NCAAF Systems

[TyBounce]

I agree. Must be a tout or bookie. Trying to get his picks everywhere he can.

I could see it being a tout wannabe , but why would you think its a bookie ?

 

[GoSooners]

RT..Do you still have that home dog after an outright dog win thread from a few years ago? If I remember right in my advanced age of decomposition they covered at somewhere over a 60% clip.I've probably got it bookmarked somewhere on my computer. But WV fits the bill this week. I'm not sure if anybody else does.

 

[rolltide]

RT..Do you still have that home dog after an outright dog win thread from a few years ago? If I remember right in my advanced age of decomposition they covered at somewhere over a 60% clip.I've probably got it bookmarked somewhere on my computer. But WV fits the bill this week. I'm not sure if anybody else does.

great in WAC (now defunct) and CUSA ... so just down to CUSA now. 26-9 ATS last 10 years and 2-0 this year (UTSA over Zona, UTEP over TTech) nothing this week... HD and pW and conference=USA and season>2004 is the query

only one i have for B12 home dogs doesn't fit OU/WVU conference = B12 and HD and o:WP <= 65 and p:W and date > 20001001

 

[rolltide]

TXAM is 1-22-1 ATS (-11.67 ppg) since Nov 27, 1998 on the road after a win as a home favorite
SU: 6-18-0 (-12.79, 25.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 1-22-1 (-11.67, 4.3%) avg line: 1.1 +6: 12-11-1 (52.2%) -6: 1-23-0 (4.2%) +10: 14-10-0 (58.3%) -10: 1-23-0 (4.2%) O/U: 5-4-0 (-2.06, 55.6%) avg total: 62.9 +6: 4-5-0 (44.4%) -6: 5-4-0 (55.6%) +10: 3-6-0 (33.3%) -10: 6-3-0 (66.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.4 183.0 37.0 21.4 231.4 2.8 6.9 7.2 3.4 9.0 20.2 Opp 38.3 166.0 31.3 19.3 266.8 1.6 6.6 10.7 9.9 7.2 33.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 20, 2014 Saturday 4 2014 TXAM SMU away -33.5 59.0

 

[rolltide]

huge week 4 unbeaten fav against opponent off SUATS loss (vs aTm)

F and wins = 3 and losses = 0 and opL and op:ats margin < 0 and -37 <= line <= -14
SU: 16-3-0 (8.68, 84.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 2-17-0 (-12.95, 10.5%) avg line: -21.6 +6: 3-16-0 (15.8%) -6: 2-17-0 (10.5%) +10: 6-13-0 (31.6%) -10: 2-17-0 (10.5%) O/U: 7-12-0 (-0.13, 36.8%) avg total: 53.9 +6: 5-13-1 (27.8%) -6: 11-8-0 (57.9%) +10: 5-14-0 (26.3%) -10: 15-4-0 (78.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.6 164.4 33.8 21.1 252.1 1.8 7.4 9.6 6.5 7.6 31.2 Opp 35.2 121.7 31.5 17.4 206.6 1.8 2.7 7.8 4.4 7.6 22.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 20, 2014 Saturday 4 2014 TXAM SMU away -33.5 59.0

current lines:
Kansas St won
Michigan -3.5
Arizona -7.5
So Miss -1
Troy +41.5
Wisconsin -27 (but lined moved from 21.5 when posted. wow)
Arkansas -13.5
Missouri -12.5
Texas St +13.5
VAN +21.5
aTm/SMU cancels
ORE/WAZZOU cancels

 

[sunshine11]

Good information! Thnx. RT

 

[rolltide]

Kansas St won
Michigan lost
Arizona lost
So Miss pushed
Troy lost
Wisconsin won
Arkansas won
Missouri lost
Texas St won
VAN won
aTm/SMU cancels
ORE/WAZZOU cancels

so 5-4-1 last week, 26-18-2 YTD

a lot of windshield time on wed and thu so will run first part of systems now and will update likely fri or sat or might have an hour on wed afternoon

 

[rolltide]

play ON home dog avenging fairly narrow home loss (on MIN, on NW - must stay underdog....big 10 teams are 9-1 ATS in this system)

