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WEEK 12

Tuesday, November 12

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Wednesday, November 13

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Thursday, November 14

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Friday, November 15

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Saturday, November 16

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NCAAF

Week 12


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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
— Cavaliers 119, Bulls 113- Cleveland starters were minus-30, their subs +60.
— Rockets 107, Wizards 92- Alperen Sengun scored 27 points, had 17 rebounds.
— Nets 107, Pelicans 105- Ben Simmons had 12 assists, 5 rebounds in 22:00
— Thunder 134, Clippers 128- Gilgeous-Alexander scored career-high 45 points.
— Spurs 116, Kings 96- San Antonio made 22 of 46 shots behind the arc.
— Alabama 72, McNeese State 64- Alabama was 11-34 on arc, 11-16 inside arc.

Quote of the Day
“It’s great to be part of history. I never want to take those things for granted along the road when we’re doing it in various ways. We’re doing it in ways where we are blowing out teams. We’re winning from behind. We’re winning close games. And it’s somebody different every night leading the charge. It’s always a group effort.”
Cleveland Cavaliers star Donovan Mitchell

Tuesday’s quiz
Los Angeles Clippers have existed since 1970, but they’ve played home games in two other cities. Where did the Clippers call home their first eight years in the NBA?

Monday’s quiz
Oakland A’s drafted Cardinals’ QB Kyler Murray with the 9th pick in the 2018 draft.

Sunday’s quiz
Oregon was the last Pac-12 team to win the Rose Bowl.

***************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

Dolphins 23, Rams 15
Dolphins scored a TD on their first drive of each half.
Their six drives in between TD’s: 25 plays, 41 yards, 2 turnovers.
Miami was 6-13 on third down, Rams 3-12.
Miami allowed 17-10-15 points in wins, 31-24-16-31-28-30 in losses.
QB Tagovailoa is 34-23 as an NFL starter.
Rams’ first five drives: 17 plays, 27 yards, two turnovers.
Rams rest of game: 57 plays, 268 yards, 5-6 on field goals.
LA outgained Miami, 327-238, but didn’t score a touchdown.
Rams are 1-5 scoring less than 26 points.
LA is 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

— RIP to the great football coach John Robinson, who passed away at age 89.
Coach Robinson was 104-35-4 coaching USC, going 8-1 in bowl games; he was 79-75 coaching the Rams, making the playoffs in six of his nine seasons. He was also UNLV’s coach for six years, winning the 2000 Las Vegas Bowl.

— July 1986, I went to Rams’ training camp at Cal-State Fullerton; coach Robinson was on the field at the end of practice, watching kicker Mike Lansford practice.
There was almost no security there; I figure what the hell, I stepped over the security rope and walked on the field and talked to coach Robinson for a few minutes, wished him well.
He should’ve thrown my butt out of there but he didn’t; he was cordial for a couple minutes and I scooted over to where players were signing autographs. Was always appreciative of that.
John Robinson led the Rams during the Eric Dickerson/Jim Everett era; he was an excellent coach who thrived at his teams running the ball.
RIP, sir.

NFL divisional trends (non-division games):
NFC East home teams are 3-9 ATS.
NFC North home teams are 11-4 ATS
NFC South home teams are 4-9 ATS
NFC West teams are 11-15-1 ATS
AFC East underdogs are 5-9-1 ATS
AFC North road teams are 11-4 ATS
AFC South road underdogs are 3-9 ATS
AFC West favorites are 10-4 ATS

— Dallas Cowboys’ QB Dak Prescott is off to New York City for a second opinion on a serious hamstring injury, which probably requires season-ending surgery.

— Nebraska fired their offensive coordinator, brought in former Houston/West Virginia head coach Dana Holgorsen to be the OC for the rest of this season.
Nebraska is 5-4, needs one more win to be bowl eligible for first time since 2016.

— Florida State is 1-9, losing their last three games by 20+ points each; they fired both their coordinators and another assistant this weekend- this is going to be the Seminoles’ worst year since 1974, when they went 1-10, two years before Bobby Bowden got to Tallahassee.
Head coach Mike Norvell has a contract that pays him $84M thru 2031. Whoops.

