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[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Friday, January 3

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Friday’s games
First Responder Bowl (@ Dallas)
North Texas vs Texas State (-14)
North Texas (6-6)
UNT lost five of its last six games, after a 5-1 start.
UNT scored 41.6 ppg in first seven I-A games, 20.5 in last four
Mean Green has only two losses by more than 12 points.
Mean Green has 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
North Texas has 72 starts returning on offensive line.
Junior QB Morris started nine games at TCU.

UNT is 2-4 ATS as an underdog this season.
UNT is 16-14 ATS in last 30 games as an underdog
Last six games, UNT gave up 238.5 rushing yards/game.
Under Morris, North Texas is 6-7 ATS as an underdog.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Mean Green lost its last six bowls; they’re 2-11 all-time in bowls.


Texas State (7-5)
Texas State won three of last four games, scoring 46.3 ppg
Bobcats are 0-5 when they run ball for less than 195 yards.
Five of their seven wins are by 21+ points.
Texas State has 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Texas State has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB McCloud has completed 69.5% of passes (29 TD’s, 12 INTs)


Texas State is 4-3 ATS this year as a double digit favorite.
Under Kinne, Bobcats are 9-9 ATS as a favorite.
Texas State has 40-39/52-44 losses this season.
Texas State is 6-0 when it gains 467+ yards, 1-5 when it doesn’t.
Bobcats’ last four games went over the total.
Texas State beat Rice 45-21 in this bowl LY, their first-ever bowl.


Since 2014, favorites are 5-3 ATS in this bowl.
Texas State (-3.5) beat Rice 45-21 in this bowl last year.
North Texas lost this bowl in overtime in 2016.


Duke’s Mayo Bowl (@ Charlotte, NC)
Minnesota (-9) vs Virginia Tech
Minnesota (7-5)
Minnesota won five of its last seven games.
Gophers are 6-0 when they gain 300+ yards, 1-5 when they don’t.
Minnesota is 3-4 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Gophers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Minnesota has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Brosmer started 36 games at I-AA New Hampshire.


Minnesota is 4-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 26-21-1 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Fleck is 40-31-1 ATS as a favorite.
Minnesota is +15 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
Under is 6-5 in their I-A games.
Gophers won their last seven bowl games (4-1 ATS last five)


Virginia Tech (6-6)
Tech lost three of last four games, after a 5-3 start
Hokies are 6-0 when they allow 21 or fewer points.
Tech gave up 34-26-38-38-24-31 points in losses.
Hokies have 11 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Cavaliers have 122 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Drones started 11 games last year.


Tech is 6-6 despite being favored in 10 of 12 games.
Hokies are 1-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
Under Pry, Hokies are 6-8 ATS as an underdog.
Tech is 0-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Over is 7-3 in last ten Tech games.
Hokies lost four of their last five bowl games.


Last seven years, underdogs are 4-2-1 ATS in this bowl.
ACC teams lost this bowl the last five years.




NCAAF

Bowl Season

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Trend Report
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North Texas vs Texas State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of North Texas's last 10 games
North Texas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas State's last 5 games

Minnesota vs Virginia Tech
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Virginia Tech's last 16 games


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[CNOTES]

FRIDAY, JANUARY 3​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
UNT at TXST	04:00 PM	UNT +13.5 O 62.5	+500 +500
MINN at VT	07:30 PM	MINN -9.0 U 42.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAFB BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP WEEK AND BOWL GAMES !

01/03/2024.....................3 - 1 - 0..........................75.00%.......................+ 9.50
01/02/2025.....................3 - 1 - 0..........................75.00%.......................+ 9.50
01/01/2025.....................3 - 1 - 0.........................75.00%........................+ 9.50

TOTALS.............................9 - 3 - 0.........................75.00%........................+ 28.50

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00
NOVEMBER TOTALS.........146- 147 - 0.........................49.82%............................- 78.50
DECEMBER TOTALS..............38 - 38 - 0..........................50.00%...........................- 17.00

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
College hoop teams shooting highest %age inside the arc:
63.1%— Alabama
62.7%— Michigan
62.2%— Cornell
61.3%— Auburn
60.6%— Indiana State
60.5%— Vanderbilt

Quote of the Day
“Through his actions and statements, he has shown he no longer wants to be part of this team. Jimmy Butler and his representative have indicated that they wish to be traded, therefore, we will listen to offers.”
Statement from the Miami Heat, who are paying Butler $48,798,677 this season

Saturday’s quiz
What team lost the second Super Bowl?

