Cnotes College Football News-Notes-Rumors-Best Bets 2024-2025 !

[CNOTES]

NCAAFB BEST BETS NOVEMBER !

11/20/2024.....................3 - 1- 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/19/2024.....................2 -3 - 0....................40.00%................- 6.50
11/16/2024...................20 - 30 - 0...................40.00%...............- 65.00
11/15/2024......................2 - 6 - 0...................25.00%...............- 23.00
11/14/2024......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/13/2024......................4 - 2 - 0...................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/12/2024......................2 - 2 - 0...................50.00%................- 1.00
11/09/2024....................20 - 15 - 0..................57.14%................+ 17.50
11/08/2024.......................2 - 3 - 0..................40.00%.................- 6.50
11/07/2024.......................1 - 3 - 0..................25.00%.................- 11.50
11/06/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/05/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/02/2024.....................9 - 10 - 0..................47.36%..................- 10.00
11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0..................16.67%..................- 22.50

TOTALS.........................73 - 83 - 0...................46.79%.................- 91.50

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Braves’ pitchers who won a Cy Young Award:
1957— Warren Spahn
1991— Tom Glavine
1993-95— Greg Maddux
1996— John Smoltz
1998— Tom Glavine
2024— Chris Sale

Quote of the Day
“It was expressed to me that I was going to be the two [quarterback]. I don’t know, it’s an interesting situation. Not much I can really say about it besides I’m going to be here for him [Daniel Jones], and we’re still very good friends, believe it or not. I’m going to be here for him, this team needs to get a win. We start winning, everything gets a little better around here.”
Giants’ backup QB Drew Lock

Thursday’s quiz
Other than the Jets, which NFL team has gone the longest since the last time they were in the playoffs?

Wednesday’s quiz
Other than UConn (won last two titles), Kansas was the last team to win a college basketball national championship.

Tuesday’s quiz
Barry Switzer was the Dallas Cowboys’ coach the last time they won a Super Bowl.

***************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Random stuff on a chilly day……​

— DePaul is 5-0 this season, under new coach Chris Holtmann, after going 3-29 last year under the previous coach. Blue Demons have played stiffs (schedule #354) but they’ve beaten the stiffs, a big step forward.
This year, DePaul is experience team #63, continuity team #355- lot of transfers; they made 15-39 shots on the arc in Tuesday’s 78-69 win over Eastern Illinois. DePaul doesn’t play a good team until December 4th at Texas Tech, but they appear to be vastly improved.

— Famous birthdays, November 21:
Marlo Thomas, 87
Earl Monroe, 80
Goldie Hawn, 79
Cedric Maxwell, 69
Troy Aikman, 58
Ken Griffey Jr, 55
Michael Strahan, 53
Danny Kanell, 51
Miles Simon, 49
Jena Malone, 40
Justin Tucker, 35
Cooper Rush, 31

Thursday would’ve been the 80th birthday for the great Harold Ramis, who was an actor and a director; he was in Ghostbusters and Stripes. His writing/directing credits include Caddyshack, Second City TV, Groundhog Day, Animal House, among many others. Very funny man.

— Chicago Bears changed offensive coordinators last week; if you have DJ Moore on your fantasy team, you might be happy about that.
Last week, Brown caught 7 passes for 62 yards, with 56 of those yards after that catch- he ran shorter patterns.
In Chicago’s first nine games, Moore had only 176 yards after the catch, 19.6 yards/game.
Looks like the Bears are going to get him the ball quickly and let him do his thing.

— P Nick Martinez was the only potential free agent to accept his $21.05M qualifying offer, turning down the chance to hit the free agent market. Martinez was 10-7, 3.10 in 142.1 IP for the Reds last year, starting in 16 of his 42 appearances.

— There is another Japanese pitcher other than Roki Sasaki who is coming to America next year for his MLB debut.
23-year old Sasaki is highly touted, but 35-year old Tomoyuki Sugano also has an impressive resume, and he will be a lot cheaper to sign, because of his age.

— Ten years ago, 34 major league pitchers threw 200+ innings; this past season, only four pitchers threw 200+ innings.
Logan Gilbert, Seth Lugo, Logan Webb, Zack Wheeler

— San Francisco Giants have a new general manager, Zack Minasian; his brother Perry is the Angels’ GM, his other brother Calvin is the clubhouse manager for the Atlanta Braves.

— Nine years ago, Golden State Warriors started the season 24-0, the best start ever by an NBA team. This year’s Cleveland Cavaliers are 16-1, the 2nd-best start.

— John Stockton was a great point guard for the Utah Jazz; he dished out 17,645 assists in his 19-year Hall of Fame career. His son David Stockton also played at Gonzaga, played in six NBA games several years ago— he is still playing in the G-League, and has given out the 4th-most assists in the history of that league.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Thursday, November 21

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13

Thursday’s game
NC State @ Georgia Tech (-8.5)
NC State (5-5, 2-4)
Wolfpack has given up 32.8 ppg in its ACC games.
State is +4 in turnovers in their wins, minus-8 in losses.
NC State has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Wolfpack has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Bailey has thrown for 1,793 yards (12 TD’s, 54 INTs)


Wolfpack is 6-13-1 ATS in last 20 games as a road underdog.
State is 2-7 ATS in its I-A games this season.
Since 2020, Wolfpack is 22-18 ATS in ACC games.
Wolfpack is 0-3 when they score less than 24 points.
Over is 6-3 in their I-A games.


Georgia Tech (6-4, 4-4)
Tech ran ball for 190+ yards in wins, 112 or less in losses.
Tech is 3-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Yellow Jackets have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Yellow Jackets have 128 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB King has 20 career starts.


Under Key, underdogs are 19-9-1 ATS in Tech games.
Last three years, Tech is 13-10-1 ATS in ACC games.
Under Key, Yellow Jackets are 2-5-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Tech gave up 31 points in three of its four losses.
Under is 8-1 in their I-A games.


Tech is 11-4 SU/8-5-1 ATS in last 14 series games.
Wolfpack is 2-0-1 ATS in last three visits to Atlanta.
Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 21​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
NCST at GT	07:30 PM	GT -9.0 O 51.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAFB BEST BETS NOVEMBER !

11/21/2024.....................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/20/2024.....................3 - 1- 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/19/2024.....................2 -3 - 0....................40.00%................- 6.50
11/16/2024...................20 - 30 - 0...................40.00%...............- 65.00
11/15/2024......................2 - 6 - 0...................25.00%...............- 23.00
11/14/2024......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/13/2024......................4 - 2 - 0...................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/12/2024......................2 - 2 - 0...................50.00%................- 1.00
11/09/2024....................20 - 15 - 0..................57.14%................+ 17.50
11/08/2024.......................2 - 3 - 0..................40.00%.................- 6.50
11/07/2024.......................1 - 3 - 0..................25.00%.................- 11.50
11/06/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/05/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/02/2024.....................9 - 10 - 0..................47.36%..................- 10.00
11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0..................16.67%..................- 22.50

TOTALS.........................74 - 84 - 0...................46.83%.................- 92.00

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00

 

[CNOTES]

Friday’s 6-pack:
Top six college basketball conferences:
1- SEC
2- Big X
3- Big 18
4- Big East
5- ACC
6- Mountain West

Quote of the Day
“Be helpful. When you see a person without a smile, give him yours.”
Zig Zigler

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Cleveland Browns played in a playoff game, who was their QB?
Hint: He is still active in the NFL

Thursday’s quiz
Other than the Jets, Denver Broncos have gone the longest since the last time they were in the playoffs- 2015 was last time they made the playoffs.

