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[CNOTES]

Panthers hope extra studying pass off vs. Georgia Tech
October 7, 2016

PITTSBURGH (AP) Pitt coach Pat Narduzzi watched his team let Navy's meticulously executed option offense have its way in a lopsided loss in the Military Bowl last December and knew something needed to be done.


So the coach who stresses taking it one week at a time did something a little different during fall camp. He looked ahead. To be more specific, he looked ahead to Georgia Tech, who will bring a scheme the Midshipmen used to roll up 417 yards rushing to Heinz Field on Saturday.


Narduzzi called the cram sessions ''Panther Periods.''


''We need to stop the run,'' Narduzzi said. ''Whether it's a spread offense or a triple offense, we need to make the plays necessary to stop them. We looked at it during the summer just so we could get our kids further along.''


Pitt (3-2, 0-1 ACC) will get a chance to see if the extra studying pays off on Saturday when the Yellow Jackets (3-2, 1-2) visit Heinz Field.


''They a have lot of magic done behind the line, a lot of stuff you've got to look at,'' Pitt linebacker Oluwaseun Idowu said. ''You need to have honest eyes.''


The Panthers edge Georgia Tech on a late field goal last season and figures to be in another tight one this time around. Each of Pitt's past four games have been decided in the last 2 minutes, including a late 13-point outburst in the final 1:04 to put away Marshall last Saturday.


That hasn't been the case for the Yellow Jackets, who are coming off consecutive home losses to No. 2 Clemson and No. 10 Miami, games in which they never led. Any chance of upsetting the Hurricanes evaporated when Miami returned a pair of second-quarter fumbles by Georgia Tech quarterback Justin Thomas for touchdowns in the second quarter. Thomas knows those miscues need to stop immediately.


''We've just got to stay consistent,'' quarterback Justin Thomas said. ''It will come but right now it's just in spurts. We do something good a few drives and come back and we start going backward.''


TOUGH GRIND FOR YELLOW JACKETS OFFENSE: Each of Georgia Tech's first three ACC opponents - Boston College (1), Clemson (12) and Miami (7) - rank among the top 12 nationally in total defense. That's not the case with Pitt which is No. 72, allowing 406.6 yards per game. Those numbers are a bit skewed, however, and not necessarily in Georgia Tech's favor. The Panthers have struggled against the pass but are fourth in the country against the run, allowing 69.8 yards per game.


The Yellow Jackets struggled to a 17-14 win over Boston College in Dublin and were shut down in a 26-7 loss to Clemson. Their 124 total yards against Clemson were a low mark for the spread-option offense in nine years under Johnson.


Johnson took a more hands-on approach in practice last week and Georgia Tech rebounded with 361 yards, including 267 yards rushing, in last week's 35-21 loss to Miami.


WHITHER WHITHEAD?: Pitt sophomore safety Jordan Whitehead dressed but did not play against Marshall, the 2015 ACC Defensive Rookie of the Year watching from the sideline as the Panthers pulled away late to seal the victory. Narduzzi initially declined to get into Whitehead's status but earlier this week described Whitehead's absence on the field due to reasons ''personal in nature.'' Whitehead is second on the team in tackles and has rushed for 63 yards while moonlighting occasionally on offense. Narduzzi anticipates Whitehead returning to the lineup Saturday.


BEEN HERE, DONE THAT: Georgia Tech also was coming off two straight losses to Duke and North Carolina in 2014 when it turned its season around with a 56-28 win at Pitt. That team finished 11-3, played in the ACC championship game and won the Orange Bowl.


''A lot of people were about to give up the ship and jump off and we ended up winning 11 games and the Orange Bowl,'' Johnson said. ''There's still a lot of football to be played. You've just got to take it one game at a time and play. I'd like for us to be playing better than we are playing but who knows? Maybe this is the week.''


PASS HAPPY? Against Marshall the Panthers threw for more yards than they ran for, the first time that's happened this season. It was a welcome jolt for quarterback Nate Peterman and wide receiver Jester Weah, who connected on the game-sealing 54-yard touchdown with 64 seconds left.


''I feel my confidence is right up through the roof,'' Weah said. ''I feel like when I'm on the field I can do whatever I want.''

 

[CNOTES]

No. 24 Utah looks to end losing streak against Arizona
October 7, 2016


SALT LAKE CITY (AP) For all the recent success Utah's Kyle Whittingham has had in the Pac-12, beating Arizona's Rich Rodriguez has eluded him.


The Wildcats are 4-0 against the 24th-ranked Utes since Rodriguez took over in 2012, and to hear Whittingham tell it he hasn't really been thinking about that this week.


''It's not on my mind, but I guess it should be,'' Whittingham said. ''It's right. It's accurate. They've had our number the last four years.''


The Wildcats (2-3, 0-2 Pac-12) have run roughshod through the Utes (4-1, 1-1) in the last four meetings, rushing for an average of 269 yards per game.


The Utes could have their best opportunity yet to put an end to that streak when they host the Wildcats on Saturday.


Arizona has been plagued by injuries this season with 28 players, including 18 starters, on the injury report at the beginning of the week. Starting running back Nick Wilson, who ran for 218 yards and three touchdowns against the Utes in 2014, is listed as questionable with an ankle injury.


And though they ran for 200-plus yards in their last four consecutive games, the Wildcats' usually explosive offense isn't what it's been in the past.


Arizona is ranked No. 51 in the country with 443.4 yards of total offense per game with the No. 65 scoring offense (29.2 points per game).


''They haven't been as prolific offensively as they have in previous years, but they've been prolific against us all four last years,'' Whittingham said. ''We're not overly concerned with what's gone on the first four weeks of the season for them because we know we've had our own struggles with them.''


Rodriguez said Sundays have become long days, win or lose, as the injuries have piled up. Arizona finished the last game without its top two quarterbacks and top two running backs. Last week, Khalil Tate became the first Arizona true freshman to receive time at quarterback since 2008 due to a rib injury to Brandon Dawkins. Tate may start against the Utes.


''As a staff, we have to come together with a plan, try to put some guys in place that are maybe more inexperienced,'' Rodriguez said. ''We may have to adapt some of our schemes, not just on offense and defense, but on special teams. We will have 11 out there. I don't know how much experience they will have, but we'll have 11 out there, and get ready to go put the plan together for Utah.''


Things to watch when Utah hosts Arizona:


REAL STRUGGLE: Utah continues to be one of the worst teams in the country in the red zone with a 75 percent scoring percentage - No. 107 in the nation and last in the Pac-12. The 54.17 touchdown percentage puts them at No. 98.


''We think we maybe need to be a little more creative down there,'' Whittingham said.


PROMOTED: Utah sophomore Armand Shyne was promoted to starter this week after rushing for 99 yards and two touchdowns against Cal. He has 272 yards and three touchdowns this season. The Utes need him and freshman Zack Moss to carry the load with junior Troy McCormick banged up.


BALL SECURITY: Arizona is tied for No. 23 in the nation with just five turnovers in five games. The Wildcats have had three games without a single turnover. Utah has 10 turnovers this season, but has also forced 12, which is tied for No. 6 in the country.


''We really want to be a nastier team this week,'' Utah safety Chase Hansen said.


HURT, TOO: The Utes have had injury issues of their own. Three-year starting center J.J. Dielman went down last week with a season-ending lower leg injury. Backup Lo Falemaka is banged up and was in a walking boot this week. First team All-Pac-12 defensive tackle Lowell Lotulelei missed last game with a shoulder injury. No. 1 receiver Tim Patrick and starting cornerback Reggie Porter both went down last week. McCormick was also in a boot this week after getting hurt last week. Whittingham only confirmed that Dielman would be out this week.

 

[CNOTES]

Houston's juggernaut off to Navy
October 7, 2016


ANNAPOLIS, Md. (AP) Navy coach Ken Niumatalolo offered a unique strategy when asked about defending Houston's high-powered offense on Saturday.


''We're trying to petition to the NCAA to see if we can play 15 guys on the field,'' Niumatalolo said.


No. 6 Houston (5-0, 2-0 American Athletic Conference) opened the season by scoring 33 points against then-third ranked Oklahoma and has not slowed down. Employing a multiple spread offense conceived by head coach Tom Herman, the Cougars rank 19th in the Football Bowl Subdivision in total offense with 506 yards per game and 12th in scoring offense with an average of 44.2 points.


Quarterback Greg Ward Jr. leads the nation's 25th -ranked passing offense (304.6 yards). Ward has completed 99 of 140 passes for 1,325 yards and eight touchdowns.


''Ward was a really good player last year and he's even better this year,'' Niumatalolo said. ''Nobody has been able to slow him down. He's very patient in the pocket and is well-coached.''


Navy's defensive staff spent Sunday and Monday reviewing film of Houston's five games this season and saw every possible defensive scheme. Some teams rushed three defenders and dropped eight in coverage while others rushed four and dropped seven. Oklahoma was among the opponents that unleashed a bunch of blitzes on Ward with little success.


''We're like everybody else in the country - we're still searching for answers on how to stop him,'' Niumatalolo said of Ward.


Some things to know about the Houston-Navy matchup.


TOUGH ON DEFENSE, TOO: Houston is far from one-dimensional. The Cougars are third in the country in scoring defense and sixth in total defense, holding opponents to 11.2 points and 250 yards.


''You don't become (No. 6) in the country by just being good in one phase,'' Niumatalolo said. ''They're ranked where they are for a reason. They're just so good in so many places. A well-coached team with so many good players is a tough combination.''


Inside linebacker Steven Taylor leads the Houston defense with 27 tackles (six for loss) and 5 + sacks. Strong safety Garrett Davis has 26 tackles (four for loss). The Cougars suffered a self-inflicted setback when starting linebackers Tyus Bowser and Matthew Adams got into a fight during a team event before the Connecticut game.


Bowser, who had 18 tackles through four games, sustained a broken bone in his face and will miss several games. Adams didn't play against Connecticut because of disciplinary reasons, but is scheduled to start against Navy (3-1, 2-0).


Houston held Navy to 147 rushing yards in last year's meeting, which decided the West Division representative in the inaugural AAC championship game. The Cougars, who came into the contest with one conference loss, won a tiebreaker over the Midshipmen by virtue of their 52-31 victory.

TOUGH STRETCH: The Midshipmen are in the midst of their most challenging stretch of the season.


Navy is coming off a disappointing defeat at the hands of service academy rival Air Force. A 28-14 loss in Colorado Springs likely means the coveted Commander-in-Chief's Trophy will be departing Annapolis.


''After getting your butt whipped by one of your rivals, a team like Houston wakes you up pretty quickly. There can't be any lingering effects or this game will get ugly real quickly,'' Niumatalolo said.


Navy faces a quick turnaround after this one, traveling to East Carolina for a nationally-televised contest next Thursday night.


HISTORIC VISIT: Saturday will be just the ninth time in the history of Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium that an AP Top 10 team has visited. Last time came in 2001, when Georgia Tech laid a 70-7 whipping on Navy.


Houston will be the highest-ranked team to play at the 53-year-old facility since second-ranked South Carolina in 1984. The Midshipmen upset the Gamecocks, 38-21, that year.


STREAKING: Navy has won 12 straight home games dating back to 2014. On Saturday, the Midshipmen will be seeking to equal the school record for consecutive victories at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.


Navy won the first 13 games it played at the facility after it opened in September 1959.


Houston, on the other hand, has won 19 of its last 20 games with the lone loss coming at Connecticut last November. The Cougars avenged that defeat by routing the Huskies, 42-14 on Sept. 29.

 

[CNOTES]

UNC aims to keep rolling against V-Tech
October 7, 2016


CHAPEL HILL, N.C. (AP) North Carolina coach Larry Fedora sees his team making plenty of mistakes, even after a pair of last-second wins that vaulted the 17th-ranked Tar Heels back into the national rankings .


He's trying to figure out how to fix them entering Saturday's game against No. 25 Virginia Tech.


''If we can ever get that accomplished, you would see some fireworks out there,'' he said. ''It would be pretty dang good. And that's the potential of this football team.''


That's the balance for Fedora. His Tar Heels (4-1, 2-0 Atlantic Coast Conference) sit atop the league's Coastal Division after rallying to beat Pittsburgh and then-No. 12 Florida State with scores in the last 5 seconds each time. But UNC is still spotty on defense, while the offense that has the potential to sprint past anyone still has moments that Fedora wants to clean up.


Against the Seminoles, for example, it was Elijah Hood's fumble near the FSU goal line. Fedora said there was some ''gloom'' when coaches reviewed film of a thrilling win.


''Everybody knows you can't keep living on the edge like that,'' Fedora said.


The Hokies (3-1, 1-0) are coming off a bye week and bring a tough defense to face UNC's rolling offense. Virginia Tech's offense, a faster-tempo scheme brought by new coach Justin Fuente from Memphis, has been particularly sharp in the last two games, rolling to 103 points in lopsided home wins against Boston College and East Carolina.


Virginia Tech is making its first appearance in the AP Top 25 this season, setting up the first game between two ranked teams at UNC's Kenan Stadium since 2008.


''It's great for our fans to take pride in and get excited about,'' Fuente said. ''It may add to more fanfare on the outside about the upcoming games, but it's not something that we draw a lot of focus on.''


---


Here are things to know about Saturday's Virginia Tech-North Carolina game:


STOPPING THE PASS: UNC quarterback Mitch Trubisky has three straight 400-yard passing games and is yet to throw an interception this year. Meanwhile, receiver Ryan Switzer enters with a two-game ACC record of 30 catches in the Pitt and FSU wins, prompting Trubisky to say that it sometimes seems ''it's just me and him out there playing catch.'' But the Hokies' defense led by longtime coordinator Bud Foster ranks ninth nationally by allowing 264.3 yards per game and 10th against the pass.


HOKIES' ATTACK: Virginia Tech's offense is taking shape. The Hokies have scored at least 36 points in every game, the outlier coming when they lost five fumbles in a 45-24 loss to Tennessee. Junior college transfer Jerod Evans has started all four games, throwing for 13 touchdowns with just one interception.


DEFENSIVE CONCERNS: The Tar Heels are still up and down on defense. They struggled for three quarters against Pitt before coming up with two straight three-and-outs in the fourth quarter to set up the comeback win, then held FSU to 14 points through the first three quarters before giving up 21 in the final quarter. ''The players know it, and we are very adamant about getting those (mistakes) cleaned up,'' defensive coordinator Gene Chizik said. ''It's about time we do it, right?''


TELLING STRETCH: The Tar Heels are seeking to become the first repeat Coastal champion since the Hokies did it from 2010-11. This will be the third game in a critical four-week stretch that could put them in control of that race, assuming they can win Saturday and then again at No. 10 Miami next week.


WEATHER CONCERNS: Hurricane Matthew has been moving north since early in the week. That could affect game conditions with wind and rain, depending on the course the storm takes as it continues its trek into Friday evening.

 

[CNOTES]

Duke emphasizes ball security in visit from Army
October 7, 2016


DURHAM, N.C. (AP) If Duke can't keep its grip on the ball, the Blue Devils might lose control of their season, too.