Friday’s quiz
Kansas City Chiefs lost the first Super Bowl, 35-10 to Green Bay.

Thursday’s quiz
Mark Richt was the Miami Hurricanes’ coach the last time they won a bowl game, in 2016.

**************************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….​

— Michigan State 69, Ohio State 62
Spartans shot 56.8% inside the arc.
MSU is 12-2, despite shooting 28% on the arc (#342)
Spartans have #35 eFG% defense in country.

— Marquette 79, Creighton 71
Marquette is 4-0 in Big East, for first time since 2013.
Creighton was only 7-31 on the arc.
Kam Jones had 22 points, nine rebounds, five assists.

— New Mexico 82, Nevada 81 OT
Lobos hit a 15-footer at the buzzer for the walk-off win.
Nevada starts out conference play 0-4; they were 23-35 on foul line.
New Mexico was 31-41 on charity stripe.

— Siena 103, Manhattan 95 2OT
Jaspers led by six with 1:07 left in regulation.

— Wisconsin 116, Iowa 85
Badgers shot 21-31 on the arc: 63 points on 31 shots, an over 100% eFG%.
Wisconsin is 11-3, 5-3 vs top 100 teams.

— Georgetown 69, Xavier 63
Ed Cooley’s Hoyas are 12-2, 3-0 in Big East games.
Hoyas never trailed; they shot 55.3% inside the arc.

— There are three unbeaten teams left in college basketball, all in the SEC:
Florida, Oklahoma, Tennessee.

— Famous birthdays, January 4th:
Dyan Cannon, 88
Sidney Green, 64
Todd Sauerbrun, 52
Ted Lilly, 49
Eric Weddle, 40
Kris Bryant, 33
Michael Lorenzen, 33
Derrick Henry, 31
Reynaldo Lopez, 31
Victor Wembanyama, 21

— Baltimore Orioles gave 41-year old P Charlie Morton a one-year, $15M deal; Morton has started 30+ games each of the last four years- he was 8-10, 4.19 in 30 starts for Atlanta last season.

— Utility guy Josh Rojas signed with the White Sox, where he figures to play most every day. Rojas has a .247 batting average over six seasons, a .685 OPS, but he is versatile and that plays in this day and age.

— Korean 2B Hyeseong Kim signed a 3-year deal with the Dodgers, worth $12.5M; this isn’t Ha-Seong Kim, who played the last four years for San Diego. Hyeseong Kim hit .326 for the Kiwoom Heroes in the KBO last season.

— Texas State 30, North Texas 28
North Texas QB Drew Mestemaker started his first game at QB since he was in 9th grade; he threw for 393 yards and ran for 55 more. North Texas’ #1 QB bolted to Virginia.
Texas State QB McCloud threw for 307 yards and a TD.
Bobcats ran ball for 201 yards (4.6 yards/carry)

— Minnesota 24, Virginia Tech 10
Gophers win their 8th straight bowl game.
Minnesota outgained the Hokies, 403-223.
Virginia Tech lost five of its last six bowls.

— Miami Heat/Jimmy Butler are at an impasse; Heat suspended star guard Butler for seven games, for “conduct detrimental to the team” Butler is getting paid $48,798,677 this season, $336,543 per game, so this is a fine of $2,355,801.
Butler is in the last guaranteed year of his contract; he has a player option worth more than $52M for next season.
Miami will now listen to trade offers for the 35-year old Butler.

— Of the ten players who played the most games as a DH, six of them are in the Hall of Fame.

— Modern college sports: Georgia Tech poached UNLV’s punter.

