NBA
Write-Up
Tuesday, May 31
Dallas beat Miami twice this season, but games were played before the holidays; Mavericks won 106-95 at home Nov 27, then won 98-96 Dec 20 in Miami. Heat is 8-0 at home in playoffs, so series begins when the Mavericks win game in south Florida. Miami is 5-3 as home favorite in playoffs- they're going to find veteran Dallas team much harder to guard than Chicago, since Mavericks have more weapons. Dallas is also 5-0 in its last five road games, since blowing huge third quarter lead in losing Game 4 of the Portland series. Best chance to steal a win in the road is usually Game 1. Both teams are really, really well-rested.
Write-Up
Tuesday, May 31
Dallas beat Miami twice this season, but games were played before the holidays; Mavericks won 106-95 at home Nov 27, then won 98-96 Dec 20 in Miami. Heat is 8-0 at home in playoffs, so series begins when the Mavericks win game in south Florida. Miami is 5-3 as home favorite in playoffs- they're going to find veteran Dallas team much harder to guard than Chicago, since Mavericks have more weapons. Dallas is also 5-0 in its last five road games, since blowing huge third quarter lead in losing Game 4 of the Portland series. Best chance to steal a win in the road is usually Game 1. Both teams are really, really well-rested.
MLB
Write-Up
Tuesday, May 31
Hot pitchers
-- Lee is 2-0, 2.25 in his last couple starts.
-- Latos is 2-1, 3.20 in his last three starts.
-- McDonald is 3-1, 2.60 in his last six starts. Dickey is 1-0, 1.04 in his last two starts.
-- Vogelsong is 2-1, 0.68 in his last four starts.
-- Florida won last four ASanchez starts (2-0, 0.87). Kennedy is 5-0, 1.88 in his last eight starts.
-- Humber is 2-1, 2.16 in his last six starts. Aceves is 1-0, 1.64 in two starts this season.
-- Anderson is 1-1, 1.83 in his last three starts.
-- Bedard is 3-0, 1.36 in his last five starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Marquis is 1-1, 7.02 in his last three starts.
-- Minor is 0-1, 5.40 in two starts this season.
-- Greinke has a 6.11 RA in five starts, but Brewers won his last four outings, scoring 26 runs. Reineke is 5-2, 2.52 in nine AA starts; he has a 2-1, 5.48 mark in four big league starts (Padres/A's).
-- Zambrano is 1-1, 5.63 in his last four starts. Lyles is 3-3, 3.20 in ten AAA starts this season.
-- Carpenter is 0-3, 6.10 in his last three starts.
-- Mortensen is 1-2, 4.74 in four starts this season. Lilly is 0-1, 3.79 in his last three starts.
-- Talbot is 1-1, 5.87 in three starts this season. Morrow is 0-2, 5.40 in his four home starts.
-- Wilson is 1-2, 4.68 in his last four starts. Cobb allowed four runs in 4.1 IP in his only '11 start.
-- Scherzer is 0-2, 11.74 in his last couple starts. Duensing is 0-5, 6.84 in his last five starts.
-- Francis is 1-5, 6.02 in his last eight starts. Pineiro is 0-1, 5.03 in his last three outings.
-- FGarcia is 2-4, 4.41 in his last six starts.
-- Guthrie is 1-3, 5.56 in his last five starts.
Totals
-- Seven of last eight Philly games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven San Diego games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten games at Wrigley Field went over.
-- Seven of last eight St Louis home games stayed under the total.
-- Five of Pirates' last seven games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of Reds' last eleven games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Colorado road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-3-2 in last eleven Florida games.
-- Three of last four Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Three of Floyd's last four road starts stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Francis starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 17-7 in Tampa Bay's last 24 home games.
-- Six of last eight Toronto games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Bronx games.
-- Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Baltimore games.
Hot Teams
-- Phillies won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Atlanta won six of its last eight home games. Padres won four of their last five games.
-- Cardinals are 9-5 in their last fourteen games.
-- Pirates won seven of their last eleven games.
-- Milwaukee won eight of its last ten games.
-- Arizona won 15 of its last 17 games.
