Service Plays Super Bowl XLVIII Sunday 2/2/14

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PointWise SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 2 CBB:


PENN STATE 69 - Purdue 60
CINCINNATI 68 - South Florida 47
PITTSBURGH 81 - Virginia 71
WISC-MILWAUKEE 72 - Oakland 68
INDIANA 74 - Michigan 69
Buffalo 71 - BOWLING GREEN 70
William & Mary 69 - JAMES MADISON 64
Ucla 77 - OREGON STATE 74


BEST BETS: PENN STATE, WILLIAM & MARY
 
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Sunday, February 2

Purdue's 65-64 (-7) win over Penn State 15 days ago was Boilers' 4th in row, 14th in last 18 games with PSU; they were down 3 with 1:11 left, but rallied to win. Lions won last two games since by total of 5 points, but lost last seven visits here, with five of seven losses by 14+ points- five of their last six games overall were decided by 4 or less points. Big Dozen home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-5 vs spread.

Home teams had won last nine USF-Cincinnati games until Bearcats won 61-54 (-7) in Tampa Jan 18. Bulls lost last six visits to Queen City, last three all by exactly 8 points. USF is 3-8 in last 11 games but upset SMU at home last game; they lost last two road games by 17-22 points after lone road win, at Temple. AAC double digit home favorites are 10-3 vs spread. Cincinnati won last 13 games, upset Louisville Thursday.

Virginia is 7-1 in ACC with only loss by 4 at Duke when Blue Devils got couple lucky bounces in last 1:00; Cavaliers have three road wins in ACC, at FSU/NC State/ND- they allowed 56.3 ppg in winning last four games. Pitt lost last home game to Duke, but won other three ACC home games by 15+ points. Virginia leads ACC, forcing turnovers 23.3% of time. ACC favorites of 6 or less points are 5-13 vs spread.

Milwaukee (+6) won 84-75 at Oakland Jan 8 after falling behind early in game 13-2; Panthers held Oakland to 3-25 from arc, overcomig -8 ratio in turnovers (17-9). Horizon home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-12 vs spread. Grizzlies are 1-3 on Horizon road, with only win at 3-6 Detroit. Milwaukee lost three of last four games, are 2-3 in Horizon home games, upsetting Wright State Thursday, after losing previous three. .

Michigan is 8-0 in conference, with none of its four road wins by more than 7 points; Wolverines are 5-13 in last 18 games with Indiana, losing last four visits here by 6-19-2-8 points. Big Dozen home underdogs are 7-8 vs spread, 0-3 if the number was less than 3 points. Indiana is 3-5 in Big Dozen, 2-2 at home, beating Wisconsin/Illinois; six of its eight games in conference were decided by 7 or less points.

Buffalo won seven of last nine games, is 5-2 in MAC with two losses on road by total of 5 points; Bulls won three of last four games vs Bowling Green, but lost five of last seven visits here, losing 76-65 LY- they're 1-2 on MAC road, with only win at N. Illinois. MAC home underdogs are 4-6 vs spread. Falcons lost three of four MAC games, losing by 5-9-5 points- their only home win was over #263 Central Michigan.

Wm & Mary (-7.5) beat James Madison 78-56 Jan 18, making 10-20 on arc, scoring 1.32 ppp; win snapped 4-game skid vs James Madison, who allowed 52 ppg in winning last two games after starting CAA play 1-4. Dukes are 1-2 at home in CAA, with both losses by 4. Tribe is 1-2 on CAA road, with only win by hoop at Drexel. CAA home teams are 6-13 in games where spread was less than 5 points.

UCLA won 14 of last 15 games with Oregon State, but lost last visit to Corvallis in '12, after winning previous six visits here. Bruins won five of last six games, are 2-1 on Pac-12 road, with wins by hoop at Oregon and at Colorado in first game after Dinwiddie got hurt. Beavers are 3-1 in its Pac-12 home games, with only loss by 5 to California. Pac-12 home underdogs of 3+ points are 8-4 against the spread.
 

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Seattle Seahawks +2 over Denver Broncos
(System Record: 55-4, lost last game)
Overall Record: 55-51-1
 
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Red Wings at Capitals: What bettors need to know

Detroit Red Wings at Washington Capitals (-130, 5.5)

The Detroit Red Wings have collected points in four of their last five games (3-1-1) while the Washington Capitals are venturing in the other direction after dropping nine of 11 (2-6-3) to plummet into seventh place in the congested Metropolitan Division. The Red Wings look to complete a home-and-home sweep on Sunday afternoon when they visit the Capitals. Patrick Eaves scored in the seventh round of the shootout and Jimmy Howard denied all seven attempts as Detroit skated to a 4-3 victory on Friday.

