Cnotes 2016 College Football Best Bets,Trends,Stat, News !!

[CNOTES]

NCAAF


Week 7


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Trend Report
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Wednesday, October 12


8:00 PM
APPALACHIAN STATE vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
Appalachian State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Appalachian State is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home
Louisiana-Lafayette is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games




Thursday, October 13


7:30 PM
NAVY vs. EAST CAROLINA
Navy is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Navy's last 5 games when playing East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of East Carolina's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of East Carolina's last 12 games




Friday, October 14


7:00 PM
DUKE vs. LOUISVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Duke's last 6 games on the road
Duke is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games


8:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. TULANE
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tulane
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulane
Tulane is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Tulane is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home


10:00 PM
SAN DIEGO STATE vs. FRESNO STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State's last 7 games when playing Fresno State
San Diego State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Fresno State
Fresno State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Fresno State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home


10:15 PM
MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. BYU
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Mississippi State's last 9 games on the road
Mississippi State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
BYU is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of BYU's last 13 games at home

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday, October 15


12:00 PM
ILLINOIS vs. RUTGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Illinois's last 16 games
Illinois is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Rutgers is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
Rutgers is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games


12:00 PM
KANSAS STATE vs. OKLAHOMA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma
Kansas State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma's last 7 games at home


12:00 PM
VANDERBILT vs. GEORGIA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vanderbilt's last 9 games when playing Georgia
Vanderbilt is 2-19 SU in its last 21 games when playing Georgia
Georgia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt
Georgia is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing Vanderbilt


12:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. MARYLAND
Minnesota is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 5 games at home
Maryland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


12:00 PM
IOWA vs. PURDUE
Iowa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Purdue
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's last 7 games when playing on the road against Purdue
Purdue is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Iowa
Purdue is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games


12:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. CLEMSON
North Carolina State is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing Clemson
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 6 games when playing Clemson
Clemson is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games at home
Clemson is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing North Carolina State


12:00 PM
LAFAYETTE vs. ARMY
Lafayette is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Lafayette is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Army is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Army is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home


12:00 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. TEXAS TECH
West Virginia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
West Virginia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas Tech's last 8 games
Texas Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


12:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. VIRGINIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Virginia's last 9 games at home


12:30 PM
GA SOUTHERN vs. GEORGIA TECH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ga Southern's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ga Southern's last 7 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Georgia Tech is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games


2:00 PM
EASTERN MICHIGAN vs. OHIO
Eastern Michigan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ohio
Eastern Michigan is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ohio
Ohio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ohio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


2:30 PM
KENT STATE vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kent State's last 8 games on the road
Kent State is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 6 games when playing at home against Kent State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 5 games when playing Kent State


2:30 PM
WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Western Kentucky is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Middle Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games when playing Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Middle Tennessee is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games


3:30 PM
LOUISIANA TECH vs. MASSACHUSETTS
Louisiana Tech is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Louisiana Tech is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Massachusetts is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Massachusetts's last 10 games at home


3:30 PM
NEBRASKA vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Nebraska's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games at home


3:30 PM
KANSAS vs. BAYLOR
Kansas is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas


3:30 PM
GEORGIA STATE vs. TROY
Georgia State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Georgia State's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Troy's last 6 games at home
Troy is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


3:30 PM
BALL STATE vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Ball State's last 12 games
Ball State is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Ball State


3:30 PM
AIR FORCE vs. NEW MEXICO
Air Force is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Mexico
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Air Force's last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico's last 5 games
New Mexico is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games


3:30 PM
WAKE FOREST vs. FLORIDA STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida State
Wake Forest is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Florida State
Florida State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
Florida State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Wake Forest


3:30 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. TOLEDO
Bowling Green is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Toledo
Bowling Green is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Toledo
Toledo is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Bowling Green
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Bowling Green


3:30 PM
CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Central Michigan is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Northern Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 6 games when playing on the road against Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Northern Illinois is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home


3:30 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 6 of North Carolina's last 9 games
North Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against North Carolina
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing North Carolina


3:30 PM
ALABAMA vs. TENNESSEE
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama's last 6 games on the road
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Alabama
Tennessee is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Alabama


3:30 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. AKRON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games on the road
Western Michigan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Akron's last 13 games at home
Akron is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


3:30 PM
SOUTHERN CAL vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Southern Cal's last 10 games when playing Arizona
Southern Cal is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 10 games when playing Southern Cal
Arizona is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing Southern Cal


3:30 PM
NORTHWESTERN vs. MICHIGAN STATE
Northwestern is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northwestern's last 5 games when playing Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games when playing at home against Northwestern
Michigan State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northwestern


3:45 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. SYRACUSE
Virginia Tech is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Virginia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Syracuse is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Syracuse is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home


4:00 PM
MISSOURI vs. FLORIDA
Missouri is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 5 games on the road
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Florida's last 12 games


4:00 PM
UTAH vs. OREGON STATE
Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Utah is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Oregon State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Oregon State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home


5:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. IDAHO
New Mexico State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Idaho
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Idaho
Idaho is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Idaho's last 8 games when playing New Mexico State


6:00 PM
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. CHARLOTTE
Florida International is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Florida International is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 2-8-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Charlotte is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games


7:00 PM
TEXAS STATE vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas State's last 6 games
Texas State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games at home


7:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI vs. ARKANSAS
Mississippi is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Arkansas
Mississippi is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arkansas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas's last 9 games when playing Mississippi
Arkansas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Mississippi


7:00 PM
SOUTH ALABAMA vs. ARKANSAS STATE
South Alabama is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games
South Alabama is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arkansas State's last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Arkansas State's last 25 games


7:00 PM
UTSA vs. RICE
UTSA is 0-3-2 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
UTSA is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Rice is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
Rice is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home


7:00 PM
TULSA vs. HOUSTON
Tulsa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tulsa's last 7 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Tulsa


7:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
Connecticut is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing South Florida
Connecticut is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against South Florida
South Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
South Florida is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home


7:00 PM
IOWA STATE vs. TEXAS
Iowa State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
Iowa State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Texas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Iowa State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games at home


7:00 PM
FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. MARSHALL
Florida Atlantic is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Florida Atlantic is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Marshall is 16-7-1 ATS in its last 24 games at home
Marshall is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games


7:30 PM
SOUTHERN MISS vs. LSU
Southern Miss is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Southern Miss's last 11 games
LSU is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LSU's last 5 games


7:30 PM
TEMPLE vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
Temple is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Temple's last 6 games on the road
Central Florida is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
Central Florida is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home


7:30 PM
STANFORD vs. NOTRE DAME
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Stanford's last 18 games on the road
Stanford is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Stanford
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Notre Dame's last 8 games when playing at home against Stanford


8:00 PM
ARIZONA STATE vs. COLORADO
Arizona State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona State's last 9 games
Colorado is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Colorado is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games


8:00 PM
OHIO STATE vs. WISCONSIN
Ohio State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Wisconsin
Ohio State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 6 games
Wisconsin is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Ohio State


10:15 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. BOISE STATE
Colorado State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boise State
Colorado State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boise State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boise State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home


10:30 PM
UCLA vs. WASHINGTON STATE
UCLA is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
UCLA is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington State
Washington State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing UCLA
Washington State is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games


10:30 PM
NEVADA vs. SAN JOSE STATE
Nevada is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Nevada is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose State's last 5 games when playing Nevada
San Jose State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nevada


11:59 PM
UNLV vs. HAWAII
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UNLV's last 5 games when playing Hawaii
UNLV is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Hawaii
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hawaii's last 5 games when playing UNLV
Hawaii is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF


Monday, October 10




College football underdogs went 35-19 ATS last week (20-34 SU), covering at 60%, including a 22-10 ATS mark from road dogs (69% ATS winner).

 

[CNOTES]

West Virginia placekicker Josh Lambert leaves team
October 11, 2016


MORGANTOWN, W.Va. (AP) West Virginia placekicker Josh Lambert has left the team.


Coach Dana Holgorsen didn't disclose a reason for Lambert's departure at his weekly news conference Tuesday and declined further comment.


Lambert played in one game this season after serving a three-game suspension for an undisclosed violation of Big 12 eligibility rules that also forced him to sit out spring practice. Lambert missed one of two field goals in a 17-16 win over Kansas State on Oct. 1.


Mike Molina has made five of six tries this season in Lambert's place.


