Temple at Memphis
October 4, 2016
Last week’s American Athletic Conference matchup on Thursday night had some intriguing storylines but the game wound up a blowout as Houston crushed Connecticut.
This week’s AAC spotlight game had a lopsided result from the underdog last season but a closer game is expected in a key division crossover game between Memphis and Temple.
Match-up: Temple Owls at Memphis Tigers
Venue: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee
Time/TV: Thursday, Oct. 6, 8:00 PM ET
Line: Memphis -10, Over/Under 60
Last Meeting: 2015, at Temple (+2½) 31, Memphis 12
Much of the 2015 season it looked like Memphis and Temple might meet in the AAC championship game as both climbed into the polls with Memphis starting 8-0 and Temple starting 7-0. By the time these teams met in the regular season both had taken conference losses as Houston eventually seized control of the AAC West and eventually bested Temple in the conference championship.
For Memphis led by a NFL draft pick at quarterback in Paxton Lynch, a 9-4 final result with a lopsided Birmingham Bowl loss was a bit of a disappointment considering the Tigers were ranked #15 in the nation when they were 8-0 before losing three consecutive games. Justin Fuente had a very successful four year run to build up the program and that success led him to be picked up for the Virginia Tech position. Mike Norvell was hired to take over after spending the previous four seasons as the offensive coordinator at Arizona State.
This year’s team has some clear changes in place and the 3-1 start deserves some scrutiny as the wins came over FCS Southeast Missouri State, Kansas, and Bowling Green with all three games at home. Last week the Tigers had a big test at Mississippi and despite a commendable effort Memphis lost 48-28. Houston remains the massive favorite in the AAC West where Memphis resides and the Tigers will host that game at the end of the year. The eight-game league slate is a difficult one for the Tigers however as they are drawing arguably the top three teams from the East, starting with this game with Temple.
This game last season came in late November with Memphis reeling off back-to-back losses. Memphis was stunned in a 45-20 home loss to Navy and in the big matchup with Houston the following week Memphis played well but wound up losing 35-34 before heading to Philadelphia for a second straight road game. Temple started 2015 7-0 and gave Notre Dame a tough battle with a 24-20 defeat. The Owls took a conference loss at South Florida prior to the big win over Memphis that was critical in sealing the East division title.
Despite Memphis featuring far more impressive offensive statistics on the season it was Temple that had big numbers in that game posting a 461-232 yardage edge to win 31-12 despite a 2-0 turnover deficit for the Owls. Paxton Lynch threw for just 156 yards on only 4.6 yards per attempt as the secondary for Temple had a great performance. Memphis was also held to just 2.2 yards per rush while the Owls had a 200-yard rushing game on offense and P.J. Walker threw for 261 yards, eventually turning a game that was tight through three quarters into a rout late as Temple scored the final 17 points and Memphis failed to score a touchdown despite an over 40 points per game scoring average on the season.
Temple would go on to play Houston very tough in the AAC championship, posting a yardage edge but burned by turnovers in a 24-13 loss that looks even more impressive now with Houston going on to win the Peach Bowl last winter and riding great momentum into 2016 as well. While it will be tough for Temple to match last season’s 10-win campaign, returning to a bowl for the second straight season is very realistic and the Owls are a threat in the East division, although South Florida is likely the favorite at this point.
Temple hasn’t had a bye week yet this season and sits at 3-2 but the wins have come against light competition, beating FCS Stony Brook, Charlotte, and SMU. The opening week loss to Army at home was a surprise but Temple did play tough at Penn State in a 34-27 defeat. Already 1-0 in league play Temple is on the road the next two games before hosting the top two E division contenders in South Florida and Cincinnati in back-to-back weeks including facing the Bulls on a Friday night primetime game in two weeks.
