Dave Essler - CFB Spud Game 3* - Bonus Winners
Dave Essler | CFB Side Sat, 12/15/12 - 1:00 PM
double-dime bet 201 Nevada 8.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 202 Arizona Analysis: Possibly an upgrade but this is probably the best number we•'ll see. Analysis tonight or tomorrow for sure. Work done on this one.
Dave Essler | CBB Sides Sat, 12/15/12 - 7:00 PM
triple-dime bet 610 Towson 7.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 609 N. Dakota St Analysis: I suppose we could wait and see what this line does, but I‹'ll take my chances that BECAUSE it hasn't gone up, it won't. Seven being the key number, we'll go with it. Yes, this is the same Towson State team that won exactly one game last season. This season, they've already won four, and one of them was at a very decent Vermont team three games ago. Since then, they played AT G-Town and AT Temple and played them close. Were this later in the season, I'd say that those two games would have worn them out. However, being that they were very close games, they'll be motivated and confident coming home. North Dakota State is no doubt the more talented team, but they just played a road game at Minnesota (a game they did cover) but that should take more energy from them than the losses will GIVE Towson State. T-State still struggles a bit with turnovers, but NDSU is not known for creating them, and NDSU is a very big three-point shooting/scoring team, and on the road those are typically teams we like to fade. This game should stay around 120-125 points, which makes more sense to take three possessions. T-State is actually BIGGER and slightly more experienced. This has all the ingredients we need to play the very under valued Towson State Tigers, who have every reason to actually win this game outright.
Dave Essler | CFB Total Sat, 12/15/12 - 1:00 PM
double-dime bet 201 Nevada / 202 Arizona Over 75.5 BetOnline Analysis: FWIW and for those who just have the CFB Bowl Package, I have played the St. Louis Rams -1.5 3* o“n Sunday. And I have played Towson State +7 3* in CBB on Saturday.
Dave Essler | CFB Side Sat, 12/15/12 - 4:30 PM
triple-dime bet 203 Toledo 10.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 204 Utah St. Analysis: Write up this week. Number probably won't get better than this. If Owens play this should be a gift. They both missed the last regular season game with ankle injuries, but we it not against Akron and meaningless they'd have played, so we are told. One team that's excited to be here in Toledo and one that only lost two games, one to BYU and one to Wisconsin (by two) and they're playing in THIS game. Clearly Toledo has the desire. I do love Utah State, they're well coached. But Keaton has no experience in post-season play, and that's a downer for me. And USU's overall Bowl Record is a mere 1-6. Gary Anderson (USU Coach) has coached in one Bowl Game and lost it.
Toledo is 8-4 in Bo“wl Games, and Matt Campbell took over this time THIS time last year and coached them in Military Bowl game. Before that, he's been to 11 post season games and won seven.
The WAC Conference is ranked higher than the MAC, but not but a ton. USU put up some gaudy defensive numbers, but primarily against fairly weak offenses, really. Three of the last four year this games' been decided by less than then points. The only time it wasn't, and MAC team (UNI) beat a WAC team (Fresno State) badly. Toledo was a ten point dog twice this season and covered both times. USU has been HUGE favorites most of this season. The ONLY time they were favored by anything close to this number was as -12.5 to Colorado State, and they won SU and NOT ATS. Last season they were 10-14 point favorites four time, and covered only once, at Wyoming, where everyone wins.
If Toledo cannot win this game outright, there is little or no chance that USU runs and hides here, and this could well be the first big upset of the Bowl Season.
