5* NC St -3 -130
caught my eye when it moved back to 3.5 today...don't think it will go lower
i know buying the half is not the right thing to do, but i don't need the stress in my life of being up 18 in the 4th qtr and knowing that i can still get backdoored...!!
write-up will be posted on game day
good luck
Buff's appear to have lost their stud RB...feels good to start the year w/ a good break as this number is sure to climb. GLPlays are 1*-8*
3* UTEP -6.5
Buffalo travels to Texas to open the season with a porous defense (4.9 ypc, 65.8% completion) and a 1st yr starter at QB against a team with 8 starters back on offense and a 3yr starter at QB who threw for 33 TDs last season...Mike Price has avg over 30 ppg in 4 of 5 seasons at UTEP and last yr avg 33 ppg...Defensive struggles dogged them last yr, the first in new DC 3-3-5 stack, which should improve with an increased comfort level in second season for the 7 returning starters
Buffalo was actually outgained ypg in MAC last yr, so their production did not match their record, but benefitted all yr long by +19 TO's, losing the TO battle in only 2 of 14 games!!! When comparing how MAC teams did vs CUSA in bowl games last yr, this does not bode well for a team that, statistically speaking, was just average in a weak conference last yr
Just don't think UB is at the point where they can re-load after a magical season and lose a 4 yr starter at QB in the process to go on the road opening night and win...I'll take the home team laying less than a TD
good luck
Cant believe this has only moved to 7 1/2 as Buffs only chance was to ball control the poor tackling Miners. They just dont have the talent to match scores w/ UTEP w/out dominant back and w/ inexperienced QB...Buff's appear to have lost their stud RB...feels good to start the year w/ a good break as this number is sure to climb. GL
Plays are 1*-8*
3* UTEP -6.5
Buffalo travels to Texas to open the season with a porous defense (4.9 ypc, 65.8% completion) and a 1st yr starter at QB against a team with 8 starters back on offense and a 3yr starter at QB who threw for 33 TDs last season...Mike Price has avg over 30 ppg in 4 of 5 seasons at UTEP and last yr avg 33 ppg...Defensive struggles dogged them last yr, the first in new DC 3-3-5 stack, which should improve with an increased comfort level in second season for the 7 returning starters
Buffalo was actually outgained ypg in MAC last yr, so their production did not match their record, but benefitted all yr long by +19 TO's, losing the TO battle in only 2 of 14 games!!! When comparing how MAC teams did vs CUSA in bowl games last yr, this does not bode well for a team that, statistically speaking, was just average in a weak conference last yr
Just don't think UB is at the point where they can re-load after a magical season and lose a 4 yr starter at QB in the process to go on the road opening night and win...I'll take the home team laying less than a TD
good luck
Wondering why you waited so long on Utep if you like the game. It opened 4.5,stayed at 6 for bit then moved to 6.5, 6 is a much better #, now game 7.5 and dead #'s at 8-9.5 so do not see books moving it much more(maybe for teaser purposes) but to me injury moves are worst ones to bet. You get hungry kids coming off the bench. You may win, but not smart to lay -25 cents on anything in football. Now you have layed -25 cents and 30 cents, you know what kind of % you have to hit to make money. Nearly impossible.
Just my 2 cents, but heck, I am just an idiot who does it for a living:think2: