Dial Euro 2012 Thread

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the whole entire internet is on russia --- someone do the world a favour and post Greece pk - you don't even have to actually bet it just post it :)
 

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Dial - I hear you, even my local mush has loaded up on the Russians. I just don't see them losing this game - they are more of a roller coaster ride and last time was a bit down, so I'm expecting an upswing against the wounded Greeks to clinch the group.

GL today.
 

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the last time we were all on the same side we won so super public backing is 1-2 so far ... maybe we can even it out today.

no rosisky for the czechs and the odds make no sense to me so skipping the czech match. Just Russia for me and the rest of the whole world. Hopefully Czechs lead so russia knows they need to win to win the group and avoid Germany Kerzhakov is bound to show up sooner or later. 2-0 Russia HT so they can rest their stars second half (3 of them at least)

GL ERock
 

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1350 to win 1000 on the over 2' port-holl.....huntelaar starts up front alone as van pussy will play behind him and sneijder is going to play left mid...so i am going to assume the great ball hog(robben) will retain his position on the right and affelay off to the bench....now will van modified(coach) put in van der vaart in lieu of either van fumble(van bommel) or the karate kid(de jong)?.....we have to win by 2+ and the hasselhoffs have to beat the pastry squad outright....i believe that happens but will the dutch comply?...i am so over this group of egos...that i don't care how this game goes..i say the lose 4-2.....hence the over..and a few props...hundy each on portugal 4-2 @66-1 odds..portugal 5-3 @325-1 odds...portugal 3-2@22-1 odds...and in the event the oranj show up and win and do decide to win by 2+....holland 4-1 @45-1 odds...and holland 3-1 @17-1 odds....total of $1850 in play
 

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wow fantastico



wow fantastico, amazing a Vegas Snitch is lights out on the real football

:dancefoolgetem on sunday sir snitchd1g1t


quote_icon.png
Originally Posted by jdsabre
Vegas Snitch

Euro Saturday
100x: Greece +1
100x: Greece +.5
100x: Greece-Russia Under 2.5

100x Czech Republic-Poland Under 2.5



 

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amazing the drek dutch still have chance to advance...that being said, its astounding that the drekers are favorite over portugal...wtf...now, on goal differential, they have to score large(the drek dutch)...being that what it is i say Portugal
pk +108 Port+187 for game and if need be, lay the over 2.5 goals.............
Best of luck
 

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drek dutch huh?.... :youmad: yeah...we have played like dregs..so i will accept the verbal assault...really disappointing effort...and pretty sick to think we can still qualify..that in itself is beyond comprehension to me..cheers on the over 2moro...cheers
 

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i might grab the over with the dutch winning - the problem with that is germany can easily draw denmark to make sure their hated rivals don't qualify...i like the over though myself...cheer for RVP and Huntelaar to play together and dominate - it will show your manager how easy those two could actually play together.

Interesting stuff going on in the Spain v Croatia match ... 2-2 would mean both spain and Croatia qualify no matter what italy does apparently. And Italy got tosed from the knockout stage due to a 2-2 scoreline in 2004. The bookies have lowered 2-2 FT score down to +400 yet the over is roughly -138. to me I might pound the crap out of the over 2.5 and just hope for the 2-2 score and let the italians complain...never mind failing to hold on to the lead vs croatia that allowed the 2-2 to happen. I don't buy the fix but i do believe in justice and Italy getting kicked out of the Cup because of a fixed matched would be fitting.

germany just needs a draw so i don't think i'll bet that match ... certainly they should win but why bother - draw and kick netherlands out for good.
 
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Dutch are currently 23/1 to win it all. Not a bad move for a long-term hedge being that a game vs Czech would be the quarter final match-up.
 
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Portugal is going to play p*ssy ball and wouldn't care with the draw... No way does Denmark get a positive result vs Germany. This better not shape up to be the shitty match that was Portugal-Netherlands 2006 WC. Damn Figo and send offs galore... I would think a 2-0 Dutch is the only likely 2 goal victory... Modified attacking formation MAYBE they get a 3-1 result, but I just don't know... I'm taking both of those scores... Klaas with first goal...
 

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for me i doubt netherlands can keep a clean sheet vs portugal. They just don't look solid enough in the back and the portugal side looked very dangerous vs denmark and netherlands need to go for goals early and often. So if Portugal scores - the Netherlands need 3 (at least) to have a shot at qualifying. So 3-1 would be the more likely score than 2-0 imho....that being said that is a tough task. And counter-attacking might make the difference...but we need 3 goals to win the bet and that to me is a solid play. I've considered double up the wager but i don't know..maybe a normal play on over 2.5 and a smaller one on the over 3.5

GL cocktail...3-1 Netherlands 2-0 Germany and i'll drive to the states and buy the beer for the 1st knockout round
 

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for me i doubt netherlands can keep a clean sheet vs portugal. They just don't look solid enough in the back and the portugal side looked very dangerous vs denmark and netherlands need to go for goals early and often. So if Portugal scores - the Netherlands need 3 (at least) to have a shot at qualifying. So 3-1 would be the more likely score than 2-0 imho....that being said that is a tough task. And counter-attacking might make the difference...but we need 3 goals to win the bet and that to me is a solid play. I've considered double up the wager but i don't know..maybe a normal play on over 2.5 and a smaller one on the over 3.5