No. 20 West Virginia (4-0, 1-0 Big 12) plays at Texas Tech (3-2, 1-1) on Saturday. In 2014, Lambert kicked a 55-yard field goal as time expired to beat the Red Raiders 37-34 in Lubbock.


Lambert was five field goals shy of the school career record.

 

[CNOTES]

Minnesota lists QB Mitch Leidner as out vs. Maryland
October 11, 2016


MINNEAPOLIS (AP) Minnesota has ruled out quarterback Mitch Leidner for Saturday's game against Maryland.


The depth chart for the week released by the team on Tuesday listed junior Conor Rhoda as the starter and sophomore Demry Croft as the backup. The Gophers have not yet said that Leidner is injured, but the senior struggled through the last game, against Iowa, and was not made available to the media afterward.


Leidner completed only 13 of 33 passes for 166 yards, with two interceptions in the 14-7 loss to the Hawkeyes. He played through a painful left foot injury last year that required surgery.


The matchup between with the Gophers (3-2, 0-2) and the Terrapins (4-1, 1-1) is the first regular-season game between them.

 

[CNOTES]

AP Heisman Watch: Jackson leads, but Browning surges
October 11, 2016


The challenge for Lamar Jackson as he chases the Heisman Trophy is to maintain front-runner status while playing games that will not be drawing a lot of attention.


No. 7 Louisville and its star quarterback get back into action this week for the first of five straight games in which they will be big favorites. On one hand, Jackson and the No. 1 offense in the country have a chance to put up some big stats and lopsided victories. On the other hand, there will be few chances for those Heisman moments that usually come in marquee matchups - such as the Cardinals' last game at No. 3 Clemson.


For now, Jackson is still the overwhelming leader in The Associated Press' Heisman Watch, receiving the first-place votes from all seven AP sports writers polled. Only four players made each voters' top three.


The AP prohibits its journalists from voting for awards such as the Heisman so none of those polled are actual Heisman voters. Three points are given for a first-place vote, two for second and one for third.


1. Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville (21 points)


Last week: Off.


Next: Duke, which ranks seventh in the Atlantic Coast Conference in defense at 5.09 yards per play.


2. Deshaun Watson, QB, Clemson (11 points)


Last week: Watson threw four touchdown passes and no interceptions in a rout of Boston College. He already has seven picks so keeping that number down the rest of the way will be important. He ran for only 28 yards against the Eagles, mostly because he didn't have to do much running.


Next: North Carolina State, which ranks fifth in the ACC in defense at 4.47 yards per play. Watson threw for 383 yards and five touchdowns and ran for a score against the Wolfpack last season.


3. Jake Browning, QB, Washington (8 points)


Last week: The sophomore made his Heisman statement, accounting for eight touchdowns in a blowout of Oregon. He leads the nation in touchdown passes (23) and efficiency rating (204.86). Could be the latest Pac-12 star to test the East Coast bias theory in Heisman voting.


Next: Oregon State, Oct. 22.

4. Greg Ward Jr., QB, Houston (2 points)


Last week: Ward threw two interceptions, including a pick six, in the Cougars' first loss with him as a starting quarterback since 2014. He also had 359 yards passing, 94 rushing and was in on four touchdowns. Still, it will be hard for Ward to stay here as Houston's playoff hopes fade.


Next: Tulsa, which ranks fifth in the American Athletic Conference in defense at 5.07 yards per play.


FIVE MORE TO WATCH:


- Jabrill Peppers, LB/RB/PR, Michigan. If the Wolverines continue using Peppers on offense the way they did against hapless Rutgers, he could make a serious run at Jackson. If that was just a showcase for Peppers in his home state, he is a fringe candidate.


- J.T. Barrett, QB, Ohio State. Could get usurped by versatile teammate Curtis Samuel, who is pace to make a run at 1,000 yards both rushing and receiving.


- Dalvin Cook, RB, Florida State. The junior surged against Miami and still has potential marquee games left against No. 2 Clemson and No. 18 Florida.


- Donnel Pumphrey, RB, San Diego State. The nation's leading rusher probably needs to reach 2,000 yards to get an invite to New York.


- Patrick Mahomes, QB, Texas Tech. The numbers are crazy (454 yards passing per game), but the Red Raiders' defense is crazy bad and it's hard to overcome the system-QB label on a mediocre team.

 

[CNOTES]

No. 9 Tennessee dismisses DT Danny O'Brien from team
October 10, 2016


KNOXVILLE, Tenn. (AP) Tennessee has dismissed defensive tackle Danny O'Brien from the program for an unspecified violation of team rules.


The school announced his dismissal from the team Monday. The move comes two days after O'Brien was carted off the field in a 45-38 overtime loss at Texas A&M.


In the release announcing O'Brien's dismissal, school officials said the news is unrelated to the injury. The release also said that ''should he require any additional care, it will be provided by the University of Tennessee.''


''I take full responsibility,'' O'Brien tweeted Monday night. ''I'm grateful for my teammates, coaches and Vol nation. It has been (an) honor to help bring this program back.''


O'Brien started each of Tennessee's first six games and had 14 tackles, including three for loss. The fifth-year senior from Flint, Michigan, had made 18 career starts over the last three seasons.


The ninth-ranked Volunteers (5-1, 2-1 SEC) host No. 1 Alabama (6-0, 3-0) on Saturday.

 

[CNOTES]

UCLA coach Mora hopeful QB Rosen can play at Washington St
October 10, 2016


LOS ANGELES (AP) UCLA coach Jim Mora is ''hopeful'' quarterback Josh Rosen will be able to play at Washington State on Saturday. Regardless of Rosen's status, there are fundamental issues for the Bruins offense to address.


Rosen was twice knocked out of the 23-20 loss at Arizona State, with a right leg injury leaving the sophomore limping in the first half and a hard landing on his throwing shoulder in the fourth quarter sidelining him for the rest of the game.


Mora would not go into specifics regarding either and instead took the approach used by NHL coaches, referring to Rosen's ailments as upper body and lower body injuries. Still, Mora expects Rosen to exhaust every option to be able to play against the Cougars.


''He doesn't want to let anyone down and loves to compete,'' Mora said. ''I was impressed by the way he came back in and fought through some obvious pain and delivered a pretty good performance. I think he showed some grit, some toughness and I think his teammates appreciated that.''


Rosen threw for 400 yards and two touchdowns with one interception against the Sun Devils. Former walk-on Mike Fafaul was 3 of 11 passing for 44 yards and two interceptions in relief of Rosen, neither quarterback getting any help from the beleaguered UCLA run game as Nate Starks and Soso Jamabo rushed for just 40 yards on 17 carries.


Despite spending the offseason installing a run-oriented offense intended to become more physical, UCLA is averaging 2.95 yards per carry, ahead of only Miami (Ohio) and Texas State among the 128 FBS teams.


UCLA has 595 yards rushing this season. Washington State, a pass-heavy Air Raid offense that lines up with four receivers most of the time, has run for 381 yards in its last two games, outrushing Oregon and Stanford by 106 yards combined in those wins.


''Right now we're just sub-standard in a lot of ways in the run game,'' Mora said. ''That's not a statement that is going to astound people. We all know that.''


Those meager rushing statistics are exacerbated by the 15 sacks allowed, four more than UCLA surrendered all of last season.


Mora won't assign the blame for the offense's struggles to any one player or position group. Instead, Mora pointed to a series of individual breakdowns that can cause a negative play, be it a running back not picking up the right defender in pass protection or misreading a block carrying the ball, a wide receiver not running the right route, or the quarterback holding the ball too long. And when the rush offense isn't effective, opponents can unleash the pass rush on Rosen or Fafaul.


''It's a fine line between being 6-0 and 3-3, and we have to find a way to get over that line and make those plays when they need to be made,'' Mora said.


UCLA has been in this position before, starting 1-2 in Pac-12 play in four of Mora's five seasons. The difference this time is the offense's confidence is a ''little shaken,'' Mora admitted, making the balance between making corrections and maintaining belief in the new system difficult.


''You have got to find a way to be critical and demanding and honest with yourself. At the same time you have got to find a way to build confidence back and that's tricky,'' Mora said. ''You got to have some success. You have got to try to create some success.''

NOTES: Mora expects right tackle Kolton Miller (left leg) to return this season. Miller did not play against Arizona State and is still in a cast after suffering the injury against Arizona. ''It's just a matter of when,'' Mora said. ''It's a pain thing. If it was season-ending I'd tell you.''