— UConn football coach Jim Mora Jr posted a statement on social media about other teams poaching UConn’s players. Huskies just got their first bowl win since 2010.
“A simple note to the schools and coaches that have blatantly broken @NCAAFootball rules by tampering with our players in the last 24 hours. We do know who you are, we will pursue all avenues to hold you accountable. We are excited that we’ve built a program where coaches have to cheat to beat us and we will protect that program. Think hard before you tamper with our players.”
Alrighty then.

— Conference bowl records (SU/ATS)
AAC 6-2 SU/7-1 ATS
ACC 2-11 SU/1-12 ATS
Big 18 9-4 SU/11-2 ATS

Big X 3-4 SU/3-4 ATS
C-USA 1-3 SU/1-3 ATS
MAC 4-2 SU/4-1-1 ATS

M West 1-4 SU/1-4 ATS
SEC 7-6 SU/6-7 ATS
Sun Belt 4-3 SU/2-4-1 ATS

Favorites: 20-20-1 ATS
Totals: over 21-20

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Saturday, January 4

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Saturday’s game
Bahamas Bowl
Liberty vs Buffalo (-3.5)
Liberty (8-3)
Liberty won three of its last four games.
Liberty is 8-0 when it scores 28+ points, 0-3 when it doesn’t.
Liberty is 3-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Flames have 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Flames have 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Salter has 18 career starts.


Liberty is an underdog for first time this season.
Since 2020, Liberty is 8-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Chadwell is 16-8-1 ATS as an underdog.
Flames are 3-7 against spread this season.
Liberty ran for 273+ yards in four of its last five games.
Over is 2-1-1 in their road games.
Liberty is 3-2 in its last five bowls.


Buffalo (8-4)
Buffalo won its last four games, scoring 43 ppg.
Bulls allowed 38+ points in all four losses.
Buffalo is 7-0 when it allows less than 38 points.
Bulls have 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Buffalo has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Ogbonna has 2,244 PY (19 TD’s, 5 INTs)


Buffalo is 2-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
In his career, Lembo is 17-13 ATS as a favorite.
Buffalo allowed 30+ points in four of last six games.
Bulls allowed 452+ TY in five of last six games.
Over is 7-1 in their last eight games.
Buffalo won last three bowls, giving up 13.3 ppg. .


Liberty (-3.5) won 55-27 at Buffalo last year.
Last seven years, underdogs are 5-2 ATS in Bahamas Bowls
Buffalo won this game 31-6 five years ago.
MAC teams are 3-5 SU in last eight trips to the Bahamas.




NCAAF

Bowl Season

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Buffalo vs Liberty
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo's last 9 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Liberty is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
Liberty is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games


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[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, JANUARY 4​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
BUFF at LIB		BUFF -3.5 U 51.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAFB BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP WEEK AND BOWL GAMES !

01/04/2025.....................2 - 0 - 0.......................100.00%........................+ 10.00
01/03/2024.....................3 - 1 - 0..........................75.00%.......................+ 9.50
01/02/2025.....................3 - 1 - 0..........................75.00%.......................+ 9.50
01/01/2025.....................3 - 1 - 0.........................75.00%........................+ 9.50

TOTALS............................11 - 3 - 0.........................78.57%........................+ 38.50

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00
NOVEMBER TOTALS.........146- 147 - 0.........................49.82%............................- 78.50
DECEMBER TOTALS..............38 - 38 - 0..........................50.00%...........................- 17.00

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
Best/worst in college basketball leagues, in stat categories:
— 3-point %age: best: SoCon, 38.9% worst: Southland 28.4%
— foul shots: best: ACC, 76.3% worst: Patriot, 67.1%
— tempo: fastest: MAC 71.2 possessions/game slowest: NEC 64.3
— 2-point %age: best: Big Sky, 54.9% worst: CAA, 46.3%
— fewest turnovers: Summit, 14.9% worst: WAC 22.6% of possessions
— offensive rebounds: most: SEC, 33.6% least: Patriot, 22.7%

Quote of the Day
“I know that if we get in, we can make some noise with the players and coaches that we have in this building. We’ve just got to hope for some help tomorrow and sit back and watch it.”
Bengals QB Joe Burrow; Cincinnati needs some help Sunday to make the playoffs

Sunday’s quiz
Who was quarterback for the Vikings,, the first time they played in a Super Bowl?

