Service Plays Sunday 10/18/09

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Kyle Bales

2-0-1 last night (push on Texas)

He is hot in football

14-5 in NFL, Last week was his first losing Sunday (1-2)



15* Saints -3

10* Vikings -2.5

5* Redskins -6.5
 
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Sunday NFL System Club Play-GC-

On Sunday the system club play on Sunday is a solid total.Take the over in the Philly at Oakland game. Rotation numbers 225/6 at 4:05 eastern. What we want to do is play the over when any team is a road favorite of -7 or more vs a non-division team,if they play a divisional opponent next week. This system has cashed 24 of 31 times going as far back as 1980. Both teams will put up points in this one. I expect the Raiders to play much better on offense this week,returning home off 2 bad road games. Philly has a solid offense that has scored over 30 points in 3 of their 4 games already this year. Look for a high scoring game here today. Those looking for something to pound I have the non-conference Goy going today. This big banger is backed with a 13-0 system that dates to 1980 and a 23-4 system that dates to the mid 70/s. Also on the card is a 42-12 Double Power angle play and 19-2 system side play. The card is guaranteed. Last week we cashed the big 5 star on Seattle a 41-0 winner. On Sunday the damage continues. Don't miss this big card. Jump on and end the week with the cash.We dominated last week and will do it again today. Take the over in the Eagles at Raiders game for the system club play. bol GC
 

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St. Louis +10 over JACKSONVILLE Sports Interaction
Move over Detroit Lions, here come the St. Louis Rams. That’s right, the Rams have dropped 15 in a row since beating Dallas last October. So, what is there to like about them this week? Well, for one, their stock has tumbled to an all-time low, meaning we’re probably getting more points than we should be. Secondly, this guest is on the verge of breaking out and this could certainly be the week. I never bet a team that I don’t think can win outright and it would not surprise me one but to see that come to pass. The Rams lost 38-10 to the Vikes last week but in no way was that score indicative of what transpired on the field. The Rams had more total yards than the Vikes and they also held the in edge in time of possession. The offense was crisp and the defense is a whole lot better than they’re getting credit for. This team is slowly but surely getting better and if they eliminate turnovers this week they have a great chance to not only cover but win outright. The Rams blowout losses, unlike the Raiders and Bucs, are not as bad as they seem and even the previous week against San Fran, they were down just 7-0 at halftime before a couple of costly turnovers in the second half made the score look worse than it was. Marc Bulger looks healthy and was very sharp in relief of Kyle Boller last week. Bulger rarely throws a pick and that’s good news for our cause. The Jags were crushed last week in Seattle and fan interest is diminishing quicker than Clay Aiken’s fan base. Playing at home in front of a ton of empty seats is not inspiring and takes away from home-field advantage. The Jags could never be trusted as a favorite and as double-digit chalk they are to be less trusted. Yeah, the Rams record on paper is horrible but this team is not as bad as those other Tomato Cans and this is the week they have a great shot. Play: St. Louis +10 (Risking 2.4 units to win 2).

NEW ORLEANS –3½ +1.02 over NY Giants PINNACLE
The Giants are a perfect 5-0 but let’s have a closer look at that because that 5-0 record is a little misleading, in that we really don’t know how good or even how flawed the Giants really are. We’ll find out this week and you might be surprised when and if they get smoked. You see, the Giants opened the year with a win over the pathetic Redskins. We’ll skip week 2 and come back to it but in weeks 3, 4 and 5 they beat the Chiefs, Bucs and Raiders. To put it mildly, those four wins came against arguably the worst quartet in football, bar none. Not one of those four teams can move five yards. In week 2, the Giants played Dallas and won 33-31 but that was a rather fluky win, as they Boys turned the ball over four times and lost by just two points. In fact, Dallas completely dominated the Giants and they moved the ball at will. Now the Giants defense will really be tested against the sharpest and most dangerous offense in the game. It’s also the Giants fourth road game in the past five weeks and frankly, they really haven’t been battle tested yet. In fact, the Giants do not have a notable win this season. Under these circumstances (fourth road game in five weeks and not battle tested) in this is not the right time for them to meet the Saints. Just one game short of a title game berth last year, the returning Saints have beaten down their initial four foes of 2009 through shock and awe, evidenced by league-best team numbers in yards per game and individual league leads taken by quarterback Drew Brees (touchdowns, passer rating) and wide receiver Marques Colston (touchdown catches). They hung a 48 on Philly, they crushed a very good Jets team and they won by 20 on the road in Buffalo, not an easy place to score points. Unlike the Giants, the Saints are battle tested and passed with flying colors. Now they’ve had two weeks to prepare, the place will be maddening and it says here they win again and they win big. Play: New Orleans –3½ +1.02 (Risking 2 units).

