GoSooners Plays for Week 1

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Sonny Dykes has not been happy with Arizona's offensive performance in practice and scrimmages for the last two weeks. It's looking like the defense is really going to have to be stout this first game . . . .

CM has had problems on the lines with the bigger boys. Their only hope is Lefevour will need a huge game. He is capable and is a four-year starter at QB for CM.
 

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hi are you going to update your picks as we getcloser to the 5th there is so much conversation that finding them is becoming difficult. gl for the year i did well ly with your 5 star so heres hoping. heart222
 

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i live in vegas so i went to the book today to see what the utep line was...it was 6.5 on the board so i went to bet it and the comp put out 7.5 so i stayed away....maybe a teaser play wit minny, texas, and oregon?? im already gonna go with a straight up 2 teamer texas and minny so i figure a parlay too wont hurt.....

UTEP -1.5
Texas -34.5
Oregon +11
Minny -1
 

"It's great to be alive and ahead by seven" Mort o
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GoSooners, it is TIME for you to start Krackin some Nutts! You are one of the good guys.:toast::103631605 LT
 

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GS, been following you for the past few yrs here and love your analysis and picks!! GL this year and I will be here to listen to your advice :toast:

Jay
 

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i live in vegas so i went to the book today to see what the utep line was...it was 6.5 on the board so i went to bet it and the comp put out 7.5 so i stayed away....maybe a teaser play wit minny, texas, and oregon?? im already gonna go with a straight up 2 teamer texas and minny so i figure a parlay too wont hurt.....

UTEP -1.5
Texas -34.5
Oregon +11
Minny -1

I don't bet ncaa teasers and I for sure wouldn't tease a large favorite like you have with UT but good luck anyways :ohno:
 

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i was thinkin bout going wit this 6 teamer:

Tulsa -14
Minny -6.5
Texas -40.5
Texas AM -14
Arizona -13
Oregon +5

What do u guys think??
yumaverick...If I was going to play a teaser, I would go with where my odds are more on my side for a team to win the game outright. And most of the time this means playing the big favorite home team on opening weekend. I would be looking at these teams.

Wisconsin
Ohio State
Penn St.
Nebraska
 

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GoSooners, it is TIME for you to start Krackin some Nutts! You are one of the good guys.:toast::103631605 LT
One more week to Nutt Krackin' time Coach. As always, I'm looking forward to your Rubberband Games this season. They are the cat's meow. BOL this season :toast:
 

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hi are you going to update your picks as we getcloser to the 5th there is so much conversation that finding them is becoming difficult. gl for the year i did well ly with your 5 star so heres hoping. heart222
heart222...When I can, I'll keep my plays updated on each page. Here's what I have so far

Minnesota (-6.5) over Cuse ***
Colorado (-11) over CSU **
Oregon (+5.5) over Boise St.**
 

Where Taconite Is Just A Low Grade Ore
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Just For The Hell Of It

If I were going to play a Teaser how about this one?
6 pt 4 tm
UTEP -1-
Mn -1/2
Ill -1/2
Bama - 1

Will this Off Season NEVER end? Don't have THAT much time to wait anymore boys. Hope this is a great one for all my Pals here @ RX!!! I'm excited for the wkend of 9/12, my boys have season tickets and have talked me into going to see the opening of the GG new OUTDOOR stadium!! No more friggen dome. This will be nostalgic for me as I'll be recalling MANY games @ the "Brickhouse". We play AF, so as a USAF Vet, I'll have mixed emotions as my 2 fav. teams have at it. BOL Guys:toast:
 
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GS, I am sure this will be discussed but what are your thoughts on the UG/NCST game on Thursday night?
 

Where Taconite Is Just A Low Grade Ore
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Starks loss already reflected in the line move, on a KEY #!
 

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If I were going to play a Teaser how about this one?
6 pt 4 tm
UTEP -1-
Mn -1/2
Ill -1/2
Bama - 1

Will this Off Season NEVER end? Don't have THAT much time to wait anymore boys. Hope this is a great one for all my Pals here @ RX!!! I'm excited for the wkend of 9/12, my boys have season tickets and have talked me into going to see the opening of the GG new OUTDOOR stadium!! No more friggen dome. This will be nostalgic for me as I'll be recalling MANY games @ the "Brickhouse". We play AF, so as a USAF Vet, I'll have mixed emotions as my 2 fav. teams have at it. BOL Guys:toast:
Silver...That first outdoor game for the GG's will be a great football setting. I think the pro style offense that empasizes more running is a good one to go to for Minny. Especially when we hit November and the high's will be in the teens up there. This could be a little bit of an advantage for Minny when those passing teams come to town and try to throw a frozen football.
 

