NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 12
Saturday’s best 13 games
Texas (-12) @ Arkansas
Texas (8-1, 4-1)
Seven of eight Texas wins are by 19+ points.
Texas held eight of nine opponents under 300 TY.
Longhorns have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Longhorns have 123 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Ewers has completed 69.3% of passes (19 TD’s, 6 INTs)
Since 2019, Texas is 8-8 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 16-17 ATS in conference games.
Texas is 12-7 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
Longhorns’ only loss was 30-15 at home to Georgia.
Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.
Arkansas (5-4, 3-3)
Arkansas gave up 40.7 ppg in its last three games.
Razorbacks were minus-10 in turnovers in their losses (+7 in wins).
Razorbacks have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Razorbacks have 67 returning starts on the offensive line;
Junior QB Green started 22 games at Boise State.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 8-6 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 20-9 ATS as an underdog overall.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 23-15-2 ATS in SEC games.
Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 15-11 ATS coming off a loss.
Four of Arkansas’ last six games stayed under the total.
These teams haven’t met since 2021.
Arkansas won last two series games, 40-21/31-7
Utah @ Colorado (-11)
Utah (4-5, 2-5)
Utah lost last five games, last two by 1-3 points.
Utes scored 22+ points in their four wins (0-5 score less than 22)
Utes have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Utah has 60 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Rose had his first start LW, a 22-21 loss to BYU.
Since 2014, Utah is 15-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Utah is 2-6 ATS in last eight games overall.
Utes are 0-5 when they run ball for less than 170 yards.
Since 2016, Utes are 46-31 ATS in conference games (2-5 TY).
Five of Utah’s last six games stayed under the total.
Colorado (6-2, 4-1)
Colorado won six of its last seven games (7-0 ATS).
Colorado scored 31+ points in six of its seven wins.
Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 100 returning starts on offensive line, and a new OL coach.
QB Sanders started 11 games LY, after playing multiple years at I-AA Jackson State.
Sanders is 5-3 ATS as a favorite with Colorado, 3-2 at home.
Since 2020, Colorado is 5-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Sanders, Buffs are 11-4 ATS in conference games.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 6-4 ATS coming off a win.
Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.
Utah won last seven meetings (5-2 ATS)
Utes won/covered their last three visits to Boulder.
Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.
Tulane (-7) @ Navy
Tulane (8-2, 6-0)
Green Wave won its last seven games, scoring 44.6 ppg.
Tulane won its last two games by a combined 86-9.
Tulane’s two losses were to K-State/Oklahoma, Big X teams.
Green Wave has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Green Wave has 143 returning starts on offensive line.
Redshirt frosh QB Mensah has thrown for 2,059 yards, 16 TD’s.
Tulane is 9-2 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
Tulane is 31-15 ATS in last 46 games as a favorite.
Green Wave is 30-17-1 ATS in last 48 conference games.
New coach Sumrall is 10-0 ATS as a road favorite.
Tulane is 19-12 ATS in last 31 games coming off a win.
Over is 6-3 in their I-A games.
Navy (7-2, 5-1)
Navy lost two of its last three games, scoring 17.3 ppg
Middies scored 34+ points in their first six wins.
Navy has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Middies have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Horvath has run ball for 870 yards, thrown for 1,154.
Navy is 7-5 ATS in last 12 games as a home underdog.
Middies were held to 14-10 points in losses (Notre Dame/Rice)
Navy is 13-4 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
Navy has thrown for 100+ yards in seven of nine games.
Navy has +14 turnover ratio in wins, minus-6 in losses.
Over is 6-2 in their I-A games.
Teams haven’t met since 2020.
Underdogs covered five of last six meetings.
Clemson (-11.5) @ Pittsburgh
Clemson (7-2, 6-1)
Clemson allowed 34-33 points in its two losses.
Clemson is 15-19 ATS in last 34 games coming off a win.
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tigers have 106 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Klubnik has 14 career starts.
Last 4+ years, Clemson is 10-10 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Swinney is 33-30-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Tigers are 14-10 ATS in their last 24 ACC games.
Clemson is +12 in turnovers in wins, minus-1 in losses.
Under is 4-1-1 in last six Clemson games.
Pittsburgh (7-2, 3-2)
Pitt lost its last two games, after a 7-0 start.
Panthers scored 28+ points in six of their seven wins.
