? (TMT) The Money Team Wins NCAA BK (Over 35 Years Of Picking Winners)

TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 11, 2023

The Money Team Wins - Friday College Basketball

NCAA BK 115-86 (57%)
Last 42 Days 50-36 (58%)

This Week 6-4 (60%)

Wright State -2.5 (BIG WIN)

You have to look at the recent performances of these two teams against the Horizon League's best team, Youngstown State, for some insight into how this game will go. Wright State took the Penguins to triple overtime before losing on the road just a week ago. In the Penguins very next game, they pummeled Northern Kentucky at Youngstown State. Now, the Norse beat Wright State at home back in December, but it was the first league game for both teams and the Raiders come into this game playing better basketball. Plus, they are home, which should carry them to victory.

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TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 11, 2023

The Money Team Wins - Saturday College Basketball

NCAA BK 118-87 (58%)
Last 43 Days 53-37 (59%)

This Week 9-5 (64%)

Ball State -8.5 (BIG WIN 93-72)
Ball State has beaten the spread in three of their last four, including their win over Bowling Green less than two weeks ago. In the first game, they outshot Bowling Green by 8.9%, outrebounded them by seven, and made more free throws than Bowling Green attempted. The Cardinals never trailed in that game. Bowling Green's defense struggles to force misses, and Ball State's offense is one of the most efficient in the country at scoring. It proved to be a great mismatch in the first game, and now that Ball State is home I expect a similar result. Ball State will cover.

Saint Mary's -11.5 (WON 81-64)
Saint Mary’s finally lost a game, but it took an exceptional performance by the Lions to defeat them, especially after the first 20 minutes. While a total has not been set at the time this analysis was written, one can expect that St. Mary’s is going to be favored by at least 15, likely even 20 in this contest. They buried Portland the last time these teams met as Alden Applewhite was the only player to score in double digits (13) and only one other player had more than six points in the game. Portland does not have the offensive skill to be able to battle against the Gaels and Saint Mary’s has a very good defense. They will make it extremely difficult for the Pilots to be able to generate any offense in this game. Saint Mary’s does not win by 42, but they will win by at least 20 in this contest.

Mississippi State +6.5 (BIG WIN 70-64)
Mississippi State is not only winning games but handling opponents on the defensive end, allowing 52.0 points per game over their last three contests. They even knocked off No. 11 TCU (January 28) showing that this club has the capability to play with the best of them. Arkansas will likely win this game, as they have the better offense and are slightly better on defense. However, that characterization might be a bit misleading. Arkansas is allowing opponents 57.5 shots per game while Mississippi is allowing 52.5 per contest. That is five less shots per game and they are allowing three less makes per contest. Arkansas may win, but they will not cover the spread.

Kansas State PK (LOST)
The Red Raiders will keep it close if they keep good care of the ball and continue to earn a lot of free-throw attempts. However, that’s going to be a tough assignment against the Wildcats, who rank 42nd in the nation in opposing turnover percentage (21.3%). Also, the Wildcats are defending the 3-point line at the highest level, and Markquis Nowell has done a great job driving K-State’s offense so far this season, so I’m expecting the visitors to satisfy the odds. The Wildcats are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall and 6-0 ATS in their previous six meetings with Texas Tech. The Red Raiders have only covered once in their last five outings on the home floor.

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TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 12, 2023

TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 12, 2023

The Money Team Wins - Sunday College Basketball

NCAA BK 119-87 (58%)
Last 44 Days 54-37 (59%)

This Week 10-5 (67%)

Michigan State +3.5 (BIG WIN SU 62-41)

With Ohio State's inability to score lately, whether it be because of turnovers or nonexistent outside shooting, it's impossible to take them against another stout defense, even at home. The Spartans have held three of their last four opponents to 61 or fewer points, and the lone outlier happens to be the top-ranked team in the nation. The Buckeyes have been unable to win or cover for a month, and there aren't any signs that they are correcting course. Take Michigan State to cover.