HD and game number >= 3 and line < 14 and P:HL and P:game number >= 3 and P:season = season -1 and -4 >= P:margin >= -16 and WP > 0
SU: 18-33-1 (-2.10, 35.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 38-14-0 (4.07, 73.1%) avg line: 6.2 +6: 42-7-3 (85.7%) -6: 22-30-0 (42.3%) +10: 46-4-2 (92.0%) -10: 14-37-1 (27.5%) O/U: 4-4-0 (7.44, 50.0%) avg total: 50.9 +6: 4-4-0 (50.0%) -6: 6-2-0 (75.0%) +10: 4-4-0 (50.0%) -10: 7-0-1 (100.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.4 178.5 28.9 18.0 184.9 1.1 3.9 7.0 8.4 7.9 23.0 Opp 32.6 111.9 36.5 23.8 308.4 1.9 5.9 8.9 7.2 5.4 25.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 MIN IOWA home 1.0 Nov 08, 2014 Saturday 11 2014 NORW MICH home 2.5

OPPOSE home fav after close home dog loss (on UTEP)

HF and p:HDL and -10 <= p:margin <= -5 and 23 >= pooints >= 14
SU: 24-15-0 (2.97, 61.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 6-32-1 (-8.88, 15.8%) avg line: -11.9 +6: 17-22-0 (43.6%) -6: 4-35-0 (10.3%) +10: 21-18-0 (53.8%) -10: 2-36-1 (5.3%) O/U: 2-7-0 (-2.61, 22.2%) avg total: 48.7 +6: 1-8-0 (11.1%) -6: 4-5-0 (44.4%) +10: 1-8-0 (11.1%) -10: 8-1-0 (88.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.2 176.8 31.7 18.9 208.1 3.1 3.1 10.0 6.0 5.6 22.8 Opp 36.4 152.8 30.1 16.0 189.7 1.7 3.1 4.9 5.3 5.4 19.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 KAST UTEP home -30.0

OPPOSE big home conference dogs after a blowout win (on FSU, on IOWA)

HCD and p:margin > 20 and date >...
SU: 1-19-0 (-19.80, 5.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 2-18-0 (-13.45, 10.0%) avg line: 6.3 +6: 5-15-0 (25.0%) -6: 2-18-0 (10.0%) +10: 7-13-0 (35.0%) -10: 1-18-1 (5.3%) O/U: 10-10-0 (-2.33, 50.0%) avg total: 61.5 +6: 7-13-0 (35.0%) -6: 12-8-0 (60.0%) +10: 6-14-0 (30.0%) -10: 13-7-0 (65.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.8 142.1 35.4 20.6 224.2 2.1 4.3 5.5 5.5 4.3 19.7 Opp 42.3 219.3 29.8 20.3 261.9 1.2 9.3 11.8 9.2 9.2 39.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 NCST FLST home 23.0 Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 PUR IOWA home 13.5

OPPOSE big dogs that were just big favs (on BARN, on FSU)

p:line <= -20 and line > 19 and p:margin > -4 and division = 1A and o:division = 1A ...
SU: 0-38-0 (-29.63, 0.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 10-26-2 (-5.41, 27.8%) avg line: 24.2 +6: 21-17-0 (55.3%) -6: 9-29-0 (23.7%) +10: 25-12-1 (67.6%) -10: 8-29-1 (21.6%) O/U: 12-16-2 (-1.55, 42.9%) avg total: 59.0 +6: 8-22-0 (26.7%) -6: 17-13-0 (56.7%) +10: 5-25-0 (16.7%) -10: 23-7-0 (76.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.2 116.0 34.9 19.5 200.2 2.0 3.8 3.6 3.2 5.1 13.5 Opp 41.7 213.5 30.0 20.4 262.3 1.4 9.6 13.6 8.7 10.0 43.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 LTCH AUB away 33.0 Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 NCST FLST home 23.0

play ON team off b2b blowouts vs team that allows a lot of points (on BOISE ST)

