Orangebowl: yo quiero taco bell? dude I speak OK spanish but I have no idea de que tu hablas?
Pags: thanks you little stinker you
Willye: $1250 to be exact same for the NFL. Everybody talks about how disciplined I am but trust me guys I took some major chances this season. Just do the math. I'm just very confident doing what I do
P.S. My mom made 15k a year and I never met my dad. Making enough money to see my mom stop working was my #1 goal. As of October of last year this goal was attained.
I'm going to tease this game tonight guys. Check my NFL thread in a bit.
3* Ole Miss +7 -110: What I like: Value, Best D-Line Tech has faced all season, solid O-Line, underrated passing attack, and solid run game. My concerns: Tech's passing game.
2* Arizona -3 -110: What I like: AZ has the superior pass defense with comparable passing offenses and better stable of RB's. My concerns: BYU crowd and weather.
2* Georgia Tech -2.5 -110: What I like: Value, better coach, more efficient offense and defense. Concerns: TO's and health
2* Oregon +3.5 -110: Why I like it: Chip's rushing attack vs Pokes vulnerable front 7. Concerns: Defense
1.5* TCU -1.5 -110 (Greek): Why I like it: Slight advantages on Offense, defense, and coaching. Why I don't: Boise has a slightly better pass D and motivation.
1.5* Ball State -2.5 -110 (Bookmaker): Why I like it: Better QB and Defense Why I don't: Tulsa's offense
1* Navy +3.5 -110 (Bookmaker): Why I like it: beat them without Dobbs Why I don't: WF has the better D.
1* GA -6 -110 (Bookmaker): Why I like it: Better coach, QB, and wideouts. Why I don't: GA Defense
1* Iowa -3 -110 (Bookmaker): Why I like it: Better defense and running game Why I don't: Steve Spurrier
1* BC -3 (BM): Why I like it: Coaching, rush defense, and Vandy's offense Why I don't: BC QB play
1* Nebraska +3 -110 (Betonline) (Greek has it at -115) Why I like it: Ganz vs Clemson's secondary. Nebraska's offensive line vs Clemson's O-Line Why I don't like: Davis/Spiller and Clemson's underrated rush defense
.5* Oregon State -3 -105 (Greek): Why I like it: Moveau or Canfield over Stull, coaching, and rested front 4. Why I don't: Shady, Shady, Shady
.5* Oregon State -3 +102 (Matchbook)
.5* Penn State +10.5 -110 (Bookmaker) Why I like it: Value, balanced offense to expose USC slightly overrated defense, and solid enough D Why I don't: location and USC D
.5* UNC -1 +104 (Matchbook): Why I like it: location, solid run defense, coaching, and healthy Yates Why I don't: Pat White and UNC's lack of a great running game.
.25* FSU -4.5 -110 (Greek): Why I like it: talent, speed, better skill players, and solid rush defense Why I don't: Its FSU
.25* Hawaii -1.5 -110 (Greek): Why I like it: Its ND Why I don't: Its Hawaii
VOR...You can learn a lot from Pags and the way he does things. He's been at this for a long time and he's got his system down pat.. And I learn more and more myself every year from trial and error. Pags plays on average about 7 games a week. And this is what I'm going to go back to next year. Back in the years 2004-2006 I played a limited amount of games each week on here, and I was very successful in those years. I also didn't play the Big 12 exclusively back then. And this next season I'm planning on going back and using my old methods of capping in looking for the best 5 to 7 games each week from around the country that have the strongest angles. So I'll have a very limited amount of plays in the Big 12. I was playing more games from this conference than I should have this season. I tried making plays that really weren't there to give me an advantage. And that's is not how you get ahead in this game. Anyway, I think I still have your number around here, and I'll be giving you a call before the start of next season. And I'm sure we both will have plenty to say to each other on the Miami-OU game coming up in the second week. Good luck next season.This is from page 2 (my initial card)
After a few weeks to digest it all one thing is for certain I should have not doubted myself. Even though the bowl games were a different animal I should have stuck to my guns. I spent countless hours handicapping college football this past season and my confidence was sky high since October. I can only attribute this to A)inexperience B)refusing to give back what I've won.
Was I scared? NO simply not greedy enough I think.
Just so you know I simply like writing out my thoughts when mistakes are made in order not to repeat them. Pags made a great point to me about 4 weeks ago. He asked "Would you say that buying back has worked more times than not?" I said yes and it was clearly a lie in order to justify my action. As you can see I would have been up during bowl season. Adding plays late, buying back, and attempting middles cost me profit.
I think besides making a note to self this can serve some of you. I'm pretty certain many sports gamblers are prone to buying back for different reasons. I tell you now books like it when we do.
GL see you later this year. Might be back in Mid July to break down each conference weekly.