Service Plays Sunday 10/18/09

[pjoyce5893]

Bob Balfe

MLB Baseball
Phillies -1.5 runs over Dodgers +120
Lee/Kuroda

NFL Football
Texans/Bengals Over 46
The Texans and Bengals both have good offenses which should be on top of their games today. The Texas stink at stopping the run which should allow Benson to have another big running game. Carson Palmer should be able to hit his targets downfield. Look for the Bengals to have success in a balanced attack. The Texans have big wide receivers that should take advantage of the Cincinnati Defense today. Both teams should put up a ton of points. Take the Over.

Minnesota -3 over Baltimore
The Vikings are hot going against a Ravens Defense that has lost a step. Baltimore has allowed their first 100 yard rusher in 39 games last week against the Bengals and today they get to try to handle Adrian Peterson. Minnesota has a huge size advantage of offense and should score a ton of points. The Vikings Defensive line is huge and Jared Allen should have a field day with the Ravens starting left tackle out for this game. Look for the Vikings Defense and Offense to play a perfect game. Minnesota should win this game with ease.

Cardinals +3 over Seahawks
Matt Hasselbeck looked great last week against the Jags, but I think it has more to do with how bad Jacksonville player. The Seahawks have a very injured offensive line and in a big division game that will cause them problems. Look for the Cardinals to pressure the QB all game forcing bad throws. Arizona has two great cover corners that should slow down the Seattle attack. The Arizona offense has a good size advantage and should put up enough points to win this game. Arizona won both games last year and seem to be more of a complete football team at this point in the season due to staying healthy. Take the Cardinals.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

wayne root

Vegas Legend parlay

PHILLIES AND UNDER

 

[FGators]

NOT CONFIRMED

but from Stu Feiner's radio show he does on his site he was all about the Giants and he's a NY guy hinting big time that they win this game.

50,000-Dime NFL Private Player selections 21-5 since 2003!

Sunday NFL 50,000-Dime Private Play
New York Giants @ New Orleans 1:00 PM EDT

New York Giants +3

 

[brewerfan003]

steve duemig



30 dimer ravens

 

[pjoyce5893]

Matt Regaw

1) Sunday October 18th: Houston @ Cincinnati

The Bengals are off a very emotional win as they gave the game ball to Mike Zimmer after his wife passed just three days before the game. The Bengals just finished playing three games all in division and all down to the wire. The Texans have looked decent enough on offensive to keep this close. The Bengals are 1-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points and if they are not careful could lose this game outright.
Texans +4.5

2) Sunday October 18th: Giants @ Saints

In the biggest game of the week the Giants go to New Orleans. The Saints are off of a bye and have had plenty of time to prepare while the Giants were off a bye too, they played the Raiders. The Giants have not played an impressive schedule while the Saints have beaten some playoff contenders with ease by crushing the Jets and the Eagles. New Orleans has cashed nine of its last 10 at home against non-division conference foes and the difference will be the home field advantage.
Saints -3

3) Sunday October 18th: Baltimore @ Minnesota
These teams may seem like they are all about defense but guess again. The Ravens have played well against the run but not the pass and last week they were blistered by Benson on the ground. The Vikings have a scoring defense but give up some yardage as they allowed 400 yards by the Rams. If the Rams did not turn the ball over inside the Vikings ten this would have been a much higher scoring game. The Ravens have zipped over in 16 of 21 as dogs overall and that trend will continue as this game goes well over the total.
Over 43.5

4) Sunday October 18th: Chicago @ Atlanta
The Falcons are off a very big victory on the road and this week will go up against the Bears at home. The travel will get to the falcons in this game and the Bears off a bye week will be well rested and well prepared. The Bears are 7-1-1 as dogs of more than three with revenge. The Falcons are 5-14-1 ATS after tallying 28 points or more and 6-12-1 following a victory by 14 points or more. The Falcons will lose to the Bears as the Bears flex their defense against the Birds!
Bears +3