Panthers have 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Panthers have 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Holstein has 2,177 passing yards, with 17 TD’s, 6 INTs.
Pitt is 9-5 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
Panthers were held under 300 TY in three of last four games.
Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 27-24 ATS as an underdog
Panthers are 3-6 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
These teams haven’t met since 2021.
Teams split their last four meetings (favorite 3-0 ATS last three)
Michigan State @ Illinois (-2.5)
Michigan State (4-5, 2-4)
Spartans lost five of their last six games.
MSU is 3-0 scoring 27+ points, 1-5 scoring less than 27.
MSU has 5 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Spartans have 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Chiles was a sub at Oregon State LY, playing every third series.
MSU is 9-6-1 ATS last 16 games as a road underdog.
Spartans are 1-6 when they score less than 27 points.
Last 2+ years, Spartans are 9-13-2 ATS in league games.
Last six games, Spartans are minus-7 in turnovers.
Michigan State is 11-10-2 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
Spartans last three games went over the total.
Illinois (6-3, 3-3)
Illinois lost its last two games, after a 6-1 start.
Illini scored 7-9-17 points in losses (6-0 if they score 21+)
Illinois has 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Illini has 77 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Altmyer has 10 career starts.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 4-12 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Bielema is 36-40 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 21-15 ATS in conference games.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 10-9 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Under is 6-2 in Illinois’ I-A games.
Michigan State won 11 of last 14 series games.
Spartans are 7-1 SU/6-2 ATS in last eight visits to Illinois.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
LSU (-3.5) @ Florida
LSU (6-3, 3-2)
LSU lost its last two games, giving up 38-42 points.
LSU scored 29+ points in wins, 20-23-13 in losses.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Nussmeier is completing 62.7% of passes (21 TD’s, 11 INTs)
Under Kelly, Tigers are 3-5 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Kelly is 32-29-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Kelly, LSU is 10-11-1 ATS in SEC games.
Since 2017, LSU is 38-25-2 ATS in SEC games.
Five of LSU’s last six games stayed under the total.
In his career, Kelly is 40-26 ATS coming off a loss.
Florida (4-5, 2-4)
Gators lost last two games, giving up 34-49 points.
Florida scored 45-24-48 points in I-A wins, 17-20-17-20-17 in losses.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Gators have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Lagway has 6 TD passes, 5 INT’s (1,071 PY).
Under Napier, Florida is 10-7 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Napier is 21-10-1 ATS as an underdog.
Florida covered five of its last six games overall.
Under Napier, Florida is 12-10 ATS in SEC games.
Over is 6-2 in Florida’s I-A games.
LSU won/covered last five series games.
Tigers are 3-2 SU/ATS in last five visits to Gainesville.
Over is 6-0 in last six meetings.
Nebraska @ USC (-7.5)
Nebraska (5-4, 2-4)
Nebraska lost its last three games, after a 5-1 start.
Nebraska is 0-4 when it allows more than 10 points.
Cornhuskers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Nebraska has 152 returning starts on OL, mostly from transfers.
Freshman QB Raiola has thrown for 1,908 yards (10 TDs, 8 INTs)
Last three games, Nebraska is minus-6 in turnovers.
Nebraska is 17-8-1 ATS last 26 games as a road underdog.
As a college coach, Rhule is 21-11 ATS as a road underdog.
As a college coach, Rhule is 28-22 ATS coming off a loss.
Under is 5-3 in their I-A games.
USC (4-5, 2-5)
Trojans lost four of their last five games.
USC’s losses are by 1-3-3-7-5 points.
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Maiava started 11 games at UNLV; this is hist 1st USC start.
Under Riley, USC is 10-5 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Riley is 28-18 ATS as a home favorite.
Trojans are 12-23 ATS in last 35 conference games.
In his career, Riley is 34-39-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Riley, USC is 4-6 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.
These teams haven’t met since a bowl game in 2014.
Baylor (-2) @ West Virginia
Baylor (5-4, 3-4)
Baylor won its last three games, scoring 59-38-37 points.
Last six games, Bears gave up 37.0 ppg.
Baylor has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Robertson started four games last year.
Last three games, Baylor ran ball for 255-343-257 yards.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 1-4 ATS as road favorites.
Under Aranda, Bears are 15-11 ATS coming off a win.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 22-22 ATS in conference games.
