outrushed in b2b weeks. 16-26 ATS / 2-5 ATS (on Okla)
PLAY ON big home favs after huge offensive game vs opponent off loss. 121-64-3 ATS / 6-6 2014 (on Okla)
PLAY ON home fav off conf away win vs opponent off b2b conf wins. 74-31-2 ATS / 3-4 2014 (on ECU)
OPPOSE conference dogs that can't run and facing good rush defense. 20-59-2 ATS / 3-8-2 2014 (on ECU)
OPPOSE conference dogs 3.5-11.5 off b2b conference wins vs opponent off away win. 27-65-1 ATS / 7-8 2014 (on ECU, on CIN)
PLAY ON 4-9 point dog with very good defense, 127-53-6 ATS / 14-5 2014 (on UCF)
PLAY ON away fav after a terrible offensive loss. 35-16-3 ATS / 2-1 2014 (on Temple)
OPPOSE rested home confernence dog or small fav off a non-covering loss and avg opponent. 30-78-1 ATS / 4-10-1 2014 (on Temple)
OVER home favs of 16.5+ off a bye, 39-8-1 o/u subset / 17-4 2014 (OK/OKST over)
OPPOSE avg defensive teams off one great rush defense game. 25-53-2 ATS ... all 3 qualify for subset, 11-39 ATS / 3-7 2014 (on BG, on ORE, on Boise) - 10-0 ATS if team is 2 TD+ fav like Boise
UNDER home team off b2b great defense vs opponent off nice offense and total>51. 18-45-2 o/u ... 3-7 o/u 2014 (CIN/HOU under)
OPPOSE away or neutral favs after first loss vs non-elite opponent. 5-19-1 ATS / 2-1 2014 (on La Tech)
OPPOSE and play over with dog after dog loss with this line more than 2 TD higher. 44-71-3 ATS / 10-14 ATS , 75-35-4 o/u / 19-3-2 o/u 2014 (on TCU, on TCU/ISU over)
TCU (127-54, 71-44)
Oklahoma (26-16, 121-64)
Temple (35-16, 78-30)
Bowling Green (39-11)
Oregon (39-11)
Boise St (39-11, 10-0)
La Tech (19-5)
Cincinnati (65-27)
ECU (74-31, 59-20, 65-27) canceled by UCF (127-53)
OU/OSU over (39-8)
TCU/ISU over (75-35)
CIN/HOU under (45-18)
OPPOSE away dogs winning 60% or less of their games after being badly outrushed in b2b weeks. 16-26 ATS / 2-5 ATS (on Okla)
PLAY ON big home favs after huge offensive game vs opponent off loss. 121-64-3 ATS / 6-6 2014 (on Okla)
PLAY ON home fav off conf away win vs opponent off b2b conf wins. 74-31-2 ATS / 3-4 2014 (on ECU)
OPPOSE conference dogs that can't run and facing good rush defense. 20-59-2 ATS / 3-8-2 2014 (on ECU)
OPPOSE conference dogs 3.5-11.5 off b2b conference wins vs opponent off away win. 27-65-1 ATS / 7-8 2014 (on ECU, on CIN)
PLAY ON 4-9 point dog with very good defense, 127-53-6 ATS / 14-5 2014 (on UCF)
PLAY ON away fav after a terrible offensive loss. 35-16-3 ATS / 2-1 2014 (on Temple)
OPPOSE rested home confernence dog or small fav off a non-covering loss and avg opponent. 30-78-1 ATS / 4-10-1 2014 (on Temple)
OVER home favs of 16.5+ off a bye, 39-8-1 o/u subset / 17-4 2014 (OK/OKST over)
OPPOSE avg defensive teams off one great rush defense game. 25-53-2 ATS ... all 3 qualify for subset, 11-39 ATS / 3-7 2014 (on BG, on ORE, on Boise) - 10-0 ATS if team is 2 TD+ fav like Boise
UNDER home team off b2b great defense vs opponent off nice offense and total>51. 18-45-2 o/u ... 3-7 o/u 2014 (CIN/HOU under)
OPPOSE away or neutral favs after first loss vs non-elite opponent. 5-19-1 ATS / 2-1 2014 (on La Tech)
OPPOSE and play over with dog after dog loss with this line more than 2 TD higher. 44-71-3 ATS / 10-14 ATS , 75-35-4 o/u / 19-3-2 o/u 2014 (on TCU, on TCU/ISU over)