A suddenly turnover-prone Duke team plays host to an improved Army on Saturday. The Blue Devils (2-3) rank last in the Atlantic Coast Conference and 123rd nationally in turnover margin, with 17 giveaways to 10 takeaways. The Black Knights (3-1) are fifth in the Bowl Subdivision in that stat category and had no turnovers in their first three games. Only two teams have turned it over less often.


''Army is a complete football team,'' Duke coach David Cutcliffe said.


And with Hurricane Matthew churning up the East Coast, and threatening to dump rain on Wallace Wade Stadium, ball security will be at even more of a premium.


''If it's windy and rainy, we've both got to kick the ball and throw the ball,'' Army coach Jeff Monken said. ''The ball will exchange hands and we've got to take care of it. I'm sure they're going to emphasize the same thing.''


That's a certainty - especially after how the Blue Devils' last game went.


Duke had six turnovers in a 34-20 loss to Virginia , including a fumble that was recovered for the game-sealing touchdown and five interceptions - with four of them coming in a 20-minute stretch of the first half. The Blue Devils haven't had fewer than three turnovers in any home game.


They'll have to overcome those self-inflicted wounds if they're going to turn the season around and reach their fifth straight bowl game.


Yet Cutcliffe insists the team has not - and will not - fracture.


''They know who the program is. They know what the program's about. That will never falter,'' Cutcliffe said. ''That's not going to change. We've said it for years that you don't ever run from it, you run to it - meaning challenges, problems, issues. ... Wherever you stumble, that's where your hidden treasure is buried. You just look for it.''


---


Some things to know about the Army-Duke game:


ARMY'S GROUND GAME: The Black Knights once again lead the nation in rushing - as they did in 2011 and '12 - averaging nearly 375 yards with their trademark triple-option offensive system. Their three starters in the backfield are sophomores and RB Andy Davidson leads the way with a 103-yard average and six touchdowns. ''Running the ball is one thing,'' Monken said, ''but the bottom line is you have to score points.''


GOOD KNIGHT ON D: Not to be outdone, Army's defense ranks 10th nationally, allowing 264 yards, and is ninth against the run, giving up 87.5 yards per game. ''Everybody wants to talk about their offense, but their defense causes you a lot of problems with their configuration,'' Cutcliffe said.


DUKE'S PRESSURE: The Blue Devils join a pair of top 10 teams - No. 1 Alabama and No. 6 Houston - with at least three sacks in every game this season. That streak might be in jeopardy this week because the run-first Black Knights have only thrown 29 passes all year.


FINISH STRONG: Army was unscored upon in the fourth quarters of its first three games, before blowing a 20-6 lead in the fourth quarter against Buffalo two weeks ago. The Blue Devils have been outscored 27-23 in their fourth quarters.

 

[CNOTES]

Auburn, Mississippi St trying to make move in SEC West
October 7, 2016


STARKVILLE, Miss. (AP) The last time Auburn played a football game at Mississippi State was 2014 when the Tigers were ranked No. 2 in the nation and the Bulldogs were No. 3. Both teams were undefeated and it was arguably the biggest home game in Mississippi State's history.


The stakes aren't as high this Saturday.


Auburn (3-2, 1-1 Southeastern Conference) and Mississippi State (2-2, 1-1) will both be unranked when they meet at Davis-Wade Stadium. The two teams have had some encouraging moments this season, but both are still trying to prove they can be a real factor in the SEC's Western Division race.


''It is going to be a good test,'' Auburn coach Gus Malzahn said.


Auburn has won two games in a row, including last week's 58-7 victory over Louisiana-Monroe. The Tigers have also been competitive in losses to nationally-ranked Clemson and Texas A&M.


Mississippi State - which has won three of its last four against Auburn, including the 2014 game - hasn't played since Sept. 25 when it beat UMass 47-35 .


Sophomore quarterback Nick Fitzgerald leads the Bulldogs with 603 yards passing and 329 yards rushing this season. He had 305 yards passing and 110 yards rushing in the UMass win, making him just the third quarterback in the country this season to have a 300/100 game.


Fitzgerald said he's been impressed with Auburn's defense, which is giving up just 16.4 points per game this season despite playing three nationally-ranked opponents.


''They're definitely a really solid SEC defense,'' Fitzgerald said. ''Really strong up the middle with the defensive line and linebackers. We're going to have to work hard. When we're running we're going to have to move some bodies.''


-----


A few more things to watch when Mississippi State hosts Auburn on Saturday:


HELPING FITZGERALD: Most of Mississippi State's offense has run through Fitzgerald, who leads the team in passing and running. The sophomore could use some help against the Tigers. The most likely candidates are receivers Fred Ross and Donald Gray, along with running backs Brandon Holloway and Ashton Shumpert.


LEVELING UP: Tigers quarterback Sean White, who made his starting debut against Mississippi State last season, has thrown all five of his touchdown passes against two Sun Belt Conference defenses. In fact, Auburn produced two of its top four performances in total yards in those games against Arkansas State and Louisiana-Monroe while totaling three touchdowns in the other three games. White is averaging just 166 passing yards against the three Power 5 conference defenses he has faced.


IMPORTANT OCTOBER: Mississippi State has been to a bowl game for six straight seasons, which is a school record. The month of October will likely go a long way toward determining whether the Bulldogs can push the streak to seven. Mississippi State's next four games are winnable ones against Auburn, BYU, Kentucky and Samford. After that, the Bulldogs face four teams that are currently in the national rankings - Alabama, Texas A&M, Arkansas and Mississippi.


STRENGTH ON STRENGTH: Auburn leads the SEC with 269 yards rushing per game. The Tigers will go up against a Mississippi State defense that's solid against the run, giving up just 110.8 yards per game.


RED ZONE TROUBLES: Auburn managed to beat LSU with six field goals, but that also illustrates the Tigers' troubles in the red zone. They've scored touchdowns on just 11 of 27 trips inside the opponents' 20-yard line, a problem that plagued them against the Bulldogs last season.

 

[CNOTES]

Irish look for more improvement on D against NC State
October 7, 2016


RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) Notre Dame's defense might have figured a few things out, just in time for a different kind of test - an efficient North Carolina State offense in a possible downpour.


Notre Dame (2-3) visits the Wolfpack (3-1) on Saturday in a game that could be affected by the threat of severe weather from Hurricane Matthew .


''We'll deal with the elements,'' coach Brian Kelly said, ''just like North Carolina State will.''


Maybe, but that hardly seems like the recipe for success for a defense that struggled earlier this season. Those problems culminated in a 38-35 loss to Duke that cost defensive coordinator Brian VanGorder his job.


Kelly promoted analyst Greg Hudson to replace him and took a more hands-on role on that side of the ball, and after a wacky start last week against Syracuse's ultra-fast-paced offense, they settled down and held the Orange to seven points in the second half of a 50-33 victory.


''They're doing less, and they're doing it better,'' N.C. State coach Dave Doeren said.


The Fighting Irish showed improvement that didn't necessarily translate to the stat sheet: Notre Dame still ranks 100th or worse nationally in three of the four major stat categories. They're 106th in total defense and 100th in scoring defense.


Now comes a test from an N.C. State offense that has hung at least 30 points on every opponent it's faced, behind quarterback Ryan Finley - a Boise State transfer who completes nearly 73 percent of his passes and has yet to throw an interception.


New N.C. State offensive coordinator Eli Drinkwitz says he wants his unit to be even more efficient and cited a metric - points per possession - that basketball coaches often rely upon.


''All that other stuff really doesn't matter,'' Drinkwitz said. ''How many times you get the football and how many times you get points on the scoreboard. That's where we've got to be better and continue to improve.''


---


Some things to know about the Notre Dame-NC State game:


MATTHEW'S MARCH: Both teams are keeping an eye on the weather maps , with Matthew churning his way up the East Coast. Kelly says his team has made contingency plans in case the game is pushed back until Sunday afternoon, and the league has been in contact with the programs in case the weather is too severe. ''Planes, trains, automobiles, all the logistics have been taken care of,'' Kelly said.


IRISH OFFENSE: There's nothing wrong with the Notre Dame offense. The Fighting Irish have not been held to fewer than 28 points and they've surpassed 500 total yards in each of their last two games, both against ACC opponents. That will pose some challenges for an N.C. State defense that has been strong against the run - holding two opponents to fewer than 100 yards rushing - but at times vulnerable through the air. ''They're going to make some plays. I mean, they're good,'' Doeren said. ''We're just going to have to get them on the ground and line up and play again and try to get some turnovers.''


PENALTY PROBLEM: N.C. State was called for 13 penalties - its most since 2012 - and assessed 144 penalty yards in a 33-16 win over Wake Forest. The Wolfpack won't have S Shawn Boone for the first half after he was ejected for targeting, and they know they have to clean things up with the Irish coming in.


CARTER-FINLEY'S 50th: This game comes on the 50th anniversary of the day Carter-Finley Stadium opened, and the Wolfpack are marking the occasion by breaking out throwback uniforms with the ''diamond'' logo on the helmets. Doeren calls it ''a pretty neat thing for our fanbase.''

 

[CNOTES]

Kentucky, Vanderbilt each look to get to 3-3 on the season
October 7, 2016


LEXINGTON, Ky. (AP) Kentucky looks to get even on many fronts against Vanderbilt.


The Wildcats (2-3, 1-2 Southeastern Conference) get another crack at reaching .500 and aim to finish the deal on Saturday against the Commodores (2-3, 0-2 SEC) after missing opportunities to do so last November in Nashville. That 21-17 loss - in which Vanderbilt made two goal-line defensive stands and scored a trick-play touchdown - was one of six defeats in seven contests down the stretch that cost Kentucky a chance to become bowl eligible.


Wildcats coach Mark Stoops acknowledged Monday that the defeat would ''bother'' him for the rest of his life but quickly added that this is a new season. Getting halfway toward a postseason berth could help lessen some bad memories.


''That game last year really hurt the team a lot,'' Kentucky defensive end/linebacker Denzil Ware said. ''We really want this win.''


Meanwhile, Vanderbilt seeks its first SEC win.


The Commodores had their chances last week against then-No. 23 Florida, outgaining the Gators 265-236. But two turnovers and two sacks culminated in a 13-6 loss, their latest in a recent string of close defeats against Florida.


Narrow losses have been the story for Vandy in SEC play this season, a trend the Commodores hope to end against Kentucky and provide their first league road win since 2013.


''It just lets us know that we're there,'' Vanderbilt coach Derek Mason said of his team, which has lost by nine combined points. ''This team hasn't been jaded at all. ... I believe that this group fully expects to play well this weekend.''


---


Other things to watch as Vanderbilt and Kentucky look to get into the win column:


DEFENSIVE PROGRESS: Despite yielding 488 yards in last week's 34-6 loss at No. 1 Alabama, Kentucky took heart in holding the Crimson Tide to a season-low in points (a fumble was returned for one score) and keeping an opponent below 500 yards for a second straight game. Though the Wildcats still rank last in the SEC at 468 yards allowed per game, defensive coordinator D.J. Eliot saw hope in making the nation's top team work harder than expected. ''The more pressure situations you can put them in, the better they'll perform,'' he said.


RUNNING BACK MATCHUP: The game pits two of the SEC's top-five rushers in Vanderbilt junior Ralph Webb - whose 582 yards lead the conference - and Kentucky's Stanley ''Boom'' Williams (486). Both backs broke 100 yards last year in Nashville and figure to play key roles again on Saturday. Webb rushed for 110 yards against Florida, while Williams seeks to rebound from running nine times for just 22 yards at Alabama.


BALL PROTECTION: Kentucky's minus-7 turnover margin ranks last in the SEC and last week's loss typified the Wildcats struggles. Quarterback Stephen Johnson fumbled three times while being sacked and lost two of them, with Alabama returning one 55 yards for a touchdown. Stoops believes that Johnson ''will bounce back and put ball-security issues behind him,'' which is necessary against a Vandy squad that's plus-3 with six fumble recoveries.


VISORED UP: Vanderbilt quarterback Kyle Shurmur will wear a shield on his helmet after being poked in the right eye in last week's loss to Florida. Shurmur, whose eye remained red Tuesday, tried to argue his way back onto the field against the Gators. Shurmur has thrown for 696 yards with three TDs and three interceptions this season. ''His sight is good, just for protective purposes we're putting a shield on him just so it doesn't happen again,'' Mason said.

 

[CNOTES]

Best Bets - Week 6
October 7, 2016


Now that the LSU/Florida game this week has been cancelled because of Hurricane Matthew, voiding my best bet on Florida +3, it was time to go back to the drawing board for this week's college football card. There were a few other games featuring ranked teams that narrowly missed out on being on that first piece, so I'm turning to one of those games that comes from the Pac-12 for my alternate best bet this week.


Sportsbook.ag Odds: #5 Washington (-10) vs. Oregon (+10); Total set at 69


Washington jumped up to #5 in the polls this week thanks to their dominating performance over Stanford in primetime last week and now the Huskies are in the new role of maintaining that top tier spot the rest of the way. There is no denying how good Washington looked in dismantling Stanford, but that game was also at home and was built up to be a “game of the year” type contest by Washington all summer and leading up to it. For as good as they are, Washington isn't a program that's used to being the top dog and this week they've got to defend that status in a very tough place to play that's been a house of horrors for them this century.


Oregon isn't the powerhouse this year that we've seen in recent years and are coming off three straight defeats, the last of which was a 18-point defeat as a small favorite against the other school from the state of Washington. In fact, Oregon has yet to cash a spread on the closing number (0-4-1 ATS) and when you combine that with how good Washington has looked, it's no wonder that most of the early money has come Washington's way, moving the line up from it's opener of -8.


However, Eugene, Oregon is always a tough place to come in and get a win for a visiting team and while Oregon might not be as good as we've seen in the past, this team can still put up points with the best of them and that's always a plus for any underdog in college football betting. The Ducks are also 11-0-1 ATS in their last 12 games against the Huskies and that includes a 6-0-1 ATS run at home. Autzen Stadium truly has been a house of horrors for this Washington program for a number of years, and even though many of the players weren't there for the bulk of those defeats, that type of domination still weighs on a program, especially when they are 0-10 SU at any venue against Oregon the past 10 years.


Furthermore, when you think about all the hype and emotion that went into Washington's big win over Stanford this week, it's tough to see the Huskies being anywhere near as sharp in this spot. Washington would love to get revenge for a 6-point home loss as -2.5 point favorites vs the Ducks last year – and more than likely will win this game outright – but asking them to go on the road in a place they've never done well in and win by double digits is a lot to ask.


We've seen before that when people get down on Oregon because of their inability to stop the opposition (like giving up 51 @ Washington State last week) and their offense having execution problems at times. Going up against this Washington defense will be the toughest test to date for Oregon, but with 32 or more points in all five of their games this year, don't sleep on the Ducks this week.


This is only the second true road game for the Huskies and their first one was a seven-point OT win @ Arizona two weeks ago as 16-point favorites. This game could end up playing out a lot like that contest did and while Washington should win this game, they won't cover the spread.


Take Oregon +10

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday's SEC Action
October 7, 2016


**Tennessee at Texas A&M**


-- Tennessee is poised to take its 11-game winning streak into College Station to face unbeaten Texas A&M. As of early Friday afternoon, most betting shops were listing the Aggies as seven-point favorites with a total of 57 points. The Volunteers were +230 on the money line (risk $100 to win $230).


