Sharp Bowl Plays for 2008-2009 (174-125-7 $6,561.43)

[VoiceofReason101]

Btd: 2-3 -1.195*

3* Ole Miss +7 -110: What I like: Value, Best D-Line Tech has faced all season, solid O-Line, underrated passing attack, and solid run game. My concerns: Tech's passing game.
1.5* Texas Tech -4.5 -101 (Matchbook)
0.1* Texas Tech -4.5 +101 (Matchbook)
2* Georgia Tech -2.5 -110: What I like: Value, better coach, more efficient offense and defense. Concerns: TO's and health
.7* LSU +3.5 +103 (Matchbook)
2* Oregon +3.5 -110: Why I like it: Chip's rushing attack vs Pokes vulnerable front 7. Concerns: Defense
.7* Pokes -3 +100 (Matchbook)
1.5* Ball State -2.5 -110 (Bookmaker): Why I like it: Better QB and Defense Why I don't: Tulsa's offense
.8* Tulsa +2.5 -101 (downgraded)
1* Iowa -3 -110 (Bookmaker): Why I like it: Better defense and running game Why I don't: Steve Spurrier
1* BC -3 -110 (BM): Why I like it: Coaching, rush defense, and Vandy's offense Why I don't: BC QB play
1* Nebraska +3 -110 (Betonline) Why I like it: Ganz vs Clemson's secondary. Nebraska's offensive line vs Clemson's O-Line Why I don't like: Davis/Spiller and Clemson's underrated rush defense
.3* Clemson -3 +105 (Bodog)
1* GA -6 -110 (Bookmaker): Why I like it: Better coach, QB, and wideouts. Why I don't: GA Defense
.3* Michigan State +7.5 -101 (Matchbook)
.5* UNC -1 +104 (Matchbook): Why I like it: location, solid run defense, coaching, and healthy Yates Why I don't: Pat White and UNC's lack of a great running game..
.5* LA Tech ML +100 (Bookmaker)
.25* Nevada -1.5 -110 (WSEX)
.15* Nevada -1 -110 (Bookmaker)
.5* Penn State +10.5 -110 (Bookmaker) Why I like it: Value, balanced offense to expose USC slightly overrated defense, and solid enough D Why I don't: location and USC D
.15* USC -9 -101 (Matchbook)
.05* USC -9 +105 (Matchbook)
.5* Oregon State -3 -105 (Greek): Why I like it: Moveau or Canfield over Stull, coaching, and rested front 4. Why I don't: Shady, Shady, Shady
.5* Oregon State -3 +102 (Matchbook)
.65* Pitt +3 -115 (downgraded)
.25* Miami +7.5 +104 (Matchbook)
.30* CAL -8 -108 (Matchbook)
.10* Miami +8 +104 (Matchbook)
.25* FSU -4.5 -110 (Greek): Why I like it: talent, speed, better skill players, and solid rush defense Why I don't: Its FSU
.10* Wisconsin +5.5 -104 (Matchbook)
.10* Wisconsin +6 -105 (5 Dimes)
.10* Oklahoma +3 +112 (Matchbook)

 

[AlwaysKeen]

keep truckin' my good friend...

 

[VoiceofReason101]

.5* UNC -1 +104 (Matchbook)
.25* FSU -4.5 -110 (Greek): Why I like it: talent, speed, better skill players, and solid rush defense Why I don't: Its FSU
.10* Wisconsin +5.5 -104 (Matchbook)
.10* Wisconsin +6 -105 (5 Dimes)
.25* Miami +7.5 +104 (Matchbook)
.10* Miami +8 +104 (Matchbook)
.30* CAL -8 -108 (Matchbook)
.05* CAL -8 -108 (Matchbook)



As you can see I have .5* ($100) on the Heels today, Small play/middle shot with FSU, and I canceled out my UM play. Quick reasons why it was canceled: Jacory Harris is not 100%, suspensions, travel, focus, and Patrick Nix.

