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I already liked the Utes tonight, now I love them! We all really appreciate the work you put in, RT. Thanks man.

ps- you watching this Pens game tonight? I played the over, loving that we (Penguins) netted the first two early!
 

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Hi Roll, what book is used for the closing line for these? Thanks for all your help, greatly appreciated.
 

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The BC/Clemson under almost looks too obvious...

yeah i'd never chase an under that went from 48.5 to 44.5 anyway but whatever number it ends on will be graded at...only line stipulation on that system is total under 72 which i don't think will be an issue ;)
 

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nice add here. ton of plays in last 34 years and % hasn't wavered (30.1% since 2004). Here we're playing against decent sized favs that are off a dog loss and are a dog next game vs opponent that couldn't muster up 17 points last game (vs Lville). aka look ahead....
p:DL and F and n:D and -28 <= line <= -8 and op:points < 17 ...
SU:174-73-4 (9.40, 70.4%)Teaser Records
ATS:76-170-5 (-5.01, 30.9%)
avg line: -14.4+6: 121-126-4 (49.0%) -6: 55-194-2 (22.1%) +10: 147-100-4 (59.5%) -10: 41-208-2 (16.5%)
O/U:29-41-1 (-1.43, 41.4%) avg total: 51.9+6: 20-51-0 (28.2%) -6: 48-23-0 (67.6%) +10: 16-54-1 (22.9%) -10: 54-17-0 (76.1%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team36.5167.732.019.9244.71.87.18.57.06.528.5
Opp36.9141.631.117.5200.61.74.15.65.45.719.1
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Oct 18, 2014Saturday82014LOUNCSThome-17.548.5

 

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nice add here. ton of plays in last 34 years and % hasn't wavered (30.1% since 2004). Here we're playing against decent sized favs that are off a dog loss and are a dog next game vs opponent that couldn't muster up 17 points last game (vs Lville). aka look ahead....
p:DL and F and n:D and -28 <= line <= -8 and op:points < 17 ...
SU:174-73-4 (9.40, 70.4%)Teaser Records
ATS:76-170-5 (-5.01, 30.9%)
avg line: -14.4+6: 121-126-4 (49.0%)-6: 55-194-2 (22.1%)+10: 147-100-4 (59.5%)-10: 41-208-2 (16.5%)
O/U:29-41-1 (-1.43, 41.4%) avg total: 51.9+6: 20-51-0 (28.2%)-6: 48-23-0 (67.6%)+10: 16-54-1 (22.9%)-10: 54-17-0 (76.1%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team36.5167.732.019.9244.71.87.18.57.06.528.5
Opp36.9141.631.117.5200.61.74.15.65.45.719.1
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Oct 18, 2014Saturday82014LOUNCSThome-17.548.5

Lots O reasons to fade NC St, but maybe that Lou game vs Fla St next game should make one pause
 

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a couple team ones to consider (not part of what i track...just stuff to be aware of)
aTm 0-19 SU / 0-18-1 ATS as a road dog after being a home favorite
kansas 0-26 SU / 8-18 ATS on road + 23 straight road conference losses
emu 1-24 SU with 6 covers after a victory
army 0-18 SU with 1 cover away L18
fau 12-1-1 as a dog following a road game
cal 2-23 SU / 5-20 ATS as a dog off a loss
uab 1-17 SU after a home win
 

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OPPOSE rested home conference dogs off SUATS loss vs opponent with regular rest (vs WAKE) - also 8-26 ATS L34 .... wake also in 21-51 ATS spot here vs opponent with WP <=40%

HCD ... and p:L and p:ats margin < 0 and o:rest = 6 and ...
SU:21-79-0 (-13.11, 21.0%)Teaser Records
ATS:33-67-0 (-3.11, 33.0%)
avg line: 10.0 +6: 60-40-0 (60.0%) -6: 24-74-2 (24.5%) +10: 70-28-2 (71.4%) -10: 18-82-0 (18.0%)
O/U:28-29-0 (0.73, 49.1%) avg total: 53.7+6: 20-36-1 (35.7%) -6: 37-19-1 (66.1%) +10: 16-41-0 (28.1%) -10: 45-12-0 (78.9%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team35.8136.931.217.2195.62.04.95.14.75.520.5
Opp39.0187.630.920.1248.11.47.19.59.38.333.6
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUr ATSrOUrot
Oct 18, 2014
Saturday 8 2014 WAKE SYR home




6.0 42.5

 

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unless i find some during the season you will never see a saturday over posted as i have no applicable cfb "over systems". i have a midweek one and a bowl one but nothing for a typical saturday game. if i ever come across a good one i'll post....
 