-- Dodgers won three of last four games, allowing four runs.
-- Rangers won six of their last eight games.
-- Toronto won its last four games, scoring 37 runs.
-- Red Sox won 16 of their last 22 games.
-- Angels won three of their last four games.
-- A's won five of their last seven games. Bronx is 9-4 in its last 13.
-- Mariners won ten of their last twelve games.
Cold Teams
-- Washington lost eight of its last nine games.
-- Cubs are 6-12 in their last eighteen home games. Astros lost 10 of their last 15 games.
-- Giants lost five of their last seven games.
-- Mets lost six of their last nine games.
-- Reds lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Florida lost three of its last four games, outscored 22-5 in last two.
-- Colorado lost nine of its last thirteen games.
-- Detroit is 5-8 in its last 13 games. Minnesota lost eight of its last ten.
-- Orioles lost their last four games, scoring eleven runs.
-- Kansas City lost eight of its last nine games.
-- Tampa Bay lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Indians lost five of their last six games.
-- White Sox lost four of their last six games.
Umpires
-- Phil-Wash-- Favorites won six of seven Knight games.
-- SD-Atl-- Favorites won the last five Vanover games.
-- Mil-Cin-- Four of last five Cooper games went over the total.
-- Pitt-NY-- Six of last nine Eddings games went over the total.
-- Hst-Chi-- Underdog won seven of nine Guccione games.
-- SF-StL--Four of last five Dimuro games went over the total.
-- Fla-Az-- Home team won last nine Tichenorgames; under is 4-1-1 in his last six games behind the dish.
-- Colo-LA-- Underdogs are 10-2 in Hernandez games, with last three staying under the total.
-- Tex-TB-- Four of last five Meals games went over the total.
-- Clev-Tor-- Underdogs won four of last six Everitt games.
-- Minn-Det-- Six of last seven Emmel games stayed under total.
-- Chi-Bos-- Home teams won last five BWelke games.
-- LA-KC-- Three of last four Culbreth games stayed under total.
-- NY-A's-- Underdogs won six of last eight Cousins games.
-- Balt-Sea-- Home team won three of last four Muchinski games.
Write-Up
Tuesday, May 31
Hot pitchers
-- Lee is 2-0, 2.25 in his last couple starts.
-- Latos is 2-1, 3.20 in his last three starts.
-- McDonald is 3-1, 2.60 in his last six starts. Dickey is 1-0, 1.04 in his last two starts.
-- Vogelsong is 2-1, 0.68 in his last four starts.
-- Florida won last four ASanchez starts (2-0, 0.87). Kennedy is 5-0, 1.88 in his last eight starts.
-- Humber is 2-1, 2.16 in his last six starts. Aceves is 1-0, 1.64 in two starts this season.
-- Anderson is 1-1, 1.83 in his last three starts.
-- Bedard is 3-0, 1.36 in his last five starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Marquis is 1-1, 7.02 in his last three starts.
-- Minor is 0-1, 5.40 in two starts this season.
-- Greinke has a 6.11 RA in five starts, but Brewers won his last four outings, scoring 26 runs. Reineke is 5-2, 2.52 in nine AA starts; he has a 2-1, 5.48 mark in four big league starts (Padres/A's).
-- Zambrano is 1-1, 5.63 in his last four starts. Lyles is 3-3, 3.20 in ten AAA starts this season.
-- Carpenter is 0-3, 6.10 in his last three starts.
-- Mortensen is 1-2, 4.74 in four starts this season. Lilly is 0-1, 3.79 in his last three starts.
-- Talbot is 1-1, 5.87 in three starts this season. Morrow is 0-2, 5.40 in his four home starts.
-- Wilson is 1-2, 4.68 in his last four starts. Cobb allowed four runs in 4.1 IP in his only '11 start.
-- Scherzer is 0-2, 11.74 in his last couple starts. Duensing is 0-5, 6.84 in his last five starts.
-- Francis is 1-5, 6.02 in his last eight starts. Pineiro is 0-1, 5.03 in his last three outings.
-- FGarcia is 2-4, 4.41 in his last six starts.