Wednesday’s quiz
Other than UConn (won last two titles), Kansas was the last team to win a college basketball national championship.

*********************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….​

— Browns 24, Steelers 19
Browns drove 45 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:54 left.
Steelers had scored two TD’s in 1:42 span to take a 19-18 lead.
Steelers’ first five drives: 32 plays, 157 yards, 3 points.
Cleveland led 10-3 at halftime.
Only second time this year Cleveland scored more than 18 points.
Loss ends Pittsburgh’s five-game winning streak.
WR Jeudy caught six passes for 85 yards on a snowy night.
Steelers were 7-16 on third down, Cleveland 1-10.
Browns did convert all four tries on 4th down.
Last two games, Steelers scored two TD’s on 21 drives.

— Georgia Tech 30, NC State 29
Tech drove 75 yards in 1:08, scored game-winning TD with 0:22 left.
NC State had taken a 29-23 on a touchdown with 1:30 left.
Wolfpack ran ball for 253 yards (8.7 yards/carry), but still lost.

— Shohei Ohtani won MVP in National League, despite only being a DH and having Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman as teammates. Ohtani hit 54 homers, stole 59 bases; he is the first-ever 50-50 guy, I get that, but make the award Player of the Year then.
Aaron Judge won MVP in the American League; he hit 58 homers, knocked in 144 runs, had an OPS of 1.159. Judge makes $40M a year; the Mets are offering Juan Soto $47M a year. Stay tuned for that drama.

— Diamondbacks’ 2B Ketel Marte finished third in MVP voting, so he gets a $3M raise next year, from $16M to $19M. Hope he buys his agent a new car.

— Random trivia: The last time there was a major league game that went extra innings, with both pitchers throwing a complete game, was July 23, 1986 in Anaheim, Brewers-Angels.
Danny Darwin, Kirk McCaskill were the two pitchers; Brian Downing hit a walk-off homer for the Angels. Game only took 2:22 to play.

— While writing that paragraph, it dawned on me that about a week after that game, I was in Anaheim Stadium, for a free scrimmage with the Rams-Chargers. Got to see Dan Fouts throw a football, saw Eric Dickerson, Dieter Brock and the Rams. That was fun, and it was a few days after my first-ever trip to Las Vegas.

— A friend of the website, Mr Bell, sent me some NFL trends to ponder:
Lions are 8-2 ATS on first half lines
Houston Texans are 10-1 ATS in first half
Dallas has gone over 1.5 field goals made in eight of ten games.
Any field goal over 47.5 yards in Dallas games: 9-1 (if Aubrey kicks)
Chargers 7-1-1 in first half last nine games.

— Famous birthdays, November 21:
Jack Reynolds, 77
Greg Luzinski, 74
Jamie Lee Curtis, 66
Mark Malone, 66
Steve DeOssie, 62
Hugh Millen, 61
Benoit Benjamin, 60
Mark Ruffalo, 57
James Thomas, 44
Jonny Gomes, 44
Scarlett Johansson, 40
Brock Osweiler, 34

Thursday college basketball notes:

— Baylor 99, St John’s 98, 2OT
Jeremy Roach drained a 3-pointer for the Bears’ walk-off win.
St John’s led by 18 late in first half.
Baylor was 15-29 on the arc, St John’s 14-24.

— Oregon 78, Oregon State 75
These rivals parted ways when the Ducks bolted to the Big 18; too bad.
Beavers led by 12 with 11:49 left in game; they had 17 offensive boards.
Oregon State is playing in the WCC this year; that’ll be interesting.

— Drake 80, Miami 69
Drake has a new coach, who brought four players with him from D2 Northwest Missouri State; Bulldogs shot 59% inside the arc, beat an ACC team.
One small problem; Drake plays FAU Friday and three of their starters played 39 or 40:00 in this game.

— Seton Hall 69, VCU 66 OT
VCU led by 8 with 11:22 left in game; they were only 9-37 on the arc.
Seton Hall shot 37% inside arc, had 18 turnovers; not good.
They said on TV “Seton Hall doesn’t have a point guard” Also not good.

— FAU 86, Oklahoma State 78
Owls were 35-49 on the foul line; 49 FT’s in a college game is a lot.
FAU outscored the Cowboys 52-39 in second half.
FAU had split its previous two games, both of which went to OT.

— Teams scoring highest %age of points on 3-pointers:
Indiana State
Utah
Furman
Akron
Niagara

— Teams whose roster has the least continuity:
West Virginia
Tennessee-Martin
Niagara
Missouri State
IU Indy

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Friday, November 22

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13

Friday’s games
Temple @ Texas-San Antonio (-17)
Temple (3-7, 2-4)
Temple is 0-5 SU on road, with four losses by 22+ points.
Owls are 0-6 when they gain 325 or fewer yards.
Owls have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Owls have 46 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Simon started 2 games at Rutgers in 2022.


Under Drayton, Temple is 4-11 ATS as road underdogs.
Under Drayton, Owls are 11-17 ATS as an underdog overall.
Under Drayton, Temple is 9-13 ATS in conference games.
Under Drayton, Temple is 13-10 ATS coming off a loss.
Over is 3-1 in their last four road games.


Texas-San Antonio (5-5, 3-3)
Roadrunners won three of their last four games.
UTSA is 1-5 giving up more than 27 points.
Roadrunners have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
UTSA has 106 starts returning on the offensive line.
Roadrunners’ soph QB McCown has thrown 22 TD’s, 5 INT’s this year.


Last three games, UTSA gave up 433-516-480 total yards.
UTSA is 6-4 ATS in its last team home games.
Last four games, Roadrunners scored 38-45-44-48 points.
Under Traylor, UTSA is 17-14 ATS at home.
Roadrunners are 11-12 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
Over is 5-0 in their last five games.


UTSA (-14) won 49-34 at Temple last year.
Owls outgained UTSA 542-495, throwing for 472 yards.


Purdue @ Michigan State (-13.5)
Purdue (1-9, 0-7)
Purdue lost its last four games by a combined 155-30.
Purdue is 0-9 vs I-A teams, giving up 43.2 ppg.
Boilermakers have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Purdue has 165 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Card has 16 career starts.


Purdue is 3-5 ATS last eight games as a road underdog.
Boilers are 8-18 ATS in last 26 conference games.
Purdue gave up 400+ TY in all nine I-A games.
Purdue is 7-14 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
Over is 6-3 in Purdue’s I-A games.


Michigan State (4-6, 2-5)
Spartans lost six of their last seven games.
MSU is 3-0 scoring 27+ points, 1-6 scoring less than 27.
MSU has 5 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Spartans have 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Chiles was a sub at Oregon State LY, playing every third series.

MSU is 7-4 ATS last 11 games as a home favorite.
Spartans are 0-4 allowing more than 24 points.
Last 2+ years, Spartans are 9-14-2 ATS in league games.
Last seven games, Spartans are minus-7 in turnovers.
Michigan State is 11-11-2 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
Spartans’ last four games went over the total.


These teams haven’t met since 2021, once since 2018.
Boilermakers are 8-1 SU/3-5-1 ATS in last series games.
Under is 5-1 in last six meetings played in East Lansing.


