Sharp Bowl Plays for 2008-2009 (174-125-7 $6,561.43)

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It should be a close game, but there is a lot of value in taking a No Ill team that has been poor ATS late in the season. They were scoreless in there last game, but their defense has shown enough life to make me prefer the MAC team.
 
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BTD: 4-4 -1.244

All juice has been accounted for. Apparent to me and should be to you all that I'm hitting on a high rate of my initial plays. Even plays like Navy and TCU should have won. My conservative approach as stated before is by design. Treating this bowl season as a learning experience.


Note: Marve will transfer
 
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Dooley's boys will use this win as a spring board into next season...


thank you for turning me to La Tech. As you well know I did not see them play all year so I took the safe route with tonight's wager. I'm $23 richer so whenever you decide in heading down to Miami I'll do you one better.
 

I can handicap circles around your ass!!
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BTD: 4-4 -1.244

All juice has been accounted for. Apparent to me and should be to you all that I'm hitting on a high rate of my initial plays. Even plays like Navy and TCU should have won. My conservative approach as stated before is by design. Treating this bowl season as a learning experience.


Note: Marve will transfer

No offense, but Navy should not have won. Sure, they built a nice early lead, but they were pushed around in the 2nd half, and it was blatantly obvious that Wake was the better team. You are correct that TCU should have won.
 
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It should be a close game, but there is a lot of value in taking a No Ill team that has been poor ATS late in the season. They were scoreless in there last game, but their defense has shown enough life to make me prefer the MAC team.


INT dropped, bad officiating, and some poor execution cost them. Really liked the under but having played one before yesterday I really couldn't get myself to play another one last night.

Lean Rutgers and Over.

Extra small lean on NW
 
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No offense, but Navy should not have won. Sure, they built a nice early lead, but they were pushed around in the 2nd half, and it was blatantly obvious that Wake was the better team. You are correct that TCU should have won.


so sorry meant to say cover +3.5. your quite right they got dominated in the 2nd half. IMHO had Dobbs played as I hoped they would have won
 

I can handicap circles around your ass!!
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INT dropped, bad officiating, and some poor execution cost them. Really liked the under but having played one before yesterday I really couldn't get myself to play another one last night.

Lean Rutgers and Over.

Extra small lean on NW

NC State is the trendy underdog. Most of the times those go up in flames. What most people don't realize is that NC State was statistically the worst defense in the ACC this year. Rutgers should light 'em up.
 

I can handicap circles around your ass!!
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so sorry meant to say cover +3.5. your quite right they got dominated in the 2nd half. IMHO had Dobbs played as I anticipated they would have won

Yeah, if you had +3.5, then you were unlucky. Garbage TD at the end. Most people probably did not have that line though.
 
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N.C. State vs Rutgers game should be at 8pm est and not the other way around. Much more appealing game IMHO
 
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Yeah, if you had +3.5, then you were unlucky. Garbage TD at the end. Most people probably did not have that line though.


Yeah the lines which I'm most proud of like that of Navy +3.5 and Ole Miss +7 for example may not come to play but getting TCU -1.5 when only 2 minutes before it was TCU PK at bookmaker cost me $330. I tried to get my 2* plays in first and left the 1* and 1.5* plays for minutes after. Can't win them all
 
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Btd: 4-4 -1.244

3* Ole Miss +7 -110: What I like: Value, Best D-Line Tech has faced all season, solid O-Line, underrated passing attack, and solid run game. My concerns: Tech's passing game.
1.5* Texas Tech -4.5 -101 (Matchbook)
0.1* Texas Tech -4.5 +101 (Matchbook)
2* Georgia Tech -2.5 -110: What I like: Value, better coach, more efficient offense and defense. Concerns: TO's and health
.7* LSU +3.5 +103 (Matchbook)
2* Oregon +3.5 -110: Why I like it: Chip's rushing attack vs Pokes vulnerable front 7. Concerns: Defense
.7* Pokes -3 +100 (Matchbook)
1.5* Ball State -2.5 -110 (Bookmaker): Why I like it: Better QB and Defense Why I don't: Tulsa's offense
.8* Tulsa +2.5 -101 (downgraded)
1* Iowa -3 -110 (Bookmaker): Why I like it: Better defense and running game Why I don't: Steve Spurrier
1* BC -3 -110 (BM): Why I like it: Coaching, rush defense, and Vandy's offense Why I don't: BC QB play and De facto home game
1* Nebraska +3 -110 (Betonline) Why I like it: Ganz vs Clemson's secondary. Nebraska's offensive line vs Clemson's O-Line Why I don't like: Davis/Spiller and Clemson's underrated rush defense
.3* Clemson -3 +105 (Bodog)
1* GA -6 -110 (Bookmaker): Why I like it: Better coach, QB, and wideouts. Why I don't: GA Defense
.3* Michigan State +7.5 -101 (Matchbook)
.25* Nevada -1.5 -110 (WSEX)
.15* Nevada -1 -110 (Bookmaker)
.5* Penn State +10.5 -110 (Bookmaker) Why I like it: Value, balanced offense to expose USC slightly overrated defense, and solid enough D Why I don't: location and USC D
.15* USC -9 -101 (Matchbook)
.05* USC -9 +105 (Matchbook)
.5* Oregon State -3 -105 (Greek): Why I like it: Moveau or Canfield over Stull, coaching, and rested front 4. Why I don't: Shady, Shady, Shady
.5* Oregon State -3 +102 (Matchbook)
.65* Pitt +3 -115 (downgraded)
.10* Oklahoma +3 +112 (Matchbook)

