The Duke's Sports
Memphis (+6') for 2 Units
The dog in this series is 20-8 ATS and we won't stop barking here. Memphis, which is on a five game skid - all on the road, should get it together in their comfortable confines tonight. We'll look for the emerging talent of Gay, Mayo, Conley to be more at ease here, and former Blazer Zach Randolph is eager to show Portland that they made a mistake trading him. The Grizzlies have covered 6 of their last 7 home games and should get it done here.
Memphis (+6') for 2 Units
The dog in this series is 20-8 ATS and we won't stop barking here. Memphis, which is on a five game skid - all on the road, should get it together in their comfortable confines tonight. We'll look for the emerging talent of Gay, Mayo, Conley to be more at ease here, and former Blazer Zach Randolph is eager to show Portland that they made a mistake trading him. The Grizzlies have covered 6 of their last 7 home games and should get it done here.
Dr Bob
Ohio 26 BUFFALO (-1.5) 24
Over/Under Total: 46.0
04:00 PM Pacific Time Tuesday, Nov-10
Buffalo will be without top back Ike Nduka (598 yards at 6.2 ypr) but freshman Jeffvon Gill ran for 172 yards on 23 carries last week in his first extensive time, so Nduka may not be missed. Bulls' quarterback Zach Maynard will miss the first quarter due to suspension, but Buffalo will probably run the ball more with backup Jerry Davis in and that probably won't hurt too much since I expect Buffalo to average 5.0 yards per rushing play in this game. Ohio defends the pass pretty well (5.4 yards per pass play allowed to quarterbacks that would average 5.6 yppp against an average team), but Maynard is a pretty decent passing quarterback (6.4 yppp against teams that would allow 6.4 yppp to an average QB), so the Bulls should move the ball at about an average rate in this game.
Ohio is 0.5 yards per play worse than average offensively (5.2 yppl against teams that would allow 5.7 yppl to an average team) but Buffalo is 0.5 yppl worse than average defensively (5.7 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.2 yppl), so Ohio should also be able to move the ball. The big difference in this game is special teams, which is an area that Buffalo really struggles in and Ohio's good field goal kicker or Buffalo's bad one could be the difference in what should be a close game. I'll lean with Ohio.
Ohio 26 BUFFALO (-1.5) 24
Over/Under Total: 46.0
04:00 PM Pacific Time Tuesday, Nov-10
Buffalo will be without top back Ike Nduka (598 yards at 6.2 ypr) but freshman Jeffvon Gill ran for 172 yards on 23 carries last week in his first extensive time, so Nduka may not be missed. Bulls' quarterback Zach Maynard will miss the first quarter due to suspension, but Buffalo will probably run the ball more with backup Jerry Davis in and that probably won't hurt too much since I expect Buffalo to average 5.0 yards per rushing play in this game. Ohio defends the pass pretty well (5.4 yards per pass play allowed to quarterbacks that would average 5.6 yppp against an average team), but Maynard is a pretty decent passing quarterback (6.4 yppp against teams that would allow 6.4 yppp to an average QB), so the Bulls should move the ball at about an average rate in this game.
Ohio is 0.5 yards per play worse than average offensively (5.2 yppl against teams that would allow 5.7 yppl to an average team) but Buffalo is 0.5 yppl worse than average defensively (5.7 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.2 yppl), so Ohio should also be able to move the ball. The big difference in this game is special teams, which is an area that Buffalo really struggles in and Ohio's good field goal kicker or Buffalo's bad one could be the difference in what should be a close game. I'll lean with Ohio.
JACK JONES
Dallas Mavericks -6 at Bookmaker
After Houston's 4-2 start, they are being overvalued in the early going which presents a great spot to bet against them Tuesday as they travel to Dallas. Dallas is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, winning each time by 9 points or more. Their lone loss was a 107-114 overtime setback to the Hornets on the road, a game they were dominating before blowing it in the fourth quarter. They responded with a 129-101 home win over a solid Toronto team in their next game. Dallas has only played 1 game over the last 5 days, so this is a well-rested team right now. They will be chomping at the bit to get back on the floor and put Houston away early. The Mavs are 14-4 ATS when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons. The Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The Rockets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Dallas is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home meetings with Houston, including 11-4 ATS in their last 15 meetings overall. Take the Mavs.
Dallas Mavericks -6 at Bookmaker
After Houston's 4-2 start, they are being overvalued in the early going which presents a great spot to bet against them Tuesday as they travel to Dallas. Dallas is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, winning each time by 9 points or more. Their lone loss was a 107-114 overtime setback to the Hornets on the road, a game they were dominating before blowing it in the fourth quarter. They responded with a 129-101 home win over a solid Toronto team in their next game. Dallas has only played 1 game over the last 5 days, so this is a well-rested team right now. They will be chomping at the bit to get back on the floor and put Houston away early. The Mavs are 14-4 ATS when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons. The Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The Rockets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Dallas is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home meetings with Houston, including 11-4 ATS in their last 15 meetings overall. Take the Mavs.