UNLV (-7.5) @ San Jose State
UNLV (8-2, 4-1)
Rebels are 8-2, have a +13 turnover ratio.
UNLV are 7-0 SU/5-2 ATS in last seven road games.
UNLV has 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Rebels have 79 starts returning on offensive line.
Senior QB Williams started 40 games at I-AA Campbell.


UNLV is 1-5 ATS in its last six games.
Under Odom, UNLV is 14-9 against the spread.
In his career, Odom is 7-9 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Odom, UNLV is 7-7 ATS in conference games.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.


San Jose State (6-4, 3-4)
Spartans are 5-0 when they give up less than 31 points.
Spartans threw for 327+ yards in seven of last eight games.
San Jose has 3 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Spartans have only 20 starts returning on offensive line.
Junior QB Eget has 1,758 passing yards (6 TD’s, 8 INTs)


Last three years, San Jose is 0-3 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Niumatalolo is 15-11-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Last two games, San Jose gave up 474-456 total yards.
Spartans are 9-13 ATS in last 22 conference games.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.


Spartans won 10 of last 12 series games.
UNLV is 0-5 SU/ATS in last five visits to San Jose.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.

 

[CNOTES]

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 22​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
TEM at UTSA	07:00 PM	UTSA -17.0 O 56.5	+500 +500
PUR at MSU	08:00 PM	MSU -13.5 U 47.5	+500 +500
UNLV at SJSU	10:00 PM	SJSU +7.5 O 60.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAFB BEST BETS NOVEMBER !

11/22/2024.....................3 - 3 - 0...................50.00%...............- 1.50
11/21/2024.....................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/20/2024.....................3 - 1- 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/19/2024.....................2 -3 - 0....................40.00%................- 6.50
11/16/2024...................20 - 30 - 0...................40.00%...............- 65.00
11/15/2024......................2 - 6 - 0...................25.00%...............- 23.00
11/14/2024......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/13/2024......................4 - 2 - 0...................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/12/2024......................2 - 2 - 0...................50.00%................- 1.00
11/09/2024....................20 - 15 - 0..................57.14%................+ 17.50
11/08/2024.......................2 - 3 - 0..................40.00%.................- 6.50
11/07/2024.......................1 - 3 - 0..................25.00%.................- 11.50
11/06/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/05/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/02/2024.....................9 - 10 - 0..................47.36%..................- 10.00
11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0..................16.67%..................- 22.50

TOTALS.........................77 - 87 - 0...................46.95%.................- 93.50

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
College basketball teams shooting the best behind the arc:
48.8%- Houston
48%- Nevada
45.9%- Memphis
45.8%- Kennesaw State
44.9%- Cincinnati
44%- Sam Houston State

Quote of the Day
“You’re a goddamn quarterback!!! You know what that means? It’s the top spot, kid. It’s the guy who takes the fall. It’s the guy everybody’s looking at first – the leader of a team – who will support you when they understand you. Who will break their ribs and their noses and their necks for you, because they believe. ‘Cause you make them believe. That’s a quarterback.”
Al Pacino, Any Given Sunday

Saturday’s quiz
Other than the Chiefs (won last two titles), who was the last team to win a Super Bowl?

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Cleveland Browns played in a playoff game, Joe Flacco was their QB.

Thursday’s quiz
Other than the Jets, Denver Broncos have gone the longest since the last time they were in the playoffs- 2015 was last time they made the playoffs.

**************************************

Saturday’s Den: College basketball is heating up……..​

— Duke 69, Arizona 55
Duke led 34-27 at halftime. won fairly easily.
Blue Devils avenged LY’s 78-73 home loss to Arizona.
Wildcats lost their last two games, after beating a couple of stiffs.

— Pittsburgh 74, LSU 63
Bayou Bengals led 28-27 at halftime.
Pitt is 6-0, is shooting 60.8% inside the arc.
Pitt-Wisconsin is another interesting game Sunday.

— Vanderbilt 76, Seton Hall 60
Commodores shot 66.7% inside arc, 10-27 on arc (1.15 points/possession)
Vandy’s new coach Byington was 56-15 the last two years, at James Madison.
Vanderbilt-Drake is an interesting game on Sunday’s card.

— Tennessee 77, Baylor 62
Vols improve to 6-0; they led 31-9 early on, 47-24 at halftime.
This is closest game Tennessee has had so far.
Vols have rebounded 40.4% of their missed shots (#9 in country)

— Nebraska 74, Creighton 63
Cornhuskers were a 10-point underdog; they thrashed Creighton.
Nebraska was +10 in turnovers; 2nd time in three years they upset the Bluejays.

— Utah State 77, Iowa 69
Aggies out-rebounded Iowa, 47-31; they had 15 offensive boards.
Utah State is 5-0; they’re on their 4th coach in five years, their 6th coach in 11 years, and they only had one losing season the last ten years. Unusual program.

— Nevada 64, VCU 61
VCU led by 15 early in second half.
Nevada survived shooting 15-26 on the foul line.
VCU lost its first two games in Charleston this weekend, both by 3 points.

— Famous birthdays, November 21:
Dale Sveum, 61
Steve Alford, 60
Vin Baker, 53
Malik Rose, 50
Jonathan Papelbon, 44
Justin Turner, 40
Ross Stripling, 35
Tyler Wade, 30
Gavin Lux, 27

— Drake 75, Florida Atlantic 63
Drake is 5-0; four of their starters played for a D2 team last year.
Bulldogs were 10-25 on arc; they play Vanderbilt in Charleston title game Sunday.

— Elon 84, Notre Dame 77
ACC teams aren’t supposed to lose to CAA teams.
Elon shot 61% inside the arc.
Elon outscored Notre Dame 43-31 in second half.

— Mississippi State 84, SMU 79
SMU led by 13 early in game.
Mustangs lost despite shooting 66.7% inside arc, 23-34 on foul line.
Miss State is 5-0, with solid wins over Utah, SMU.

— Bradley 77, Wright State 74
Bradley outscored Raiders 11-5 over the final 4:04.
Braves start four seniors; they’re #33 in continuity.
Bradley-Middle Tennessee is title game in this tournament Sunday.

NFL/baseball notes………

— Giants benched QB Daniel Jones this week; he asked the team to release him, and they did, even though their salary cap would’ve been better off had they kept him until next June- they would’ve saved $30.5M on the 2025 salary cap had they done that.
Jones was 25-45-1 as the Giants’ QB, 1-1 in playoff games, 3-13 the last two years.

— 49ers’ QB Brock Purdy is out for this week’s game in Green Bay. Brandon Allen gets the start at QB; he is 2-7 as an NFL starter (Broncos/Bengals) with his last start in 2021.

— NFL flexed the Week 16 Broncos-Chargers game from Sunday to Thursday night, replacing the Browns-Bengals game, good news for fans in Cincinnati. A December 19 night game in Ohio doesn’t sound like that much fun.

— Cincinnati Reds acquired P Brady Singer from Kansas City for 2B Jonathan India, OF Joey Wiemer
Singer was 9-13, 3.71 in 28 starts for the Royals LY; he started 127 games in five years with Kansas City.
India hit .248 with 15 homers LY; he was Rookie of the Year in 2021.