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TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 13, 2023

The Money Team Wins - Monday College Basketball

NCAA BK 119-88 (57%)
Last 45 Days 54-38 (59%)

This Week 0-1 (0%)
Last Week 10-5 (67%)

Elon -6 (LOST)

Elon isn't a powerhouse by any means, but they're playing much better than Hampton right now and will be on their home court. They also have a significantly superior defense, which should be able to take advantage of Hampton's wildly inefficient offense. Meanwhile, Hampton's defense seldom stops anyone, which should enable Elon to score much easier than they usually do. Elon should get more open looks and more stops, leading to an easy win. Elon will cover for a sixth straight time.

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TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 14, 2023

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NBA 123-84 (59%)
Last 45 Days 42-25 (63%)

This Week 2-0 (100%)
Last Week 7-2 (78%)

NCAA BK 119-88 (57%)
Last 45 Days 54-38 (59%)

This Week 0-1 (0%)
Last Week 10-5 (67%)

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TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 14, 2023

The Money Team Wins - Tuesday College Basketball

NCAA BK 120-89 (57%)
Last 46 Days 55-39 (59%)

This Week 1-2 (33%)
Last Week 10-5 (67%)

Pittsburgh -9 (WON BIG)

These teams are built similarly, but Pitt does everything better. They shoot better, they defend better, they rebound better, and they commit fewer turnovers. They're also home, where they're 11-3, whereas Boston College is 2-6 on the road. Two of Boston College's last three road games have been losses by at least 19 points. The Panthers have beaten the spread in four straight, and have been fantastic against the spread all season at 18-6-1. I think they add another win to that record against the Eagles.

Michigan +1.5 (LOST)

I like Michigan to win this one on the road. They have an excellent three-point defense, 72nd nationally at forcing misses, and that is primarily how Wisconsin scores. Otherwise, the Badgers will have a difficult time scoring against the Wolverines. Wisconsin also has a tremendous defense, but Michigan has a more reliable offense and the best player on the floor in Hunter Dickinson. This game will probably be tight, and I trust Michigan more down the stretch, especially offensively. I'm picking Michigan to win.

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TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 16, 2023

The Money Team Wins - Wednesday College Basketball

NCAA BK 121-91 (57%)
Last 47 Days 56-41 (58%)

This Week 2-4 (33%)
Last Week 10-5 (67%)

LA Salle PK (WON)

Richmond has the numbers on their side for the season, but La Salle is playing better basketball right now. Along with winning in four straight, they've covered five in a row, beating the spread by at least 10.0 points in the four wins. Meanwhile, Richmond has lost four straight on the road, even though they were favored in two of them. Richmond has an awful three-point defense, and that's the strength of La Salle's offense. The Explorers have shot at least 40.0% from beyond the arc in their last three games. I think the hot team keeps their streak alive against a team that's been miserable on the road. La Salle wins this one.

Oregon -5.5 (LOST OT)

Oregon has held five of their last six opponents to 70 points or fewer. They should have success being able to shut down this struggling Washington attack, who are battling just to try to reach the 60-point plateau on many nights. The home team has won the last three meetings between these teams, but prior to the loss to Washington in Seattle on March 3 of last year, the Ducks had beaten the Huskies in six straight meetings. Washington may have earned their token victory as they fall in this game.

San Diego State -8 (LOST)

These teams have not faced each other this season, but this is a San Diego State team that has aspirations of going a long way in the tournament. They have won 13 of their last 15 games while Fresno State has lost seven of their last 10. Fresno State has been average at home as well, going 6-4 while the Aztecs have dominated on the road, going 6-1, with their only loss coming at Nevada, the second-place team in the conference. Aztecs will likely cover the spread even up to as much as 11, as Fresno State is struggling offensively of late, held to 66 points or fewer in four of their last six games.

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TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 16, 2023

The Money Team Wins - Thursday College Basketball

NCAA BK 122-92 (57%)
Last 48 Days 57-42 (58%)

This Week 3-5 (38%)
Last Week 10-5 (67%)

Temple -5 (LOST)

Patterns have emerged with these two teams and I am going to honor those patterns. Wichita State has been very up and down, going on a win-loss, win-loss pattern for its last 9 games. Temple has been streaky, following a four game winning streak with a three game losing streak. I think both patterns continue here as Temple gets off the schneid at home and starts a little run here to end the season with two winnable games after this. Wichita State, if the pattern continues, is due to lose this one after beating SMU in double OT last time out. Take Temple here to cover.