 

[CNOTES]

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 12


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


APP at ULL 08:00 PM

APP -10.0


O 48.0

 

[CNOTES]

App State at UL-Lafayette
October 11, 2016

UL-Lafayette ripped off four consecutive 9-4 seasons that were each capped by wins at the New Orleans Bowl to start Mark Hudspeth’s tenure. Before his arrival, the Ragin’ Cajuns had never been invited to the postseason.


Since the start of the 2015 campaign, however, Hudspeth’s program has lost 11 of 17 games. UL-Lafayette could be staring at another defeat on Wednesday if the oddsmakers are correct.


As of Tuesday night, most books had Appalachian State (3-2 straight up, 3-2 against the spread) installed as a 10-point road favorite for its trip to Cajun Field. The total was 48.5 points, while UL-L was +300 on the money line (risk $100 to win $300). For first-half wagers, the Mountaineers were favored by six with a total of 24.5.


Scott Satterfield’s team dropped a heartbreaker at Tennessee in Week 1. Appalachian State led 13-3 against the Volunteers at halftime, but a missed extra point in the first half and a sliced 42-yard field goal in the fourth quarter allowed UT to force overtime.


Then in the extra session on a third-and-goal play, UT quarterback Josh Dobbs scrambled to his right and dove for the end zone. An Appalachian State defender stuck Dobbs and forced a fumble, but Jalen Hurd recovered for the Vols to give them a touchdown.


When a fourth-and-five throw to the end zone was off the mark, Tennessee collected a fortunate 20-13 victory even though the Mountaineers easily took the cash as 21-point road underdogs. The 33 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 58-point total.


After thumping Old Dominion 31-7 as a 21-point home ‘chalk,’ Appalachian State welcomed Miami to Kidd Brewer Stadium for the biggest home game in the program’s history. It didn’t go as Satterfield would’ve hoped. The Hurricanes raced out to an early lead and coasted to a 45-10 win as 4.5-point road favorites.


Not only did ASU get thumped, but it also lost star RB Marcus Cox to a leg injury. Cox, who was a second-team All Sun Belt selection in 2015 when he rushed for 1,423 yards and nine TDs, has missed back-to-back games since the loss to UM. He is listed as ‘questionable’ this week.


Appalachian State bounced back from the loss to Miami to capture a 45-38 win at Akron as a 4.5-point road favorite. The 83 combined points sailed ‘over’ the 56-point total. Junior QB Taylor Lamb and sophomore RB Jalin Moore stole the show against the Zips.


Moore was a workhorse, rushing 39 times for 257 yards and two TDs. He ripped off TD runs of 32 and 49 yards. Lamb connected on 22-of-30 throws for 280 yards and three TDs without an interception. Lamb also had a one-yard TD run.


In its last outing on Oct. 1, ASU beat Georgia State 17-3 but failed to cover the spread as a 19-point home favorite. Moore rushed for 159 yards and one TD on 28 carries, while the defense limited the Panthers to 241 yards and produced four interceptions.


Moore has rushed for a team-high 564 yards and three TDs, averaging 5.1 yards per carry. Before getting injured, Cox had run for 278 yards and three TDs while averaging 5.7 YPC. Lamb has completed 61.7 percent of his passes for 827 yards with a 6/4 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Senior TE Barrett Burns has 10 receptions for 170 yards and one TD.


UL-L (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS) has dropped back-to-back games in six total overtimes and by eight combined points. That’s right, the Ragin’ Cajuns lost a 41-39 decision at Tulane in four OTs on Sept. 24. Then on Oct. 1, they lost 37-31 at New Mexico State in double overtime.


In the defeat against the Green Wave, UL-L covered the spread as a three-point road underdog. Bettors backing the ‘under’ (46.5 pts.) took a massively bad beat. The score was 16-16 at the end of regulation, but the four extra sessions netted 48 combined points.


Per NCAA rules, both teams have to attempt a two-point conversion starting in the fourth OT. Tulane scored first and converted its two-point try. UL-L answered with a 22-yard TD run by Elijah McGuire, but the two-point pass failed to end the game.


McGuire rushed for 89 yards and a pair of TDs on 38 carries. He also had four catches for 48 yards and one TD. QB Anthony Jennings, the transfer from LSU, threw for 240 yards and two TDs but he was also intercepted twice. Al Riles had six receptions for 70 yards.


Stevie Artigue’s third field goal from 47 yards out with 2:58 remaining forced overtime in the loss to the Aggies in Las Cruces. Jennings was benched after throwing a second interception that resulted in a pick-six. Darius Hoggins rushed 12 times for 81 yards and one TD, while Riles had eight catches for 110 yards.


UL-L opened the season by getting blasted at home by Boise State, 45-10, as an 18.5-point home underdog. The Ragin’ Cajuns would respond with consecutive wins vs. McNeese State (30-22) and vs. South Alabama (28-23), taking the cash as single-digit home favorites in both instances.


For the season, Jennings has completed 60.7 percent of his passes for 995 yards with an 8/6 TD-INT ratio. Riles has been his favorite target, hauling in 26 receptions for 374 yards and one TD. Ja’Marcus Bradley has 15 catches for 237 yards and one TD, while Keenan Barnes has 13 grabs for 148 yards a team-high four TDs.


McGuire, who was the Sun Belt Conference Player of the Year two seasons ago, has run for 517 yards and three TDs while averaging 5.2 YPC. Jennings also has two rushing scores to his credit.


During Satterfield’s four-year tenure, ASU owns a 5-1 spread record in six games as a road ‘chalk.’ Meanwhile, UL-L has compiled a 2-1 record both SU and ATS in just three games as a home underdog on Hudspeth’s watch.


The ‘under’ is 3-2 overall for the Mountaineers, 1-1 in their road assignments. The Ragin’ Cajuns have seen the ‘under’ go 2-1 in their home games, 2-2-1 overall.


Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**


-- Jerod Evans has a 15/1 TD-INT ratio while leading Virginia Tech to a 4-1 record. He’s also second on Justin Fuente’s team in rushing with 258 yards and two TDs for a 4.2 YPC average. The Hokies have 40/1 odds to win the CFP at the Westgate SuperBook. When you look at their schedule, it’s not unreasonable to see them winning out in the rest of their regular-season games.


-- If you look at the Big 12 standings, you’ll see Iowa State with a 1-5 record. However, if you dig a little deeper, you can see that Matt Campbell has the Cyclones improving. In fact, they’ve been a serious money maker for our purposes. Campbell’s bunch has covered the number in four consecutive games and the ‘over’ has hit in all four of those contests as well. ISU took Baylor and Oklahoma State to the wire the last two weeks, nearly winning outright and easily taking the cash as a double-digit underdog in both games.


-- USF’s Quinton Flowers has 1,317 passing yards and an 11/3 TD-INT ratio. Also, the Bulls QB has 498 rushing yards and four TDs while averaging 6.4 YPC.


-- Minnesota QB Mitch Leidner has been ruled ‘out’ this week at Maryland.


-- Stanford star RB Christian McCaffrey is ‘questionable’ at Notre Dame.


-- Only one team remains unscathed for our purposes and that would be Colorado with its 6-0 spread record.


-- The worst ATS squads are Oregon (0-5-1 ATS) and FAU (0-6 ATS).