-- With Thursday’s developments – LSU at Florida being postponed with the possibility that the game might not be played at all – coming about, Tennessee is under even more pressure to win. According to a response from the SEC to a question posed by Kyle Tucker of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, if Tennessee loses twice in SEC play (it has to face top-ranked Alabama next week) and Florida win its remaining conference games, the Gators would win the East instead of the Vols. UF would have a 6-1 SEC record, while UT would go 6-2 (assuming it wins the remaining SEC games after losses to A&M and Alabama). Therefore, UF’s “best winning percentage” would rule the day. This would be a gross injustice to Tennessee if this scenario plays out, but it appears to be a possibility at this time. Therefore, the best way to avoid it is to capture a win at Kyle Field this weekend.


-- The extra pressure from the aforementioned scenario could be just what the doctor ordered for a Tennessee squad that has been forced to overcome four double-digit deficits on its way to winning its first five games. UT trailed by 11 in its season opener, fell behind 14-0 in Week 2, was in a one-possession game with Ohio in the fourth quarter, was down 21-0 at home to a UF team that had beaten it in 11 straight meetings and then dealt with all sorts of obstacles in Athens last weekend. The Vols needed 20 yards of gift-wrapped penalties from Georgia and a Hail Mary pass on the game’s final play to get out of Sanford Stadium with a victory last weekend.


-- UGA jumped on UT 17-0 in the first half, but Butch Jones’s team trimmed to deficit to 17-7 on a four-yard touchdown run by Josh Dobbs with 12 ticks remaining in the second quarter. Then with 10:31 left in the third, Dobbs hooked up with Jalen Hurd on a 19-yard scoring strike. UGA would go back ahead by double digits on a 50-yard TD pass from Jacob Eason to Isaac Nauta. Then on the opening play of the final stanza, Dobbs found Alvin Kamara for a 16-yard TD pass. With 2:56 remaining, the Vols took their first lead when Derek Barnett hit Eason in the end zone and caused a fumble that was recovered by Corey Vereen for a TD. Then with 10 seconds left, Eason made up for his critical mistake by hitting Riley Ridley with a dart for an incredible 47-yard TD pass. However, the ensuing celebration prompted a 15-yard unsportsmanlike conduct penalty. Then on the kickoff, UGA gave UT another five yards by being offside. This left the Vols with one play and Dobbs’s 43-yard pass to the end zone was caught by Jauan Jennings for the game-winning score.


-- Dobbs has completed 77-of-133 passes (57.9%) for 1,035 yards with a 13/6 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He has also rushed for 267 yards and five TDs with a 4.1 yards-per-carry average. Hurd has rushed for a team-best 407 yards and two TDs with a 4.0 YPC average. Josh Malone has been Dobbs’s favorite target, hauling in 15 receptions for 310 yards and five TDs. Jennings has 12 catches for 213 yards and three TDs.


-- Texas A&M (5-0 straight up, 4-1 against the spread) went to Columbia last week without two elite WRs, Ricky Seals-Jones and Speedy Noil, and perhaps the best player in the nation in junior DE Myles Garrett. This trio was left behind to get treatment and rest up for this week’s showdown against the Vols. The Aggies won a 24-13 decision at South Carolina, but they never threatened to cover the number as 19.5-point road ‘chalk.’ The 37 combined points fell ‘under’ the 50.5-point total. Trayveon Williams rushed for 98 yards and one TD on 14 carries, while Trevor Knight rushed for 84 yards and one score on 12 attempts. Knight completed 23-of-40 passes for 206 yards with zero TD passes and one interception. Christian Kirk had 12 receptions for 61 yards, while Jeremy Tabuyo had four catches for 89 yards.


-- Texas A&M is 2-0 both SU and ATS at home this year, beating UCLA (31-24 in overtime) and Prairie View A&M (67-0). The Aggies have additional victories at Auburn (29-16) and vs. Arkansas (45-24 in Arlington at Jerry World).


-- Knight has connected on 98-of-181 throws (54.1%) for 1,261 yards with a 7/3 TD-INT ratio. The grad transfer from Oklahoma has rushed for 392 yards and six TDs with a 7.8 YPC average. Williams has run for a team-high 487 yards and four TDs with an eye-popping 9.0 YPC average. Reynolds has 20 receptions for 399 yards and three TDs, while Kirk has 33 catches for 272 yards and three TDs.


-- Tennessee (5-0 SU, 2-3 ATS) has wins vs. Appalachian St. (20-13 in overtime), vs. Va. Tech (45-24 in Bristol), vs. Ohio (28-19), vs. Florida (38-28) and at Georgia (34-31). The Vols failed to cover the spread last week in Athens as 3.5-point road favorites. The 65 combined points went ‘over’ on Eason’s TD pass with 10 seconds left.


-- Tennessee has been a road underdog nine times on Jones’s watch, going 4-5 ATS. Meanwhile, Texas A&M is 11-14 ATS in 25 games as a road favorite during Sumlin’s five-year tenure.


-- Texas A&M is ranked 12th in the nation in scoring defense, giving up only 15.4 points per game. This unit is led by Garrett, who has 11 tackles, five tackles for loss, three sacks and six QB hurries in four games. Senior LB Shaan Washington has a team-high 38 tackles, 4.5 TFL’s, two sacks, two forced fumbles, four QB hurries and five passes broken up.


-- Tennessee will be without two of its best defensive players in LB Darrin Kirkland and LB Jalen Reeves-Maybin. Kirkland had 66 tackles and three sacks last season, while Reeves-Maybin recorded a team-best 105 tackles, six sacks, eight TFL’s, four passes broken up and three QB hurries. Also, according to a Thursday night report from 247Sports, Hurd is “unlikely to play” due to an undisclosed injury. This will mean more touches for Kamara, who has rushed for 158 yards on the season. Kamara has more speed than Hurd but less size.


-- The ‘under’ is 3-1-1 overall for the Aggies, going 1-0-1 in their two home games at Kyle Field. They have seen their games average combined scores of 54.6 PPG.


-- The ‘over’ is 3-2 overall for Tennessee with its games averaging combined scores of 56.0 PPG.


-- This is the first time these teams have met since A&M joined the SEC in 2012. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. Eastern on CBS.


**Alabama at Arkansas**


-- As of early Friday afternoon, most books had Alabama (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) listed as a 14-point favorite with a total of 49. The Razorbacks were +450 on the money line.


-- Nick Saban’s team has been a road favorite 36 times during his 10-year tenure, compiling a 21-15 spread record.


-- Alabama improved to 2-0 in SEC play with last week’s 34-6 win over Kentucky as a 37-point home ‘chalk.’ The 40 combined points fell ‘under’ the 54.5-point tally. True freshman QB Jalen Hurts hit 20-of-33 passes for 262 yards and two TDs without an interception. Joshua Jacobs, another true freshman, ran for a team-best 100 yards and one TD on 16 carries. Calvin Ridley produced 11 receptions for 174 yards and two TDs.


-- Hurts won the starting job with his solid play in a 52-6 season-opening win over Southern Cal at Jerry World in Arlington, TX. He left no doubt that he is the present and the future QB in Tuscaloosa when he sparked his team from a 24-3 deficit to an eventual 48-43 win at Ole Miss in Week 3. Hurts led the Crimson Tide with 146 rushing yards against the Rebels. He has completed 84-of-135 passes for 989 yards with a 7/1 TD-INT ratio. Hurts has run for 276 yards and three TDs with a 5.1 YPC average.


-- Ridley might be the nation’s top WR. The true sophomore has hauled in 31 receptions for 398 yards and three TDs. He also has a rushing score to his credit. ArDarius Stewart was off to a flying start this year until sprained his knee in the second quarter of the win at Ole Miss. He has missed back-to-back games but is ‘probable’ to return against the Hogs. Stewart had four catches for 113 yards and two TDs in the blowout of USC. Then in a 38-10 win over Western Ky. in Week 2, he had five catches for 90 yards and one TD. O.J. Howard is one of the top tight ends in the country. He has 12 catches for 165 yards and one TD.


-- Damien Harris didn’t get many touches last week against UK because he was nursing an injury sustained in a 48-0 win over Kent St. Nevertheless, the true sophomore RB has rushed for a team-high 356 yards and one TD with a 8.5 YPC average. Jacobs has run for 250 yards and three TDs while averaging 7.4 YPC.


-- Alabama ranks eighth in the nation in total defense, third in rush defense and ninth in scoring (13.0 PPG). This stop unit is led by senior LB Rueben Foster, who has 35 tackles, 1.5 TFL’s, 0.5 sacks and a pair of QB hurries. Senior DE Jonathan Allen, who was a third-team All-American selection in 2015, has 22 tackles, four sacks, four QB hurries, one blocked kick and a 75-yard fumble return for a TD. Senior safety Eddie Jackson has 14 tackles. 1.5 TFL’s, two PBU and has scored TDs on a 55-yard pick-six and a punt return.


-- Arkansas (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) has wins vs. Louisiana Tech (21-20), at TCU (41-38 in double overtime), vs. Texas State (42-3) and vs. Alcorn State (52-10 in Little Rock). The Razorbacks took their only defeat against Texas A&M by a 45-24 count at Jerry World. However, the final score was extremely misleading. Bret Bielema’s bunch was stopped on a fourth-and-goal play when the game was tied at 17-17 late in the third quarter.


-- Arkansas bounced back from the loss to A&M to spank Alcorn St., but it failed to hook up its backers as a 50.5-point favorite. Austin Allen completed 13-of-18 passes for 206 yards and three TDs without an interception. Devwah Whaley rushed for a team-high 135 yards and one TD on just nine carries, while Rawleigh Williams ran for 126 yards on 13 attempts. Jared Cornelius had four catches for 106 yards and two TDs. Junior CB Henre Toliver had a 70-yard pick-six.


-- Allen has been outstanding in his first five starts since taking over the vacant starting QB position left behind by his older brother Brandon, who is now with the Jacksonville Jaguars. He took a beating from Texas A&M's pass rush but continued to play well the entire game. Allen has connected on 94-of-139 passes (67.6%) for 1,232 yards with a 12/2 TD-INT ratio. Williams has rushed for 559 yards and four TDs while averaging 5.5 YPC. Whaley has run for 220 yards and one TD with a 6.7 YPC average.


-- Arkansas has a deep and talent group of WRs led by Keon Hatcher and Drew Morgan. Hatcher missed the Alcorn State game nursing a hamstring injury, but he was upgraded to ‘probable’ after practicing on Wednesday. Morgan has 28 receptions for 301 yards and one TD, while Hatcher has 14 grabs for 281 yards and three TDs. Jared Cornelius has 14 catches for 262 yards and four TDs, while TE Jeremy Sprinkle has caught 15 balls for 157 yards and three TDs. Sprinkle’s TD catch on a fourth-down play late in the fourth quarter lifted the Hogs past Louisana Tech in the opener.


-- Arkansas is 4-4 ATS with a pair of outright victories in eight games as a home underdog on Bielema’s watch. This is just the second time during Bielema’s tenure that the Hogs have been double-digit home ‘dogs. They took the cash in 2013 in a 45-33 loss to Texas A&M as 13.5-point puppies.


-- The ‘under’ is 3-2 overall for the Hogs, cashing in all three of their home outings. Their games have averaged combined scores of 59.2 PPG.


-- The ‘under’ is 3-2 overall for ‘Bama after cashing in back-to-back games. The ‘over’ hit in its lone previous road assignment at Ole Miss.


-- ESPN will have the telecast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.


**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**


-- Georgia has lost three in a row to South Carolina at Williams-Brice Stadium. This game has been postponed to Sunday with the time slot tentatively set for 2:30 p.m. Eastern. The game was off the board early Friday afternoon, but the Bulldogs were favored by seven with a total of 40.5 for most of the week.


-- Auburn is a 2.5-point favorite at Mississippi State. The Bulldogs have had two weeks to prep for the Tigers, who are off a 58-7 home win over ULM. Dan Mullen’s team has won back-to-back games over AU and three of the last four. Most important for our purposes, MSU is 4-0 ATS in the last four encounters with Auburn. The ‘under’ is also on a 4-0 run in this rivalry and has hit in eight of the last 10.


-- Kentucky is a 3.5-point home favorite against Vanderbilt. UK is 8-5 ATS as a home favorite since Mark Stoops took over in 2013. Meanwhile, the Commodores are 7-5 ATS in 12 games as a road underdog on Derek Mason’s watch. Obviously, both coaches are in dire need of a win in terms of their job security.


-- With Cincinnati starting QB Hayden Moore ‘doubtful’ at UConn due to an ankle injury, Tommy Tuberville is going to give the starting nod to redshirt freshman Ross Trail. Gunner Kiel, the senior who left the Bearcats before last year’s bowl game and didn’t participate in spring practice due to personal reasons, was once the No. 1 ranked recruit in the nation. He was set to go to LSU, only to change his mind and register for classes at Notre Dame during the spring of his senior year of high school. Kiel never played for the Fighting Irish and eventually landed at Cincy. He threw 14 TD passes in his first four games with the Bearcats, but his hiatus from the team (understandably) caused him to fall out of favor with Tuberville. How about this quote from Tubs earlier this week: “I’m a Gunnier Kiel fan, but we play the best guy, that knows the offense, that’s ready to play.” When Tubs was asked if Kiel doesn’t know the offense, he replied, “He knows it, he’s getting better at it. He missed spring ball. Zach [Taylor, the first-year offensive coordinator] doesn’t know Gunner Kiel. He treats them all the same. It’s his offense. It’s football. Next best guy goes in. Gunner has had a good career here. Not great. He has thrown a lot of interceptions.” Damn!


-- Pitt is 1-6 ATS as a home favorite since Pat Narduzzi took over in 2015. The Panthers, who have seen the ‘over’ hit in each of their last four games, are 6.5-point home ‘chalk’ vs. Georgia Tech.


-- Washington State owns a 15-6 spread record in 21 games as a road underdog on Mike Leach’s watch. The Cougars are 7.5-point ‘dogs at Stanford.

