Melniko Summer Picks

[Melniko]

6/17
Fast and firm at Belmont - much better day of racing today. I also see a couple with good value at Delaware.

DEL
R6 - #4 Caged Pixie (8-1) definitely regressed after the claim by Eppler, but lures the red-hot Centeno for the 2nd off layoff.
R8 - #1 Alice Harper (5-2) there are others who should draw some action, so the price will be fair value for a filly with some talent. I like the rail draw.

BEL
R2 - #7 Photon (3-1) gets Irad for 3rd off layoff and has run consistently well on the grass. Only knock is the history of seconditis. She's due?
R3 - #7 Save Grace (4-1) Has been steadily regressing, but now drops all the way to $16k. Classic buy low scenario?
R5 - #5 Shreveport (9-2) I feel like Chad Brown's horse will take too much action and allow me to keep some good value here for a horse that ran well at Belmont last summer and looks (from the works) to be fit for the return.
R8 - #7 Exact Estimate (8-5) the only way he gets beat today is if he gets struck by lightning in the starting gate. You like the odds on lightning?
R9 - #1 Goodnight Olive (6-5) 2nd half of the most "sure-thing" double I've seen in a long time. Lock city.

 

[Melniko]

6/17 results

DEL
R6 - #4 Caged Pixie (8-1)
R8 - #1 Alice Harper (5-2) 3rd

BEL
R2 - #7 Photon (3-1) winner paid $5.90.
R3 - #7 Save Grace (4-1)
R5 - #5 Shreveport (9-2) 2nd
R8 - #7 Exact Estimate (8-5) winner paid $3.90.
R9 - #1 Goodnight Olive (6-5) winner paid $2.60.

140/124
running total - 920/604.20

 

[Melniko]

6/18 Happy Father's Day

BEL
R6 - #6 Union Tap (4-1) should have been on dirt all along.
R9 - #9 Brass Monkey (6-1) going to try and beat Irad in the nightcap.

PARX
R2 - #5 Divine Twist (12-1) gets blinks after a decent run off the rest. Maiden score was at the distance.
R6 - #3 Silver Edge (5-1) makes third start off the layoff at lowest level since his last victory.
R10 - #8 Bluey (4-1) I'm not afraid of the class hike. It will help the odds on a horse who's been heavily backed in last two failures. Third time's a charm.

ELP
R6 - #1 Scarlet Stripe (4-1) T-Gaff will have her gunning from the rail. Wire to wire.

 

[Melniko]

6/18 Happy Father's Day

BEL
R6 - #6 Union Tap (4-1) should have been on dirt all along.
R9 - #9 Brass Monkey (6-1) going to try and beat Irad in the nightcap.

PARX
R2 - #5 Divine Twist (12-1) gets blinks after a decent run off the rest. Maiden score was at the distance.
R6 - #3 Silver Edge (5-1) makes third start off the layoff at lowest level since his last victory.
R10 - #8 Bluey (4-1) I'm not afraid of the class hike. It will help the odds on a horse who's been heavily backed in last two failures. Third time's a charm.

ELP
R6 - #1 Scarlet Stripe (4-1) T-Gaff will have her gunning from the rail. Wire to wire.

shut out.
total - 1,040/604.20

 

[Melniko]

6/20
PARX
R9 - #6 Mercy Mercy (6-1) last minute pick. I'm all over it.

 

[Melniko]

6/20 (continued)

MNR
R5 - #6 Agador Spartacus (12-1) strange that this is the first dirt mile attempt for this guy in 22 races. Should have no problem with the distance having scored going a mile on grass at Turf Paradise. Could be a sneaky one.
R8 - #5 Pitman (8-1) making 3rd try off the layoff after running out of gas in first two. Only negative here is the incompetent jockey. Hopefully, the horse overcomes him.

PEN
R7 - #2 Warisha (6-1) made a mockery of the field in her debut. This level looks correct for first try against winners and trainer is 3 for her last 6 off a maiden victory.
R8 - #5 Lavery (9-2) should be favored, but maybe the flop in the last race will help get fair odds. If he stays near 9-2 it seems like a steal.

 

[Melniko]

6/20 (continued)

MNR
R5 - #6 Agador Spartacus (12-1) strange that this is the first dirt mile attempt for this guy in 22 races. Should have no problem with the distance having scored going a mile on grass at Turf Paradise. Could be a sneaky one.
R8 - #5 Pitman (8-1) making 3rd try off the layoff after running out of gas in first two. Only negative here is the incompetent jockey. Hopefully, the horse overcomes him.