San Francisco -4 (WON)

I’m going with the visiting team to win and cover because the Dons are arguably a better defensive team than the Tigers. Both sides heavily lean on 3-point shooting, and the Dons defend the 3-point line much better than the Tigers do. The Tigers are struggling on the glass, posting the fewest offensive rebounds per game in the conference play. They are 305th in the country in defensive rebound percentage and 308th in offensive rebound percentage, while the Dons are 108th in defensive rebound percentage and 191st in offensive rebound percentage. Pacific is 2-4 SU and ATS in its last six meetings with San Francisco.

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TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 17, 2023

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TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 18, 2023

The Money Team Wins - Friday College Basketball

NCAA BK 122-94
Last 49 Days 57-44

This Week 3-7
Last Week 10-5

Rider -6.5 (LOST)

Rider is the much better team in this matchup, and they get to play on their home floor. The Broncs are on an eight-game win streak and have a good balance of guards who can score and post players contributing on the inside. They will be riding the momentum after winning on a last-second shot from Allen Powell. Rider has covered four of their last five games. Canisius just had a big home win over Quinnipiac, but that was an outlier as they had lost six in a row before that game. In the win over Quinnipiac, they had to rely on a career game from a bench player, TJ Gadsden went for 31 points, but that is unlikely to happen again as he only averages 7.9 PPG. Murray Jr. and James are a strong inside-out punch for the Broncs, they have been getting the job done lately and will keep it up here. Lay the points with the better team.

Wyoming -4.5 (OT LOST)
Air Force has lost three of their last four games against the spread and four straight on the road. Wyoming has lost three of the last four against the spread as well, but they have won two of the last three ATS at home. Despite Wyoming’s .500 record at home, they have been playing a bit better there recently, having won two of their last three games outright. Wyoming has won five of the previous seven games against Air Force. Look for these trends to continue.

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TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 18, 2023

The Money Team Wins - Saturday College Basketball

NCAA BK 124-97
Last 50 Days 59-47

This Week 3-7
Last Week 10-5

Alabama -18.5 (BIG WIN)

This is a bounce-back spot for Alabama, and I would lay points with the Crimson Tide. Georgia is not a bad defensive team, but the Bulldogs lack offensive weapons to compete against the Tide. Alabama’s frontcourt should dominate on both sides of the floor, and the Tide’s aggressiveness will be a decisive factor. Nate Oats’ boys will be highly motivated to prove their worth after a loss at Tennessee.

Bama is 4-1 SU and ATS in its last five dates with Georgia. The Tide are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 contests overall and 3-2 ATS in their last five showings as double-digit favorites, whereas the Bulldogs are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall and 1-6 ATS in their previous seven outings as double-digit dogs.

Northern Illinois -5 (LOST)

The Northern Illinois Huskies are not just the better team here, they have been much better against the spread. They are 13-10 against the spread overall, but they have beaten the spread in four of their last five games, including Tuesday against Ball State. In contrast, the Red Hawks have dropped 6 of their last 10 games against the spread, including their last two straight. The Huskies beat Miami of Ohio earlier this year, on the road, and covered the spread. Playing at home, they should have no problem beating the Red Hawks, who only have two conference wins all season. Take Northern Illinois here to cover.

Utah +3 (LOST)

Thursday was a bad day for the Utes and Sun Devils. Both teams hope to bounce back, and this game feels like a coin flip. Arizona State is 4-1 SU and ATS in its last five meetings with Utah. Last season, the Sun Devils swept the Utes, 64-62 at home and 63-61 at Utah, and I’m expecting to see another tight battle.

Arizona State has enough weapons to contain Brendan Carlsen in the paint, but the Sun Devils have struggled to defend the 3-point line in the conference play and could struggle against the Utes. Carlsen takes 3.7 attempts from deep per game, while guards Gabe Madsen and Lazar Stefanovic combine for 11.0 shots from downtown per contest. Also, the Utes are doing a solid job on the glass (2nd in the conference in defensive and total rebounds), so I’m going with the visitors.