Going by Phillip Walker this season, the senior quarterback has struggled with seven interceptions and only six touchdowns in five games, with four of the interceptions and no touchdowns in the two losses. Walker has a worse completion rate than last season at this point and is nowhere near the production pace of throwing for nearly 3,000 yards last season. The receiving group has had some turnover as three of the top five receivers from last season departed but Temple has had a slightly improved running game this season, posting 4.3 yards per carry with 14 rushing touchdowns mostly split between senior Jahad Thomas who had over 1,300 yards rushing last season and breakout sophomore Ryquell Armstead who had posted 6.0 yards per rush.
Replacing a NFL quarterback is a tough challenge but junior Riley Ferguson has been productive with 11 touchdown passes in four games, though six of those came in the 77-3 rout of Bowling Green. Against Mississippi last week he had three interceptions that prevented a more serious upset threat for the Tigers in a matchup they won in 2015. The running game has been important for Memphis with last season’s leading rusher Doeoland Dorceus leading the team so far with 5.7 yards per rush but the offense revolves around the passing game and junior Anthony Miller already has 27 catches this season for over 400 yards.
Pass defense has been a strong suit for Temple in recent years and Memphis has struggled in this series, posting 21, 16, and 12 in the past three seasons in this matchup, although the Tigers did win the 2014 meeting at Temple in a 16-13 result. Temple’s offense could have some opportunities in this matchup as Memphis has allowed 371 yards per game but the quick pace of the offense can inflate those cumulative numbers to some degree. It does feel like these squads are both playing for second place in their respective divisions but this is a key game as the victor could have chance to sneak into the AAC title race and the winner will certainly enter the second half of the season on solid footing towards a postseason goal.
Historical Trends:
-- Temple is 2-1 S/U and 3-0 ATS in this series since becoming conference rivals in 2013.
-- Temple is on a 22-12 ATS run as a road underdog while also going 15-4 ATS as a double-digit underdog in that span regardless of location.
-- Memphis is 15-7 S/U at home since 2013 but just 11-11 ATS.
-- Memphis is on a 25-40-2 ATS run as a home favorite going back to 1993, going just 4-4 ATS in that role since the start of last season.
October 4, 2016
Last week’s American Athletic Conference matchup on Thursday night had some intriguing storylines but the game wound up a blowout as Houston crushed Connecticut.
This week’s AAC spotlight game had a lopsided result from the underdog last season but a closer game is expected in a key division crossover game between Memphis and Temple.
Match-up: Temple Owls at Memphis Tigers
Venue: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee
Time/TV: Thursday, Oct. 6, 8:00 PM ET
Line: Memphis -10, Over/Under 60
Last Meeting: 2015, at Temple (+2½) 31, Memphis 12
Much of the 2015 season it looked like Memphis and Temple might meet in the AAC championship game as both climbed into the polls with Memphis starting 8-0 and Temple starting 7-0. By the time these teams met in the regular season both had taken conference losses as Houston eventually seized control of the AAC West and eventually bested Temple in the conference championship.
For Memphis led by a NFL draft pick at quarterback in Paxton Lynch, a 9-4 final result with a lopsided Birmingham Bowl loss was a bit of a disappointment considering the Tigers were ranked #15 in the nation when they were 8-0 before losing three consecutive games. Justin Fuente had a very successful four year run to build up the program and that success led him to be picked up for the Virginia Tech position. Mike Norvell was hired to take over after spending the previous four seasons as the offensive coordinator at Arizona State.
This year’s team has some clear changes in place and the 3-1 start deserves some scrutiny as the wins came over FCS Southeast Missouri State, Kansas, and Bowling Green with all three games at home. Last week the Tigers had a big test at Mississippi and despite a commendable effort Memphis lost 48-28. Houston remains the massive favorite in the AAC West where Memphis resides and the Tigers will host that game at the end of the year. The eight-game league slate is a difficult one for the Tigers however as they are drawing arguably the top three teams from the East, starting with this game with Temple.
