Service Plays Tuesday 11/10/09

[JVu81]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS -5.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this matchup is on the visitors:

With Iverson likely out, Memphis tries to avoid losing its sixth consecutive game when it hosts a Trail Blazers team looking to win its third straight with a new lineup.

Portland (4-3), which is opening a five-game road trip, has won two in a row since switching to a three-guard lineup featuring Brandon Roy, Andre Miller and Steve Blake. The Blazers defeated San Antonio 96-84 on Friday and beat Minnesota 116-93 on Sunday and I expect them to carry that momentum into this evenings game.

Coach Nate McMillan’s new offense looks to continue its production against a Memphis team allowing an average of 120.0 points on 51.6 % shooting during its skid.

Keep in mind that dating back to last season Portland is 12-6 ATS its last 18 and 5-2 ATS its last seven on the road.

On the other side of the court: The Grizzlies, who haven’t won since beating Toronto on Oct. 30, have lost seven straight to the Trail Blazers since a 96-92 victory March 29, 2007.

The Grizzlies are really struggling right now on the court, and will now also have to deal with Allen Iverson's "off-court" antics as he's taken an indefinite leave of absence to deal with "personal matters", and there are now rumors coming out of Memphis that he is planning to retire.

Dating back to last season Memphis is a horrible 3-6-1 ATS in its last ten games overall and is just 8-16 SU its last 24 at home.

Bottom line: No need to over-analyze this one. Look for McMillan to have his guys ready to take advantage of this team in disarray; play on PORTLAND!

*9* BLAZERS.[/FONT]

 

[JVu81]

Rocketman

CHARLOTTE BOBCATS +4

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Charlotte has cashed five of their first six games ATS this year. Charlotte is a perfect 3-0 SU at home this year. Charlotte is allowing only 83.7 points per game at home this year. Magic are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite. Magic are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5. Magic are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. Magic are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game. Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Bobcats are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog. Bobcats are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS win. Bobcats are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 home games. Bobcats are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Bobcats are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Southeast. Home team is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings. Magic are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Charlotte. We'll play Charlotte for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky.[/FONT]

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Spartan 11/10

Spartan
Miami Heat -6.5
I had a solid winner last week when I sided with the Heat when meeting the Wizards in Washington and I will gladly support them in the quick rematch back at home. As we have all seen in the early going a massive difference between the playoff caliber clubs and the pretenders lies in the ability to finish ball games. You will see many, many nights where lesser teams compete for 90% of the game and then fade down the stretch like a Clydesdale in the derby. Let's examine this game a moment, the Wizards have been bad on the road guys thus far this year losing by 11, 11, 12 and 16 points. Now they venture into Miami to meet a Heat team which is 5-1 and playing very solid ball. The Heat have dropped one game at home but prevailed in the other three by 22, 8 and 8. Actually they knocked off a very solid Nuggets team by 8 points and surely the Denver squad is far superior to this Wizards bunch. Dwayne Wade is on top of his game right now and playing as well as he ever has. We all know the NBA early on can be a strange animal but I love the Heat here giving only the 6.5. I look for the game to be close most of the way and for the Heat to put the Wizards away in the 4th quarter to clear the number for us.Take Miami.

 

[JVu81]

Lenny Del Genio

Wizards/Heat OVER 188.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Lenny spent years working on an NBA "totals system" and began using it in January '07 on the net, with great success. It's based on numerous factors, some of them listed here. Anticipated pace and style of both teams' play. Days of rest for teams or lack of it. Number of points scored by starters as compared to subs in recent outings (plus season-long averages). It also factors in point and rebounding differentials of the two teams. With all these factors (and many more), it's not possible to provide Lenny's "typical analysis" with his NBA totals selections. However, after last year's success, he anticipates another banner year. Play are rated 10* (Game of Day), 15* (Game of Week), 20* (Game of Month) and some rare 25* plays. Good luck. Over Washington/Miami is our 20* Southeast Division Total of the Month.[/FONT]

 

[JVu81]

Tony George

BUFFALO -1.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The W-L record is deceiving for the Bulls and Turner Gill. They are about 5 or 6 plays away from being a 2 loss ballclub, including last week’s debacle against Bowling Green. Although starting QB Maynard is suspended for the first quarter, I look for the better offense to win game, and since Ohio U is ranked `105th in the NCAA, I like Buffalo at home to get it done. Buffalo has dominated Ohio the past 2 years by double digits.

Play 1 Unit on Buffalo.[/FONT]

 

[JVu81]

Evan Altemus

CHARLOTTE BOBCATS +3.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]
This game is a great match-up and situation for Charlotte. Orlando is a pure jump shooting team with not much defense. They will struggle against good defensive teams on the road until they change their style of play. Charlotte has one of the best defenses in the league, but their offense struggles at times. However, the Bobcats are a very good home team, evident by their dominant home wins over Atlanta and New Jersey over the last week. The Magic are also banged up coming into this game and won’t have Vince Carter, Ryan Anderson, or Rashard Lewis in this game. Lewis is still serving a suspension and won’t return for a few more games.

3 UNIT SELECTION BOBCATS.[/FONT]

 

[ilikeaction]

CollegeBettor

Buffalo -1

Paid and Confirmed

 

[JVu81]

Ron Raymond

Nuggets/Bulls OVER 203.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]When CHICAGO team played as a pk to 3 Home Underdog - Last 4 years - Coming off 1 ATS lost; the OVER is 9-1-0 for the Bulls in this role.