TCU (127-54, 71-44)
Oklahoma (26-16, 121-64)
Temple (35-16, 78-30)
Bowling Green (39-11)
Oregon (39-11)
Boise St (39-11, 10-0)
La Tech (19-5)
Cincinnati (65-27)
ECU (74-31, 59-20, 65-27) canceled by UCF (127-53)
OU/OSU over (39-8)
TCU/ISU over (75-35)
CIN/HOU under (45-18)
I love TCU over a lot.. They will try to score as many points as possible to hang on to the 3 spot for playoff. They dont want to drop to 4 cuz they would have to play Bama in 1st game. If they hold on to 3 spot and Oregon holds onto 2 spot then Oregon/TCU game would be very interesting.. GL this weekend fella's. I plan on cashing some BIG tickets
team = OHST and D and date > 20090101
| SU: | 7-6-0 (1.23, 53.8%) | Teaser Records | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATS: | 11-2-0 (6.38, 84.6%) | avg line: 5.2 | +6: 12-1-0 (92.3%) | -6: 6-7-0 (46.2%) | +10: 12-1-0 (92.3%) | -10: 5-8-0 (38.5%) |
| O/U: | 4-9-0 (-1.12, 30.8%) | avg total: 47.1 | +6: 4-9-0 (30.8%) | -6: 5-8-0 (38.5%) | +10: 4-9-0 (30.8%) | -10: 9-4-0 (69.2%) |
| Rushes | Rush Yds | Passes | Comp | Pass Yds | TOs | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | 42.2 | 188.8 | 21.0 | 11.1 | 151.2 | 1.1 | 5.2 | 6.8 | 4.6 | 6.4 | 23.6 |
| Opp | 37.5 | 149.9 | 30.5 | 18.2 | 202.4 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 4.4 | 5.3 | 7.2 | 22.4 |
| Date | Link | Day | Week | Season | Team | Opp | Site | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | Line | Total | SUm | ATSm | OUm | DPS | DPA | SUr | ATSr | OUr | ot |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 06, 2014 | Saturday | 15 | 2014 | OHST | WIS | neutral | 4.0 | 52.5 | |||||||||||||||
| Nov 08, 2014 | box | Saturday | 11 | 2014 | OHST | MCST | away | 7-14 | 21-7 | 7-3 | 14-13 | 49-37 | 3.5 | 57.0 | 12 | 15.5 | 29 | 22.2 | 6.8 | W | W | O | 0 |
| Nov 17, 2012 | box | Saturday | 12 | 2012 | OHST | WIS | away | 7-0 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-7 | 21-14 | 2.5 | 52.0 | 7 | 9.5 | -17 | -3.8 | -13.2 | W | W | U | 1 |
| Sep 29, 2012 | box | Saturday | 5 | 2012 | OHST | MCST | away | 7-3 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 0-3 | 17-16 | 2.5 | 41.5 | 1 | 3.5 | -8.5 | -2.5 | -6.0 | W | W | U | 0 |
| Jan 02, 2012 | box | Monday | 18 | 2011 | OHST | FLA | neutral | 0-7 | 10-7 | 0-7 | 7-3 | 17-24 | 2.5 | 44.0 | -7 | -4.5 | -3.0 | -3.8 | 0.8 | L | L | U | 0 |
| Nov 26, 2011 | box | Saturday | 13 | 2011 | OHST | MICH | away | 7-16 | 17-7 | 0-7 | 10-10 | 34-40 | 8.0 | 45.5 | -6 | 2.0 | 28.5 | 15.2 | 13.2 | L | W | O | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2011 | box | Saturday | 9 | 2011 | OHST | WIS | home | 0-7 | 3-0 | 14-7 | 16-15 | 33-29 | 7.5 | 49.0 | 4 | 11.5 | 13.0 | 12.2 | 0.8 | W | W | O | 0 |
| Oct 15, 2011 | box | Saturday | 7 | 2011 | OHST | ILL | away | 3-0 | 0-0 | 7-0 | 7-7 | 17-7 | 3.5 | 45.0 | 10 | 13.5 | -21.0 | -3.8 | -17.2 | W | W | U | 0 |
| Oct 08, 2011 | box | Saturday | 6 | 2011 | OHST | NEB | away | 10-3 | 10-3 | 7-14 | 0-14 | 27-34 | 10.5 | 45.0 | -7 | 3.5 | 16.0 | 9.8 | 6.2 | L | W | O | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2011 | box | Saturday | 3 | 2011 | OHST | MIAF | away | 0-14 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-7 | 6-24 | 2.5 | 46.0 | -18 | -15.5 | -16.0 | -15.8 | -0.2 | L | L | U | 0 |