Houston +5 +1.06 over CINCINNATI PINNACLE
This line just keeps moving up and it’s now time to pull the trigger against the Bengals and here’s why. The Bengals stock has soared through the roof the past few weeks with wins over Baltimore, Pittsburgh and Green Bay with two of those being on the road a s a 9-point pooch. The Bengals are 4-1 but they should be 5-0 had it not been for that fluke TD by Denver in the opening game of the year. The best time to step in against a team is when everyone is on them and that’s precisely the situation we have here. To those that are on the Bengals, sorry, but that ship has already sailed and you missed out. It’s now time to go against them as the public continues to hammer them. What I do know is that the Bengals are in a huge letdown spot and they’re just an awful play as a favorite. In fact, the Bengals are 2-9 against the spread when laying points over its last 11 games as the chalk. The Texans are a dangerous team with a dangerous offense and great receivers and they’ll come in here and catch the Bengals way off their game and will likely leave with a win. Play: Houston +5 +1.02 (Risking 2 units).
 

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BRYAN LEONARD'S SUNDAY NFL SHOCKER

Houston at Cincinnati

With just a couple of different occurrences these two teams would be thought of completely different. While Houston has seemed to find ways to lose games they should win the Bengals have been very fortunate to have a 4-1 record. When looking at the stats these two teams are virtually even yet the Linesmaker and the public feel the Bengals are the better squad.

Houston sits at 2-3 off another late game loss last week. They had first and goal from the Arizona one yard line and failed to punch in the tying touchdown. They had a similar game earlier this season against Jacksonville. Now we find the Texans in a desperate state as they simply cannot afford to drop to 2-4 in a division with Indianapolis.

Cincinnati lost a heartbreaker in their opener against Denver, but they have bounced back strong. The Bengals are off three straight divisional rival victories with all the games being decided in the last minute. They beat Pittsburgh and Baltimore on last second drives in the fourth quarter and they defeated Cleveland on the last play in overtime. They are sure to have a letdown here after getting such an emotional jump against those three divisional opponents. Cincinnati has really struggled in the role of favorite as of late dropping 9 of 11 giving points. They haven't posted a winning home favorite spread mark in over eight years! Houston on the other hand is a solid 6-3 ATS as a road underdog.

The spot is terrible for the Bengals and history shows they are not a team you want to back in this role. Houston with the inflated number gets the cash.

PLAY HOUSTON
 

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Cobrawins

washington under 37.5

green bay -13.5 (buy the 1/2) -120

new orleans -2.5 (buy the 1/2) -120

titans +9
 

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Sirdukesports 1-0 in the NFL this week 4-1 since last week

<TABLE border=1 cellSpacing=0 bgColor=#ffffff><CAPTION>Sirdukesports 1-0 in the NFL This week going to sweep the NFL Board with these two club plays</CAPTION><THEAD><TR><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Date</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Kick Off</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Club Rating</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Rotation</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Selection</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Rating</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Line</TH></TR></THEAD><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>10/18/2009</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>1:00:00 PM</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Private Players</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>220</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>New Orleans Saints -3</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>8*</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>-3</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>10/18/2009</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>1:00:00 PM</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>LA Touchdown Club</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>215</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Baltimore Ravens +3</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>10*</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>+3</TD></TR></TBODY><TFOOT></TFOOT></TABLE>
 

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Al DeMarco Sunday's Play 20 Dime - Minnesota

Hindsight is 20-20. Baltimore opened the season 3-0, but two wins were at home against cupcakes, 0-4 Kansas City - who the Ravens beat and covered against in a 38-24 victory thanks to a last-minute touchdown - and Cleveland, a team that just snapped a 10-game SU losing streak last weekend. In between, they went to San Diego and needed a tremendous Ray Lewis stop in the waning moments of the game to hold on for a 31-26 win against an injury-riddled, one-dimensional Charger team.

The past two weeks have brought losses, 27-21 on the road versus the Patriots, an average to good team at best, and 17-14 at home versus a Cincinnati squad that needed overtime to beat the woeful Browns one week earlier.