Saturday’s quiz
Oakland Raiders lost the second Super Bowl, 33-14 to Green Bay.

Friday’s quiz
Kansas City Chiefs lost the first Super Bowl, 35-10 to Green Bay.

*****************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…..​

— Bengals 19, Steelers 17
Cincinnati outgained the Steelers, 314-193.
Chase caught ten passes for 96 yards and a TD.
Bengals won their last five games, by 7-10-18-6-2 points.
Cade York kicked four field goals for Cincinnati.
Sunday, if Denver wins, they’re in playoffs
If Denver loses/Miami wins or ties, the Dolphins are in the playoffs
If they both lose, Cincinnati gets in.
Steelers are in the playoffs, but they’ve lost four games in a row.

— Ravens 35, Browns 10
Baltimore clinches AFC North with this win.
Ravens’ first score was a pick-6 in first quarter.
Henry carried ball 20 times for 138 yards, two TD’s.
Ravens will host either Pittsburgh or Chargers in playoffs next week

— Famous birthdays, January 5th:
Robert Duvall, 94
Diane Keaton, 79
Rick Mount, 78
Charlie Hough, 77
Jim Gantner, 72
Alex English, 71
Steve Fuller, 68
Joe Cribbs, 67
Danny Jackson, 63
Bradley Cooper, 50
Warrick Dunn, 50
CJ Cron, 35

College basketball Saturday:

— SEC:
Favorites went 7-1 ATS on the first day of conference games.
7 of the top 18 teams in Ken Pomeroy’s rankings are SEC squads.

Kentucky 106, Florida 100
Kentucky was 14-29 on arc, scored 1.47 points/possession.
Florida shot 80.8% inside arc; this was their first loss of season.

Alabama 107, Oklahoma 79
Alabama scored 100+ points for 4th time this season.
Crimson Tide had 22 offensive rebounds, Sooners 18 defensive boards.
This was Oklahoma’s first loss this season.
Tennessee is now the only unbeaten team in the country,

— Big X
Iowa State 74, Baylor 55
Cyclones are 12-1, with only loss by a hoop to Auburn.
Baylor shot 34.3% inside the arc; they’re 3-4 vs top 100 teams.

Arizona 72, Cincinnati 67
Arizona blew a 19-point second half lead, but still pulled the game out.
Cincinnati has a player, Dillon Mitchell, who is 9-34 on the foul line.
Bearcats lost first two Big X games, by 3-5 points.
Arizona has won four in row, is 8-5 vs schedule #24.
Favorites are 9-6 ATS in conference games this season.

— ACC
North Carolina 74, Notre Dame 73
Tar Heels outscored Notre Dame 4-0 in last 0:13.
UNC scored 74 points, but had only two guys in double figures.
Carolina shot 70% inside the arc.
Tar Heels are 9-6, 3-6 vs top 100 teams.

Virginia Tech 86, Miami 85
Miami led by 6 with 3:17 left in game.
Hurricanes lost despite shooting 64.1% inside arc.
Tech is 6-8, 0-7 against top 100 teams.
Favorites are 17-11 ATS in conference games, 7-4 on road.

— Big East
St John’s 70, Butler 62
Red Storm won despite going 1-21 on the arc.
Last three Big East games, St John’s is 6-48 on the arc.
That said, Red Storm has won seven of its last eight games.
Butler has lost seven games in a row.
Big East home underdogs are 5-2 ATS in conference play.

— Mountain West
Mountain West home favorites are 0-12 ATS in conference games.
San Diego State 76, Boise State 68
Aztecs lost at home to Utah State last week; they out-rebounded Boise, 39-29.
Boise was only 7-30 on the arc.

— West Coast
Oregon State/Washington State are a combined 5-1 in WCC play; they’re going to make this league much stronger this year, giving Saint Mary’s a run for the #2-seed behind Gonzaga.
Oregon State is 12-4, in top 50 in country in eFG%, both offense and defense.
Washington State is 13-3; they’re shooting 59.3% inside arc, #16 in country.