| Jan 01, 2010 | box | Friday | 18 | 2009 | OHST | ORE | neutral | 10-0 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 7-0 | 26-17 | 4.0 | 50.5 | 9 | 13.0 | -7.5 | 2.8 | -10.2 | W | W | U | 0 |
| Nov 07, 2009 | box | Saturday | 10 | 2009 | OHST | PNST | away | 7-0 | 3-7 | 7-0 | 7-0 | 24-7 | 5.0 | 39.5 | 17 | 22.0 | -8.5 | 6.8 | -15.2 | W | W | U | 0 |
| Sep 12, 2009 | box | Saturday | 2 | 2009 | OHST | USC | home | 7-7 | 3-3 | 5-0 | 0-8 | 15-18 | 6.5 | 45.5 | -3 | 3.5 | -12.5 | -4.5 | -8.0 | L | W | U | 0 |
| Jan 05, 2009 | box | Monday | 19 | 2008 | OHST | TEX | neutral | 3-0 | 3-3 | 0-14 | 15-7 | 21-24 | 8.5 | 52.0 | -3 | 5.5 | -7.0 | -0.8 | -6.2 | L | W | U | 0 |
btw here is urban's record as a dog
| D and ((season = 2001 and team = BOWL) or (season in [2002 , 2003] and team = UTAH) or (2003 < season < 2011 and team = FLA) or (season > 2011 and team = OHST)) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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i was guessing about 80% almost 85% better than i thought.. i will play them because of this, regardless of the 3rd string QB... I am still not sure what he will do but I think he will be better then most expect. The kid is a horse at 6-5 250 and can throw the ball a mile.. He has been out of high school so long i cant remember when he graduated. I think he spent 2 years at a military school or JC for maybe behavior and or grades. It's a step back from JTB but if they can some how control wisky run game and force them to throw the ball i like their chances a lot. I would keep it simple and pack the box with 8, man up on the receivers and force the QB to beat you.. I dont think he can from what i have seen.. i would keep it simple and i think they could be ok.. in additiong to jones they have 3 kids who played qb in high school last year playing this year in different positions so they may throw some other crap out there are far as gimmick plays.
here's the list. choose wisely...not much for over players
BET ON neutral team off b2b comfortable wins, including blowout 2 games ago, vs opponent off a shootout last game. 36-12 ATS, 22-10 BG (on ORE, on WAS)
OPPOSE small favs or dogs, neutral or away, badly outrushed in b2b games 15-29 ATS but 2-0 BG (oppose UCF)
UNDER non-conf game with at least one team at 9+ wins and at least one team went OVER last game. 44-88-2 o/u, 36-71-2 BG o/u (USU/UTEP under, COLST/UTAH under, BYU/MEM under, MARSH/NoILL under, NCST/UCF under, VT/CIN under, NEB/USC under, ASU/DUKE under) ... tightener, total 46.5-73.5 (all games qualify).... 32-77-2 o.u, 24-62-2 BG o/u
OPPOSE Notre Dame as a late season dog vs opponent off a win. 5-20 ATS, 2-10 BG (on LSU)
OVER december games where team covered b2b fav games. 33-19-1 o/u, 16-7 BG o/u (SDSU/NAVY over, CIN/VT over, TCU/MIS over)
UNDER december bowl game good rushing team vs good rush defense. 36-70-2 o/u (USU/UTEP under, COLST/UTAH under, WMICH/AFU under, BYU/MEM under, NCST/UCF under, ASU/DUKE under, NEB/USC under, UGA/LOU under)
