Marco D'Angelo | NFL Side - Sunday, Feb 2 2014 6:30PM
101 SEA 2.5(100) Hilton vs 102 DEN triple-dime bet
TAKE SEATTLE as MARCO'S 3* SUPER BOWL BLOCKBUSTER
The following are Free Prop Opinions. Only the Seattle Play will be recorded in our Final NFL Numbers for the season.
Prop Bets
Will there be a Score in the 1st 6:30 of the Game – No
Reasoning- Both teams like to defer when they win the coin toss so we have a 50/50 chance on who will get the ball first. If Seattle gets the ball 1st this bet is much stronger as Seattle isn’t a Big Play Offense plus they will want to ease Russell Wilson into things on that 1st series so a see a safe conservative 1st series out of Seattle. If Denver gets the ball first they will be going up against the #1defense in Football and given how they have tried to play more ball control rather than the quick scoring drives they had during the regular season makes it more likely that they wont score in that 1st 6:30. This prop was readily available at -110
Will Russell Wilson’s 1st Pass attempt be a completion – Yes
Reasoning - Many will bet the No here thinking a young QB in his 1st Super Bowl will be nervous. Well that may be true, the coaches will have a safe play called to get him his confidence and thus I feel this is a safe bet. This prop was available at -170
Will Knowshon Moreno have Over or Under 3 receptions - Over
Reasoning – in 11 of the Broncos 16 regular season games Moreno had 3 or more receptions. So that alone puts us in a positive situation but I also feel that the game will dictate that he is a bigger factor in the passing game. Because Seattle’s defensive backs are so good I feel Manning will be forced to check down to the safety value receiver if nothing is open down field to avoid taking a sack and that will be Moreno more often than not. This prop was available at -110
Will Richard Sherman have an interception – No
Reasoning – Sherman is an All World defender and Manning knows that and the Denver coaches know that so they will limit the number of times they go at him if they even do at all. In Seattle’s 18 games this season Sherman had an interception in 6 of the 18 games. Given those numbers and the fact that I don’t see them testing him very often I like laying the price here. I believe this is a prop that the line will come down on game day as casual bettors will take the trash talking Sherman at a price. This prop was available at -260 but I do believe will be lower on Game Day
Will Peyton Manning have more Passing Yards in 1st or 2nd Half – 2nd
Reasoning – Generally their will be more scoring in the second half than the 1st half of the Super Bowl as teams come out and start the game conservatively not wanting to make a mistake. You also will have halftime adjustments if teams had something that wasn’t working in the first half or saw something that they can attack in the second half. Remember Denver had big lead leads in first 2 playoff games and was working clock in 2nd halves if this is a game or Seattle is ahead Manning will still be attacking. This prop was available at -110
Will Peyton Manning throw a TD or INT first - TD
Reasoning – Manning has had a TD pass in all 18 games this season in 10 of the games he had no INT. Manning had 59 TD passes to only 11 INT’s giving him a 5.3 to 1 ratio which puts Manning at over 80% to throw a TD 1st at -240 have to be right 70.5% of the time. This prop was available at -240