— Upsets of the Day:
Ball State (+11.5) 75, Kent State 67
Omaha (+11.5) 85, North Dakota State 80
George Washington (+8.5) 82, Dayton 62
FIU (+6.5) 85, Western Kentucky 66
Richmond (+5.5) 72, UMass 64
Sacramento State (+5.5) 56, Portland State 53

— There were 14 teams that won Saturday that trailed by 10+ points at some time in the game.

— Big West
Cal-Irvine/Cal-San Diego are both 13-2, 3-0 in the Big West. Irvine is 35-8 in conference games the last 2+ seasons- they’ve got #34 eFG% defense in country.
Cal-San Diego is in its fifth year as a D-I team; they’ve scored 85 ppg in first three Big West tilts.

— Missouri Valley
Bradley 69, Missouri State 60
Braves have won five in a row, 11 of last 12 D-I games.
Bradley is shooting 43.1% on the arc, best in the country.
Home favorites are 3-10 ATS this season in MVC games.

— Sun Belt
Home favorites are 9-3 ATS in conference games; home dogs are 4-3.
South Alabama/Troy are tied for first at 3-0 early in conference play.

 

[CNOTES]

Monday’s 6-pack:
— Oregon 83, Maryland 79- Ducks’ bench outscored Maryland’s, 26-12.
— Memphis 68, North Texas 64- Memphis shot 61.3% inside the arc.
— UConn 87, Providence 84- Friars led 39-27 at halftime.
— Murray State 66, Drake 59- Drake’s 2nd straight loss, after a 12-0 start.
— Iona 74, Siena 73- Iona had three guys score in double figures, all subs.
— FAU 78, East Carolina 76- Pirates were only 13-25 on foul line.

Quote of the Day
“He always (puts the team first), that’s why you love him. We’re lucky to have him. He’s under-appreciated throughout the media and the league. He’s one of one. He deserves that. You saw the stadium erupt. You saw the sideline erupt. You can tell how much people care about him and what that means for everybody around him.”
Bucs’ QB Baker Mayfield, talking about WR Mike Evans

Monday’s quiz
Which current college basketball coach, whose team is in the top 25 right now, was an actor in the 1994 movie, Blue Chips?

Sunday’s quiz
Joe Kapp was quarterback for the Vikings,, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

Saturday’s quiz
Oakland Raiders lost the second Super Bowl, 33-14 to Green Bay.

********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….​

Lions 31, Vikings 9
Detroit gets the #1 seed in the NFC and a bye next week.
RB Gibbs had 28 touches for 170 yards, four TD’s.
Lions ran ball for 178 yards (5.7 yards/carry)
Detroit won 14 of its last 15 games (11-4 ATS).
Last five weeks, Lions scored 36.2 points/game.
Lions led this game 10-6 at halftime.
Minnesota had its nine-game win streak snapped.
Vikings allowed 31-30-31 points in their three losses.
Vikings were in red zone four times, kicked 2 FG’s on those drives.
Minnesota goes to LA to play the Rams in the playoffs next week.

Buccaneers 27, Saints 19
Tampa Bay clinched the NFC South with a win here.
Tampa Bay ran ball 31 times for 179 yards (5.8 yards/carry).
Bucs are 6-1 since their bye, scoring 31.9 points/game.
Bucs host Washington in the playoffs next week.
WR Evans passed 1,000 receiving yards for the 11th year in a row.
Saints led this game 16-6 at halftime.
Saints in 1st half: 45 plays, 231 yards, 16 points
Saints in 2nd half: 22 plays, 46 yards, three points.
Tampa Bay was 10-16 on third down, Saints 3-13.
New Orleans lost its last four games, outscored 106-48.

Panthers 44, Falcons 38 OT
QB Young threw for 251 yards, 3 TD’s, also ran for 2 TD’s.
Falcons forced OT, scoring a TD with 0:46 left in regulation.
Last six weeks, Carolina gave up 215.2 rushing yards/game.
Panthers were 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.
Over was 13-4 in Carolina games this year.
Falcons led this game 24-17 at halftime.
Atlanta lost despite gaining 537 yards (310 passing).
Falcons lost six of last eight games, after a 6-3 start.
WR London caught 10 passes for 187 yards.
Falcons were eliminated when Tampa Bay beat the Saints.