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Dunkel


Week 7


Wednesday, October 12


Appalachian St @ LA-Lafayette


Game 101-102
October 12, 2016 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Appalachian St
81.032
LA-Lafayette
75.680
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 5 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Appalachian St
by 10 1/2
49
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Lafayette
(+10 1/2); Over




Thursday, October 13


NC A&T @ Bethune Cookman


Game 303-304
October 13, 2016 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
NC A&T
65.125
Bethune Cookman
44.835
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC A&T
by 20 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC A&T
by 19 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NC A&T
(-19 1/2); Over


Monmouth @ Presbyterian


Game 301-302
October 13, 2016 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Monmouth
57.419
Presbyterian
48.882
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Monmouth
by 8 1/2
31
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Monmouth
by 6
34 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Monmouth
(-6); Under




Friday, October 14


San Diego St @ Fresno State


Game 113-114
October 14, 2016 @ 10:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
San Diego St
86.679
Fresno State
60.621
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego St
by 26 1/2
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 16 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego St
(-16 1/2); Over


Mississippi St @ Brigham Young


Game 111-112
October 14, 2016 @ 10:15 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi St
88.364
Brigham Young
99.830
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 11 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 7
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brigham Young
(-7); Over


Memphis @ Tulane


Game 109-110
October 14, 2016 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
90.628
Tulane
85.078
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 6 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 12
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tulane
(+12); Over


Duke @ Louisville


Game 107-108
October 14, 2016 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Duke
82.208
Louisville
110.794
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisville
by 28 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisville
by 35 1/2
71
Dunkel Pick:
Duke
(+35 1/2); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Short Sheet


Week 7


Wed – Oct. 12


Appalachian State at LA Lafayette, 8:00 PM ET
Appalachian St: 3-10 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56
LA Lafayette: 4-1 ATS after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games




Fri – Oct. 14


Duke at Louisville, 7:00 PM ET
Duke: 19-7 ATS in games played on turf
Louisville: 10-22 ATS in home games after a 2 game road trip


Memphis at Tulane, 8:00 PM ET
Memphis: 15-5 UNDER in road games off a win against a conference rival
Tulane: 8-20 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs

Mississippi State at BYU, 10:15 PM ET
Mississippi St: 9-0 ATS after playing a game at home
BYU: 5-7 ATS after playing their last game on the road

San Diego State at Fresno State, 10:00 PM ET
San Diego St: 8-1 ATS against conference opponents
Fresno St: 22-44 ATS after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 7




Wednesday’s game


Appalachian State beat UL-Lafayette 28-7/35-16 last two meetings, running ball for 462 yards while out gaining Cajuns by 162 yards/game. ASU lost to Tennessee, Miami (guarantee games) but won other three games by 24-7-14 points, running ball for 251.7 yards/game vs similar competition- they’re 5-1 as a road favorite since moving up to I-A. ULL allowed 78 points in losing last two games to Tulane/New Mexico State, both on road- they’re 2-1 as home dogs under Hudspeth. Sun Belt home teams are 5-4 vs spread, 2-1 as home underdogs.


Navy-East Carolina game scheduled for Thursday was moved to November 19 because of the flooding in North Carolina.


Friday’s games


Louisville had 12 days off since 42-36 loss at Clemson, when they outgained Tigers 568-507 but lost; Cardinals gained 530+ yards in all five games this year- their four wins this year are all by 31+ points- their home wins this year are by 56-43 points. Louisville is 6-6 as home favorite since Petrino returned as coach, 2-0 this year. Duke is 2-3 vs I-A teams after slogging thru 13-6 win over Army in downpour LW; Blue Devils’ losses this year are by 10-11-14 points- they’re 7-4 in last 11 games as a road underdog, with a 38-35 win at Notre Dame earlier this year.


Memphis won its last nine games with Tulane, winning last five by 14+ points; Tigers won last four visits to Big Easy- they beat Green Wave 38-7/41-13 last two years, are 2-1 as a road favorite in series. Memphis allowed 806 passing yards in last two games but beat Temple LW in game where Owls out gained them by 208 yards; Tigers are 5-4-2 as road favorites last decade- they lost 48-28 at Ole Miss in only road game this year. Tulane scored 72 points in winning its last two games; they’re 2-8 in last 10 games as a home underdog, 0-1 this year.


Mississippi State got waffled at home by Auburn LW, after they missed chip-shot FG when score was 0-0; Bulldogs allowed 527 rushing yards in last two games, including 299 at UMass, a huge red flag. MSU covered seven of last nine games as a road underdog. BYU scored 86 points in winning its last two games, pulling 31-14 upset at Michigan State LW; Cougars are 5-1 in last six games as a home favorite- their two home games this year were decided by total of five points. SEC teams are 12-13 vs spread in non-conference games, 2-2 as road underdogs.


Favorites are 3-0-1 vs spread in last four San Diego State-Fresno State games; Aztecs lost last three visits here, by 11-12-2 points, but they outgained Fresno 409-89 in LY’s 21-7 home win. San Diego State is 7-3 in last ten games as a road favorite, 1-1 this year. Bulldogs are 3-4 as a home dog under DeRuyter, 1-0 this year- they blew a 31-0 lead at home and lost to Tulsa in OT earlier this year. Mountain West home underdogs are 3-2 vs spread this year. Over is 3-1 in last four games for both teams.

 

[CNOTES]

Sharps are closely monitoring these Week 7 college football games

Keep an eye on the total for Saturday's game between Texas Tech and West Virginia. It opened at a very high 80 and has already moved to 83.


Spread to bet now


Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+21) at Florida State Seminoles


This line briefly opened +23.5 with most other books opening +22.5 and then was quickly bet down to the key number of +21. Wake Forest remains an underrated team this season, going 5-1 SU in Dave Clawson's third season as the head coach. The Demon Deacons played Florida State tough last season, only losing 24-16 as a 19-point home underdog. Wake Forest held a 27-14 first down edge and 357-329 total yards advantage in that game.


This is a bad scheduling spot for Florida State as they are coming off two close and hard fought games. The Seminoles lost a high-scoring 37-37 shootout versus North Carolina, but then bounced back for a 20-19 road underdog win against rival Miami Florida last week. The Seminoles will likely overlook this game versus Wake Forest this week, especially with a bye week and then Clemson on deck.


Spread to wait on


Iowa State Cyclones (+13.5) at Texas Longhorns


This line opened +14, but was quickly bet down to +13.5. Wait as the key number of +14 might show up once again if the public pushes this line back up later in the week. Iowa State's offense is heating up and has scored 44, 42, and 31 points in their past three games after scoring just 20, 3, and 20 points in the first three games of the season. The Cyclones should have continued success against a struggling Texas defense that has allowed 39.6 points and 477 total yards per game (6.4 yards per play) this year.


The Longhorns had high hopes this season after their 2-0 SU/ATS start which included an important home win versus Notre Dame. However, Texas has since gone 0-3 SU in their past three games which includes a close 45-40 loss versus rival Oklahoma last week. That high-scoring loss will likely leave the Longhorns flat this week, especially as a double-digit favorite after just being a double-digit underdog last week.


Total to watch


West Virginia Mountaineers at Texas Tech Red Raiders (83)


This total briefly opened at 80.5 as was quickly bet up to the current number of 83 which is where most other sportsbooks opened the line. This is a very high total and for good reason as Texas Tech likes to play fast, scoring at least 55 points or more offensively in four of their five games this season. Overall, the Red Raiders are averaging 650 total yards per game and 7.7 yards per play (versus opponents that allow just 485 yards and 6.3 yppl).


West Virginia is coming off a bye week after their low-scoring 17-16 win versus Kansas State, but the Mountaineers should have more offensive success this week against a poor Texas Tech defense. The Red Raiders have allowed 38.6 points and 445 total yards per game this season, including permitting 68, 45, and 44 points against the three decent opponents that Texas Tech has faced this year.

 

[CNOTES]

ACC Report - Week 7
October 12, 2016


2016 ACC STANDINGS


Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under


Boston College 3-3 0-3 2-3-1 2-4


Clemson 6-0 3-0 4-2 2-4


Duke 3-3 0-2 3-3 1-5


Florida State 4-2 1-2 3-2 3-2


Georgia Tech 3-3 1-3 2-2-1 2-2-1


Louisville 4-1 2-1 3-1-1 5-0


Miami (Fla.) 4-1 1-1 4-1 3-2


North Carolina 4-2 2-1 3-3 3-3


North Carolina State 4-1 1-0 4-1 3-1-1


Pittsburgh 4-2 1-1 1-5 5-1


Syracuse 2-4 0-2 2-4 2-4


Virginia 2-3 1-0 3-1-1 1-3-1


Virginia Tech 4-1 2-0 3-2 3-2


Wake Forest 5-1 2-1 3-3 3-3




Duke at Louisville (Fri. - ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Duke has been rather erratic this season, winning on the road at Notre Dame, taking care of Army in the rain and slop last weekend, but also losing games to Northwestern and Wake Forest. You never know which team is going to show up. They head to Louisville Friday night in a game which opened at 32, and now has Louisville favored by 35 1/2 as of Wednesday morning. The Blue Devils are 8-3 ATS in their past 11 road games, but they're 1-5 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning record and 1-6 ATS in their past seven inside the ACC. Louisville is 5-1-1 ATS in the past seven overall, and 4-1 ATS in their past five at home. They're coming off a bye following their loss at Clemson two weeks ago. The Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their past four in the month of October, and 6-13 ATS in their past 19 on Fridays. They're also 2-5 ATS in their past seven coming off a bye.