p:margin >= 17 and pp:margin >= 17 and opoints + opooints >= 80 ...
SU: 117-44-0 (12.68, 72.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 106-52-3 (4.23, 67.1%) avg line: -8.5 +6: 118-39-4 (75.2%) -6: 76-82-3 (48.1%) +10: 126-35-0 (78.3%) -10: 60-98-3 (38.0%) O/U: 36-32-2 (1.44, 52.9%) avg total: 62.9 +6: 27-43-0 (38.6%) -6: 42-28-0 (60.0%) +10: 22-48-0 (31.4%) -10: 48-22-0 (68.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.8 188.6 32.9 21.2 280.8 1.4 10.0 10.4 8.5 9.0 36.2 Opp 37.7 153.9 35.6 21.6 250.2 2.1 5.8 6.6 6.7 6.6 23.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 BOIS AIR away -13.5

play ON home fav after home fav win scoring 52+ vs opponent beaten by 15+ (on UGA)

points >= 52 and HF and p:HF and line >= -35 and p:margin > 27 and op:margin < -14
SU: 65-2-0 (26.18, 97.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 51-16-0 (7.29, 76.1%) avg line: -18.9 +6: 57-10-0 (85.1%) -6: 31-32-4 (49.2%) +10: 62-5-0 (92.5%) -10: 25-40-2 (38.5%) O/U: 16-12-0 (3.59, 57.1%) avg total: 61.0 +6: 10-18-0 (35.7%) -6: 20-7-1 (74.1%) +10: 8-18-2 (30.8%) -10: 24-3-1 (88.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.6 188.4 32.1 22.2 320.4 1.8 11.7 14.2 11.6 8.6 43.1 Opp 36.8 132.1 33.6 18.0 200.1 1.6 4.1 5.1 4.5 4.9 16.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 GEO TEN home -17.5

oppose teams that just allowed 37+ vs team off b2b 4 TD blowout wins (on DUKE)

pooints > 36 and op:margin > 27 and opp:margin > 27 and line <= 35
SU: 21-140-0 (-21.45, 13.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 48-112-1 (-4.50, 30.0%) avg line: 16.9 +6: 81-76-4 (51.6%) -6: 41-119-1 (25.6%) +10: 99-60-2 (62.3%) -10: 31-129-1 (19.4%) O/U: 37-32-3 (3.74, 53.6%) avg total: 60.1 +6: 28-44-0 (38.9%) -6: 49-23-0 (68.1%) +10: 24-48-0 (33.3%) -10: 57-15-0 (79.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.7 121.7 35.5 20.2 226.6 1.9 3.9 6.0 5.0 6.1 19.0 Opp 39.0 206.7 33.5 21.3 284.9 1.4 10.8 12.7 10.1 8.7 40.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 MIAF DUKE home -4.5

last 4+ years OPPOSE big 10 teams playing away after away win (on INDY, on PURDUE) - away dogs are 1-11 SU

conference = B10 and A and p:AW and (C or p:C) and season >= 2010
SU: 7-14-0 (-6.95, 33.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 4-17-0 (-6.93, 19.0%) avg line: 0.0 +6: 9-12-0 (42.9%) -6: 3-18-0 (14.3%) +10: 13-8-0 (61.9%) -10: 2-18-1 (10.0%) O/U: 7-14-0 (-3.33, 33.3%) avg total: 51.6 +6: 4-17-0 (19.0%) -6: 11-10-0 (52.4%) +10: 2-19-0 (9.5%) -10: 15-6-0 (71.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.4 163.3 27.0 14.3 167.3 1.7 4.3 5.9 5.3 5.6 20.7 Opp 42.1 172.5 30.2 18.7 214.9 1.8 5.3 7.5 8.3 6.5 27.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 MARY IND away 3.0 Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 IOWA PUR away -13.5

play ON big 12 home dogs off win vs mediocre opponent (on KANSAS)

conference = B12 and HD and o:WP <= 65 and p:W and date > 20001001
SU: 18-5-0 (3.04, 78.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 20-3-0 (8.20, 87.0%) avg line: 5.2 +6: 21-2-0 (91.3%) -6: 18-4-1 (81.8%) +10: 21-2-0 (91.3%) -10: 8-13-2 (38.1%) O/U: 6-6-0 (-3.33, 50.0%) avg total: 57.5 +6: 5-7-0 (41.7%) -6: 6-6-0 (50.0%) +10: 3-8-1 (27.3%) -10: 6-6-0 (50.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 43.4 182.8 31.2 18.3 215.1 1.2 7.0 6.8 7.8 5.8 26.4 Opp 36.6 174.7 35.2 20.8 228.2 1.4 5.3 8.9 5.2 7.0 23.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 KAN TEX home 14.5