Broncos 38, Chiefs 0
NFL made the Chiefs show up, couldn’t make them try hard.
Broncos outgained Kansas City, 479-98; Mahomes/others didn’t play.
Bengals were eliminated when Denver won this game.
Denver led this game 24-0 at halftime.
Chiefs were already the AFC’s #1 seed, have a bye next week.
Broncos’ win clinched their first playoff spot since 2015 season.
Broncos were 10-14 on third down, Chiefs 1-9.
Denver is 9-2 if they score more than 20 points, 1-5 if they score 20 or less.
Denver’s team total: over 12-4-1
Broncos visit Buffalo in the playoffs next week.

Texans 23, Titans 14
Tennessee’s loss gets them the #1 pick in April’s draft.
Titans were 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS last six games, giving up 27.8 ppg
Tennessee was 1-13 ATS in its last fourteen games.
Titans went 1-7 SU/0-8 ATS at home this year.
Since 2018, Tennessee is 13-20 ATS as a home favorite.
RB Pierce had a 92-yard TD run in the second quarter.
Houston ran ball 29 times for 207 yards (7.1 yards/carry).
Texans led this game 16-3 at halftime.
Starting QB Stroud only played the first series of the game.
Houston hosts the Chargers in next week’s playoffs.

Patriots 23, Bills 16
New England wins, slips from #1 to #4 in April’s draft.
After the game, Patriots fired coach Mayo, after only one season.
#3 QB Milton was 22-29/241 passing in his NFL debut.
New England’s win snapped a six-game losing streak.
Buffalo LB Miller earned a $1.5M bonus by getting his 6th sack this year.
QB Allen played one snap, to extend his consecutive starts streak.
Backup QB’s Trubisky/White were combined 18-32/129 passing.
Buffalo converted 6-15 on third down, only 1-4 on fourth down.
Bills’ only TD in second half came on a 16-yard drive.
Buffalo hosts Denver in the playoffs next week.

Colts 26, Jaguars 23 OT
Jaguars forced OT with a 53-yard FG with 1:44 left to play.
Colts led this game 20-13 at halftime.
Jaguars were 1-12 when they allowed more than 16 points.
Jaguars were 5-3 ATS as a road underdog this season.
Jaguars are 7-2 ATS in last nine AFC South road games.
RB Taylor ran ball 34 times for 177 yards and a TD.
39-year old QB Flacco is now 115-92 as an NFL starter.
Colts in first half: 38 plays, 274 yards, 20 points.
Colts in second half: 33 plays, 133 yards, 3 points.
Colts said that GM Ballard/coach Steichen will be back in 2025.

Famous birthdays, January 6th:
Harold Jackson, 79
Howie Long, 65
Sean Landeta, 63
Norm Charlton, 62
Charles Haley, 61
Tim McDonald, 60
Gilbert Arenas, 43
Ndamukong Suh, 38
Kevin Gausman, 34
Jameis Winston, 31

Commanders 23, Cowboys 19
Backup QB Mariota was 15-18/161 passing, playing the 2nd half.
Commanders in 2nd half: 30 plays, 215 yards, 20 points.
Mariota threw a 5-yard TD pass to McLaurin with 0:05 left for the win.
Washington won last five games, 30.2 points/game.
Commanders visit Tampa Bay in the playoffs next week.
Cowboys lost despite outgaining Washington, 378-269.
Dallas led this game 6-3 at halftime.
#3 QB Lance was 20-34/244 passing in his 5th NFL start (2-3).
Dallas was 2-7 SU/ATS at home this season.
Cowboys were 2-10 when they allowed more than 20 points.

