Melniko Summer Picks

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7/11 RESULTS

PRX
R2 - #2 BB's Rocket (15-1) 3rd
R5 - #6 Luna T (5-1) 3rd
R6 - #9 Social Acceptance (8-1) 2nd
R9 - #6 Wicked Sight (9-2) 2nd
R10 - #1 Takemetothemoon (5-1) winner paid $6.80

100/68
total - 2,500/2,293 (0.92)
 

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7/12

PRX
R1 - #8 Starship Blanca (6-1) drops in class while switching from apprentice to Paco. The #5 & #6 both want the lead, so he should get a perfect trip.
R5 - #1 Samurai Saint (9-2) jockey mis-timed his closing run in last - probably would have got there if he had another 1/8th. He gets it today.
R7 - #5 Indybound (5-1) it's interesting that Ness stretches him out to a mile after a string of sprints since the claim. It's been a high ROI move for him in the past.
R8 - #9 Gordian Knot (7-2) should get value, due to the Maker horse in here, on a multiple stakes-winner getting Lasix for the first time.

DEL
R5 - #2 Seiver (5-1) I don't have the pp's for this one, but he's on my watch list to back him on his next turf race.
 

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7/12 RESULTS

PRX
R1 - #8 Starship Blanca (6-1)
R5 - #1 Samurai Saint (9-2)
R7 - #5 Indybound (5-1)
R8 - #9 Gordian Knot (7-2) winner paid $7.00

DEL
R5 - #2 Seiver (5-1) 2nd

100/70
total - 2,600/2,363 (0.91)
 

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7/13
Rainy day on tap at Saratoga, but I'm giving it a try anyway. A little nugget of info: Manny Franco kicks ass in the rain at The Spa.

CNL
R2 - Noble Conquest (4-1) drops in class and gets a nice jockey upgrade as he makes his 2nd try off the layoff.

SAR
R1 - #7 Ocean Gateway (6-1) I was going to be all over the #6 until I saw the weather forecast. Switched to this one - proven on a sloppy track and looks to be a decent price for a Clement/Castellano venture.
R5 - #6 Portos (5-2) maybe I'm getting suckered here, but he's dropping from a steady diet of stakes to a $20k claimer? And Irad takes the mount? I seem to remember losing a big bet on this horse at Fairgrounds. Deja Vu.
R6 - #12 Amundson (9-5) if he draws in he should toy with this field. Not worried about the post as there will be a ton of scratches.
R8 - #5 Kingfish Stevens (5-1) I really like Candy Ride as a mud sire and I'm reasonably sure this one's coming off the grass. Blinkers go on today.
 

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Looks like Race 1 at Saratoga will be on a fast track.
Amended picks for today from Saratoga...
R1 - #6 Sabra Tuff (3-1)
R2 - #8 Tap The Keg (20-1)
R5 - #6 Portos (5-2)
R8 - #5 Kingfish Stevens (5-1)

no change at Colonial
 

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7/13 RESULTS

SAR
R1 - #6 Sabra Tuff (3-1) 4th
R2 - #8 Tap The Keg (20-1) out
R5 - #6 Portos (5-2) 3rd
R8 - #5 Kingfish Stevens (5-1) 3rd

CNL
R2 - #7 Noble Conquest (4-1) 4th

I really thought it was going to rain...
100/0
2,700/2,363 (0.88)
 

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7/14

GP R4 - #3 Awesome Crusader (6-1)

more to come, wanted to get this one in before they went to post.
 

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7/14 continued

GP
R7 - #5 Sebaray (10-1)

MTH
R6 - #6 Benevengo (4-1)
R8 - #2 Motion To Strike (3-1)

SAR
R8 - #3 Cee's Get Degrees (7-2)
 

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7/14 continued

GP
R7 - #5 Sebaray (10-1)
MTH
R6 - #6 Benevengo (4-1) winner paid $6.20
R8 - #2 Motion To Strike (3-1) 3rd
SAR
R8 - #3 Cee's Get Degrees (7-2) 2nd

80/62
total - 2,800/2,527 (0.90)
 

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7/16

MNR
R1 - #5 Quantum Theory (6-1)
R3 - #1 Big Treat (2-1)
R5 - #3 Angela's Angel (6-1)
R6 - #6 Masai Man (3-1)
R7 - #8 My Lovely Girl (7-2)
 

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7/21

SAR
R7 - #2 Big Night Out (6-1) ran a very nice race for barn that isn't known for having them ready for debuts. Looks like the Ortiz bros will take a lot of action so the price here should be tasty.
R8 - #6 Bright Future (9-2) has been very competitive when racing outside stakes company. Might be overlooked.
R10 - #3 Mission Hill (12-1) this is totally a gut play with the switch to dirt.

DMR
R1 - #4 Big Buzz (10-1) Del Mar is the only track I play on the Cali circuit. Goes back to spending many summers spent there as a young man in my 20's. An angle I love at DMR is to take horses in claiming races with decent back class at the track. This one fits nicely.

IND
R8 - #11 River Redemption (15-1) drew in due to scratches - I had him circled just in case. Never runs a bad race at Indy and loves the soft grass.
 

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good call Mel on that Bright future pony about 11/1 score and river redemption went off at 9/5 and scored too.
 

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7/21

SAR
R7 - #2 Big Night Out (6-1)
R8 - #6 Bright Future (9-2) winner paid $24.40
R10 - #3 Mission Hill (12-1) placed - inquiry and objection wouldn't hold.

DMR
R1 - #4 Big Buzz (10-1)

IND
R8 - #11 River Redemption (15-1) winner paid only $5.80

100/302
total - 3,000/2,829 (0.94)
 

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7/22

MTH
R6 - #9 El Hermano (15-1) doesn't need the lead and thus might get a dream trip behind the battle between #8 & #10. Unlikely, but worth a shot at the price.
R9 - #5 Witty (9-2) showed he doesn't need Lasix with a sharp sprint at LRL leading up to this. A better break today gets him the prize.

SAR
R2 - #7 What's Up Doc (7-2) has been a bit of a money burner in his short career, but I like the 6-pound weight allowance and if I'm lucky he'll only end up 3rd choice today instead of odds-on.
R4 - #3 Husband Material (9-2) drops in class and picks up Irad for a barn that wouldn't ship here just for the atmosphere.
R5 - #2 Cupid's Heart (4-1) makes 2nd start off the long layoff. Any improvement puts her in control of the race.
 

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7/22 results

MTH
R6 - #9 El Hermano (15-1) 2nd paid $16.60!
R9 - #5 Witty (9-2) 2nd

SAR
R2 - #7 What's Up Doc (7-2) 2nd
R4 - #3 Husband Material (9-2) 2nd
R5 - #2 Cupid's Heart (4-1) 2nd

GP - #7 Grand Valley (6-1) winner paid $14.00

120/140
summer total - 3,120/2,969 (0.95)

1 winner and 5 places. Could have been a great day.
 
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You're seeing them real well, Niko. Hate those second place days but your handicapping is spot on.
 

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