Trentmoney 2009 CFB

[trentmoney]

Week 1: 3-4 -12.65*

felt good about my plays, shouldn't have added on to nc st, wf, and utep...had them capped as 5*, 3*, and 2* and should have left them as originally planned...seems like any time i add on to a play after the fact it loses...only regret of the weekend

found it interesting that my best play (mizz +7 wins by 28) was the one play that virtually no one else had, while my losers (nc st, utep, nd over) where pretty popular with most posters here (wake/baylor seemed to be split)...wasn't the reason why i played it, just found it interesting after the fact that it turned out to be the best play while it was definitely my least popular one

 

[trentmoney]

i only play trends week 2 and naturally this falls into the one i use...

4* ohio st +7 -105

trend plays are normally 3* but added 1* because i feel there's line value here...GOY line was 3.5, last year line was 10/11 @ usc which would translate to 3/4 in columbus, feel usc is down a notch from last yr while ohio st is on par so looks like i'm getting an extra 3/4 pts...not into breaking down the game as i'm just following a trend i've used in the past that has been successful

good luck

 

[trentmoney]

1* mich/nd over 47.5

both offenses clicking as they each gained 300 yds last week...in the first half!!! two offensive-minded coaches and the total is lower than both had last week, mich by a TD and ND by 2 TDs

good luck

 

[Club]

I like that total. ND did their part last week and would have done more had Nevada decided to participate. These two teams should keep it up for 4 quarters. Good luck.

 

[trentmoney]

2* oregon/purdue u59 -120

i don't recommend buying on totals but:
1- this is essentially a 3.5 pt buy w/ 62 being the next strong #
2- this is the price i pay for not having to send money offshore

too many new hands at the skill positions and too many new bodies on the o-line for oregon's spread-option offense...you could tell even masoli was a bit uncomfortable as he was locked into one wr (mahle) the whole game...now oregon plays an even more experienced defense and one that also faced them last yr like boise

purdue is looking to run the ball more this year and while the 52 pts last week were impressive, 6 of the 7 tds were either the result of a big play (78yd, 43 yd...don't think that will be as easy this week) or a short field resulting from a turnover

one has to score in the 30s, don't think either will...not sure if purdue scores in the 20s

good luck

 

[Conan]

Purdue starts a fresh new QB don't they Trentmoney?
Curtis Painter is gone. You are definitely right about them keeping it on the ground more than usual, unless they get buried in which case they aren't doing so well anyway.

 

[trentmoney]

Purdue starts a fresh new QB don't they Trentmoney?
Curtis Painter is gone. You are definitely right about them keeping it on the ground more than usual, unless they get buried in which case they aren't doing so well anyway.

yes he's a new qb (sr) as painter graduated and siller, who started a few games last yr, is off the team as well

 

[Maniax]

best of luck this year trent!

 

[trentmoney]

Club-

if you look at that total and others at the same number it's a bit surprising (pitt/buff for instance)

 

[Club]

Yeah, I'm a believer in that total, although apparebtly others disagree since it's moved down quite a bit since the open. This number seems low to me. Sure, both teams had low totals last week but both teams poured it on in the first half and coasted in the second due to weak competition. With two more evenly matched teams, I'd expect 4 quarters of scoring and think we're getting some free points with a play on the over.

 

[orangebowl33]

will you still pick nc st at -4.5

 

[trentmoney]

3* michigan +3.5

another trend play...although even if it wasn't it's always good to have the better rushing team at home getting points...Notre Dame has been impressive in wins over hawaii in bowl and nevada in home opener, but all that really means is that they would be battling boise for the WAC title...

good luck

 

[trentmoney]

week 2: 3-1 +5.6*
YTD: 6-5 -7.05*

took oregon under instead of purdue points and it cost me...if you're down on a team you should just fade them rather than play a total...bad move on my part

after seeing usc up close i'm starting to feel real good about my cal 75-1 play...

 

[slatter]

Nice work today, Trent.

 

[Club]

Nice job this weekend. A lot of people just couldn't understand why USC wasn't a double digit favorite. I didn't understand why that ND/Mich total kept dropping. I wish I would have seen your Michigan play. It would have been nice to double up on that game, as exciting as it was. Looking forward to next week.

 

[Dawoofdaddy]

nice job getting back on track week 2 trent.

 

[55 % at worst]

keep on the same sides as me and u will win..I will let u know when I am fading..........................

BC best of the week....line gone already

 

[Club]

Wake up, Trent. What do we have going today?

 

[55 % at worst]

he gave up maybe....i had a nice loser also

LOL

 

[trentmoney]

was away last week so didn't play
liked last week's card a lot more than this week's so probably will play less

1* Auburn -32

don't normally play spreads like this but an exception here...auburn's new offense will try to run 90 plays...not good for an undermanned ball state team in 2nd of b2b roadies...final tune-up for malzahn's offense before they go on the road so i don't expect them to back down until 50 is up on the scoreboard...ball state has yet to break 17 pts on offense, don't think this will be the time...i think chizik will want to stay in the "honeymoon" phase w/ alums and get them a cover...

good luck