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GS, I am sure this will be discussed but what are your thoughts on the UG/NCST game on Thursday night?
I had a few thoughts about this game on page one arguing in South Carolina's favor. I only did this for the sake of argument because virtually everybody was on NCST. Now to make an argument for NCST, I think we can all agree that this team improved dramatically from their first game of last season when they lost 34-0 to South Carolina. So I'm not sure that season to season line value/change means anything in this game. I also made a case against NCST because they will be missing the offensive equal to Russell Wilson on defense when LB Irving went down. BUT, sometimes too much is made of one player missing from the lineup before the season even begins. O'Brien at least gets to have the time to break a new player into the lineup as opposed to a player getting hurt during the season. Another thing is will South Carolina even be able to exploit a defense with some weaknesses? SC only averaged rushing 94 ypg last season. This won't get it done on the road. It's only because SC had a good defense that they even became bowl eligible. So even though I believe SC will be bringing the better defense, NCST still could be the team to win the rushing battle. And if they do that, I believe they'll win the game. Besides getting a new DC, I'm not sure Spurrier has made enough changes to this team to dramatically improve it this year. That's why I have a lot of trouble siding with SC in this first game. As for NCST, they won 9 games ATS last year. All as dogs in their games. So this brings up a little bit of a red flag with me for this season. They'll be a short favorite in this game. But if they should beat SC handily in this game, I believe their line value will pretty much go out the window. NCST's next two games after this will be against two FCS teams, in which they should clean up. Then they'll face Pitt at home on 9-26. I think after these first few games, we'll get a good number with Pitt. This could be a good time to go against NCST. This first game I have a slight lean to NCST. But I'm still not sure yet if I'm going to play it. It all depends on line movement. Or lack of it.
 

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Notre Dame (-13.5) over Nevada ***

Notre Dame looks like a team to me that is getting ready to explode on offense this season. All of the ingredients are there including a talented group of wr's and 4 returning starters on the offensive line. I also think the talented RB's are pleniful this year including VHT freshman Cierra Wood if he gets in the lineup. I expect whoever emerges from this group to make much more of a dent than they have in previous years and the Irish will have a 1000 yard rusher back there. And I believe in turn this better offensive production will take some pressure off of the defense. ND may get off to a little bit of a slow start defensively because of a relatively inexperienced D-Line. But I think in a game like this against a Non-BCS team, that their wekanesses will not come out in this game. If you guys remember my ATS thread that I ran earlier this summer, you know that ND was one of my top 10 possible ATS beaters this season. And I think they'll do it because of a combination of an easy schedule and a very potent offense. Much like what Okie State did last season with the cupcakes on their schedule. it didn't matter how much the other team scored, OSU simply wore down the weaker defenses, outscored them and got the cover. I can see many of ND's games going the same way.

Nevada is a team that i've never liked playing on in their road games. Their defense is simply too weak to cope with these BCS conference teams. Here is a little example of what I'm talking about:

2008

+26 at Missouri (lost 69-17)
-2 vs Maryland bowl game (lost 42-35 to a weak Maryland offense that had something like 600 yards of offense in this game on a neutral field)

2007

+21 at Nebraska (lost 52-10) Nebraska went 5-7 that year
+10 at Northwestern (lost 36-31 but covered) NW also lost the next week to Duke. The only game Duke won that year! So that cover isn't looking so good now.

2006

+14 at Arizona (lost 52-21)

So Nevada has covered just one time in the last 3 years on the road. And that was against a weak NW team. And they haven't held any of these teams under 36 points. Take NW out of the equation and 52 is the least they've given up. I'll vow that Notre Dame is better than NW..And Nevada isn't that much better than the team who lost in their bowl game. I look for the ND offense to have a coming out party. And by the time the smoke clears we'll probably see no less than five TD's passes thrown by Claussen against a Nevada swiss cheese defense that gave up one of the nation's worst 330 ypg passing per game last season.

Notre Dame 55
Nevada 21
 

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article about nevada's secondary...

Pass defense not going to hold Nevada back in 2009

August 26, 2009 5:55 PM

Posted by ESPN.com's Graham Watson

For as good as Nevada's offense was last season, its defense was atrocious and often cost the Wolf Pack games.

The biggest problem was an inability to stop the pass. Nevada was last in the country in passing defense with 311.62 yards per game. In only one game last season -- the Humanitarian Bowl against Maryland -- did the Wolf Pack allow fewer than 200 passing yards. Against some of the more prolific passing offenses Nevada faced last season -- Missouri, Boise State and New Mexico State -- the Wolf Pack allowed 519, 414, and 409 passing yards to those opponents respectively.

"You know, last year, there were signs and you'd look and you were starting to play well and starting to come around and then all of a sudden the dike would bust open again, coach Chris Ault said.

The problem with the passing defense was two-fold. The Wolf Pack were breaking in a new scheme with first-year defensive coordinator Nigel Burton and secondary two-deep was young and inexperienced.

But Ault expects better results this year as Nevada heads into the 2009 season with hopes of challenging for the WAC title and knocking off some of the more prolific teams on the nonconference schedule.

"What we did this year, instead of putting the players to the scheme, we put the scheme to the players, Ault said. "And [we] have had a nice fall camp. I believe our defense is improved. I asked the coaches& I didn't say make [the defense] more simple, I said be more specific, and it's been a pretty good offseason in terms of what's expected and what we should be doing.

The secondary knows it was the reason for some of the team's losses last season and it took that feeling to heart this offseason as it tried to get better. Quarterback Colin Kaepernick has helped spur that along with his leadership both on the field and in the weight room. He's told the defense how much they're needed for a successful season and both sides of the ball committed to getting better.

Starting safety Jonathon Amaya said the secondary has looked sharper during fall camp. They're more familiar with the defensive scheme and they're gelling more than they did a year ago.

"I feel like we came in with a whole different focus, especially in the offseason, Amaya said. "I don't think anyone expected to play the way that we did last season and I think a lot of guys really took it to heart because of the outcome. I know there were a lot of games that were that close, that kind of came down to the wire and some of those games were on the pass defense that needed to improve. I feel like we've conditioned well. We've prepared well. Summer workouts went great, spring went great.

"We're going to be prepared, well prepared and that's all we can do.
 

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