Eagles 20, Giants 13
#3 QB McKee was 27-41/269 passing (2 TDs) in his first NFL start
Philly led this game 10-0 at halftime.
Philly is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games against the Giants.
Eagles are 12-1 SU/9-4 ATS in their last thirteen games.
Eagles host Green Bay in the playoffs next week.
Giants wound up losing 11 of their last 12 games.
Giants were 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS in NFC East games this year.
Last 12 games, Giants were outscored 165-67 in first half.
This year, Giants were 2-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Under was 11-6 in their games this season.

Bears 24, Packers 22
Bears kicked a 51-yard FG at the gun to post an upset win.
Win snapped Chicago’s 10-game losing skid.
Bears opened the scoring with a 94-yard punt return in 1st quarter.
Chicago snapped an 0-11 SU/2-9 skid in games at Lambeau Field.
Bears scored 24+ points in their wins (0-11 score less than 24)
Green Bay QB Love hurt his hand/elbow (check status)
Packers ran ball 33 times for 183 yards (5.5 yards/carry)
Packers are 2-3 in their last five games, after a 9-3 start.
Backup QB Willis was 10-13/136 passing, in relief of Love.
Packers visit Philadelphia next week, in the playoffs,

Seahawks 30, Rams 25
This was first game in NFL history with three made FG’s of 55+ yards.
Backup QB Garoppolo was 27-41/334 passing in his first ’24 start.
Rams outgained Seattle 403-336.
Rams have home playoff game vs Minnesota next week.
13 of the Rams’ 17 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
QB Smith earned a $2M bonus when Seattle won its 10th game TY.
Seahawks drove 70 yards, scored game-winning TD with 3:19 left.
Seattle was 6-11 on third down, Rams 5-14.
Seahawks were 6-0 SU/4-2 ATS in their last six road games.
Seattle allowed 26+ points in losses, 21 or less in wins.

Jets 32, Dolphins 20
QB Rodgers was 23-36/274 passing, with four TD’s.
WR Adams caught six passes for 88 yards and a TD.
Jets led this game 15-6 at halftime.
Jets in second half: 30 plays, 179 yards, 17 points.
Jets were 5-4 TY when they scored 21+ points.
Denver’s easy win eliminated Miami from playoff race.
Miami was 1-8 when it gives up 20+ points, 7-1 if they allowed 19 or less.
Dolphins converted 3-3 on 4th down, but only 3-12 on 3rd down.
Miami is 10-13 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Backup QB Huntley is 5-10 as an NFL starter, 2-3 this year.

Chargers 34, Raiders 20
Chargers sweep the Raiders for first time since 2018.
Chargers are 6-1 ATS this season as road favorites.
LA is 8-0 scoring 24+ points, 3-6 scoring 23 or fewer points.
Bolts won their last three games, scoring 34-40-34 points.
Chargers visit Houston in the playoffs next week.
Raiders were 2-9 on third down, Chargers 7-14.
Bolts outgained Las Vegas, 473-264.
Chargers averaged 9.1 yards/pass attempt.
Chargers led this game 17-10 at halftime.
Raiders were 2-6 SU/3-5 ATS at home this season.

Cardinals 47, 49ers 24
Arizona led this game 20-17 at halftime.
Cardinals in 2nd half: 29 plays, 229 yards, 27 points.
QB Murray was 25-35/242 passing, with four TD’s.
Arizona was 7-2 scoring 24+ points, 1-7 scoring less than 24.
Cardinals swept San Francisco for 6th time in ten years.
49ers lost seven of last eight games, were 1-8 ATS since their bye.
49ers were 1-10 when they score less than 30 points.
Last seven weeks, 49ers were minus-13 in turnovers.
49ers were 2-6 SU/1-7 ATS on road this year.
Backup QB Dobbs was 29-43/326 passing (2 TD’s/2 INTs)

 

[Udog]

FCS Championship​

NCAAF
Weather Report

Monday, January 6

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Monday, January 6

NORTH DAKOTA STATE VS MONTANA STATE
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 92.638; Montana State 93.515
Dunkel Line & Total: Montana State by 1; 53
Vegas Line & Total: Montana State by 3; 56
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (+3); Under


The North Dakota State Bison (13-2, 7-1 MVFC) and Montana State Bobcats (15-0, 8-0 Big Sky) square off in the highly anticipated FCS National Championship on Monday, Jan. 6. Kickoff from Frisco, Texas, is set for for 7 p.m. ET on ESPN.

