NCAAF Systems

[rolltide]

went to 20.5 or 21 for a while but now a solid 21.5 so we'll call it a system fit at -21.5 ....

 

[HottyToddy]

Lol glad to see I'm all over MState at -1

 

[HottyToddy]

Very good stuff here... I'm going play around with it next week... Hopefully I can pick it up with ease

 

[1958]

MSST now at -2.5 does not qualify, but here is another one.

pvertime > 0 and p:FCW and -27.5 < p:line < -6 and C and P:W and PP:W
ATS: 6-28-2 (-6.18, 17.6%)

Oct 04, 2014

Saturday

6

2014

TXAM

MSST

away

2.5

68.0

 

[HottyToddy]

Thank you RT and WS for all the hard work... Also I applaud you for sharing this system and the updates.... Too many people keep information to themselves..

 

[1958]

GTECH now FAV but still a good trend... i will take it

HC and p:W and P:LD and 12 > game number > 3 and rest > 11 and op:margin > 5 and 26 > line > -3
SU: 37-49-2 (-2.24, 43.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 68-18-2 (6.14, 79.1%) avg line: 8.4 +6: 74-14-0 (84.1%) -6: 45-41-2 (52.3%) +10: 76-12-0 (86.4%) -10: 31-54-3 (36.5%) O/U: 8-10-1 (-1.18, 44.4%) avg total: 53.0 +6: 7-12-0 (36.8%) -6: 12-7-0 (63.2%) +10: 6-13-0 (31.6%) -10: 13-6-0 (68.4%)

Oct 04, 2014

Saturday

6

2014

GTCH

MIAF

home

 

[In2Sports]

Thanks for all of the systems
Can you run this
Last week Boise St lost SU as a fav, but had 100+ more yards and lost by 10+ points
On the other side you have Nev who won by 10+ pts despite being -100 yards
U have Boise @ Nev this week

 

[rolltide]

Thanks for all of the systems
Can you run this
Last week Boise St lost SU as a fav, but had 100+ more yards and lost by 10+ points
On the other side you have Nev who won by 10+ pts despite being -100 yards
U have Boise @ Nev this week

tough one because ncaaf doesn't have the nice shortcuts of nfl section but let me mess with this with rushing yards and passing yards. back in a bit

 

[rolltide]

IN2 this should be what you're looking for .... the ATS # would apply to Boise...

p:FL and p:margin <= -10 and p:rushing yards + passing yards - po:rushing yards + poassing yards > 100 and op:W and op:margin >= 10 and opo:rushing yards + opoassing yards - op:rushing yards + opassing yards > 100
SU: 51-88-0 (-6.25, 36.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 60-78-1 (-1.72, 43.5%) avg line: 4.5 +6: 87-51-1 (63.0%) -6: 42-97-0 (30.2%) +10: 98-40-1 (71.0%) -10: 24-114-1 (17.4%) O/U: 75-63-1 (2.03, 54.3%) avg total: 54.4 +6: 52-84-3 (38.2%) -6: 94-43-2 (68.6%) +10: 42-96-1 (30.4%) -10: 107-32-0 (77.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.2 147.1 34.0 19.9 237.4 2.1 5.6 7.4 4.9 6.5 25.1 Opp 37.2 157.9 33.1 20.1 256.7 1.5 6.8 9.1 7.1 7.9 31.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 IND NTX home -13.5 61.5 Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 BOIS NEV away -3.5 50.5 Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 OLDD MRSH home 17.5 76.0 Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 MICH RUT away 3.0 46.0 Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 PIT VIR away 6.5 47.0

 

[In2Sports]

Thanks for running that, but not much to it- thanks to it

 

[richporter]

wish i knew how to use these searches for this. but can you look at when a higher ranked team is a dog vs a lower ranked team for me. say like standford vs nd and a&m vs miss st this week. number 9 vs number 17 but number 17 is -3 for instance. thanks in advance you guys are extremely helpful

 

[rolltide]

wish i knew how to use these searches for this. but can you look at when a higher ranked team is a dog vs a lower ranked team for me. say like standford vs nd and a&m vs miss st this week. number 9 vs number 17 but number 17 is -3 for instance. thanks in advance you guys are extremely helpful

sorry but cannot search on rankings. the parameters that can be used are:

