Sam Martin's 20* NBA "VEGAS INFERNO" WINNER (17-7)
Los Angeles Clippers at Milwaukee Bucks Dec 15 2012 8:35PM
20* Play on LA Clippers. Two streaking teams meet up in Milwaukee tonight with the Clippers coming in on an eight-game winning streak while the Bucks have won four straight. We'll back the road side tonight to win comfortably, noting Milwaukee's poor shooting over the last few weeks as well as playing without rest and with travel from their four-point win in Cleveland last night.
The Bucks have been winning with defense combined with a weaker schedule, as their four-game winning run has come despite three of those games seeing the Bucks shoot 40%, 40%, and 41% from the floor. And going back further, Milwaukee has shot under 42% in five of their last six games overall.
That presents an unfavorable matchup for the home team in this contest against the Clippers, who have not only held five straight foes to under 100 points scored, but who are also on fire offensively, reaching triple-digits on the scoreboard in seven of their last eight games overall. Add in Milwaukee's 5-17 ATS mark at home after a road win and 1-9 ATS record at home after playing as a road favorite, and we look for the tired Bucks to have a tough time stopping the Clippers scoring efforts, and an even tougher time trying to match them on the scoreboard! 20* Play on LA Clippers.
Prediction: Los Angeles Clippers
Rickenbach MASSIVE NBA *OVER EASY* Saturday!
Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks Dec 15 2012 7:35PM
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA *8* (Regular Play) OVER in Cleveland at New York @ 7:35 ET - The Cleveland Cavaliers travel to New York to take on the Knicks on Saturday night. Cleveland is 5-18 SU overall this year while New York comes in with a 17-5 SU overall record on the season. Cleveland is allowing 101 points per game on the road this year. New York is scoring 103.2 points per game overall this year and 106.6 points per game at home this season. The Over is 5-1 this year for New York after a non-conference game. The Over is 5-1 this year for New York when they play poor defensive teams allowing 99 points per game or more. The Over is 5-0 last 5 games when New York plays at home. The Over is 6-1-1 last 8 games overall for New York. The Over is 7-3 last 10 meetings overall in this series and the Over is 8-2 last 10 meetings in New York. Lots of scoring here tonight in this one. Play OVER in New York as a *8* Regular Play selection Saturday.
Prediction: over
Team Del Genio 10* Division Game of the Month
Indiana Pacers at Detroit Pistons Dec 15 2012 7:35PM
Play on Detroit at 7:35 ET. Love the Pistons as a home dog in this spot despite last night's results. Both teams played Friday. While Indiana beat Philadelphia 95-85, Detroit dropped a heartbreaker in Brooklyn, 107-105, losing on a Joe Johnson three-pointer at the buzzer in double overtime. Truth be told, it was a brutal loss for the Pistons as they first put on a frantic third-quarter rally, outscoring the Nets 30-14 only to blow a six-point lead in the final 90 seconds of regulation. It was the team's third straight loss as well as their seventh in the last nine games. After winning five straight here at The Palace, they have now dropped three in a row. But we see them bouncing back here. While Indiana has beaten Detroit 10 of 13 meetings, all three losses came here in the Motor City. The Pacers have not won three consecutive games all season, nor have they covered three straight games all year. Not only are they 18-38 ATS off a home win, but they are 15-32 ATS on the road after BB DD wins. They are also 10-27 ATS the L3 seasons when off BB ATS wins. They average just 87.4 PPG on the road as they continue to struggle to score w/out leading scorer Danny Granger. Paul George has filled in nicely - at times - but is erratic and inconsistent. Detroit is our 10* Central Division Game of the Month.
Prediction: Detroit Pistons
Larry's 108 29-Club Play (2nd TY / 1-0)
Brooklyn Nets at Chicago Bulls Dec 15 2012 8:05PM
My 10* 29-Club Play is on the Chi Bulls at 8:05 ET.
