NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 12
Saturday’s best 13 games
Texas (-12) @ Arkansas
Texas (8-1, 4-1)
Seven of eight Texas wins are by 19+ points.
Texas held eight of nine opponents under 300 TY.
Longhorns have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Longhorns have 123 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Ewers has completed 69.3% of passes (19 TD’s, 6 INTs)
Since 2019, Texas is 8-8 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 16-17 ATS in conference games.
Texas is 12-7 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
Longhorns’ only loss was 30-15 at home to Georgia.
Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.
Arkansas (5-4, 3-3)
Arkansas gave up 40.7 ppg in its last three games.
Razorbacks were minus-10 in turnovers in their losses (+7 in wins).
Razorbacks have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Razorbacks have 67 returning starts on the offensive line;
Junior QB Green started 22 games at Boise State.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 8-6 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 20-9 ATS as an underdog overall.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 23-15-2 ATS in SEC games.
Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 15-11 ATS coming off a loss.
Four of Arkansas’ last six games stayed under the total.
These teams haven’t met since 2021.
Arkansas won last two series games, 40-21/31-7
Utah @ Colorado (-11)
Utah (4-5, 2-5)
Utah lost last five games, last two by 1-3 points.
Utes scored 22+ points in their four wins (0-5 score less than 22)
Utes have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Utah has 60 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Rose had his first start LW, a 22-21 loss to BYU.
Since 2014, Utah is 15-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Utah is 2-6 ATS in last eight games overall.
Utes are 0-5 when they run ball for less than 170 yards.
Since 2016, Utes are 46-31 ATS in conference games (2-5 TY).
Five of Utah’s last six games stayed under the total.
Colorado (6-2, 4-1)
Colorado won six of its last seven games (7-0 ATS).
Colorado scored 31+ points in six of its seven wins.
Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 100 returning starts on offensive line, and a new OL coach.
QB Sanders started 11 games LY, after playing multiple years at I-AA Jackson State.
Sanders is 5-3 ATS as a favorite with Colorado, 3-2 at home.
Since 2020, Colorado is 5-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Sanders, Buffs are 11-4 ATS in conference games.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 6-4 ATS coming off a win.
Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.
Utah won last seven meetings (5-2 ATS)
Utes won/covered their last three visits to Boulder.
Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.
Tulane (-7) @ Navy
Tulane (8-2, 6-0)
Green Wave won its last seven games, scoring 44.6 ppg.
Tulane won its last two games by a combined 86-9.
Tulane’s two losses were to K-State/Oklahoma, Big X teams.
Green Wave has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Green Wave has 143 returning starts on offensive line.
Redshirt frosh QB Mensah has thrown for 2,059 yards, 16 TD’s.
Tulane is 9-2 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
Tulane is 31-15 ATS in last 46 games as a favorite.
Green Wave is 30-17-1 ATS in last 48 conference games.
New coach Sumrall is 10-0 ATS as a road favorite.
Tulane is 19-12 ATS in last 31 games coming off a win.
Over is 6-3 in their I-A games.
Navy (7-2, 5-1)
Navy lost two of its last three games, scoring 17.3 ppg
Middies scored 34+ points in their first six wins.
Navy has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Middies have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Horvath has run ball for 870 yards, thrown for 1,154.
Navy is 7-5 ATS in last 12 games as a home underdog.
Middies were held to 14-10 points in losses (Notre Dame/Rice)
Navy is 13-4 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
Navy has thrown for 100+ yards in seven of nine games.
Navy has +14 turnover ratio in wins, minus-6 in losses.
Over is 6-2 in their I-A games.
Teams haven’t met since 2020.
Underdogs covered five of last six meetings.
Clemson (-11.5) @ Pittsburgh
Clemson (7-2, 6-1)
Clemson allowed 34-33 points in its two losses.
Clemson is 15-19 ATS in last 34 games coming off a win.
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tigers have 106 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Klubnik has 14 career starts.
Last 4+ years, Clemson is 10-10 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Swinney is 33-30-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Tigers are 14-10 ATS in their last 24 ACC games.
Clemson is +12 in turnovers in wins, minus-1 in losses.
Under is 4-1-1 in last six Clemson games.
Pittsburgh (7-2, 3-2)
Pitt lost its last two games, after a 7-0 start.
Panthers scored 28+ points in six of their seven wins.
Panthers have 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Panthers have 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Holstein has 2,177 passing yards, with 17 TD’s, 6 INTs.
Pitt is 9-5 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
Panthers were held under 300 TY in three of last four games.
Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 27-24 ATS as an underdog
Panthers are 3-6 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
These teams haven’t met since 2021.
Teams split their last four meetings (favorite 3-0 ATS last three)
Michigan State @ Illinois (-2.5)
Michigan State (4-5, 2-4)
Spartans lost five of their last six games.
MSU is 3-0 scoring 27+ points, 1-5 scoring less than 27.
MSU has 5 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Spartans have 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Chiles was a sub at Oregon State LY, playing every third series.
MSU is 9-6-1 ATS last 16 games as a road underdog.
Spartans are 1-6 when they score less than 27 points.
Last 2+ years, Spartans are 9-13-2 ATS in league games.
Last six games, Spartans are minus-7 in turnovers.
Michigan State is 11-10-2 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
Spartans last three games went over the total.
Illinois (6-3, 3-3)
Illinois lost its last two games, after a 6-1 start.
Illini scored 7-9-17 points in losses (6-0 if they score 21+)
Illinois has 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Illini has 77 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Altmyer has 10 career starts.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 4-12 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Bielema is 36-40 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 21-15 ATS in conference games.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 10-9 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Under is 6-2 in Illinois’ I-A games.
Michigan State won 11 of last 14 series games.
Spartans are 7-1 SU/6-2 ATS in last eight visits to Illinois.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
LSU (-3.5) @ Florida
LSU (6-3, 3-2)
LSU lost its last two games, giving up 38-42 points.
LSU scored 29+ points in wins, 20-23-13 in losses.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Nussmeier is completing 62.7% of passes (21 TD’s, 11 INTs)
Under Kelly, Tigers are 3-5 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Kelly is 32-29-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Kelly, LSU is 10-11-1 ATS in SEC games.
Since 2017, LSU is 38-25-2 ATS in SEC games.
Five of LSU’s last six games stayed under the total.
In his career, Kelly is 40-26 ATS coming off a loss.
Florida (4-5, 2-4)
Gators lost last two games, giving up 34-49 points.
Florida scored 45-24-48 points in I-A wins, 17-20-17-20-17 in losses.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Gators have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Lagway has 6 TD passes, 5 INT’s (1,071 PY).
Under Napier, Florida is 10-7 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Napier is 21-10-1 ATS as an underdog.
Florida covered five of its last six games overall.
Under Napier, Florida is 12-10 ATS in SEC games.
Over is 6-2 in Florida’s I-A games.
LSU won/covered last five series games.
Tigers are 3-2 SU/ATS in last five visits to Gainesville.
Over is 6-0 in last six meetings.
Nebraska @ USC (-7.5)
Nebraska (5-4, 2-4)
Nebraska lost its last three games, after a 5-1 start.
Nebraska is 0-4 when it allows more than 10 points.
Cornhuskers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Nebraska has 152 returning starts on OL, mostly from transfers.
Freshman QB Raiola has thrown for 1,908 yards (10 TDs, 8 INTs)
Last three games, Nebraska is minus-6 in turnovers.
Nebraska is 17-8-1 ATS last 26 games as a road underdog.
As a college coach, Rhule is 21-11 ATS as a road underdog.
As a college coach, Rhule is 28-22 ATS coming off a loss.
Under is 5-3 in their I-A games.
USC (4-5, 2-5)
Trojans lost four of their last five games.
USC’s losses are by 1-3-3-7-5 points.
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Maiava started 11 games at UNLV; this is hist 1st USC start.
Under Riley, USC is 10-5 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Riley is 28-18 ATS as a home favorite.
Trojans are 12-23 ATS in last 35 conference games.
In his career, Riley is 34-39-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Riley, USC is 4-6 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.
These teams haven’t met since a bowl game in 2014.
Baylor (-2) @ West Virginia
Baylor (5-4, 3-4)
Baylor won its last three games, scoring 59-38-37 points.
Last six games, Bears gave up 37.0 ppg.
Baylor has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Robertson started four games last year.
Last three games, Baylor ran ball for 255-343-257 yards.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 1-4 ATS as road favorites.
Under Aranda, Bears are 15-11 ATS coming off a win.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 22-22 ATS in conference games.
Last 2+ years, Baylor is +4 in turnovers (+31 from 2019-21)
Baylor’s last six games went over the total.
West Virginia (5-4, 4-2)
WVU allowed 36.3 ppg in its four losses, 28-14-26-24 in I-A wins.
West Virginia is 0-3 when it scores less than 31 points.
Mountaineers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mountaineers have 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Greene has 14 career starts.
Under Brown, WVU is 6-10 ATS as a home underdog (0-3 TY).
In his career, Brown is 6-12 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Brown, WVU is 24-26 ATS in Big X games.
