wow its been a rough two days for me. here's what i wrote on another tennis forum:
its been a rough two days for anyone backing the favs especially parlaying them. you can get it 75% correct and still end up losing money. ive taken quite a beating myself. what's obvious here is the fact that majority of the big players are taking it easy this week, getting ready for paris. cilic, ancic, gasquet barely pulling thru, berdych, even karlovic but that's a whole different ball game. and that's just today.
the sensible thing to do here is lower the stake and be more selective. you can't blindly rely on a "favorite" at 1.2 just because he's at 1.2. probably the most over looked and underrated thing to look for in these matches is the motivation and incentive of each player. thats the lesson here.
its not a coincidence that cilic plays amazing tennis in madrid and plays like shit in st. petersburg against a guy outside of top 150