The Brooklyn Nets, won their second straight game following a five-game slide last night, but it took two OTs vs a Detroit team which came in just 2-11 SU on the road this season (now 2-12). Center Brook Lopez (17.9-6.6) returned to the court last night after missing seven games with a sprained right foot. He played 24 minutes with nine points and four rebounds (made just 4-of-10 shots). Johnson (16.9-2.9-3.7) and Williams (16.7-8.4 APG) form an outstanding backcourt and the Nets own excellent depth up front with Blatche (12.1-6.4), Wallace (11.6-5.4) and Humphries (7.4-7.4). However, there is little rest for these weary Nets, who must travel to Chicago right after last night’s two-OT thriller, to play the rested Bulls (last played on Wednesday). Of course, Chicago is still without Derrick Rose but the team is getting quite a spark from Marco Belinelli, who has started five straight games in the backcourt, averaging 19.0 PPG with the Bulls going 4-1. With Hamilton still out, Hinrich (6.2-5.5 APG) and the ageless Nate Robinson (11.0-3.6 APG) are the other main contributors on the perimeter. Chicago’s frontline is familiar and formidable. Deng (17.9-7.3) and Boozer (14.0-9.7) are the forwards plus Noah (13.9-10.6-4.3) is one of the NBA’s most versatile centers. As always, Tom Thibodeau’s team can play some defense, as Chicago ranks third in the league in points allowed (91.3 per) and opponents' field-goal percentage (42.7), while leading the NBA in opponents' three-point field-goal percentage (31.1). Chicago has allowed 88.2 PPG while holding opponents to 41.4 percent from the floor in winning SEVEN of 10 to get to 12-9 The Bulls have won EIGHT of last 10 meetings with the Nets at the United Center and make it NINE of 11 with an easy win right here!
Good luck...Larry
Prediction: Chicago Bulls
Ryan’s NBA 25* TOP RATED Titan; 14-5 ATS run
Los Angeles Clippers at Milwaukee Bucks Dec 15 2012 8:35PM
25* graded play on the Milwaukee Bucks as they take on the LA Clippers set to start at 8:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Milwaukee will lose this game by five or fewer points. In this situation, and like Toronto last night, I like playing a combination wager using a 20* amount on the line adna a 5* amount on the Money Line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 37-12 ATS mark for 76% winners. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that is a solid offensive team scoring between 98 and 102 PPG and is now facing an average defensive team allowing 92 to 98 PPG and after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less. Clips have done well against strong ball handling teams like the Bucks. They are just 13-29 ATS in road games when facing good ball handling teams committing <=14 turnovers per game over the last 3 seasons. Situationally, the Clips are just 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Milwaukee is fourth in the NBA posting a 1.622 assists to turnover ratio, seventh averaging 22.7 assists per game, and fourth committing just 14.0 turnovers per game. The Clippers thrive on defensive pressure, but the Bucks have the personnel and ball handlers to negate this aspect of the Clippers game. Take the Bucks.
Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks
SCOTT SPREITZER'S VALUE SHOCKER G.O.M.! 40-22 Run!
Orlando Magic at Charlotte Bobcats Dec 15 2012 7:35PM
I'm backing the Charlotte Bobcats on Saturday night. The Bobcats are on a 10-game losing streak, but we have known when to step-in and when to leave them alone, going 2-0 ATS playing ON Charlotte. We had the Bobs when they covered against Atlanta in a 94-91 loss (+9) on November 28, and we cashed again on December 5 when the Bobcats covered as a 7 1/2 point dog in a 100-98 loss to New York. I believe this number puts a lot of value on the home team. My power ratings actually have the Knicks 10.5 points better than Orlando on a neutral court. The Knicks were a 7 1/2 point fave in Charlotte...and after early movement, the Magic are laying as much as 1 1/2 points in Charlotte (at the time of this post), only 6 points less. I firmly believe the Bobcats, despite their losing streak, are the team that would be favored on Saturday if lines were based on power ratings rather than perception. And let's not fail to mention Charlotte's schedule over the last 10 games. Seven of the 10 losses came against Atlanta (twice), the Clippers, the Warriors, the Spurs, the Knicks, and Oklahoma City. Those teams (including ATL twice) own a combined 113-41 winning mark. That's .737 winning basketball. Five of those six teams are in first place in their respective divisions, while Golden State is second in the Pacific. You get the picture. A game against Orlando is a definite step down in level of competition. The Magic caught GST at the right time last night...off the Warriors win over Miami. Orlando is 27th in scoring and 26th from area code three. And they're on a 5-11 ATS slide on the road against teams with a losing home record. I'm betting the Charlotte streak ends here before they head out on a west coast road trip. I'm playing Charlotte on Saturday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Prediction: Charlotte Bobcats
Bet Type: SPREAD
Burns' NBA PERSONAL FAVORITE! ~ 8-1 L9 ~ BLOWOUT!