-- Guthrie is 1-3, 5.56 in his last five starts.
Totals
-- Seven of last eight Philly games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven San Diego games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten games at Wrigley Field went over.
-- Seven of last eight St Louis home games stayed under the total.
-- Five of Pirates' last seven games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of Reds' last eleven games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Colorado road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-3-2 in last eleven Florida games.
-- Three of last four Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Three of Floyd's last four road starts stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Francis starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 17-7 in Tampa Bay's last 24 home games.
-- Six of last eight Toronto games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Bronx games.
-- Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Baltimore games.
Hot Teams
-- Phillies won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Atlanta won six of its last eight home games. Padres won four of their last five games.
-- Cardinals are 9-5 in their last fourteen games.
-- Pirates won seven of their last eleven games.
-- Milwaukee won eight of its last ten games.
-- Arizona won 15 of its last 17 games.
-- Dodgers won three of last four games, allowing four runs.
-- Rangers won six of their last eight games.
-- Toronto won its last four games, scoring 37 runs.
-- Red Sox won 16 of their last 22 games.
-- Angels won three of their last four games.
-- A's won five of their last seven games. Bronx is 9-4 in its last 13.
-- Mariners won ten of their last twelve games.
Cold Teams
-- Washington lost eight of its last nine games.
-- Cubs are 6-12 in their last eighteen home games. Astros lost 10 of their last 15 games.
-- Giants lost five of their last seven games.
-- Mets lost six of their last nine games.
-- Reds lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Florida lost three of its last four games, outscored 22-5 in last two.
-- Colorado lost nine of its last thirteen games.
-- Detroit is 5-8 in its last 13 games. Minnesota lost eight of its last ten.
-- Orioles lost their last four games, scoring eleven runs.
-- Kansas City lost eight of its last nine games.
-- Tampa Bay lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Indians lost five of their last six games.
-- White Sox lost four of their last six games.
Umpires
-- Phil-Wash-- Favorites won six of seven Knight games.
-- SD-Atl-- Favorites won the last five Vanover games.
-- Mil-Cin-- Four of last five Cooper games went over the total.
-- Pitt-NY-- Six of last nine Eddings games went over the total.
-- Hst-Chi-- Underdog won seven of nine Guccione games.
-- SF-StL--Four of last five Dimuro games went over the total.
-- Fla-Az-- Home team won last nine Tichenorgames; under is 4-1-1 in his last six games behind the dish.
-- Colo-LA-- Underdogs are 10-2 in Hernandez games, with last three staying under the total.
-- Tex-TB-- Four of last five Meals games went over the total.
-- Clev-Tor-- Underdogs won four of last six Everitt games.
-- Minn-Det-- Six of last seven Emmel games stayed under total.
-- Chi-Bos-- Home teams won last five BWelke games.
-- LA-KC-- Three of last four Culbreth games stayed under total.
-- NY-A's-- Underdogs won six of last eight Cousins games.
-- Balt-Sea-- Home team won three of last four Muchinski games.
GC MLB Play
Tuesday NBA Double 90% System Side + 20-1 MLB Diamond Cutter Blowout System wins by 3.3 runs per game +14-2 MLB Totals System. Monday big totals play cashes with Florida and Arizona posing an easy over. Free MLB Play below.
On Tuesday the Free MLB System Play is on the Toronto Blue jays. Game 970 at 7:05 eastern. Bonus Plays now on a 17-8 run as we had they Jays on Monday and we back them here again today. We want to play on certain home favorites off a home win by 5 or more runs, if they scored 10 or more runs and had 5 or more men left on base with no errors, and are taking on road dog off a road loss that scored 2 or less runs on 5+ hits and 5+ men left on base. These home favorites have won 42 of 50 times the past 8 years. The elevated line keeps this from being a late phone play. The Indians have Talbot making his second start since April 11th. In his first start back he allowed 8 runs in 3 innings. Talbot also has a mediocre 5.63 ERA vs Toronto. Morrow makes the start for Toronto, his first home start of his career vs Cleveland. The Jays have an excellent 2.65 home bullpen ERA and are averaging over 6 runs per game on .300 hitting over the past week. The Indians have lost 3 of 4 on turf this season. Look for Toronto to take this one. On Tuesday I Have 2 90% Power systems in game one of the NBA Finals and a 20-1 MLB Diamond Cutter system that wins by 3.3 runs per game. I also have a totals system that has cashed 14 of 16 times. Monday big totals play cashed easily with Florida and Arizona going over. . For the Bonus Play take the Toronto Blue jays. GC
Tuesday NBA Double 90% System Side + 20-1 MLB Diamond Cutter Blowout System wins by 3.3 runs per game +14-2 MLB Totals System. Monday big totals play cashes with Florida and Arizona posing an easy over. Free MLB Play below.