Last 2+ years, Baylor is +4 in turnovers (+31 from 2019-21)
Baylor’s last six games went over the total.
West Virginia (5-4, 4-2)
WVU allowed 36.3 ppg in its four losses, 28-14-26-24 in I-A wins.
West Virginia is 0-3 when it scores less than 31 points.
Mountaineers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mountaineers have 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Greene has 14 career starts.
Under Brown, WVU is 6-10 ATS as a home underdog (0-3 TY).
In his career, Brown is 6-12 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Brown, WVU is 24-26 ATS in Big X games.
Mountaineers are 13-18 ATS in last 31 games coming off a win.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
West Virginia won six of last eight series games.
Baylor is 0-6 SU/2-4 ATS in last six visits to Morgantown.
Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Arizona State @ Kansas State (-7.5)
Arizona State (7-2, 4-2)
ASU won four of its last five games.
Sun Devils scored 27+ points in their wins, 22-14 in losses.
ASU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Sun Devils have 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Leavitt has 1,631 PY this year, with 14 TD’s, 4 INTs.
ASU is 16-8-1 ATS in last 25 games as a road underdog.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 10-5 ATS in conference games.
ASU is 7-13 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Arizona State is 4-0 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Sun Devils’ two losses this year were by 8-10 points.
Kansas State (7-2, 5-2)
K-State scored 29+ points in its wins, 9-19 in losses.
Wildcats are +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
Wildcats have 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Wildcats have 73 returning starts on OL, only 36 at I-A level.
Frosh QB Johnson has thrown for 1,892 yards (17 TDs, 7 INTs)
K-State is 13-3 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
Under Klieman, Wildcats are 23-16 ATS as a favorite.
Under Klieman, K-State is 33-20 ATS in Big X games.
Wildcats are 8-0 ATS last eight games coming off a loss.
K-State scored 34 ppg in winning its three I-A home games.
These teams haven’t met since a bowl game in 2002.
Oregon (-14) @ Wisconsin
Oregon (10-0, 7-0)
Oregon won its last four games, all by 21+ points.
Ducks held last three opponents under 300 TY.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Ducks have 144 returning starts on the offensive line.
Ducks poached senior QB Gabriel (49 starts at UCF/Oklahoma).
Under Lanning, Oregon is 10-3 ATS as a road favorite./
Under Lanning, Ducks are 21-9 ATS as a favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 17-8 ATS in conference games.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 20-9 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Wisconsin (5-4, 3-3)
Wisconsin lost its last two games,, 28-13/42-10.
Wisconsin gave up 42-38-28-42 points in its losses.
Badgers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Badgers have 102 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Locke started three games last year.
Since 2014, Badgers are 2-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2017, Badgers are 3-8 ATS as an underdog anywhere.
In his career, Fickell is 16-12 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2014, Badgers are 25-21 ATS in conference games.
All nine Wisconsin games were decided by 14+ points.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
These teams haven’t met since 2019.
Tennessee @ Georgia (-9.5)
Tennessee (8-1, 5-1)
Vols QB Iamaleava is banged up (check status)
Tennessee hasn’t allowed more than 19 points in a game TY.
This is Tennessee’s first road game since October 5th.
Tennessee has 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Vols have 112 returning starts on the offensive line;
Frosh QB Iamaleava had one start LY, was MVP of Citrus Bowl.
Tennessee is 1-6 ATS last seven games as a road underdog.
In his career, Heupel is 1-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 13-17 ATS in SEC games.
Under is 5-1 in their SEC games this year.
Vols gained 477-452 yards in their last two games.
Georgia (7-2, 5-2)
Georgia lost to Ole Miss LW; hard to make playoff now.
Dawgs were held to 80-59 rushing yards in their two losses.
Georgia trailed at half in four of its nine games.
Dawgs have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Georgia has 87 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Beck started 14 games LY.
Georgia is 2-8 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite.
Georgia is 1-6 ATS in its last seven I-A games.
Georgia is 5-9 ATS in its last 14 SEC games.
Georgia is 4-5 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-3 in their D-I games.
Georgia won last seven meetings (6-1 ATS).
Vols are 1-7 SU/4-4 ATS in last eight visits to Athens.
Over is 8-4 in last 12 series games.
Cincinnati @ Iowa State (-7.5)
Cincinnati (5-4, 3-3)
Cincinnati lost last two games, after a 5-2 start.
