Reasonable Sports Picks

[Friend_of_the_People]

4 Bucks -1.5....There is still 10 minutes left in the game but this one is a loss...The Rocket's offense has been elite Harden scores 18 in the 3rd quarter alone(31 total)...Jason Terry is 4/6 from three(18 total)...Rockets scored 24 more points on three pointers 12 for 28 Rockets and then 4 for 13 Bucks, this one I expected...The few times the Bucks were able to get out and run they were great, I didn't think this Houston defense could play so well...Rockets are out rebounding 37 to 28(bucks) and it feels even more lopsided than that...

Miss: 3 Jazz +5.5 4 Bucks -1.5...lost my first 4 star bet tonight

Hit: 2 Hawks -7, 1 Cavs -9.5

5 star selections 1-1

4 star selections 3-1

3 star selections 9-4

2 star selections 13-10

1 star selections 29-33

I'm definitely in a slump...

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

1 Heat -3

1 Celtics +7.5

2 Nets +3(-120)

3 Portland -13

waiting for a few more lines to move in a favorable direction...

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Here are my NFL picks:

4 star selections 0-1

3 star selections 4-1

2 star selections 7-2

1 star selections 10-6

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1004200&page=2&p=10852404#post10852404

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

2 Kings +3

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

1 Spurs u 198

1 Wiz o 96.5

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

1 Jazz +2.5

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Last Night:

Hits: 3 Portland -13, 1 Heat -3

Miss: 2 Brooklyn +3, 2 Kings +3, 1 Celtics +7.5

5 star selections 1-1

4 star selections 3-1

3 star selections 10-4

2 star selections 13-12

1 star selections 30-34

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Tomorrow:

2 Hawks -6(-120)

1 Nets +1

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

2 Bulls/Mavs o 203

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Hit: 1 Wiz o 96.5

Miss: 1 Spurs/76ers u 198, 1 Jazz +2.5

1 star selections 31-36

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

3 Pistons -1(-120)

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Edit:

Hit: 1 Jazz+2.5, 1 Wiz o 96.5

Miss: 1 Spurs/76ers u 198

1 star selections 32-35

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Tomorrow:

3 Bulls -1(-130)

2 Bulls/Mavs o 203

Admittedly this is not a good way to begin my case, I don't think its likely the Bulls drop to 2-4 at home...The Bulls only have two home wins the entire season, in large part because they have had 12 away games and only 5 home games...The Bulls have really had to grind out wins missing Taj, Gasol, Rose at various times...The Mavs have not been good on defense, I think Parsons is a liability on defense, Ellis isn't good either plus Dirk isn't a good defender...Last week Dallas struggled to win at home versus the Knicks and got trampled at home to Indiana, they couldn't get a stop to save their life...Jimmy Butler is a great defender he's going to make scoring difficult for Monte Elllis while also scoring in double figures...Defensively the Bulls aren't at their best Taj is a great defender and not having him for this one hurts but offensively they are really coming along...Dirk got to rest last game versus Philly so he should be especially well rested...

2 Hawks -6(-120)

1 Nets +1

3 Pistons -1(-120)

more to come...

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Thought it over for a while....I'm upping the Bulls-1(-130) to a 4 star selection

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

You can get the Bulls ml for -115 as of this morning...watching that Pacer/Suns line very closely...

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

1 Pacers +6.5(-117)

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

4 Bulls -1...Jesus that was a brutal loss...Bulls did what they have all season they kept it close and then owned the 4th quarter. Jimmy Butler was-at all times- the best Bull on the floor. Rose was bad for most of the game it wont show in the box score but he made too many lazy and predictable passes that Parsons and Ellis were able to easily steal, he was giving up a bunch of "pick-sixes". Rose insisted on taking difficult shots when the offense was moving the ball effectively and scoring effectively. I just don't get it he looks like he's out there with something to prove and its getting in the way of the team's performance. Monta Ellis brought his "A" game he was hitting tough shots but they also switched Butler off him every chance they got. The end of regulation happened. Heinrich Heinrich Heinrich...I genuinely feel bad for the guy...I also genuinely feel bad for my wallet. This one ranks up there near the top as far as tough losses go and its made worse by the fact that I'm in a slump.

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Miss: 4 Bulls -1, 3 Pistons-1, 2 Hawks-6, 1 Pacers +6.5

Hit: 2 Bulls o 203, 1 Nets +1


5 star selections 1-1

4 star selections 3-2

3 star selections 10-5

2 star selections 14-13

1 star selections 33-36

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

3 Hawks +5(-118)

1 Celtics -4

2 Nets +9(-118)

1 Minnesota -6(-128)

1 Dallas -5

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

1 Parlay- Bulls ml and Wiz ml(even)

I like the Bulls to bounce back with a win, even though they're coming off a double OT game. Charlotte has been bad pure and simple. Washington is undefeated against teams below .500 (7-0).

3 Parlay- Memphis ml and Wiz ml(-115)

Memphis looks to avoid a "revenge" game from Houston- Grizz won 119-93 in Memphis earlier this year-. Harden will undoubtedly play better but Memphis has been pretty good at defending the 3 point line so I'm taking them despite Houston looking for pay back. Houston is giving up 28.3% shooting from 3 for the year, luckily the Grizz can survive without taking 3's.

3 Hawks +5(-118)

The Hawks and Heat are rivals...Atlanta matches up well against Miami. When Miami isn't hitting its 3's they struggle to put up points with any consistency, they were hitting a large number of 3's to start the season but recently they have cooled off a little bit. Miami's home court advantage hasn't been good.

3 Nets +9(-118)

I'm upping the Nets to a 3 star selection. I don't think the Nets are a bad team this line is too high even if the Spurs are on a winning streak. Brooklyn is a veteran team playing a back to back. The 2 times that Brooklyn has played the 2nd of a back to back they lost 107-99 @Warriors and lost 99-87 @Spurs...The Nets looking for pay back at home may not equal a win but I'd be surprised if they lost by double digits.

1 Celtics -4

1 Minnesota -6

1 Dallas -5