— P Dustin May, who missed most of the last two years with injuries, signed a one-year deal with the Dodgers for $2,135,000. May is eligible for free agency after next season.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Saturday, November 23

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13

Saturday’s best 13 games
Indiana @ Ohio State (-10.5)
Indiana (10-0, 7-0)
Hoosiers are 10-0; they’re underdog for first time this year.
Last four games, Hoosiers gave up 12.3 ppg.
Last four games, Indiana is +7 in turnovers.
Hoosiers have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
Hoosiers have 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Rourke started 33 games at Ohio U


Indiana is 5-10 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Cignetti is 2-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Cignetti is 17-6 ATS in conference games.
Indiana is 17-10 ATS in its last 27 games coming off a win.
Six of Indiana’s last eight games went over the total.


Ohio State (9-1, 6-1)
Ohio State won last four games, last two by combined 76-7.
Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.
Ohio State has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Buckeyes have 103 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Howard stated 33 games at Kansas State.


Under Day, OSU is 24-15 ATS as a home favorite.
Buckeyes’ only loss was 32-31 at Oregon; Ducks gained 496 yards.
Oregon is only opponent that gained more than 273 yards.
Buckeyes are 9-6-1 ATS in last 16 conference games.
OSU is 11-6-2 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Ohio State allowed 17 or fewer points in all of its wins.


Ohio State won last 24 series games.
Hoosiers are 9-4 ATS in last 13 series games.
Indiana is 6-1 ATS in last seven visits to Columbus.
Over is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
Big 18 home favorites are 23-18 ATS.


Ole Miss (-11.5) @ Florida
Ole Miss (8-2, 4-2)
Ole Miss is 4-2 in its SEC games; both losses were by 3 points.
Rebels are +5 in turnovers in their last three games.
Rebels have 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Rebels have 222 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dart has started 25 games.


All eight Ole Miss wins are by 12+ points.
Ole Miss is 9-2-1 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
In his career, Kiffin is 20-17-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Kiffin, Rebels are 23-15-2 ATS coming off a win.
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 17-20-2 ATS in SEC games.
Under is 8-1 in Ole Miss’ I-A games this season.


Florida (5-5, 3-4)
Four of Gators’ five losses were by 13+ points.
Florida is 0-5 when it scores less than 24 points.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Gators have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Lagway has 7 TD passes, 5 INT’s (1,297 PY).


Under Napier, Florida is 11-7 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Napier is 22-10-1 ATS as an underdog.
Florida covered six of its last seven games overall.
Under Napier, Florida is 13-10 ATS in SEC games.
Over is 6-3 in Florida’s I-A games.


These teams haven’t met since 2020.
Florida won three of last four series games.
SEC home underdogs are 14-8 ATS


Iowa (-6) @ Maryland
Iowa (6-4, 4-3)
Iowa is 1-4 if it allows 20+ points, 5-0 if it allows less than 20.
Iowa’s six wins were all by 17+ points.
Hawkeyes have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 154 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB McNamara has 21 career starts.


Hawkeyes are 11-6 ATS last 16 games as a road favorite (1-2 TY).
In his career, Ferentz is 32-24-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Iowa is 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Hawkeyes are 24-19-1 ATS in their last 43 conference games.
Over is 7-2 in their I-A games.


Maryland (4-6, 1-6)
Terps lost last three games, giving up 48-39-31 points.
Maryland is 4-1 when it scores 27+ points.
Maryland has 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Terps have 21 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Edwards has 2,855 passing yards (15 TDs, 9 INT).

Under Locksley, Maryland is 7-7 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Locksley is 13-15 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Locksley, Terps are 21-33 ATS in conference games.
Terps were minus-10 in turnovers last five games (+11 in first five games).
Over is 3-1-1 in their home games.


Teams haven’t met since 2021.
Iowa won last three meetings (51-14/23-0/31-15).
Big 18 home underdogs are 15-15 ATS


North Carolina (-2.5) @ Boston College
North Carolina (6-4, 3-3)
North Carolina won its last three games, scoring 41-35-31 points.
Tar Heels are 6-1 when they allow less than 34 points.
Tar Heels have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Tar Heels have 59 returning starts on OL, 49 from one guy.
Junior QB Criswell has 2,003 passing yards (12 TD’s, 3 INTs)


Tar Heels are 3-10-2 ATS last 15 games as a road favorite.
In his career, Mack Brown is 44-50-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Since 2021, Tar Heels are 12-18 ATS in ACC games.
Carolina ran ball for 200+ yards in three of last four games.
Under is 5-1 in their last six games.


Boston College (5-5, 2-4)
BC lost four of its last five games, after a 4-1 start.
Eagles are 1-5 when they allow more than 20 points.
Eagles have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Eagles have 115 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB James has 456 PY in his two starts.


Boston College is 16-7-1 ATS in last 24 games as a home dog.
In his college career, O’Brien is 2-0 ATS as a home underdog.
Eagles are 14-16 ATS in last 30 ACC games.
Last two games, BC gave up 431+ total yards.
Over is 4-0 in their last four games.


These teams haven’t met since 2020.
North Carolina is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in last five meetings.
ACC home underdogs are 9-11 ATS


Arizona @ TCU (-11)
Arizona (4-6, 2-6)
Arizona is 2-6 in Big X games, giving up 31.7 ppg in losses.
Four of their six losses were by 22+ points.
Arizona has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
Wildcats have 86 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Fifita started nine games last year.


Arizona is 7-5 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Brennan is 17-15 ATS as a road underdog.
Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their conference games TY.
In his career, Brennan is 34-28-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Over is 3-2 in their last five games.


TCU (6-4, 4-3)
TCU is 5-0 when it gives up fewer than 30 points.
Last three games, TCU scored 35-34-38 points.
TCU has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Hoover started six games last year.


Under Dykes, TCU is 8-7 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Dykes is 29-24 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Dykes, TCU is 13-12-1 ATS in Big X games.
Frogs are 6-4 despite being minus-10 in turnovers.
Over is 6-3 in their I-A games this season.


These teams haven’t met since 2003.
Big X home favorites are 17-19 ATS.


Penn State (-11.5) @ Minnesota
Penn State (9-1, 6-1)
Penn State won its last two games, 35-6/49-10.
PSU’s only loss was 20-13 at home to Ohio State.
Nittany Lions are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS on road this season.
Nittany Lions have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Penn State has 45 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Allar started 13 games last year.


Under Franklin, Penn State is 56-38-3 ATS as a favorite.
Under Franklin, Penn State is 22-13 ATS as a road favorite.
Nittany Lions are 6-1 SU/3-4 ATS in conference games TY.
Last two games, Penn State ran ball for 266-234 yards.
Six of their last eight games stayed under the total.


Minnesota (6-4, 4-3)
Minnesota won four of its last five games.
Only one of the Gophers’ losses was by more than 7 points.
Gophers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Minnesota has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Brosmer started 36 games at I-AA New Hampshire.


Minnesota is 8-8-2 ATS last 16 games as a home underdog.
In his career, Fleck is 10-13-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 34-32-2 ATS in conference games.
Minnesota is +15 in turnovers in wins, minus-3 in losses.
Gophers are 5-0 when they run ball for 100+ yards.


Home team won/covered last four series games.
Penn State lost 31-26/24-10 in last two visits to Minnesota.
Over is 5-2-1 in last eight meetings.