On Tuesday the Free MLB System Play is on the Toronto Blue jays. Game 970 at 7:05 eastern. Bonus Plays now on a 17-8 run as we had they Jays on Monday and we back them here again today. We want to play on certain home favorites off a home win by 5 or more runs, if they scored 10 or more runs and had 5 or more men left on base with no errors, and are taking on road dog off a road loss that scored 2 or less runs on 5+ hits and 5+ men left on base. These home favorites have won 42 of 50 times the past 8 years. The elevated line keeps this from being a late phone play. The Indians have Talbot making his second start since April 11th. In his first start back he allowed 8 runs in 3 innings. Talbot also has a mediocre 5.63 ERA vs Toronto. Morrow makes the start for Toronto, his first home start of his career vs Cleveland. The Jays have an excellent 2.65 home bullpen ERA and are averaging over 6 runs per game on .300 hitting over the past week. The Indians have lost 3 of 4 on turf this season. Look for Toronto to take this one. On Tuesday I Have 2 90% Power systems in game one of the NBA Finals and a 20-1 MLB Diamond Cutter system that wins by 3.3 runs per game. I also have a totals system that has cashed 14 of 16 times. Monday big totals play cashed easily with Florida and Arizona going over. . For the Bonus Play take the Toronto Blue jays. GC
FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME
MLB Baseball Tuesday
Play Chicago Cubs (-170) over Houston (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 8:10 PM EST
Chicago has won 7 consecutive games after allowing nine runs or more in their last game and they have also won 9 of the last 11 games coming off a loss by four runs or more in their last game. Carlos Zambrano has won 21 of the last 28 games vs. division opponents and he has also won 18 of the last 23 games as a favorite of -125 to -175.
Play Detroit (-175) over Minnesota (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 7:00 PM EST
Minnesota has lost 8 of the last 10 games and they have also lost 20 of the last 28 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs.
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Play Philadelphia (-170) over Washington (Bonus)
MLB Baseball Tuesday
Play Chicago Cubs (-170) over Houston (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 8:10 PM EST
Chicago has won 7 consecutive games after allowing nine runs or more in their last game and they have also won 9 of the last 11 games coming off a loss by four runs or more in their last game. Carlos Zambrano has won 21 of the last 28 games vs. division opponents and he has also won 18 of the last 23 games as a favorite of -125 to -175.
Play Detroit (-175) over Minnesota (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 7:00 PM EST
Minnesota has lost 8 of the last 10 games and they have also lost 20 of the last 28 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Play Philadelphia (-170) over Washington (Bonus)
GodsTips 1-of-7 from OffshoreInsiders.com
ARIZONA (KENNEDY -125) Florida (Sanchez)
Go with home teams with a bullpen ERA if 3.33 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits per start is +126.9 units.
Go with a home team with a starting pitcher who walks fewer than 1.75 per game against an NL starting pitcher with a 2.70 ERA or less +81.1 units.
Arizona has won seven straight and 15-of-17. Arizona is 8-3 with Ian Kennedy +6.3 units. His ERA is 3.01 with an even more impressive WHIP of 1.045. Over his last four, his ERA is a miniscule 1.87 and a WHIP of .947.
In their last seven games, Arizona has a nice batting average of .282 and an OBP of .344.
The Marlins are 1-5 in Sanchez’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Arizona has won 11 straight starts to right-handed pitchers. In their last 10 games Arizona has a slugging percentage of .477 compared to an okay .352 for the Fish.