Mountaineers are 13-18 ATS in last 31 games coming off a win.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
West Virginia won six of last eight series games.
Baylor is 0-6 SU/2-4 ATS in last six visits to Morgantown.
Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Arizona State @ Kansas State (-7.5)
Arizona State (7-2, 4-2)
ASU won four of its last five games.
Sun Devils scored 27+ points in their wins, 22-14 in losses.
ASU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Sun Devils have 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Leavitt has 1,631 PY this year, with 14 TD’s, 4 INTs.
ASU is 16-8-1 ATS in last 25 games as a road underdog.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 10-5 ATS in conference games.
ASU is 7-13 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Arizona State is 4-0 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Sun Devils’ two losses this year were by 8-10 points.
Kansas State (7-2, 5-2)
K-State scored 29+ points in its wins, 9-19 in losses.
Wildcats are +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
Wildcats have 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Wildcats have 73 returning starts on OL, only 36 at I-A level.
Frosh QB Johnson has thrown for 1,892 yards (17 TDs, 7 INTs)
K-State is 13-3 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
Under Klieman, Wildcats are 23-16 ATS as a favorite.
Under Klieman, K-State is 33-20 ATS in Big X games.
Wildcats are 8-0 ATS last eight games coming off a loss.
K-State scored 34 ppg in winning its three I-A home games.
These teams haven’t met since a bowl game in 2002.
Oregon (-14) @ Wisconsin
Oregon (10-0, 7-0)
Oregon won its last four games, all by 21+ points.
Ducks held last three opponents under 300 TY.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Ducks have 144 returning starts on the offensive line.
Ducks poached senior QB Gabriel (49 starts at UCF/Oklahoma).
Under Lanning, Oregon is 10-3 ATS as a road favorite./
Under Lanning, Ducks are 21-9 ATS as a favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 17-8 ATS in conference games.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 20-9 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Wisconsin (5-4, 3-3)
Wisconsin lost its last two games,, 28-13/42-10.
Wisconsin gave up 42-38-28-42 points in its losses.
Badgers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Badgers have 102 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Locke started three games last year.
Since 2014, Badgers are 2-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2017, Badgers are 3-8 ATS as an underdog anywhere.
In his career, Fickell is 16-12 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2014, Badgers are 25-21 ATS in conference games.
All nine Wisconsin games were decided by 14+ points.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
These teams haven’t met since 2019.
Tennessee @ Georgia (-9.5)
Tennessee (8-1, 5-1)
Vols QB Iamaleava is banged up (check status)
Tennessee hasn’t allowed more than 19 points in a game TY.
This is Tennessee’s first road game since October 5th.
Tennessee has 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Vols have 112 returning starts on the offensive line;
Frosh QB Iamaleava had one start LY, was MVP of Citrus Bowl.
Tennessee is 1-6 ATS last seven games as a road underdog.
In his career, Heupel is 1-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 13-17 ATS in SEC games.
Under is 5-1 in their SEC games this year.
Vols gained 477-452 yards in their last two games.
Georgia (7-2, 5-2)
Georgia lost to Ole Miss LW; hard to make playoff now.
Dawgs were held to 80-59 rushing yards in their two losses.
Georgia trailed at half in four of its nine games.
Dawgs have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Georgia has 87 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Beck started 14 games LY.
Georgia is 2-8 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite.
Georgia is 1-6 ATS in its last seven I-A games.
Georgia is 5-9 ATS in its last 14 SEC games.
Georgia is 4-5 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-3 in their D-I games.
Georgia won last seven meetings (6-1 ATS).
Vols are 1-7 SU/4-4 ATS in last eight visits to Athens.
Over is 8-4 in last 12 series games.
Cincinnati @ Iowa State (-7.5)
Cincinnati (5-4, 3-3)
Cincinnati lost last two games, after a 5-2 start.
Cincinnati gave up 28-44-34-31 points in their losses.
Bearcats gave up 20 or fewer points in their wins.
Bearcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bearcats have 91 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby started 7 games at Indiana last year.
Cincinnati is 3-5-1 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.
In his career, Satterfield is 12-16-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 2+ years, Cincinnati is 6-15-2 ATS in conference games.
Bearcats are 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-2-1 in Cincinnati’s last eight games.
Iowa State (7-2, 4-2)
Iowa State lost its last two games, after a 7-0 start.
Last three games, Cyclones gave up 240 rushing yards/game.
Cyclones have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cyclones have 90 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.
Iowa State’s last three games had average total of 66.3.
Under Campbell, ISU is 18-20 ATS as a home favorite.
Cyclones are 9-6 ATS in last 15 conference games.
Cyclones are +8 in turnovers this season.
Iowa State is averaging 458.7 yards in its Big X games.
Iowa State (+5) won 30-20 at Cincinnati last year.
Cyclones were +2 in turnovers in that game.
Kansas @ BYU (-2.5)
Kansas (3-6, 2-4)
Kansas won two of last three games, after a 1-5 start.
Jayhawks have five losses by 6 or fewer points.
Jayhawks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Kansas has 130 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Daniels has 20 career starts.
In his career, Leipold is 12-21-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 6-11 ATS as a road underdog.
Kansas covered its last three games.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 10-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
Five of last six Kansas games went over the total.
BYU (9-0, 6-0)
BYU won its first six Big X games, scoring 35.0 ppg.
BYU is 6-0 SU/4-2 ATS in its Big X games.
Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Broncos have 88 starts returning on the offensive line.
Junior QB Retzlaff started four games LY.
BYU is 2-7 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
BYU scored 34+ points in six of its last seven games.
In his career, coach Sitake is 25-37 ATS as a favorite.
Last 2+ years, BYU is 10-10 ATS coming off a win (6-2 TY).
Last three games, BYU gave up 26.7 ppg.
Six of their last seven games went over the total.
BYU (+9.5) lost 38-27 at Kansas last year.
Jayhawks ran for 221 yards, were +3 in turnovers.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 12
Saturday’s best 13 games
Texas (-12) @ Arkansas
Texas (8-1, 4-1)
Seven of eight Texas wins are by 19+ points.
Texas held eight of nine opponents under 300 TY.
Longhorns have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Longhorns have 123 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Ewers has completed 69.3% of passes (19 TD’s, 6 INTs)
Since 2019, Texas is 8-8 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 16-17 ATS in conference games.
Texas is 12-7 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
Longhorns’ only loss was 30-15 at home to Georgia.
Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.
Arkansas (5-4, 3-3)
Arkansas gave up 40.7 ppg in its last three games.
Razorbacks were minus-10 in turnovers in their losses (+7 in wins).
Razorbacks have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Razorbacks have 67 returning starts on the offensive line;
Junior QB Green started 22 games at Boise State.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 8-6 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 20-9 ATS as an underdog overall.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 23-15-2 ATS in SEC games.
Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 15-11 ATS coming off a loss.
Four of Arkansas’ last six games stayed under the total.
These teams haven’t met since 2021.
Arkansas won last two series games, 40-21/31-7
Utah @ Colorado (-11)
Utah (4-5, 2-5)
Utah lost last five games, last two by 1-3 points.
Utes scored 22+ points in their four wins (0-5 score less than 22)
Utes have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Utah has 60 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Rose had his first start LW, a 22-21 loss to BYU.
Since 2014, Utah is 15-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Utah is 2-6 ATS in last eight games overall.
Utes are 0-5 when they run ball for less than 170 yards.
Since 2016, Utes are 46-31 ATS in conference games (2-5 TY).
Five of Utah’s last six games stayed under the total.
Colorado (6-2, 4-1)
Colorado won six of its last seven games (7-0 ATS).
Colorado scored 31+ points in six of its seven wins.
Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 100 returning starts on offensive line, and a new OL coach.
QB Sanders started 11 games LY, after playing multiple years at I-AA Jackson State.
Sanders is 5-3 ATS as a favorite with Colorado, 3-2 at home.
Since 2020, Colorado is 5-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Sanders, Buffs are 11-4 ATS in conference games.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 6-4 ATS coming off a win.
Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.
Utah won last seven meetings (5-2 ATS)
Utes won/covered their last three visits to Boulder.
Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.
Tulane (-7) @ Navy
Tulane (8-2, 6-0)
Green Wave won its last seven games, scoring 44.6 ppg.
Tulane won its last two games by a combined 86-9.
Tulane’s two losses were to K-State/Oklahoma, Big X teams.
Green Wave has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Green Wave has 143 returning starts on offensive line.
Redshirt frosh QB Mensah has thrown for 2,059 yards, 16 TD’s.
Tulane is 9-2 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
Tulane is 31-15 ATS in last 46 games as a favorite.
Green Wave is 30-17-1 ATS in last 48 conference games.
New coach Sumrall is 10-0 ATS as a road favorite.
Tulane is 19-12 ATS in last 31 games coming off a win.
Over is 6-3 in their I-A games.
Navy (7-2, 5-1)
Navy lost two of its last three games, scoring 17.3 ppg
Middies scored 34+ points in their first six wins.
Navy has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Middies have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Horvath has run ball for 870 yards, thrown for 1,154.