Game Parameters: ats margin, ats streak, cdivision, completions, conference, date, day, division, dpa, dps, first downs, fourth downs attempted, fourth downs made, full name, fumbles, fumbles lost, game number, game type, interceptions, line, losses, margin, margin after the first, margin after the third, margin at the half, matchup losses, matchup wins, month, opponents, ou margin, ou streak, overtime, passes, passing yards, penalties, penalties yards, penalty yards, points, quarter scores, rest, rushes, rushing yards, season, site, site streak, streak, team, third downs attempted, third downs made, time of possession, total, turnover margin, turnovers, week, wins
Kickoff Return Parameters: kickoff return yards, kickoff returns, longest kickoff return, name
Passing Parameters: completions, interceptions thrown, name, passes, passing touchdowns, passing yards
Rushing Parameters: name, rushes, rushing touchdowns, rushing yards
Interception Parameters: interception touchdowns, interception yards, interceptions, name
Punting Parameters: longest punt, name, punt yards, punts
Punt Return Parameters: longest punt return, name, punt return yards, punt returns
Receiving Parameters: name, receiving touchdowns, receiving yards, receptions

 

[rolltide]

about the closest i can get for you is to search for a team with losses as away favorite vs unbeaten one:

losses >= 1 and AF and o:losses = 0 and week > 2
SU: 21-14-0 (3.09, 60.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 13-21-1 (-2.16, 38.2%) avg line: -5.2 +6: 22-12-1 (64.7%) -6: 9-26-0 (25.7%) +10: 25-10-0 (71.4%) -10: 8-27-0 (22.9%) O/U: 14-21-0 (-0.37, 40.0%) avg total: 51.3 +6: 12-23-0 (34.3%) -6: 20-15-0 (57.1%) +10: 10-25-0 (28.6%) -10: 20-14-1 (58.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.0 174.0 31.1 18.5 218.5 2.0 5.3 7.1 6.3 8.2 27.0 Opp 36.0 135.8 33.5 18.6 213.1 2.0 6.1 6.8 4.7 5.9 23.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 STAN NOTD away -2.5 46.5

 

[1osubucks]

i put something similar up last week and this game fit the same Notre Dame trend. since Kelly has been coach and ND either dog or fav of 15 or less...

team = NOTD and season >= 2010 and line > -15.5
SU: 26-15-0 (4.51, 63.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 19-20-2 (1.55, 48.7%) avg line: -3.0 +6: 26-15-0 (63.4%) -6: 14-27-0 (34.1%) +10: 33-8-0 (80.5%) -10: 10-31-0 (24.4%) O/U: 8-32-1 (-8.22, 20.0%) avg total: 51.1 +6: 5-36-0 (12.2%) -6: 16-25-0 (39.0%) +10: 3-38-0 (7.3%) -10: 23-17-1 (57.5%)

about the closest i can get for you is to search for a team with losses as away favorite vs unbeaten one:

losses >= 1 and AF and o:losses = 0 and week > 2
SU: 21-14-0 (3.09, 60.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 13-21-1 (-2.16, 38.2%) avg line: -5.2 +6: 22-12-1 (64.7%) -6: 9-26-0 (25.7%) +10: 25-10-0 (71.4%) -10: 8-27-0 (22.9%) O/U: 14-21-0 (-0.37, 40.0%) avg total: 51.3 +6: 12-23-0 (34.3%) -6: 20-15-0 (57.1%) +10: 10-25-0 (28.6%) -10: 20-14-1 (58.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.0 174.0 31.1 18.5 218.5 2.0 5.3 7.1 6.3 8.2 27.0 Opp 36.0 135.8 33.5 18.6 213.1 2.0 6.1 6.8 4.7 5.9 23.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 2014 Saturday 6 2014 STAN NOTD away -2.5 46.5

this also supports the under that you posted earlier in the week.

 

[1osubucks]

Your probably getting settled in for the bama game but if you get a chance share your thoughts on pitt? I have been against them the last two weeks but like them here in the dog role.. imo a lot of football is mental.. they were in big fav roles last two week, while the number was not big for Iowa it was a big role to be in fav imo. Last week was one of those let down weeks off the loss. I think this team looks best in the underdog role.. with their running game they can compete, just need to take care of the ball and limit errors.

