This is one reason why teasers aren't a good play in college football. Most of the time you don't need the points. As for the Oregon game, I see your point and wouldn't blame you at all for playing it that way if you like the Ducks.. But the fact that this game was so close last year, makes me have second thoughts about the ML. It could be another nailbiter.
wasnt boise up 23 or 27 points or something in the 2nd half? i think Oregon made a feverish comeback last year while Boise may have let up a little bit assuming a win just a little bit too early in Autzen. close on the scoreboard but in reality Boise had that game easily won
As far as playing Organ on the ML.....might have to reconsider my statement there....playing Boise to lose at home i guess isnt very wise. they have a great ATS record but they are 53-0 the last 11 years at home as a favorite.
i'm starting to like Boise a bit now, especially if that number continues to inch down
good luck this year
I'm glad to have found this thread.
Been lurking around since last year and love your insight.
Went to the game last year @ Autzen wearing green and gold, but with my moolah on BSU cuz i thought it would be close and 10 was too many. (used to live in Portland= 2 fave teams)
I have changed my mind 30 or so times in the last couple of weeks. The excitement here is already insane. Friggen Fred Meyers are selling "Buck the Ducks" T shirts and tix are extremely hard to get.
This game is by far the biggest in Boise history, it will be electric.
With that being said, if that number gets up to 6.5 I think my mind will be made up and will have to go with the Ducks because it may come down to who has the ball last/ OT.
Good luck this year
lets hope for a great game...
BB
Been lurking around since last year and love your insight.
Went to the game last year @ Autzen wearing green and gold, but with my moolah on BSU cuz i thought it would be close and 10 was too many. (used to live in Portland= 2 fave teams)
I have changed my mind 30 or so times in the last couple of weeks. The excitement here is already insane. Friggen Fred Meyers are selling "Buck the Ducks" T shirts and tix are extremely hard to get.
This game is by far the biggest in Boise history, it will be electric.
With that being said, if that number gets up to 6.5 I think my mind will be made up and will have to go with the Ducks because it may come down to who has the ball last/ OT.
Good luck this year
lets hope for a great game...
BB
I hope it goes to 6.5 for you. I don't think it will. But if it does, essentially what the bettors are saying is given the formula of 3 points for home field advantage, that at 6.5 Boise would be made the favored team if they came to Autzen to play. And realistically we know that's not going to happen when Oregon was favored by 10 last season.
The only games where I feel like you may need the extra points is Texas and maybe Arizona. Although I have a feeling that Zona's defense will probably cover it for them. Texas A&M is probably the only untrustworthy team of this bunch. But New Mexico is in such disarray that the Aggies will probably cover the 14.
Stoops will have some comments after practice today and possibly address the QB situation. I think their pass rush is simply too much for the OL at this point. I have heard that this defensive line is extremely quick and I, like GS, think it may be too much for CM to handle and may create some short field situations.
I'm still gathering info on the Georgia/OSU game. The thing that Georgia will have to have in this game is the ability to move the ball on the ground to help out the new QB. And at least come close or in the same ballpark to the rushing numbers of OSU. So the RB's are what I'm really looking closely at in these fall practices. I personally think the Georgia defense will be fine. This team had 44 starts lost to injury last year, including some key defensive linemen and linebackers.. And this can be very disruptive to any defense. Georgia simply has too many VHT players back there not to be able to improve dramatically this year. I'm also looking at Bama, and how much they are going to miss their big OL Smith, along with a couple other offensive lineman. Bama's ability to run behind these monsters is what won them 12 games last year. Here is part of an article on these players that will be missed the most by these SEC teams:
Five SEC players who will be missed the most
1. Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia: How could I pick Moreno instead of QB Matthew Stafford, the No. 1 draft choice? Simple. Right now I think Georgia is more confident about the play of senior quarterback Joe Cox than it is at the running back position. If Moreno was back to run behind this veteran offensive line, I believe the Bulldogs would be good enough to make a serious run at Florida in the SEC East. Georgia has some good running backs. I just don’t see any GREAT running backs. At least not yet. Moreno was a great running back.
2. Andre Smith, OT, Alabama: Because the Alabama defense is still so good, I couldn’t go with safety Rashad Johnson, who I thought was a really great player. But the Crimson Tide is really going to miss the big fella at left tackle. He allowed Alabama to run the ball whenever it wanted to, even when opponents were putting eight in the box. The Crimson Tide offense could just beat up opposing defenses and wear them down over the course of a game. Alabama’s offense will still be solid, but the Tide won’t be able to impose their will on teams like they could last season with Smith as their anchor.
Five SEC players who will be missed the most
1. Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia: How could I pick Moreno instead of QB Matthew Stafford, the No. 1 draft choice? Simple. Right now I think Georgia is more confident about the play of senior quarterback Joe Cox than it is at the running back position. If Moreno was back to run behind this veteran offensive line, I believe the Bulldogs would be good enough to make a serious run at Florida in the SEC East. Georgia has some good running backs. I just don’t see any GREAT running backs. At least not yet. Moreno was a great running back.
2. Andre Smith, OT, Alabama: Because the Alabama defense is still so good, I couldn’t go with safety Rashad Johnson, who I thought was a really great player. But the Crimson Tide is really going to miss the big fella at left tackle. He allowed Alabama to run the ball whenever it wanted to, even when opponents were putting eight in the box. The Crimson Tide offense could just beat up opposing defenses and wear them down over the course of a game. Alabama’s offense will still be solid, but the Tide won’t be able to impose their will on teams like they could last season with Smith as their anchor.