Navy is 7-5 ATS in last 12 games as a home underdog.
Middies were held to 14-10 points in losses (Notre Dame/Rice)
Navy is 13-4 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
Navy has thrown for 100+ yards in seven of nine games.
Navy has +14 turnover ratio in wins, minus-6 in losses.
Over is 6-2 in their I-A games.
Teams haven’t met since 2020.
Underdogs covered five of last six meetings.
Clemson (-11.5) @ Pittsburgh
Clemson (7-2, 6-1)
Clemson allowed 34-33 points in its two losses.
Clemson is 15-19 ATS in last 34 games coming off a win.
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tigers have 106 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Klubnik has 14 career starts.
Last 4+ years, Clemson is 10-10 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Swinney is 33-30-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Tigers are 14-10 ATS in their last 24 ACC games.
Clemson is +12 in turnovers in wins, minus-1 in losses.
Under is 4-1-1 in last six Clemson games.
Pittsburgh (7-2, 3-2)
Pitt lost its last two games, after a 7-0 start.
Panthers scored 28+ points in six of their seven wins.
Panthers have 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Panthers have 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Holstein has 2,177 passing yards, with 17 TD’s, 6 INTs.
Pitt is 9-5 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
Panthers were held under 300 TY in three of last four games.
Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 27-24 ATS as an underdog
Panthers are 3-6 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
These teams haven’t met since 2021.
Teams split their last four meetings (favorite 3-0 ATS last three)
Michigan State @ Illinois (-2.5)
Michigan State (4-5, 2-4)
Spartans lost five of their last six games.
MSU is 3-0 scoring 27+ points, 1-5 scoring less than 27.
MSU has 5 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Spartans have 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Chiles was a sub at Oregon State LY, playing every third series.
MSU is 9-6-1 ATS last 16 games as a road underdog.
Spartans are 1-6 when they score less than 27 points.
Last 2+ years, Spartans are 9-13-2 ATS in league games.
Last six games, Spartans are minus-7 in turnovers.
Michigan State is 11-10-2 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
Spartans last three games went over the total.
Illinois (6-3, 3-3)
Illinois lost its last two games, after a 6-1 start.
Illini scored 7-9-17 points in losses (6-0 if they score 21+)
Illinois has 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Illini has 77 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Altmyer has 10 career starts.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 4-12 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Bielema is 36-40 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 21-15 ATS in conference games.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 10-9 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Under is 6-2 in Illinois’ I-A games.
Michigan State won 11 of last 14 series games.
Spartans are 7-1 SU/6-2 ATS in last eight visits to Illinois.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
LSU (-3.5) @ Florida
LSU (6-3, 3-2)
LSU lost its last two games, giving up 38-42 points.
LSU scored 29+ points in wins, 20-23-13 in losses.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Nussmeier is completing 62.7% of passes (21 TD’s, 11 INTs)
Under Kelly, Tigers are 3-5 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Kelly is 32-29-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Kelly, LSU is 10-11-1 ATS in SEC games.
Since 2017, LSU is 38-25-2 ATS in SEC games.
Five of LSU’s last six games stayed under the total.
In his career, Kelly is 40-26 ATS coming off a loss.
Florida (4-5, 2-4)
Gators lost last two games, giving up 34-49 points.
Florida scored 45-24-48 points in I-A wins, 17-20-17-20-17 in losses.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Gators have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Lagway has 6 TD passes, 5 INT’s (1,071 PY).
Under Napier, Florida is 10-7 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Napier is 21-10-1 ATS as an underdog.
Florida covered five of its last six games overall.
Under Napier, Florida is 12-10 ATS in SEC games.
Over is 6-2 in Florida’s I-A games.
LSU won/covered last five series games.
Tigers are 3-2 SU/ATS in last five visits to Gainesville.
Over is 6-0 in last six meetings.
Nebraska @ USC (-7.5)
Nebraska (5-4, 2-4)
Nebraska lost its last three games, after a 5-1 start.
Nebraska is 0-4 when it allows more than 10 points.
Cornhuskers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Nebraska has 152 returning starts on OL, mostly from transfers.
Freshman QB Raiola has thrown for 1,908 yards (10 TDs, 8 INTs)
Last three games, Nebraska is minus-6 in turnovers.
Nebraska is 17-8-1 ATS last 26 games as a road underdog.
As a college coach, Rhule is 21-11 ATS as a road underdog.
As a college coach, Rhule is 28-22 ATS coming off a loss.
Under is 5-3 in their I-A games.
USC (4-5, 2-5)
Trojans lost four of their last five games.
USC’s losses are by 1-3-3-7-5 points.
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Maiava started 11 games at UNLV; this is hist 1st USC start.
Under Riley, USC is 10-5 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Riley is 28-18 ATS as a home favorite.
Trojans are 12-23 ATS in last 35 conference games.
In his career, Riley is 34-39-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Riley, USC is 4-6 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.
These teams haven’t met since a bowl game in 2014.
Baylor (-2) @ West Virginia
Baylor (5-4, 3-4)
Baylor won its last three games, scoring 59-38-37 points.
Last six games, Bears gave up 37.0 ppg.
Baylor has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Robertson started four games last year.
Last three games, Baylor ran ball for 255-343-257 yards.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 1-4 ATS as road favorites.
Under Aranda, Bears are 15-11 ATS coming off a win.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 22-22 ATS in conference games.
Last 2+ years, Baylor is +4 in turnovers (+31 from 2019-21)
Baylor’s last six games went over the total.
West Virginia (5-4, 4-2)
WVU allowed 36.3 ppg in its four losses, 28-14-26-24 in I-A wins.
West Virginia is 0-3 when it scores less than 31 points.
Mountaineers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mountaineers have 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Greene has 14 career starts.
Under Brown, WVU is 6-10 ATS as a home underdog (0-3 TY).
In his career, Brown is 6-12 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Brown, WVU is 24-26 ATS in Big X games.
Mountaineers are 13-18 ATS in last 31 games coming off a win.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
West Virginia won six of last eight series games.
Baylor is 0-6 SU/2-4 ATS in last six visits to Morgantown.
Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Arizona State @ Kansas State (-7.5)
Arizona State (7-2, 4-2)
ASU won four of its last five games.
Sun Devils scored 27+ points in their wins, 22-14 in losses.
ASU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Sun Devils have 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Leavitt has 1,631 PY this year, with 14 TD’s, 4 INTs.
ASU is 16-8-1 ATS in last 25 games as a road underdog.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 10-5 ATS in conference games.
ASU is 7-13 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Arizona State is 4-0 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Sun Devils’ two losses this year were by 8-10 points.
Kansas State (7-2, 5-2)
K-State scored 29+ points in its wins, 9-19 in losses.
Wildcats are +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
Wildcats have 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Wildcats have 73 returning starts on OL, only 36 at I-A level.
Frosh QB Johnson has thrown for 1,892 yards (17 TDs, 7 INTs)
K-State is 13-3 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
Under Klieman, Wildcats are 23-16 ATS as a favorite.
Under Klieman, K-State is 33-20 ATS in Big X games.
Wildcats are 8-0 ATS last eight games coming off a loss.
K-State scored 34 ppg in winning its three I-A home games.
These teams haven’t met since a bowl game in 2002.
Oregon (-14) @ Wisconsin
Oregon (10-0, 7-0)
Oregon won its last four games, all by 21+ points.
Ducks held last three opponents under 300 TY.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Ducks have 144 returning starts on the offensive line.
Ducks poached senior QB Gabriel (49 starts at UCF/Oklahoma).
Under Lanning, Oregon is 10-3 ATS as a road favorite./
Under Lanning, Ducks are 21-9 ATS as a favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 17-8 ATS in conference games.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 20-9 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Wisconsin (5-4, 3-3)
Wisconsin lost its last two games,, 28-13/42-10.
Wisconsin gave up 42-38-28-42 points in its losses.
Badgers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Badgers have 102 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Locke started three games last year.
Since 2014, Badgers are 2-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2017, Badgers are 3-8 ATS as an underdog anywhere.
In his career, Fickell is 16-12 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2014, Badgers are 25-21 ATS in conference games.
All nine Wisconsin games were decided by 14+ points.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
These teams haven’t met since 2019.
Tennessee @ Georgia (-9.5)
Tennessee (8-1, 5-1)
Vols QB Iamaleava is banged up (check status)
Tennessee hasn’t allowed more than 19 points in a game TY.
This is Tennessee’s first road game since October 5th.
Tennessee has 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Vols have 112 returning starts on the offensive line;
Frosh QB Iamaleava had one start LY, was MVP of Citrus Bowl.
Tennessee is 1-6 ATS last seven games as a road underdog.
In his career, Heupel is 1-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 13-17 ATS in SEC games.
Under is 5-1 in their SEC games this year.
Vols gained 477-452 yards in their last two games.
Georgia (7-2, 5-2)
Georgia lost to Ole Miss LW; hard to make playoff now.
Dawgs were held to 80-59 rushing yards in their two losses.
Georgia trailed at half in four of its nine games.
Dawgs have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Georgia has 87 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Beck started 14 games LY.