5) Sunday October 18th: Arizona @ Seattle
Arizona is off a close win at home against the Texans while the Seahawks punished the Jaguars. Seattle is 1-14 ATS off a blowout win by 21 points or more. The Cardinals have covered four of the last five series encounters. The SU winner is 16-2 ATS in the last 18 series skirmishes. I am looking for the outright upset in hostile territory as the Cardinals get going defensively and beat Seattle at home. The Cardinals offense will match up with the offense of Seattle but will have the edge on defense in this NFC West showdown.
Arizona +3

6) Sunday October 18th: KC @ Washington
This play seems deadly with all of the drama going on in Washington. The Chiefs played the best game of the season and still lost it to the Cowboys. Now they hit the road and will have to try and take down the redskins. The Chiefs have fared poorly against NFC rivals, losing 18 of 23 and failing to cash at a 17-5-1 clip. The redskins will be able to move the ball against this Chief team that has already mailed it in for the season.
Redskins -6.5

 

[PDBLING]

seabass 300* eagles, 100*kc, 100* jacksonville, 50*az,50* baltimore, 30* car/tb under, teaser of week jets/buff under w kc/wash under

 

[brewerfan003]

seabass



300 Philly
100 Houston
100 KC
100 Jax
50 Arizona, Baltimore
30 Caroline under
50 two team teaser Buffalo game Under/ Washington game Under

 

[mcmaster1205]

Steve Duemig

Sunday sweep
30 Dime Ravens



At least the Ravens have someone who can block the Beast Jared Allen so that will keep Flacco up on his feet instead of on his back like Aaron Rogers suffered a few weeks ago. The nation is all full of Favre mania and the one team that should be able to stop both Petersen and Favre is Baltimore. While this is not your Daddy's Baltimore defense anymore they still can play some ball. Benson had a 100+ plus day rushing the football last week against them, which was the first time in a long time that has happened. Baltimore had Cinncy stopped last week on two separate occasions last week and they committed horrible penalties to keep drives alive. Ray Lewis was one of the guilty parties and he won't let that stuff beat him again. The Ravens need a win to avoid a three game losing streak and the Vikings to me just dont look like a team that could be 6-0. Sorry but I don't see it. SF had this Viking offense bottled up all day before the Favre miracle throw to Lewis. I believe that Baltimore can and will muster up enough to get the job done today. Viking run D has been their weakness and the Ravens have two big boys going for them in Rice an Magehee.



10 Dime Bears



Atlanta looked absolutely unbeatable last week on the west coast against The 49ers. They are going to have to play like that this week as well and I don't think that will happen. There are glaring flaws or weaknesses in Atlanta's defense. The first weakness and perhaps most glaring is their weak secondary. They simply haven't played anyone who can exploit it properly.... until today with Jay Cutler coming to town. He has new found weaponry with Knox and Bennet so they can throw the ball down the field and exploit this secondary. Second weakness is who do they have that an offense would fear in getting to the QB? Only Abraham comes to mind and no one else. Therefore it is easy to slide protection to one player and they will do just that. We look for the Bears to not simply cover but to win the game outright.



5 Dime Buccaneers



This week the Bucs finally get back their pro bowl center Jeff Faine and believe me it will make a lot of difference. The young QB Josh Johnson will no longer have to make the line calls at the line as he had to do as a rookie and he really never had a chance. With Faine back it will allow Johnson to play QB and have one less thing to worry about. The return of Faine will also bring back into play the Bucs running game which went bye-bye the last few weeks since he has been out. Johnson showed me some nice progression from his first start to his last one. He shows some flashes of being a very sound QB in this league .Carolina picked up their first win last week off of a gift from the Redskins punt returner or these two teams would both be looking for their first win. Let's face it. The Bucs have been horrible this year and they realize that this is the their absolute best chance to get a win. The finger pointing is just starting inside the locker room of the Bucs. Win today and the fingers go back in the pocket. Lose and they will be pointing every which way!