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday, October 8


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MIAMI OHIO (0 - 5) at AKRON (3 - 2) - 10/8/2016, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
AKRON is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


KENT ST (1 - 4) at BUFFALO (1 - 3) - 10/8/2016, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


N ILLINOIS (1 - 4) at W MICHIGAN (5 - 0) - 10/8/2016, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 66-41 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 66-41 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BYU (2 - 3) at MICHIGAN ST (2 - 2) - 10/8/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 31-53 ATS (-27.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


GEORGIA TECH (3 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (3 - 2) - 10/8/2016, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MARYLAND (4 - 0) at PENN ST (3 - 2) - 10/8/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 2-0 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 1-1 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IOWA ST (1 - 4) at OKLAHOMA ST (3 - 2) - 10/8/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
OKLAHOMA ST is 82-53 ATS (+23.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CINCINNATI (3 - 2) at CONNECTICUT (2 - 3) - 10/8/2016, 11:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TCU (3 - 2) at KANSAS (1 - 3) - 10/8/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
KANSAS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 80-113 ATS (-44.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 73-110 ATS (-48.0 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 47-80 ATS (-41.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 50-76 ATS (-33.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARMY (3 - 1) at DUKE (2 - 3) - 10/8/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARMY is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
ARMY is 12-34 ATS (-25.4 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
ARMY is 74-101 ATS (-37.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
DUKE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 1-0 against the spread versus ARMY over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 1-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SYRACUSE (2 - 3) at WAKE FOREST (4 - 1) - 10/8/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 2-0 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 2-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEXAS TECH (3 - 1) at KANSAS ST (2 - 2) - 10/8/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IOWA (3 - 2) at MINNESOTA (3 - 1) - 10/8/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-1 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


INDIANA (3 - 1) at OHIO ST (4 - 0) - 10/8/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 175-126 ATS (+36.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 175-126 ATS (+36.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 145-107 ATS (+27.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 112-80 ATS (+24.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 159-112 ATS (+35.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 131-100 ATS (+21.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OHIO ST is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 87-58 ATS (+23.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
OHIO ST is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-0 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PURDUE (2 - 2) at ILLINOIS (1 - 3) - 10/8/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 119-154 ATS (-50.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 119-154 ATS (-50.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 59-85 ATS (-34.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 59-85 ATS (-34.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 59-83 ATS (-32.3 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 77-118 ATS (-52.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


VIRGINIA TECH (3 - 1) at N CAROLINA (4 - 1) - 10/8/2016, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NOTRE DAME (2 - 3) at NC STATE (3 - 1) - 10/8/2016, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) in October games since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 31-11 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BOWLING GREEN (1 - 4) at OHIO U (3 - 2) - 10/8/2016, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 2-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 2-0 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TOLEDO (3 - 1) at E MICHIGAN (4 - 1) - 10/8/2016, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 74-48 ATS (+21.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TOLEDO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 2-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HOUSTON (5 - 0) at NAVY (3 - 1) - 10/8/2016, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 154-115 ATS (+27.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 154-115 ATS (+27.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 89-55 ATS (+28.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 141-105 ATS (+25.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 100-65 ATS (+28.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


E CAROLINA (2 - 3) at S FLORIDA (4 - 1) - 10/8/2016, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-1 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OKLAHOMA (2 - 2) vs. TEXAS (2 - 2) - 10/8/2016, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FLORIDA ST (3 - 2) at MIAMI (4 - 0) - 10/8/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEXAS ST (2 - 2) at GEORGIA ST (0 - 4) - 10/8/2016, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA ST is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MASSACHUSETTS (1 - 4) at OLD DOMINION (3 - 2) - 10/8/2016, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLD DOMINION is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CHARLOTTE (1 - 4) at FLA ATLANTIC (1 - 4) - 10/8/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 0-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UCLA (3 - 2) at ARIZONA ST (4 - 1) - 10/8/2016, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 76-47 ATS (+24.3 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 1-1 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BALL ST (3 - 2) at C MICHIGAN (3 - 2) - 10/8/2016, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 2-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


AIR FORCE (4 - 0) at WYOMING (3 - 2) - 10/8/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 2-0 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


GEORGIA (3 - 2) at S CAROLINA (2 - 3) - 10/8/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TENNESSEE (5 - 0) at TEXAS A&M (5 - 0) - 10/8/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
TEXAS A&M is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 61-86 ATS (-33.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
TEXAS A&M is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


VANDERBILT (2 - 3) at KENTUCKY (2 - 3) - 10/8/2016, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
VANDERBILT is 2-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-1 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


AUBURN (3 - 2) at MISSISSIPPI ST (2 - 2) - 10/8/2016, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FRESNO ST (1 - 4) at NEVADA (2 - 3) - 10/8/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 1-1 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 1-1 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WASHINGTON (5 - 0) at OREGON (2 - 3) - 10/8/2016, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
OREGON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 57-33 ATS (+20.7 Units) in October games since 1992.
OREGON is 62-38 ATS (+20.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


COLORADO (4 - 1) at USC (2 - 3) - 10/8/2016, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 33-65 ATS (-38.5 Units) in October games since 1992.
COLORADO is 37-71 ATS (-41.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
USC is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 1-1 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MICHIGAN (5 - 0) at RUTGERS (2 - 3) - 10/8/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 50-73 ATS (-30.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
RUTGERS is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MARSHALL (1 - 3) at NORTH TEXAS (2 - 3) - 10/8/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 39-64 ATS (-31.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 39-64 ATS (-31.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
NORTH TEXAS is 1-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 1-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SOUTHERN MISS (4 - 1) at UTSA (1 - 3) - 10/8/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN MISS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-0 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
UTSA is 1-1 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LSU (3 - 2) at FLORIDA (4 - 1) - 10/8/2016, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IDAHO (2 - 3) at LA MONROE (1 - 3) - 10/8/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 86-115 ATS (-40.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
IDAHO is 86-115 ATS (-40.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
IDAHO is 45-73 ATS (-35.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
IDAHO is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
IDAHO is 56-88 ATS (-40.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
LA MONROE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO is 2-0 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 1-1 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FLA INTERNATIONAL (1 - 4) at UTEP (1 - 4) - 10/8/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ALABAMA (5 - 0) at ARKANSAS (4 - 1) - 10/8/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARIZONA (2 - 3) at UTAH (4 - 1) - 10/8/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 78-116 ATS (-49.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
UTAH is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 2-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UNLV (2 - 3) at SAN DIEGO ST (3 - 1) - 10/8/2016, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 79-115 ATS (-47.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
UNLV is 52-76 ATS (-31.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WASHINGTON ST (2 - 2) at STANFORD (3 - 1) - 10/8/2016, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
STANFORD is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CALIFORNIA (3 - 2) at OREGON ST (1 - 3) - 10/8/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 13-33 ATS (-23.3 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
OREGON ST is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 2-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UTAH ST (2 - 3) at COLORADO ST (2 - 3) - 10/8/2016, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 1-1 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HAWAII (2 - 3) at SAN JOSE ST (1 - 4) - 10/8/2016, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
SAN JOSE ST is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
SAN JOSE ST is 53-31 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE ST is 1-1 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF


Week 6


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Saturday, October 8


11:30 AM
CINCINNATI vs. CONNECTICUT
Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Connecticut is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Connecticut's last 11 games


12:00 PM
AUBURN vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Auburn's last 11 games
Auburn is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Mississippi State is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Auburn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 6 games when playing Auburn


12:00 PM
TCU vs. KANSAS
TCU is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas's last 7 games
Kansas is 1-18 SU in its last 19 games


12:00 PM
MARYLAND vs. PENN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Maryland's last 5 games on the road
Maryland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Penn State is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State's last 5 games


12:00 PM
OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS
Oklahoma is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oklahoma's last 12 games
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma


12:00 PM
IOWA vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Iowa is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Iowa
Minnesota is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Iowa


12:00 PM
LSU vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LSU's last 9 games when playing on the road against Florida
LSU is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games when playing LSU
Florida is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing LSU


12:00 PM
SOUTHERN MISS vs. UTSA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Southern Miss's last 10 games
Southern Miss is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
UTSA is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
UTSA is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games


12:00 PM
EAST CAROLINA vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
East Carolina is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
East Carolina is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
South Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Florida's last 6 games


12:30 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. PITTSBURGH
Georgia Tech is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home


2:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. OHIO
Bowling Green is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Bowling Green's last 10 games
Ohio is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Bowling Green
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio's last 5 games when playing at home against Bowling Green


3:00 PM
TOLEDO vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toledo's last 5 games when playing Eastern Michigan
Toledo is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games
Eastern Michigan is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toledo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games when playing Toledo


3:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. NAVY
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 12 games
Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Navy's last 5 games at home


3:00 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. AKRON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 8 games when playing Akron
Miami (Ohio) is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Akron
Akron is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Akron's last 12 games at home


3:30 PM
TEXAS STATE vs. GEORGIA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas State's last 5 games
Texas State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Georgia State's last 10 games
Georgia State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games


3:30 PM
BYU vs. MICHIGAN STATE
BYU is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of BYU's last 9 games on the road
Michigan State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
Michigan State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home


3:30 PM
ARMY vs. DUKE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Army's last 5 games on the road
Duke is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games


3:30 PM
INDIANA vs. OHIO STATE
Indiana is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Ohio State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana


3:30 PM
KENT STATE vs. BUFFALO
Kent State is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
Kent State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Buffalo is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games


3:30 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. NORTH CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Virginia Tech's last 9 games when playing North Carolina
North Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech
North Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech


3:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Charlotte is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games
Charlotte is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Florida Atlantic is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Florida Atlantic is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games


3:30 PM
IOWA STATE vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
Iowa State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State
Iowa State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oklahoma State's last 12 games


3:30 PM
AIR FORCE vs. WYOMING
Air Force is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Wyoming
Air Force is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Wyoming
Wyoming is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Wyoming is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Air Force


3:30 PM
PURDUE vs. ILLINOIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Purdue's last 6 games
Purdue is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games
Illinois is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Purdue
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois's last 6 games when playing at home against Purdue


3:30 PM
BALL STATE vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Ball State's last 15 games
Ball State is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
Central Michigan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 5 games when playing Ball State


TBA
NOTRE DAME vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Notre Dame is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Notre Dame is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
North Carolina State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of North Carolina State's last 7 games


TBA
TENNESSEE vs. TEXAS A&M
Tennessee is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Texas A&M is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


4:00 PM
COLORADO vs. SOUTHERN CAL
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 9 games
Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Southern Cal
Southern Cal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Cal's last 6 games


4:00 PM
VANDERBILT vs. KENTUCKY
Vanderbilt is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky
Vanderbilt is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Kentucky is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Vanderbilt
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kentucky's last 8 games at home


4:30 PM
HAWAII vs. SAN JOSE STATE
Hawaii is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing San Jose State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 7 games when playing San Jose State
San Jose State is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Hawaii
San Jose State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Hawaii


6:00 PM
MASSACHUSETTS vs. OLD DOMINION
Massachusetts is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Massachusetts is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Old Dominion is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 6 games at home


6:30 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
Northern Illinois is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
Northern Illinois is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


7:00 PM
MICHIGAN vs. RUTGERS
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Michigan's last 13 games
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Rutgers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Rutgers is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games


7:00 PM
FRESNO STATE vs. NEVADA
Fresno State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Nevada
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Nevada
Nevada is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Nevada's last 17 games at home


7:00 PM
SYRACUSE vs. WAKE FOREST
Syracuse is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Wake Forest's last 23 games at home
Wake Forest is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home


7:00 PM
IDAHO vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
Idaho is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Idaho's last 10 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games


7:00 PM
TEXAS TECH vs. KANSAS STATE
Texas Tech is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Texas Tech's last 18 games
Kansas State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Texas Tech
Kansas State is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Texas Tech


7:00 PM
ALABAMA vs. ARKANSAS
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Arkansas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Alabama
Arkansas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games


7:00 PM
MARSHALL vs. NORTH TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marshall's last 6 games
Marshall is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of North Texas's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games at home


7:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. OREGON
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games
Oregon is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington


7:30 PM
GEORGIA vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Georgia's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Georgia's last 18 games when playing South Carolina
South Carolina is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Georgia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Carolina's last 5 games when playing Georgia


8:00 PM
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. TEXAS EL PASO
Florida International is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Florida International is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas El Paso's last 9 games at home
Texas El Paso is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games


8:00 PM
FLORIDA STATE vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida State's last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games


9:00 PM
CALIFORNIA vs. OREGON STATE
California is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of California's last 7 games
Oregon State is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing California
Oregon State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against California


10:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. UTAH
Arizona is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,on the road
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Utah's last 12 games at home


10:00 PM
UTAH STATE vs. COLORADO STATE
Utah State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Utah State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Colorado State is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State's last 6 games


10:30 PM
UCLA vs. ARIZONA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UCLA's last 6 games when playing Arizona State
UCLA is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Arizona State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against UCLA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona State's last 6 games when playing at home against UCLA


10:30 PM
WASHINGTON STATE vs. STANFORD
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington State's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington State's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Stanford's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington State
Stanford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington State


10:30 PM
UNLV vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
UNLV is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Diego State
UNLV is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego State
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego State's last 6 games

 

[CNOTES]

Sharps are watching these Week 6 college football games very closely


Oklahoma has averaged 39.5 points and 493 total yards per game, but the Sooners have also allowed 35.2 points and 429 total yards per game.


Spread to bet now:


Georgia Tech (+7) at Pittsburgh


The Yellow Jackets opened +8 and have already been bet down to the key number of +7 with some sportsbooks already going down to +6.5. Georgia Tech is taking a step down in class after two losses versus Clemson and Miami Florida. The Yellow Jackets actually held a 361-355 total yard edge last week, including a 267-114 rushing advantage, but suffered from a 3-0 turnover deficit.
Spread to wait on:


Oregon (+8.5) vs. Washington
Pittsburgh is just 1-3-1 ATS this year and they do not the luxury of a bye week to prepare for the triple-option. The road team is also 2-0 SU/ATS in this head-to-head series the past two years. The Panthers won 31-28 at Georgia Tech last year as a 3-point underdog, but they lost at home 56-28 as a 4-point favorite in 2014. Georgia Tech has held 376-200 and 465-198 rushing edges in those past two games.





Oregon opened +8 in most locations and the early money has already pushed this line higher. The public will likely back the road favorite as well, so wait and try to get the key number of +10 or more later this week. Washington looked very strong last Friday night in their 44-6 national TV win versus Stanford, but that victory has now inflated this line and set up a possible letdown spot for the Huskies.


Oregon is down a notch this season and stands just 2-3 SU. However, this line has been drastically over-adjusted based on recent results. In fact, the look-ahead betting line this summer was Oregon -2. These teams played at Oregon two years ago and the Ducks were a 21-point home favorite in a 45-20 win. Oregon's main weakness this season has been a poor rush defense, but the strength of Washington is their passing offense.


Total to watch:


Oklahoma at Texas (74)


This total opened 72 and was quickly bet two points higher. It is understandable as both offenses have been explosive this season, while both defenses have been very suspect. Oklahoma has averaged 39.5 points and 493 total yards per game, but the Sooners have also allowed 35.2 points and 429 total yards per game. Oklahoma's four games have averaged 74.7 total points while going 3-1 Over this season.


Texas has scored at least 41 points or more in three of their four games this year, averaging 41.2 points and 517 total yards per game. However, the Longhorns have also allowed at least 47 points or more in three of their four games, permitting 38.2 points and 428 total yards per game on average. Overall, the Longhorns four games have averaged 79.4 total points while going 3-1 Over this season.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 6

Saturday, October 8


When you're looking for a specific game, use the on-page search and a rotation number.

When Dunkel adds games, I'll post a new reply.