GL cocktail...3-1 Netherlands 2-0 Germany and i'll drive to the states and buy the beer for the 1st knockout round
you can meet me half way...i'm in saratoga for most of august....and it's set in stone...van modified stated friday that he is starting huntelaar and van pussy v. port....cheers
 

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Sunday June 17th
Netherlands v Portugal
over 2.5 goals -117 - 2.34 to win 2 units
time for my first of probably two 2 unit plays. Netherlands need to win by more than 2 goals and i really think the dutch manager finally figured out how to win...simple - Start RVP and Huntelaar together. The midfielders are great for the dutch but have lacked any shooting abilities...and feeding RVP has been difficult because 2-3 guys are on him quickly. In any case RVP always excells when he is upfront with someone to take at least guy off him and he can still make that final pass needed. So both RVP and Hunterlaar starting will be a huge benefit. That being said Portugal are fast and the perfect counter-attack side and the dutch have been fairly poor in defense. So i do expect Portugal to net at least one ... As long as the Germans are taking care of business vs Denmark i do think Netherlands will be totally committed to scoring...there has been some late drama in a few games so if netherlands were up 2-0 i don't think they'll sit back. 3-1 for the Dutch and advancing with a german win seems realistic. Portugal looked poor vs Germany and vulnerable against the Danes - do or die for the dutch and it is hard to imagine 3 piss poor games and out....Russia not advancing was a shock and the Dutch advancing would be less of one but i bit of a shock. The Netherlands pk line -113 would definitely be tempting but a fear the portugal counter too much....3-1 - RVP and Hunterlaar both score and go German!
no play germany - i do believe if they see netherlands winning they can easily be pegged back a goal to draw denmark and make sure their rivals are sent packing. I do wish i didn't think that way but it happens far too often in soccer.
GL today - i will say over is the public play again and so far 1-3 in the tournee
 

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i was certain cocktail was right about RVP and Hunterlaar but it is offically true that they are playing upfront together....as long as Robben is happy to be a passer and not a guy that kicks it 52 feet away from the net netherlands should have their chances. Nice to see a strong enough Germany lineup...hopefully Germany can score early to get the Dutch hope
 

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yeah - not always great to win money. What a fantastic start for Holland and VDV...but the top 4 were no shows...i know players quit on their league managers and certainly for country...but usually not during a tournament. But son-in-law and not starting VDV and Kuyt might have got to the other players. Who knows - perhaps they are just not as good as Germany and Portugal anymore. It was looking like Germany was going to draw but when portugal took the lead - germany 3 mins later scored...haha...i loved it myself.

As for tomorrow - i am buying into the 2-2 score to kick out the match fixers but won't bet draw or FT 2-2 but i will grab the over 2.5 juiced up a bit. Maybe over 3 instead...Croatia style of playing seems to fit Spain quite nicely so if there isn't a fix I could Spain score 3 themselves...certainly Torres will be looking to score a hatrick. I wonder if Ireland will show up for one game...Italy -1.5 seems a bit high and i could see Ireland covering that spread. But maybe just the over in the Spain match and cheer for italy. For me Spain/Croatia coming out of Group C would be nice.

GL in the WC2014 - my brother has attached himself to a Canadian writer that will be reporting in Brazil and ask him and me to go. I can never plan 2 years in advance and was actually set to go to Ukraine and that blew up in my face. But maybe --- of course i could always go to the Women's World Cup when Canada hosts it...almost the same quality right? haha.a
 

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nice to help pats....crazy how you have managed to avoid some of the losers...my real record is: 9-6-3 +4.03 units. For me the goal is to win money but if i can break even by tournament end i'll be happy ... i usually do much better in league play than cups....

interesting the line for italy -1 has dropped...enough for me to grab a piece of the action <---french accent I will admit a bit too much juice so i took the -1.25 line but really even if Spain/Croatia are 2-2 Italy will want the world to know they probably deserved to qualify. There is talk about no Mario but how anyone could see that as a negative is beyond me...di Natale by far their biggest threat and Italy would have a much better chance to win without Mario and starting di Natale. Certainly Ireland and the Italian manager will want a result and not go 0-3 with no chance in any - but they do appear to be outclassed. Italy is playing pretty good and might be able to keep a clean sheet. Needing two goals is tough and certainly lots of juice but 1-0 2-0 result imo.

As the Spain v Croatia sticking with the over 2.5 goals - i believe in the 2-2 draw idea because it happened two tournees ago and happens ALL THE TIME...just ask Marseille or that Oceania side that needed an 8 goal win. Hell the spanish economy is so shit perhaps the govt placed a crazy wager on 2-2 and told the players 2-2 FT score. Of course not but in soccer when a score needs to be _-_ for both sides to be happy it happens. In any case - Croatia proved to me they can compete and score vs anyone and the real Mario - Mandzukic - appears to be in top form. In the end Spain might be too much and 3-1 2-1 score but i really hope even for a brief time it is 2-2 just to show the Italians that other countries can fix matches. I also think it will be a high scoring first half to small prop bet as well.

3 plays are
Monday June 18th
Italy v Ireland
Italy -1.25 +107 -0.93 to win 1 unit

Spain v Croatia
over 2.75 goals +102 - 0.98 to win 1 unit

first half total goals:
over 1.25 goals +110 - 0.45 to win 0.5 unit

i also like the Jets to cover vs the Bills -4.5 in September
 

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Lots of love on the Italians, hope they deliver, which they should. Hopefully don't get a Russian performance. I'm on both overs 2.75
 

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