play against big favs off an OT big fav win (against FSU)

pvertime > 0 and p:FW and -27 <= p:line <= -9 and F and line <= -5.5
SU: 43-16-0 (10.25, 72.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 15-43-1 (-4.67, 25.9%) avg line: -14.9 +6: 32-26-1 (55.2%) -6: 11-48-0 (18.6%) +10: 43-16-0 (72.9%) -10: 4-54-1 (6.9%) O/U: 11-12-1 (-2.85, 47.8%) avg total: 54.5 +6: 7-17-0 (29.2%) -6: 15-9-0 (62.5%) +10: 6-18-0 (25.0%) -10: 16-8-0 (66.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.6 193.3 30.3 19.7 230.9 1.6 7.0 9.7 8.7 7.3 32.1 Opp 31.6 103.6 34.0 20.1 217.6 1.7 4.2 6.3 3.8 4.6 21.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 FLST NCST away -23.0

play ON away team that runs the hell out of the ball vs a home team that can't run (on RICE)

A and op:rushing yards <= 100 and opp:rushing yards <= 100 and...
SU: 36-10-0 (11.33, 78.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 31-14-1 (5.51, 68.9%) avg line: -5.8 +6: 40-6-0 (87.0%) -6: 21-24-1 (46.7%) +10: 44-2-0 (95.7%) -10: 14-32-0 (30.4%) O/U: 21-24-1 (1.03, 46.7%) avg total: 56.8 +6: 14-32-0 (30.4%) -6: 26-20-0 (56.5%) +10: 13-33-0 (28.3%) -10: 28-17-1 (62.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 46.5 242.7 22.7 14.1 179.5 1.2 7.9 10.8 8.0 7.0 34.6 Opp 31.0 121.8 36.7 22.1 253.7 1.8 4.4 6.5 5.3 6.4 23.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 RICE SMIS away -10.0

OPPOSE away team off win scoring 30+ and previous loss scoring 30+ vs team off win (on NEB)

pooints >= 30 and ppooints >= 30 and p:W and pp:L and A and op:W and o:rest > 5 and (opoints < 20 or opoints > 27)
SU: 9-75-1 (-22.87, 10.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 20-61-2 (-8.14, 24.7%) avg line: 14.6 +6: 38-41-4 (48.1%) -6: 14-69-0 (16.9%) +10: 47-34-2 (58.0%) -10: 8-74-1 (9.8%) O/U: 17-18-0 (-1.87, 48.6%) avg total: 59.4 +6: 14-21-0 (40.0%) -6: 19-14-2 (57.6%) +10: 10-25-0 (28.6%) -10: 23-12-0 (65.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.5 127.1 34.7 18.9 218.5 1.9 3.6 6.3 3.7 5.9 17.9 Opp 40.3 206.6 30.2 18.7 258.4 1.7 9.5 11.7 9.3 7.7 40.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 ILL NEB away 18.0

not a "system" but just a fun fact that Ole Miss is 16-1 ATS in 2nd of 3 straight home games (not counting as system)

team = MIS and p:H and H and n:H and season > 1991
SU: 14-3-0 (15.06, 82.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 16-1-0 (10.03, 94.1%) avg line: -5.0 +6: 16-1-0 (94.1%) -6: 11-6-0 (64.7%) +10: 17-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 10-6-1 (62.5%) O/U: 7-3-0 (4.10, 70.0%) avg total: 53.8 +6: 4-6-0 (40.0%) -6: 7-3-0 (70.0%) +10: 3-7-0 (30.0%) -10: 8-2-0 (80.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 43.2 252.5 28.3 19.0 262.9 1.6 9.9 9.1 11.5 7.2 32.1 Opp 32.6 105.6 34.5 20.6 230.0 1.2 2.7 3.8 6.2 7.5 17.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 MIS MEM home -20.0

 

[TyBounce]

Is that first one for Nov ?

 

[rolltide]

yeah, didn't even notice that. i try to weed them out to just upcoming week but missed that one. looks like everything else is for 9/27...