Defensively, this Baltimore team gets more recognition for its past accomplishments than its current play. This is a team that's allowed 24 points to KC, 26 at San Diego, and 27 at New England. Its pass defense was carved up by Phillip Rivers, who threw for 436 yards for the Chargers, despite having no ground game to rely on. And the Raven rush defense couldn't stop Cincinnati's Cedric Benson last Sunday as the Bengal tailback gained 120 of his team's 403 total yards.

If Rivers and Benson could enjoy that type of success against Baltimore, why can't Brett Favre and Adrian Peterson do the same playing at home?

Minnesota, despite a 5-0 record, is clearly getting no respect from the oddsmakers with this price being so short. But again, lines are set to get equal betting action; they're not meant for judging which team is actually better quantitatively. And in this case, the public perception of Baltimore's defense being better than it is, and its overwhelming denial of the possibility of the Ravens losing a third straight game following a 3-0 start, is working in our favor.

Last Sunday the Vikings were facing the ultimate trap game. Coming off a short week and an emotional Monday night victory against Green Bay, they found themselves at 0-4 St. Louis in an obvious letdown game. Yet, Minnesota hammered the winless Rams, 38-10, to improve to 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS on the season.

My side selections involving these teams this season - both premium and free picks - are 4-1 on each. If you have Minnesota at -3 or -3 1/2, go ahead and purchase some insurance by buying down the 1/2 point in either case.
 

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CHUCK LUCK sunday

5 unit KC
5 unit CAROLINA

5 unit SEA (sst)

6 unit CINN
6 unit MINN

8 unit NEW ORLEANS
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Sunday October 18, 2009


PREMIUM MEMBERS SELECTIONS


NFL
1:00 Redskins -pts.
1:00 Ravens +3
4:05 Raiders +pts.
4:15 Bills +pts.
8:20 Bears + pts. Best Bet
8:20 Over 45 Best Bet

MLB
Phillies


David Banks. Horrible yesterday so may very well be good fade material but do what you will. And yes I fell for the email bullshit for $19.95 and I am admittingly a dumb ass.
 

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Bob Valentino
Bob Valentino Sunday's 30 Dime NFL Winner #3 in a Row... 30 DIME: N.Y. GIANTS (plus the points vs. Saints)

NOTE: This number is inching up toward 3 1/2. I'd advise you to monitor the line movements and wait till it moves to 3 1/2, then make your wager on the Giants at +3 1/2.

As always, shop around for the best number you can get. Don't ever lay more points on a favorite than you have to or take back less points with an underdog than are available!



BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED--------GL GUYS:103631605
 

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Steve Merril NFC top Play
Seattle plays on the strongest home field in the NFL, but after going just 2-6 at home in 2008 because of numerous injuries, the betting marketplace is still not giving the Seahawks their full home field edge this season. They’ve played three home games so far and they are 2-1 straight-up and against the spread. Their two wins have both been dominating performances; 28-0 over St Louis and last week’s 41-0 drubbing of Jacksonville. In their only home loss, Seattle was winning for 58 minutes of the game before Chicago threw the winning touchdown with less than 2 minutes to play. Seattle has out-scored their opponents 88-25 and they’ve out-yarded them 1171-764 in their three home games. Seattle’s defense at home has been absolutely dominant. They are allowing only 8 points per game on 255 yards of offense. Their secondary has been solid holding teams to only 188 yards on 5.9 yards per pass attempt (versus teams that average 6.6 yppa) and that’s a key match-up edge for Seattle as they are facing the strong passing attack of Arizona. The Cardinals offense is one-dimensional to the pass, and that is not a good thing when facing the stout Seattle defense. Arizona runs for only 57 yards per game and that means they’ll have a difficult time moving the ball consistently on Seattle. Arizona was in the perfect spot last week as they were fresh off their bye week. They played a perfect first half and built a 21-0 lead over Houston, but they were stymied after the break as their offense was shutout (scored on an interception return for a touchdown) and had only 43 yards of total offense. That’s a negative sign, and with this being their first road game in a month, there’s reason to believe Arizona stumbles in this spot. Play SEAHAWKS (-).
 

