Silver old buddy, I hope your doing well today..As for those hooks, I ALWAYS buy the hook. It always saves me several times a year...As a rule though, when I play a Best Bet, I won't buy the hook because my bet is large as it is on that play. Plus I feel that if I'm playing the dog on a BB play that the dog has a good chance of winning the game outright. If I play the favorite, I feel that the line is off by at least a TD to my number on the line. For instance Tulsa is 16 point favorites today, and my line has them at 25. Now this being conference play, the game could come closer to the original line than my line..But I still like this play at -15.5...
There are no true running dogs in the Big 12 this week..The only teams who are borderline running dogs are Iowa State, Nebraska and Baylor. The running dogs system isn't as simple as it looks. It involves having to calculate yards per carry for one team against the other. But it also involves how strong your opposition has been..In other words your defense can look like world beaters against the rush if all that you have played to that point is passing teams. And on the other side of that coin, if you've been playing some outstanding rushing teams, your defense may not look as good statistically as it really is..A friend of mine does all of the math calculations for this system and then gives me his list of the best dogs for that week. And also the possible running dogs for the week. You can calculate all of these games if you have a spreadsheet..I know several on here that have their own spreadsheet that they do a similar system from..If you don't want to go through all of that, I believe Fox Sheets on the internet has most all of those numbers already figured for you.
Oklahoma is just not letting up on anybody this year, which kind of surprises me here. I hate to sound like a homer, but I haven't seen anybody that is as dominant as the Sooners this year..They'll be a tough team to beat if Stoops keeps them focused every week..It's going to be hard to get the over total for this game if Baylor don't do their part.By a sliver.. damn I expected a low score.. not that low.. Chalk the winner
About the only thing I can hope for with the spread is if OU starts playing reserves midway though the third quarter and we get a little more scoring out of Baylor's first unit..But at any rate I think we get the over here. Damn Iowa has just fumbled their game away today. Just like last week...