 

[rolltide]

Your probably getting settled in for the bama game but if you get a chance share your thoughts on pitt?

sorry, didn't stop in before the tide game. posted pitt +6 on twitter....

Sat: 10-6-1
L WVU -27 (64-17)
W Baylor -14.5 (19-3)
W Marshall -18 (112-49, 32-14)
L Wash St -3.5 (58-19)
W Clemson -14 (49-17, 41-11)
P Colorado +5 (49-17, 41-11)
L So Cal -12 (49-17)
W Ga Tech -1.5 (72-24)
W Miss St -2.5 (25-1)
W Wis/NW under 47 (62-25, 50-21)
W Akr/EMU under 51 (62-25)
L WS/CAL under 73 (62-25)
L TCU/OU under 57 (50-21)
L NEV/BSU under 53 (9-31)
W WMU/TOL under 64 (9-31)
W BAMA/MISS under 52.5 (50-21)
W STAN/ND under 46 (24-2-1)
No Ill/Kent cancel (64-17 & 21-5 vs 49-17)
Wis/NW cancel (19-3 vs 74-28)
Mid Tenn cancel moved to -16.5 (115-58)

 

[rolltide]

sorting issues at sportsdatabase so i can't bring the current plays to the top until they're resolved.

PLAY UNDER 71.5 or less with a fav or single digit dog that lost as dog of 22+ last season, 3-3 ytd (under CAL?, under UCLA?)

P:L and P:season = season -1 and P:line >= 22 and line <= 9 ...total < 72
SU: 19-24-0 (-1.09, 44.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 24-19-0 (2.22, 55.8%) avg line: 3.3 +6: 32-11-0 (74.4%) -6: 13-30-0 (30.2%) +10: 35-8-0 (81.4%) -10: 10-31-2 (24.4%) O/U: 11-32-0 (-5.27, 25.6%) avg total: 55.2 +6: 7-36-0 (16.3%) -6: 20-22-1 (47.6%) +10: 6-37-0 (14.0%) -10: 25-17-1 (59.5%)

PLAY ON 21-35 point home favs off 21+ blowout conference win (on Marshall if -21 or higher)

CHF and -35 <= line <= -21 and p:CW and p:margin >= 21 and season >= 1999
SU: 148-5-0 (31.20, 96.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 105-44-4 (4.27, 70.5%) avg line: -26.9 +6: 121-32-0 (79.1%) -6: 67-77-9 (46.5%) +10: 128-24-1 (84.2%) -10: 49-101-3 (32.7%)

PLAY UNDER a total in low 50's with team off blowout loss vs one that scored 42+ (FSU/SYR under if 50.5-56.5)

p:margin <= -21 and opoints >= 42 and 57 > total > 50
SU: 20-64-0 (-15.27, 23.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 36-47-1 (-1.95, 43.4%) avg line: 13.3 +6: 56-27-1 (67.5%) -6: 23-60-1 (27.7%) +10: 66-18-0 (78.6%) -10: 13-70-1 (15.7%) O/U: 24-59-1 (-3.81, 28.9%) avg total: 53.6 +6: 19-64-1 (22.9%) -6: 44-39-1 (53.0%) +10: 14-69-1 (16.9%) -10: 53-27-4 (66.2%)

PLAY UNDER 50+ total on conference dog after DD away dog win (UAB under)

p:ADW and C and 21 >= p:line ....total > 49.5 and date > 20101008
SU: 19-15-0 (1.56, 55.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 17-16-1 (0.28, 51.5%) avg line: -1.3 +6: 24-10-0 (70.6%) -6: 10-23-1 (30.3%) +10: 26-7-1 (78.8%) -10: 8-25-1 (24.2%) O/U: 7-24-3 (-4.22, 22.6%) avg total: 57.4 +6: 5-29-0 (14.7%) -6: 16-18-0 (47.1%) +10: 4-30-0 (11.8%) -10: 22-10-2 (68.8%)