Cincinnati gave up 28-44-34-31 points in their losses.
Bearcats gave up 20 or fewer points in their wins.
Bearcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bearcats have 91 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby started 7 games at Indiana last year.
Cincinnati is 3-5-1 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.
In his career, Satterfield is 12-16-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 2+ years, Cincinnati is 6-15-2 ATS in conference games.
Bearcats are 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-2-1 in Cincinnati’s last eight games.
Iowa State (7-2, 4-2)
Iowa State lost its last two games, after a 7-0 start.
Last three games, Cyclones gave up 240 rushing yards/game.
Cyclones have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cyclones have 90 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.
Iowa State’s last three games had average total of 66.3.
Under Campbell, ISU is 18-20 ATS as a home favorite.
Cyclones are 9-6 ATS in last 15 conference games.
Cyclones are +8 in turnovers this season.
Iowa State is averaging 458.7 yards in its Big X games.
Iowa State (+5) won 30-20 at Cincinnati last year.
Cyclones were +2 in turnovers in that game.
Kansas @ BYU (-2.5)
Kansas (3-6, 2-4)
Kansas won two of last three games, after a 1-5 start.
Jayhawks have five losses by 6 or fewer points.
Jayhawks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Kansas has 130 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Daniels has 20 career starts.
In his career, Leipold is 12-21-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 6-11 ATS as a road underdog.
Kansas covered its last three games.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 10-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
Five of last six Kansas games went over the total.
BYU (9-0, 6-0)
BYU won its first six Big X games, scoring 35.0 ppg.
BYU is 6-0 SU/4-2 ATS in its Big X games.
Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Broncos have 88 starts returning on the offensive line.
Junior QB Retzlaff started four games LY.
BYU is 2-7 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
BYU scored 34+ points in six of its last seven games.
In his career, coach Sitake is 25-37 ATS as a favorite.
Last 2+ years, BYU is 10-10 ATS coming off a win (6-2 TY).
Last three games, BYU gave up 26.7 ppg.
Six of their last seven games went over the total.
BYU (+9.5) lost 38-27 at Kansas last year.
Jayhawks ran for 221 yards, were +3 in turnovers.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 12
Saturday’s best 13 games
Texas (-12) @ Arkansas
Texas (8-1, 4-1)
Seven of eight Texas wins are by 19+ points.
Texas held eight of nine opponents under 300 TY.
Longhorns have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Longhorns have 123 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Ewers has completed 69.3% of passes (19 TD’s, 6 INTs)
Since 2019, Texas is 8-8 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 16-17 ATS in conference games.
Texas is 12-7 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
Longhorns’ only loss was 30-15 at home to Georgia.
Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.
Arkansas (5-4, 3-3)
Arkansas gave up 40.7 ppg in its last three games.
Razorbacks were minus-10 in turnovers in their losses (+7 in wins).
Razorbacks have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Razorbacks have 67 returning starts on the offensive line;
Junior QB Green started 22 games at Boise State.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 8-6 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 20-9 ATS as an underdog overall.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 23-15-2 ATS in SEC games.
Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 15-11 ATS coming off a loss.
Four of Arkansas’ last six games stayed under the total.
These teams haven’t met since 2021.
Arkansas won last two series games, 40-21/31-7
Utah @ Colorado (-11)
Utah (4-5, 2-5)
Utah lost last five games, last two by 1-3 points.
Utes scored 22+ points in their four wins (0-5 score less than 22)
Utes have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Utah has 60 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Rose had his first start LW, a 22-21 loss to BYU.
Since 2014, Utah is 15-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Utah is 2-6 ATS in last eight games overall.
Utes are 0-5 when they run ball for less than 170 yards.
Since 2016, Utes are 46-31 ATS in conference games (2-5 TY).
Five of Utah’s last six games stayed under the total.
Colorado (6-2, 4-1)
Colorado won six of its last seven games (7-0 ATS).
Colorado scored 31+ points in six of its seven wins.
Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 100 returning starts on offensive line, and a new OL coach.
QB Sanders started 11 games LY, after playing multiple years at I-AA Jackson State.
Sanders is 5-3 ATS as a favorite with Colorado, 3-2 at home.
Since 2020, Colorado is 5-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Sanders, Buffs are 11-4 ATS in conference games.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 6-4 ATS coming off a win.
Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.