The road hasn't been kind for the Red Wings, who have been shut out in three consecutive contests away from Joe Louis Arena. Detroit suffered 1-0 setbacks at Anaheim on Jan. 12 and the New York Rangers four days later before losing a 5-0 decision to Philadelphia on Tuesday. Making the Red Wings' task all the more difficult could be the return of Washington defenseman Mike Green (concussion-like symptoms), who sat out Friday's tilt but returned to practice on Saturday without issue.

TV: 12:30 p.m. ET, NBC, NHLCA

ABOUT THE RED WINGS (24-19-11): After welcoming the returns of captain Henrik Zetterberg (back) and Howard (knee) on Friday, Detroit now turns its undivided attention to the long-term absence of Pavel Datsyuk. "I don't know," coach Mike Babcock told MLive.com when asked if the Russian superstar was close to returning. "I'm just like (the reporters). I just keep asking." Datsyuk has been sidelined since the Winter Classic on New Year's Day.

ABOUT THE CAPITALS (24-22-9): Joel Ward was credited with the game-tying goal with seven seconds left in regulation after deflecting captain Alex Ovechkin's blast. Washington is not without its own injury concerns as Brooks Laich exited Friday's tilt with tightness in his groin. Laich did not practice on Saturday and is questionable to face the Red Wings.

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Washington.
* Red Wings are 1-6 in their last seven games following a win.
* Capitals are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
* Under is 4-0 in Capitals last four home games.

OVERTIME:

1. Detroit C Gustav Nyquist has five goals and three assists in his last seven games.

2. Washington C Nicklas Backstrom had an assist on Friday, but hasn't scored a goal since Jan. 10.

3. The teams wrap up their season series on Sunday after splitting 4-3 shootout victories in their previous two contests.
 

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Montreal Canadiens -140 over Winnipeg
(System Record: 63-2, lost last game)
Overall Record: 63-47-1
 
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Magic at Celtics: What bettors need to know

Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics (-5, 191.5)

The Orlando Magic look to win back-to-back games for the first time since late December when they visit the struggling Boston Celtics on Sunday afternoon. The Magic recorded a 113-102 victory over Milwaukee on Friday and will try to end a 10-game losing streak on the road, where they are an NBA-worst 3-21. The Celtics could get second-leading scorer Avery Bradley back from an ankle injury as they attempt to snap out of a funk which saw them drop near the bottom of the Eastern Conference.

Boston is only 3-19 since Dec. 16 and has not won in the six games All Star guard Rajon Rondo has played since his return from knee surgery. Orlando broke a 10-game slide against the Celtics with a 93-91 triumph Jan. 19. Magic center Nikola Vucevic averaged 14 points in his first two games back from a concussion, but guard Jameer Nelson left Friday’s game with a sore knee and is questionable.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FSN Florida (Orlando), CSN New England (Boston)

ABOUT THE MAGIC (13-35): Leading scorer Arron Afflalo (20) had a response for being left off the All Star roster with 21 points on Friday. “There’s certain feelings you get at points in your life, whether it’s a motivating factor or something that you look forward to that didn’t happen,” Afflalo told the Orlando Sentinel. “But, for me, it’s given me a new level of passion, a new level of hunger.” Vucevic averages a double-double (13.1 points, 10.8 rebounds) and rookie Victor Oladipo scored 15.6 per game in January.

ABOUT THE CELTICS (15-33): Boston has averaged 86 points in four straight losses and Bradley, who scored 24 in a home win over Orlando early in the season, would give the offense a huge boost. Rondo was rested in the 95-94 loss to Philadelphia on Wednesday and is averaging 6.7 points while shooting 27.9 percent from the field since his return. Jeff Green leads the Celtics in scoring (16) and Jared Sullinger averages 12.8 points and 7.8 rebounds after posting 24 and 17, respectively, in Wednesday’s game.

TRENDS:

* Magic are 1-5-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in Boston.
* Magic are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games.
* Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.
* Under is 7-1 in Celtics last eight home games.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Former Magic F Brandon Bass is 26-of-43 from the field and 14-of-16 from the free-throw line while averaging 11 points over the last six games.