BYU @ Arizona State (-3)
BYU (9-1, 6-1)
BYU lost 17-13 to Kansas LW, its first loss this year.
BYU has four wins by six or fewer points.
Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Broncos have 88 starts returning on the offensive line.
Junior QB Retzlaff started four games LY.


BYU is 19-8 ATS last 27 games as a road underdog.
BYU scored 34+ points in sieven of its ten games.
In his career, coach Sitake is 25-14-1 ATS as an underdog.
BYU is 7-12 ATS last 19 games coming off a loss.
Last two games, BYU gave up 259/242 total yards.
Five of their last six games went over the total.


Arizona State (8-2, 5-2)
ASU won three in row, five of its last six games.
Sun Devils scored 24+ points in their wins, 22-14 in losses.
ASU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Sun Devils have 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Leavitt has 1,906 PY this year, with 17 TD’s, 4 INTs.


Under Dillingham, ASU is 4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 11-5 ATS in conference games.
ASU is 8-13 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
Arizona State is 4-0 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Sun Devils are 5-0 SU/ATS at home, scoring 35 ppg.


These teams have met once since 1998.
Big X home favorites are 17-19 ATS


Colorado (-3) @ Kansas
Colorado (8-2, 6-1)
Colorado won eight of its last nine games (9-0 ATS).
Colorado scored 31+ points in eight of its nine wins.
Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 100 returning starts on offensive line, and a new OL coach.
QB Sanders started 11 games LY, after playing multiple years at I-AA Jackson State.


Sanders is 7-3 ATS as a favorite with Colorado, 3-1 on road.
Since 2016, Colorado is 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Sanders, Buffs are 13-4 ATS in conference games.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 8-4 ATS coming off a win.
Over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.


Kansas (4-6, 3-4)
Kansas won three of last four games, after a 1-5 start.
Jayhawks have five losses by 6 or fewer points.
Jayhawks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Kansas has 130 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Daniels has 20 career starts.


In his career, Leipold is 17-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 7-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Kansas is 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS in its last four games.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 11-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
Five of last seven Kansas games went over the total.


These teams haven’t met since 2010.
Big X home underdogs are 4-7 ATS.


Alabama (-13.5) @ Oklahoma
Alabama (8-2, 4-2)
Alabama lost 2 of last 3 road games, at Vandy/Tennessee.
Crimson Tide was held under 100 yards rushing in the losses.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Milroe has started 14 games.


Alabama is 7-11 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
In his career, DeBoer is 10-9 ATS as a road favorite.
Alabama is 12-9-1 ATS in its last 22 SEC games.
Under is 3-0 in their last three I-A games.
Alabama is 12-6 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.


Oklahoma (5-5, 1-5)
Oklahoma lost its last four SEC games, giving up 31.3 ppg.
Sooners are 0-5 when they allow more than 21 points.
Oklahoma has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Arnold has thrown for 1,243 yards (12 TDs, 3 INTs)


Under Venables, Oklahoma is 0-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Venables, Sooners are 9-14-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 6-5 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last four I-A games, Oklahoma is minus-9 in turnovers.
Sooners were held under 300 TY in five of last six I-A games.


These teams haven’t met since a bowl game in 2018.
SEC home underdogs are 14-8 ATS.


Iowa State @ Utah (-3)
Iowa State (8-2, 5-2)
Iowa State lost 2 of last 3 games, after a 7-0 start.
Last four games, Cyclones gave up 251.8 rushing yards/game.
Cyclones have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cyclones have 90 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.


Iowa State’s last four games had average total of 57.5.
Under Campbell, ISU is 14-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Cyclones are 10-6 ATS in last 16 conference games.
Cyclones are +8 in turnovers this season.
Iowa State is averaging 448.3 yards in its Big X games.


Utah (4-6, 2-6)
Utah lost its last six games (1-5 ATS)
Utes scored 22+ points in their four wins (0-5 score less than 22)
Utes have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Utah has 60 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Wilson has 1,436 PY (10 TDs, 11 INTs)


Utah is 9-6 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite (0-3 TY).
Utah is 2-7 ATS in last nine games overall.
Utes are 0-6 when they run ball for less than 170 yards.
Since 2016, Utes are 46-32 ATS in conference games (2-6 TY).
Five of Utah’s last seven games stayed under the total.


These teams haven’t met since 2010.
Big X home favorites are 17-19 ATS.


Cincinnati @ Kansas State (-8)
Cincinnati (5-5, 3-4)
Cincinnati lost last three games, giving up 34-31-34 points.
Cincinnati is 5-0 giving up less than 28 points.
Bearcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bearcats have 91 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby started 7 games at Indiana last year.


Cincinnati is 3-6-1 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog.
In his career, Satterfield is 12-17-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 2+ years, Cincinnati is 6-16-2 ATS in conference games.
Bearcats are 5-9-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Under is 6-2-1 in Cincinnati’s I-A games.


Kansas State (7-3, 5-3)
K-State lost its last two games, after a 7-1 start.
K-State scored 29+ points in its wins, 9-19-14 in losses.
Wildcats are +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-6 in losses.
Wildcats have 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Wildcats have 73 returning starts on OL, only 36 at I-A level.
Frosh QB Johnson has thrown for 1,892 yards (17 TDs, 7 INTs)


K-State is 13-4 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite.
Under Klieman, Wildcats are 23-17 ATS as a favorite.
Under Klieman, K-State is 33-21 ATS in Big X games.
Wildcats are 8-1 ATS last nine games coming off a loss.
Under is 3-0 in K-State’s last three games.


These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.
Big X home favorites are 17-19 ATS.


USC (-5) @ UCLA
USC (5-5, 3-5)
Trojans lost four of their last six games.
USC is 1-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Maiava started 11 games at UNLV; this is hist 2nd USC start.


Under Riley, USC is 2-10 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Riley is 8-21-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Trojans are 13-23 ATS in last 36 conference games.
In his career, Riley is 35-39-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Riley, USC is 10-12 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 2-1-1 in their road games this year.


UCLA (4-6, 3-5)
UCLA won three of its last four games, after a 1-5 start.
Bruins are 1-6 when they score less than 20 points.
UCLA has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Bruins have 101 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Garbers started 6 games last year.


UCLA is 4-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
UCLA is 6-3 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
Bruins covered six of last eight games overall.
UCLA is 8-2 ATS last 10 games coming off a loss.
Last four games, Bruins are +2 in turnovers (minus-7 in first six)
Over is 3-1 in UCLA’s last four games.


Road team won last four meetings.
Trojans won 48-45/43-38 in last two visits to UCLA.
Over is 5-1 in last six series games.
Big 18 home underdogs are 15-15 ATS


Colorado State @ Fresno State (-3)
Colorado State (7-3, 5-0)
Rams are 5-0 in MW games, giving up 14.8 ppg.
CSU gave up 52-28-39 points in their losses.
Rams have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
CSU has 94 starts returning on the offensive line.
Rams’ soph QB has 11 starts; he threw 22 TD’s, 16 INT’s last year.


Rams covered their last seven games overall.
Under Norvell, Rams are 7-5 ATS as road underdogs.
In his career, Norvell is 17-14 ATS as a road underdog.
CSU allowed 441+ total yards in three of five MW games.
Under is 7-2 in their I-A games.