 

[RDTrains]

FWIW, UTEP +28' a RAS release.


OPPOSE home fav after close home dog loss (on UTEP)

HF and p:HDL and -10 <= p:margin <= -5 and 23 >= pooints >= 14
SU: 24-15-0 (2.97, 61.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 6-32-1 (-8.88, 15.8%) avg line: -11.9 +6: 17-22-0 (43.6%) -6: 4-35-0 (10.3%) +10: 21-18-0 (53.8%) -10: 2-36-1 (5.3%) O/U: 2-7-0 (-2.61, 22.2%) avg total: 48.7 +6: 1-8-0 (11.1%) -6: 4-5-0 (44.4%) +10: 1-8-0 (11.1%) -10: 8-1-0 (88.9%)

 

[rolltide]

two for tonight. OVER unrested big dogs (this is also 8-0 o/u if favorite scored less than 30 in previous game... opoints<30)

D and rest < 5 and line >= 15
SU: 5-47-0 (-19.94, 9.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 27-24-1 (1.65, 52.9%) avg line: 21.6 +6: 37-14-1 (72.5%) -6: 20-31-1 (39.2%) +10: 41-11-0 (78.8%) -10: 16-36-0 (30.8%) O/U: 19-8-0 (7.46, 70.4%) avg total: 55.2 +6: 13-14-0 (48.1%) -6: 23-4-0 (85.2%) +10: 11-16-0 (40.7%) -10: 24-3-0 (88.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 32.7 119.0 33.1 18.2 205.4 2.0 4.6 6.5 3.0 6.6 18.0 Opp 41.7 225.2 26.2 17.2 253.2 1.7 11.7 12.1 8.6 7.1 37.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 25, 2014 Thursday 5 2014 APP GSOU away 18.0 59.0

another....play against big favs with little rest (on APP ST)

rest < 5 and F and -35.5 < line < -6 and week < 6
SU: 39-13-0 (9.87, 75.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 15-36-1 (-6.06, 29.4%) avg line: -15.9 +6: 23-29-0 (44.2%) -6: 10-42-0 (19.2%) +10: 30-19-3 (61.2%) -10: 5-47-0 (9.6%) O/U: 9-12-0 (1.17, 42.9%) avg total: 52.9 +6: 7-14-0 (33.3%) -6: 13-8-0 (61.9%) +10: 6-15-0 (28.6%) -10: 16-5-0 (76.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.3 166.7 32.8 21.2 258.3 2.1 7.7 8.1 7.8 5.9 28.8 Opp 33.8 114.0 34.6 20.4 241.0 1.9 4.9 4.9 4.8 6.9 18.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 25, 2014 Thursday 5 2014 GSOU APP home -18.0 59.0

these will be graded at current lines of App St +19.5 and over 59.5


__________________________________________________________

for weekend:

week 4+, play ON well rested conference home dogs off SU win and with revenge (on AFU, on Iowa ST)

P:L and p:W and HCD and rest > 11 and game number > 3
SU: 49-84-3 (-5.74, 36.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 91-40-5 (3.80, 69.5%) avg line: 9.5 +6: 105-30-1 (77.8%) -6: 59-74-3 (44.4%) +10: 109-27-0 (80.1%) -10: 42-91-3 (31.6%) O/U: 18-16-4 (1.47, 52.9%) avg total: 52.9 +6: 17-21-0 (44.7%) -6: 25-13-0 (65.8%) +10: 13-25-0 (34.2%) -10: 29-8-1 (78.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.1 145.6 29.1 16.1 198.6 1.8 5.1 6.0 5.6 6.0 20.7 Opp 37.3 177.3 30.4 18.6 235.0 1.5 6.5 9.1 6.5 8.9 26.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 AIR BOIS home 13.0 57.5 Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 IWST BAY home 21.0 69.0

 

[METFAN]

Thanks for posting..GOOD LUCK

 