Georgia is 2-8 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite.
Georgia is 1-6 ATS in its last seven I-A games.
Georgia is 5-9 ATS in its last 14 SEC games.
Georgia is 4-5 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-3 in their D-I games.
Georgia won last seven meetings (6-1 ATS).
Vols are 1-7 SU/4-4 ATS in last eight visits to Athens.
Over is 8-4 in last 12 series games.
Cincinnati @ Iowa State (-7.5)
Cincinnati (5-4, 3-3)
Cincinnati lost last two games, after a 5-2 start.
Cincinnati gave up 28-44-34-31 points in their losses.
Bearcats gave up 20 or fewer points in their wins.
Bearcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bearcats have 91 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby started 7 games at Indiana last year.
Cincinnati is 3-5-1 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.
In his career, Satterfield is 12-16-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 2+ years, Cincinnati is 6-15-2 ATS in conference games.
Bearcats are 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-2-1 in Cincinnati’s last eight games.
Iowa State (7-2, 4-2)
Iowa State lost its last two games, after a 7-0 start.
Last three games, Cyclones gave up 240 rushing yards/game.
Cyclones have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cyclones have 90 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.
Iowa State’s last three games had average total of 66.3.
Under Campbell, ISU is 18-20 ATS as a home favorite.
Cyclones are 9-6 ATS in last 15 conference games.
Cyclones are +8 in turnovers this season.
Iowa State is averaging 458.7 yards in its Big X games.
Iowa State (+5) won 30-20 at Cincinnati last year.
Cyclones were +2 in turnovers in that game.
Kansas @ BYU (-2.5)
Kansas (3-6, 2-4)
Kansas won two of last three games, after a 1-5 start.
Jayhawks have five losses by 6 or fewer points.
Jayhawks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Kansas has 130 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Daniels has 20 career starts.
In his career, Leipold is 12-21-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 6-11 ATS as a road underdog.
Kansas covered its last three games.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 10-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
Five of last six Kansas games went over the total.
BYU (9-0, 6-0)
BYU won its first six Big X games, scoring 35.0 ppg.
BYU is 6-0 SU/4-2 ATS in its Big X games.
Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Broncos have 88 starts returning on the offensive line.
Junior QB Retzlaff started four games LY.
BYU is 2-7 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
BYU scored 34+ points in six of its last seven games.
In his career, coach Sitake is 25-37 ATS as a favorite.
Last 2+ years, BYU is 10-10 ATS coming off a win (6-2 TY).
Last three games, BYU gave up 26.7 ppg.
Six of their last seven games went over the total.
BYU (+9.5) lost 38-27 at Kansas last year.
Jayhawks ran for 221 yards, were +3 in turnovers.
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 16
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX at ARK | 12:00 PM | ARK +13.5 O 56.5 | +500 +500 |
| LIB at MASS | 12:00 PM | LIB -15.5 U 52.5 | +500 +500 |
| UTAH at COLO | 12:00 PM | UTAH +13.5 U 43.0 | +500 +500 |
| CLEM at PITT | 12:00 PM | PITT +11.0 U 50.0 | +500 +500 |
| OSU at NW | 12:00 PM | OSU -28.0 U 43.5 | +500 +500 |
| LT at WKU | 12:00 PM | WKU -11.0 O 52.5 | +500 +500 |
| TULN at NAVY | 12:00 PM | NAVY +7.0 O 49.0 | +500 +500 |
| ULM at AUB | 12:45 PM | ULM +24.5 O 46.0 | +500 +500 |
| CCU at MRSH | 01:00 PM | MRSH -8.0 O 56.5 | +500 +500 |
| FAU at TEM | 02:00 PM | TEM -2.0 U 50.0 | +500 +500 |
| FIU at JVST | 02:00 PM | JVST -12.5 U 59.0 | +500 +500 |
| MSU at ILL | 02:30 PM | MSU +2.5 U 48.0 | +500 +500 |
| HAW at USU | 03:00 PM | HAW -2.5 U 62.0 | +500 +500 |
| SHSU at KENN | 03:00 PM | KENN +20.0 O 42.5 | +500 +500 |
| SYR at CAL | 03:00 PM | CAL -10.0 U 56.5 | +500 +500 |
| BC at SMU | 03:30 PM | SMU -18.0 U 54.0 | +500 +500 |
| UVA at ND | 03:30 PM | UVA +21.5 U 51.0 | +500 +500 |
| LSU at FLA | 03:30 PM | LSU -3.5 O 56.0 | +500 +500 |
| USF at CHAR | 03:30 PM | USF -2.5 U 55.0 | +500 +500 |
| ORST at AFA | 03:30 PM | AFA +2.5 O 44.5 | +500 +500 |
| LOU at STAN | 03:30 PM | LOU -20.5 O 57.5 | +500 +500 |
| PSU at PUR | 03:30 PM | PSU -30.0 O 51.5 | +500 +500 |
| BAY at WVU | 04:00 PM | WVU +2.0 O 59.5 | +500 +500 |
| TROY at GASO | 04:00 PM | TROY +7.5 O 53.5 | +500 +500 |
| NEB at USC | 04:00 PM | USC -7.0 U 51.0 | +500 +500 |
| JMU at ODU | 04:00 PM | ODU +2.5 O 51.0 | +500 +500 |
| MIZZ at SOCAR | 04:15 PM | SOCAR -12.5 O 42.5 | +500 +500 |
| ARST at GSU | 05:00 PM | GSU -3.0 U 59.5 | +500 +500 |
| RUTG at MD | 06:00 PM | RUTG +4.5 U 54.5 | +500 +500 |
| USA at ULL | 07:00 PM | ULL -6.5 U 60.0 | +500 +500 |
| USM at TXST | 07:00 PM | TXST -27.5 U 56.5 | +500 +500 |
| BSU at SJSU | 07:00 PM | SJSU +14.0 O 61.5 | +500 +500 |
| ASU at KSU | 07:00 PM | ASU +7.5 O 51.5 | +500 +500 |
| TENN at UGA | 07:30 PM | TENN +8.5 O 47.0 | +500 +500 |
| ORE at WIS | 07:30 PM | ORE -13.5 U 50.5 | +500 +500 |
| NMSU at TAM | 07:45 PM | TAM -39.5 U 54.0 | +500 +500 |
| WAKE at UNC | 08:00 PM | WAKE +10.0 O 64.0 | +500 +500 |
| CIN at ISU | 08:00 PM | ISU -7.5 O 52.5 | +500 +500 |
| UAB at MEM | 08:00 PM | MEM -16.5 U 63.0 | +500 +500 |
| WSU at UNM | 09:30 PM | WSU -10.5 U 71.5 | +500 +500 |
| KU at BYU | 10:15 PM | KU +2.5 O 56.5 | +500 +500 |
| SDSU at UNLV | 10:30 PM | SDSU +21.5 U 54.5 | +500 +500 |
NCAAF
Week 13
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Trend Report
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Week 13
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Trend Report
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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Leading scorers in country in college basketball:
28.3— TY Johnson, Cal-Davis
27.5— Ante Brzovic, Charleston
25.8— Ketron Shaw, Md-Eastern Shore
25.8— Ryan Kalkbrenner, Creighton
25.8— Anthony Roy, Green Bay
25.8— Jaron Pierre, Jacksonville State
Quote of the Day
“I think you got to be really, really careful when you start pointing fingers at certain people. That’s a dangerous thing, and I’m not going to do that. Not doing it. Not right now. As a head coach in this league that’s going through what we’re going through, you’re pointing a finger. And if it needs to be pointed, it needs to be pointed at me. Start with me. That’s enough on that.”
Jaguars coach Doug Pederson
Tuesday’s quiz
Who was the Dallas Cowboys’ coach the last time they won a Super Bowl?
Monday’s quiz
In the TV show Las Vegas, Cheryl Ladd played James Caan’s wife.
Sunday’s quiz
John Robinson was UNLV’s football coach the last time they won a bowl game, in 2000.
******************************************
Texans led 17-10 at half, outscored Dallas 17-0 in 2nd half.
RB Mixon ran ball 20 times for 109 yards, three TD’s.
Houston’s opponents’ team total: under 5-1-1 last seven games.
Houston is 9-4 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
Cowboys were 5-15 on third down, 0-4 on fourth down.
Dallas lost last five games, giving up 47-30-27-34-34 points.
Cowboys are 0-7 when they allow more than 17 points.
Since 2021, Dallas is 1-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— New Jersey Giants benched QB Daniel Jones Monday, naming Tommy DeVito the starter for this week’s game vs Tampa Bay, with Drew Lock named as the backup.
DeVito went 3-3 as the Giants’ starter last year; Jones was 25-45-1 as the Giants’ QB, 3-13 the last two years, after he went 9-6-1 in 2022, with a playoff win at Minnesota. He is making $40M a year, but looks like he’ll be elsewhere next season.
— Gonzaga 80, San Diego State 67
Senior G Nembhard had 19 points, 10 assists.
San Diego State shot only 37.7% from the floor.
Zags have 7 of their top 8 scorers back from last year.