Fresno State (5-5, 3-3)
Fresno lost its last two games, 21-20/36-28.
Bulldogs are 1-5 scoring less than 33 points.
Bulldogs have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Fresno has 106 starts returning on offensive line.
Soph QB Keene started 11 games last year.
Skipper is Fresno’s interim coach this season.


Fresno is 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Bulldogs are 6-7 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite.
Last two games, Bulldogs ran ball 33 times for 14 yards.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Bulldogs are 3-10-1 ATS in last 14 Mountain West games.


Colorado State won six of last eight meetings.
Rams are 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Fresno.
Over is 4-3 in last seven series games.
Mountain West home favorites are 8-9 ATS.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 13


FCS

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 23​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
ILL at RUTG	12:00 PM	RUTG -2.5 U 47.5	+500 +500
UNC at BC	12:00 PM	BC +2.5 U 50.0	+500 +500
IU at OSU	12:00 PM	IU +10.5 U 52.5	+500 +500
SHSU at JVST	12:00 PM	JVST -5.0 U 57.0	+500 +500
CONN at SYR	12:00 PM	SYR -10.0 O 53.0	+500 +500
MISS at FLA	12:00 PM	FLA +13.0 O 58.0	+500 +500
SMU at UVA	12:00 PM	UVA +11.0 U 54.5	+500 +500
IOWA at MD	12:00 PM	IOWA -4.5 U 41.0	+500 +500
WAKE at MIA	12:00 PM	WAKE +23.5 U 66.5	+500 +500
MASS at UGA	12:45 PM	MASS +42.0 U 55.0	+500 +500
WKU at LIB	01:00 PM	WKU +1.0 O 55.5	+500 +500
UTEP at TENN	01:00 PM	TENN -41.5 U 54.0	+500 +500
RICE at UAB	02:00 PM	RICE -7.0 U 52.0	+500 +500
BGSU at BALL	02:00 PM	BGSU -12.0 U 53.5	+500 +500
NMSU at MTU	02:30 PM	MTU -3.0 O 53.0	+500 +500
JMU at APP	02:30 PM	JMU -7.5 O 57.5	+500 +500
USA at USM	03:00 PM	USM +24.0 U 54.0	+500 +500
CHAR at FAU	03:00 PM	CHAR -3.0 U 49.5	+500 +500
ULM at ARST	03:00 PM	ARST -3.0 O 51.5	+500 +500
FIU at KENN	03:00 PM	FIU -9.0 O 42.5	+500 +500
ARIZ at TCU	03:00 PM	TCU -10.5 U 60.0	+500 +500
NW at MICH	03:30 PM	NW +10.5 O 35.0	+500 +500
STAN at CAL	03:30 PM	CAL -14.5 O 53.5	+500 +500
COLO at KU	03:30 PM	COLO -2.5 O 59.0	+500 +500
PSU at MINN	03:30 PM	MINN +11.0 U 45.0	+500 +500
ECU at UNT	03:30 PM	UNT -2.5 O 74.0	+500 +500
TLSA at USF	03:30 PM	TLSA +17.5 O 61.5	+500 +500
TTU at OKST	03:30 PM	TTU -4.5 O 64.0	+500 +500
GASO at CCU	03:30 PM	GASO +2.0 O 59.0	+500 +500
UK at TEX	03:30 PM	TEX -18.5 O 47.0	+500 +500
BYU at ASU	03:30 PM	ASU -3.5 U 48.5	+500 +500
SDSU at USU	03:30 PM	USU -5.0 U 60.0	+500 +500
WIS at NEB	03:30 PM	WIS +1.0 U 41.0	+500 +500
UCF at WVU	03:30 PM	WVU +3.0 O 60.5	+500 +500
LT at ARK	04:00 PM	ARK -23.5 O 48.5	+500 +500
WOF at SOCAR	04:00 PM	SOCAR -42.5 U 49.5	+500 +500
PITT at LOU	04:00 PM	PITT +7.5 O 57.5	+500 +500
MIZZ at MSST	04:15 PM	MIZZ -9.0 U 58.0	+500 +500
TROY at ULL	05:00 PM	TROY +8.5 O 51.5	+500 +500
BAY at HOU	07:00 PM	BAY -7.5 O 50.5	+500 +500
ARMY at ND	07:00 PM	ARMY +14.0 O 44.5	+500 +500
WSU at ORST	07:00 PM	ORST +10.5 U 56.5	+500 +500
GSU at TXST	07:00 PM	TXST -21.0 O 59.5	+500 +500
BSU at WYO	07:00 PM	BSU -22.5 U 55.0	+500 +500
TAM at AUB	07:30 PM	AUB +1.0 U 46.0	+500 +500
ALA at OKLA	07:30 PM	OKLA +14.0 O 46.0	+500 +500
MRSH at ODU	07:30 PM	MRSH +3.0 U 51.5	+500 +500
ISU at UTAH	07:30 PM	ISU -6.5 U 42.0	+500 +500
VAN at LSU	07:45 PM	VAN +9.0 U 52.5	+500 +500
CIN at KSU	08:00 PM	KSU -8.5 U 55.0	+500 +500
VT at DUKE	08:00 PM	VT -3.0 O 46.0	+500 +500
AFA at NEV	10:30 PM	AFA +3.0 O 44.5	+500 +500
CSU at FRES	10:30 PM	CSU +3.0 O 44.5	+500 +500
USC at UCLA	10:30 PM	UCLA +5.0 U 52.0	+500 +500

 

[Udog]

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAFB BEST BETS NOVEMBER !

11/23/2024................24 - 25 - 0...................48.97%...............- 17.50
11/22/2024.....................3 - 3 - 0...................50.00%...............- 1.50
11/21/2024.....................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/20/2024.....................3 - 1- 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/19/2024.....................2 -3 - 0....................40.00%................- 6.50
11/16/2024...................20 - 30 - 0...................40.00%...............- 65.00
11/15/2024......................2 - 6 - 0...................25.00%...............- 23.00
11/14/2024......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...............- 0.50
11/13/2024......................4 - 2 - 0...................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/12/2024......................2 - 2 - 0...................50.00%................- 1.00
11/09/2024....................20 - 15 - 0..................57.14%................+ 17.50
11/08/2024.......................2 - 3 - 0..................40.00%.................- 6.50
11/07/2024.......................1 - 3 - 0..................25.00%.................- 11.50
11/06/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/05/2024.......................3 - 1 - 0..................75.00%.................+ 9.50
11/02/2024.....................9 - 10 - 0..................47.36%..................- 10.00
11/01/2024.......................1 - 5 - 0..................16.67%..................- 22.50

TOTALS........................101 - 112 - 0.................47.41%.................- 111.00

*************************************************************************************

AUG- SEPT TOTALS............119 - 95 - 3..........................55.60%............................+ 75.20
OCTOBER TOTALS................61 - 64 - 3..........................48.80%............................- 42.00

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Nuggets 127, Lakers 102- Jokic had 34 points, 13 rebounds, 8 assists.
— Bucks 125, Hornets 119- Antetokounmpo had 32 points, 11 rebounds.
— Trail Blazers 104, Rockets 98- Portland was a 12.5-point underdog.
— Spurs 104, Warriors 94- Spurs outscored Golden State 33-13 in 4th quarter.
— Grizzlies 142, Bulls 131- Scotty Pippen Jr had 30 points, 10 assists.
— Jazz 121, Knicks 106- Utah was +30 with Markkanen on court, minus-15 in the 15:00 he sat out.