Michigan State +2 (LOST)

We should see an ugly, low-scoring affair, and it could easily go either way. On paper, Michigan is a better offensive team than Michigan State, but the Wolverines’ defense is nowhere near the Spartans’ D. I trust the Spartans more, as the Wolverines have been inconsistent all season. Michigan hasn’t lost three straight games so far this season but hasn’t won four straight either.

The Spartans defend the 3-point line very well, and the Wolverines went 3-for-20 from deep in their previous duel against Michigan State. Michigan is 3-7 ATS in its last ten games against Michigan State.

BYU +10 (WON)

The Gaels defeated the Cougars in their first meeting of the season thanks to Aidan Mahaney’s tough jump shot with 0.3 seconds left on the clock. BYU was so close to upsetting the odds, and I’m expecting the Cougars to keep it close once more when they visit the Gaels. The Cougars are turning the ball a lot, but they are a top-15 team in the country in defensive rebound percentage and have enough defensive weapons to contain the Gaels, who also rely on a stout defense.

Per KenPom, BYU is 38th in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency (96.8 points per 100 possessions), and Saint Mary’s is fifth with 89.8 points allowed per 100 possessions. The Cougars are 5-0 ATS in their last five encounters with the Gaels.

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TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 20, 2023

TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 20, 2023

The Money Team Wins - Sunday College Basketball

NCAA BK 125-98
Last 51 Days 60-48

This Week 4-8
Last Week 10-5

We had our first bad week in the NCAA and now that we finally had one it's time to get back on track!

Temple -14.5 (WON)

This game could not have come at a better time for the struggling Temple Owls. They have lost 4 straight and tumbled down the AAC standings. They are badly in need of a win and Tulsa is just what the doctor ordered. Tulsa has been one of the worst bets in all of sports this year, as they are a woeful 3-20-2 against the spread this season. They have not won a road game all season, and they have two key players, Anthony Pritchard and Keyshawn Embery-Simpson listed as questionable. They are out manned to begin with, and playing shorthanded on the road just makes matters worse. Take Temple here to cover.

Butler -5 (LOST)

Butler ran away with the first game, on the road, and this time they're at home where they are much better. It doesn't seem possible, but the Georgetown defense is also much worse on the road. The Hoyas allow 82.1 points per game on 48.2% shooting in road contests. Both of those numbers would be bottom-10 in the nation this season. The Bulldogs aren't offensive juggernauts, but they've already proven capable of getting buckets at will against this swiss cheese defense. Butler shot 50.0% and 46.2% from three in the first meeting. Take Butler to beat the spread in this game.

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TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 21, 2023

The Money Team Wins - Monday College Basketball

NCAA BK 127-98
Last 52 Days 62-48

This Week 2-0 (100%)

CSU Fullerton +6 (SU BLOWOUT 74-60)

This promises to be a very exciting game. Both these teams are fighting for momentum heading into the conference tournament, and the Titans find themselves as the team that is playing much better basketball right now. They are winners of four straight games and have also won three straight games on the road. The Gauchos have been very good at home this season, but are just 4-2 in Santa Barbara in their last six games.
One thing to look for in this contest is for it to be a very solid defensive performance from both teams. These are two of the best defensive teams in the country, and both have been even better within the conference. While UCSB may come away with the victory, 6 points may be too much to expect for a spread. They win, if they win, by no more than three in this game. That makes taking Cal State-Fullerton and the spread the better choice.

CAL Poly +11.5 (BIG WIN 56-59)

Cal Poly is a big underdog here, as would be expected with the worst team in the conference facing the best team in the conference. But the highlight of the Mustangs season came against these same Anteaters about a week ago, and that should give them the confidence that they can hang with the Anteaters. Their best bet is to run the same playbook as they did last week, slow it down, win the battle of the boards, us their physical advantage, and keep it close. They can slow this game down enough to keep the point total low, which will, in turn allow them to cover. Take Cal Poly here getting the points.