UNDER bowl game where one team has at least 10% better WP %. 30-60 o/u (USU/UTEP under, COLST/UTAH under, RICE/FRES under, LT/ILL under, NCST/UCF under, VT/CIN under, TCU/MISS under, WISC/BARN under, MIZZ/MINN under, WAS/OKST under). best if opponent won final game of season.... 13-34 o/u (USU, COLST, LT, UCF, CIN, TCU, WAS games)
UNDER bowl game two good teams, high total (53-73.5), combined to avg over 62 ppg. 23-58-1 o/u (COSLT/UTAH under, BYU/MEM under, NoILL/MARSH under, NEB/USC under, DUKE/ASU under, UGA/LOU under, MIS/TCU nder, GT/MSU under, BST/ZONA under, MSU/BAY under, WIS/BARN under, KST/UCLA under, AKST/TOL under). best if DEC bowl game, 11-37 o/u
OPPOSE bowl favs with 14 days or more rest than opponent. 11-29 ATS (on NAVY)
UNDER any bowl game where both defenses allow 21-29.25 ppg. 20-41-2 o/u (ULL/NEV under, COLST/UTAH under, WMICH/AFU under, NEB/USC under, ATM/WVA under, BOISE/ZONA under, MISS/MINN under, IOWA/TENN under, KST/UCLA under). best if offenses combined to avg 61+ ppg, 8-28-1 o/u (NEV, UTAH, AFU, NEB, aTm, Zona, UCLA games fit)
OPPOSE & UNDER MAC bowl teams off a 6+ point loss to end the season. 1-12 ATS / 3-10 o/u (fits WKY and under, AFU and under, SoBama and under)
PLAY ON academies in bowl games vs opponent allowing 30 or less ppg. 23-8 ATS (on AFU, on NAVY)
OPPOSE 9+ win bowl teams off 3 straight wins and covers. 24-8 ATS (on NC State, on Marshall)
OPPOSE power-5 favs of 8+ in december bowl games. 32-11-2 (on Maryland)
OPPOSE Big 12 bowl teams (single digit dog or fav) vs opponent off a loss. 7-23 ATS (on aTm) ... subset, 1-7 vs SEC
PLAY ON big dog (7.5+) in december bowl games <.750 vs <.750 teams if opponent didn't cover final regular season game by more than a TD. 37-12-3 (on UTEP, on ND?). best if team covered their final reg season game, 22-5-1 ATS (neither fit though ND likely to be 7.5+ anyway)
BET ON neutral team off b2b comfortable wins, including blowout 2 games ago, vs opponent off a shootout last game. 36-12 ATS, 22-10 BG (on ORE, on WAS)
OPPOSE small favs or dogs, neutral or away, badly outrushed in b2b games 15-29 ATS but 2-0 BG (oppose UCF)
UNDER non-conf game with at least one team at 9+ wins and at least one team went OVER last game. 44-88-2 o/u, 36-71-2 BG o/u (USU/UTEP under, COLST/UTAH under, BYU/MEM under, MARSH/NoILL under, NCST/UCF under, VT/CIN under, NEB/USC under, ASU/DUKE under) ... tightener, total 46.5-73.5 (all games qualify).... 32-77-2 o.u, 24-62-2 BG o/u
OPPOSE Notre Dame as a late season dog vs opponent off a win. 5-20 ATS, 2-10 BG (on LSU)
OVER december games where team covered b2b fav games. 33-19-1 o/u, 16-7 BG o/u (SDSU/NAVY over, CIN/VT over, TCU/MIS over)
UNDER december bowl game good rushing team vs good rush defense. 36-70-2 o/u (USU/UTEP under, COLST/UTAH under, WMICH/AFU under, BYU/MEM under, NCST/UCF under, ASU/DUKE under, NEB/USC under, UGA/LOU under)
UNDER bowl game where one team has at least 10% better WP %. 30-60 o/u (USU/UTEP under, COLST/UTAH under, RICE/FRES under, LT/ILL under, NCST/UCF under, VT/CIN under, TCU/MISS under, WISC/BARN under, MIZZ/MINN under, WAS/OKST under). best if opponent won final game of season.... 13-34 o/u (USU, COLST, LT, UCF, CIN, TCU, WAS games)