Utah won last seven meetings (5-2 ATS)
Utes won/covered their last three visits to Boulder.
Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.
Tulane (-7) @ Navy
Tulane (8-2, 6-0)
Green Wave won its last seven games, scoring 44.6 ppg.
Tulane won its last two games by a combined 86-9.
Tulane’s two losses were to K-State/Oklahoma, Big X teams.
Green Wave has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Green Wave has 143 returning starts on offensive line.
Redshirt frosh QB Mensah has thrown for 2,059 yards, 16 TD’s.
Tulane is 9-2 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
Tulane is 31-15 ATS in last 46 games as a favorite.
Green Wave is 30-17-1 ATS in last 48 conference games.
New coach Sumrall is 10-0 ATS as a road favorite.
Tulane is 19-12 ATS in last 31 games coming off a win.
Over is 6-3 in their I-A games.
Navy (7-2, 5-1)
Navy lost two of its last three games, scoring 17.3 ppg
Middies scored 34+ points in their first six wins.
Navy has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Middies have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Horvath has run ball for 870 yards, thrown for 1,154.
Navy is 7-5 ATS in last 12 games as a home underdog.
Middies were held to 14-10 points in losses (Notre Dame/Rice)
Navy is 13-4 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
Navy has thrown for 100+ yards in seven of nine games.
Navy has +14 turnover ratio in wins, minus-6 in losses.
Over is 6-2 in their I-A games.
Teams haven’t met since 2020.
Underdogs covered five of last six meetings.
Clemson (-11.5) @ Pittsburgh
Clemson (7-2, 6-1)
Clemson allowed 34-33 points in its two losses.
Clemson is 15-19 ATS in last 34 games coming off a win.
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tigers have 106 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Klubnik has 14 career starts.
Last 4+ years, Clemson is 10-10 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Swinney is 33-30-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Tigers are 14-10 ATS in their last 24 ACC games.
Clemson is +12 in turnovers in wins, minus-1 in losses.
Under is 4-1-1 in last six Clemson games.
Pittsburgh (7-2, 3-2)
Pitt lost its last two games, after a 7-0 start.
Panthers scored 28+ points in six of their seven wins.
Panthers have 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Panthers have 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Holstein has 2,177 passing yards, with 17 TD’s, 6 INTs.
Pitt is 9-5 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
Panthers were held under 300 TY in three of last four games.
Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 27-24 ATS as an underdog
Panthers are 3-6 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
These teams haven’t met since 2021.
Teams split their last four meetings (favorite 3-0 ATS last three)
Michigan State @ Illinois (-2.5)
Michigan State (4-5, 2-4)
Spartans lost five of their last six games.
MSU is 3-0 scoring 27+ points, 1-5 scoring less than 27.
MSU has 5 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Spartans have 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Chiles was a sub at Oregon State LY, playing every third series.
MSU is 9-6-1 ATS last 16 games as a road underdog.
Spartans are 1-6 when they score less than 27 points.
Last 2+ years, Spartans are 9-13-2 ATS in league games.
Last six games, Spartans are minus-7 in turnovers.
Michigan State is 11-10-2 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
Spartans last three games went over the total.
Illinois (6-3, 3-3)
Illinois lost its last two games, after a 6-1 start.
Illini scored 7-9-17 points in losses (6-0 if they score 21+)
Illinois has 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Illini has 77 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Altmyer has 10 career starts.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 4-12 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Bielema is 36-40 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 21-15 ATS in conference games.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 10-9 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Under is 6-2 in Illinois’ I-A games.
Michigan State won 11 of last 14 series games.
Spartans are 7-1 SU/6-2 ATS in last eight visits to Illinois.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
LSU (-3.5) @ Florida
LSU (6-3, 3-2)
LSU lost its last two games, giving up 38-42 points.
LSU scored 29+ points in wins, 20-23-13 in losses.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Nussmeier is completing 62.7% of passes (21 TD’s, 11 INTs)
Under Kelly, Tigers are 3-5 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Kelly is 32-29-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Kelly, LSU is 10-11-1 ATS in SEC games.
Since 2017, LSU is 38-25-2 ATS in SEC games.
Five of LSU’s last six games stayed under the total.
In his career, Kelly is 40-26 ATS coming off a loss.
Florida (4-5, 2-4)
Gators lost last two games, giving up 34-49 points.