[rolltide]

play ON well rested big favs of 21-32 points (on Ole Miss, on BAY, on TCU)

rest > 12 and F and -32 <= line <= -21 and season > 2002
SU: 88-0-0 (31.34, 100.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 62-23-3 (6.15, 72.9%) avg line: -25.2 +6: 71-17-0 (80.7%) -6: 45-41-2 (52.3%) +10: 75-12-1 (86.2%) -10: 35-53-0 (39.8%) O/U: 30-27-2 (1.58, 52.6%) avg total: 57.7 +6: 20-39-0 (33.9%) -6: 41-17-1 (70.7%) +10: 13-45-1 (22.4%) -10: 47-11-1 (81.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.1 235.4 29.6 20.1 270.4 1.4 12.3 14.2 11.8 7.6 45.1 Opp 33.8 95.2 33.5 18.1 194.4 2.4 2.6 3.7 2.9 4.3 13.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 BAY IWST away -21.0 71.5 Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 MIS MEM home -21.0 58.5 Sep 27, 2014 Saturday 5 2014 TCU SMU away -32.0 47.0

26-20-2 YTD after the app st losses

sat grading against:
UTEP +28
BARN -32
KANSAS +12
UGA -17
DUKE +6.5
RICE -8.5
INDY -4
NEB -21
OLE MISS -21 (watch line)
TCU -31.5
FSU/NCSU cancel
BSU/AFU cancel
IOWA/PUR cancel
ISU/BAY cancel

team notes besides the ole miss sept one (these aren't graded):
ND 36-64-1 o/u L7 years including 18-39-1 o/u when favored by at least 4
PITT is 10-1-1 ATS after a home loss

 

[cd329]

Rolltide, what site do you use for college football sdql?
thanks and good luck today
cd

 

[indiana]

R/T..........thank you for the update...........continued success with your action.............indy

 

[STACKSONDECK]

Want to play utep but k state 14-3 ats after su loss

 

[rolltide]

Rolltide, what site do you use for college football sdql?
thanks and good luck today
cd

sportsdatabase.com

straight up beatdown on saturday at 3-6-1 dropping YTD to 29-26-3. will run some now...and then again on either wed or thu. on long vacation so lots of time on my hands to read and bet

 

[rolltide]

PLAY ON well rested big fav (these must stay -21.5 or higher) ... on ORE, on WVU, on NoILL

HF and -35.5 <= line <= -21.5 and 9 <= rest <= 15 and season >= 2004
SU: 85-0-0 (34.80, 100.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 64-17-4 (7.52, 79.0%) avg line: -27.3 +6: 72-13-0 (84.7%) -6: 45-39-1 (53.6%) +10: 75-9-1 (89.3%) -10: 36-49-0 (42.4%) O/U: 34-30-1 (0.88, 53.1%) avg total: 59.0 +6: 19-45-1 (29.7%) -6: 40-23-2 (63.5%) +10: 14-49-2 (22.2%) -10: 49-15-1 (76.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.3 240.8 29.1 19.8 274.3 1.4 12.4 14.2 12.7 8.2 47.0 Opp 33.0 92.6 32.2 17.5 183.1 2.3 2.2 3.0 3.4 3.8 12.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 NIL KEST home -24.0 Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 WVA KAN home -25.0 Oct 02, 2014 Thursday 6 2014 ORE ARZ home -23.0

OPPOSE big home conference dog off blowout win...must stay at least +8.5 (vs TEX, vs NW)

HCD and p:margin > 20 and date > 20120908 and...
SU: 1-21-0 (-19.32, 4.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 3-19-0 (-12.23, 13.6%) avg line: 7.1 +6: 7-15-0 (31.8%) -6: 2-20-0 (9.1%) +10: 9-13-0 (40.9%) -10: 1-20-1 (4.8%) O/U: 11-11-0 (-1.00, 50.0%) avg total: 60.8 +6: 8-14-0 (36.4%) -6: 13-9-0 (59.1%) +10: 7-15-0 (31.8%) -10: 14-8-0 (63.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.5 140.3 35.9 20.8 223.4 2.1 5.3 5.1 5.7 4.1 20.2 Opp 42.3 214.9 30.5 20.4 265.9 1.3 8.8 11.9 9.6 9.3 39.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 NORW WIS home 9.5 Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 TEX BAY home 16.0

play UNDER conference dog after DD away dog win (AKR u, NW u, Wazzou u, FIU u)