— Khalif Battle is a senior guard for Gonzaga; he is 23 years old and has had an interesting trip thru college basketball.
2019-20- Started his career at Butler, playing around 8 minutes/game for a 22-9 Butler squad.
2020-23- Started for three years at Temple, playing 26 mpg two years ago; Owls went 38-39 those three years, 24-25 in conference games.
2023-24- He played at Arkansas LY, playing 24 mpg or so for the 16-17 Razorbacks, who were 6-12 in the SEC.
2024-25- Now he is at Gonzaga, a top-5 team in the country; he scored 17.3 ppg in the Zags’ first three games, had xx points against the Aztecs Monday night.
— Florida Atlantic fired football coach Tom Herman on Monday with two games left in his second season at FAU; Owls were 4-8 last year, are 2-8 this season.
UMass fired football coach Don Brown Monday; Minutemen went 6-28 the last three years. UMass plays Georgia this week, bad news for interim coach Shane Montgomery. Brown had led UMass to the I-AA national title game in 2006, but I-A is a much tougher gig.
— Indiana signed football coach Curt Cignetti to an 8-year contract worth $8M/year, which is what happens when you’re still unbeaten in November. Cignetti went 52-9 in five years at James Madison, before moving on to the Hoosiers this year, bring 13 players with him from JMU.
— There are three unbeaten teams left in college football: Army, Indiana, Oregon.
Go figure.
— Famous birthdays, November 19
Ahmad Rashad, 75
Richard Todd, 71
Allison Janney, 65
Meg Ryan, 63
Gary Disarcina, 57
Justin Duchscherer, 47
Ryan Howard, 45
Adam Driver, 41
Framber Valdez, 31
Joey Gallo, 31
— Sacramento Kings’ G De’Aaron Fox just scored 109 points in consecutive games, only the third time that has ever happened in NBA history. Wilt Chamberlain, Kobe Bryant also did it.
— NBA pre-game/post-game show Inside the NBA will be on ESPN starting next season, a big upgrade to ESPN’s NBA programming.
— Wisconsin 87, Rio Grande Valley 84
Badgers are 5-0 this month, playing pace #239; last two years, Wisconsin played slower, the #307/344 pace. Four of the Badgers’ next five games are against top 60 teams.
— Cal-Fullerton 62, Idaho State 61
Titans put three guys in double figures; two of them didn’t start.
Idaho State had 22 offensive boards; Fullerton had 23 defensive rebounds.
— There are murmurs on the Interweb that the Mets offered Juan Soto $660M for 14 years, which works out to $47M a year. We’ll see who else steps up to the plate, whether another team will make an offer to try and at least drive up what the Mets/Bronx will have to pay Soto.
— Baltimore Orioles are going to move in the left-field wall at Camden Yards next season; parts of the left-field fence will will be pulled in at varying distances between 9 and 20 feet, and the fence will be four or five feet shorter in some areas.
— Thanksgiving Day is November 28 this year, the latest it can be- the college hoop schedule has been kind of spread out so far, not that much good stuff. Lot of cupcake games, but Purdue-Marquette is a headline game on Tuesday’s schedule. Holiday tournaments will be in full force next week, always a good thing.
Leading scorers in country in college basketball:
28.3— TY Johnson, Cal-Davis
27.5— Ante Brzovic, Charleston
25.8— Ketron Shaw, Md-Eastern Shore
25.8— Ryan Kalkbrenner, Creighton
25.8— Anthony Roy, Green Bay
25.8— Jaron Pierre, Jacksonville State
Quote of the Day
“I think you got to be really, really careful when you start pointing fingers at certain people. That’s a dangerous thing, and I’m not going to do that. Not doing it. Not right now. As a head coach in this league that’s going through what we’re going through, you’re pointing a finger. And if it needs to be pointed, it needs to be pointed at me. Start with me. That’s enough on that.”
Jaguars coach Doug Pederson
Tuesday’s quiz
Who was the Dallas Cowboys’ coach the last time they won a Super Bowl?
Monday’s quiz
In the TV show Las Vegas, Cheryl Ladd played James Caan’s wife.
Sunday’s quiz
John Robinson was UNLV’s football coach the last time they won a bowl game, in 2000.
******************************************
Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but………
— Texans 34, Cowboys 10Texans led 17-10 at half, outscored Dallas 17-0 in 2nd half.
RB Mixon ran ball 20 times for 109 yards, three TD’s.
Houston’s opponents’ team total: under 5-1-1 last seven games.
Houston is 9-4 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
Cowboys were 5-15 on third down, 0-4 on fourth down.
Dallas lost last five games, giving up 47-30-27-34-34 points.
Cowboys are 0-7 when they allow more than 17 points.
Since 2021, Dallas is 1-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— New Jersey Giants benched QB Daniel Jones Monday, naming Tommy DeVito the starter for this week’s game vs Tampa Bay, with Drew Lock named as the backup.
DeVito went 3-3 as the Giants’ starter last year; Jones was 25-45-1 as the Giants’ QB, 3-13 the last two years, after he went 9-6-1 in 2022, with a playoff win at Minnesota. He is making $40M a year, but looks like he’ll be elsewhere next season.
— Gonzaga 80, San Diego State 67
Senior G Nembhard had 19 points, 10 assists.
San Diego State shot only 37.7% from the floor.
Zags have 7 of their top 8 scorers back from last year.
— Khalif Battle is a senior guard for Gonzaga; he is 23 years old and has had an interesting trip thru college basketball.
2019-20- Started his career at Butler, playing around 8 minutes/game for a 22-9 Butler squad.
2020-23- Started for three years at Temple, playing 26 mpg two years ago; Owls went 38-39 those three years, 24-25 in conference games.
2023-24- He played at Arkansas LY, playing 24 mpg or so for the 16-17 Razorbacks, who were 6-12 in the SEC.
2024-25- Now he is at Gonzaga, a top-5 team in the country; he scored 17.3 ppg in the Zags’ first three games, had xx points against the Aztecs Monday night.
— Florida Atlantic fired football coach Tom Herman on Monday with two games left in his second season at FAU; Owls were 4-8 last year, are 2-8 this season.
UMass fired football coach Don Brown Monday; Minutemen went 6-28 the last three years. UMass plays Georgia this week, bad news for interim coach Shane Montgomery. Brown had led UMass to the I-AA national title game in 2006, but I-A is a much tougher gig.
— Indiana signed football coach Curt Cignetti to an 8-year contract worth $8M/year, which is what happens when you’re still unbeaten in November. Cignetti went 52-9 in five years at James Madison, before moving on to the Hoosiers this year, bring 13 players with him from JMU.
— There are three unbeaten teams left in college football: Army, Indiana, Oregon.
Go figure.
— Famous birthdays, November 19
Ahmad Rashad, 75
Richard Todd, 71
Allison Janney, 65
Meg Ryan, 63
Gary Disarcina, 57
Justin Duchscherer, 47
Ryan Howard, 45
Adam Driver, 41
Framber Valdez, 31
Joey Gallo, 31
— Sacramento Kings’ G De’Aaron Fox just scored 109 points in consecutive games, only the third time that has ever happened in NBA history. Wilt Chamberlain, Kobe Bryant also did it.
— NBA pre-game/post-game show Inside the NBA will be on ESPN starting next season, a big upgrade to ESPN’s NBA programming.
— Wisconsin 87, Rio Grande Valley 84
Badgers are 5-0 this month, playing pace #239; last two years, Wisconsin played slower, the #307/344 pace. Four of the Badgers’ next five games are against top 60 teams.
— Cal-Fullerton 62, Idaho State 61
Titans put three guys in double figures; two of them didn’t start.
Idaho State had 22 offensive boards; Fullerton had 23 defensive rebounds.
— There are murmurs on the Interweb that the Mets offered Juan Soto $660M for 14 years, which works out to $47M a year. We’ll see who else steps up to the plate, whether another team will make an offer to try and at least drive up what the Mets/Bronx will have to pay Soto.
— Baltimore Orioles are going to move in the left-field wall at Camden Yards next season; parts of the left-field fence will will be pulled in at varying distances between 9 and 20 feet, and the fence will be four or five feet shorter in some areas.
— Thanksgiving Day is November 28 this year, the latest it can be- the college hoop schedule has been kind of spread out so far, not that much good stuff. Lot of cupcake games, but Purdue-Marquette is a headline game on Tuesday’s schedule. Holiday tournaments will be in full force next week, always a good thing.
NCAAF
Weather Report
Tuesday, November 19
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 13
Tuesday’s games
Akron (-10) @ Kent State
Akron (2-8, 1-5)
Akron’s only I-A win: 25-21 over Eastern Michigan.
Last four games, Akron is minus-9 in turnovers.
Zips have 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Zips have 68 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Finley started 2 games each at NC State, Cal
Zips are a road favorite for first time since 2019.
In his career, Moorhead is 3-2 ATS as a a road favorite
Under Moorhead, Zips are 12-9-1 ATS in MAC games.
Akron ran ball for less than 100 yards in 3 of last 4 games.
Over is 6-3 in their I-A games.