PAID AND CONFIRMED BY ME!

 

[brewerfan003]

National Sports Service
5* Baltimore +3
4* Pittsburg -14
3* Houston +5
3* Plilly -14

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NORTHCOAST
3.5* Minnesota - 3
3* Pittsburgh -14
3* New England -9.5

 

[brewerfan003]

34Paytonplace



15unit- Baltimore +3 (Top play)

The ravens are coming off back2back losses but they could have easily won both of those and this will be the vikes toughest test yet and this ravens club is better in almost every stat category offense #5 vs #18 vikes both these teams are stout against the run as the ravens are #4 against the run and the vikes are #10 so this will come down to the passing game and turnovers the vikings have been good this year but cannot see this ravens wanting to go into there bye week with 3 straight losses.......Look for a great defensive effort and flacco to do just enough to send the ravens into there bye week on a win!!!!!!!

10unit- Pittsburgh -13.5

The browns did not win last week the nither team wanted to win that game and anyone who thinks that this browns team is giving full effort for coach mangini is sorely mistaken how can a qb go 2/17 for 23 yards this browns team has quit and the steelers are coming off there bye and getting back troy and willie parker if this browns team scores anymore than 7 points i will be completely shocked this will be a long down for cleveland......Also a stat any team who passes for less than 50 yards the previous week is 4-15 ats the following week enough for me i will back the steelers!!!!!


8unit- N.y.jets -9.5

That jets defense did not look good monday nite and coach ryan was not happy so this will be and angry group and as luck would have it they get the bills who have gone downhill since blowing the season opener to the pats and last week they hit rock bottom the offensive line is pitfully as edwards has very little time to throw and the linebacking core is beat up expect the jets to pound it right at them and bills turnovers to lead to easy jets scores!!!!!!!


8unit- Lions/Packers over 47.5

Just think rodgers has a big game coming off the bye going against the #27 ranked pass defense and think the lions can put up atleast 17 here.........


5unit- Washington -6

I know the redskins have not looked good at all but on offense the redskins are ranked #23 kc is #30 and on defense the redskins are #5 and kc #32 last so the redskins should move the ball alittle easier here also one of the reasons i liked kc last week was the fact dallas was #28 against the pass and the redskins are #3 verus the pass so kc will need to establish the run well good luck with that and the chiefs go on the road after 2 straight at home.....It might not be pretty but the skins get the cover here!!!!!!!


5unit- Houston +5

The bengals have been a great story so far but just think 3 straight wins with late comebacks and then a division win which was very emotional last week think this could be a flat spot.......


2unit- 2team parlay- Balt +3/ Pitt -13.5
2unit- 2team parlay- Jets -9.5/Det/GB over 47.5
2unit- 2team parlay- Wash -6/Houston +5

 

[brewerfan003]

Handicapper: Nite Owl Sports
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers - Sunday October 18, 2009 1:00 pm
Pick: 5 unit(s) TOTAL: Over 48 (-110) (Game of the Month)



Green Bay has been a “cash cow" L2Y as a home over, with a 12-6 over record at home last two seasons, despite the fact that 7 of those 18 home games were in the months of December and January, when the field at Lambeau is aptly called the "frozen tundra." And despite the QB change LY from Favre to Rodgers, the Pack retained their home over tendencies, going 5-3 to the over in their 8 regular season HGs (they did not make the playoffs) and averaging 48.5 total ppg in those 8 games. Moreover, the Pack was 9-3 to the over L2Y in division games (of which this one is), both home and away. And TY the pack is 3-1 to the over, averaging 54 total ppg in their last three, after “shaking the rust” off of their offense in their opener, an ugly 21-15 win over Chicago in GB. So adding that Chicago snorefest and GB’s 55 point home over against Cincy to their recent home totals record (with Rodgers at QB), we have 6-4 to the Over , with an average of 48 total ppg in those ten recent relevant HGs.