Famous birthdays, November 12th:
Neil Young, 79
Cliff Harris, 76
Steve Bartkowski, 72
Jody Davis, 68
Sammy Sosa, 56
Ryan Gosling, 44
Anne Hathaway, 42
Charlie Morton, 41
Russell Westbrook, 36
Marcell Ozuna, 34
Trey Burke, 32
Paolo Banchero, 22

— Miami Marlins named Dodgers first base coach Clayton McCullough their new manager; he spent the past four years on the Dodgers’ coaching staff. He managed in the Blue Jays’ minor league system from 2007-13, so he has experience. McCullough will be the Marlins’ 17th manager in their 32-year history.
Marlins, by the way, used 45 pitchers this season, the most ever by a team in one year.

— Don Mattingly’s son Preston was promoted to general manager of the Philadelphia Phillies; he figures to learn under the tutelage of president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski for three years. Dombrowski is 68 years old, has three years left on his contract.
Former big leaugue OF Sam Fuld has been the Phillies’ GM since December 2020, but he is going back to college to get his Master of Business Administration and will become the team’s president of business operations when he gets his degree in 2026.

— Random fact: Winner of the Boston Marathon gets $150,000; winners of the marathons in New York City and Chicago get $100,000 each,

— NBA’s in-season tournament starts tonight; it is a tournament that begins with group play followed by single elimination knockout rounds. It is designed to increase interest in early season NBA season games, which haven’t always been that popular.
Last year was the first in-season tournament; Lakers won it, then finished the season 47-35 but fired their coach, which makes you believe the Lakers’ owners didn’t care that much about it.

— Cleveland Cavaliers have started this season 12-0, the best start for any team since Golden State nine years ago. Cavaliers are the 8th NBA team to start a season 12-0.

— Winnipeg Jets are the first NHL team ever to start a season 14-1; their only loss was 6-4 at home to Toronto October 28th. In their last three games, Jets have allowed only one goal.

— High school QB Cole Leinart, son of former USC star and Heisman Trophy winner Matt Leinart, committed to play college ball at Southern Methodist in the ACC.
 

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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 12

Tuesday’s games
Ball State
@ Buffalo (-4.5)
Ball State (3-6, 2-3)
Ball State’s two I-A wins were both by 2 points (37-35/25-23)
Five of their last seven games were decided by 6 or less points.
Cardinals have 8 starters back on offense, only one on defense.
Cardinals have 81 returning starts on offensive line.
Freshman QB Semonza started three games last year.


Ball State is 4-6-1 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog (2-3 TY).
Cardinals are 11-6-1 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.
Cardinals are 15-6 ATS in last 21 MAC games.
Ball State allowed 420+ TY in five of seven I-A games.
Over is 6-1-1 in their I-A games this year.


Buffalo (5-4, 3-2)
Buffalo gave up 38+ points in all four losses.
Bulls allowed 489-489-452 yards in last three games.
Bulls have 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Buffalo has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Ogbonna has 1,527 PY (10 TDs’, 2 INTs)


Buffalo is 3-8 ATS last 11 games as a home underdog (1-0 TY).
Bulls are 2-5 ATS in last seven games coming off a win.
Bulls are 11-17-1 ATS in last 29 MAC games.
Buffalo is 1-3 when it scores fewer than 30 points.
Over is 5-0 in their last five games.


These teams haven’t met since 2021.
Ball State won nine of last 11 series games.
Cardinals are 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Buffalo
Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.
MAC home favorites are 8-5 ATS in conference games.


Western Michigan @ Bowling Green (-8.5)
Western Michigan (5-4, 4-1)
WMU is 4-1 SU/2-2-1 ATS in MAC, scoring 41.6 points/game.
Broncos were held to 14-0-20-28 points in their losses.
Broncos have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
WMU has 92 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Wolff started five games last year.


Under Taylor, WMU is 4-5 ATS as a MAC road underdog.
Last three games, Broncos ran ball for 209-358-211 yards.
WMU allowed 31+ points in five of last seven games.
Last five games, WMU is +7 in turnovers.
Over is 5-0 in WMU’s last five games.