Kent State (0-10, 0-6)
Kent is 0-6 SU/2-4 ATS in MAC, losing by 19-2-21-31-41-27 points.
Flashes are minus-11 in turnovers in its MAC games.
Flashes have 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Flashes have 75 returning starts on offensive line.
Last four games, Kent threw ball for total of 336 yards.
Under Burns, Kent is 2-5 ATS as a home underdog.
Kent lost its last two games by a combined 75-7.
Flashes are 6-15-1 ATS in last 22 MAC games.
Kent gave up 400+ total yards in every game this year.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Kent State is 4-1 SU/3-1-1 ATS in last five series games.
Zips are 2-5 SU/3-4 ATS in last seven visits to Kent State.
Under is 10-4 in last fourteen meetings.
Western Michigan (-6) @ Central Michigan
Western Michigan (5-5, 4-2)
WMU lost its last two games, giving up 42-31 points.
Broncos are 0-5 when they score less than 34 points.
Broncos have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
WMU has 92 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Wolff started five games last year.
WMU is 4-3-1 ATS in last eight games as a road favorite.
Last four weeks, Broncos gave up 212.3 rushing yards/game.
WMU allowed 31+ points in six of last nine games.
Broncos are 3-5 ATS in their last eight games.
Over is 5-1 in WMU’s last six games.
Central Michigan (3-7, 1-5)
CMU lost its last four games, by 2-4-39-10-24 points.
Chippewas two I-A wins were by 1-3 points.
Chippewas have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Chippewas have 73 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Labas was at Iowa the last two years.
Under McElwain, CMU is 7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Last three games, CMU was outscored 106-30
Chippewas are 5-17 ATS in last 22 MAC games.
Last three weeks, CMU was held to 168-250-236 total yards.
Last three weeks, Chippewas are minus-7 in turnovers.
Western Michigan won eight of last ten meetings.
Broncos are won/covered their last six visits to CMU.
Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.
Northern Illinois @ Miami (-2.5)
Northern Illinois (6-4, 3-3)
NIU is 1-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Huskies are 1-3 if they allow more than 20 points.
Huskies have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Huskies have 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Hampton has thrown for 1,361 yards (12 TD’s, 5 INTs)
Under Hammock, Huskies are 20-11 ATS as an underdog.
Under Hammock, NIU is 17-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Hammock, NIU is 20-25 ATS in MAC games.
Underdogs are 7-1-1 ATS in their I-A games.
NIU’s last three games went over the total.
Miami (6-4, 5-1)
Redhawks won last five games, scoring 38-30-46-27-34 points.
Miami is 0-4 when it scores fewer than 23 points.
Redhawks have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Miami has 100 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gabbert has 37 career starts.
Miami is 6-2 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
Redhawks are 10-4 ATS in last 14 MAC games.
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Favorites are 6-4 ATS in their games this season.
Last six games, Miami is +6 in turnovers.
Over is 4-1-1 in Miami’s MAC games.
Miami won/covered last three meetings.
NIU is 2-2 SU/1-3 ATS in last four visits to Miami.
Over is 4-1 in last five series games.
Weather Report
Tuesday, November 19
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 13
Tuesday’s games
Akron (-10) @ Kent State
Akron (2-8, 1-5)
Akron’s only I-A win: 25-21 over Eastern Michigan.
Last four games, Akron is minus-9 in turnovers.
Zips have 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Zips have 68 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Finley started 2 games each at NC State, Cal
Zips are a road favorite for first time since 2019.
In his career, Moorhead is 3-2 ATS as a a road favorite
Under Moorhead, Zips are 12-9-1 ATS in MAC games.
Akron ran ball for less than 100 yards in 3 of last 4 games.
Over is 6-3 in their I-A games.
Kent State (0-10, 0-6)
Kent is 0-6 SU/2-4 ATS in MAC, losing by 19-2-21-31-41-27 points.
Flashes are minus-11 in turnovers in its MAC games.
Flashes have 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Flashes have 75 returning starts on offensive line.
Last four games, Kent threw ball for total of 336 yards.
Under Burns, Kent is 2-5 ATS as a home underdog.
Kent lost its last two games by a combined 75-7.
Flashes are 6-15-1 ATS in last 22 MAC games.
Kent gave up 400+ total yards in every game this year.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Kent State is 4-1 SU/3-1-1 ATS in last five series games.
Zips are 2-5 SU/3-4 ATS in last seven visits to Kent State.
Under is 10-4 in last fourteen meetings.
Western Michigan (-6) @ Central Michigan
Western Michigan (5-5, 4-2)
WMU lost its last two games, giving up 42-31 points.
Broncos are 0-5 when they score less than 34 points.
Broncos have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
WMU has 92 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Wolff started five games last year.
WMU is 4-3-1 ATS in last eight games as a road favorite.
Last four weeks, Broncos gave up 212.3 rushing yards/game.
WMU allowed 31+ points in six of last nine games.
Broncos are 3-5 ATS in their last eight games.
Over is 5-1 in WMU’s last six games.
Central Michigan (3-7, 1-5)
CMU lost its last four games, by 2-4-39-10-24 points.
Chippewas two I-A wins were by 1-3 points.
Chippewas have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Chippewas have 73 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Labas was at Iowa the last two years.
Under McElwain, CMU is 7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Last three games, CMU was outscored 106-30
Chippewas are 5-17 ATS in last 22 MAC games.
Last three weeks, CMU was held to 168-250-236 total yards.
Last three weeks, Chippewas are minus-7 in turnovers.
Western Michigan won eight of last ten meetings.
Broncos are won/covered their last six visits to CMU.
Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.
Northern Illinois @ Miami (-2.5)
Northern Illinois (6-4, 3-3)
NIU is 1-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Huskies are 1-3 if they allow more than 20 points.
Huskies have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Huskies have 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Hampton has thrown for 1,361 yards (12 TD’s, 5 INTs)
Under Hammock, Huskies are 20-11 ATS as an underdog.
Under Hammock, NIU is 17-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Hammock, NIU is 20-25 ATS in MAC games.
Underdogs are 7-1-1 ATS in their I-A games.
NIU’s last three games went over the total.
Miami (6-4, 5-1)
Redhawks won last five games, scoring 38-30-46-27-34 points.
Miami is 0-4 when it scores fewer than 23 points.
Redhawks have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Miami has 100 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gabbert has 37 career starts.
Miami is 6-2 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
Redhawks are 10-4 ATS in last 14 MAC games.
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Favorites are 6-4 ATS in their games this season.
Last six games, Miami is +6 in turnovers.
Over is 4-1-1 in Miami’s MAC games.
Miami won/covered last three meetings.
NIU is 2-2 SU/1-3 ATS in last four visits to Miami.
Over is 4-1 in last five series games.
NCAAFB BEST BETS NOVEMBER !
11/19/2024.....................2 -3 - 0.......................40.00%................- 6.50
11/16/2024...................20 - 30 - 0...................40.00%.................- 65.00
11/15/2024......................2 - 6 - 0...................25.00%..................- 23.00
11/14/2024......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%..................- 0.50
11/13/2024......................4 - 2 - 0...................66.66%..................+ 9.00
11/12/2024......................2 - 2 - 0...................50.00%..................- 1.00
11/09/2024....................20 - 15 - 0..................57.14%...................+ 17.50
11/08/2024.......................2 - 3 - 0..................40.00%...................- 6.50
11/07/2024.......................1 - 3 - 0..................25.00%...................- 11.50
11/06/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/05/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/02/2024.....................9 - 10 - 0..................47.36%....................- 10.00
11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0..................16.67%...................- 22.50
TOTALS.........................70 - 82 - 0...................46.05%....................- 101.00
*************************************************************************************
AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00
11/19/2024.....................2 -3 - 0.......................40.00%................- 6.50
11/16/2024...................20 - 30 - 0...................40.00%.................- 65.00
11/15/2024......................2 - 6 - 0...................25.00%..................- 23.00
11/14/2024......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%..................- 0.50
11/13/2024......................4 - 2 - 0...................66.66%..................+ 9.00
11/12/2024......................2 - 2 - 0...................50.00%..................- 1.00
11/09/2024....................20 - 15 - 0..................57.14%...................+ 17.50
11/08/2024.......................2 - 3 - 0..................40.00%...................- 6.50
11/07/2024.......................1 - 3 - 0..................25.00%...................- 11.50
11/06/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/05/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%...................+ 9.50
11/02/2024.....................9 - 10 - 0..................47.36%....................- 10.00
11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0..................16.67%...................- 22.50
TOTALS.........................70 - 82 - 0...................46.05%....................- 101.00
*************************************************************************************
AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00
COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !
11/19/2024............15 - 19 - 0....................44.11%..............- 29.50
11/18/2024.............6 - 14 - 1.....................30.00%..............- 47.00
11/17/2024...............7 - 5 -1.....................58.33%..............+ 7.50
11/16/2024.............12 - 13 - 0...................48.00%...............- 11.50
11/15/2024.............16 - 18 -0.....................47.05%..............- 19.00
11/14/2024...............4- 13 - 0.....................23.42%..............- 51.50
11/13/2024..............16 - 17 - 0...................48.48%...............- 13.50
11/12/2024..............21 - 17 - 0...................55.26%...............+ 11.50
11/11/2024................6 - 21 - 0....................22.22%...............- 85.50
11/10/2024................10 - 7 - 0....................58.82%...............+ 11.50
11/09/2024.................8 - 16 - 1...................33.00%...............- 48.09
11/08/2024...............16 - 15 - 1....................51.61%...............- 2.50
11/07/2024.................9 - 10 - 1....................47.36%...............- 4.50
11/06/2024...................7 - 7 - 0....................50.00%...............- 3.50
11/05/2024...................6 - 5 - 0....................54.54%...............+ 2.50
11/04/2024................43 - 37 - 1..................53.75%...............+ 11.50
TOTALS...................202 - 234- 6...................46.33%...............- 271.59
11/19/2024............15 - 19 - 0....................44.11%..............- 29.50
11/18/2024.............6 - 14 - 1.....................30.00%..............- 47.00
11/17/2024...............7 - 5 -1.....................58.33%..............+ 7.50
11/16/2024.............12 - 13 - 0...................48.00%...............- 11.50
11/15/2024.............16 - 18 -0.....................47.05%..............- 19.00
11/14/2024...............4- 13 - 0.....................23.42%..............- 51.50
11/13/2024..............16 - 17 - 0...................48.48%...............- 13.50
11/12/2024..............21 - 17 - 0...................55.26%...............+ 11.50
11/11/2024................6 - 21 - 0....................22.22%...............- 85.50
11/10/2024................10 - 7 - 0....................58.82%...............+ 11.50
11/09/2024.................8 - 16 - 1...................33.00%...............- 48.09
11/08/2024...............16 - 15 - 1....................51.61%...............- 2.50
11/07/2024.................9 - 10 - 1....................47.36%...............- 4.50
11/06/2024...................7 - 7 - 0....................50.00%...............- 3.50
11/05/2024...................6 - 5 - 0....................54.54%...............+ 2.50
11/04/2024................43 - 37 - 1..................53.75%...............+ 11.50
TOTALS...................202 - 234- 6...................46.33%...............- 271.59
Wednesday’s 6-pack:
— Marquette 76, Purdue 58- Kam Jones had 17 points, 13 rebounds, 10 assists.
— Belmont 90, Oral Roberts 80- Bruins trailed by 17 early in second half.
— Michigan State 83, Samford 75- Samford is #7 in country in tempo.
— Celtics 120, Cavaliers 117- First loss for Cleveland, in their 16th game.
— Nets 116, Hornets 115- Brooklyn starters were +52, subs minus-47.
— Mavericks 132, Pelicans 91- New Orleans is 1-6 SU/0-7 ATS on road.
Quote of the Day
“Those eight years taught me a lot because I really focused on trying to be the assistant or the bench coach that I would want and I wasn’t great at it…….I get bored with some of the nonsense that anybody can do, so I want to be around people, I want to help people, and Counsell was so great at kind of letting me know where I was having an effect. But yeah, I’m way more natural, I think, doing this.”
Brewers’ manager Pat Murphy, NL Manager of the Year
Wednesday’s quiz
Other than UConn (won last two titles), what was the last team to win a college basketball national championship?
Tuesday’s quiz
Barry Switzer was the Dallas Cowboys’ coach the last time they won a Super Bowl.
Monday’s quiz
In the TV show Las Vegas, Cheryl Ladd played James Caan’s wife.
************************************
Hawks (7-8):
— 3-1 SU in their last four games.
— 3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Over 11-4
Celtics (11-3):
— 7-2 SU last nine games.
— 5-3 ATS as a road favorite, 2-4 as home favorite.
— over 3-0 last three games.
Nets (5-9):
— lost five of their last six games SU.
— 2-1 ATS as a favorite
— 7-3 ATS as an underdog.
— over 3-1 last four games
Hornets (5-8):
— lost six of last nine games SU.
— 4-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— under 6-2 last eight games.
Bulls (6-9)
— 3-7 SU in last ten games.
— 5-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— over 6-2-1 on road
Cavaliers (15-0):
— 15-0 SU (4-2 ATS last six games).
— 6-2 ATS as a home favorite, 3-0 as an underdog.
— over 8-3 last eleven games.
Mavericks (7-7):
— won last two games, after an 0-4 skid.
— 0-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— under 6-2 at home.
Nuggets (7-5):
— lost last two games, scoring 94-90 points (check Jokic’s status).
— 0-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— over 8-2 last ten games.
Pistons (7-9):
— 6-4 last ten games SU.
— 7-3 ATS as underdogs.
— under 7-1 on road
Warriors (10-3):
— won 8 of last 10 games SU.
— 6-2 ATS on the road.
— 4-1 ATS as an underdog.
— over 7-1 last eight games
Rockets (10-5):
— won five of last six games SU
— 5-2 ATS as a home favorite, 3-1 as an underdog.
— under 5-2 on road
Pacers (6-8):
— 1-3 SU in their last four games.
— 4-2 ATS as an underdog.
— over 10-2 last 12 games.
Clippers (8-7):
— won six of last nine games SU
— 4-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— under 5-2-1 last eight games.
Lakers (9-4):
— 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS last five games
— 5-1 ATS at home, 2-5 ATS on road.
— over 7-5 last 12 games.
Grizzlies (8-6):
— 6-3 SU last nine games.
— 4-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 4-2 last six games
Heat (6-7):
— 3-5 SU last eight games.
— 5-3 ATS on the road
— over 5-2 last seven games.
Famous birthdays, November 20th:
Veronica Hamel, 81
Louie Dampier, 80
Rick Monday, 79
Richard Masur, 76
Bo Derek, 68
Callie Thorne, 55
Joey Galloway, 53
JD Drew, 49
Tarik Skubal, 28
Bucks (5-9):
— won three of last four games.
— 2-5 ATS on the road.
— under 9-3 last 12 games.
Timberwolves (8-6)
— 5-3 SU last eight games.
— 2-5 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 8-3 last eleven games.
Pelicans (4-10):
— lost 10 of last 12 games SU
— 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS on the road.
— under 4-1 last five games.
Knicks (8-6):
— won last three games, scoring 124 ppg.
— 5-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 3-1 last four games.
Thunder (11-3):
— 4-3 SU last seven games, after a 7-0 start.
— 4-1 ATS on road.
— over 5-2 last seven games
Magic (9-6):
— won/covered their last six games.
— 6-1 ATS as home favorite, 1-5 as road underdog.
— under 8-1 last nine games.
76ers (2-11):
— lost last four game SU; 1-6 ATS last seven
— 0-4 ATS as favorite, 2-4 as road underdogs.
— under 6-1 last seven
Suns (9-6):
— lost four of last six games SU
— 0-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 6-3 last nine games
Trailblazers (6-8):
— won/covered last three games.
— 5-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— under 3-1 last four games
Kings (8-7):
— 3-4 SU/2-5 in last seven games.
— 3-6 ATS at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
Spurs (6-8):
— 3-5 SU in last eight games
— 1-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— over 6-3 last nine games
Raptors (3-12):
— 1-7 SU in last eight games.
— 10-5 ATS, all as an underdog.
— under 5-2 last seven games
Jazz (3-10):
— 3-4 SU in seven games SU, after an 0-6 start
— 2-4 ATS as home underdog, 4-3 as road dog.
— under 8-4 last 12 games.
Wizards (2-11):
— 0-9 SU/1-8 ATS last nine games
— 3-10 ATS, all as an underdog.
— over 3-1 last four games.
— Marquette 76, Purdue 58- Kam Jones had 17 points, 13 rebounds, 10 assists.
— Belmont 90, Oral Roberts 80- Bruins trailed by 17 early in second half.
— Michigan State 83, Samford 75- Samford is #7 in country in tempo.
— Celtics 120, Cavaliers 117- First loss for Cleveland, in their 16th game.
— Nets 116, Hornets 115- Brooklyn starters were +52, subs minus-47.
— Mavericks 132, Pelicans 91- New Orleans is 1-6 SU/0-7 ATS on road.
Quote of the Day
“Those eight years taught me a lot because I really focused on trying to be the assistant or the bench coach that I would want and I wasn’t great at it…….I get bored with some of the nonsense that anybody can do, so I want to be around people, I want to help people, and Counsell was so great at kind of letting me know where I was having an effect. But yeah, I’m way more natural, I think, doing this.”
Brewers’ manager Pat Murphy, NL Manager of the Year
Wednesday’s quiz
Other than UConn (won last two titles), what was the last team to win a college basketball national championship?
Tuesday’s quiz
Barry Switzer was the Dallas Cowboys’ coach the last time they won a Super Bowl.
Monday’s quiz
In the TV show Las Vegas, Cheryl Ladd played James Caan’s wife.
************************************
Wednesday’s Den: NBA trends……..
NBA trends (thru Monday, November 18)Hawks (7-8):
— 3-1 SU in their last four games.
— 3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Over 11-4
Celtics (11-3):
— 7-2 SU last nine games.