In the words of the immortal Porky Pig "thats all folks"

 

[VoiceofReason101]

keep truckin' my good friend...

Called you last night to inform you that I'm about 80% certain that Jacory Harris is ailing more than hes letting on. If Harris can't stretch/expose Cal's secondary this game can get ugly. Hope he plays well as I want more reason to have Marve transfer.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

8 man on the box. WVU knows they can't stop the run.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Pat White has been a pleasure to watch. Seems like a great kid and has been simply electric on the field since day 1.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

.5* UNC -1 +104 (Matchbook)
.25* FSU -4.5 -110 (Greek): Why I like it: talent, speed, better skill players, and solid rush defense Why I don't: Its FSU
.10* Wisconsin +5.5 -104 (Matchbook)
.10* Wisconsin +6 -105 (5 Dimes)
.05* Wisconsin +7 -105 (BetJam)
.25* Miami +7.5 +104 (Matchbook)
.10* Miami +8 +104 (Matchbook)
.30* CAL -8 -108 (Matchbook)
.05* CAL -8 -108 (Matchbook)


Might play the under in the Miami/CAL game. I'll decide 15 minutes before game time.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Come on heels don't let yet another bad line cost me. Missed on TCU PK by 2 minutes and now this. I'm one that prides himself in getting good lines so these really hurt.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Sick

 

[VoiceofReason101]

2-4 -1.695


Bottom line I got bad lines with TCU and UNC. That's a 4* swing. Would be up a good amount....oh well hope some of you were able to cash.

 

[Boxslayer]

2-4 -1.695


Bottom line I got bad lines with TCU and UNC. That's a 4* swing. Would be up a good amount....oh well hope some of you were able to cash.

Bad lines but both were sick games. UNC had the ball up 6 with 5 mins left and doing whatever they want on the ground and on WVU's 30 yard line to punch it away for good and they cough it up with their most reliable back. You were on the right side, bud.

It's been a TIGHT bowl season. You'll get it back.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Rare total

proceed with caution:


.25* UM/CAL U 26.5 -110 (Bookmaker)

.50* 2nd half under if it loses

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Bad lines but both were sick games. UNC had the ball up 6 with 5 mins left and doing whatever they want on the ground and on WVU's 30 yard line to punch it away for good and they cough it up with their most reliable back. You were on the right side, bud.

It's been a TIGHT bowl season. You'll get it back.

I can give you about 6 legit reasons why they did not cover Box but really there is no point. What I pride myself in is getting good lines and I simply did not grab TCU PK quick enough and was a tad too early in grabbing this line. Thats the bottom line and its just how the cookie crumbles sometimes my friend. I see you also had some rough luck with your under.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

proceed with caution:


.25* UM/CAL U 26.5 -110 (Bookmaker)

.50* 2nd half under if it loses

Adding:

.10* UM/CAL U 51 -110

 

[AlwaysKeen]

keep truckin' my friend...thanks for the talk tonight...

 

[VoiceofReason101]

feel like throwing up:

bad line with TCU and UNC

bought back FSU and UM

Navy loses on a late long TD run and miss my middle in the process

Its official I have gas

 

[VoiceofReason101]

keep truckin' my friend...thanks for the talk tonight...

just go with your instincts my friend

 

[VoiceofReason101]

.5* ($100) LA Tech ML +100 (Bookmaker)
$77 to win $100.10 N.ILL ML +130 (Bookmaker)


LA Tech wins equals +$23
N.ILL wins equals +.10 cents


Why? This was preplanned as I foresaw sharp money coming in late on LaTech

 

[dave11486]

Smart move taking No Ill to get that profit.

I thought you were going to roll with LT.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Smart move taking No Ill to get that profit.

I thought you were going to roll with LT.

Coin flip game IMHO Dave. Both teams pose strong line play and decent offenses. Yes this is a De Facto home game and they have a strong run offense but N. ILL is somewhat underrated on Offense and have plenty of muscle on defense. Everything I've been reading is that this team will be really motivated for this one.

Hope you did well for yourself today my friend