Bowling Green (5-4, 4-1)
Falcons won last three games, by 21-15-10 points.
Bowling Green is 1-3 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Falcons have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Falcons have 123 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Bazelak has 40 career starts.


Bowling Green is 2-7 ATS last 10 games as a home favorite (0-3 TY).
Falcons are 0-5 ATS as a favorite this season.
Under Loeffler, Falcons are 16-26 ATS in MAC games.
BG won last two weeks 27-6/41-20/23-13 (+6 in turnovers)
Under is 4-1 in their last four games.


Bowling Green won last two series games, 34-10/13-9.
Broncos won three of last four visits to Bowling Green SU.
Under is 8-2 in last ten meetings.
MAC home favorites are 8-5 ATS in conference games.


Central Michigan @ Toledo (-14.5)
Central Michigan (3-6, 1-4)
CMU lost its last four games, by 2-4-39-10 points.
Chippewas two I-A wins were by 1-3 points.
Chippewas have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Chippewas have 73 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Labas was at Iowa the last two years.


Under McElwain, CMU is 12-8 ATS as a road underdog.
Four of their last six games were decided by 4 or fewer points.
Chippewas are 5-16 ATS in last 21 MAC games.
Last two weeks, CMU was held to 168-250 total yards.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.


Toledo (6-3, 3-2)
Toledo split its last six games, after a 3-0 start.
Rockets’ MAC wins were by 10-1-7 points.
Toledo has 4 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Rockets had no returning starts on OL (added 3 transfers).
Junior QB Gleason started two games LY.


Toledo is 9-14 ATS last 23 games as a home favorite.
Rockets are 8-16 ATS last 24 games coming off a win.
Rockets are 10-13 ATS in last 23 MAC games.
Last six games, Toledo is minus-7 in turnovers.
Over is 6-2 in their I-A games.


Bowling Green won three of last four meetings.
This is first time since 2004 that BG is favored over the Chippewas.
Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
MAC home favorites are 8-5 ATS in conference games.
 

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TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 12

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
WMU at BGSU07:00 PMBGSU -10.0
U 57.5
+500 +500
BALL at BUFF07:00 PMBUFF -3.5
O 55.5
+500 +500
CMU at TOL07:00 PMCMU +14.5
O 52.0
+500 +500
 

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NCAAFB BEST BETS NOVEMBER !

11/12/2024......................2 - 2 - 0.....................50.00%..................- 1.00
11/09/2024....................20 - 15 - 0..................57.14%...................+ 17.50
11/08/2024.......................2 - 3 - 0..................40.00%...................- 6.50
11/07/2024.......................1 - 3 - 0..................25.00%...................- 11.50
11/06/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/05/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/02/2024.....................9 - 10 - 0..................47.36%....................- 10.00
11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0..................16.67%...................- 22.50

TOTALS.........................41 - 40 - 0..................50.61%....................- 15.00

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Six most experienced college basketball teams (team continuity in parenthesis):
— Ole Miss (127)
— Kansas (104)
— Xavier (219)
— Nevada (111)
— Kentucky (349)
— Memphis (317)
Teams with the high continuity #’s are poaching lot of transfers.

Quote of the Day
“He’s like the random older dude that pulls up to the court and you’re kind of like, ‘alright he’s whatever,’ and then you pick him up and he’s making the craziest passes. Not moving too much, not doing the most. But he’s just got the OG game like he’s been playing forever.”
Photographer Xavier Luggage, talking about actor Adam Sandler playing pick-up basketball

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Klay Thompson play his college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
Los Angeles Clippers have existed since 1970, but they’ve played home games in two other cities. Their first eight years in the NBA, the Clippers were the Buffalo Braves, before they moved to San Diego and became the Clippers.

Monday’s quiz
Oakland A’s drafted Cardinals’ QB Kyler Murray with the 9th pick in the 2018 draft.