When ANY NBA Team played as a Road team - Vs Central opponent - Coming off a 2 game losing streak - Coming off a 20 or more point win - Coming off a 2 ATS lost; the OVER is 15-7-0 for the Road Team (DEN) in this role.

Take the Over.[/FONT]

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pure Lock

Top NBA play: Denver -2

 

[Born2Booze]

DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS
11/10/09- NHL / NCAA Full Card

7*destroyer edm/ottawa over 5.5
6*montreal+111
5*toronto-138
4*boston-133


5*ohio+1.5

p/c :drink:

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LT Profits

NHL

Penguins/Bruins UNDER 5.5 -130

NBA

Thunder/Kings OVER 198.5 -107

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PRIMETIME SPORTS ADVISORS

Early Card
1* Portland/Memphis UNDER 203
1* Okl City -1.5

ADDED NCAAF
1* Ohio PK -105 (1st Half) <!-- / message -->

 

[Stu Padasso]

Dave Malinsky 11/10



Top of the Ticket – Side

Oklahoma City Thunder(-1.5) over SACRAMENTO KINGS

4* OKLAHOMA CITY over SACRAMENTO What do we read into Sacramento winning the first two games without Kevin Martin on the court? Nothing. What do we read Oklahoma City?s 3-3 start that would seemingly elicit yawns? Plenty. That means that we have excellent value to back what is not only the far better team, but also one that is physically and mentally tougher, which makes a big difference in terms of grinding out SU wins in such a setting. The Kings did what teams often do when a key player is sidelined ? they buckle down and play very hard for the first game or two, while also catching the opposition flat. This is not a lineup that forces an opponent to pay much attention in the film room. But it is after that first wave of adrenaline wears off, and when the other side now takes them seriously, that the crash happens. This is a young team lacking in experience and chemistry, and while they were given an invitation to be successful in a wide open game vs. mindless Golden State on Sunday night, that flow changes in a major way here. Oklahoma City is an under-rated item in this pointspread range. While bringing in top-level young talents like Kevin Durrant, Jeff Green and Russell Westbrook did create a level of visibility, the additions of Nenad Krstic, Thabo Sefolosha and Etan Thomas on the court, and Maurice Cheeks on the sidelines, were far off of the radar screens. But those additions have provided key pieces to a Thunder puzzle that now fits together in a concise way. Despite facing a challenging schedule through the first six games they are #5 defensively and #5 in rebounding on our best sets of ratings, with the Westbrook/Sefolosha back-court one of the better defensive combos in the league, and the Thomas/Nick Collison duo a tremendous defense and rebounding tandem off the bench (from Scott Brooks, on that latter duo - ?It?s huge. We have two energy, intangible players coming off the bench. They create offense by just playing hard, cutting hard, getting offensive rebounds and making the extra pass. And defensively, they?re tough.?) Sacramento has yet to be forced into a half-court game since losing Martin. The Kings led 85-68 going into the fourth quarter vs. Utah and coasted, and were never pushed in that playground game vs. Golden State. Now they will have to play some precision basketball for the first time with the current starting lineup, and that means breakdowns on both ends of the court. Tyreke Evans is talented but still raw, which means difficulties getting untracked vs. Sefolosha, and when that happens the entire offense bogs down. Meanwhile a defense that rates 27th on our best charts brings even more chemistry problems (note in winning those last two games the Warriors and Jazz were 68-126 on 2-point attempts). You do not win many games with such issues.

4* Washington / Miami Over 184.5


Caution Malinsky 5-13 in the NBA -37 units for the year

 

[jonnyangel]

sportsbetsnow

NHL

1 unit Calgary -120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kelso 10 units Ohio

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RATED PICKS

CFB 11/10 Ohio U at Buffalo pick: Buffalo pts: -1.5 3 units

NBA 11/10 Denver Nuggets at Chicago Bulls pick: Denver Nuggets pts: -2.5 2 units
NBA 11/10 Portland Trailblazers at Memphis Grizzlies pick: Portland Trailblazers pts: -6.5 2 units
NBA 11/10 Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks pick: Houston Rockets pts: +6.5 2 units

NHL 11/10 Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs pick: Minnesota Wild pts: +120 1 units
NHL 11/10 Edmonton Oilers at Ottawa Senators pick: Ottawa Senators pts: -160 2 units

 

[Jadakiss]

Freddy Wills - & Payne Sports - Sportsbetcapping both on fire

Both of these have been on fire.. you can check freddy over at trackpicks.com for college football he's over 60% has a 3.3 Dime play tonight does anyone have that?

I could only afford his $10 NBA POD which below:

Take Bulls +3 3 Dimes (1-5 scale)

Payne Sports won again last night on his NFL pick here are the trends they have for him:
NFL 41 - 23 (64.1%) + $7415 - L64
NCAAF 35 - 18 (66%) +66.85 Units - L53 Plays

He's got a 4.4 Unit MAC showdown from what I found on:


He's ranked #3 for NFL + NCAAF Freddy is just behind him at #5 in NCAAF and those other guys are services with more picks so I'll continue to pick up what I can afford if Freddy's NBA POD cashes tonight I'll pick up his bigger play tomorow

If anyone is interested in going in on a Payne Sports package let me know they have some prices for NFL + NCAAF he seems to be the real deal

ope:

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Winning Points

4 Ohio

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

C-Star Sports

5000 Units Ohio at Buffalo Over the total
1000 Units Denver at Chicago over the total NBA
50 units Ohio over Buffalo
50 units Miami over Washington NBA

 

[Anthonyd4]

john ryan 10*

OHIO U



Scott Richenbach

OHIO U




Does anyone have Anthony Redd's NBA trifecta? Thanx