p:ADW and C and 21 >= p:line >= 10 and season > 2005 ...
SU: 48-42-0 (0.12, 53.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 47-41-2 (0.72, 53.4%) avg line: 0.6 +6: 62-28-0 (68.9%) -6: 30-59-1 (33.7%) +10: 66-22-2 (75.0%) -10: 21-67-2 (23.9%) O/U: 25-62-3 (-3.21, 28.7%) avg total: 52.6 +6: 19-71-0 (21.1%) -6: 48-42-0 (53.3%) +10: 15-74-1 (16.9%) -10: 63-23-4 (73.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.1 146.5 31.3 18.1 216.3 1.6 5.4 7.5 6.1 5.7 24.8 Opp 36.7 156.9 32.0 18.5 218.5 2.0 6.5 6.5 4.6 6.7 24.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 AKRON EMCH home -21.0 Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 NORW WIS home 9.5 Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 WAST CAL home -4.5 Oct 02, 2014 Thursday 6 2014 FINT FATL home 7.5

OPPOSE teams that just gave up 37+ if opponent comes in off b2b 28+ margin wins (vs ODU)

pooints > 36 and op:margin > 27 and opp:margin > 27 ...
SU: 22-140-0 (-21.24, 13.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 49-112-1 (-4.44, 30.4%) avg line: 16.8 +6: 82-76-4 (51.9%) -6: 41-119-2 (25.6%) +10: 100-60-2 (62.5%) -10: 31-130-1 (19.3%) O/U: 37-33-3 (3.31, 52.9%) avg total: 60.1 +6: 28-45-0 (38.4%) -6: 49-24-0 (67.1%) +10: 24-49-0 (32.9%) -10: 57-16-0 (78.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.8 122.7 35.5 20.2 226.6 1.9 4.0 5.9 5.0 6.1 19.0 Opp 38.8 205.0 33.8 21.3 283.5 1.5 10.6 12.6 10.0 8.6 40.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 OLDD MRSH home 17.5

OPPOSE big non-conference dogs off an OT loss...must stay at least +15 (vs Utah St)

pvertime > 0 and pL and D and line > 14.5 ...
SU: 2-37-0 (-29.92, 5.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 13-25-1 (-5.71, 34.2%) avg line: 24.2 +6: 16-20-3 (44.4%) -6: 7-31-1 (18.4%) +10: 25-14-0 (64.1%) -10: 6-33-0 (15.4%) O/U: 12-7-0 (1.53, 63.2%) avg total: 54.1 +6: 5-14-0 (26.3%) -6: 16-3-0 (84.2%) +10: 3-16-0 (15.8%) -10: 16-3-0 (84.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.9 104.3 31.0 16.5 170.7 2.1 1.1 3.9 2.5 3.3 12.3 Opp 39.1 216.8 28.3 19.1 233.3 1.2 11.2 13.4 10.6 9.7 42.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 03, 2014 Friday 6 2014 UTST BYU away 17.5

play ON away teams off b2b big rushing games vs opponent who can't run the ball, favs are 30-2 SU and 45-2 in 10-point teasers (on MARSH)

A and op:rushing yards <= 100 and opp:rushing yards <= 100 and p:rushing yards >= 205 and pp:rushing yards >= 205 ...
SU: 37-10-0 (11.47, 78.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 32-14-1 (5.57, 69.6%) avg line: -5.9 +6: 41-6-0 (87.2%) -6: 22-24-1 (47.8%) +10: 45-2-0 (95.7%) -10: 14-33-0 (29.8%) O/U: 22-24-1 (1.13, 47.8%) avg total: 56.8 +6: 14-33-0 (29.8%) -6: 27-20-0 (57.4%) +10: 13-34-0 (27.7%) -10: 29-17-1 (63.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 46.6 242.2 22.7 14.1 179.4 1.1 7.8 11.0 8.0 7.1 34.7 Opp 30.8 120.1 36.9 22.1 254.4 1.9 4.3 6.5 5.3 6.4 23.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 MRSH OLDD away -17.5