Hawaii @ San Jose St

Game 413-414
October 8, 2016 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hawaii
68.375
San Jose St
75.507
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose St
by 7
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose St
by 3
65 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose St
(-3); Under

Utah State @ Colorado State

Game 411-412
October 8, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah State
77.984
Colorado State
74.607
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah State
by 3 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah State
by 6
49
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado State
(+6); Over

California @ Oregon State

Game 409-410
October 8, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
California
90.452
Oregon State
80.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
California
by 10 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
California
by 13 1/2
72 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon State
(+13 1/2); Under

Washington St @ Stanford

Game 407-408
October 8, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington St
97.615
Stanford
109.662
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Stanford
by 12
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Stanford
by 7
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Stanford
(-7); Over

UNLV @ San Diego St

Game 405-406
October 8, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UNLV
74.773
San Diego St
82.339
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego St
by 7 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 14 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UNLV
(+14 1/2); Over

Arizona @ Utah

Game 403-404
October 8, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
85.879
Utah
99.269
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 13 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 9 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-9 1/2); Over

Alabama @ Arkansas

Game 401-402
October 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama
110.840
Arkansas
100.732
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 10
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 14
49
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas
(+14); Over

FIU @ UTEP

Game 399-400
October 8, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
FIU
55.846
UTEP
62.916
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UTEP
by 7
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UTEP
by 5
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UTEP
(-5); Under

Idaho @ LA-Monroe

Game 397-398
October 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Idaho
60.256
LA-Monroe
68.741
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA-Monroe
by 8 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Monroe
by 4 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Monroe
(-4 1/2); Under

LSU @ Florida

Game 395-396
October 8, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LSU
100.447
Florida
101.838
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 1 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 3
41
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(+3); Over

Southern Miss @ TX-San Antonio

Game 393-394
October 8, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Miss
81.445
TX-San Antonio
66.794
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Miss
by 14 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Miss
by 17
57
Dunkel Pick:
TX-San Antonio
(+17); Over

Marshall @ North Texas

Game 391-392
October 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Marshall
84.162
North Texas
70.598
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marshall
by 13 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marshall
by 10
65
Dunkel Pick:
Marshall
(-10); Under

Michigan @ Rutgers

Game 389-390
October 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan
110.376
Rutgers
80.353
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan
by 30
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 26 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan
(-26 1/2); Over

Colorado @ USC

Game 387-388
October 8, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
98.250
USC
100.776
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
USC
by 2 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
USC
by 5 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+5 1/2); Under

Washington @ Oregon

Game 385-386
October 8, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
112.960
Oregon
91.570
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 21 1/2
76
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 8
69
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-8); Over

Fresno State @ Nevada

Game 383-384
October 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fresno State
62.387
Nevada
70.556
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nevada
by 8
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nevada
by 9 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Fresno State
(+9 1/2); Under

Auburn @ Mississippi St

Game 381-382
October 8, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Auburn
97.410
Mississippi St
98.548
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi St
by 1
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 3
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi St
(+3); Over

Vanderbilt @ Kentucky

Game 379-380
October 8, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vanderbilt
80.833
Kentucky
87.761
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 7
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 3
52
Dunkel Pick:
Kentucky
(-3); Under

Tennessee @ Texas A&M

Game 377-378
October 8, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
99.880
Texas A&M
108.747
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas A&M
by 9
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas A&M
by 6 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas A&M
(-6 1/2); Over

Georgia @ South Carolina

Game 375-376
October 8, 2016 @ 7:31 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia
89.656
South Carolina
88.186
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 1 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 7 1/2
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Carolina
(+7 1/2); Over

Air Force @ Wyoming

Game 373-374
October 8, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Air Force
91.710
Wyoming
80.321
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Air Force
by 11 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Air Force
by 10 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Air Force
(-10 1/2); Over

Ball State @ Central Michigan

Game 371-372
October 8, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ball State
72.670
Central Michigan
82.656
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Michigan
by 10
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Michigan
by 12 1/2
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ball State
(+12 1/2); Under

UCLA @ Arizona State

Game 369-370
October 8, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UCLA
99.414
Arizona State
95.786
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UCLA
by 3 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UCLA
by 10
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona State
(+10); Over

Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic

Game 367-368
October 8, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
48.804
Florida Atlantic
68.341
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 19 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 13 1/2
63
Dunkel Pick:
Florida Atlantic
(-13 1/2); Under

Massachusetts @ Old Dominion

Game 365-366
October 8, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Massachusetts
71.920
Old Dominion
76.136
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Old Dominion
by 4
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Old Dominion
by 7
52
Dunkel Pick:
Massachusetts
(+7); Under

Texas State @ Georgia State

Game 363-364
October 8, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas State
56.084
Georgia State
74.167
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia State
by 18
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia State
by 10
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia State
(-10); Under

Florida State @ Miami-FL

Game 361-362
October 8, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida State
98.018
Miami-FL
103.655
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-FL
by 5 1/2
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 2 1/2
65
Dunkel Pick:
Miami-FL
(-2 1/2); Over

Oklahoma @ Texas

Game 359-360
October 8, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma
102.407
Texas
96.170
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 6
79
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 10 1/2
73
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+10 1/2); Over

East Carolina @ South Florida

Game 357-358
October 8, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
East Carolina
75.357
South Florida
96.331
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Florida
by 21
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Florida
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
South Florida
N/A

Houston @ Navy

Game 355-356
October 8, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
106.043
Navy
94.478
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 11 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 17
51
Dunkel Pick:
Navy
(+17); Over

Toledo @ Eastern Michigan

Game 353-354
October 8, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toledo
92.132
Eastern Michigan
68.270
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 24
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 17
69
Dunkel Pick:
Toledo
(-17); Under

Bowling Green @ Ohio

Game 351-352
October 8, 2016 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bowling Green
68.072
Ohio
76.691
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio
by 8 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 12 1/2
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Bowling Green
(+12 1/2); Under

Notre Dame @ NC State

Game 349-350
October 8, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Notre Dame
91.135
NC State
96.684
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC State
by 5 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC State
by 2
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NC State
(-2); Over

Virginia Tech @ North Carolina

Game 347-348
October 8, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia Tech
103.496
North Carolina
101.511
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 3
59
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(+3); Over

Purdue @ Illinois

Game 345-346
October 8, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Purdue
73.884
Illinois
82.973
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Illinois
by 9
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Illinois
by 10 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Purdue
(+10 1/2); Under

Indiana @ Ohio State

Game 343-344
October 8, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
87.444
Ohio State
128.354
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 41
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 29
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio State
(-29); Over

Iowa @ Minnesota

Game 341-342
October 8, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa
88.435
Minnesota
89.165
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa
by 2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+2); Over

Texas Tech @ Kansas State

Game 339-340
October 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
93.014
Kansas State
102.146
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas State
by 9
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas State
by 7
70
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas State
(-7); Under

Syracuse @ Wake Forest

Game 337-338
October 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Syracuse
82.799
Wake Forest
81.242
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Syracuse
by 1 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wake Forest
by 3
54
Dunkel Pick:
Syracuse
(+3); Under

Army @ Duke

Game 335-336
October 8, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Army
78.679
Duke
84.314
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duke
by 5 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 4
46
Dunkel Pick:
Duke
(-4); Over

TCU @ Kansas

Game 333-334
October 8, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TCU
102.215
Kansas
65.996
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TCU
by 36
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TCU
by 28 1/2
65
Dunkel Pick:
TCU
(-28 1/2); Under

Cincinnati @ Connecticut

Game 331-332
October 8, 2016 @ 11:30 am

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
81.931
Connecticut
81.031
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 3 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+3 1/2); Over

Iowa State @ Oklahoma State

Game 329-330
October 8, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa State
81.441
Oklahoma State
100.460
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma State
by 19
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma State
by 17
66
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma State
(-17); Under

Maryland @ Penn State

Game 327-328
October 8, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Maryland
88.863
Penn State
90.262
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 1 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Maryland
by 1
58
Dunkel Pick:
Penn State
(+1); Under

Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh

Game 325-326
October 8, 2016 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Tech
85.764
Pittsburgh
98.900
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 12
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 6 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-6 1/2); Under

Brigham Young @ Michigan State

Game 323-324
October 8, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brigham Young
94.650
Michigan State
91.549
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 3
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 6
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brigham Young
(+6); Over

Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan

Game 321-322
October 8, 2016 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
76.056
Western Michigan
104.640
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
by 28 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Michigan
by 18 1/2
65
Dunkel Pick:
Western Michigan
(-18 1/2); Under

Kent State @ Buffalo

Game 319-320
October 8, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
65.586
Buffalo
68.225
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 2 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kent State
by 1 1/2
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+1 1/2); Under

Miami of Ohio @ Akron

Game 317-318
October 8, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami of Ohio
70.537
Akron
83.422
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Akron
by 13
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Akron
by 6 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Akron
(-6 1/2); N/A

North Dakota @ Sacramento St

Game 613-614
October 8, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Dakota
67.198
Sacramento St
55.537
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Dakota
by 11 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Dakota
by 13 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento St
(+13 1/2); Under

Portland St @ Weber St

Game 611-612
October 8, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland St
67.427
Weber St
62.667
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland St
by 5
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland St
by 3 1/2
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland St
(-3 1/2); Under

UC-Davis @ Southern Utah

Game 609-610
October 8, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UC-Davis
56.030
Southern Utah
72.898
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Utah
by 17
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Utah
by 15 1/2
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Utah
(-15 1/2); Over

Campbell @ Jacksonville

Game 607-608
October 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Campbell
33.599
Jacksonville
41.659
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
by 8
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville
by 4 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(-4 1/2); Over

Stony Brook @ Towson

Game 605-606
October 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stony Brook
52.637
Towson
64.047
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Towson
by 11 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Towson
by 5 1/2
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Towson
(-5 1/2); Under

McNeese St @ SE Louisiana

Game 601-602
October 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
McNeese St
62.900
SE Louisiana
56.710
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
McNeese St
by 6
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
McNeese St
by 8 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
SE Louisiana
(+8 1/2); Under

Tennessee St @ Eastern Illinois

Game 599-600
October 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee St
57.660
Eastern Illinois
66.517
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Eastern Illinois
by 9
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Illinois
by 10 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee St
(+10 1/2); Over

Morgan St @ Savannah St

Game 597-598
October 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Morgan St
36.631
Savannah St
35.322
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Morgan St
by 1 1/2
34
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Morgan St
by 3
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Savannah St
(+3); Under

Northern Arizona @ Montana St

Game 595-596
October 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Arizona
64.560
Montana St
61.335
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Arizona
by 3
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montana St
by 4 1/2
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Arizona
(+4 1/2); Over

Sam Houston St @ Incarnate Word

Game 593-594
October 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sam Houston St
74.840
Incarnate Word
51.524
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sam Houston St
by 23 1/2
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sam Houston St
by 20 1/2
68 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sam Houston St
(-20 1/2); Over

Lamar @ Abilene Christian

Game 591-592
October 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Lamar
62.393
Abilene Christian
47.541
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Lamar
by 15
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Lamar
by 7 1/2
67 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Lamar
(-7 1/2); Under

Wofford @ Western Carolina

Game 589-590
October 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wofford
62.352
Western Carolina
55.657
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wofford
by 6 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wofford
by 8 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Western Carolina
(+8 1/2); Under

South Dakota St @ Southern Illinois

Game 587-588
October 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Dakota St
81.699
Southern Illinois
72.006
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Dakota St
by 9 1/2
77
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Dakota St
by 6 1/2
73 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Dakota St
(-6 1/2); Over

Columbia @ Wagner

Game 585-586
October 8, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbia
42.416
Wagner
54.340
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wagner
by 12
32
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wagner
by 4 1/2
36 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wagner
(-4 1/2); Under

SE Missouri St @ Eastern Kentucky

Game 583-584
October 8, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SE Missouri St
63.320
Eastern Kentucky
59.480
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
SE Missouri St
by 4
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
SE Missouri St
by 1 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
SE Missouri St
(-1 1/2); Over

Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb

Game 581-582
October 8, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Presbyterian
47.976
Gardner-Webb
58.788
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Gardner-Webb
by 10 1/2
31
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Gardner-Webb
by 5 1/2
35
Dunkel Pick:
Gardner-Webb
(-5 1/2); Under

Miss Valley St @ Montana

Game 579-580
October 8, 2016 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miss Valley St
18.792
Montana
82.259
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montana
by 63 1/2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montana
by 52 1/2
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montana
(-52 1/2); Over

Davidson @ San Diego

Game 577-578
October 8, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Davidson
17.626
San Diego
56.351
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 38 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
by 33 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(-33 1/2); Under

Northern Colorado @ East Washington

Game 575-576
October 8, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Colorado
58.926
East Washington
86.565
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
East Washington
by 27 1/2
90
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
East Washington
by 23 1/2
86 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
East Washington
(-23 1/2); Over

Indiana State @ Western Illinois

Game 573-574
October 8, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana State
55.098
Western Illinois
68.056
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Illinois
by 13
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Illinois
by 10 1/2
65 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Western Illinois
(-10 1/2); Over

Florida A&M @ NC Central

Game 571-572
October 8, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida A&M
34.095
NC Central
55.200
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC Central
by 21
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC Central
by 17 1/2
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NC Central
(-17 1/2); Under

Stephen F Austin @ Nicholls St

Game 569-570
October 8, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stephen F Austin
54.007
Nicholls St
52.218
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Stephen F Austin
by 2
69
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nicholls St
by 2 1/2
65 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Stephen F Austin
(+2 1/2); Over

Mercer @ Chattanooga

Game 567-568
October 8, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mercer
56.277
Chattanooga
76.497
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chattanooga
by 20
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chattanooga
by 18 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chattanooga
(-18 1/2); Over

William & Mary @ James Madison

Game 565-566
October 8, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
William & Mary
53.632
James Madison
78.704
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
James Madison
by 25
72
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
James Madison
by 16 1/2
67 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
James Madison
(-16 1/2); Over

New Hampshire @ Elon

Game 563-564
October 8, 2016 @ 3:29 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Hampshire
62.505
Elon
53.802
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Hampshire
by 8 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Hampshire
by 13 1/2
39 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Elon
(+13 1/2); Over

Maine @ Delaware

Game 561-562
October 8, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Maine
58.778
Delaware
63.398
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Delaware
by 4 1/2
32
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Delaware
by 2 1/2
37 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Delaware
(-2 1/2); Under

Richmond @ Albany

Game 559-560
October 8, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Richmond
62.531
Albany
66.938
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Albany
by 4 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Richmond
by 4 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Albany
(+4 1/2); Over

Youngstown St @ Illinois State

Game 557-558
October 8, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Youngstown St
75.915
Illinois State
74.488
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Youngstown St
by 1 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Illinois State
by 2 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Youngstown St
(+2 1/2); Under

Northern Iowa @ South Dakota

Game 555-556
October 8, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Iowa
81.054
South Dakota
69.341
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Iowa
by 11 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Iowa
by 13 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Dakota
(+13 1/2); Over

North Dakota St @ Missouri St

Game 553-554
October 8, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Dakota St
91.718
Missouri St
66.511
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Dakota St
by 25
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Dakota St
by 27 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Missouri St
(+27 1/2); Under

Austin Peay @ Tenn-Martin

Game 551-552
October 8, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Austin Peay
29.973
Tenn-Martin
63.505
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tenn-Martin
by 33 1/2
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tenn-Martin
by 30 1/2
68 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tenn-Martin
(-30 1/2); Over

St Francis-PA @ Robert Morris

Game 549-550
October 8, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St Francis-PA
54.416
Robert Morris
39.776
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St Francis-PA
by 14 1/2
33
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Francis-PA
by 18 1/2
36
Dunkel Pick:
Robert Morris
(+18 1/2); Under