North Carolina State at Clemson (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Wolfpack might finally be dried out after a 10-3 win in tropical storm conditions in Raleigh last weekend against Notre Dame. It was a sloppy game on both sides in a driving rain with plenty of wind, and really not much can be taken from the win except for the positive, which was the win. Other than that, it was a complete opposite to how N.C. State has played to date. They have scored plenty of points and allowed plenty of points. They head in 4-1 ATS in their past five games, but they're 1-5 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning overall record. Clemson has covered four straight league games, they're 4-0 ATS in their past four in the month of October and they're 6-1 ATS in their past seven against teams with a winning overall record. The road team is 12-4 ATS in the past 16 in this series, with the Wolfpack 4-1 ATS in their past five trips to Death Valley. Total bettors might like to know the 'under' is 4-1 in the past five in this series, and 13-6 in Clemson's past 19 at home. However, the 'over' is 8-3 in Clemson's past 11 ACC games, and 6-1-1 in N.C. State's past eight overall.

Georgia Southern at Georgia Tech (ACC Network, 12:30 p.m. ET)
The Ramblin' Wreck steps out of conference for an in-state game against Georgia Southern, but the Eagles of the Sun Belt Conference are definitely a quality team. They're 3-2 SU, but just 1-4 ATS on the season and the 'under' has hit in four of their five games overall. The Eagles enter on a two-game losing streak. Georgia Tech enters on a three-game skid themselves, but their losses have come against Clemson, Miami and Pittsburgh, not Western Michigan and Arkansas State. The Jackets enter as 10 1/2-point favorites as of Wednesday morning, and they look to stay hot against the number versus non-conference teams. They're 5-2 ATS in their past seven outside of the ACC, but they're just 2-9 ATS in the past 11 against teams with winning records and 1-4 ATS in their past five at home. Georgia Southern has covered 11 of their past 15 outside of the Sun Belt.


Pittsburgh at Virginia (ACC Network, 12:30 p.m.)
Pitt heads down to Charlottesville to battle UVA, looking for their fifth win of the season. The Panthers enter as a field-goal favorite, and bettors have been hitting Virginia hard after the line opened at Cavaliers plus-5. That's likely because Pitt is just 1-7 ATS in their past eight games overall, although they are an impressive 7-3 ATS in their past 10 road outings. They're hitting Virginia hard because they have covered seven straight conference games, and they're 15-5-1 ATS in their past 21 games against teams with a winning overall record. They're also 4-1 ATS in their past five games at Scott Stadium. The home team has posted a 3-1-1 ATS in the past five meetings in this series, although the favorite is also 4-1-1 ATS in the past six in this series.


Wake Forest at Florida State (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
Florida State salvaged their season with a win at Miami last Saturday night, blocking an extra point for a huge win, their first in the ACC in three tries. Wake won in the slop of Hurricane Matthew, taking down Syracuse by a 28-9 score. The Demon Deacons head into this one with covers in four of their past five road games, and they're 4-1 ATS in their past five road outings against a team with a winning home mark. The Seminoles have covered five of their past seven home games, and eight of the past 11 games overall. However, they're just 2-5 ATS in their past seven home games against a team with a winning road record, and 8-18 ATS in their past 26 games following a straight-up win. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings in this series, and Wake is 2-5 ATS in the past seven meetings.

North Carolina at Miami-Florida (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
Unlike other schools from the Tar Heel state, North Carolina didn't fare very well in the wind and rain during last weekend's passing hurricane. Duke, N.C. State and Wake all won on their home fields in adverse conditions, but the Tar Heels were overmatched by the wind, rain and Virginia Tech. They look to rebound in Miami, ironically, against the Hurricanes. Miami in installed as a 7 1/2-point favorite for this one, as they look to get untracked following a devastating 20-19 setback to rival Florida State last week. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the past meetings in this series, with the Tar Heels 1-3-1 ATS in their past five visits to Miami Gardens. The underdog, though, is 8-3-1 ATS in the past 12. The under is also 4-1 in the past five meetings in Miami, while the under is 4-1 in Miami's past five against teams with a winning overall record and 11-5 in their past 16 games in October. For UNC, the 'under' is 4-0 in their past four games in October, but the over is 8-2 in their past 10 against winning teams and 4-1 in their past five on the road.


Virginia Tech at Syracuse (ESPN, 3:45 p.m.)
Virginia Tech won in the wind and rain in North Carolina, and should be very happy to be under the dome and out of the elements this week. The Hokies are 5-1 ATS in their past six ACC games, but 6-13-1 ATS in their past 20 against teams with a losing record. Virginia Tech is also 0-6 ATS in their past six road games against teams with a losing home record. The 'Cuse hasn't been very good against the number lately, going 1-4 ATS in their past five overall and 0-4 ATS in their past four games on fieldturf. They are a rather impressive 5-2 ATS in their past seven under the dome, however. The 'under' is 5-0 in Va. Tech's past five road games, and 38-18-1 in their past 57 inside the conference, while going 14-6-1 in their past 21 against teams with a losing overall record. The 'under' is 5-2 in Syracuse's past seven overall, and 4-0 in their past four following a straight-up loss. However, the 'over' is 5-2 in their past seven inside the ACC.


Bye Week
Boston College

 

[CNOTES]

Big 12 Report - Week 7
October 12, 2016


2016 BIG 12 STANDINGS


Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under


Baylor 5-0 2-0 1-4 1-4


Iowa State 1-5 0-3 4-2 4-2


Kansas 1-4 0-2 2-3 1-4


Kansas State 3-2 1-1 2-3 2-3


Oklahoma 3-2 2-0 1-4 4-1


Oklahoma State 4-2 2-1 3-3 4-2


Texas 2-3 0-2 3-2 4-1


Texas Christian 4-2 2-1 1-5 4-2


Texas Tech 3-2 1-1 4-1 3-2


West Virginia 4-0 1-0 1-3 2-2




Kansas State at Oklahoma (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Sooners are carrying the banner for the conference again, one of just two league teams with a 2-0 mark in the Big 12. They face a quality K-State team looking to keep their season afloat. The Wildcats are an impressive 21-9-1 ATS in their past 31 against teams with an overall winning record, and 42-18-1 ATS in their past 61 inside the conference. K-State is also 18-7-1 ATS in their past 26 on the road against teams with a winning home record. Oklahoma has covered seven of the past nine inside the conference, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five in October. However, they're just 1-4 ATS this season and 0-4 ATS in their past four in Norman. The 'over' has connected in seven of the past eight meetings in this series. K-State has covered six of their past seven trips down to Norman, and the road team is 12-3-1 ATS in the past 16 meetings overall. Oklahoma is a 10 1/2-point favorite as of Wednesday morning.

West Virginia at Texas Tech (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m.)
The Mountaineers are one of three unbeaten teams in Big 12 play, and they put their unblemished record on the line in Lubbock against a dangerous Texas Tech team. The Red Raiders opened as a 1 1/2-point favorite, but they're now short 'dogs at home. Bettors have a lot of confidence in West Virginia, but the Mountaineers are just 1-5 ATS in their past six overall, 1-6 ATS in their past seven on the road and 1-10 ATS in their past 11 against teams with a winning overall record. They're also 0-4 ATS in their past four road games against a team with a winning home record. Texas Tech has covered five straight conference games, they're 4-1 ATS in their past five in Lubbock and they're 4-1 ATS in their past five overall. However, they're 0-5 ATS in their past five against teams with a winning overall record and 5-14 ATS in their past 19 at home against a team with a winning road mark.

Kansas at Baylor (FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Kansas heads down to Waco, and they will be five-touchdown underdogs. The Jayhawks have struggled on the road, going 7-22-1 ATS in their past 30 away from home, and 5-14 ATS in their past 19 games overall. They have also covered just three of their past 13 conference games, too. Baylor has powered past weak opponents in the past, although they're having some difficulty against the lesser teams this season. They're just 1-4 ATS in five outings in 2016, and they have failed to cover in five in a row against teams with a losing overall mark. Baylor is 28-11 ATS in their past 39 at home, but just 2-6 ATS in their past eight inside the conference. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings in this series, with the home team 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings. The Jayhawks are 0-4 ATS in the past four meetings in this series.

