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thought id parlay all these guys and see what happens

gulbis
tipsy
youzhny
dlouhy
roddick
ginepri

.6 unit to win 2.0
 

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wow its been a rough two days for me. here's what i wrote on another tennis forum:

its been a rough two days for anyone backing the favs especially parlaying them. you can get it 75% correct and still end up losing money. ive taken quite a beating myself. what's obvious here is the fact that majority of the big players are taking it easy this week, getting ready for paris. cilic, ancic, gasquet barely pulling thru, berdych, even karlovic but that's a whole different ball game. and that's just today.

the sensible thing to do here is lower the stake and be more selective. you can't blindly rely on a "favorite" at 1.2 just because he's at 1.2. probably the most over looked and underrated thing to look for in these matches is the motivation and incentive of each player. thats the lesson here.

its not a coincidence that cilic plays amazing tennis in madrid and plays like shit in st. petersburg against a guy outside of top 150
 

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wed plays:

granollers at 2.5, 1 unit
schwank at 2.0, 1 unit
kiefer at 2.3, 1 unit

parlay
safin
soderling
mathieu
at 2.08, 1 unit
 

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Jan 8, 2008
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nieminen at 1.909, 2 units (changed my mind from schwank)

hrbaty at 3.1, 1 unit
fish at 1.8, 1 unit
kohli at 1.84, 1 unit
 

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futures:
youzhny to win tourny at +1200, 0.5 unit
shuettler to win at +2200, 0.5 unit

del potro to win at +500, 2 units
nalbandian to win at +625, 2 units
 

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Jan 8, 2008
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ascione/sod OVER 19.5 at 1.8, 1 unit
simon/mon OVER 21.5 at 1.87, 1 unit
safin/stak OVER 21.5 at 1.77, 1 unit
murray/troic OVER 20.5 at 1.77, 1 unit
 

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Jan 8, 2008
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ytd 53-59, -15.73

tomorrow's plays:

chardy at 2.4, 1 unit
bolelli at 1.74, 1 unit
gulbis at 3.5, 1 unit

parlay:
safin
mathieu
del potro
1.4 unit to win 1.2
 

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Jan 8, 2008
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seppi at 2.95, 2 units
mathieu at 1.91, 1 unit
c. rochus at 8.0, 0.5 unit

parlay
tsonga
gasquet
roddick
at 2.1, 2 units
 

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