UNDER bowl game two good teams, high total (53-73.5), combined to avg over 62 ppg. 23-58-1 o/u (COSLT/UTAH under, BYU/MEM under, NoILL/MARSH under, NEB/USC under, DUKE/ASU under, UGA/LOU under, MIS/TCU nder, GT/MSU under, BST/ZONA under, MSU/BAY under, WIS/BARN under, KST/UCLA under, AKST/TOL under). best if DEC bowl game, 11-37 o/u
OPPOSE bowl favs with 14 days or more rest than opponent. 11-29 ATS (on NAVY)
UNDER any bowl game where both defenses allow 21-29.25 ppg. 20-41-2 o/u (ULL/NEV under, COLST/UTAH under, WMICH/AFU under, NEB/USC under, ATM/WVA under, BOISE/ZONA under, MISS/MINN under, IOWA/TENN under, KST/UCLA under). best if offenses combined to avg 61+ ppg, 8-28-1 o/u (NEV, UTAH, AFU, NEB, aTm, Zona, UCLA games fit)
OPPOSE & UNDER MAC bowl teams off a 6+ point loss to end the season. 1-12 ATS / 3-10 o/u (fits WKY and under, AFU and under, SoBama and under)
PLAY ON academies in bowl games vs opponent allowing 30 or less ppg. 23-8 ATS (on AFU, on NAVY)
OPPOSE 9+ win bowl teams off 3 straight wins and covers. 24-8 ATS (on NC State, on Marshall)
OPPOSE power-5 favs of 8+ in december bowl games. 32-11-2 (on Maryland)
OPPOSE Big 12 bowl teams (single digit dog or fav) vs opponent off a loss. 7-23 ATS (on aTm) ... subset, 1-7 vs SEC
PLAY ON big dog (7.5+) in december bowl games <.750 vs <.750 teams if opponent didn't cover final regular season game by more than a TD. 37-12-3 (on UTEP, on ND?). best if team covered their final reg season game, 22-5-1 ATS (neither fit though ND likely to be 7.5+ anyway)
summarizing above:
UTEP 37-12
Air Force 12-1, 23-8
So Alabama 12-1
NC State 29-15
LSU 20-5
Navy 29-11, 23-8
W Kentucky 12-1
NC State 24-8
Marshall 24-8
Maryland 32-11
Texas A+M 23-7, 7-1
Oregon 36-12
Washington 36-12
Nevada under 41-20, 28-8
Utah St under 88-44, 70-36, 60-30, 34-13
Utah under 88-44, 70-36, 60-30, 58-23, 34-13, 41-20, 28-8
So Bama under 10-3
Air Force under 70-36, 10-3
Memphis under 88-44, 70-36, 58-23
Marshall under 88-44, 58-23
Fresno under 60-30
La Tech under 60-30, 34-13
Wisconsin under 60-30
UCF under 88-44, 70-36, 34-13
Nebraska under 88-44, 70-36, 58-23, 41-20, 28-8
aTm under 41-20, 28-8
W Kentucky under 10-3
Duke under 88-44, 70-36, 58-23
Georgia under 70-36, 58-23
Missouri under 60-30, 41-20
Washington under 60-30, 34-13
Ga Tech under 58-23
Boise St under 58-23, 41-20, 28-8
UCLA under 58-23, 41-20, 28-8
Toledo under 58-23
Navy over 33-19
UTEP 37-12
Air Force 12-1, 23-8
So Alabama 12-1
NC State 29-15
LSU 20-5
Navy 29-11, 23-8
W Kentucky 12-1
NC State 24-8
Marshall 24-8
Maryland 32-11
Texas A+M 23-7, 7-1
Oregon 36-12
Washington 36-12
Nevada under 41-20, 28-8
Utah St under 88-44, 70-36, 60-30, 34-13
Utah under 88-44, 70-36, 60-30, 58-23, 34-13, 41-20, 28-8
So Bama under 10-3
Air Force under 70-36, 10-3
Memphis under 88-44, 70-36, 58-23
Marshall under 88-44, 58-23
Fresno under 60-30
La Tech under 60-30, 34-13
Wisconsin under 60-30
UCF under 88-44, 70-36, 34-13
Nebraska under 88-44, 70-36, 58-23, 41-20, 28-8
aTm under 41-20, 28-8
W Kentucky under 10-3
Duke under 88-44, 70-36, 58-23
Georgia under 70-36, 58-23
Missouri under 60-30, 41-20
Washington under 60-30, 34-13
Ga Tech under 58-23
Boise St under 58-23, 41-20, 28-8
UCLA under 58-23, 41-20, 28-8
Toledo under 58-23
Navy over 33-19
