Service Plays Wednesday 09/30/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tony George

Minnesota vs. Detroit

Carl Pavano a better pitcher and AGAIN the Twins bullpen available for tonight has an ERA average of 1.95 in their last 3 games as compared to the Tigers which is 5.95! Bullpens win big games this time of the year, and this is more or less a playoff game.

Play 1 Unit on Minnesota

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

9* NCAAF "SPECIAL PUNI$HER"

Hawaii vs. La Tech
Play: Hawaii

For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this game is on Hawaii as it will look to bombard Louisiana Tech with its big guns in its passing game: Both these teams could challenge for the league title, or qualify for a bowl-spot-heading into WAC play, but I believe the Warriors efficient offense will simply be too much for the Bulldogs to handle. Hawaii is having to deal with an extended road trip to start its year, and with big games against Fresno State, Boise State and Nevada upcoming, Wednesdays game vs. Louisiana Tech is crucial to its season. Hawaii has dominated this series since Louisiana Tech joined the WAC in 2001 and the Warriors lead the nation in pass offense at 423.3 yards per game and are first in pass efficiency and sixth in total offense overall. We know the Warriors can score, but Hawaii will have to improve on the defensive side of the ball if they want to win this one; the key will be to stop the run and force the Bulldogs to make mistakes in the air. There are some recent strong ATS trends in favor of the Warriors in this one; Hawaii is 5-1 ATS its last six on the road and 5-2 ATS its last seven when playing Louisiana Tech. It appears on the surface that the Bulldogs have improved their much maligned pass defense from a year ago, but when delving deeper into the stats we see that their 156 yards allowed per game this season is more a mirage than a miraculous turn-around; the reality is the Bulldogs have played three run-dominated teams in Auburn, Navy and Nicholls State. Hawaii will also be looking to establish its run game against Louisiana Tech which is allowing 251.7 yards per and their two sacks on the season rank last in the WAC. It's interesting to note that Louisiana Tech is 0-3 ATS the last two seasons as a 3 1/2 to 10 point favorite. Hawaii is already 1-0 ATS as an underdog of 3 1/2 to 10 points this year, and when we look back further we see that its 3-1 ATS in the same position over the last two seasons. The Warriors 423 passing yards per game will simply be too much for the Bulldogs suspect secondary to handle, and while I won't be shocked to see them win this game outright, let's take the points.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Opposite Action Plays

La Tech

 

[Ol-G-Parker]

VR i triple dime _ toronto ml
double dime - la tech
la tech under

For a guy who gets all this information from the sports books and the huge betting syndicates why not release La Tech earlier in the day? I feel weird playing them when I could of got this line at -4 earlier this afternoon rather than the -6 it is at now.

Im not a huge believer in DR BOB although he does still put people on the + side but It looks like there is some great value with the dog here and the better team. La Tech is 5-15 ATS after a bye week.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lenny Del Genio
15* MLB Underdog of the Week

Florida vs. Atlanta

We cashed the Marlins last night, as they snapped the Braves seven-game win streak. Fact is that this is just the wrong opponent for a desperate Atlanta team. Florida excels in the role of spoiler, owning a 6-1 record as an underdog of +175 to +250, yielding a tremendous profit. We have been playing against Atlanta all year long here at Turner Field vs. righties as they continue to set fire to their backers’ money, dropping $1365 for the season. Braves starter Vazquez has been terrible against the Marlins this year, giving up 10 runs in his last 12 innings pitched against them (both team losses). Florida counters with Ricky Nolasco, who not only has given up just five earned runs in his last 14 IP, but he owns a 9-3 TSR in road night games this season. Nolasco also has seen his team win 20 of his 33 starts in the road underdog role, including 15 of 24 on the road. Florida is our 15* MLB Underdog of the Week.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Evan Altemus

Hawaii vs. La Tech

This total is relatively low for this series considering that just two years ago and before the total was set in the 70’s. The biggest for the significant change is the theory that Hawaii doesn’t have an explosive offense anymore. Last season the total was set at 48 when these two teams met, and that game easily went under. However, the Warriors offense is vastly improved this season. Quarterback Greg Alexander is much more comfortable in the offense, and he is one of the nation’s best statistical quarterbacks. Meanwhile, Louisiana Tech will look to get their offense going after it sputtered in losses to Auburn and Navy. They should have no problem moving the ball in this game, as the Warriors defense, specifically their pass defense, has struggled this season. They allowed UNLV and Washington State to move the ball rather easily against them, even though most of the Cougars offensive success came after the game was a blowout. Hawaii also has a few injuries on defense which will make things easier for Louisiana Tech to move the ball. I expect this game to be back and forth throughout, with each team matching the other score for score. Even if either team falls behind a significant margin, they both have an offense capable of putting points on the board in bunches. Look for this game to fly over the total.

3 UNIT SELECTION OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Beatyourbookie 100* on Angels

 

[wattt]

Ol G parker
most of the times we get them late. Buy it yourself and you will get it early.

 

[Ol-G-Parker]

Ol G parker
most of the times we get them late. Buy it yourself and you will get it early.

Who is we? Do you work for Pregame? I was talking about VR himself. He just released that play and uploaded it minutes ago.

That was my point. If he has all this info you would think he would of released it hours ago. I wasnt talking about when the play was posted here on the RX

 

[wattt]

His baseball play has been up all day. And you could have gotten a better # in the morning. I thought you meant when it gets posted here. But yea he talks about confirming and he always finalizes around 3:30.

 

[jordan17]

I took Hawaii +7 -135...

 

[2DIMES]

sitting this one out......................!~~~!.................:drink:...............:smoker2:

 

[jacksports]

I like hawaii myself! GL all !!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Alex Smart 4* over

 

[G-Ragg]

Gregg Micale sports has a

*3 star over 55.5

 

[jblonghorn]

I played Hawaii and the under, and teased them both.

 

[jordan17]

Trushel mlb still up!
@)

 

[agkil12]

What was Trushel's play?

 

[Smoke_O]

executive

200 la tech

pass thurs

Executive is ALL YOU NEED in CFB.....18-5 so far :toast:

 

[MysteryMan]

I took Hawaii +7 -135...

sucker....