I like Navy...But I'm still trying to decide between them and a couple other teams..Despite being a possible letdown spot, I really like Oregon State too. This game is much closer on the numbers than the line..And keep in mind how strong OSU's strength of schedule is..They've played Penn State and USC. The best team that Utah has played is an unprepared Michigan team in their first game. Oregon State is starting to get good and are playing well...They started showing it in the hawaii game before USC..And they've apparantely found something on offense during their bye week before USC..They look very in sync on offense..And I don't think their win over USC was as big of a fluke as people are trying to make it out to be. Sorry to ramble on here..I think the OSU game has already started. I forgot the damn thing was tonight.
If it was me, I would probably play the Tulsa game as a 3 star play instead of a Best Bet...I wouldn't play the Iowa game at all because I feel that with the 7.5 number, the hook means alot in a game like this. The Texas total I would still play. But small..And Illinois I would still play. But anytime the line gets at 2 or under I almost always play the moneyline.. By the way if the Texas-Colorado spread should go back up to 14 I would consider playing Colorado..Even at 13 it may not be a bad play..13 is a key number for me when playing dogs..I've got to at least see that number with a 2 TD spread...But 14 means having to win by 3 scores..Which is a pretty big mountain to climb in what I anticipate to be a low to medium scoring game....Good luck
I put a couple 3 digit bills on it at halftime (didn't get a chance to post). Like I stated this team doesn't blow people out or doesn't get blown because of the stash's approach. They ran it in the 2nd half with success (Shady is simply a stud) and they pulled it out. Big win for the stash and that program.
I'm going to probably have 1 or 2 more plays tonight..Teams I'm looking at but waiting for some better lines are Texas Tech, Auburn, Missouri, Colorado and Kansas. If the Texas Tech line gets under 7 I would jump on it..TT has historically been a bad team against the spread on the road. But this is a case where this is TT's best team in years, and KSU's worst team..I believe TT is much the better team. I wouldn't pay too much attention around here to what you hear about the Red Raiders. They have some of the best personnel and skill players in the league. And they've had 2 weeks off to prepare for their first conference game. Believe me, they'll be in the thick of it in the Big 12 South. They weren't picked second to OU in the South for nothing. Plus we may be getting more value with this game than any other in the Big 12 because TT is just a one score favorite on the road.. As for Auburn, this is another case where I believe they have the much better personnel. Vandy has some speed on defense. But they have yet to to have a team line up and go right at them..And with Auburn putting a fullback in the backfield this week, their going to just that. Vandy got away with wins against SC and Ole Miss because of their opponents miscues..But you can't rely on that in every single game..It should bother people that Vandy is also getting outyardaged this season. And this is never a good thing when trying to keep a winning streak alive.. And Auburn is a killer cover team when the spread is a FG or under..That's why I would like to see this game get down to 3..If it doesn't I'm still going to play on the Tigers. But for a smaller play. The quick Auburn defense will be the difference in this game..Vandy QB Nickson is going to run into problems in this game with the Auburn speed. The Kansas and Colorado games I haven't decided on..The Colorado game will possibly be a play if some Texas money would come back in and drive this line up to 13 or more..Despite CU's O-Line problems, I believe they could keep this game close. Texas hasn't played anybody yet..Colorado has..And the SOS could be the difference in this game. But 13 is the key number for me there. Kansas is another team I'm looking at. Although this is the weakest play. I actually kind of liked Iowa State when this line was up around 13.5 or 14 earlier in the week..But wioth the line getting to around 11, I have to start looking at the other side..Kansas has been maligned for not having a run game. But Iowa State's run defense is terrible..So I think Kansas could have some success there..Plus Kansas has a huge QB edge in this game..So this another one where I'm waiting the lines out.
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Cincy - Marshall
GS - you look at this cincy game tonight at all? I think this a good spot for Marshall, facing a Cincy team who will be rotating their 4th and 5th string qb's tonight (both redshirt freshman). That can be a daunting task, asked to make your first start as a frosh on a nationally televised game. Marshall was the unpleasant victim of an angry WVU team last week. However, they looked good the previous week when they beat Southern Miss in your best bet play. Home dog, friday night nationally televised game. Like the spot. Interested to hear your thoughts.
GS - you look at this cincy game tonight at all? I think this a good spot for Marshall, facing a Cincy team who will be rotating their 4th and 5th string qb's tonight (both redshirt freshman). That can be a daunting task, asked to make your first start as a frosh on a nationally televised game. Marshall was the unpleasant victim of an angry WVU team last week. However, they looked good the previous week when they beat Southern Miss in your best bet play. Home dog, friday night nationally televised game. Like the spot. Interested to hear your thoughts.
Mastertv...The problem I have with the game is my numbers have Cincy winning by 12. But this is a good angle for Marshall playing at home on weekday game with Cincy having their first conference game on board. So i'm in kind of a quandary with this play. I actually think the best play for this game is the OVER 48..The reason I like the over is both of these teams are giving up well over 400 yards per game on defense. Marshall is giving up about 475. But the Akron team that Cincy played last week is actually a statistically better defense that only gives up about 395 ypg. So that tells me that Cincy will probably have more success on offense in this game than last week despite using a backup QB. Cincy's strength on offense is their passing game. They average 267 a game..But Marshall's weakness is their pass defense where they give up almost 300 ypg. Cincy's weakness is also their pass defense. And passing is where Marshall is statistically better..Marshall hasn't averaged many yards on offense this year. But keep in mind they've played some very good defenses in WV and Wisconsin to bring down their numbers..Against a Southern Miss defense that is statistically identical to Cincy's, Marshall rolled up 463 yards..And that was on the road..And despite the 17-15 Cincy win last week over Akron, they still totaled 322 passing yards with a backup QB. The biggest thing that killed Cincy in that game was penalties and turnovers.. And like I said, Akron has statistically a better defense than marshall. I expect both teams to put up close to 400 yards of offense a piece tonight. And for the game to go over..i'll probably put a one unit play down on the over 48...Good luck.