Washington Wizards at Miami Heat Dec 15 2012 7:35PM
I'm playing on MIAMI. While I've successfully played on the Wizards this month, I believe that they're in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Heat, who had the last two nights off, should be in a foul mood. Not only did they lose on Wednesday (at the buzzer vs. Golden State) but they also were recently upset by these same Wizards. In fact, they've now lost three in a row in this series, since last season. (James didn't play those two from last year though, as he was resting for the playoffs.) Speaking of James, who had an ice pack on his shoulder after the last game, noted: "I'll be ready by Saturday. That's all that matters.'' While the Heat are well-rested, the same cannot be said of the Wizards. They're off a hard-fought loss vs. the Lakers last night. While they've covered in some of those games, note that they're 0-4 SU and 8-37 SU the last 45 times that they played the second of b2b games. This is worse than a "typical" back-to-back spot though. That's because the Wizards are also now playing their fourth game in the past five days. Only 2-2 on the current homestand coach Erik Spoelstra wants his team to take care of business: "It's an inordinate amount of time that we spend here at home and we should be able to take advantage of that. We haven't done it quite the way we've liked to so we'll move onto the next game." As long as the Heat show up ready to play - and I believe they will - this one has all the makings of a mismatch. *9 Personal Favorite
Prediction: Miami Heat
Los Angeles Clippers at Milwaukee Bucks Dec 15 2012 8:35PM
20* Play on LA Clippers. Two streaking teams meet up in Milwaukee tonight with the Clippers coming in on an eight-game winning streak while the Bucks have won four straight. We'll back the road side tonight to win comfortably, noting Milwaukee's poor shooting over the last few weeks as well as playing without rest and with travel from their four-point win in Cleveland last night.
The Bucks have been winning with defense combined with a weaker schedule, as their four-game winning run has come despite three of those games seeing the Bucks shoot 40%, 40%, and 41% from the floor. And going back further, Milwaukee has shot under 42% in five of their last six games overall.
That presents an unfavorable matchup for the home team in this contest against the Clippers, who have not only held five straight foes to under 100 points scored, but who are also on fire offensively, reaching triple-digits on the scoreboard in seven of their last eight games overall. Add in Milwaukee's 5-17 ATS mark at home after a road win and 1-9 ATS record at home after playing as a road favorite, and we look for the tired Bucks to have a tough time stopping the Clippers scoring efforts, and an even tougher time trying to match them on the scoreboard! 20* Play on LA Clippers.
Prediction: Los Angeles Clippers
Rickenbach MASSIVE NBA *OVER EASY* Saturday!
Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks Dec 15 2012 7:35PM
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA *8* (Regular Play) OVER in Cleveland at New York @ 7:35 ET - The Cleveland Cavaliers travel to New York to take on the Knicks on Saturday night. Cleveland is 5-18 SU overall this year while New York comes in with a 17-5 SU overall record on the season. Cleveland is allowing 101 points per game on the road this year. New York is scoring 103.2 points per game overall this year and 106.6 points per game at home this season. The Over is 5-1 this year for New York after a non-conference game. The Over is 5-1 this year for New York when they play poor defensive teams allowing 99 points per game or more. The Over is 5-0 last 5 games when New York plays at home. The Over is 6-1-1 last 8 games overall for New York. The Over is 7-3 last 10 meetings overall in this series and the Over is 8-2 last 10 meetings in New York. Lots of scoring here tonight in this one. Play OVER in New York as a *8* Regular Play selection Saturday.