PLAY ON away team off b2b great rushing games vs opponent that can't run the ball (on Buffalo)

A and op:rushing yards <= 100 ...and p:rushing yards >= 205 ...
SU: 38-10-0 (12.10, 79.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 33-14-1 (5.94, 70.2%) avg line: -6.2 +6: 42-6-0 (87.5%) -6: 23-24-1 (48.9%) +10: 46-2-0 (95.8%) -10: 15-33-0 (31.2%) O/U: 22-25-1 (1.02, 46.8%) avg total: 57.2 +6: 14-34-0 (29.2%) -6: 28-20-0 (58.3%) +10: 13-35-0 (27.1%) -10: 30-17-1 (63.8%

PLAY ON conference favs of 24-35 off b2b double digit conference wins (on FSU -24 or higher) ...34-6 ATS if away

CF and p:margin >= 10 and pp:margin >= 10 and p:C and pp:C and -35 <= line <= -24 and season >= 2000
SU: 120-5-0 (34.26, 96.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 88-35-2 (5.50, 71.5%) avg line: -28.8 +6: 99-25-1 (79.8%) -6: 61-59-5 (50.8%) +10: 107-17-1 (86.3%) -10: 47-76-2 (38.2%) O/U: 38-37-0 (1.57, 50.7%) avg total: 59.3 +6: 28-44-3 (38.9%) -6: 53-22-0 (70.7%) +10: 19-55-1 (25.7%) -10: 62-13-0 (82.7%)

OPPOSE away teams off b2b big offense vs home team off a win (vs MIA OH ... tue vs ULLAF)

pooints >= 30 and ppooints >= 30 and p:W and A and op:W ...
SU: 16-85-1 (-20.58, 15.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 26-71-3 (-7.37, 26.8%) avg line: 13.0 +6: 45-51-4 (46.9%) -6: 16-83-1 (16.2%) +10: 57-40-3 (58.8%) -10: 9-89-2 (9.2%) O/U: 22-22-0 (0.19, 50.0%) avg total: 60.8 +6: 18-26-0 (40.9%) -6: 27-15-2 (64.3%) +10: 14-30-0 (31.8%) -10: 31-13-0 (70.5%)

OPPOSE previously unbeaten off blowout first loss (vs BYU, vs aTm, vs State Penn)

p:L and p:losses = 0 and wins >= 3 and p:margin < -14...
SU: 32-41-0 (-2.82, 43.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 18-52-3 (-5.47, 25.7%) avg line: -2.6 +6: 35-36-2 (49.3%) -6: 16-57-0 (21.9%) +10: 45-28-0 (61.6%) -10: 11-62-0 (15.1%) O/U: 40-33-0 (2.05, 54.8%) avg total: 54.3 +6: 30-43-0 (41.1%) -6: 52-21-0 (71.2%) +10: 22-49-2 (31.0%) -10: 57-16-0 (78.1%)

OPPOSE previously unbeaten off first loss & committing 2+ turnovers

p:L and p:losses = 0 and wins >= 3 and p:turnovers = 2
SU: 22-37-0 (-3.20, 37.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 15-44-0 (-6.61, 25.4%) avg line: -3.4 +6: 27-29-3 (48.2%) -6: 11-47-1 (19.0%) +10: 34-24-1 (58.6%) -10: 4-55-0 (6.8%) O/U: 29-28-1 (-0.94, 50.9%) avg total: 52.2 +6: 19-39-0 (32.8%) -6: 35-22-1 (61.4%) +10: 15-42-1 (26.3%) -10: 39-19-0 (67.2%)

OPPOSE previously unbeaten after first loss with 2-3 turnovers and scoring <38 (vs Bama, vs Duke, vs State Penn, vs OU, vs aTm, vs ORE)

p:L and p:losses = 0 and wins >= 3 and 3 >= p:turnovers >= 2 and date > 20071001 and points < 38 and 5 < rest < 29
SU: 37-46-0 (-1.84, 44.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 20-61-2 (-6.12, 24.7%) avg line: -4.3 +6: 40-40-3 (50.0%) -6: 14-68-1 (17.1%) +10: 54-29-0 (65.1%) -10: 6-77-0 (7.2%) O/U: 41-40-1 (-0.23, 50.6%) avg total: 54.1 +6: 29-53-0 (35.4%) -6: 53-29-0 (64.6%) +10: 24-57-1 (29.6%) -10: 61-21-0 (74.4%)

