NCAAF
Weather Report
Friday, November 8
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 11
Friday’s games
California (-7) @
Wake Forest
California (4-4, 0-4)
Cal lost its first four ACC games, by 5-1-1-2 points.
Cal held six of eight opponents to 17 or fewer points.
Golden Bears have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Golden Bears have 112 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Mendoza started eight games last year.
Under Wilcox, Cal is 4-6 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Wilcox, Cal is 33-28-1 ATS in conference games.
Cal is +13 in turnovers this season.
Cal is 13-11 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
Under is 4-2-1 in their I-A games.
Wake Forest (4-4, 2-2)
Wake is 3-4 vs I-A teams, with wins by 4-3-3 points.
Deacons are 4-0 if they allow 30 or less points, 0-4 if they allow 31+.
Deacons have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Wake Forest has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Bachmeier had 37 starts at Boise State/Louisiana Tech.
Deacons won three of their last four games SU.
Wake is 0-4-1 ATS last five games as a home underdog.
Last 2+ years, Wake is 8-10-2 ATS in conference games.
Deacons are 1-5-2 ATS in last eight games coming off a win.
Wake gave up 430+ TY in all four of their losses.
These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.
Home underdogs are 6-9 ATS in ACC conference games.
Iowa (-6.5) @
UCLA
Iowa (6-3, 4-2)
Iowa is 1-3 if it allows 20+ points, 5-0 if it allows less than 20.
Iowa’s six wins were all by 17+ points.
Hawkeyes have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 154 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB McNamara has 21 career starts.
Hawkeyes are 11-5 ATS last 16 games as a road favorite (1-1 TY).
In his career, Ferentz is 32-23-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Iowa is 32-18-1 ATS in last 51 games coming off a win.
Hawkeyes are 24-18-1 ATS in their last 42 conference games.
Over is 7-1 in their I-A games.
UCLA (3-5, 2-4)
UCLA won its last two games, 35-32/27-20.
Bruins are 1-5 when they score less than 27 points.
UCLA has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Bruins have 101 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Garbers started 6 games last year.
UCLA is 0-3 SU/ATS at home, scoring 13-13-17 points.
Bruins are 5-3 ATS last eight games as a home dog (1-2 TY).
UCLA covered five of its last six games overall.
Last two games, Bruins are +2 in turnovers (minus-7 in first six)
Under is 4-2 in UCLA’s last six games.
These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.
Home underdogs are 11-14 ATS in Big 18 conference games.
Rice @
Memphis (-8)
Rice (3-6, 2-3)
Rice upset Navy LW, after they fired their coach.
Owls are 3-0 if they score 24+ points, 0-6 if they don’t.
Rice has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Owls have 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Warner started 20 games at Temple.
Rice is 8-11-1 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog.
Owls were held to 14 or less points in five of their six losses.
Rice is 9-5 ATS in last 14 conference games.
Owls are 7-9 ATS last 16 games coming off a win.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Memphis (7-2, 3-2)
Tigers scored 52-33-36 points in their last three games.
Memphis gave up 56-44 points in their two losses.
Memphis has 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Tigers have 124 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Hanigan has 37 career starts.
Memphis is 1-6-1 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
Under Silverfield, Memphis is 7-15-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Memphis is 6-3-1 ATS in last 10 games coming off a loss.
Last three Memphis games went over the total.
These teams haven’t met since 2012.
AAC home favorites are 12-5 ATS in conference games.
New Mexico @
San Diego State (-2.5)
New Mexico (3-6, 2-3)
Lobos allowed 35+ points in eight of nine games.
New Mexico scored 50-52-50 points in their wins.
New Mexico has 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Lobos have 17 starts returning on OL (added 8 transfers).
Soph QB Dampier has thrown for 2,243 yards (10 TDs, 12 INTs)
Lobos allowed 474+ TY in seven of nine games.
New Mexico is 6-12 ATS last 18 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Mendenhall is 27-24 ATS as a road underdog.
New Mexico is 8-20-1 ATS last 29 conference games.
Lobos are 9-20 ATS in last 29 games coming off a loss.
Over is 6-2 in New Mexico games this season.
San Diego State (3-5, 2-1)
Four of Aztecs’ last five games were decided by 3 or fewer points.
Aztecs are 3-0 if they score 27+ points, 0-5 if they don’t.
San Diego State has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Aztecs have 67 starts returning on offensive line.
Frosh QB O’Neil has thrown for 1,240 yards (6 TDs, 2 INTs)
Aztecs have losses this year by 21-21-1-3-32 points.
San Diego State is 4-9 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite.
In his career, coach Lewis is 8-8 ATS as a home favorite.
San Diego State is 9-5 ATS last 14 conference games.
In his career, Lewis is 18-14 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
San Diego State won last nine meetings (4-1 ATS last five)
Lobos are 0-5 SU/3-2 ATS in last five visits to San Diego.
Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.
Mountain West home favorites are 7-6 ATS in conference games.