OPPOSE away teams off 1 win and scoring 30+ in b2b games if opponent off a win scoring 28+ (vs CAL)

pooints >= 30 and ppooints >= 30 and p:W and A and op:W ....
SU: 9-71-1 (-23.16, 11.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 19-58-2 (-8.09, 24.7%) avg line: 14.9 +6: 35-40-4 (46.7%) -6: 13-66-0 (16.5%) +10: 43-34-2 (55.8%) -10: 8-70-1 (10.3%) O/U: 17-18-0 (-1.49, 48.6%) avg total: 59.5 +6: 14-21-0 (40.0%) -6: 20-13-2 (60.6%) +10: 10-25-0 (28.6%) -10: 24-11-0 (68.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.3 128.5 35.0 18.9 221.3 2.0 3.8 6.5 3.7 5.7 18.4 Opp 41.0 215.3 30.0 18.4 258.7 1.7 9.5 12.0 9.1 7.9 41.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 CAL WAST away 4.5

OPPOSE previously unbeaten teams after blowout 1st loss (vs NCST, vs NoILL, vs OREST, vs AZST)

p:L and p:losses = 0 and wins >= 3 and p:margin < -14 and ...
SU: 29-40-0 (-2.57, 42.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 17-49-3 (-5.29, 25.8%) avg line: -2.7 +6: 33-34-2 (49.3%) -6: 15-54-0 (21.7%) +10: 43-26-0 (62.3%) -10: 10-59-0 (14.5%) O/U: 38-31-0 (2.70, 55.1%) avg total: 53.9 +6: 29-40-0 (42.0%) -6: 50-19-0 (72.5%) +10: 22-46-1 (32.4%) -10: 55-14-0 (79.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.3 149.1 33.4 20.2 244.1 1.9 5.4 7.6 6.1 7.6 27.0 Opp 38.6 166.3 30.6 18.6 225.4 1.6 6.5 9.1 6.2 7.1 29.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 NCST CLEM away 14.5 Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 ORST COLO away -7.5 Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 NIL KEST home -24.0 Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 AZST USC away 11.0

OPPOSE previously unbeaten teams after first loss and 2+ turnovers (vs ORST, vs NCST)

p:L and p:losses = 0 and wins >= 3 and p:turnovers = 2 ...
SU: 18-34-0 (-3.08, 34.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 11-41-0 (-6.96, 21.2%) avg line: -3.9 +6: 22-27-3 (44.9%) -6: 9-43-0 (17.3%) +10: 29-22-1 (56.9%) -10: 4-48-0 (7.7%) O/U: 27-23-1 (0.04, 54.0%) avg total: 51.4 +6: 17-34-0 (33.3%) -6: 33-18-0 (64.7%) +10: 14-37-0 (27.5%) -10: 36-15-0 (70.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.9 125.9 34.5 20.2 247.2 2.0 5.4 7.2 5.8 5.9 24.5 Opp 39.3 162.0 27.4 16.0 193.3 1.4 6.1 8.4 5.6 7.2 27.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 NCST CLEM away 14.5 Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 ORST COLO away -7.5

game 6+ PLAY ON big fav of -17.5 or higher after huge offensive game and playing opponent off a loss (on Mid Tenn) - must stay -17.5 or higher

H and line < -17 ... game number >= 6 and points > 38 and op:L and season >= 1985
SU: 169-7-0 (25.56, 96.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 115-58-3 (3.39, 66.5%) avg line: -22.2 +6: 135-40-1 (77.1%) -6: 75-98-3 (43.4%) +10: 146-29-1 (83.4%) -10: 50-121-5 (29.2%) O/U: 38-33-0 (1.63, 53.5%) avg total: 57.4 +6: 24-43-4 (35.8%) -6: 51-19-1 (72.9%) +10: 16-54-1 (22.9%) -10: 57-13-1 (81.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.5 203.8 31.3 20.6 284.2 1.7 10.3 12.3 9.1 9.3 41.2 Opp 35.2 121.7 31.2 16.8 185.1 1.8 3.2 5.7 3.9 4.4 15.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 MTEN SMIS home -17.5

 

[Well-Seasoned]

The Conference Home Dog with Rest and Revenge Base System been around for awhile (at least 10+years)........That said, I have extra parameters that really make it pop.......51-11 ATS........GTECH qualifies this week just like Air Force this past weekend....That said, it can also applies to small Home Favorites as well on mine.