Alabama St @ Prairie View

Game 547-548
October 8, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama St
36.352
Prairie View
49.198
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Prairie View
by 13
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Prairie View
by 9 1/2
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Prairie View
(-9 1/2); Under

Alcorn State @ Alabama A&M

Game 545-546
October 8, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alcorn State
46.306
Alabama A&M
34.590
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alcorn State
by 11 1/2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alcorn State
by 13 1/2
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama A&M
(+13 1/2); Over

Drake @ Valparaiso

Game 543-544
October 8, 2016 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Drake
36.914
Valparaiso
26.149
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Drake
by 11
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Drake
by 7 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Drake
(-7 1/2); Over

Tennessee Tech @ Jacksonville St

Game 541-542
October 8, 2016 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee Tech
52.145
Jacksonville St
85.358
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville St
by 33
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville St
by 31 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville St
(-31 1/2); Under

Hampton @ Delaware St

Game 539-540
October 8, 2016 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hampton
49.995
Delaware St
32.573
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hampton
by 17 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hampton
by 16 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hampton
(-16 1/2); Over

East Tenn St @ VMI

Game 535-536
October 8, 2016 @ 1:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
East Tenn St
37.038
VMI
52.373
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
VMI
by 15 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
VMI
by 12 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
VMI
(-12 1/2); Under

Bethune Cookman @ South Carolina St

Game 533-534
October 8, 2016 @ 1:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bethune Cookman
41.835
South Carolina St
58.417
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Carolina St
by 16 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Carolina St
by 14 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Carolina St
(-14 1/2); Under

Bucknell @ Holy Cross

Game 531-532
October 8, 2016 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bucknell
44.222
Holy Cross
56.890
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Holy Cross
by 12 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Holy Cross
by 6 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Holy Cross
(-6 1/2); Over

Morehead St @ Dayton

Game 529-530
October 8, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Morehead St
33.066
Dayton
49.400
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dayton
by 16 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dayton
by 10 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dayton
(-10 1/2); Over

Marist @ Butler

Game 527-528
October 8, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Marist
33.599
Butler
35.491
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Butler
by 2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Butler
Pick
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Butler
Under

Monmouth @ Howard

Game 525-526
October 8, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Monmouth
54.381
Howard
42.696
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Monmouth
by 11 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Monmouth
by 19 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Howard
(+19 1/2); Under

Lafayette @ Fordham

Game 523-524
October 8, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Lafayette
47.922
Fordham
64.026
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fordham
by 16
72
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fordham
by 19 1/2
66 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Lafayette
(+19 1/2); Over

Samford @ Furman

Game 519-520
October 8, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Samford
64.421
Furman
54.736
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Samford
by 9 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Samford
by 7 1/2
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Samford
(-7 1/2); Under

Central Connecticut @ Penn

Game 517-518
October 8, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Connectic
40.669
Penn
66.649
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn
by 26
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn
by 19 1/2
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Penn
(-19 1/2); Over

Princeton @ Georgetown

Game 515-516
October 8, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Princeton
61.632
Georgetown
50.827
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Princeton
by 11
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Princeton
by 8 1/2
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Princeton
(-8 1/2); Under

Cornell @ Harvard

Game 513-514
October 8, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cornell
58.274
Harvard
70.722
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Harvard
by 12 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Harvard
by 15 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cornell
(+15 1/2); Over

Dartmouth @ Yale

Game 511-512
October 8, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dartmouth
59.625
Yale
47.965
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dartmouth
by 11 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dartmouth
by 19 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Yale
(+19 1/2); Under

Stetson @ Brown

Game 509-510
October 8, 2016 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stetson
24.758
Brown
52.438
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brown
by 27 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brown
by 23 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brown
(-23 1/2); Under

Colgate @ Lehigh

Game 507-508
October 8, 2016 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colgate
62.456
Lehigh
71.280
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Lehigh
by 9
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Lehigh
by 3
68 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Lehigh
(-3); Over

Rhode Island @ Villanova

Game 505-506
October 8, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rhode Island
47.377
Villanova
74.624
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Villanova
by 27 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Villanova
by 24 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Villanova
(-24 1/2); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Short Sheet


Week 6


Sat – Oct. 8


first post


Miami Ohio at Akron, 3:00 PM ET
Miami OH: 6-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Akron: 6-16 ATS in home games after a game where they forced no turnovers


Kent State at Buffalo, 3:30 PM ET
Kent St: 19-4 ATS after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4
Buffalo: 2-5 ATS when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points


Northern Illinois at Western Michigan, 6:30 PM ET
N Illinois: 10-2 UNDER after having lost 3 out of their last 4
W Michigan: 11-2 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game


BYU at Michigan State, 3:30 PM ET
BYU: 16-5 ATS in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52
Michigan St: 9-24 ATS after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games


Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh, 12:30 PM ET
Georgia Tech: 1-8 ATS after playing a conference game
Pittsburgh: 5-2 ATS off 3 or more consecutive overs


Maryland at Penn State, 12:00 PM ET
Maryland: 16-6 UNDER after scoring 42 points or more last game
Penn St: 4-13 ATS against conference opponents


Iowa State at Oklahoma State, 3:30 PM ET
Iowa St: 4-15 ATS after a playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored
Oklahoma St: 51-31 ATS as a home favorite


Cincinnati at Connecticut, 11:30 AM ET
Cincinnati: 8-1 UNDER after playing a conference game
Connecticut: 0-9 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49


TCU at Kansas, 12:00 PM ET
TCU: 35-16 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4
Kansas: 9-21 ATS after allowing 37 points or more in 2 straight games


Army at Duke, 3:30 PM ET
Army: 12-34 ATS after a bye week
Duke: 8-1 UNDER in home lined games


Syracuse at Wake Forest, 7:00 PM ET
Syracuse: 0-10 ATS after 2 consecutive game where they committed no turnovers
Wake Forest: 26-13 UNDER after being outgained by 175+ total yards in their previous game


Texas Tech at Kansas State, 7:00 PM ET
Texas Tech: 6-0 OVER after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread
Kansas St: 25-11 ATS in home games off a road loss


Iowa at Minnesota, 12:00 PM ET
Iowa: 17-5 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
Minnesota: 16-5 OVER as a home underdog of 7 points or less


Indiana at Ohio State, 3:30 PM ET
Indiana: 2-10 ATS in road games after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games
Ohio St: 11-2 ATS in home games after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite


Purdue at Illinois, 3:30 PM ET
Purdue: 8-1 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses
Illinois: 7-19 ATS after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games


Virginia Tech at North Carolina, 3:30 PM ET
Virginia Tech: 30-16 ATS in road games after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games
N Carolina: 10-30 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games


Notre Dame at North Carolina State, 12:00 PM ET
Notre Dame: 31-11 ATS in road games in weeks 5 through 9
N Carolina St: 4-14 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less


Bowling Green at Ohio, 2:00 PM ET
Bowling Green: 33-18 UNDER in weeks 5 through 9
Ohio: 9-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins


Toledo at Eastern Michigan, 3:00 PM ET
Toledo: 7-0 ATS in road lined games
E Michigan: 7-19 ATS after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game


Houston at Navy, 3:00 PM ET
Houston: 8-1 ATS in road games after playing a conference game
Navy: 3-7 ATS after playing their last game on the road


East Carolina at South Florida, 12:00 PM ET
E Carolina: 0-6 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4
S Floirda: 11-2 ATS in games played on a grass field


Oklahoma at Texas, 12:00 PM ET
Oklahoma: 30-14 OVER off 2 or more consecutive overs
Texas: 0-7 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 70


Florida State at Miami Florida, 8:00 PM ET
Florida St: 22-9 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
Miami FL: 1-10 ATS after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 4 consecutive games


Texas State at Georgia State, 3:30 PM ET
Texas St: 14-5 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63
Georgia St: 3-9 ATS in home lined games


Charlotte at Florida Atlantic, 3:30 PM ET
Charlotte: 1-6 ATS after playing a game at home
Florida ATL: 3-0 ATS after gaining 125 or less passing yards in last game


UCLA at Arizona State, 10:30 PM ET
UCLA: 2-11 ATS in games played on a grass field
Arizona St: 22-8 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3


Ball State at Central Michigan, 3:30 PM ET
Ball St: 0-7 ATS after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3
C Michigan: 38-22 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders


Air Force at Wyoming, 3:30 PM ET
Air Force: 7-0 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game
Wyoming: 23-41 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3


Georgia at South Carolina, 7:30 PM ET
Georgia: 12-3 ATS after a loss by 3 or less points
S Carolina: 6-0 UNDER after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3


Tennessee at Texas AM, 3:30 PM ET
Tennessee: 31-14 ATS in road games in weeks 5 through 9
Texas AM: 0-6 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread


Vanderbilt at Kentucky, 4:00 PM ET
Vanderbilt: 12-3 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3
Kentucky: 6-16 ATS after gaining 3.25 or less yards/play in their previous game


Auburn at Mississippi State, 12:00 PM ET
Auburn: 10-2 ATS in road games after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers
Mississippi St: 11-2 UNDER in home games after a bye week


Fresno State at Nevada, 7:00 PM ET
Fresno St: 1-8 ATS in road lined games
Nevada: 16-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56


Washington at Oregon, 7:30 PM ET
Washington: 3-12 ATS in road games after allowing 9 points or less last game
Oregon: 16-6 ATS after being outgained by 175+ total yards in their previous game


Colorado at USC, 4:00 PM ET
Colorado: 37-71 ATS in weeks 5 through 9
USC: 38-20 UNDER after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game


Michigan at Rutgers, 7:00 PM ET
Michigan: 33-18 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3
Rutgers: 0-6 ATS after allowing 37 points or more last game


Marshall at North Texas, 7:00 PM ET
Marshall: 39-64 ATS in road games
N Texas: 6-1 ATS after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game


Southern Miss at Tex San Antonio, 12:00 PM ET
S Miss: 17-5 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games
Tex San Antonio: 4-13 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses


LSU at Florida, 12:00 PM ET
LSU: 13-4 ATS in road games after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers
Florida: 1-9 ATS in home games after a playing a game where 29 total points or less were scored


Idaho at UL Monroe, 7:00 PM ET
Idaho: 6-0 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival
UL Monroe: 1-8 ATS in weeks 5 through 9

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack


Six football trends to ponder, with Week 6 coming up……..


— South Florida covered eight of last nine home games.


— Notre Dame is 5-12 in last 17 games as a road favorite.


— Minnesota covered five of last seven as a home dog.


— Texas A&M is 4-10-1 in last 15 as an SEC favorite.


— Southern Mississippi is 16-7 as a road favorite.


— Vanderbilt covered 13 of last 19 as a road underdog.


------------------------------------


NCAAF
Short Sheet


Week 6


Sat – Oct. 8


Florida International at UTEP, 8:00 PM ET
Florida INT: 18-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49
UTEP: 4-16 ATS in home games after having lost 4 out of their last 5

Alabama at Arkansas, 7:00 PM ET
Alabama: 26-12 OVER in road games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
Arkansas: 7-0 ATS after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored


Arizona at Utah, 10:00 PM ET
Arizona: 43-65 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
Utah: 16-6 OVER off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite


UNLV at San Diego State, 10:30 PM ET
UNLV: 5-16 ATS in road games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game
San Diego St: 19-8 OVER in home games after playing a non-conference game

Washington State at Stanford, 10:30 PM ET
Washington St: 10-2 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
Stanford: 33-11 UNDER after scoring 14 points or less last game


California at Oregon State, 9:00 PM ET
California: 13-33 ATS as a road favorite
Oregon St: 0-6 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3

Utah State at Colorado State, 10:00 PM ET
Utah St: 33-18 UNDER after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3
Colorado St: 22-10 ATS in home games after having lost 2 out of their last 3


Hawaii at San Jose State, 4:30 PM ET
Hawaii: 2-10 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
San Jose St: 44-25 ATS as a favorite

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 6




Saturday’s best 13 games


Maryland-Penn State split pair of one-point decisions last two years; Terrapins scored 40.3 pts/game in winning first three I-A games, but they step up in class here, against PSU squad that needed OT to beat Minnesota LW. Maryland is 5-8 in last 13 games with spread of 3 or less points. Under Franklin, Nittany Lions are 2-2-1 in such games. Terms ran for 295 yards/game last three weeks; they had 400 YR in LW’s Big 14 opener vs Purdue. PSU allowed 554 rushing yards in its last two games, vs Michigan/Minnesota. Terms are 15-9 vs spread in last 24 road games.


Iowa lost two of last three games and win was 14-7 at Rutgers, hardly impressive; they also lost to I-AA North Dakota State. Hawkeyes had been 9-0 as a road favorite last 4+ years before not covering at Rutgers. Favorites covered last four Iowa-Minnesota games; Hawkeyes are 11-4 in last 15 series games, but are 2-4 in last visits here, winning 23-7/55-0- they survived wild 40-35 (-9.5) home win vs Minnesota LY. Gophers lost in OT at Penn State LW; total yardage was 471-469; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as a home underdog, 2-4 in last six games with spread of 3 or less points.


Virginia Tech is 9-3 in last 12 games with North Carolina, 4-3 in last seven; Hokies won five of last six visits to Chapel Hill- favorites covered four of last five series games at UNC. Tar Heels won last two games by total of 3 points; they’ve got to come back to earth after huge win LW at Florida State, making 54-yard FG on last play. UNC has allowed 31.8 pts/game vs I-A foes this year. Tech is 8-6-1 in its last 15 games with spread of 3 or less points; this is Hokies’ first true road game- they lost 45-24 to Tennessee on neutral field at Bristol. Tech is 5-2 in its last seven games as a road dog. UNC is 3-6 in its last nine games with spread of 3 or less points.


NC State/Notre Dame haven’t met since a bowl game 14 years ago. Fighting Irish are 2-3, giving up 33+ points, 489+ TY in four of five games- they lost 50-47 in OT at Texas, in only true road game this year. ND is 6-9 vs spread in last 15 true road games. Wolfpack scored 34 pts/game in its three I-A games but step up in class here; State is 2-6 as home dog under Doeren- they threw for 639 yards in last two games. Notre Dame is 4-2 in last six games with spread of 3 or less points; State is 3-7 in its last ten. ACC underdogs are 6-4 vs spread out of conference this season.


Texas allowed 788 PY, 99 points in losing last two games; at disappointing 2-2, only team they held under 47 points this season is UTEP. Oklahoma allowed 91 points in splitting last two games- they beat TCU 52-46 LW, giving up 449 PY. Underdogs are 5-3-1 vs spread in last nine Oklahoma-Texas games (3-0 last three years); Texas won two of last three years, despite being 12+-point dogs in all three games— Sooners averaged only 157.7 PY in those games. Longhorns are 8-4-1 in last 13 games as a double digit dog. Oklahoma is 14-17 in last 31 games as a double digit favorite.