2. Orlando F Tobias Harris scored 15.2 points per contest in January and recorded 18 off the bench in Friday’s victory.

3. Celtics F Chris Johnson, averaging 9.7 points in the last six contests, was signed to a second 10-day contract Tuesday.
 
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Michigan at Indiana: What bettors need to know

Michigan Wolverines at Indiana Hoosiers (+2)

Last season, Indiana and Michigan were among the elite teams in the nation, with the Hoosiers earning a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament and the Wolverines advancing to the Final Four. However, this season has been a story of two teams heading in opposite directions and their paths collide Sunday when the 14th-ranked Wolverines visit the struggling Hoosiers. Michigan enters this matchup having won 10 straight games, while Indiana has lost three of its last four contests and five of its last eight overall.

The Wolverines have not lost since Dec. 14 - a two-point heartbreaker against No. 1 Arizona - but coach John Beilein still was not thrilled after Thursday's 75-66 win over Purdue. "The one thing I've learned first as a coach is that the only thing that can be really consistent is your defense, and it's not, and we're working on it," Beilein told reporters. "But if (the offensive consistency) keeps happening, I'll be happy as hell." Michigan continues to receive stellar play from Big Ten Player of the Year contender Nik Stauskas (18.4 points), who has shot at least 50 percent from the field in seven of his last eight games.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS

ABOUT MICHIGAN (16-4, 8-0 Big Ten): Stauskas has been Michigan's best player this season, but fellow sophomore Caris LeVert has been tremendous in three of his last four games, including a stat line against Purdue that included 14 points, a career-high 11 rebounds, three steals, two assists and two blocks. On the other hand, Glenn Robinson III has endured dips in his shooting percentage (57.2 to 50) and 3-point percentage (32.4 to 28.1) since last season. But while Robinson is struggling from long range, Stauskas (45.9 percent), Zak Irvin (40.7) and Derrick Walton Jr. (40.4) have all emerged as reliable deep threats for the loaded Wolverines.

ABOUT INDIANA (13-8, 3-5): Hoosiers coach Tom Crean was not thrilled with freshman Noah Vonleh, who had as many turnovers (five) as shots attempted against Nebraska. “He had a tough night,” Crean told reporters after Thursday's 60-55 defeat. “He was out there, he worked hard. He wasn’t as emphatic and decisive with the ball as he needed to be. He got the ball, but it was one of those nights. He’s 18.” Vonleh is averaging 11.8 points, 9.3 rebounds and 1.2 blocks on the season, although he has just 11 combined points over the last two games.

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-0 in the last six meetings in Indiana.
* Wolverines are 5-16-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings.
* Hoosiers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. Big Ten.

TIP-INS:

1. Robinson, probably the Wolverines' best athlete, only has five blocks this season - four of which came against Minnesota on Jan. 2.

2. The Hoosiers, who reached 100 points three times in their first six games, are averaging just 56 during their recent 1-3 stretch.

3. Indiana F Will Sheehey has shot 6-of-23 over his last three games as he battles an ankle injury.
 

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Orlando Magic +5 over Boston Celtics
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Overall Record: 42-52-2
 

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Bonsucesso + Nova Iguacu UNDER 2.5
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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB S FLORIDA at CINCINNATI
Play On - Underdogs of 10 or more points (S FLORIDA) revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset win as an underdog
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )

CBB BUFFALO at BOWLING GREEN
Play On - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BUFFALO) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games
125-74 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.8% 47.7 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -0.2 units )

CBB MICHIGAN at INDIANA
Play On - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANA) after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record
89-46 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.9% 38.4 units )
8-5 this year. ( 61.5% 2.5 units )
 
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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NBA ORLANDO at BOSTON
Play Against - Home teams (BOSTON) after 1 or more consecutive unders, poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG) after 42+ games
52-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.3% 26.7 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 0.9 units )

NBA ORLANDO at BOSTON
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (BOSTON) revenging a loss vs opponent, off a home loss against a division rival
138-71 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.0% 51.9 units )
13-7 this year. ( 65.0% -0.4 units )

NBA ORLANDO at BOSTON
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points off an upset loss as a home favorite, on Sunday games
120-66 since 1997. ( 64.5% 47.4 units )
3-4 this year. ( 42.9% -1.4 units )
 
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Here are the rest of his hockey plays for today...

Hockey
Detroit Red Wings +119 over Washington
Detroit Red Wings + Washington Capitals UNDER 5.5
Winnipeg Jets + Montreal Canadiens OVER 5.5
 

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