This will be a fascinating rematch of a second-round matchup from 2023, which saw the Bison go on the road and stun the Bobcats by a score of 35-34.

Montana State has used the outcome of that game as motivation all season long and now havr an opportunity to exact revenge on the Bison. This game will be must-watch television on Monday night.

Montana State has been the best team in FCS football all season and comes in as a -3 favorite with the over/under set at 58.5.

North Dakota State Bison Betting Preview: Miller Running the Show​

NDSU has a guy at quarterback who can spin it. Cam Miller grades out as the second-best quarterback in FCS, per PFF.

Miller threw for 3,052 yards with a 31:4 touchdown-to-interception ratio while adding 510 rushing yards and 10 scores on the ground. His ability to extend plays and make defenders miss in the pocket has frustrated opposing defenses all season.

Miller is also extremely accurate with the deep pass and has connected with wide receiver Bryce Lance on downfield throws on numerous occasions this season.

The play of these two quarterbacks will go a long way in deciding who is going to be crowned your 2024 FCS national champion this year.

However, North Dakota State hasn't been as dominant on the offensive line as we've become accustomed to seeing with the Bison. While this is still a solid offensive line, things aren't quite the same in Fargo.

The offensive line has allowed 69 tackles for loss and 19 sacks this season, along with countless other scenarios where Miller has made magic behind the line of scrimmage to avoid catastrophe.

This unit will be tested by a Bobs front seven that features All-American Brody Grebe, who anchors a unit that has registered 36 sacks and 85 tackles for loss on the season.

NDSU has run the ball on 63% of its offensive snaps with CharMar Brown and Barika Kpeenu sharing the load. These two backs have combined to run for 1,825 yards and 21 touchdowns this season, as the Bison have averaged 192.7 yards per game on the ground as a team.

Montana State Bobcats Betting Preview: Improvements in the Trenches​

We're due to see fireworks in this FCS Championship game that pits the top two quarterbacks in the subdivision against each other.

Tommy Mellott just won the Walter Payton Award, which is given annually to the top player in FCS.

The senior signal-caller threw for 2,588 yards while completing 69% of his passes this season with a 29:2 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

Montana State has historically run its quarterbacks often within the scope of its offensive system, but the Bobcats made a concerted effort to limit that part of the attack this year.

Despite less action in the run game, Mellott ranked third on the team with 915 rushing yards and 14 rushing scores while averaging 8.4 yards per carry.

Mellott is an excellent decision-maker who's versatile in the pocket. He has also improved his deep-ball accuracy tremendously throughout the course of this season.

Montana State has run the ball on 69% of offensive snaps this season and has a true three-headed monster in the backfield with running backs Scottre Humphrey and Adam Jones playing alongside Mellott.

As a unit, the Bobs have run for 301 yards per game and averaged 6.6 yards per carry while rushing for 51 touchdowns.

In years past, Montana State would typically run through a weak nonconference schedule before controlling most foes in Big Sky play and making a deep playoff run.

When it was time to face off against the Missouri Valley powers — South Dakota State and North Dakota State — Montana State would not have the interior offensive or defensive line play to compete, often resulting in lopsided losses.

However, this Bobcats offensive line is built differently and includes several players who should get a look at the next level. In fact, this unit has been the best in FCS all season long.

On the other side of the ball, Montana State's defensive line and its ability to generate Havoc will play a major role.

With Miller and Lance forming a stellar downfield connection, the Bobcats will have to lock in on the back end. Well, Montana State has a solid coverage unit that's allowing a completion percentage of just 58% and 191 yards per game through the air.

A lot of that is due to first-half blowouts and the second-team platoon getting reps in the better part of eight games.

I'd expect the Bobs to lock in on Lance and force the ball to other pass-catchers, none of whom have more than 30 catches on the season.

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, JANUARY 6​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
NDSU at MTST	07:00 PM	MTST -3.5 U 58.5	+500 +500