Service Plays Wednesday 09/30/09

[Mr.Maxx]

4 Unit Play. Take the Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+105) over the Florida Marlins (Wednesday @ 7:10pm est). This really is a must win for the Braves and although I'm not a big run line player, this is one that I'm willing to back up some cash up with today. Vasquez has been solid for the Braves all year and he has been their stall worth. In fact, if Bobby had to pick one pitcher that has come through the most for this team, it might indeed be Javier. Javy has given up 3 runs in 32 innings and is 4-0 over his last four starts. His era keeps dipping and now sits at 2.83. He last faced the Marlins on on August 21st and lost 3-5 here in Atlanta for one of his "shakiest" starts of the year. Javier gave up five runs in just under 7 innings in that contest - and considering he has given up 3 runs in his last 32 innings, just shows you the difference from that start compared to how Javy has been pitching of late. Although Nolasco comes off a loss, the Marlins come off a big 4-5 win yesterday. On top of that, Nolasco beat the Braves in his last start at the Ted giving up 3 runs in 6 innings as the Marlins went on to win 8-3. I like the Braves with Javy on the bounce-back against the Marlins, the Braves on the bounce-back from yesterday's loss, with a bit of revenge against Nolasco to do well today as they are 13-3 when the total is set at this range and 7-0 when Vasquez starts after allowing more than 5 runs in their previous game.

Good luck,
IC

 

[Mr.Maxx]

3-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 7.5 Florida at Atlanta (7 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 30)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 Milwaukee at Colorado (8:40 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 30)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 7.5 L.A. Dodgers at San Diego (10 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 30)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 Houston at Philadelphia (7 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 30)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Minnesota at Detroit (7 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 30)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.0 St. Louis at Cincinnati (7 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 30)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘over’ 8.5 Oakland at Seattle (10 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 30)
Ferringo

 

[Gatorbait37]

Bob Balfe

College Football
Hawaii/Louisiana Tech Over 55
Hawaii has one of the most explosive offenses in the nation and will be going against a team that faced three running teams that did not pass the ball much. When opponents did pass they did it with much success against the Bulldogs. Hawaii might throw the ball 60+ times tonight. Tech doesn’t have a very scary offense, but I don’t think it will be hard for them to keep pace tonight against a young Hawaii Defense that has a few injuries on offense. The bottom line is LTech should score at will. I do like Hawaii to win this game, but the line is set way to high and it seems to easy for Hawaii backers getting five points. Look for fireworks on offense tonight. Take the Over.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ats

3 la tech - 4

this is a 4 unit play

 

[CaliDreaming]

BEN BURNS
ANNIHILATOR - NATIONALS
10 TIGERS Run Line

sorry for late post with the nationals

 

[CaliDreaming]

is this the ATS Lock Club?

Yes

 

[LeifSheppard]

I got this from another post and Burns does have a huge 10* r line of the year but the tigers are dogs in this one so I'm not sure if that makes sense, i will try to confirm.

It already has been posted.


DETROIT +1.5 RUNS (RUN-LINE)

Game: Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Game Time: 9/30/2009 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Detroit Tigers Reason: I'm playing DETROIT ON THE RUNLINE (+1.5 Runs). With the Twins being favored for the game, we're getting a very reasonable price on the Tigers at +1.5 runs. While I expect the Tigers to win, I also believe that this game will likely be close and that having an extra run to work with could prove valuable. Note that both of yesterday's games were decided by a single run, a sign of how close and important this series is. Including yesterday's results, the Tigers are 49-27 at home. The Twins are 37-42 on the road. As their overall records are close, clearly both teams prefer their "home cooking." Note that the Tigers are 6-4 (vs. the moneyline) as home underdogs in the +100 to +125 range. Bonine gets the call for the Tigers and he's been solid as a starter. In three starts, he's got a 3.06 ERA and 1.245 WHIP. He took a loss last time out. However, that was on the road (Tigers are 2-0 in his home starts) and he only allowed two unearned runs and two hits through 6 2/3 innings. Note that all three of his starts have been decided by two runs or less, two of them by a single run. Additionally, note that he'll have the advantage of starting against the Twins for the first time this season. Pavano goes for the Twins and he's admittedly got some great numbers against Detroit. However, this will be the fourth time that the Tigers have faced him since the beginning of August and they just saw him on 9/19, only two starts ago. That should give the hitters an advantage. Actually, Pavano was fortunate to give up only two runs vs. Detroit in that game as he also gave up 11 hits. He was also quite hittable in his most recent start as the lowly Royals got eight hits (two of them HR's) and scored four runs off him in six innings. Overall, he's got a 4.86 ERA incl. a 4.84 ERA on the road. As Twins manager Ron Gardenhire said, "This is playoff baseball - we just got started a little early this year..." With this being "playoff baseball," I expect another close and hard-fought affair and considering the Tigers overall home record, I feel that getting them at +1.5 runs for this price provides us with excellent value. *10 Top Run Line

 

[GoldAri]

Stan Sharp?

That is Marco D'Angelo in disguise just so you guys know

 

[tannguyen94]

MLB
Thanks for purchasing our picks. Dont forget our 10** Game of the week today along with this great package!!