GB’s QB Aaron Rodgers has compiled some pretty amazing #s so far TY (1100 YP on 60% completions, with a 6/1 TD/INT ratio), especially considering the pressure he has been under, having already been sacked 20 times TY. And when he is not under a lot of pressure from a heavy pass rush, he is at his best, as he showed in a nearly flawless performance (270 YP on 60% completions, for two TDPs and no INTs) in Pack’s 36-17 win over the SL Lambs, a game in which he was sacked a season low two times. And not only is Lions’ secondary is a mess (with opposing quarterbacks having put up a passer rating of 119.7 with a 73.3 percent completion percentage against the Lions, both ranking worst in the NFL), but there are no real pass rushers (Hunter is one of three players with two of the Lions’ ten total sacks in five games) to help the problems in pass coverage. And while lions’ new HC Jim Schwartz prefers to play man-to-man coverage behind the blitzing of the 4-3 scheme he brought from the Tennessee Titans, he quite simply doesn’t have the personnel to pull it off with the Lions’ limited defensive personnel -- cornerbacks Anthony Henry and Phillip Buchanon have been benched at least once because of poor performance, and nickel back Eric King (shoulder) was lost for the season this past week. As summed up by one NFL scout, “They don’t have any blue-chip players, they just don’t have it. Sims, he’s OK, he’s one of the better guys. Delmas does some good things, the rookie. Peterson isn’t what he was. The defensive line is very average. It’s not a very impressive group to say the least.” That’s the most likely reason that Detroit is already 2-0 TY to the over on the road, not only with 72 points scored in both roadies (at NO and Chicago), but also having been torched on defense for 45 points by Saints and 48 by Bears. So we’re confident that both Aaron Rodgers and GB should have a big day on offense.

But it takes sufficient offensive input by both teams to push the total # of points over the total, so we need to explore the likelihood that the Detroit offense will generate enough points for that to happen. The big news for Detroit, especially on offense, as the week goes on, is whether the No. 1 pick of this year’s NFL draft, quarterback Matthew Stafford, will play after missing last week against Pittsburgh because of a dislocated knee cap. Lions head coach Jim Schwartz left open the possibility that Stafford could practice sometime this week (Wed and Thurs) and play Sunday, but that also could be gamesmanship to force the Packers to prepare for both Stafford and his back-up, the veteran Daunte Culpepper. And the Lions have a bye next week, so if there’s much doubt about Stafford’s physical condition they might be inclined to sit him at GB and then get him get an extra week of R&R (rest and recovery) with the bye. If he plays, Stafford has shown some big-league talent, particularly in Lions’ streak-busting home win over Wash, but mixed in with his three touchdowns are six interceptions, and whether his injured knee will prevent him from being the same confident young QB who beat Washington two weeks ago is a major question. But even if it’s Culpepper, he had some decent passing #s (completing 23-37 for 282 YP, with one TDP and one INT) in LW’s 28-20 loss to Pitt, but was also sacked a whopping seven times for 57 yards in losses, due to both his limited mobility on surgically repaired knees and poor pass protection by an OL that has already allowed 17 QB sacks TY (almost as bad as league leading GB). But with GB having one of the worst pass rushes in the NFL TY (just five sacks in four games), Culpepper will have enough time to check most if not all of his receivers before being flushed out of the “pocket” or being forced to throw, so we expect that even he would have a good day passing against GB. And whoever is at QB for Detroit will have one big-time weapon in WR Calvin Johnson (6-feet-5, 236 pounds), a rising star who has already 22 receptions TY despite being the focus of coverage. He injured his knee last week against Pittsburgh but appears to have a decent shot at playing this week. “Tremendous talent,” an assistant coach said. “Height-weight-speed guy who can go get the football. You have to be conscious of where he is because he can go make plays, he can go get the ball out of the air, and run past you. He’s a bigger, more physical looking Randy Moss; the same kind of speed though.” Unfortunately, all we know at this point about Johnson’s playing status for this game is that he is officially listed as “questionable,” and we won’t likely know any more until official injury updates are released Friday afternoon. But since we are afraid of the totals line moving up past this key totals # of 48 as the week wears on, we don’t have the luxury of waiting until then (Friday PM) to release this Over pick.

