The Good Doctor Booby:
2 Star Selection
Dallas (+4 1/2) over MIAMI
31-May-11 06:05 PM Pacific
As most of you know by now, I pegged Dallas as an underrated team heading into the playoffs and I haven't gone against the Mavericks in a Best Bet once (I did go against them in a winning Strong Opinion in game 5 against OKC). Dallas is 13-2 ATS in the playoffs so far and they're still a bit underrated. Miami is playing at a higher level than they did in the regular season, partly due to more intensity and partly due to their stars getting more minutes, but Dallas is also playing at a higher level and have been better in playoff games than the Heat have (+7.1 scoring margin for Dallas and +4.7 points for Miami and Dallas played tougher competition). My ratings favor Miami by just 3 points in game 1 and the Mavericks are now 21-3 ATS (and 17-7 straight up) as an underdog with Dirk Nowitzki and Tyson Chandler both in the lineup (7-0 ATS in the playoffs). Dallas also applies to a 15-3 ATS game 1 situation and my ratings favor the Heat by just 3 points (also by 3 points using playoff games only). I'll take Dallas in a 2-Star Best Bet at +4 points or more.
Opinion
UNDER (187 1/2) - Dallas at MIAMI
31-May-11 06:05 PM Pacific
My math model projects a total of 187 1/2 points, which is what the current Over/Under line is, but game 1 of the finals is 14-6 Under the last 20 years and game 1 tends to go under when two elite teams play each other. I'll lean under 186 points or higher.
2 Star Selection
Dallas (+160) over Miami in the NBA Finals
31-May-11 06:05 PM Pacific
The price is between +155 and +160 mostly, but it's a solid play even if the odds go down. I rated Dallas as the best team in the NBA heading into the playoffs and that's still the case. Even with Miami having the home field advantage (which isn't as valuable in a 2-3-2 set up) I still give the Mavericks a 54% chance to win the series. I'll take Dallas for 2-Stars to win the NBA Finals series over Miami.
2 Star Selection
Dallas (+4 1/2) over MIAMI
31-May-11 06:05 PM Pacific
As most of you know by now, I pegged Dallas as an underrated team heading into the playoffs and I haven't gone against the Mavericks in a Best Bet once (I did go against them in a winning Strong Opinion in game 5 against OKC). Dallas is 13-2 ATS in the playoffs so far and they're still a bit underrated. Miami is playing at a higher level than they did in the regular season, partly due to more intensity and partly due to their stars getting more minutes, but Dallas is also playing at a higher level and have been better in playoff games than the Heat have (+7.1 scoring margin for Dallas and +4.7 points for Miami and Dallas played tougher competition). My ratings favor Miami by just 3 points in game 1 and the Mavericks are now 21-3 ATS (and 17-7 straight up) as an underdog with Dirk Nowitzki and Tyson Chandler both in the lineup (7-0 ATS in the playoffs). Dallas also applies to a 15-3 ATS game 1 situation and my ratings favor the Heat by just 3 points (also by 3 points using playoff games only). I'll take Dallas in a 2-Star Best Bet at +4 points or more.
Opinion
UNDER (187 1/2) - Dallas at MIAMI
31-May-11 06:05 PM Pacific
My math model projects a total of 187 1/2 points, which is what the current Over/Under line is, but game 1 of the finals is 14-6 Under the last 20 years and game 1 tends to go under when two elite teams play each other. I'll lean under 186 points or higher.
2 Star Selection
Dallas (+160) over Miami in the NBA Finals
31-May-11 06:05 PM Pacific
The price is between +155 and +160 mostly, but it's a solid play even if the odds go down. I rated Dallas as the best team in the NBA heading into the playoffs and that's still the case. Even with Miami having the home field advantage (which isn't as valuable in a 2-3-2 set up) I still give the Mavericks a 54% chance to win the series. I'll take Dallas for 2-Stars to win the NBA Finals series over Miami.
Give me JLB over BLASSCYK anyday of the week, i could care less about big promotion marketing handicappers i like the capper that stays under the radar while putting up impressive *DOCUMENTED* numbers weekly... JLB!
**214-168-6 +132Units YTD** (33-19-3 L52 MLB Picks Streak : 5-1 NBA Playoff Run)
Just saying, that iss one mans opinion.
**214-168-6 +132Units YTD** (33-19-3 L52 MLB Picks Streak : 5-1 NBA Playoff Run)
Just saying, that iss one mans opinion.
