I am aware of what you say... back then just a few years ago, things were very different. I am talking about massive change.
The point I am making is that things are going in a direction (hockey stick curve) that will make things even more difficult for the small-medium markets.
Look at the empty seats, clubs ate losses last year thinking it was a one time hit to their P&L, this winter they see it as long term, not going to keep losing big bucks.
Here is what has changed:
- people do not want to take their families to games because of covid
- people do not want to take their families to inner city stadiums with defunding the police policies, the police will not help you if there is a problem if violent crime occurs
This just multiplies the effect that for years fans have figured out that paying $75 for a ticket, driving thru traffic, paying for parking, walking to the stadium, standing in line, paying $9 for a hot dog, $9 for a soda, take a piss in a stinky "restroom", then walking back to the parking lot fighting traffic, driving home... is not worth it when you have a 65" HD screen and the broadcasters tell you who is injured and you see replays to show what is going on and you can just get up and get a soda out of the fridge.
Again, I do not know what will happen with the new labor contract, but all things being equal, I think the big teams will still spend going into 2022, but more and more medium-small market teams will pull further back on team salary budget.
Dodgers and Yankees have had the top winning % in MLB last 10 years, for a reason, and it will get worse for the medium & small markets.
I am not recommending salary caps (luxury tax is a joke for the big dogs) nor salary minimums are the answer, maybe they are, but these new challenges pile on to the problem and something has to be done, the greatest game of them all is becoming too unbalanced.
(non salary changes IMO: ban the shift---infielders on dirt, two on each side at least 20' from 2B, DH for both leagues though I personally like the NL situation, keep extra inning rule with runner on 2B, end 3 hitter minimum for pitchers, umps call low strike but lower the high strike accordingly, expand to 26 man rosters so long as at least 3 primary catchers are on the roster)