 
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December 30th Card


2* Oregon +3.5 -110: Why I like it: Chip's rushing attack vs Pokes vulnerable front 7. Concerns: Defense
.7* Pokes +3 +100 (downgraded)
.25* Nevada -1.5 -110 (WSEX)
.15* Nevada -1 -110 (Bookmaker)
.15* Nevada -2 -105 (Legendz)
.25* Nevada PK -123 1st half (5 dimes) (.50* 2nd half if it loses)
.10* Rice -1 -115 1st half (5 dimes) (.20* 2nd half if it loses)





:drink:
 

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If Nevada wins first half and game I am going to unload on the Ducks. Bellotti's last game as a head coach. Maybe?

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<TABLE id=topTools cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD>Oregon names Kelly as Bellotti's eventual successor</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><!--startclickprintexclude--><TABLE height=25 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=datestamp>Updated<SCRIPT type=text/javascript>document.write(niceDate('12/2/2008 8:19 PM'));</SCRIPT> 12/2/2008 8:19 PM | Comments 7 | Recommend 3 </TD><TD align=right><!-- EdSysObj ID="SSI-B" FRAGMENTID="13417811" rberthol -->E-mail | Save | Print |<SCRIPT type=text/javascript><!--var tempshowReprintSSI = "";if(window.showReprintSSI){tempshowReprintSSI = showReprintSSI;} if ((navigator.os.indexOf("Mac")==1) && (navigator.type==2)) { // macIE if((document.forms.hiddenValForm.hiddenMacPrintValue.value == "0") || (document.forms.hiddenValForm.hiddenMacPrintValue.value=="2")) { if(document.forms.hiddenValForm.hiddenMacPrintValue.value == "2"){ document.forms.hiddenValForm.hiddenMacPrintValue.value = "0"; } else{ document.forms.hiddenValForm.hiddenMacPrintValue.value = "1"; } if(tempshowReprintSSI == 'showReprintSSI'){ writeReprintLink(); } writeSubscribeToLink(); } else { document.forms.hiddenValForm.hiddenMacPrintValue.value = "2"; } } else {// non macIE - write top and bottom if(tempshowReprintSSI == 'showReprintSSI'){ writeReprintLink(); } writeSubscribeToLink(); } function writeReprintLink(){ document.write('Reprints & Permissions | '); } function writeSubscribeToLink(){ var url = document.location.toString(); var urlArray = url.split("/") var nurl = ""; for (i = 3; i < urlArray.length - 1; i++) { if(i<urlArray.length-2){ nurl += urlArray + "|"; } else { nurl += urlArray; } } document.write(' '); }//--> </SCRIPT> <!-- /EdSysObj --> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><!--endclickprintexclude-->


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<SCRIPT src="http://d.yimg.com/ds/badge.js" ____yb="1"></SCRIPT><!--endclickprintexclude--><!-- /EdSysObj -->EUGENE, Ore. (AP) — Oregon picked offensive coordinator Chip Kelly to be head coach Mike Bellotti's eventual successor, though school officials did not say when that will happen.
Bellotti will become the school's athletic director when he steps down. He said Tuesday he will coach the Ducks in their bowl game and continue to recruit.
Asked if he would step down after this season, Bellotti told reporters during a conference call he didn't think so.
"It could be a year, it could be more," he said. "I don't know."

Bellotti is 115-55 in 14 seasons at Oregon and has taken the Ducks to 12 bowl games. The Ducks are 9-3 this season. He is currently the longest tenured coach in the Pacific-10 Conference.
Kelly becomes the latest coach-in-waiting, a trend in major college football these days. Texas recently announced defensive coordinator Will Muschamp will eventually replace Mack Brown. Florida State, Kentucky and Purdue have all made similar moves in the last two seasons.
FIND MORE STORIES IN: Oregon | Kentucky | New Hampshire | Syracuse | Purdue | Ducks | Mack Brown | University of Oregon | Pacific-10 Conference | Mike Bellotti | Will Muschamp | McArthur Court | Pat Kilkenny | Chip Kelly
The "succession plan" released by the university come amid reports that Kelly was to be interviewed by Syracuse for its head coaching position.
"I will not speak to any other schools. I'm a Duck," he said.
Kelly has been offensive coordinator at Oregon the past two seasons, running a spread-option offense. The Ducks are ranked fourth in the nation in rushing, averaging 277.8 yards a game, and are eighth in total offense with 467.2 yards a game.
Before Oregon, Kelly was offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach at New Hampshire for eight seasons.
Bellotti would replace Pat Kilkenny as AD, who took over in February 2007 and said at the time he planned to serve in that position for two years.
A prominent booster, Kilkenny has spearhead plans to build a new basketball arena that would replace venerable McArthur Court.
"Pat has accomplished an extraordinary amount in the time he has been at the University of Oregon," university President Dave Frohnmayer said. "My goal is to establish a plan for an orderly transition so when he leaves, the athletics department will be able to continue to thrive."
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