Prediction: over
Team Del Genio 10* Division Game of the Month
Indiana Pacers at Detroit Pistons Dec 15 2012 7:35PM
Play on Detroit at 7:35 ET. Love the Pistons as a home dog in this spot despite last night's results. Both teams played Friday. While Indiana beat Philadelphia 95-85, Detroit dropped a heartbreaker in Brooklyn, 107-105, losing on a Joe Johnson three-pointer at the buzzer in double overtime. Truth be told, it was a brutal loss for the Pistons as they first put on a frantic third-quarter rally, outscoring the Nets 30-14 only to blow a six-point lead in the final 90 seconds of regulation. It was the team's third straight loss as well as their seventh in the last nine games. After winning five straight here at The Palace, they have now dropped three in a row. But we see them bouncing back here. While Indiana has beaten Detroit 10 of 13 meetings, all three losses came here in the Motor City. The Pacers have not won three consecutive games all season, nor have they covered three straight games all year. Not only are they 18-38 ATS off a home win, but they are 15-32 ATS on the road after BB DD wins. They are also 10-27 ATS the L3 seasons when off BB ATS wins. They average just 87.4 PPG on the road as they continue to struggle to score w/out leading scorer Danny Granger. Paul George has filled in nicely - at times - but is erratic and inconsistent. Detroit is our 10* Central Division Game of the Month.
Prediction: Detroit Pistons
Larry's 108 29-Club Play (2nd TY / 1-0)
Brooklyn Nets at Chicago Bulls Dec 15 2012 8:05PM
My 10* 29-Club Play is on the Chi Bulls at 8:05 ET.
The Brooklyn Nets, won their second straight game following a five-game slide last night, but it took two OTs vs a Detroit team which came in just 2-11 SU on the road this season (now 2-12). Center Brook Lopez (17.9-6.6) returned to the court last night after missing seven games with a sprained right foot. He played 24 minutes with nine points and four rebounds (made just 4-of-10 shots). Johnson (16.9-2.9-3.7) and Williams (16.7-8.4 APG) form an outstanding backcourt and the Nets own excellent depth up front with Blatche (12.1-6.4), Wallace (11.6-5.4) and Humphries (7.4-7.4). However, there is little rest for these weary Nets, who must travel to Chicago right after last night’s two-OT thriller, to play the rested Bulls (last played on Wednesday). Of course, Chicago is still without Derrick Rose but the team is getting quite a spark from Marco Belinelli, who has started five straight games in the backcourt, averaging 19.0 PPG with the Bulls going 4-1. With Hamilton still out, Hinrich (6.2-5.5 APG) and the ageless Nate Robinson (11.0-3.6 APG) are the other main contributors on the perimeter. Chicago’s frontline is familiar and formidable. Deng (17.9-7.3) and Boozer (14.0-9.7) are the forwards plus Noah (13.9-10.6-4.3) is one of the NBA’s most versatile centers. As always, Tom Thibodeau’s team can play some defense, as Chicago ranks third in the league in points allowed (91.3 per) and opponents' field-goal percentage (42.7), while leading the NBA in opponents' three-point field-goal percentage (31.1). Chicago has allowed 88.2 PPG while holding opponents to 41.4 percent from the floor in winning SEVEN of 10 to get to 12-9 The Bulls have won EIGHT of last 10 meetings with the Nets at the United Center and make it NINE of 11 with an easy win right here!