Iowa State at Texas (Longhorn Network, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Iowa State hasn't been winning games, but they're hot against the number with four straight covers. They're also 5-1 ATS in the past six conference battles, while going 7-2 ATS in their past nine following a straight-up loss. The eyes of Texas were smiling earlier in the season with a big win over Notre Dame, but all of that happiness and optimism has been washed away with losses in three straight games against California, Oklahoma State and last weekend against Oklahoma. Suddenly Charlie Strong's seat is heating up again. The Cyclones have covered four of their past five trips to Austin, while the road team is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 meetings. Texas opened as a 14-point favorite, and the line is 13 1/2 as of Wednesday AM.


Teams on a bye
Oklahoma State, Texas Christian

 

[CNOTES]

Pac-12 Report - Week 7
October 12, 2016


2016 PAC-12 STANDINGS


Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under


Arizona 2-4 0-3 1-5 4-2


Arizona State 5-1 2-1 4-2 3-3


California 3-3 1-2 3-3 5-1


Colorado 4-2 2-1 6-0 3-3


Oregon 2-4 0-3 0-5-1 4-2


Oregon State 2-3 1-1 3-2 2-3


Southern California 3-3 2-2 2-4 2-4


Stanford 3-2 2-2 3-2 2-3


UCLA 3-3 1-2 1-5 2-3-1


Utah 5-1 2-1 3-3 3-3


Washington 6-0 3-0 4-2 5-1


Washington State 3-2 2-0 4-1 3-2




Southern California at Arizona (FOX, 3:30 p.m. ET)
USC showed last weekend that they can still be a dangerous team, handing a Top 25 Colorado team its first conference loss. Winning at home hasn't been a problem for the Trojans, it's when they stray away from the L.A. Coliseum that their issues begin. They 0-3 SU/ATS in two road games and a neutral-site contest, averaging 14.3 points per game (PPG) while allowing 36.7 PPG. The Wildcats have struggled everywhere, going 1-5 ATS in six games overall. Their only victories have come against Hawai'i and FCS Grambling. While they nearly derailed Washington's playoff aspirations in an overtime loss in Tucson Sept. 24, they're 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS in three Pac-12 games, losing their past two by 17.0 PPG. The 'over' has cashed in four straight games for Arizona. The Trojans are 7-21 ATS in their past 28 road games, and 3-9 ATS in their past 12 overall, while the Wildcats are 5-11 ATS in their past 16 at home, and 1-7 ATS in their past eight overall. Something's gotta give, right? Well, Arizona is 8-3 ATS in the past 11 meetings, while the underdog is 10-1 ATS in the past 11 in this series. The 'under' is 5-1 in the past six in Arizona, and 7-3 in the past 10 meetings overall.

Utah at Oregon State (Pac-12 Network, 4:00 p.m.)
Utah hits the road for Corvallis, and the Beavers served notice to the rest of the conference that it won't be an easy task coming to Reser Stadium. The Beavers surprised California 47-44 in overtime last weekend as a 13 1/2-point underdog. This game opened with Utah as a 12-point favorite, but it has been bet down to nine as of Wednesday morning. One point of concern for the Beavs is the fact they have allowed 30 or more points in each of their four games against FBS teams, including 45.5 PPG in two outings against Pac-12 foes. Utah hasn't had a prolific offense, but they do enough to get the job done. They have 20 or more points in each of their six games, and they're averaging 30.0 PPG in three league games so far. Utah is 3-1 ATS in their past four games, and 10-4 ATS in their past 14 road outings. Oregon State might have won last week, but they're 5-11 ATS in the past 16 against winning teams, 7-17 ATS in their past 24 overall and 4-14 ATS in the past 18 inside the conference. The Utes are 2-5 ATS in the past seven meetings in this series, but a lot of those matchups were against much better competition.


Stanford at Notre Dame (NBC, 7:30 p.m. ET)
Two disappointing teams meet up in South Bend for this rivalry game. Stanford was shocked by Washington State at home, their second straight loss in as many conference games, while Notre Dame was waterlogged in tropical storm conditions in Raleigh, falling 10-3 at North Carolina State. Defense has been an issue for Stanford lately, allowing 43.0 PPG in two games against Washington and Washington State. They had allowed just 12.0 PPG in their first three outings. Last season Stanford outlasted Notre Dame 38-36 Nov. 28, a rare 'over' result in this series. The 'under' is 7-1 in the past eight meetings in the shadows of Touchdown Jesus, and 5-1 in the past six meetings overall. The underdog has cashed in each of the past four meetings, and the road team is 5-2 ATS in the past seven in this series. Those last two trends bode well for Stanford, as the Cardinal are 2 1/2-point underdogs as of Wednesday morning. Stanford has covered four of the past five on the road, and they're 18-7-1 ATS in their past 26 against losing teams. They're also 17-8 ATS in their past 25 outside the conference. The Irish have covered seven of the past nine against Pac-12 teams, but they're 2-5 ATS in their past seven non-conference tilts.


Arizona State at Colorado (Pac-12 Network, 8:00 p.m.)
Sparky hits the road for Boulder, and they're 13-point underdogs against a Colorado team coming off a disappointing loss at USC. The Buffaloes have played six games, and they have covered six games. Colorado has also covered four straight inside the conference, and they're 6-2 ATS in their past eight home games against teams with a winning road record. Arizona State has covered six in a row against teams with a winning overall record, and they're 5-1 ATS in their past six conference tilts. The Sun Devils are also 9-3 ATS in their past 12 October battlles, and 8-2 ATS in their past 10 games dating back to last season. Arizona State has covered six of the past seven meetings in this series, while the favorite is 6-1 ATS in the past seven in this series. The home team is also 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings between these two sides.

UCLA at Washington State (ESPN, 10:30 p.m.)
Washington State lost to FCS Eastern Washington and Boise State to open the season, and it looked like the Cougars might be on their way to a disappointing season. However, they have opened conference play with wins against traditional powerhouses Oregon and Stanford to move to 2-0 in the Pac-12. The Cougs might catch a break if UCLA QB Josh Rosen cannot play due to a shoulder injury. If Rosen is unavailable it would be QB Mike Fafaul drawing the start. He was horrendous last week against Arizona State, completing just three of his 11 attempts for 44 yards and two picks, so Washington State's defense will be licking its chops at a chance to face Fafaul. The Bruins are a dismal 7-24 ATS in their past 31 games in October, 1-7 ATS in their past eight overall and 0-4 ATS in their past four against teams with a winning overall record. They're also 0-5 ATS in their past five on the road. Washington State has covered 10 of the past 11 games inside the conference, and they're 7-1 ATS in their past eight games on the Palouse. Washington State is also 14-3 ATS in their past 17 games overall. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings in this series, with the road team 4-1 ATS in the past five. UCLA is just 1-7 ATS in their past eight meetings in Pullman, and 0-4 ATS in the past four against the Cougs. This game was off the board as of Wednesday morning due to Rosen's uncertain status.


Teams on a bye week
California, Oregon, Washington

 

[CNOTES]

Tech Trends - Week 7
October 12, 2016


WEDNESDAY, OCT. 12
Matchup Skinny Edge


APP STATE at UL-LAFAYETTE....App 5-1 as visiting chalk since LY, and 9-2 vs. line last 11 overall as visitor. App won last two meetings by 19 & 21 points, though barely missed the cover LY.
App State, based on team trends.

THURSDAY, OCT. 13 (GAME PPD)
Matchup Skinny Edge


NAVY at EAST CAROLINA...Navy 19-11 last 30 as chalk. Mids also 21-12 vs. line their last 33 as visitor. ECU on 4-8 spread skid since mid 2015.
Navy, based on team trends.

FRIDAY, OCT. 14
Matchup Skinny Edge

DUKE at LOUISVILLE...Cutcliffe 13-6 as dog since 2012, 3-1 as DD dog that span. 'Ville "over" last nine reg.-season, and 6-1 last seven on board since late 2015.
"Over" and slight to Duke, based on "totals" and team trends.


MEMPHIS at TULANE... Willie Fritz Georgia Southern & Tulane teams 12-5 vs. spread last 17 since early 2015. Teams haven't met every year since 2001 but Memphis has won SU last nine meetings, though Wave did cover LY. Tigers no covers last three away from Liberty Bowl.
Slight to Tulane, based on recent trends.

MISSISSIPPI STATE at BYU... MSU only 3-6 vs. line last nine vs. non-SEC. Sitake 5-1 vs. line TY, and Cougs 7-1 vs. line last seven reg.-season games. Very odd trip for MSU.
BYU, based on team trends.


SAN DIEGO STATE at FRESNO STATE...Fresno 5-11 last 16 vs. spread, 8-16 last 24 as dog. Though Bulldogs have won and covered last two at home for DeRuyter against Rocky Long. SDSU 11-1 last 11 vs. spread in MW reg.-season play and has covered 6 if last 7 as MW visitor.
San Diego State, based on team trends.

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, OCT. 15


Matchup Skinny Edge


WESTERN MICHIGAN at AKRON... Zips only 5-8-1 last 13 vs. spread at InfoCision. WMU on quite a roll, 5-1 SU and vs. spread to open 2016, now 7-1 last eight vs. line since late 2015.
WMU, based on team trends.


EASTERN MICHIGAN at OHIO...EMU has rallied with covers last 4 and 5 of last 6 TY, though remember Eagles really had their problems after game five a year ago, covering just once. Solich 0-2 as home chalk TY if you want to count Gardner-Webb as a loss, but was 6-2 in role past two seasons.
Slight to Ohio, based on extended trends.


BOWLING GREEN at TOLEDO...Local rivals! 1-6 vs. line last seven since Dino Babers left before bowl LY. Rockets have won last six SU in series, 3-0-1 vs. line last four. UT on 12-3 spread run since early 2015.
Toledo, based on team trends.


BALL STATE at BUFFALO... Cards have covered first four on road TY. Ball now 36-'16 vs. spread as visitor since 2016 and that includes the 2-4 mark for Lembo LY. Bulls on 1-9 spread skid since late 2015.
Ball State, based on team trends.


UCONN at SOUTH FLORIDA...Bulls on 12-3 reg season spread uptick, including 8-2 spread mark last ten at Tampa. USF also 3-0 SU and vs. line against UConn since 2013. Diaco 9-22-1 vs. line with Huskies.
USF, based on team and series trends.


LA TECH at UMASS...La Tech on 13-6 run last 19 vs. line away from Ruston, though only 2-3 laying points in role LY. Mass 2-1 as home dog TY but extended spread mark just 7-12 last 19 on board since late 2014.
Slight to La Tech, based on extended trends.


VIRGINIA TECH at SYRACUSE...VPI big wins and covers last three TY. For Beamer the chalk marks were bad the past few years (15-32-1 in role his last five years), but Fuente 3-1 (3-0 vs. FBS foes) as chalk TY. Dino just 2-4 vs. line with Cuse, which is 0-2 as home dog TY after 4-0 mark a year ago in role.
Virginia Tech, based on recent trends.


TEMPLE at UCF...Rhule now 7-1 last 8 as dog after Memphis cover, but no covers last two vs. Knights. UCF has covered last three and four of last five TY for Frost in major turnaround year.
Slight to Temple, based on team trends.


IOWA at PURDUE...Hawkeyes 10-1 last 11 as visiting chalk. Road team has covered last five years in this series and six in a row dating to 2008. Hazell just 4-12 as Ross-Ade dog since 2013.
Iowa, based on team and series road trends.


MINNESOTA at MARYLAND...Md still only 2-3 vs. line TY. Terps had been 5-7 vs. line at College Park past two seasons. If getting points, note Gophers 8-3-1 as visiting dog since 2013.
Minnesota, based on team trends.


ILLINOIS at RUTGERS...Note Illini 5-10 as road chalk since 2006. Illini 5-14 vs. spread L19 away from home.
Slight to Rutgers, based on extended Illini negatives.


IOWA STATE at TEXAS...Charlie is 7-4-1 as chalk since 2014 and 4-2-1 last seven laying points in Austin, though has failed to cover last two vs. ISU and was blanked LY at Ames. Matt Campbell teams at Toledo and ISU are 15-7 as dog since 2012.
ISU, based on team and recent series trends.


NORTH CAROLINA at MIAMI-FLORIDA... Home team has covered last four meetings, blowouts last two years. Fedora 6-1 vs. spread last seven as visitor. Canes 9-3-1 as home chalk since 2014.
Slight to Miami, based on team and series home trends.


NC STATE at CLEMSON...Clemson has won SU last four meetings with blowouts last two. Note NCS has been a good bully since LY but is 0-5 last five as dog.
Clemson, based on recent series trends.


NORTHWESTERN at MICHIGAN STATE...Pat Fitz now 7-3 as visiting dog since 2014, 13-7 in role since 2011. Dantonio only 11-19 as East Lansing chalk since 2012 (0-3 TY), 3-12 overall as chalk since LY.
Northwestern, based on team trends.


KANSAS STATE at OKLAHOMA...Road team has won and covered last five meetings. Revenge for Bill Snyder after 55-0 loss LY. Stoops no covers last three at Norman. Snyder 21-11 as dog since 2011.
K-State, based on series and Snyder dog trends.


NEBRASKA at INDIANA... Hoosiers now 4-1 last five as home dog as they finally begin to get some identifiable trends for Kevin Wilson, whose spread numbers have been mostly middling since he arrived in 2011. Mike Riley 4-1-1 vs. line last six since late LY though his Huskers teams just 5-7-1 as chalk.
Slight to Indiana, based on team trends.

MISSOURI at FLORIDA...Mizzou no covers last four as visitor (0-2 for Odom) and 1-6 vs. spread in role since 2015. McElwain only 2-7 last nine on board, and 2-5 as Swamp chalk since LY.
Slight to Florida, based on recent Mizzou road negatives.


SOUTHERN MISS at LSU...Ed Orgeron SC and LSU teams now 6-3 vs. line in his interim roles since 2013. Tigers 9-5-1 as home chalk since 2014. USM 8-3 last 11 as road dog, plus covers last three vs. SEC foes.
Southern Miss, based on team trends.


PITT at VIRGINIA...Bronco Mendenhall now four straight covers TY, his BYU and Cav teams now 16-7 last 23 as dog. Narduzzi just 2-8 as chalk at Pitt. Cavs covered last two years in series.
Virginia, based on team and recent series trends.


WEST VIRGINIA at TEXAS TECH...Kingsbury 3-0 vs. line against Holgorsen. If favored, note Red Raiders also now 6-1 last seven as Lubbock chalk. WVU 1-7 vs. spread last 8 away from Morgantown.
Texas Tech, based on team trends.


NEW MEXICO vs. AIR FORCE (at Cotton Bowl, Dallas)... Lobos have covered past four years vs. Force and won SU at home LY.
New Mexico, based on series trends.


TULSA at HOUSTON...Tulsa no covers first two on road TY after 7-0 spread mark away LY. Believe it or not, Cougs only 3-5-1 last nine as home chalk, even though 29-16-1 vs. spread since 2013.
Slight to Tulsa, based on team trends.


FAU at MARSHALL...Owls 0-6 vs. line TY, now 3-13-1 last 17 on board. Also 0-3 as dog TY after 23-9 dog mark previous four years. Herd 17-8-1 as DD chalk since 2013, but only 1-4 vs. line overall TY.
Slight to Marshall, based on recent FAU negatives.


GEORGIA SOUTHERN at GEORGIA TECH...Paul Johnson just 3-12 vs. line last 15 on board. Jackets 3-8 as chalk since LY after 10-4-1 mark in role 2013-14. Ga So 0-2 as road dog TY and just 1-4 vs. line in 2015.
Slight to Georgia Southern, based on team trends.

GEORGIA STATE at TROY...GS 2-1 as road dog TY, now 17-5 as visiting dog since 2013! Also beat Troy in Atlanta LY. But Trojans 4-0-1 vs. line TY in recovery season, now 6-0-1 last six on board since late 2015.
Slight to Georgia State, based on team trends.


SOUTH ALABAMA at ARKANSAS STATE...Ark State was 8-3 as Jonesboro chalk entering TY before loss vs. UCA. Red Wolves have won and covered last three vs. Jags. Even with upsets over Miss State and SDSU, USA only 2-2 as dog TY and 6-13 in role since 2013.
Slight to Arkansas State, based on series trends.