Quote of the Day
“How do you tell when you’re out of invisible ink?”
Steven Wright

Sunday’s quiz
When was the last time Alabama lost 3+ football games in a season?

Saturday’s quiz
Other than the Chiefs (won last two titles), the 2021 Rams are the last team to win a Super Bowl- they beat Cincinnati 23-20 in that game.

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Cleveland Browns played in a playoff game, Joe Flacco was their QB.

****************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college sports Saturday……..​

Seven top 25 teams lost Saturday.
As I’m typing this, there is a car race going on thru the streets of Las Vegas. Weird.
I can’t process that Cal-Stanford is an ACC game, USC-UCLA is a Big 18 game.

— Oklahoma 24, Alabama 3
Last spring, Alabama poached Miami OH’s kicker; his FG was the Tide’s only score.
Oklahoma had lost its last four I-A games.
Alabama completed only 11-27 passes, threw 3 INTs.
Alabama is 8-3; Miami OH is 7-4; would be messed up if they met in a bowl game.

— Florida 24, Ole Miss 17
Underdogs are 30-15 ATS in SEC games this season.
Rebels outgained Florida, 464-344, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
Gators beat LSU/Ole Miss last two weeks, they’re 6-5/bowl eligible.

— USC 19, UCLA 13
Trojans outscored UCLA 10-0 in fourth quarter.
USC’s only TD of game was the decisive score, with 6:55 left.
Trojans are 6-5, are now bowl eligible. UCLA won’t go bowling.
USC has led in the 4th quarter in all five of their losses.

— Arizona State 28, BYU 23
ASU is 9-2, having a great year, but coach Dillingham over-thought the end of this game so badly he damn near committed coaching malpractice. Seriously.
Sun Devils led 28-23 and had the ball deep in BYU territory with 1:04 left; they tried this weird stuff to kill the clock that failed, running backwards a couple times to kill time, but BYU wound up with one play to run a Hail Mary from its own 49-yard line.
Hail Mary failed, but I’d be curious to know what coach Dillingham think about all that now.
ASU led this game 28-9 late in third quarter, held on for dear life; they’ve won four in a row.

— Auburn 43, Texas A&M 41 OT
Auburn led this game 21-0 with 5:00 left before halftime.
Auburn tied the game on a 20-yard FG with 0:05 left.
A&M was 10-19 on third down, Auburn 5-14.
The overtime system is strange; once they hit the 3rd overtime, teams alternate plays from the 2-yard line, like a shootout in the NHL. Not a great system.

— Texas Tech 56, Oklahoma State 48
Mike Gundy is a good coach, but Cowboys are 0-8 in conference games.
Oklahoma State gave up 38+ points in each of its last seven games.
Texas Tech was 14-22 on third down, Cowboys were 2-9.

— Kansas 37, Colorado 21
Kansas punter Damon Greaves’ family made the trip from Australia to Kansas City for this game; problem is, the Jayhawks didn’t punt in this game. Not once.
Kansas is 5-6; five of their six losses are by 6 or fewer points. They need a win at Baylor next week to become bowl eligible.

— Upsets of the Week:
Georgia State (+21) 52, Texas State 44
Oklahoma (+14) 24, Alabama 3
Florida (+12) 24, Ole Miss 17
Kennesaw State (+9) 27, FIU 26
Appalachian State (+7.5) 34, James Madison 20
UAB (+7) 40, Rice 14
Central Michigan (+5.5) 16, Western Michigan 14

Saturday’s college basketball notes:
— Fresno State 72, Long Beach State 69
Bulldogs outscored Long Beach 14-0 over the final 2:48.
Fresno was 30-44 on foul line, Long Beach 3-4. AT Long Beach!!!!

— UNLV 72, New Mexico State 65
Rebels were 30-42 on foul line; PG Thomas was 13-19.
New Mexico State shot 31.3% from floor, had 21 offensive boards.
Game was 62-62 with 4:25 left to play.

— Stanford 71, Santa Clara 69
Cardinal trailed 67-59 with 3:29 left in game.
7-1 senior Reynaud had 32 points, 16 rebounds.
Stanford survived shooting 10-21 on the foul line.

— Milwaukee 76, Wofford 74
Panthers were 19-33 on foul line, Wofford 8-15.
Wofford led by 8 with 14:08 left to play.
Teams combined to shoot 11-41 on the arc.

— Famous birthdays, November 24:
Oscar Robertson, 86
Dave Bing, 81
Rudy Tomjanovich, 76
Steve Yeager, 76
Henry Bibby, 75
Katherine Heigl, 46
Ryan Fitzpatrick, 42
Jeimer Candelario, 31
Tyler Soderstrom, 23

More college football…….
— Nebraska 44, Wisconsin 25
Cornhuskers snap 4-game skid, are bowl eligible for first time since 2016.
Dylan Raiola threw for 293 yards and a TD.
Wisconsin had beaten Nebraska nine times in a row.

— Cal 24, Stanford 21
Stanford led 21-7 with 1:00 left in third quarter.
Mendoza’s third TD pass of day with 2:40 left was a game-winner.
Golden Bears have beaten their arch-rival four years in a row.

— Illinois 38, Rutgers 31
Illini threw a 40-yard TD pass with 0:04 left for the win.
Rutgers had taken the lead on a TD with 1:08 left.
Scarlet Knights led 17-15 after the third quarter.
Illinois is very quietly 8-3.

— Marshall 42, Old Dominion 35
Marshall QB Braxton threw for 210 yards, ran for 140 more.
Thundering Herd scored game-winning TD with 4:03 left.
Monarchs outgained Marshall, 513-469.

— Penn State 26, Minnesota 25
Nittany Lions were 1-11 on third down, 3-4 on fourth down.
Minnesota led 10-0 early in second quarter.
Penn State is 5-0 on the road for the first time since 1985.

— Ohio State 38, Indiana 15
Game was 7-7 late in first half when Indiana’s punter fumbled a snap, and Ohio State had a short TD drive because of that. Things unraveled from the there for the 10-1 Hoosiers.
Buckeyes outgained Indiana 316-151; Hoosiers completed only 8-18 passes- their QB was sacked six times.

 

[CNOTES]

Monday’s 6-pack:
Some interesting Week 13 NFL spreads
— Bears @ Detroit (-10.5, 48.5)
— Giants @ Dallas (-3.5, 38.5)
— Dolphins @ Green Bay (-3, 47.5)
— Raiders @ Kansas City (-12.5, 42.5)
— Colts (-2.5, 42.5) @ New England
— Steelers @ Cincinnati (-3, 46.5)

Quote of the Day
“We got down to the end there and it was a game-situational extravaganza. It was like Yahtzee. Everything was in there.”
Dallas coach Mike McCarthy, after the Cowboys’ 34-26 win

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Last Vegas, what well-known actress plays the lounge singer who winds up hooking up with Michael Douglas at the end of the movie?

Sunday’s quiz
2010 was the last time Alabama lost 3+ football games in a season; ESPN’s Greg McElroy was Alabama’s QB that year.

Saturday’s quiz
Other than the Chiefs (won last two titles), the 2021 Rams are the last team to win a Super Bowl- they beat Cincinnati 23-20 in that game.