Good luck...Larry
Prediction: Chicago Bulls
Ryan’s NBA 25* TOP RATED Titan; 14-5 ATS run
Los Angeles Clippers at Milwaukee Bucks Dec 15 2012 8:35PM
25* graded play on the Milwaukee Bucks as they take on the LA Clippers set to start at 8:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Milwaukee will lose this game by five or fewer points. In this situation, and like Toronto last night, I like playing a combination wager using a 20* amount on the line adna a 5* amount on the Money Line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 37-12 ATS mark for 76% winners. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that is a solid offensive team scoring between 98 and 102 PPG and is now facing an average defensive team allowing 92 to 98 PPG and after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less. Clips have done well against strong ball handling teams like the Bucks. They are just 13-29 ATS in road games when facing good ball handling teams committing <=14 turnovers per game over the last 3 seasons. Situationally, the Clips are just 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Milwaukee is fourth in the NBA posting a 1.622 assists to turnover ratio, seventh averaging 22.7 assists per game, and fourth committing just 14.0 turnovers per game. The Clippers thrive on defensive pressure, but the Bucks have the personnel and ball handlers to negate this aspect of the Clippers game. Take the Bucks.
Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks
SCOTT SPREITZER'S VALUE SHOCKER G.O.M.! 40-22 Run!
Orlando Magic at Charlotte Bobcats Dec 15 2012 7:35PM
I'm backing the Charlotte Bobcats on Saturday night. The Bobcats are on a 10-game losing streak, but we have known when to step-in and when to leave them alone, going 2-0 ATS playing ON Charlotte. We had the Bobs when they covered against Atlanta in a 94-91 loss (+9) on November 28, and we cashed again on December 5 when the Bobcats covered as a 7 1/2 point dog in a 100-98 loss to New York. I believe this number puts a lot of value on the home team. My power ratings actually have the Knicks 10.5 points better than Orlando on a neutral court. The Knicks were a 7 1/2 point fave in Charlotte...and after early movement, the Magic are laying as much as 1 1/2 points in Charlotte (at the time of this post), only 6 points less. I firmly believe the Bobcats, despite their losing streak, are the team that would be favored on Saturday if lines were based on power ratings rather than perception. And let's not fail to mention Charlotte's schedule over the last 10 games. Seven of the 10 losses came against Atlanta (twice), the Clippers, the Warriors, the Spurs, the Knicks, and Oklahoma City. Those teams (including ATL twice) own a combined 113-41 winning mark. That's .737 winning basketball. Five of those six teams are in first place in their respective divisions, while Golden State is second in the Pacific. You get the picture. A game against Orlando is a definite step down in level of competition. The Magic caught GST at the right time last night...off the Warriors win over Miami. Orlando is 27th in scoring and 26th from area code three. And they're on a 5-11 ATS slide on the road against teams with a losing home record. I'm betting the Charlotte streak ends here before they head out on a west coast road trip. I'm playing Charlotte on Saturday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Prediction: Charlotte Bobcats
Bet Type: SPREAD
Burns' NBA PERSONAL FAVORITE! ~ 8-1 L9 ~ BLOWOUT!
Washington Wizards at Miami Heat Dec 15 2012 7:35PM
I'm playing on MIAMI. While I've successfully played on the Wizards this month, I believe that they're in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Heat, who had the last two nights off, should be in a foul mood. Not only did they lose on Wednesday (at the buzzer vs. Golden State) but they also were recently upset by these same Wizards. In fact, they've now lost three in a row in this series, since last season. (James didn't play those two from last year though, as he was resting for the playoffs.) Speaking of James, who had an ice pack on his shoulder after the last game, noted: "I'll be ready by Saturday. That's all that matters.'' While the Heat are well-rested, the same cannot be said of the Wizards. They're off a hard-fought loss vs. the Lakers last night. While they've covered in some of those games, note that they're 0-4 SU and 8-37 SU the last 45 times that they played the second of b2b games. This is worse than a "typical" back-to-back spot though. That's because the Wizards are also now playing their fourth game in the past five days. Only 2-2 on the current homestand coach Erik Spoelstra wants his team to take care of business: "It's an inordinate amount of time that we spend here at home and we should be able to take advantage of that. We haven't done it quite the way we've liked to so we'll move onto the next game." As long as the Heat show up ready to play - and I believe they will - this one has all the makings of a mismatch. *9 Personal Favorite
Prediction: Miami Heat