This game last season came in late November with Memphis reeling off back-to-back losses. Memphis was stunned in a 45-20 home loss to Navy and in the big matchup with Houston the following week Memphis played well but wound up losing 35-34 before heading to Philadelphia for a second straight road game. Temple started 2015 7-0 and gave Notre Dame a tough battle with a 24-20 defeat. The Owls took a conference loss at South Florida prior to the big win over Memphis that was critical in sealing the East division title.
Despite Memphis featuring far more impressive offensive statistics on the season it was Temple that had big numbers in that game posting a 461-232 yardage edge to win 31-12 despite a 2-0 turnover deficit for the Owls. Paxton Lynch threw for just 156 yards on only 4.6 yards per attempt as the secondary for Temple had a great performance. Memphis was also held to just 2.2 yards per rush while the Owls had a 200-yard rushing game on offense and P.J. Walker threw for 261 yards, eventually turning a game that was tight through three quarters into a rout late as Temple scored the final 17 points and Memphis failed to score a touchdown despite an over 40 points per game scoring average on the season.
Temple would go on to play Houston very tough in the AAC championship, posting a yardage edge but burned by turnovers in a 24-13 loss that looks even more impressive now with Houston going on to win the Peach Bowl last winter and riding great momentum into 2016 as well. While it will be tough for Temple to match last season’s 10-win campaign, returning to a bowl for the second straight season is very realistic and the Owls are a threat in the East division, although South Florida is likely the favorite at this point.
Temple hasn’t had a bye week yet this season and sits at 3-2 but the wins have come against light competition, beating FCS Stony Brook, Charlotte, and SMU. The opening week loss to Army at home was a surprise but Temple did play tough at Penn State in a 34-27 defeat. Already 1-0 in league play Temple is on the road the next two games before hosting the top two E division contenders in South Florida and Cincinnati in back-to-back weeks including facing the Bulls on a Friday night primetime game in two weeks.
Going by Phillip Walker this season, the senior quarterback has struggled with seven interceptions and only six touchdowns in five games, with four of the interceptions and no touchdowns in the two losses. Walker has a worse completion rate than last season at this point and is nowhere near the production pace of throwing for nearly 3,000 yards last season. The receiving group has had some turnover as three of the top five receivers from last season departed but Temple has had a slightly improved running game this season, posting 4.3 yards per carry with 14 rushing touchdowns mostly split between senior Jahad Thomas who had over 1,300 yards rushing last season and breakout sophomore Ryquell Armstead who had posted 6.0 yards per rush.
Replacing a NFL quarterback is a tough challenge but junior Riley Ferguson has been productive with 11 touchdown passes in four games, though six of those came in the 77-3 rout of Bowling Green. Against Mississippi last week he had three interceptions that prevented a more serious upset threat for the Tigers in a matchup they won in 2015. The running game has been important for Memphis with last season’s leading rusher Doeoland Dorceus leading the team so far with 5.7 yards per rush but the offense revolves around the passing game and junior Anthony Miller already has 27 catches this season for over 400 yards.
Pass defense has been a strong suit for Temple in recent years and Memphis has struggled in this series, posting 21, 16, and 12 in the past three seasons in this matchup, although the Tigers did win the 2014 meeting at Temple in a 16-13 result. Temple’s offense could have some opportunities in this matchup as Memphis has allowed 371 yards per game but the quick pace of the offense can inflate those cumulative numbers to some degree. It does feel like these squads are both playing for second place in their respective divisions but this is a key game as the victor could have chance to sneak into the AAC title race and the winner will certainly enter the second half of the season on solid footing towards a postseason goal.
Historical Trends:
-- Temple is 2-1 S/U and 3-0 ATS in this series since becoming conference rivals in 2013.
-- Temple is on a 22-12 ATS run as a road underdog while also going 15-4 ATS as a double-digit underdog in that span regardless of location.
-- Memphis is 15-7 S/U at home since 2013 but just 11-11 ATS.
-- Memphis is on a 25-40-2 ATS run as a home favorite going back to 1993, going just 4-4 ATS in that role since the start of last season.