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TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 22, 2023

The Money Team Wins - Tuesday College Basketball

NCAA BK 129-99
Last 53 Days 64-49

This Week 4-1 (80%)

Ohio -11.5 (LOST)

Taking Ohio to cover their spread in this one for multiple reasons. Early line movement has already seen this line move to -10.5 and even -11, and it could continue to move leading into game time. Expect Ohio's offense to be prominent throughout the game, with the Bobcats going on multiple double-digit runs, and hanging up more points than Northern Illinois is accustomed to. The Huskies' defense will not be of much help, as they allow opponents to score about 75 points per game, and allow those teams to shoot well above average from both the field and from three. In addition, Ohio has a slight advantage on the board and from the free throw line, shooting a better percentage and allowing fewer free throws, while rebounds more on than offensive end than their counterpart. The Bobcats have covered in their past four consecutive games, and I do not see that trend ending here.

Nevada -8.5 (WON)

Nevada already dismantled SJSU in January, holding the Spartans to 33.3% shooting from the field and forcing them into 20 turnovers. Jarod Lucas can only play better than he did against Utah State, and Nevada’s defense will be all over Omaru Moore, who’s a key guy for this Spartans team. The Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall, 13-4-1 ATS in their previous 18 games in the conference play, and 3-1 ATS in their last four encounters with San Jose State.

Utah State -6 (WON)

Playing at home hasn't helped Wyoming much, and playing on the road hasn't spelled doom for Utah State. So, when comparing the teams straight up, it's clear that Utah State is significantly better. In particular, the Aggies' dangerous offense should feast against a putrid Cowboys defense again. In the first game, Utah State shot 50.8% from the field and drained 44.4% of their threes. They also outrebounded Wyoming 43-34. On the strength of offense alone, Utah State should be able to cruise to victory! Add in that their defense is also better, and this game shouldn't be close. Utah State beats the spread against Wyoming again.

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TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 23, 2023

The Money Team Wins - Wednesday College Basketball

NCAA BK 131-100 (57%)
Last 54 Days 66-50 (57%)

This Week 6-2 (75%)

Bradley -8 (WON)

I can't find a reason not to bet on Bradley in this one. They're better than Valpo on a per-possession basis in nearly every statistic. They've won eight straight and are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games. They won four of those six games by double digits. Meanwhile, Valpo is 1-3-0 ATS in their last four. The Beacons' only edge in the first game was with fouls. They committed 10 fewer than Valpo did and finished with 17 more free throw attempts. Despite that, Valpo never had a lead in the game and trailed by as much as 33. That game was never close, and this game shouldn't be either.

Vanderbilt -2 (LOST)

These are teams headed in opposite directions. LSU's season is careening out of control as they have dropped 14 straight and they probably see this as a winnable game, as Vanderbilt has been a conference doormat in recent years. But this is not your typical Vanderbilt team. They have won 5 straight and they are playing with incredible confidence, following upset wins over Tennessee and Auburn. Vegas still has this view that LSU will right the ship, maybe based on their reputation, but its not happening as they are 9-17-1 against the spread this season. This game means more to Vanderbilt right now and they find a way to win and cover.

New Mexico +6.5 (WON)

New Mexico went 6-for-13 from downtown in that overtime victory to Boise State in January, and the Lobos certainly own weapons to deal with the Broncos’ defense. Jamal Mashburn dropped 25 points on Boise State, while Tyson Degenhart led the Broncos with 28 points. Hereof, I’m expecting to see another tight battle between these two schools. The Lobos are not a bad defensive unit, and I think they’ll keep it close down the stretch. Boise State is 8-1 ATS in its last nine meetings with New Mexico, but the Broncos haven’t covered the spread in five straight games overall.

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TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 23, 2023

The Money Team Wins - Thursday CBB

NCAA BK 132-101 (57%)
Last 55 Days 67-51 (56%)

This Week 7-3 (70%)

Penn State +2.5 (WON SU)

I am continuing my strategy of fading Ohio State, as the Buckeyes really look like they have given up on the season. They played well against Purdue and Iowa in the first meeting against both teams, but they were blown out in the rematches in their most recent outings. Ohio State has not covered the spread once during its eight-game losing streak, and it has only covered once in its last six home games. Penn State tends to have value in this series, anyway, covering in eight of the last 11 meetings. Pickett is one of the hottest players in the country right now, so I have no interest in fading him against the lifeless Buckeyes.