*************************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Happy Felix Unger Day!!!!

“On November 13, Felix Unger was asked to remove himself from his place of residence. That request came from his wife…….”
So began all 114 episodes of The Odd Couple, one of the funniest TV shows ever; spent ton of time in my high school/college years watching Odd Couple re-runs.
Jack Klugman/Tony Randall were a great team, playing totally opposite roommates who were both divorced. Episodes are on Paramount these days: I recommend the episode where they own a greyhound racing dog and another episode where Oscar dates a princess.
Happy Felix Unger Day!!!

— Kansas 77, Michigan State 69
Teams combined to shoot 8-41 on the arc; a brickfest.
Kansas already has wins over North Carolina and the Spartans.
Modern college basketball; one of Michigan State’s starters is Frankie Fidler, who played three years for a Nebraska-Omaha squad that went 15-37 in the Summit League those three years. Lat year, Summit League was the 23rd-ranked league in the country.

— Kentucky 77, Duke 72
Kentucky’s youngest starter is older than Duke’s oldest starter, but Kentucky is also in the bottom 15 in the country in continuity- will take them some time to develop their chemistry- this is a great win for them.
Duke led this game 46-37 at halftime.
Kentucky’s subs outscored Duke’s bench, 25-6.
Modern college basketball, part 2:
Kerr Kriisa plays for Kentucky; he’ll be 24 on January 2nd.
2020-23- He played in 76 games over three seasons for Arizona.
2023-24- He played in 23 games for West Virginia.
2024-25- He is part of the total rebuild that is this year’s Kentucky team.

— There were seven college basketball referees who worked the first seven days of the season; college refs make a boatload of $$$, some of them traveling all over the country.

— Will be interesting to follow Rick Pitino’s St John’s squad this year; Red Storm hasn’t been in the NCAA’s since 2019, hasn’t won an NCAA Tournament game since 2000.

— Oklahoma City Thunder center Chet Holmgren hurt his hip, is out 8-10 weeks; he was scoring 16.4 ppg, grabbing 8.7 rebounds/game in his second NBA season— actually his third year, he didn’t play his first year.

— LA Clippers have a brand-new arena that is supposed to be awesome; every player’s locker has room for 32 pairs of sneakers (64 sneakers!!!)

Famous birthdays, November 13
Joe Mantegna, 77
Chris Noth, 70
Whoopi Goldberg, 68
Vinny Testaverde, 61
Kevin Gamble, 59
Jimmy Kimmel, 57
Steve Christie, 57
Gerard Butler 54
Wade Miley, 38
Brett Baty, 25

— Chicago Bears fired offensive coordinator Shane Waldron less than 10 months after he got the job. Bears are 4-5, losing their last three games while scoring a total of 27 points- they don’t have a touchdown on their last 23 drives.
Ummmm……starting a rookie QB can be dicey, no matter how good they are. Payton Manning, Troy Aikman both sucked as rookies; they’re both in the Hall of Fame. Patrick Mahomes didn’t start until the last game of his rookie year, which seems like a better way to go, but the Bears are force-feeding rookie QB Caleb Williams, and it cost Waldron his job.

— Catcher Travis d’Arnaud signed a 2-year, $12M deal with the Los Angeles Angels; d’Arnaud hit .225/.238 the last two years as a part-time player.

— USC is changing QB’s this week; starter Miller Moss is getting benched, former UNLV QB Jayden Maiava will get his first USC start against Nebraska, fueling rumors that Miller will be packing his bags and transferring for his final year of college eligibility.

— Hawks 117, Celtics 116- Dyson Daniels scored a career-high 28 points as Atlanta won as an underdog of 15.5 points.

— Pistons 123, Heat 121 OT- Miami called a timeout they didn’t have with 0:01.1 left, and Detroit hit the game-winning foul shot, after blowing a 9-point 4th quarter lead. Tyler Herro scored 40 points for the Heat, making 10-17 shots on the arc.

— Knicks 111, 76ers 99- OG Anunoby scored 24 points as New York spoiled Joel Embiid’s debut this season. Embiid scored 13 points in 26:00 for the struggling 76ers, who are 2-8.

— Suns 120, Jazz 112- Devin Booker scored 31 points for Phoenix, which made 18-39 shots on the arc. Suns are off to a 9-2 start this season.
 

