Auburn (-3 bought the .5) over Vandy ***
I've pretty much already given the reason for this play in my answer to Delta above earlier today..But the key number for me in this game is 3. So I bought the half a point. If the line should get down to an even 3 I would consider this one for a Best Bet play..But as it stands it's a medium play for me. Auburn is a very good cover team against short lines of a FG or less. In my opinion they are probably 2 TD's better than Vandy..But since the game is played at Vandy, the score may not reflect it.
I've pretty much already given the reason for this play in my answer to Delta above earlier today..But the key number for me in this game is 3. So I bought the half a point. If the line should get down to an even 3 I would consider this one for a Best Bet play..But as it stands it's a medium play for me. Auburn is a very good cover team against short lines of a FG or less. In my opinion they are probably 2 TD's better than Vandy..But since the game is played at Vandy, the score may not reflect it.
I usually fare pretty well in betting OU games..To tell you the truth I would lay odds that my winning percentage is higher when I bet against OU than when I bet for them. I feel like this is a good spot for Baylor..OU is capable of putting the hammer down on this team and winning by 35...But I don't think it's going to happen here. I think OU is going to have other things on their minds coming into this game and won't be 100% focused here. But like I said here before, I don't like the 24 number now..I liked it much better when I had it at 27. 4 TD's is usually the key number for me when playing big home dogs.
<TABLE class=table_title style="LINE-HEIGHT: 12px" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD width="8%">Player:</TD><TD>Kaipo-Noa Kaheaku-Enhada QB, Navy Midshipmen 10/03/08, Time: 4:54 pm</TD></TR><TR><TD width="8%"> Status:</TD><TD><TABLE class=table_title cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD>
</TD><TD vAlign=center>Probable</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top width="8%"> News:</TD><TD>After leaving last week's game with an aggravated hamstring, Navy QB Kaipo-Noa Kaheaku-Enhada looks like he'll be able to play Saturday. </TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top width="8%"> Analysis:</TD><TD>
Though probable, fantasy owners should be wary of the Navy quarterback's nagging hamstsring issue. I'd make him prove it to me this week, then perhaps jump back on his bandwagon.
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>The QB situation is the only problem that I'm having with Navy. They are the running dogs in this game..But I have a feeling they're going to need a healthy Kaipo to cover the spread, which keeps going down. AF is due for a win in this series..Haven't they lost the last 4 or 5 games in a row?<TABLE class=table_title style="LINE-HEIGHT: 12px" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD width="8%">Player:</TD><TD>Kaipo-Noa Kaheaku-Enhada QB, Navy Midshipmen 10/03/08, Time: 4:54 pm</TD></TR><TR><TD width="8%">Status:</TD><TD><TABLE class=table_title cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD></TD><TD vAlign=center>Probable</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top width="8%">News:</TD><TD>After leaving last week's game with an aggravated hamstring, Navy QB Kaipo-Noa Kaheaku-Enhada looks like he'll be able to play Saturday. </TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top width="8%">Analysis:</TD><TD>Though probable, fantasy owners should be wary of the Navy quarterback's nagging hamstsring issue. I'd make him prove it to me this week, then perhaps jump back on his bandwagon.
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
No, 5D Is One I Missed
For me right now I have enough outs. @ my age I have a hard time remembering to wear shoes when I go out. I played Baylor @ 27, it's 24- now if by some miracle it goes 24 & under, I'd middle. Not a play I'm completely successful with most of the time. I like the card today, not always so. My 2 biggest Tulsa 16 & VT 27-. I waited too long on Iowa, but bought it to 7, just 10% so not too bad. Don't know how you feel, but in my over 50 yrs of doing this I WILL NOT get beat by the hook. Some of the young guys have math formulas saying it's a bad play, but time & time it's made me more $$ than it's cost. And I've kept track every yr. BOL as usual my friend. W or L you're always a class act. Would love to have a session w/you LT & Pags, fun & BS.:thumbsup:
For me right now I have enough outs. @ my age I have a hard time remembering to wear shoes when I go out. I played Baylor @ 27, it's 24- now if by some miracle it goes 24 & under, I'd middle. Not a play I'm completely successful with most of the time. I like the card today, not always so. My 2 biggest Tulsa 16 & VT 27-. I waited too long on Iowa, but bought it to 7, just 10% so not too bad. Don't know how you feel, but in my over 50 yrs of doing this I WILL NOT get beat by the hook. Some of the young guys have math formulas saying it's a bad play, but time & time it's made me more $$ than it's cost. And I've kept track every yr. BOL as usual my friend. W or L you're always a class act. Would love to have a session w/you LT & Pags, fun & BS.:thumbsup:
On Auburn the scoring averages make it dangerous to take. Vandy has outscored their average by 12 points. You have the best turn over differential in the country going against a great defense in Auburn. The total is to low to take either way but I would expect this to be a low scoring game and therefore would hate giving points to a home dog. Maybe shave this play? BOL.. At -3 it is some what playable but I only see -4 which my as well be 6 or 7.