OPPOSE unbeaten away fav game 5-7 off blowout win playing excellent team (vs BARN....aubbies must be a fav)

AF and 7 >= game number >= 5 and losses = 0 and o:WP > 79 and p:ats margin > 11.5
SU: 19-27-1 (0.34, 41.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 9-37-1 (-6.61, 19.6%) avg line: -6.9 +6: 21-23-3 (47.7%) -6: 6-41-0 (12.8%) +10: 27-19-1 (58.7%) -10: 5-42-0 (10.6%) O/U: 6-5-0 (-1.41, 54.5%) avg total: 52.5 +6: 3-8-0 (27.3%) -6: 7-3-1 (70.0%) +10: 2-9-0 (18.2%) -10: 9-2-0 (81.8%)

________________________________________________________________________________________
not for records but in this week's "strange but true" query PLAY ON domers in game 6 if not 3 TD favs (on ND)

team = NOTD and game number = 6 and line > -21 and season > 1984
SU: 20-5-0 (11.00, 80.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 21-3-1 (7.56, 87.5%) avg line: -3.4 +6: 23-2-0 (92.0%) -6: 13-12-0 (52.0%) +10: 23-2-0 (92.0%) -10: 12-13-0 (48.0%)

 

[Jupiter333]

Nice of you to post these rt....you are one of two threads I take a look at through the week....best to ya.

 

[rolltide]

sorting seems to be back up and running.

obviously this one very line dependent but playing on low line away teams (no more than -3 favs or +4 dogs) after b2b conference wins (on TOLEDO, NWESTERN, BGSU if line fits....) is solid money earner ... 16-2 ATS last year... first ones for 2014, maybe:

A and -3 <= line <= 4 and p:CW and pp:CW ....
SU: 52-17-0 (6.94, 75.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 54-13-2 (7.43, 80.6%) avg line: 0.5 +6: 58-11-0 (84.1%) -6: 38-30-1 (55.9%) +10: 59-10-0 (85.5%) -10: 29-37-3 (43.9%) O/U: 39-29-1 (2.11, 57.4%) avg total: 54.8 +6: 29-40-0 (42.0%) -6: 48-21-0 (69.6%) +10: 21-48-0 (30.4%) -10: 52-17-0 (75.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.1 176.2 29.0 17.2 222.1 1.4 6.1 10.2 7.5 7.7 31.9 Opp 37.0 146.0 36.0 21.4 240.0 1.9 5.1 6.9 5.3 7.2 25.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2014 Saturday 7 2014 TOL IWST away 2.5 61.0 Oct 11, 2014 Saturday 7 2014 NORW MIN away 4.0 42.0 Oct 11, 2014 Saturday 7 2014 BOWL OHU away -1.5 63.0

 

[rolltide]

another strange but true not for stats....baylor has lost 15 consecutive game #6's vs teams .500 or better....

team = BAY and game number = 6 and o:WP >= 50 and season > 1985
SU: 0-15-0 (-18.20, 0.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 3-12-0 (-8.43, 20.0%) avg line: 9.8 +6: 5-10-0 (33.3%) -6: 1-14-0 (6.7%) +10: 7-8-0 (46.7%) -10: 1-14-0 (6.7%) O/U: 4-1-0 (10.40, 80.0%) avg total: 64.0 +6: 4-1-0 (80.0%) -6: 4-1-0 (80.0%) +10: 3-2-0 (60.0%) -10: 4-1-0 (80.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.8 105.8 46.2 30.6 378.8 1.8 9.0 8.0 7.2 5.6 18.7 Opp 42.6 217.4 38.2 25.6 331.6 1.0 8.2 20.8 10.8 4.8 36.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 11, 2014 Saturday 7 2014 BAY TCU home -8.5 67.0

had some good looking stuff on newsletters opposing FSU but i couldn't get anywhere near their quoted ATS #'s ... will keep messing around with it in case it cancels out FSU/CUSE.