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Wednesday, November 13


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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 12

Wednesday’s games
Kent State
@ Miami (-30.5)
Kent State (0-9, 0-5)
Kent is 0-5 SU/2-3 ATS in MAC, losing by 19-2-21-31-41 points.
Flashes are minus-11 in turnovers in its MAC games.
Flashes have 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Flashes have 75 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Tomlinson was 8-18/62 passing in his first start LW.


Under Burns, Kent is 2-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Kent averaged 9.0 ppg in their last three games.
Flashes are 5-15-1 ATS in last 21 MAC games.
Kent gave up 400+ total yards in every game this year.
Over is 5-3 in their I-A games.


Miami (5-4, 4-1)
Redhawks won last four games, scoring 38-30-46-27 points.
Miami is 0-4 when it scores fewer than 23 points.
Redhawks have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Miami has 100 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gabbert has 37 career starts.


Miami is 6-1 ATS last seven games as a home favorite.
Redhawks are 10-3 ATS in last 13 MAC games.
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Favorites are 6-3 ATS in their games this season.
Last five games, Miami is +6 in turnovers.
Over is 4-0-1 in Miami’s MAC games.


Miami won/covered four of last five meetings.
Kent State is 0-4 SU/ATS in last four visits to Miami.
Under is 9-1 in last ten series games.


Akron @ Northern Illinois (-15.5)
Akron (2-7, 1-4)
Akron is 2-5 ATS when it allows less than 30 points.
Last three games, Akron is minus-8 in turnovers.
Zips have 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Zips have 68 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Finley started 2 games each at NC State, Cal


Under Moorhead, Zips are 9-10 ATS as a road dog (1-4 ATS).
Akron is 14-19 ATS last 33 games as a road underdog.
Under Moorhead, Zips are 11-9-1 ATS in MAC games.
Akron’s MAC losses are by 20-7-10-11 points.
Over is 5-3 in their I-A games.


Northern Illinois (5-4, 2-3)
NIU is 1-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Huskies are 1-3 if they allow more than 20 points.
Huskies have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Huskies have 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Hampton has thrown for 1,256 yards (11 TD’s, 5 INTs)


Under Hammock, Huskies are 8-21-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Hammock, NIU is 4-14-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Hammock, NIU is 20-24 ATS in MAC games.
Underdogs are 6-1-1 ATS in their I-A games.
NIU’s last two games went over the total.


NIU is 7-1 SU/6-2 ATS in last eight meetings.
Zips are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS in last five visits to DeKalb.
Over is 4-0 in last four series games.


Eastern Michigan @ Ohio U (-11)
Eastern Michigan (5-4, 2-3)
Eagles lost their last two games, by 1-4 points.
EMU is 1-4 when to scores 28 or fewer points.
Eagles have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Eagles have 28 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Snyder 25 games at Buffalo/Rutgers.


Under Creighton, EMU is 35-16-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Eagles are 21-14 ATS in last 35 MAC games.
EMU is 29-15-1 ATS in last 45 games coming off a loss.
Last three weeks, Eagles allowed 224 rushing yards/game.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.


Ohio U (6-3, 4-1)
Bobcats allowed 30-38-41 points in losses, 25 or fewer points in wins.
Ohio U is 4-1 in MAC, with wins by 20-2-31-41 points.
Bobcats have 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Bobcats have 57 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Navarro has thrown for 1,359 yards (7 TD’s, 7 INTs)


Under Albin, Ohio U is 6-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Albin, Ohio U is 12-9 ATS as a favorite.
Under Albin, Bobcats are 20-10 ATS in MAC games.
Ohio is 6-3 SU, despite being minus-7 in turnovers.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.


Ohio U won eight of last nine meetings.
Eagles are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five visits to Ohio U
Under is 3-0 in last three series games.
 

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WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 13

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
EMU at OHIO07:00 PMOHIO -11.5
U 51.5
+500 +500
KENT at M-OH07:00 PMM-OH -30.5
U 47.5
+500 +500
AKR at NIU07:00 PMNIU -14.0
O 43.5
+500 +500
 

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