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Teams off B2B revenge upsets (Ole Miss) is 0-23 ATS in their next game as a favorite.

May want to double check this one Tide.
 

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Teams off B2B revenge upsets (Ole Miss) is 0-23 ATS in their next game as a favorite.

May want to double check this one Tide.

i think this is what you're looking for

p:DW and pp:DW and pP:L and ppP:L and F
SU:45-35-0 (5.58, 56.2%)Teaser Records
ATS:29-50-1 (-3.56, 36.7%)
avg line: -9.1+6: 42-38-0 (52.5%) -6: 22-57-1 (27.8%) +10: 52-28-0 (65.0%) -10: 20-59-1 (25.3%)
O/U:10-12-0 (-0.23, 45.5%) avg total: 50.1+6: 5-17-0 (22.7%) -6: 16-6-0 (72.7%) +10: 3-18-1 (14.3%) -10: 17-4-1 (81.0%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team36.2161.330.518.0216.51.56.39.17.56.428.1
Opp35.7121.330.516.8196.32.05.66.33.94.522.6
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Oct 18, 2014Saturday82014MISTENhome-16.546.5



last 23 spots would be ...

p:DW and pp:DW and pP:L and ppP:L and F and date > 20051101
SU:14-9-0 (6.91, 60.9%)Teaser Records
ATS:7-16-0 (-4.26, 30.4%)
avg line: -11.2+6: 13-10-0 (56.5%) -6: 4-18-1 (18.2%) +10: 16-7-0 (69.6%) -10: 3-20-0 (13.0%)
O/U:10-12-0 (-0.23, 45.5%) avg total: 50.1+6: 5-17-0 (22.7%) -6: 16-6-0 (72.7%) +10: 3-18-1 (14.3%) -10: 17-4-1 (81.0%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team36.2161.330.518.0216.51.56.39.17.56.428.4
Opp35.7121.330.516.8196.32.05.66.33.94.521.5
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Oct 18, 2014Saturday82014MISTENhome-16.546.5

 

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No that isn't correct I don't think. Its 0-23 ATS

ok, go with that. wtf you asking me for if you're not interested in the real answer? i ran it, it's 7-16 ATS. you're either missing part of the system (possible) or you saw some bullshit on a forum or newsletter that wasn't 100% accurate (likely, happens all the time which is why i learned how to do this in the first place). either way it's a very nice spot for tenn but it's not a 23-0 ATS spot
 

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systems 8-9 week...56-49-4 YTD
lost Texas St (71-27)
won Utah (80-25)
lost Va Tech (80-25)
won Houston (54-18)
won Arizona St (88-35 & 54-11 subsystem)
lost UAB +2 (55-14, 80-25)
lost Akron (55-14)
lost OK ST (31-4)
lost NWEST (14-1)
lost CMU -10 (106-53)
lost FSU (106-53)
won SYR (67-33)
won NCSU (170-76)
__________________________________
won UTAH/OSU under 52.5 (66-29)
won BC/CLEM under 45.5 (33-11)
loss GSU/USA under 56.5 (29-25) - if 50.5-56.5
won ASU/STAN under 54.5 (66-29)

untracked teams ones (SU/ATS):
w/w aTm 0-19 SU / 0-18-1 ATS as a road dog after being a home favorite
w/w kansas 0-26 SU / 8-18 ATS on road + 23 straight road conference losses
w/w emu 1-24 SU with 6 covers after a victory
w/w army 0-18 SU with 1 cover away L18
w/w fau 12-1-1 as a dog following a road game
w/l cal 2-23 SU / 5-20 ATS as a dog off a loss
w/w uab 1-17 SU after a home win
 

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I wonder if Saban making a pro-active player rant has had as big an effect on the Tide; or other teams..>>opposite the statistical methods you are using , but gotta feel the motivation was evident...gl..gr8 posts.ty..still i cannot bet Pitt Panther football..!!lol
 

Biz

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Great job as always. Your totals have been really good. Appreciate all of your time, and your willingness to share this information. Looking forward to this week's systems.
 

mws

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This is great stuff. I found the angle supporting NC State to be especially compelling, so I made that the bass of a winning wager. Thanks, Rolltide.
 

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