***********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday……..​

Cowboys 34, Commanders 26
Down 27-20, Washington threw an 86-yard TD pass with 0:21 left.
Seibert missed the PAT, his second missed PAT of the game.
Dallas then ran the onside kick back for a TD.
Cowboys snap a 5-game losing streak with this upset win.
This game was 3-3 at halftime.
Washington lost last three games, after a 7-2 start.
Commanders allowed 26+ points in all five losses.
QB Daniels threw for 275 yards, 2 TDs, ran for 74 yards and another TD. This was first game in NFL history with 2 missed PAT’s, 2 kick returns for TDs and also a blocked punt.

Titans 32, Texans 27
Titans’ first three drives: 22 plays, 212 yards, 17 points.
Tennessee led 20-17 at halftime.
Houston took 24-23 lead on pick-6 0:04 left in 3rd quarter.
Titans went ahead for good on 70-yard TD pass with 9:35 left.
Titans scored 17 or fewer points in their losses; 31-20-32 points in wins.
Houston is 2-4 in last six games, after a 5-1 start.
Texans are 2-5 when they give up more than 20 points.
Houston is 5-15 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
Texans are 2-7 ATS in last nine AFC South home games.

Vikings 30, Bears 27, OT
Minnesota drove 83 yards, kicked game-winning FG in OT.
Bears had scored 11 points in last 0:22 of regulation to tie game.
Bears lost their last five games, three of them by 3 or fewer points.
Vikings won/covered their last five visits to Chicago
Bears are 3-11 ATS in last 14 NFC North home games.
Minnesota is 8-2-2 ATS in last 12 games as road favorite.
Addison caught 8 passes for 162 yards and a TD.
Minnesota scored 30 points despite Jefferson catching 2 passes for 27 yards.
Last three years, Vikings have 23 wins by 8 or fewer points, most in NFL.
Vikings are 9-0 when they allow less than 30 points.

Chiefs 30, Panthers 27
Chiefs led 27-16 after third quarter.
Chiefs’ first five drives: 52 plays, 319 yards, 27 points.
Carolina drove 51 yards, tied game on TD with 1:49 left.
Kansas City then drove 57 yards, kick game-winning FG at gun.
Chiefs are 10-1 SU; they’re 0-5 ATS in last five games.
Kansas City ran ball for 165 yards, their 2nd-most this season.
Over is 8-3 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers’ opponents’ team total: over 8-3

Famous birthdays, November 25
John Laroquette, 77
Bernie Kosar, 61
Jill Hennessy, 56
Anthony Peeler, 55
Donovan McNabb, 48
Nick Swisher, 44
Alec Burleson, 26
Jaylen Waddle, 26
Blake Corum, 24

Dolphins 34, Patriots 15
Miami won last three games, giving up 15-19-15 points.
Dolphins led 31-0 after the third quarter.
Last six weeks, Dolphins outscored foes 77-25 in 1st half.
Miami is now 7-1 in last eight games vs New England.
New England’s first seven drives: 37 plays, 160 yards, no points.
Patriots are 6-14 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
New England is 10-22-1 ATS in last 33 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 32-48 since Tom Brady left town.

Buccaneers 30, Giants 7
Buccaneers’ first six drives: 52 plays, 366 yards, 30 points.
Tampa Bay led 23-0 at halftime.
Mayfield threw for 294 yards, also ran for a TD.
Buccaneers’ team total: over 9-2
Giants in first half: 17 plays, 46 yards, 3 punts, no points.
Giants lost their last six games (0-6 ATS).
Giants are 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS at home, losing by 22-5-10-25-5-23 points.
Giants haven’t had a positive turnover ratio in any game TY.

Lions 24, Colts 6
Detroit won its last nine games (8-1 ATS).
Last five games, Lions outscored opponents 77-11 in 2nd half.
Detroit is 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS on road this season.
Opponents have converted 24 of last 84 third down plays.
Under Campbell, Lions are 8-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Colts in second half: 20 plays, 94 yards, no points.
Colts are 6-9 ATS last 15 games as a home underdog.
AFC South underdogs are 9-15 ATS in non-divisional games.

Broncos 29, Raiders 19
Raiders led 13-9 at halftime.
Denver in 2nd half: 38 plays, 163 yards, 20 points.
Raiders in 2nd half: 44 plays, 180 yards, 6 points.
Denver is 6-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-5 if they score 20 or less.
Last five weeks, Broncos converted 36-70 third down plays.
Raiders are 0-7 SU/2-5 ATS in last seven games
Raiders have 22 turnovers in 11 games (minus-17).
Raiders’ opponents’ team total: over 8-3
QB Minshew broke his collarbone, is out for year.
First time in nine years Denver won at the Raiders.

Packers 38, 49ers 10
Packers won six of their last seven games.
Green Bay’s first three drives: 34 plays, 187 yards, 17 points.
Green Bay outscored last eight foes 128-58 in second half.
Packers out rushed San Francisco, 169-44.
Backup QB Allen was 17-29/199 passing (first start since 2022)
49ers are 1-6 when they score less than 30 points.
49ers are 0-5 when they gain less than 400 yards.
San Francisco is +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.

Seahawks 16, Cardinals 6
Seattle’s only offensive TD came on a 61-yard drive just before halftime.
Seahawks scored a defensive TD on a pick-6 in third quarter.
Seattle allowed 26+ points in losses, 20 or less in wins.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Arizona was 3-12 on third down, Seahawks 7-14.
Cardinals are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five visits to Seattle.
Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in last seven NFC West road games.
QB Murray is 34-42-1 SU as an NFL starter.
These teams are for first atop the NFC West.

Eagles 37, Rams 20
Eagles led 20-14 at halftime.
Barkley ran 70 yards for TD on first play of 3rd quarter.
Barkley ran ball 26 times for 255 yards, 2 TD’s.
Eagles are 7-0 SU/5-2 in their last seven games overall.
Philly was 9-15 on third down, Rams 0-8.
Last four games, Rams are only 8-41 on third down.
Eagles are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Rams are 1-6 scoring less than 26 points, 4-0 scoring 26+.

College basketball notes……..

— LSU 109, Central Florida 102, 3 OTs
UCF led 38-18 late in first half.
LSU is 5-1, with the #27 eFG% defense.

— Drake 81, Vanderbilt 70
MVC’s Bulldogs win Charleston tournament, with 4 starters poached from a D2 team.
Bulldogs shot 61.5% inside the arc.
6-4 junior Stirtz had 16 points, 11 assists.

— Bradley 80, Middle Tennessee 69
MVC’s Braves win tournament at Coastal Carolina.
Bradley starts four seniors; they shot 10-22 on the arc.
Braves are #33 team in country in continuity.

— Georgia 66, St John’s 63
Dawgs are rebounding 43.7% of their missed shots (#5 in country)
St John’s had 21 offensive boards, but shot 2-19 on the arc.
Rough 1-2 trip to Atlantis, with losses by 1-3 points.

— Kennesaw State 79, Rutgers 77
Kennesaw led by 18 at halftime.
Owls out-rebounded Rutgers, 46-24.
Kennesaw survived being minus-13 in turnovers (22-9).

— Wisconsin 81, Pitt 75
Wisconsin is 7-0, scoring 79+ points in every game.
Badgers are playing pace #152, their fastest pace in at least 28 years.
Badgers are shooting 86.5% on foul line, #1 in country.