Louisiana Tech +4.5 (LOST)

With the return of Louisiana Tech's top scorer and passer, I think they have an excellent chance to get back in the win column. In the last five games Cobe Williams played, the Bulldogs are 4-1-0 ATS. Louisiana Tech is also 4-1-0 ATS in their last five road games. That they already beat Western Kentucky, shooting 50.7% and 43.8% from three, shouldn't be lost on anyone. They also outrebounded the Hilltoppers 39-33 in that contest. Western Kentucky is also only 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games. These teams are very similar, and I wouldn't be surprised if this game also went to overtime. I also wouldn't be surprised if Louisiana Tech won, but taking them +5.0 is the smarter option.

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TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 25, 2023

The Money Team Wins - Friday CBB

NCAA BK 134-101 (57%)
Last 56 Days 69-51 (58%)

This Week 9-3 (75%)

Air Force +9.5 (WON)

Neither team enters this contest playing particularly well. The Falcons are 2-8 in their last 10 games but have kept things close, losing four of those games by 10 points or fewer. UNLV has lost three straight games and four of their last five, with all four losses coming by 11 points or fewer and two of those coming by four points or less. Take UNLV to win, but if they are favored by more than eight in this game, take the Falcons.

Nevada -2.5 (WON)

Nevada is in the mix for the No. 10 seed in March Madness. The Wolf Pack have a huge motive to beat the Bulldogs, and I think Nevada will get the job done. Fresno State will miss Isaih Moore, who’s done for the season with a hip injury, and his absence is a huge blow for the Bulldogs’ frontcourt.

The Wolf Pack are arguably a much better offensive team than the Bulldogs. Without Moore, Fresno State will struggle to contain Will Baker, who had 19 points in that home win over the Bulldogs. Nevada is 5-1 ATS in its last six games overall and 4-1 ATS in its previous five encounters with Fresno State.

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TMTWSportsNetwork · Feb 26, 2023

The Money Team Wins - Saturday CBB

NCAA BK 136-103 (57%)
Last 57 Days 71-53 (57%)

This Week 11-5 (69%)

Alabama -7.5 (LOST)

While the South Carolina game was nearly a disaster, being back home should bring Bama back to their usual dominance. At home, they are significantly better on both ends of the floor than their season averages, and their numbers this season are already elite. Along with that, they're 9-4-0 ATS at home while Arkansas is 2-6-0 ATS on the road. These teams play the same brand of basketball, Alabama just does everything better. The first game proved that, and now that this one is in Tuscaloosa, Alabama should roll into another resounding victory. Take the Crimson Tide to cover the spread against the Razorbacks again.

Indiana +7.5 (WON BIG SU)

I’m expecting Purdue to get revenge. Zach Edey is unguardable, though the Boilermakers need more from their inexperienced backcourt. Still, beating Indiana by eight or more points might be a tall order. Purdue’s last four home wins have come by double-digits, but the Hoosiers are a dangerous team with a top-notch player in Trayce Jackson-Davis. I’m looking for the Hoosiers to keep it close down the stretch.

Marquette -15 (LOST)

The Golden Eagles are not a great defensive team, but they still own enough firepower to contain the Blue Demons and win this game comfortably. Marquette’s offense has been outstanding all season, and the Golden Eagles are dishing out 16.6 assists per game in the conference play (2nd) while committing just 9.9 turnovers a night (1st). Hereof, I’m expecting the Golden Eagles to dominate DePaul and cover a huge spread.

The Blue Demons are winless in ten straight outings on the road, covering the spread just twice in that stretch. Also, they are 1-8 ATS over their previous nine games overall. On the other side, the Golden Eagles are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 contests overall and 6-2 ATS in their previous eight showings on the home court.

Santa Clara -6.5 (WON BIG)

Of course, I lean toward Santa Clara because of its defense. The Broncos are arguably a much better defensive team than the Toreros. But with nothing on the table, the head coaches might decide to rest some of the important players. Santa Clara is 15-1-1 ATS in its previous 17 road games against San Diego.