PEN
R7 - #2 Warisha (6-1) made a mockery of the field in her debut. This level looks correct for first try against winners and trainer is 3 for her last 6 off a maiden victory.
R8 - #5 Lavery (9-2) should be favored, but maybe the flop in the last race will help get fair odds. If he stays near 9-2 it seems like a steal.

One winner - R5 at MNR. But he got bet down from 12-1 to pay only $8.60

total - 1,120/690.20

 

[Melniko]

6/21
CBY
R4 - #7 Cupid's Crush (12-1)
R5 - #2 Chasing Shadows (9-2)
R6 - #2 Midnight Current (6-1)
R7 - #2 Minister of Soul (10-1)

 

[Jack1999]

In a CBY Game tonight. R6/7 your pick is my alternate. see what goes down. GL Mel,

 

[Melniko]

In a CBY Game tonight. R6/7 your pick is my alternate. see what goes down. GL Mel,

Good luck in your tourney!

 

[Jack1999]

Good luck in your tourney!

THX Mel also the 7 was my alternate in race 4 good call 8/1 winner.

 

[Melniko]

6/21 Results
CBY
R4 - #7 Cupid's Crush (12-1) winner paid $18.60
R5 - #2 Chasing Shadows (9-2) 2nd
R6 - #2 Midnight Current (6-1) 2nd
R7 - #2 Minister of Soul (10-1) out

80/186
total - 1,200/876.20

 

[Melniko]

6/22

BEL
R1 - #1 Mount Up (6-5) so far in this thread I am 0 for 2 with "locks", but I'm a glutton for punishment. Lock city.
R2 - #3 Duke Of Hazzard (4-1) well-traveled gelding won't have to navigate all the traffic like in KEE last race. Does need a solid pace, though.
R6 - #3 Mr. Phil (8-1) undefeated in his last 4 tries with Lasix added to the equation.

 

[Jack1999]

6/22

BEL
R1 - #1 Mount Up (6-5) so far in this thread I am 0 for 2 with "locks", but I'm a glutton for punishment. Lock city.
R2 - #3 Duke Of Hazzard (4-1) well-traveled gelding won't have to navigate all the traffic like in KEE last race. Does need a solid pace, though.
R6 - #3 Mr. Phil (8-1) undefeated in his last 4 tries with Lasix added to the equation.

wins by a nose

 

[Melniko]

wins by a nose

Good thing he has a big nose!

 

[Jack1999]

6/22

BEL
R1 - #1 Mount Up (6-5) so far in this thread I am 0 for 2 with "locks", but I'm a glutton for punishment. Lock city.
R2 - #3 Duke Of Hazzard (4-1) well-traveled gelding won't have to navigate all the traffic like in KEE last race. Does need a solid pace, though.
R6 - #3 Mr. Phil (8-1) undefeated in his last 4 tries with Lasix added to the equation.

good find Mel but according to the BRIS he is not getting Lasix today

 

[Melniko]

good find Mel but according to the BRIS he is not getting Lasix today

Crap - wish I could have cancelled the bet.

 

[Melniko]

6/22

BEL
R1 - #1 Mount Up (6-5) so far in this thread I am 0 for 2 with "locks", but I'm a glutton for punishment. Lock city.
R2 - #3 Duke Of Hazzard (4-1) well-traveled gelding won't have to navigate all the traffic like in KEE last race. Does need a solid pace, though.
R6 - #3 Mr. Phil (8-1) undefeated in his last 4 tries with Lasix added to the equation.

One win (the lock) paid $2.80 - I had four other winners on the card today and won my HT tourney, but unfortunately posted the wrong ones!

total - 1,260/904.20

 

[Melniko]

6/23
Royal Ascot
R5 - #2 Jackie Oh (14-1)

MTH
R4 - #6 Give It A Go (6-1)
R6 - #1 Rol Again Dancer (5-1)
R8 - #3 Awesome View (7-2)

 

[Melniko]

6/23
Royal Ascot
R5 - #2 Jackie Oh (14-1)

MTH
R4 - #6 Give It A Go (6-1)
R6 - #1 Rol Again Dancer (5-1)
R8 - #3 Awesome View (7-2)

0 for 3 with a scratch.
1,320/904.20