UTSA at RICE...Rice squeezed cover at USM but was 2-10-1 previous 13 vs. spread dating to early 2015. Bailiff is 4-0 SU and 3-1 vs. line against UTSA past four seasons. Rice 1-5-1 vs. points last seven as host, though still 6-2-1 as home chalk since 2014 (0-1 TY).
Slight to UTSA based on Rice negatives.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...Chips 12-7 vs. line since LY, while NIU had dropped 7 straight vs. line prior to covers last 2 TY. Chips have upset Huskies past two years.
CMU, based on team and recent series trends.


KENT STATE at MIAMI-OHIO... No covers for Kent last two vs. Miami. Flashes only 5-8 as road dog since 2014. Chuck Martin is 17-12-1 vs. line with RedHawks.
Slight to Miami-Ohio, based on team trends.


ALABAMA at TENNESSEE...Butch has covered last two meetings and Vols 5-2 as dog since 2014. Butch 4-1 as Knoxville dog since taking over in 2013. Tide 8-3 last 11 as chalk away from Tuscaloosa. Saban 9-0 SU vs. Vols as Bama coach, last UT series win was over Mike Shula back in 2006.
Tennessee, based on team and recent series trends.


OLE MISS at ARKANSAS...Bielema has covered all three vs. Hugh Freeze since 2013, a neat trick as Freeze otherwise 26-14 vs. line that span. Freeze 12-6 as dog with Rebs since 2012, though Bielema 20-10 last 30 on board.
Slight to Arkansas, based on recent series trends.


VANDERBILT at GEORGIA..Dores 9-5 last 14 as SEC road dog and covered last three in series. Dawgs 2-6 last 8 as home chalk.
Vandy, based on team trends.


ARIZONA STATE at COLORADO...Rampaging Buffs 6-0 vs. spread TY as MacIntyre now on 11-2 spread surge since mid 2015. CU 11-3 vs. spread last 14 at Boulder. Home team has covered last 3 years in series. Sun Devils 2-7 vs. spread last nine reg season away from Tempe.
Colorado, based on team trends.

KANSAS at BAYLOR...Jayhawks 0-2 as road dog TY, now 3-9-1 in role since 2014. No covers last four vs. Baylor, as Bears have scored 62 ppg over the last three meetings. Grobe however only 1-4 vs. line TY.
Baylor, based on series trends.


WAKE FOREST at FLORIDA STATE...Deacs 8-3 last 11 as dog and that includes narrow home loss to FSU LY. Wake also 5-2 last seven vs., spread on road. Jimbo 0-2 as Doak Campbell chalk TY.
Wake Forest, based on team trends.


FIU at CHARLOTTE... Ron Cooper 2-0 SU and vs. line as HC at FIU after Golden Panthers' 0-7-1 spread skid. 49ers just 5-10-1 last 16 on board since early LY. Charlotte 1-4 vs. line against FBS TY.
FIU, based on team trends.


WESTERN KENTUCKY at MIDDLE TENNESSEE...Teams have split last two, home sides winning and covering each. MT 7-3-2 last 12 as chalk, Tops now no covers last five TY (0-4-1) after La Tech loss.
Slight to MTSU, based on recent trends.


TEXAS STATE at UL-MONROE...TSU has won and covered last two meetings. ULM 5-10 as Malone Stadium chalk since 2012.
Texas State, based on recent series trends.


STANFORD at NOTRE DAME...Irish 3-0-1 vs. line last four meetings though Stanford has won two of those. Tree 4-5 as visiting chalk since 2014 including bitter loss at South Bend two years ago. Irish 1-2 vs. line at home TY after Kelly was 5-1 a year ago under Golden Dome.
Slight to Notre Dame, based on series trends.


OHIO STATE at WISCONSIN...Paul Chryst 3-0 as dog TY and covers last five in role. Badgers have not been a Madison dog since back in 2010 vs. Buckeyes, and beat them 31-18. Badgers 11-3-1 as dog since 20123. Urban however 5-1 last six as road chalk.
Wisconsin, based on team trends.


NEW MEXICO STATE at IDAHO...Home side has won SU last six meetings and covered last three. But Vandals just 2-5 last seven as Kibbie Dome chalk, and 2-7 vs. spread last nine in Moscow.
Slight to NMSU, based on team trends.


UCLA at WASHINGTON STATE...Leach beat Mora in thriller LY. Cougs 6-3 vs. line in Pullman since LY. Cougs also on 13-2 spread uptick since early 2015. Mora on 1-7 spread skid since late 2015.
WSU, based on team trends.

SOUTHERN CAL at ARIZONA...Trojans 0-3 SU and vs. line away in 2016, no covers last seven or eight of last nine away from Coliseum. Cats 9-2 vs. line last 11 meetings extending back to the highest points of the Carroll era. Cats 6-1 as a home dog under Rich-Rod.
Arizona, based on team and series trends.

COLORADO STATE at BOISE STATE...Boise has won big the past five meetings and 4-1 vs. line. Broncos however now no covers last five as blue carpet chalk since mid 2015.
Slight to Boise State, based on series trends.


UTAH at OREGON STATE... As Corvallis dog, OSU 1-3-1 since LY. Utes 9-4 vs. spread last 13 as visitor.
Utah, based on team trends.


NEVADA at SAN JOSE STATE...Polian has owned Caragher, winning and covering last three meetings. SJSU was 6-1 as chalk LY but no mark in role TY as Spartans struggle. Pack 0-3 SU and vs. line away TY but was 10-2 vs. spread as visitor the past two seasons.
Nevada, based on team and series trends.


UNLV at HAWAII...Home team has won SU last seven years in series. UH has covered last 3 TY. Rebs 1-5 vs. line last five away.
Hawaii, based on series home trends.

 

[CNOTES]

'Dogs to Watch - Week 7
October 12, 2016



College Football Week 7 Ranked Underdogs with a Chance


Well all eyes will likely be on the Alabama/Tennessee and Ohio State/Wisconsin games in college football this weekend as the Top Two teams in the nation have tough road tests, there are a couple of other underdogs bettors should be aware of. These underdogs have a legitimate shot at pulling off the outright upset, but grabbing the points isn't a bad option either.

Underdog #1: Arkansas +7.5


Arkansas has got their own ranked vs ranked game this week as they host the 13th ranked Ole Miss program as a touchdown home underdog. The Razorbacks were beat down by Alabama last week to go 0-2 SU and ATS in SEC play and are in desperation mode for a conference victory this week.


Even with Ole Miss coming off a bye week, desperate home teams getting this many points tend to be a strong wager, especially when the balance of their season lies on the result.


Ole Miss did have that extra week to prepare for this one, but what is concerning is the fact that this will be their first true road game of the season, and the first time they've been away from home since Week 1 of the season.


The Rebels have put up 40+ in each of their last three games and gone 3-0 ATS because of that, but their last trip to Arkansas two years ago saw them get blanked (30-0), and they are actually 0-3 ATS the past three years against the Razorbacks.


Last year's game in Mississippi had the Rebels as the same -7.5 point favorites, but at home, and the game ended up going to OT where Arkansas escaped with a one-point victory.


This game has all the makings of being another close one between these two rivals, especially when Ole Miss is on a 1-5 ATS run as SEC road favorites of 17 or less.


Underdog #2: Indiana +3.5


Indiana is another home underdog looking to knock off a ranked foe as the 5-0 SU (3-1-1 ATS) Nebraska Cornhuskers come to town off a week of rest as well. This game has a lot of the same situational aspects applying to it that the Ole Miss/Arkansas game does above, and that's why I strongly believe it's primed for an upset as well.


For starters, Nebraska is a ranked team that is unbeaten on the year and laying points on the road after a week off. They've had extra time to prepare for this one and just watched Indiana lose by 21 points @ Ohio State last week (similar to Arkansas losing to Alabama a week ago).


The Cornhuskers have to be confident in their chances, but this is also only their 2nd true road game of the season and that can bring some problems.


What may be the most concerning for those considering Nebraska in this game is the fact that in the last 35 seasons, any CFB team that's 5-0 SU and on the road after a bye week are just 22-45 ATS no matter the spread. That has to be a concerning number on that side of the coin, but it's a very positive one as to why the Hoosiers are a solid play this weekend.


Indiana knows they are a better team then they showed at times vs. Ohio State last week, and it's tough games like that against the elite competition in this league that often make a middling team like Indiana stronger going forward. The Hoosiers have the offensive firepower to continually keep the pressure on Nebraska here and should come away with the outright victory.