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spartan | NFL Total Sun, 10/18/09 - 1:00 PM

dime bet 209 KAN / 210 WAS Under 37.5 SportBet

spartan | NFL Side Sun, 10/18/09 - 1:00 PM

double-dime bet 223 DET 14.0 (-110) SportBet vs 224 GBP
Analysis: Green Bay is coming off a bye week and has had plenty of time to think about that tough loss in Minnesota. They look to regroup and catch a break with Detroit coming into Lambeau field. Problem I have with it is I do not trust that Packer defense enough right now to support this kind of line to clear. My heart as always says, Go Pack Go, I went against them in Minnesota and I just have to here as well. 14 points just seems to be a stretch to me. I think the Packers get the win buƒt in a closer fight than some might expect.

| NFL Side Sun, 10/18/09 - 4:05 PM

double-dime bet 225 PHI -14.0 (-110) BetUS vs 226 OAK
Analysis: I totally realize the square police will be up in arms but the fact is I have taken both favorites and dogs and done well this season without getting torn up over the square vs sharp thing. Here is the deal, unless the Eagles turn the ball over again and again they should clear this number for us. Russell is quite possibly the most inept starting quarterback in my memory. The oddsmakers are begging people to take the raiders at home. I'm not buying it guys. I'll lay the number and look for the Eagles toƒ take care of business here.

triple-dime bet 232 NEP -9.0 (-110) BetUS vs 231 TEN
Analysis: „Never thought I would see the day when the Titans would be in this shape. Not under a head coach I respect like Jeff Fisher. Week after week this team has let bettors down and last week many thought they would stand up and home against the Colts and make a stand. I took the Colts without hesitation and never looked back. The Patriots are off a tough loss at Denver and still very much playing meaningful games. I'll take the Patriots and Tom Brady to put together a very solid effort and clear this number for us. Might be close for awhile but New England comes in to cash.

218 JAC -9.5 (-110) BetUS vs 217 STL
Analysis: Some bettors keep hitting on the Rams thinking they are bound to cover sooner or later. Maybe they will, but I have made great money going against this sorry bunch and am willing to go there again. Jaguars are still a far superior team and smarting from an ass kicking out in Seattle. I look for Jack Del Rio's team to come back with a vengeance against a heartless St Louis team that will wave the white flag as soon as things turn against them. I've been going against this miserable Rams team all yƒear. I've seen absolutely nothing to make me change my course here. Jaguars have a feel good day for the home crowd!
 

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Seattle plays on the strongest home field in the NFL, but after going just 2-6 at home in 2008 because of numerous injuries, the betting marketplace is still not giving the Seahawks their full home field edge this season. They’ve played three home games so far and they are 2-1 straight-up and against the spread. Their two wins have both been dominating performances; 28-0 over St Louis and last week’s 41-0 drubbing of Jacksonville. In their only home loss, Seattle was winning for 58 minutes of the game before Chicago threw the winning touchdown with less than 2 minutes to play. Seattle has out-scored their opponents 88-25 and they’ve out-yarded them 1171-764 in their three home games. Seattle’s defense at home has been absolutely dominant. They are allowing only 8 points per game on 255 yards of offense. Their secondary has been solid holding teams to only 188 yards on 5.9 yards per pass attempt (versus teams that average 6.6 yppa) and that’s a key match-up edge for Seattle as they are facing the strong passing attack of Arizona. The Cardinals offense is one-dimensional to the pass, and that is not a good thing when facing the stout Seattle defense. Arizona runs for only 57 yards per game and that means they’ll have a difficult time moving the ball consistently on Seattle. Arizona was in the perfect spot last week as they were fresh off their bye week. They played a perfect first half and built a 21-0 lead over Houston, but they were stymied after the break as their offense was shutout (scored on an interception return for a touchdown) and had only 43 yards of total offense. That’s a negative sign, and with this being their first road game in a month, there’s reason to believe Arizona stumbles in this spot.

Play SEAHAWKS (-).
Steve Merril NFC top Play
 

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Two Team 7 pt. Teaser: -120 (BookMaker & 5Dimes Sportsbook)

(1*) Release

#215 Baltimore +10 to #232 New England -2

I purchased goodfella already but it hasn't been posted so I will post it when available.
 
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Private Members Area - Psychic

10/18

2 units Atlanta -3.5
2 units NY Giants +3.5
3 units Baltimore +3 (best bet)
3 units Cincinnati -5 (best bet)
4 units Tennessee +9 (Major)
5 units Tampa Bay +3 (NFC WiseGuy of the Year)
 

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