Florida scored 45-24-48 points in I-A wins, 17-20-17-20-17 in losses.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Gators have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Lagway has 6 TD passes, 5 INT’s (1,071 PY).
Under Napier, Florida is 10-7 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Napier is 21-10-1 ATS as an underdog.
Florida covered five of its last six games overall.
Under Napier, Florida is 12-10 ATS in SEC games.
Over is 6-2 in Florida’s I-A games.
LSU won/covered last five series games.
Tigers are 3-2 SU/ATS in last five visits to Gainesville.
Over is 6-0 in last six meetings.
Nebraska @ USC (-7.5)
Nebraska (5-4, 2-4)
Nebraska lost its last three games, after a 5-1 start.
Nebraska is 0-4 when it allows more than 10 points.
Cornhuskers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Nebraska has 152 returning starts on OL, mostly from transfers.
Freshman QB Raiola has thrown for 1,908 yards (10 TDs, 8 INTs)
Last three games, Nebraska is minus-6 in turnovers.
Nebraska is 17-8-1 ATS last 26 games as a road underdog.
As a college coach, Rhule is 21-11 ATS as a road underdog.
As a college coach, Rhule is 28-22 ATS coming off a loss.
Under is 5-3 in their I-A games.
USC (4-5, 2-5)
Trojans lost four of their last five games.
USC’s losses are by 1-3-3-7-5 points.
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Maiava started 11 games at UNLV; this is hist 1st USC start.
Under Riley, USC is 10-5 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Riley is 28-18 ATS as a home favorite.
Trojans are 12-23 ATS in last 35 conference games.
In his career, Riley is 34-39-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Riley, USC is 4-6 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.
These teams haven’t met since a bowl game in 2014.
Baylor (-2) @ West Virginia
Baylor (5-4, 3-4)
Baylor won its last three games, scoring 59-38-37 points.
Last six games, Bears gave up 37.0 ppg.
Baylor has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Robertson started four games last year.
Last three games, Baylor ran ball for 255-343-257 yards.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 1-4 ATS as road favorites.
Under Aranda, Bears are 15-11 ATS coming off a win.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 22-22 ATS in conference games.
Last 2+ years, Baylor is +4 in turnovers (+31 from 2019-21)
Baylor’s last six games went over the total.
West Virginia (5-4, 4-2)
WVU allowed 36.3 ppg in its four losses, 28-14-26-24 in I-A wins.
West Virginia is 0-3 when it scores less than 31 points.
Mountaineers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mountaineers have 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Greene has 14 career starts.
Under Brown, WVU is 6-10 ATS as a home underdog (0-3 TY).
In his career, Brown is 6-12 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Brown, WVU is 24-26 ATS in Big X games.
Mountaineers are 13-18 ATS in last 31 games coming off a win.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
West Virginia won six of last eight series games.
Baylor is 0-6 SU/2-4 ATS in last six visits to Morgantown.
Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Arizona State @ Kansas State (-7.5)
Arizona State (7-2, 4-2)
ASU won four of its last five games.
Sun Devils scored 27+ points in their wins, 22-14 in losses.
ASU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Sun Devils have 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Leavitt has 1,631 PY this year, with 14 TD’s, 4 INTs.
ASU is 16-8-1 ATS in last 25 games as a road underdog.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 10-5 ATS in conference games.
ASU is 7-13 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Arizona State is 4-0 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Sun Devils’ two losses this year were by 8-10 points.
Kansas State (7-2, 5-2)
K-State scored 29+ points in its wins, 9-19 in losses.
Wildcats are +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
Wildcats have 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Wildcats have 73 returning starts on OL, only 36 at I-A level.
Frosh QB Johnson has thrown for 1,892 yards (17 TDs, 7 INTs)
K-State is 13-3 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
Under Klieman, Wildcats are 23-16 ATS as a favorite.
Under Klieman, K-State is 33-20 ATS in Big X games.
Wildcats are 8-0 ATS last eight games coming off a loss.
K-State scored 34 ppg in winning its three I-A home games.
These teams haven’t met since a bowl game in 2002.
Oregon (-14) @ Wisconsin
Oregon (10-0, 7-0)
Oregon won its last four games, all by 21+ points.
Ducks held last three opponents under 300 TY.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Ducks have 144 returning starts on the offensive line.
Ducks poached senior QB Gabriel (49 starts at UCF/Oklahoma).
