Dave Cokin
Bonus Play Sunday
BENGALS @ RAIDERS 4:25 PN
Take: RAIDERS +3
It’s opening week in the NFL, so in terms of data support for any of my plays, there really isn’t any. So this one is pretty much strictly opinion, but I’ve already made my play on this duel.
The Bengals have been a pretty good squad for quite some time now. No big runs at a Super Bowl, but Cincinnati has become a regular member of the playoff party, so they’re at the very least a respectable entry.
Or at least they have been. I’m not sold that’s going to continue much longer. I just feel as though the key players on this roster have reached their ceiling, and at the top of that list is QB Andy Dalton. Once players peak, there’s just one way to go and while I can’t chisel these views into granite, I am of the belief the Bengals are ready to start declining a bit. My sense has always been that there’s a window for most franchises and when a team consistently gets that window open but can’t climb through it to reach the next level, regression becomes an inevitability. I might well be all wet on this one, but I think the Bengals could well go stale this year.
As for Oakland, it’s been bad for so long that I have trouble remembering when it wasn’t. But the Raiders have a real chance to get better this season. Don’t get me wrong, I’m not putting this team in the playoffs, and I would be somewhat shocked if they even seriously contend for a winning record. But I do see improvement both on the roster and even more so on the coaching staff.
I’ll put it this way. This is the first year in ages where I’ve felt the Raiders had some legitimately positive energy going into a new season, and I’m hoping that shows up today.
This game is not generating nearly as much attention as several others from the bettors. Only about 27% of the Westgate LV Supercontest entrants played this game. That’s the third fewest on the entire Sunday/Monday slate. That really doesn’t have anything to do with my analysis on this game, but perhaps it indicates that the Raiders are flying a bit beneath the radar right now.
In any event, this is a team I think is rising hosting one I suspect could be declining and I’m catching a field goal in the process. I’ll take my chances with the Raiders plus the points today.
Bonus Play Sunday
BENGALS @ RAIDERS 4:25 PN
Take: RAIDERS +3
It’s opening week in the NFL, so in terms of data support for any of my plays, there really isn’t any. So this one is pretty much strictly opinion, but I’ve already made my play on this duel.
The Bengals have been a pretty good squad for quite some time now. No big runs at a Super Bowl, but Cincinnati has become a regular member of the playoff party, so they’re at the very least a respectable entry.
Or at least they have been. I’m not sold that’s going to continue much longer. I just feel as though the key players on this roster have reached their ceiling, and at the top of that list is QB Andy Dalton. Once players peak, there’s just one way to go and while I can’t chisel these views into granite, I am of the belief the Bengals are ready to start declining a bit. My sense has always been that there’s a window for most franchises and when a team consistently gets that window open but can’t climb through it to reach the next level, regression becomes an inevitability. I might well be all wet on this one, but I think the Bengals could well go stale this year.
As for Oakland, it’s been bad for so long that I have trouble remembering when it wasn’t. But the Raiders have a real chance to get better this season. Don’t get me wrong, I’m not putting this team in the playoffs, and I would be somewhat shocked if they even seriously contend for a winning record. But I do see improvement both on the roster and even more so on the coaching staff.
I’ll put it this way. This is the first year in ages where I’ve felt the Raiders had some legitimately positive energy going into a new season, and I’m hoping that shows up today.
This game is not generating nearly as much attention as several others from the bettors. Only about 27% of the Westgate LV Supercontest entrants played this game. That’s the third fewest on the entire Sunday/Monday slate. That really doesn’t have anything to do with my analysis on this game, but perhaps it indicates that the Raiders are flying a bit beneath the radar right now.
In any event, this is a team I think is rising hosting one I suspect could be declining and I’m catching a field goal in the process. I’ll take my chances with the Raiders plus the points today.