— 5-3 ATS as a road favorite, 2-4 as home favorite.
— over 3-0 last three games.
Nets (5-9):
— lost five of their last six games SU.
— 2-1 ATS as a favorite
— 7-3 ATS as an underdog.
— over 3-1 last four games
Hornets (5-8):
— lost six of last nine games SU.
— 4-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— under 6-2 last eight games.
Bulls (6-9)
— 3-7 SU in last ten games.
— 5-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— over 6-2-1 on road
Cavaliers (15-0):
— 15-0 SU (4-2 ATS last six games).
— 6-2 ATS as a home favorite, 3-0 as an underdog.
— over 8-3 last eleven games.
Mavericks (7-7):
— won last two games, after an 0-4 skid.
— 0-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— under 6-2 at home.
Nuggets (7-5):
— lost last two games, scoring 94-90 points (check Jokic’s status).
— 0-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— over 8-2 last ten games.
Pistons (7-9):
— 6-4 last ten games SU.
— 7-3 ATS as underdogs.
— under 7-1 on road
Warriors (10-3):
— won 8 of last 10 games SU.
— 6-2 ATS on the road.
— 4-1 ATS as an underdog.
— over 7-1 last eight games
Rockets (10-5):
— won five of last six games SU
— 5-2 ATS as a home favorite, 3-1 as an underdog.
— under 5-2 on road
Pacers (6-8):
— 1-3 SU in their last four games.
— 4-2 ATS as an underdog.
— over 10-2 last 12 games.
Clippers (8-7):
— won six of last nine games SU
— 4-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— under 5-2-1 last eight games.
Lakers (9-4):
— 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS last five games
— 5-1 ATS at home, 2-5 ATS on road.
— over 7-5 last 12 games.
Grizzlies (8-6):
— 6-3 SU last nine games.
— 4-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 4-2 last six games
Heat (6-7):
— 3-5 SU last eight games.
— 5-3 ATS on the road
— over 5-2 last seven games.
Famous birthdays, November 20th:
Veronica Hamel, 81
Louie Dampier, 80
Rick Monday, 79
Richard Masur, 76
Bo Derek, 68
Callie Thorne, 55
Joey Galloway, 53
JD Drew, 49
Tarik Skubal, 28
Bucks (5-9):
— won three of last four games.
— 2-5 ATS on the road.
— under 9-3 last 12 games.
Timberwolves (8-6)
— 5-3 SU last eight games.
— 2-5 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 8-3 last eleven games.
Pelicans (4-10):
— lost 10 of last 12 games SU
— 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS on the road.
— under 4-1 last five games.
Knicks (8-6):
— won last three games, scoring 124 ppg.
— 5-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 3-1 last four games.
Thunder (11-3):
— 4-3 SU last seven games, after a 7-0 start.
— 4-1 ATS on road.
— over 5-2 last seven games
Magic (9-6):
— won/covered their last six games.
— 6-1 ATS as home favorite, 1-5 as road underdog.
— under 8-1 last nine games.
76ers (2-11):
— lost last four game SU; 1-6 ATS last seven
— 0-4 ATS as favorite, 2-4 as road underdogs.
— under 6-1 last seven
Suns (9-6):
— lost four of last six games SU
— 0-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 6-3 last nine games
Trailblazers (6-8):
— won/covered last three games.
— 5-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— under 3-1 last four games
Kings (8-7):
— 3-4 SU/2-5 in last seven games.
— 3-6 ATS at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
Spurs (6-8):
— 3-5 SU in last eight games
— 1-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— over 6-3 last nine games
Raptors (3-12):
— 1-7 SU in last eight games.
— 10-5 ATS, all as an underdog.
— under 5-2 last seven games
Jazz (3-10):
— 3-4 SU in seven games SU, after an 0-6 start
— 2-4 ATS as home underdog, 4-3 as road dog.
— under 8-4 last 12 games.
Wizards (2-11):
— 0-9 SU/1-8 ATS last nine games
— 3-10 ATS, all as an underdog.
— over 3-1 last four games.
NCAAF
Weather Report
Wednesday, November 20
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 13
Wednesday’s games
Buffalo @ Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
Buffalo (6-4, 4-2)
Buffalo won its last two games, scoring 41-51 points.
Last four games, Bulls allowed 489-489-452-520 yards.
Bulls have 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Buffalo has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Ogbonna has 1,791 PY (13 TD’s, 4 INTs)
Buffalo is 7-5 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog (1-3 TY).
In his career, Lembo is 14-12 ATS as a road underdog
Buffalo is 4-0 when it allows less than 38 points.
Bulls are 11-18-1 ATS in last 30 MAC games.
Over is 6-0 in their last six games.
Eastern Michigan (5-5, 2-4)
Eagles lost their last three games, by 1-4-25 points.
EMU is 1-5 when to scores 28 or fewer points.
Eagles have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Eagles have 28 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Snyder 25 games at Buffalo/Rutgers.
Under Creighton, EMU is 9-20 ATS as a home favorite.
Eagles are 21-15 ATS in last 36 MAC games.
EMU is 29-16-1 ATS in last 46 games coming off a loss.
Eagles are 1-5 when they score less than 36 points.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
Buffalo won three of last four series games.
Bulls won/covered their last two visits to Ypsilanti.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Ohio U @ Toledo (-2.5)
Ohio U (7-3, 5-1)
Bobcats won last three games by a combined 123-26.
Ohio U is 5-1 in MAC, with wins by 20-2-31-41-25 points.
Bobcats have 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Bobcats have 57 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Navarro has thrown for 1,636 yards (7 TD’s, 8 INTs)
Under Albin, Ohio U is 5-7 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Albin, Ohio U is 12-10 ATS as a favorite.
Under Albin, Bobcats are 21-10 ATS in MAC games.
Ohio is 7-3 SU, despite being minus-4 in turnovers.
Over is 3-2 in their last five games.
Toledo (7-3, 4-2)
Toledo won its last two games, scoring 29-37 points.
Rockets are 6-0 giving up less than 26 points.
Toledo has 4 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Rockets had no returning starts on OL (added 3 transfers).
Junior QB Gleason started two games LY.
Toledo is 10-14 ATS last 24 games as a home favorite.
Rockets are 9-16 ATS last 25 games coming off a win.
Rockets are 11-13 ATS in last 24 MAC games.
Toledo was +5 in turnovers in LW’s 37-10 win over CMU.
Over is 6-3 in their I-A games.
Toledo won seven of last nine meetings.
Bobcats won two of last three visits to Toledo.
Under is 6-1-1 in last eight series games.
Weather Report
Wednesday, November 20
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 13
Wednesday’s games
Buffalo @ Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
Buffalo (6-4, 4-2)
Buffalo won its last two games, scoring 41-51 points.
Last four games, Bulls allowed 489-489-452-520 yards.
Bulls have 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Buffalo has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Ogbonna has 1,791 PY (13 TD’s, 4 INTs)
Buffalo is 7-5 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog (1-3 TY).
In his career, Lembo is 14-12 ATS as a road underdog
Buffalo is 4-0 when it allows less than 38 points.
Bulls are 11-18-1 ATS in last 30 MAC games.
Over is 6-0 in their last six games.
Eastern Michigan (5-5, 2-4)
Eagles lost their last three games, by 1-4-25 points.
EMU is 1-5 when to scores 28 or fewer points.
Eagles have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Eagles have 28 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Snyder 25 games at Buffalo/Rutgers.
Under Creighton, EMU is 9-20 ATS as a home favorite.
Eagles are 21-15 ATS in last 36 MAC games.
EMU is 29-16-1 ATS in last 46 games coming off a loss.
Eagles are 1-5 when they score less than 36 points.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
Buffalo won three of last four series games.
Bulls won/covered their last two visits to Ypsilanti.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Ohio U @ Toledo (-2.5)
Ohio U (7-3, 5-1)
Bobcats won last three games by a combined 123-26.
Ohio U is 5-1 in MAC, with wins by 20-2-31-41-25 points.
Bobcats have 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Bobcats have 57 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Navarro has thrown for 1,636 yards (7 TD’s, 8 INTs)
Under Albin, Ohio U is 5-7 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Albin, Ohio U is 12-10 ATS as a favorite.
Under Albin, Bobcats are 21-10 ATS in MAC games.
Ohio is 7-3 SU, despite being minus-4 in turnovers.
Over is 3-2 in their last five games.
Toledo (7-3, 4-2)
Toledo won its last two games, scoring 29-37 points.
Rockets are 6-0 giving up less than 26 points.
Toledo has 4 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Rockets had no returning starts on OL (added 3 transfers).
Junior QB Gleason started two games LY.
Toledo is 10-14 ATS last 24 games as a home favorite.
Rockets are 9-16 ATS last 25 games coming off a win.
Rockets are 11-13 ATS in last 24 MAC games.
Toledo was +5 in turnovers in LW’s 37-10 win over CMU.
Over is 6-3 in their I-A games.
Toledo won seven of last nine meetings.
Bobcats won two of last three visits to Toledo.
Under is 6-1-1 in last eight series games.