Under Lanning, Oregon is 10-3 ATS as a road favorite./
Under Lanning, Ducks are 21-9 ATS as a favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 17-8 ATS in conference games.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 20-9 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Wisconsin (5-4, 3-3)
Wisconsin lost its last two games,, 28-13/42-10.
Wisconsin gave up 42-38-28-42 points in its losses.
Badgers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Badgers have 102 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Locke started three games last year.
Since 2014, Badgers are 2-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2017, Badgers are 3-8 ATS as an underdog anywhere.
In his career, Fickell is 16-12 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2014, Badgers are 25-21 ATS in conference games.
All nine Wisconsin games were decided by 14+ points.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
These teams haven’t met since 2019.
Tennessee @ Georgia (-9.5)
Tennessee (8-1, 5-1)
Vols QB Iamaleava is banged up (check status)
Tennessee hasn’t allowed more than 19 points in a game TY.
This is Tennessee’s first road game since October 5th.
Tennessee has 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Vols have 112 returning starts on the offensive line;
Frosh QB Iamaleava had one start LY, was MVP of Citrus Bowl.
Tennessee is 1-6 ATS last seven games as a road underdog.
In his career, Heupel is 1-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 13-17 ATS in SEC games.
Under is 5-1 in their SEC games this year.
Vols gained 477-452 yards in their last two games.
Georgia (7-2, 5-2)
Georgia lost to Ole Miss LW; hard to make playoff now.
Dawgs were held to 80-59 rushing yards in their two losses.
Georgia trailed at half in four of its nine games.
Dawgs have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Georgia has 87 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Beck started 14 games LY.
Georgia is 2-8 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite.
Georgia is 1-6 ATS in its last seven I-A games.
Georgia is 5-9 ATS in its last 14 SEC games.
Georgia is 4-5 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-3 in their D-I games.
Georgia won last seven meetings (6-1 ATS).
Vols are 1-7 SU/4-4 ATS in last eight visits to Athens.
Over is 8-4 in last 12 series games.
Cincinnati @ Iowa State (-7.5)
Cincinnati (5-4, 3-3)
Cincinnati lost last two games, after a 5-2 start.
Cincinnati gave up 28-44-34-31 points in their losses.
Bearcats gave up 20 or fewer points in their wins.
Bearcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bearcats have 91 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby started 7 games at Indiana last year.
Cincinnati is 3-5-1 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.
In his career, Satterfield is 12-16-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 2+ years, Cincinnati is 6-15-2 ATS in conference games.
Bearcats are 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-2-1 in Cincinnati’s last eight games.
Iowa State (7-2, 4-2)
Iowa State lost its last two games, after a 7-0 start.
Last three games, Cyclones gave up 240 rushing yards/game.
Cyclones have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cyclones have 90 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.
Iowa State’s last three games had average total of 66.3.
Under Campbell, ISU is 18-20 ATS as a home favorite.
Cyclones are 9-6 ATS in last 15 conference games.
Cyclones are +8 in turnovers this season.
Iowa State is averaging 458.7 yards in its Big X games.
Iowa State (+5) won 30-20 at Cincinnati last year.
Cyclones were +2 in turnovers in that game.
Kansas @ BYU (-2.5)
Kansas (3-6, 2-4)
Kansas won two of last three games, after a 1-5 start.
Jayhawks have five losses by 6 or fewer points.
Jayhawks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Kansas has 130 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Daniels has 20 career starts.
In his career, Leipold is 12-21-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 6-11 ATS as a road underdog.
Kansas covered its last three games.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 10-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
Five of last six Kansas games went over the total.
BYU (9-0, 6-0)
BYU won its first six Big X games, scoring 35.0 ppg.
BYU is 6-0 SU/4-2 ATS in its Big X games.
Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Broncos have 88 starts returning on the offensive line.
Junior QB Retzlaff started four games LY.
BYU is 2-7 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
BYU scored 34+ points in six of its last seven games.
In his career, coach Sitake is 25-37 ATS as a favorite.
Last 2+ years, BYU is 10-10 ATS coming off a win (6-2 TY).
Last three games, BYU gave up 26.7 ppg.
Six of their last seven games went over the total.
BYU (+9.5) lost 38-27 at Kansas last year.
Jayhawks ran for 221 yards, were +3 in turnovers.