The last five games has more mind-blowing numbers in slugging, Arizona at .560, Florida just .325.
ARIZONA (KENNEDY -125) Florida (Sanchez)
Go with home teams with a bullpen ERA if 3.33 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits per start is +126.9 units.
Go with a home team with a starting pitcher who walks fewer than 1.75 per game against an NL starting pitcher with a 2.70 ERA or less +81.1 units.
Arizona has won seven straight and 15-of-17. Arizona is 8-3 with Ian Kennedy +6.3 units. His ERA is 3.01 with an even more impressive WHIP of 1.045. Over his last four, his ERA is a miniscule 1.87 and a WHIP of .947.
In their last seven games, Arizona has a nice batting average of .282 and an OBP of .344.
The Marlins are 1-5 in Sanchez’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Arizona has won 11 straight starts to right-handed pitchers. In their last 10 games Arizona has a slugging percentage of .477 compared to an okay .352 for the Fish.
The last five games has more mind-blowing numbers in slugging, Arizona at .560, Florida just .325.
WUNDERDOG (NBA)
Game: Dallas at Miami (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Miami -4.5 (-110)
The Dallas Mavericks and the Miami Heat will do battle in game one to decide the NBA Championship. The Heat acquired LeBron James and Chris Bosh to team with Dwayne Wade in the off-season, and the only way this season will be a success is if they cut down the nets after this series. They are now four wins away from that goal. The Heat took awhile to get things going with their new cast of all-stars starting the season at 9-8. They went on to have a pair of slumps going 1-5 and 1-6 during the season, but otherwise have been virtually unbeatable at an amazing 59-8. Dallas has had success all season long as well, but they face an extremely tough challenge here in game one. They are on the road against a very motivated team that is playing at their peak. They are facing a team with three super stars. The Mavericks have Dirk, but Miami matches that with LeBron. Beyond those two who are both playing at amazing (but roughly equal) levels, Miami has Wade and Bosh and Dallas doesn't have
anyone to match them. Dallas is much deeper, but that shouldn't matter (barring injury). Miami will play the Big Three massive minutes and when they are on the court, the Heat have the advantage. There is a chance you could see LeBron James defending Nowitski at key moments as well. The fact that around 60% of the bets are on Dallas here demonstrates that the line value on them that was there in the early rounds is probably gone. Since round two began, the Heat is 6-0 ATS as a favorite in the playoffs, and 8-0 SU at home in all playoffs games, winning by 6 points or more every time out. Defense wins Championships in the NBA Finals.
The better defense here is clearly the Heat and I think they take game one at home.
Game: Dallas at Miami (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Miami -4.5 (-110)
The Dallas Mavericks and the Miami Heat will do battle in game one to decide the NBA Championship. The Heat acquired LeBron James and Chris Bosh to team with Dwayne Wade in the off-season, and the only way this season will be a success is if they cut down the nets after this series. They are now four wins away from that goal. The Heat took awhile to get things going with their new cast of all-stars starting the season at 9-8. They went on to have a pair of slumps going 1-5 and 1-6 during the season, but otherwise have been virtually unbeatable at an amazing 59-8. Dallas has had success all season long as well, but they face an extremely tough challenge here in game one. They are on the road against a very motivated team that is playing at their peak. They are facing a team with three super stars. The Mavericks have Dirk, but Miami matches that with LeBron. Beyond those two who are both playing at amazing (but roughly equal) levels, Miami has Wade and Bosh and Dallas doesn't have
anyone to match them. Dallas is much deeper, but that shouldn't matter (barring injury). Miami will play the Big Three massive minutes and when they are on the court, the Heat have the advantage. There is a chance you could see LeBron James defending Nowitski at key moments as well. The fact that around 60% of the bets are on Dallas here demonstrates that the line value on them that was there in the early rounds is probably gone. Since round two began, the Heat is 6-0 ATS as a favorite in the playoffs, and 8-0 SU at home in all playoffs games, winning by 6 points or more every time out. Defense wins Championships in the NBA Finals.
The better defense here is clearly the Heat and I think they take game one at home.