And while the Lions may not yet be any offensive powerhouse, their defense has been bad enough to help” them to a 20-6 Over record in their last 26 roadies over L3+Y, a 13-6 Over record L3+Y in division games, and a 7-3 Over record in road division games L3+Y.

Finally, a check with the “weather man,” always an important step for Over plays, especially in cold weather venues like green bay as we move deeper into the season, reveals a forecast of mostly clear skies, with game time temps in the mid 50s, which is where we also expect the scoring to be by midway through the fourth quarter.

So there it is -- our 5 unit NFC Totals Game of the Month on Over 48, our biggest totals pick so far this season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Boooj:



25 units on NY Giants (+3) over New Orleans
15 units on Philadelphia (-14) over Oakland
10 units on NY Jets (-9.5) over Buffalo

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

3gwins


SUNDAY ACTION:

NFL FOOTBALL:
10* NEW ENGLAND
5* Houston
4* Oakland
4* Arizona

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

wayne root

FAVORITE CLUB
washington redskins

VEGAS LEGEND
oakland raiders

MILLIONAIRE
new orleans saints

BILLIONAIRE
chicago bears

NO LIMIT
baltimore ravens

PERFECT PLAY
houston texans

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Black Widow

5* NFL Sunday "Early" Double-Digit BLOWOUT on Pittsburgh Steelers -14(+102at 5dimes)

The Steelers face a Cleveland Browns team that features one of the worst offenses in the league. The Browns are scoring just 11.0 points/game this season and putting up 248 yards/game. Those numbers get even worse on the road. In 3 games away from home, Cleveland is scoring 5.0 points/game and putting up 193 yards/game. The Browns will not be able to score enough points to stay within 2 touchdowns of the Steelers Sunday, bottom line. In their last home meeting, Pittsburgh beat Cleveland 31-0. Expect a similar final score Sunday. Pittsburgh welcomes back Troy Polamalu and Willie Parker to the lineup Sunday, which only makes this team even more dangerous. Ben Roethlisberger has picked up right where he left off from the Super Bowl, throwing for 1,470 yards while completing 74% of his passes with 8 touchdowns already in only 5 games. This team can now beat their opponents both running and throwing the football. Cleveland can't do either. The Browns won 6-3 last week at Buffalo despite a 2-for-17 passing performance from QB Derek Anderson. Yeah, their defense played well, but the Browns aren't going to keep the Steelers off the scoreboard Sunday like they did against a pathetic Bills' offense. It's clear that Cleveland will miss Braylon Edwards, because they no longer have any proven targets on the outside for Anderson to get the ball to. Cleveland is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after scoring 9 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons. Pittsburgh has put up an average of 33.0 points/game in their last two contests as this offense is starting to hit on all cylinders. Look for somewhere around a 31-7 final in this one. Take Pittsburgh and lay the points.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Nelly's LTS

2* Minnesota
2* New England
2* Chicago

 

[brewerfan003]

Beatyourbookie

100* Phillies

 

[jakew1]

Payday? Vegas runner?

NFL...PAYDAY has New England (-9)...PayDay is currently ranked #1 in the NFL by The Sports Monitor Inc.(PENDING)

 

[marksdolphins]

VAUGHN WILSON(betonepicks)
3*(nfl)#211 Texans+5.5
3*(nfl)#222 Bucs/Panthers Over 38
3*(nfl)2 Team Teaser both above(6pts)
Texans+11.5 & Over 32
----------------------
(CFB)W/L/P: 24/9/0
Win:Loss: 72.73%
Total Units: +48.40
--------------------
Last 45 Days
W/L/P: 66/36/1
Win:Loss: 64.71%
Total Units: +93.60
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plays sent out saturday
(2-1)yesterday
(BOL)Headed to the pool(<)<