Florida State’s defense is sub-par this year, giving up 42.3 pts/game vs I-A opponents. Losing on last-second 54-yard FG wrecked their season, tough bounce back here in rivalry game with an unbeaten Miami team. Underdogs are 12-3 vs spread in last 15 FSU-Miami games. Florida State won its last six games with Miami, with three of last five by 5 or less points; FSU won its last five visits here- they’ve won SU last four times they were a series underdog. Hurricanes won their I-A games by 28-35-14 points; they’re 12-3-2 in last 17 games with spread of 3 or less points. Seminoles are 7-2 under Fisher when spread is 3 or less points.


Road team won last four UCLA-Arizona State games; Bruins won 62-27/45-43 in last two visits to Tempe. UCLA covered four of last five as a series favorite, but allowed 448+ TY in its last six games vs ASU. Bruins allowed 449 rushing yards last two weeks, vs Stanford/Arizona; they’re 8-5-1 as road favorites under Mora, 0-0-1 this year, winning 17-14 at BYU after losing at Texas A&M in OT. Sun Devils allowed 1,160 TY last two games; four of their five opponents threw ball for 366+ yards; they’re 5-11 as underdogs under Graham, 1-3 at home. Pac-12 home teams are 10-2 vs spread in conference games, 3-1 if an underdog.


Home side won six of last seven Georgia-South Carolina games; Dawgs lost last three visits here, by 3-28-11 points. Favorites are 4-1-1 vs spread in series. Georgia allowed 79 points in losing last two games; they got their hearts torn out on last-play Hail Mary by Tennessee LW. Dawgs are giving up 32.5 pts/game vs I-A foes- they’re 5-7 in last 12 games as a road favorite. Carolina lost three of last four games; they allowed 432 rushing yards in last two games. SC has been held to 14 or less points in four of five games this year. Since 2009, Gamecocks are 7-1 as a home underdog.


Tennessee pulled rabbits out of a hat the last two weeks, scoring on Hail Mary to win LW after rallying from down 21-3 at half to beat Florida the week before; they play Alabama next week, better not look past this game. Vols are 4-5 as road underdogs under Jones; LW was their first true road game this year. Texas A&M is 5-0 with three wins away from home and an OT win over UCLA here, their only home game vs I-A foe; Aggies are 10-14 as home favorites under Sumlin, 1-0 this year- they’ve run ball for 254 yards/game vs I-A opponents this year. Teams last met in 2004.


Oregon lost its last three games, allowing 256 rushing yards, 42.3 pts/game; locusts will start circling over coach Helfrich with another loss here, vs Washington team Ducks have beaten 12 times in row, 11 by 17+ points (11-1 vs spread). Oregon is +10 in turnovers in last five series games. Huskies lost last six visits to Eugene (0-6 vs spread), but are 3-2 as road favorites under Petersen; they needed OT to win 35-28 at Arizona (-13) in only road game this season. Washington held Stanford to 216 TY in impressive 44-6 win last Friday. Oregon is a home underdog for first time in seven years; they allowed 1,244 TY in last two games.


Colorado is having a breakthrough season, off to a 4-1 start with win at Oregon; Buffs scored 88 points in last two games with a backup QB- they’ve run ball for 506 yards in last two games, are 4-0 vs spread this season. 5-2 in last seven games as a road underdog. USC is just 2-3, but won/covered its two home games, 45-7 over Utah State, 41-20 over ASU; they’re 10-5 in last 15 games as home favorite. Trojans won their last five games with Colorado (3-2 vs spread), scoring 44.4 pts/game; Buffs lost 50-6/56-28 in their last two visits here. Home favorites are 7-1 vs spread in Pac-12 conference games this season.


LSU-Florida was postponed because of the hurricane in the Sunshine State.


Alabama is 5-0 this season with four one-sided wins; they won 48-43 at Ole Miss in only true road game, rallying back from being down double digits in first half. Crimson Tide won its last nine games with Arkansas, winning by 1-13 points last two years; Bama is 5-3 vs spread in last eight series meetings, 4-0 SU in last four visits here, winning by 1-52-4-35 points- they’re 2-4 as a favorite in Arkansas. Razorbacks got waxed by Texas A&M two weeks ago, after winning tight games with La Tech/TCU to open season; Hogs are 4-4 as home dogs under Bielema. Arkansas allowed 34.3 pts/game in three games that weren’t against stiffs.


Washington State gave up 76 points in losing its first two games this year (ran ball 45 times for 137 yards), then ran ball for 75 times for 528 yards in last two games and won them, upsetting Oregon LW. Coogs are 13-3 vs spread in last 16 games as a road underdog. Stanford won its last eight games with Wazzu (5-3 vs spread); they’re +8 in turnovers in last four series games. Cardinal played USC-UCLA-Washington last three weekends; they got crushed by U-Dub last week, losing 44-6. Stanford is 12-6 in its last 18 games as a home favorite, 1-1 this season. Even in their three wins this year, Cardinal scored only 25 mpg, all against good teams, though.

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet and odds: Week 6


Sixth-ranked Washington has experienced nothing but trouble with Oregon for most of this century and attempts to halt a 12-game losing streak in the series.


We're on to Week 6 of the college football season and the full slate of games can be tough to navigate for bettors. So we bring you our Top 25 betting cheat sheet to handicap the best games of the day.


Texas Longhorns vs No. 22 Oklahoma Sooners (-11.5, 73)


* After the Longhorns gave up 49 points against Oklahoma State last week -- the third time in four games that the Longhorns have surrendered 47 or more points this season -- Strong decided to demote defensive coordinator Vance Bedford and will take over control of the defense. The offense, under first-year offensive coordinator Sterlin Gilbert, has been clicking, averaging 41.2 points and is led by running back D’Onta Foreman, who is second in the nation with his average of 145.3 rushing yards per game, and the quarterback duo of freshman Shane Buechele and senior Tyrone Swoopes, who have combined for 14 total touchdowns. Linebacker Anthony Wheeler leads the team in tackles (31) while five players are tied for the team lead in sacks with two including linebacker Breckyn Hager who is also tied for second on the team in tackles with 23.


*The Sooners bounced back from an embarrassing 45-24 loss to Ohio State to edge TCU, 52-46, last Saturday. Quarterback Baker Mayfield, who finished fourth in Heisman Trophy balloting a year ago, led the way, completing 23-of-30 passes for 274 yards and two touchdowns and also rushing for 55 yards and two more TDs. Joe Mixon (105 yards, 1 TD) and Samaje Perine (98 yards, 2 TDs) paced a strong ground game in the win over the Horned Frogs while linebackers Jordan Evans (10 tackles, 2.0 tackles for loss) and Ogbonnia Okoronkwo (6 tackles, 2 sacks) led the way defensively.


LINE HISTORY: Oklahoma opened as 10-point home favorites and the line rose throughout the week to sit at the current number of -11.5. The total opened at 74 and came down a full point to 73 by Friday afternoon. View complete line history here.


TRENDS:


* Longhorns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
* Sooners are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
* Under is 8-1 in Longhorns last 9 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
* Under is 4-0 in Sooners last 4 neutral site games.
* Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Oklahoma.


No. 5 Houston Cougars at Navy Midshipmen (+17, 50.5)


* The Cougars have held seven straight opponents to fewer than 100 yards rushing and are allowing 42 rushing yards and 11.2 points. Ward (1,325 passing yards with eight TDs and 178 rushing yards with five TDs in four games) has plenty of options in the passing game with four Cougars - led by Linell Bonner's 33 catches for 439 yards - with at least 19 receptions. Duke Catalon (225 rushing yards in three games) is expected to return for the Cougars, who have outscored their opponents 221-56 during their win streak to start the season.


* Quarterback Will Worth (527 passing yards with one TD and 173 rushing yards with five TDs) led Navy to two comeback wins after taking over for injured Tago Smith in the opener. Fullback Chris High leads the Midshipmen with 295 rushing yards, but Navy was held to 57 on the ground in last week's loss to Air Force. Micah Thomas has 32 tackles and two pass breakups to lead a defense that allows 20.5 points and 377.2 yards.


LINE HISTORY: Houston opened as big 18-point road favorites and the line was quickly adjusted down slightly to 17 - where it has remained all week. The total hit the board at 53 and took a sharp drop down to 50.5 late in the week. View complete line history here.


TRENDS:


* Cougars are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
* Midshipmen are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.
* Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Over is 6-1 in Midshipmen last 7 games on fieldturf.


No. 9 Tennessee Volunteers at No. 7 Texas A&M Aggies (-7, 57)


* The Vols’ status as a comeback team hit a crescendo with last week’s miraculous 34-31 win at Georgia, as Jauan Jennings pulled down a 43-yard Hail Mary pass as time expired to keep Tennessee undefeated. The offense has been able to come up with big plays when needed, with quarterback Joshua Dobbs accounting for 18 touchdowns (13 passing, five rushing). While far from dominant, Tennessee’s defense has forced 10 turnovers - including two or more in three of its five contests - but again will be without injured linebackers Jalen Reeves-Maybin (shoulder) and Darrin Kirkland Jr. (ankle).


* The Aggies boast the SEC’s most efficient offense, averaging a league-best 521 total yards per game with quarterback Trevor Knight leading the charge. Knight and freshman running back Trayveon Williams guide a running game that averages 258.6 yards and has gained at least 200 in every contest this season. The Aggies' defense has been disruptive in opponents’ backfields, leading the nation with 50 tackles for losses – 17 more than any other team in the SEC – as star defensive end Myles Garrett has accounted for five along with three sacks.


LINE HISTORY: The Aggies opened as 6.5-point favorites and the spread was quickly bumped up to -7 - where it has remained all week. The total opened at 56, went as low as 54.5 on Wednesday, and then rose back up to 57 by Friday afternoon. View complete line history here.


TRENDS:


* Volunteers are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
* Over is 5-0 in Volunteers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 8-1-1 in Aggies last 10 games overall.


Virginia Tech Hokies at No. 16 North Carolina Tar Heels (-1.5, 58)


* The Hokies start a critical stretch to their season with four of the next five on the road, but they appear to be improving in all phases since the loss to Tennessee. Evans has passed for 907 yards while running for another 209 and has a prime target to look for in junior Isaiah Ford, who boasts 24 receptions and 376 yards to go along with four touchdowns. The defense came up with six sacks last time out in a 54-17 win over East Carolina and the Hokies have forced 30 opponent drives to go three-and-out (or less) this season.


* Trubisky has completed 76 percent of his passes to lead the nation while tossing 13 touchdowns and avoiding an interception for his last 240 attempts, dating back to 2014. One of the advantages the junior has is a stable of experienced receivers, led by senior Ryan Switzer (47 catches, 587 yards). If Virginia Tech can limit the Tar Heels’ passing game, there is still a ground attack for them to turn to with junior Elijah Hood (338 yards, four TDs) and senior T.J. Logan (258, five rushing TDs, two receiving scores).


LINE HISTORY: The Tar Heels opened as 3-point home favorites and by Friday afternoon that line was all of the way down to -1.5. The total started the week at 62 and dropped steadily all week to sit at 58. View complete line history here.


TRENDS:


* Hokies are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
* Tar Heels are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
* Under is 12-3-1 in Hokies last 16 games in October.
* Over is 8-1 in Tar Heels last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.


Indiana Hoosiers at No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (-28, 59)


* The Hoosiers have received superb play from Ricky Jones, who has 13 catches for 332 yards and a score over the last two weeks. Richard Lagow recovered from a five-interception effort against Wake Forest to play better against the Spartans, while relying on Devine Redding (19 carries, 100 yards), who has reached the century mark in three of the four games this year. Linebackers Tegray Scales and Marcus Oliver combined for 20 tackles against Michigan State and need to be on top of their game against a Buckeyes squad averaging 52.3 points over its last six outings.


* Even though the Buckeyes return only six starters from last season, one of them is quarterback J.T. Barrett, who became the school's all-time leader in touchdown passes (59) last week in a 58-0 rout of Rutgers. Barrett has 14 TD passes, three TD runs and only two interceptions this season, while his top three running backs are all averaging at least 7.2 yards per carry. On the defensive side of the ball, the Buckeyes allowed 33 passing yards last week, did not yield a rushing touchdown for the fourth straight game, and improved their season turnover margin to plus-8.


LINE HISTORY: Oihio State opened the betting week as massive 31-point home faves and that spread was bet down a bit throughout the week - the current number is -28. The total began at 61.5 and has fallen down to 59 by Friday afternoon. View complete line history here.


TRENDS:


* Hoosiers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
* Buckeyes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
* Over is 4-1 in Hoosiers last 5 road games.
* Under is 12-3 in Buckeyes last 15 games on fieldturf.


No. 23 Colorado Buffaloes at Southern California Trojans (-4.5, 63.5)


* Despite their newfound success, the Buffaloes are dealing with a quarterback dilemma as redshirt freshman backup Steven Montez has rolled up 789 yards of total offense and accounted for seven touchdowns the last two weeks in place of Sefo Liufau, the senior who’s been sidelined with an ankle sprain suffered Sept. 17 against Michigan. Liufau, though, has steadily been ramping up his practice workload, and MacIntyre said he expects it to come down to a game-time decision Saturday. Not to be overlooked, though, is Colorado’s marked defensive improvement as the Buffaloes lead the conference in total (290.4 yards allowed per game) and passing defense (150.4 yards) on the strength of an experienced secondary featuring safety Tedric Thompson (team-most seven passes defended, two interceptions).


* The Trojans have had their own freshman step up at quarterback the last two weeks in Sam Darnold, who’s 41-of-59 passing for 605 yards and three TDs while adding a pair of rushing scores. Darnold, who replaced junior Max Browne after three games, has gotten wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster back involved after a sluggish start, and the two connected seven times for 123 yards and three TDs against Arizona State. The Trojans also stepped it up defensively against the Sun Devils, allowing only 75 rushing yards on 33 attempts and keeping the visitors out of the end zone for the game’s first 51 minutes.


LINE HISTORY: USC opened the betting week at -4.5, were bet up to -5.5 by midweek, and returned to the opening number of -4.5 by Friday afternoon. The total opened at 60.5 and rose sharply to sit at 63.5 by the end of the week. View complete line history here.


TRENDS:


* Buffaloes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
* Trojans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
* Under is 5-1 in Buffaloes last 6 conference games.
* Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.


Northern Illinois Huskies at No. 25 Western Michigan Broncos (-20, 66)


* Senior quarterback Anthony Maddie made his first start a winning one, completing 26-of-41 passes for 298 yards with two touchdowns and an interception versus Ball State after getting the job when No. 1 Drew Hare injured his hamstring and No. 2 Ryan Graham was ineffective. Senior wide receiver Kenny Golladay caught 13 passes for 184 yards and two touchdowns last week and is among the national leaders in receiving TDs (tied for fourth with six), overall TDs (tied for fifth with eight), receiving yards (ninth with 556) and receptions per game (10th, 7.4). Senior linebacker Sean Folliard was named MAC West Defensive Player of the Week after recording 17 tackles (11 solo) versus Ball State and leads the Huskies with 22 solo tackles.


