NCAAB
Sunday, February 2
Purdue's 65-64 (-7) win over Penn State 15 days ago was Boilers' 4th in row, 14th in last 18 games with PSU; they were down 3 with 1:11 left, but rallied to win. Lions won last two games since by total of 5 points, but lost last seven visits here, with five of seven losses by 14+ points- five of their last six games overall were decided by 4 or less points. Big Dozen home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-5 vs spread.
Home teams had won last nine USF-Cincinnati games until Bearcats won 61-54 (-7) in Tampa Jan 18. Bulls lost last six visits to Queen City, last three all by exactly 8 points. USF is 3-8 in last 11 games but upset SMU at home last game; they lost last two road games by 17-22 points after lone road win, at Temple. AAC double digit home favorites are 10-3 vs spread. Cincinnati won last 13 games, upset Louisville Thursday.
Virginia is 7-1 in ACC with only loss by 4 at Duke when Blue Devils got couple lucky bounces in last 1:00; Cavaliers have three road wins in ACC, at FSU/NC State/ND- they allowed 56.3 ppg in winning last four games. Pitt lost last home game to Duke, but won other three ACC home games by 15+ points. Virginia leads ACC, forcing turnovers 23.3% of time. ACC favorites of 6 or less points are 5-13 vs spread.
Milwaukee (+6) won 84-75 at Oakland Jan 8 after falling behind early in game 13-2; Panthers held Oakland to 3-25 from arc, overcomig -8 ratio in turnovers (17-9). Horizon home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-12 vs spread. Grizzlies are 1-3 on Horizon road, with only win at 3-6 Detroit. Milwaukee lost three of last four games, are 2-3 in Horizon home games, upsetting Wright State Thursday, after losing previous three. .
Michigan is 8-0 in conference, with none of its four road wins by more than 7 points; Wolverines are 5-13 in last 18 games with Indiana, losing last four visits here by 6-19-2-8 points. Big Dozen home underdogs are 7-8 vs spread, 0-3 if the number was less than 3 points. Indiana is 3-5 in Big Dozen, 2-2 at home, beating Wisconsin/Illinois; six of its eight games in conference were decided by 7 or less points.
Buffalo won seven of last nine games, is 5-2 in MAC with two losses on road by total of 5 points; Bulls won three of last four games vs Bowling Green, but lost five of last seven visits here, losing 76-65 LY- they're 1-2 on MAC road, with only win at N. Illinois. MAC home underdogs are 4-6 vs spread. Falcons lost three of four MAC games, losing by 5-9-5 points- their only home win was over #263 Central Michigan.
Wm & Mary (-7.5) beat James Madison 78-56 Jan 18, making 10-20 on arc, scoring 1.32 ppp; win snapped 4-game skid vs James Madison, who allowed 52 ppg in winning last two games after starting CAA play 1-4. Dukes are 1-2 at home in CAA, with both losses by 4. Tribe is 1-2 on CAA road, with only win by hoop at Drexel. CAA home teams are 6-13 in games where spread was less than 5 points.
UCLA won 14 of last 15 games with Oregon State, but lost last visit to Corvallis in '12, after winning previous six visits here. Bruins won five of last six games, are 2-1 on Pac-12 road, with wins by hoop at Oregon and at Colorado in first game after Dinwiddie got hurt. Beavers are 3-1 in its Pac-12 home games, with only loss by 5 to California. Pac-12 home underdogs of 3+ points are 8-4 against the spread.