Wednesday Sept 30th


Florida v. Atlanta 7pm
PICK: OVER 7.5 -105 (8*) Best Bet


St Louis v. Cincy 7:10pm
PICK: UNDER 8 ev (5*)


Arizona v. SF 10:15pm
PICK: Giants RL +125 (5*)


2 team parlayfor 1* pays 4*

Red Sox ML +145
UNDER 8.5 Red Sox +105

NCAAF

Hawaii v. La Tech 8pm
PICK: OVER 55.5 Game (6*)

Premium content follows:

Thanks for purchasing our 10** Game of the week.
Wednesday Sept 30th
Minny v. Detroit 7pm
PICK: Tigers ML ev (10**) Game of the week

 

[logan1981]

Northcoast

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wed marquee
top opinion Haw/LaTech over 55

 

[logan1981]

Red Hott Locks

Hawaii has really impressed me this season. After the Colt Brennan, Devon Bess and June Jones days many expected the Warriors to have some rebuilding years. Most pundits picked Hawaii to finish 5th or worse in the WAC this season, and they still may, but have already played some respectable games the team was not supposed to be competitive in. Everyone saw the score in the opener, 25-20, against Central Arkansas (FCS) on the Big Island and loaded up to bet against the Warriors in Week 2. But what the public didn’t know is that UCA is one of the premier FCS teams and the lowly Washington State Cougars were just as bad as they were a season ago. On a neutral field in Seattle, Hawaii convincingly defeated Wazzu 38-20 and then went up the road to play UNLV in Week 3. Again labeled as underdogs, the Warriors played above their heads against the Mountain West’s Runnin’ Rebels and only a UNLV touchdown pass with 36 seconds left in the game kept Hawaii from being a 3-0 team. That was a heartbreaker and now the Warriors come off an idle week to travel the furthest distance of the year so far to Ruston, Louisiana.

Unlike the Warriors, the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have somewhat disappointed this year. Not many expected them to win the WAC, but at least compete with some of the top-tier programs like Boise State, Fresno State and Nevada (also struggling to find semblance). But they’ve also had a tough schedule to date, so opening conference play against a comparable opponent will be a nice change of pace. In Week 1, Tech hung with a very solid Auburn team for an entire half (10-13), but was eventually defeated 37-13. Navy ran down their throats in Week 2 for a 32-14 defeat, but again the Bulldogs played tough for a half as it was 14-18 after two periods of play. Finishing games is what this team has to learn to do and 35 second half points last Saturday may have been the jumpstart Tech needed.

The Warriors passing offense ranks No. 1 in the country (423.33 ypg) so you know what their gameplan will be. For Louisiana Tech, it will be quite the opposite. The Bulldogs will have to control the clock and rely on its superior ground game to keep Hawaii’s offense off the field. While Hawaii had a week to prepare for this one, Louisiana Tech played Nicholls State last week (48-13) and most likely were peaking ahead to this conference opener. Nine starters return on offense for the Bulldogs, and wide receiver/kick returner Philip Livas is one of the most electric players in college football and will account for at least two touchdowns in this WAC showdown. The Hawaii offense should be able to find some success picking on a mediocre Tech pass defense, but the ESPN home-field factor will propel the Bulldogs to a victory.

RHL Prediction: Louisiana Tech 35, Hawaii 28

 

[logan1981]

Hot Shot ( FROM NORTHCOAST)

5* Minn
3* Over Ariz

 

[logan1981]

apache

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17 hawaii
25 hawaii over

 

[ilikeaction]

College Bettor

Hawaii +6

Paid and Confirmed

 

[logan1981]

Seabass

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50* La Tech -4

 

[logan1981]

Savannah Sports


Professional Plays
Eric Degarde
MLB Baseball
3 (***) Cincinnati -110
2 (**) Minnesota -111

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Black Widow

6* Widow Wiseguy WAC TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Hawaii/LA Tech O 55(-108 at 5dimes)
Hawaii offers one of the most prolific passing games in the country, which means a lot of points and a lot of clock stoppages. The Warriors are throwing for 423 yards per game and scoring 32.0 points per contest thuse far. LA Tech is giving up a bunch of yards defensively, with 407 total yards per game and 8.2 yards per attempt passing. But the Bulldogs got their offense going last game compiling 558 yards of total offense and 48 points against Nicholls State. Look for LA Tech to build off of that performance at home Wednesday night. Hawaii has comitted 9 turnovers in 3 games, but they've also forced 10 turnovers in three games which has led to easy scores for them and their opposition. The last time these teams met up at LA Tech in 2007, Hawaii edged out the Bulldogs 45-44 in overtime. Hawaii is 20-6 OVER (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992. The OVER is 4-0 in Hawaii's last 4 games overall, and the OVER is 5-1 in LA Tech's last 6 home games. Take the OVER 55 points here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SafestWagers

HAWAII WARRIORS LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS
2-1 September 30, 8:00 PM | Turf of Joe Aillet Stadium 1-2



The line has moved towards Louisiana Tech because Hawaii is usually
a poor road team, and their first 3 games were all away, which obviously
involves lots of traveling, and probably lots of fun. It was for me.
Although they don't play the toughest opponents, Hawaii almost
always has one of the highest ranked offenses. They couldn't hold off
UNLV in last, repeatedly giving back the lead.

Many are endorsing The Bulldogs because of their tougher strength of
schedule, but they did get beaten pretty handily by Navy and Auburn.

Result:
The Warriors should probably employ NASA with their lengthy travel
schedule, but.... they were off last weekend and got a chance to get
meaningful practices on their home field.
They almost beat UNLV who looked very competent against
Oregon State.
Louisiana Tech has played teams that are more run oriented.
It will be tough for them to contain Hawaii's air capabilities.


Take The Hawaii Warriors + 4.5
We're putting a little on them to win Straight Up.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LT Profits

White Sox/Indians UNDER 9 -120 (GAME #2)
Twins/Tigers UNDER 9.5 -120
Marlins/Braves UNDER 7.5 -110

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Maddux

#101 - NCAA - 5 units on Hawaii & LA Tech Over 55 (WED)
#102 - NCAA - 3 units on LA Tech -4.5 (WED)