* The Broncos are the only team in the nation without a turnover and the ball protection starts with senior quarterback Zach Terrell, who completes 69.7 percent of his 119 passes (12 touchdowns) for 212.6 yards per game. Senior wide receiver Corey Davis, the MAC West Offensive Player of the Week after recording 72 yards and two touchdowns versus Central Michigan, is tied with Greg Jennings for most receiving TDs in school history with 39 and is the all-time MAC receiving yards leader with 4,252. Junior linebacker Robert Spillane paces the team with 43 tackles and 25 solo while sophomore defensive lineman Eric Assoua and senior defensive end Keion Adams share the sack lead with 3.5 apiece after combining for three of Western Michigan's eight last week.


LINE HISTORY: Western Michigan opened as 18.5-point home favorites and by the end of the week that line was bet all of that way up to -20. The total began at 63.5 and rose sharply up to 66. View complete line history here.


TRENDS:


* Huskies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
* Broncos are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
* Under is 7-1 in Huskies last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Under is 6-0 in Broncos last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
* Huskies are 15-3-1 ATS in their last 19 meetings.


No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide at No. 17 Arkansas Razorbacks (+14, 49)


* Freshman quarterback Jalen Hurts (989 passing yards, seven touchdowns) is fully entrenched as the starter and that led to the recent transfer announcement from redshirt freshman Blake Barnett, who opened the season as the Crimson Tide starter. Sophomore receiver Calvin Ridley is performing well with 31 receptions for 398 yards and three touchdowns and junior wideout ArDarius Stewart could return after missing two straight games due to a knee injury. Senior defensive end Jonathan Allen has been superb with four sacks on a star-studded defense that includes senior safety Eddie Jackson (nine career interceptions) and senior weak-side linebacker Reuben Foster (team-best 35 tackles).


* Junior quarterback Austin Allen has played solid football while passing for 1,232 yards and 12 touchdowns against two interceptions. Sophomore running back Rawleigh Williams III has 559 yards and four touchdowns and junior wideout Jared Cornelius (14 receptions, 262 yards) has provided a boost with back-to-back 100-yard receiving outings. Sophomore weak-side linebacker Dre Greenlaw (35 tackles) and senior middle linebacker Brooks Ellis (34 tackles) lead the defense and senior defensive end Deatrich Wise has recorded three sacks.


LINE HISTORY: The Alabama Crimson Tide opened as 13.5-point road favorites and throughout the week that line was bumped up to 14. The total hit the board at 50.5 and by Friday afternoon it was down to 49. View complete line history here.


TRENDS:


* Crimson Tide are 8-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
* Under is 8-0 in Crimson Tide last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
* Over is 5-1 in Razorbacks last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.


No. 4 Michigan Wolverines at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (+29.5, 53)


* Left tackle Grant Newsome suffered a season-ending knee injury against the Badgers and was replaced by Juwan Bushell-Beatty, who is likely to get the start on Saturday. Kenny Allen, who made 18-of-22 field goals last year, missed two more attempts to bring his season total to 4-of-8 - prompting Wolverines head coach Jim Harbaugh to declare there will be a "kicking competition in practice" this week. Dark-horse Heisman candidate Jabrill Peppers, who led Paramus Catholic High School to two state championships, will play in New Jersey for the first time after missing Michigan's trip to Piscataway with a leg injury in 2014.


* Chris Laviano continues to struggle as he was limited to 3-of-12 passing for 33 yards while backup quarterback Tylin Odin misfired on all four of his pass attempts in the loss to Ohio State. Tyreek Maddox-Williams led the Scarlet Knights' defense with a career-high 11 tackles while Kiy Hester and Deonte Roberts added 10 tackles apiece against the Buckeyes. Cornerback Ross Douglas, who graduated from Michigan in the summer and transferred to Rutgers with two years of eligibility remaining, returned last week after missing two games with a leg injury and hopes to make some plays against his former team.


LINE HISTORY: Michigan opened the week as 26-point road dogs. It appears that opening number wasn't high enough for Wolverines backers and the line was steadily bumped up all week to sit at 29.5 on Friday afternoon. The total opened at 54 and dropped a full point to sit at 53. View complete line history here.


TRENDS:


* Wolverines are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
* Scarlet Knights are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
* Over is 12-1 in Wolverines last 13 games overall.
* Over is 6-1 in Scarlet Knights last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.


No. 6 Washington Huskies at Oregon Ducks (+9, 68.5)


* Sophomore quarterback Jake Browning has been superb and ranks third in the nation with 17 touchdown passes while completing 70.7 percent of his passes for 1,114 yards. The productive skill players include two productive tailbacks in sophomore Myles Gaskin (402 yards) and junior Lavon Coleman (335 yards, 8.2 average) and two solid receivers in junior John Ross (21 receptions for 277 yards and six touchdowns) and sophomore Chico McClatcher (16 catches for 313 yards and four scores). The Huskies have racked up 21 sacks with senior outside linebackers Psalm Wooching (4 1/2) and Joe Mathis (four) at the front of the charge and also lead the nation in fumble recoveries (11) and takeaways (15).


* The Ducks are considering switching quarterbacks with Justin Herbert replacing senior Dakota Prukop, and such a move would make Herbert the first true freshman to start at the position for Oregon since future NFL quarterback Chris Miller in 1983. The timing of the possible move seems odd with Oregon averaging 40 points behind Prukop (1,173 yards, eight touchdowns) and junior running back Royce Freeman (463 rushing yards, seven touchdowns) and about to face the nation's sixth-ranked squad. The defense is allowing 36.2 points and 490.4 yards per game and was punished for 280 rushing yards by typically pass-happy Washington State in the latest defeat.


LINE HISTORY: Washington opened as 8-point road favorites and by Monday that line was bumped up to 9. The adjusted point spread of 9 held steady all week. The total opened at 69.5 and came down a full point to 68.5. View complete line history here.


TRENDS:


* Huskies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
* Ducks are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
* Over is 7-1 in Huskies last 8 games overall.
* Over is 5-0 in Ducks last 5 conference games.
* Favorite is 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings.


No. 21 Florida State Seminoles at No. 10 Miami Hurricanes (-3, 64.5)


* The Seminoles have plenty of offensive firepower led by Cook, who has rushed for 407 yards in the last two games, and red-shirt freshman quarterback Deondre Francois (264.7 yards per game), who has exhibited poise and the ability to make plays with both his arm and his legs. His targets include Cook (19 receptions, 15.1 yards per catch) out of the backfield and speedy wide receivers Jesus Wilson (22, 15.5) and Travis Rudolph (17, 14.3). The top performers for the struggling defense, which sorely has missed defensive back Derwin James (torn meniscus), have been linebacker Matthew Thomas (30 tackles) and defensive ends DeMarcus Walker (6.5 sacks) and Brian Burns (four).


* While Kaaya - who recorded 405 yards passing in last year's loss to the Seminoles - remains the key to Miami's offense, coach Mark Richt is employing a more balanced approach this season (241.8 yards passing, 232.5 rushing) that has left opposing defenses guessing. Running backs Mark Walton (445 yards, 7.1 yards per carry versus 3.5 in 2015) and backup Joe Yearby (323, 7.3 versus 4.9) also have benefited from an improved offensive line. Although the defense gave up more rushing yards last week against Georgia Tech (267) than it had allowed in its first three games combined, it held the Yellow Jackets to three third-down conversions on 12 attempts and produced two touchdowns as freshman linebackers Shaquille Quarterman and Michael Pinckney returned fumbles for scores.


LINE HISTORY: Miami opened as 2-point home favorites over their in-state rivals from Florida State. The spread was bumped up to -3 almost immediately and has held steady all week. The total opened at 65 and on Friday afternoon was sitting at 64.5. View complete line history here.


TRENDS:


* Seminoles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
* Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
* Under is 7-1 in Seminoles last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Underdog is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 meetings.


Arizona Wildcats at No. 24 Utah Utes (-9.5, 53)


* Rodriguez won’t announce his starting quarterback until game-time as injuries have sidelined starter Anu Solomon (knee) and backup Brandon Dawkins (ribs) in recent weeks and forced Rodriguez to burn the redshirt off highly touted true freshman Khalil Tate in last week’s loss to the Bruins in the Rose Bowl. Things aren’t much better at running back where starter Nick Wilson is battling a high ankle sprain and things got so dire that slot receiver Tyrell Johnson moved to running back last week and led the team with 77 yards on 16 carries. The defense has also been ravaged by injuries – Rodriguez says there are 28 players, including 18 starters on his injury list this week – and is led by sophomore safety Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles, who has a team-high 27 tackles and two interceptions.


* The Utes definitely miss two-time All-Pac-12 running back Devontae Booker and have not had a 100-yard rusher yet in the first five games of the season. True freshman Zack Moss is averaging 77.2 yards per game and splits time with sophomore Armand Shyne who is averaging 68 yards per game while junior quarterback Troy Williams is averaging 268 yards per game passing and has six completions of 40 yards or longer. The defense, a Whittingham trademark, ranks second in the Pac-12 against the run (117.4 yards per game) and is led by junior defensive tackle Lowell Lotulelei, considered a likely first round NFL Draft pick next spring, and end Hunter Dimick, who has a team-best five sacks.


LINE HISTORY: Utah opened the betting week as 9.5-point home favorites and, despite a brief wobble up to -10, on Friday afternoon the spread was still at that opening number. The total hit the board at 53 and hasn't moved all week. View complete line history here.


TRENDS:


* Wildcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
* Utes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
* Over is 9-0 in Wildcats last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Under is 6-1 in Utes last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
* Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.


Washington State Cougars at No. 15 Stanford Cardinal (-7, 58.5)


* The Cougars are more balanced than ever but still rely heavily on quarterback Luke Falk, who ranks fourth nationally in passing at 373.8 yards per game and was 36-of-48 passing for 371 yards without an interception against Oregon. The running game has been bolstered by the development of offensive linemen Riley Sorenson, Eduardo Middleton, Cole Madison, Andre Dillard and Cody O’Connell, a first-year starter. Senior wide receiver Gabe Marks had a touchdown reception in last season’s 30-28 loss to the Cardinal and ranks sixth nationally with nine catches per game.


* Junior running back Christian McCaffrey looks to regain his standing in the Heisman Trophy race after recording a season-low 12 carries for 49 yards last week against the Huskies. Quarterback Ryan Burns struggled last week under constant pressure and needs more support from wide receivers Trent Irwin and Michael Rector along with tight end Dalton Schultz, who has just six receptions this season. In addition to its two starting cornerbacks, the team’s lengthy injury list includes right tackle Casey Tucker, wide receiver Francis Owusu and fullback Daniel Marx.


LINE HISTORY: Stanford opened the betting week as 8.5-point home favorites and by Friday afternoon that line was all of the way down to -7. The total opened at 57 and was bumped up to 58.5 late in the week. View complete line history here.


TRENDS:


* Cougars are 8-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Cardinal are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.
* Under is 4-0 in Cougars last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 4-1 in Cardinal last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF


Saturday, October 8


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Saturday's college football game of the day: Florida State at Miami
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Miami's youthful defense has far-exceeded expectations, ranking seventh in total defense (253.3 yards) and No. 2 in scoring defense (9.3 points).


Florida State Seminoles at Miami Hurricanes (-3, 64.5)


With the roles reversed from recent meetings, 10th-ranked Miami (Fla.) hosts No. 21 Florida State while favored to end a six-game losing streak against its instate ACC rival. While the Seminoles, ranked No. 4 in the preseason, already have seen their national title hopes crushed, the unbeaten Hurricanes have outscored their foes 108-44 but have yet to face a team nearly as talented as Jimbo Fisher's squad.


The Seminoles, who lost 37-35 to North Carolina last Saturday on a 54-yard field goal on the final play after rallying from a 21-0 deficit, have allowed 135 points in their last three games and rank 94th in FBS in total defense (438.4 yards per game). To be fair, while the defense clearly hasn't come close to performing to the program's usual lofty standards, FSU already has faced three of the nation's best quarterbacks - Mississippi's Chad Kelly, Heisman Trophy hopeful Lamar Jackson of Louisville and North Carolina's Mitch Trubisky - and will be tested again by Miami junior Brad Kaaya. "Just thinking about Miami winning irks my nerves," FSU star running back Dalvin Cook, who hails from Miami, told reporters. "Going down and playing them, Kaaya is a special talent, he's been having a great year and we must contain him." Miami's youthful defense has far-exceeded expectations, ranking seventh in total defense (253.3 yards) and No. 2 in scoring defense (9.3 points), but the Hurricanes' three FBS wins have come against teams ranked between 89th and 118th in total offense.


TV: 8 p.m., ABC.


LINE HISTORY: Miami opened as 2-point home favorites over their in-state rivals from Florida State. The spread was bumped up to -3 almost immediately and has held steady all week. The total opened at 65 and on Friday afternoon was sitting at 64.5. View complete line history here.


INJURY REPORT:


Florida State - OL C. Martinez (Ques Sat, knee), DT D. Taylor II (Ques Sat, shoulder), OL D. Kelly (Ques Sat, knee), WR K. Gavin (Ques Sat, toe), DB L. Taylor (Ques Sat, quadricep), RB J. Vickers (Ques Sat, concussion), WR J. Harrison (Out Indefinitely, suspension)DB D. James (Late oct, knee).


Miami - DL S. Patchan (Ques Sat, knee), QB T. Beirne (Ques Sat, personal), WR S. Bruce (Out For Season, leg), LB J. Gordinier (Out For Season, knee).


WEATHER: This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. Hurricane Matthew will have blown through the area an begun it's potential loop back for a second pass by Saturday evening. Conditions for Florida St. vs Miami will be partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid 80's. There is just a 10 percent chance of rain and winds will be light.


ABOUT FLORIDA STATE (3-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 3-1 O/U): The Seminoles have plenty of offensive firepower led by Cook, who has rushed for 407 yards in the last two games, and red-shirt freshman quarterback Deondre Francois (264.7 yards per game), who has exhibited poise and the ability to make plays with both his arm and his legs. His targets include Cook (19 receptions, 15.1 yards per catch) out of the backfield and speedy wide receivers Jesus Wilson (22, 15.5) and Travis Rudolph (17, 14.3). The top performers for the struggling defense, which sorely has missed defensive back Derwin James (torn meniscus), have been linebacker Matthew Thomas (30 tackles) and defensive ends DeMarcus Walker (6.5 sacks) and Brian Burns (four).


ABOUT MIAMI (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS, 3-1 O/U): While Kaaya - who recorded 405 yards passing in last year's loss to the Seminoles - remains the key to Miami's offense, coach Mark Richt is employing a more balanced approach this season (241.8 yards passing, 232.5 rushing) that has left opposing defenses guessing. Running backs Mark Walton (445 yards, 7.1 yards per carry versus 3.5 in 2015) and backup Joe Yearby (323, 7.3 versus 4.9) also have benefited from an improved offensive line. Although the defense gave up more rushing yards last week against Georgia Tech (267) than it had allowed in its first three games combined, it held the Yellow Jackets to three third-down conversions on 12 attempts and produced two touchdowns as freshman linebackers Shaquille Quarterman and Michael Pinckney returned fumbles for scores.


TRENDS:


* Seminoles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
* Hurricanes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
* Under is 7-1 in Seminoles last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
* Underdog is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 meetings.


CONSENSUS: The Miami Hurricanes are picking up 55 percent of the spread picks made by bettors and Over is grabbing 54 percent of the totals wagers.




----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL TRENDS


ATS


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